Bitcoin Getting Weaker and wants to dumpBitcoin/1H chart we see a rising wedge , these wedges usually endup with a wick to the upside then make a bigger move to the downside.
we could say the wick to the upside was the CPI move which was not eye catching due to BTC getting weaker every rip it makes.meaning every upwards it goes it comes down harder.
After CPI btc came back down inside the rising wedge range and ONLY tested it once which endedup in a DOJI candle showing decent rejection.
one of these upwards movement will endup with a capitulation candle towards downside
depend on SPX first hour of the market we could possibly wick up to ~22800 before major move to the downside which I think today after MMers digest the CPI and market situation which is getting worse. they start dumping it.
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check link to related ideas for in depth analysis+liquidation review
Thanks for reading
Bitcoin_analyse
bitcoin Big RED candle comin soonAfter bitcoin exited the rising broadening wedge we bounced from top of the left shoulder(light yellow line)
and is doing a rising wedge right now which might endup in the right shoulder if we wick up then leg down another 8 to 13 percent.
In the video I also mentioned liquidition clusters and where people get liquidated THE MOST.also high leverage positions been shown.
we also might consolidate today wating for CPI numbers to comeout before another major move.
BTC little bit to the upside before major move to downsideHello.
In todays analysis I checked BTC and its liqudiation cluster.talked about SPX and dxy and how they are correlated to btc
I think btc might move a bit higher resulting in a new extreme before comin back down to form lower lows and possibly losing 20k in this week
I am open to suggestions
Thanks for watching
An In-Depth Look at the Dynamic Bitcoin Price Action on January In the world of cryptocurrency trading, today was a highly intriguing day. Our predicted scenario played out beautifully as we saw the bitcoin price drop to the $22,950 level zone where multiple confluences converged. We saw a bearish (CVD) playing out exceptionally well, and then we saw the price push up to the monthly level before getting rejected and falling back within the range. Throughout the day, the price fluctuates within the range between the Value Area High and Point of Control, finally falling below the Value Area Low just before the NY close. Currently, the price is hovering between the Point of Control and Value Area Low, with the weekly Naked Point of Control at $22,860 and the Naked Session Point of Control at $22,480, both being tested.
Looking at past price behavior, we can see a similar fractal in the price drop toward the Value Area Low before a sharp increase from the $20,500 zone to the $22,500 zone. The first sign of weakness would be a break below the $22,287 level and its eventual rejection as support. In such a scenario, we can expect the price to drop back to the $20,500 zone.
However, the price will only be considered bearish if it falls outside the Value Area High and monthly level. If these levels hold support, we can expect the price to rise to the weekly $24,297 level or even reach the maximum pain scenario for late shorts at $25,211. It's important to note that we are still in the same range, and bitcoin has a history of prolonged periods of range-bound trading.
Additionally, the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate hike meeting on February 1st, 2023, and earnings reports from companies like Apple, Amazon, and Google, will be significant factors in determining the future direction of Bitcoin's price. Keep a close eye on how the stock markets react to these events.
The Weekend Market: An Analysis of Bitcoin Price MovementsOver the weekend, the bitcoin price experienced another $1000 rise. The bullish sentiment among weekend traders caused the price to break through the monthly level of $23,301 and reach new heights. Currently, the price ranges below the weekly level of $24,297.5 after front-running the weekly naked point of control at $23,970 with a $3 margin.
The direction of today's price action will be heavily influenced by the performance of the stock market and the US Dollar Index (DXY). From previous price movements, we can observe that the DXY is showing signs of weakness, while both the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and bitcoin are demonstrating strength. This suggests that we see a continuation of these trends.
Based on this analysis, there are three potential scenarios for the future of the bitcoin price.
Scenario 1: Bitcoin may experience a dip down to test the monthly and new daily levels at $23,021. At this level, there is a confluence of factors, including the point of control for the entire range, a 0.618 Fibonacci level, and a new daily level. This dip may give the market a sense of acceptance within the current range, trap late shorts, and prompt a continuation of the upward trend.
Scenario 2: The price may hover above the monthly level and continue upward, eventually reaching the weekly level of $24,297.5. This would signify a continuation of the current bull trend.
Scenario 3: Alternatively, the price may continue to fall because of a failed auction, punishing late longs. The price may also fall back within the current range and continue to range.
As a first sign of weakness, we will observe the price spending more time between the point of control and the Value area low of the current range, and if it falls below the 4-hour order block level of $22,287. In this case, we may expect the price to dip and test the daily level of $20,673. If this level does not hold, further downward price action may be expected.
BTC Surprises and Market Analysis: Navigating the Current RangeAs we approached the weekend, I was expecting Bitcoin to get the Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) of $21,647 and continue to the range, I was expecting liquidity to leave the market, but I was wrong as BTC had different plans and did a great job of surprising me. Initially, BTC did precisely what I was expecting. I took the short trade and stopped out (Refer to my last post). I patiently waited for some reaction from $21,827.5 to play out as it was a significant weekly level along with a 0.66 Fibonacci level. The bullish momentum was so strong and rapid that it managed to break through the weekly level, leaving several single prints behind us. My next resistance level was a daily level of $22,393. Price broke through this level without difficulty and stopped at the monthly level of $23,301.
As of now, MS is bullish, and if we want any move toward the downside, we need MS to change in 30min to 1-hour charts first before we take any new swing short trades. We're still in the 6-month range; before getting excited and sending BTC to the moon, we must reclaim the $25,211 level. We currently have the Monthly $23,301 level acting as a current resistance and a Weekly $24,297.5 level, along with a 0.886 Fibonacci level right above us. We also have an SFP at the $25,211 level.
Currently, we are right above the VAH of the entire range.
For the downside, I would like BTC to get accepted below the VAH of the range, Claiming a daily naked point of control level at $22,612. I would like to see at least two 30 minutes candle closes before getting into any short trades. This move up was rapid, so once we get acceptance below VAH of the entire range, we can expect the price to have a quick fall to the $20,673- $20,957 level, as we have several new daily levels, which can act as a great support.
For Upside, I will expect the price to reclaim the monthly level before getting into any long trades. All my trades will be scalps with a tight stop loss.
Bitcoin 4hour : bitcoin going to fibo 61%= 26500bitcoin now reach fibo 50% (see left blue fibo comes from daily chart),but i belive (predict before) bitcoin will see fibo 61% 26500
if you have old sell , 100% put SL (or hedge buystop) on yrsterday high 24888 , break high mean new +up wave will start
if you have buy , be patient 3-4 day , dont close buy sooner than 26500
above green arrow (after clear pinbar comes on 1hour or 4 hour or daily ) we can buy + we can put buystop on high too but bery very low size SL=24000
PREDICTION = BITCOIN WILL SEE 3600 IN NEXT 3 MONTH
good luck , stand on very very low size , big size =loss soon or late
Bitcoin daily : near 20.600 after pinbar comes ,pick buy use very vetry low size and wait bitcoin go down , near 20.600 when you see buy pinbar in 60 or 240 or daily chart come , inter buy and hold it near 15 day , dont close it sooner than 36000
SL=pinbar low or 17400
predict = bitcoin will see 50.000 until year end so dont close your buys soon , so be carefull from sell (100% use low size and SL), 80% looking for buy in deep until 50.000
ALERT= if bitcoin break low 17400 can crash to 14000 ( 2nd buy place after pinbar comes)
good lock
Bitcoin daily = if low not break , it will see 37000 soon if you remember i was predict bitcoin 20.000-18000
if you pick buy in low , dont close it soon , in next 30-60 day bitcoin can see 50.000
if low break bitcoin can go to 13000( buy place after pinbar comes on high time frame) then hold it until 50.0000
ADVICE = dont pick sell , looking for buy (if low not break)
good luck , pick sell in 37000 posible but for inter sell wait pinbar comes on high time frames
ALERT= IF YOU DONT HAVE MIN 3 YEAR EXPERIENCE ON DEMO ACCOUNT , DONT TRADE IT , IT IS VERY HARD MARKET
Bitcoin 4 hour : as i predict 3 month ago , it reach 20.000 areain 20.000 we have powerful support comes from weekly chart
near 20.000 when PINBAR comes in 1hour,4hour,daily chart , dont fear pick buy and hold it 20-30 day to new high with SL in last low
personal i belive after bitcoin touch 20.000-18000 will start +up trend to 40.000
if you have sell , close it near 20.009 then wait pinbar for buy
if you have old buy , dont fear , dont pick new buy , bitcoin will back to EMA200 daily 40.000
good luck , 20.000 is best place for investor for buy and hold it 6-8 month , bitcoin can back to high 60.000 again in long term
One last dump in our slow recoveryso what I've been trying to do is to find pattern from the first ATH and its dump (Apr 2021) with last time ATH and its dump (Nov 2021)
if you look at the left rectangle , there was a big dump then consolidation then a spike up then more consolidation and the pump started
If this pattern works out ,the right rectangle had a spike and now its time for another lower low (23800) then we start pumping.
Also if you notice , the dump and consolidation of All Time High in Apr 2021 happend in May and July and the same pattern is occurring again after Nov 2021 on May and July but with lower volume due to all the things happening in world ( war, economy, food shortage)...
Bitcoin have buy now dont panic it will fly up soon to 40.000bitcoin reach red fibo 61% 28000 true? , it must go up now ,dont fear pick buy now ,put SL in day low , it will see 1hour EMA200 soon (green line)
above green arrow (after pinbar comes on higher timeframe 60-240-1440min) we must pick buy and hold it 30-40 day to high
if you have old buys , dont fear , dont close them soon , wait 30-40 day until near fibo 61% 40.000
good luck
Bitcoin :don't fear buy bitcoin now and hold to 55000 areabitcoin go down to red fibo 61% , now it can go up first to Green fibo 61% , then if can break, can fly up to fibo 161% 55000
100% put SL in today low and wait near 7-8 day, pick very low size
good luck 🎲 wish you win
ALERT= trade bitcoin need min 3 year practice on demo , it is very wild , if you don't have that experience, don't pick it in Real money 💰
Bitcoin 4 hour say : buystop on last high if bitcoin break 3 angel , can fly up to EMA200 daily , so don't fear to put low size buystop with SL= yesterday low, ok?
if you have buy , don't close your buy sooner than 44000( we believe bitcoin in way to 50.000 if big bad news not come)
good luck and don't use leverage on bitcoin , stand on 1-1 ,,, leverage = high size = bitcoin move too much =margin call, loss all ,,, instead leverage , increase your TP and target 🎯 and your wait time on + positions(don't close orders in profit soon )
ALERT= trade bitcoin need minimum 3 year practice on demo , if you are not bitcoin trader, don't pick this
good luck
fibo 161% show 50.000 as bitcoin target 🎯 buy low size bitcoin above green arrow (42000) with sl=40,000 and hold it 15 day until 50.000 (Don't close sooner be patient )
reach SL in 100 pos like this = 30 reach TP in 100 position like this=70
ADVICE AFTER 14 YEAR TRADE FUTURES, INDEX, GOLD = DONT TRADE BITCOIN, CRYPTO WITH LEVRAGE ,,,, HIGH LEVRAGE = HIGH SIZE =5-6 little profit then LOSS ALL
STAND ON LEVRAGE 1-1 MAX 1-2 ( on other instrument like gold, index reduce leverage to 1-10, instead high leverage, high size,,, increase your TP and wait time) in forex, cfd 90% loss in long-term for high levrage
Bitcoin daily : buystop on last high ; next target is 50.000Alert: if you are not bitcoin trader with minimum 3 year demo on it , dont trade it
technical say if high break , bitcoin will see SMA200 daily then fibo 161% so dont fear to put buystop on last high with SL in today low with trailstop=4000.00
ALERT= if bitcoin break daily chart low ,powerfull , can crash to 20.000 support ,,, let wait and see when 3angel will break
good luck , dont pick high size , and dont close it soon , if buystop open ,wait 4-5 day or more
bitcoin daily = buy pinbar and double bottom comes!!looking for low size buy in deep (in 1hour chart when pinbar comes or trendline break ,pick buy) in coming days , with stoploss in pinbar low ok?
alert= if pinbar low break ,bitcoin can crash to 20.000 area (put sellstop in low possible)
good luck , in 50.000$ bitcoin can see mini crash
note=for fair analyse i dont have any posation on bitcoin
bitcoin next target is 47000 then 55000 head and shoulder pattern i draw 10 day ago , do its job , now strongly advice above last low 36000 looking for buy in deep and dont pick sell until fibo 61% (our main target)
alert= if 36000 break (need bad news) bitcoin can crash wild so 100% put SL in last low or day low
if you have open sell , close it near 40.000 and pick buy
if you have buy , wait 7 day to fibo 61%
good luck
bitcoin can touch upper trendline but target is 20.000under trendline inter sell(sellimit) possible winrate=60% ,,,, SL= 44000
bitcoin main target still is 20.000 (weekly chart support)
if you have old big size buys , you can pick hedge under red arrow (size=0.5*total buy) to reduce pressure on account
if you want buy and hold long term , wait until 20.000 (you can set buylimit now) , dont hurryup for buy
on bitcoin put sellstop under pinbar is good idea please use low size and SL
we have bad news from USA
www.marketwatch.com
ALERT=bitcoin can see 20.000 support (high of 2018) , if you want buy ,buylimit above green arrows with sl=2000 trailstop=2000
ALERT 2= technical on weekly chart say bitcoin can crash to fibo 161%=5000$ this look joke but be careful (bitcoin love fibo 161% and crash after TRENDLINE break )
good luck
2 powerfull place for next low is 32.000 and 20.000technical say bitcoin must see 20.000 support
in 2 place we must put buylimit and wait near 30 day to new high
if you have old buys , hedge them near 48000 ,allow bitcoin go down and back to 48000 then frist close hedge sell , then on high close your old buys
if you have sell (not for hedge sell) you must wait until 32000 for close
good luck