Bitcoin- Genuine up break?Since reaching its recent all-time high in mid-December, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been trading within a 20% range, with strong support established around the 90K zone.
In mid-January, the price briefly dipped below this critical support level, but the move was quickly reversed, and BTC/USD stabilized around the 100K mark.
The "Trump coin mania," which began two days ago, has had little to no impact on Bitcoin traders. Despite the hype, there were no sell-offs here, and the market remained steady. Even though there was a minor dip to 100K yesterday, it was promptly reversed, allowing Bitcoin to reach a new, albeit marginal, all-time high.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains range-bound and is currently trading near the upper boundary of this range. If a genuine breakout occurs, the measured target for the next move could be in the 128-130K region.
For the bulls, there’s little reason to worry as long as Bitcoin stays above the crucial 90K support level.
Bitcoinanalysis
Bitcoin at Resistance: Expanding Triangle Hold=>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($104,700-$101,920) , near the upper lines (resistance role) of the Expanding Triangle Pattern , Monthly Resistance(1) , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to be moving in an Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 30 days . If the upper line is validly broken, this pattern will be failed.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin can move in an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) in the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin is currently completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . If Bitcoin touches $107,000 , the possibility of this corrective pattern being failed is very high.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $107,000, we can expect BTC to make a new All-time High(ATH).
Note: There is also the possibility of Bulltrap formation.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Pushes Higher: Is $104K the Next Stop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous post and even made the correction .
Bitcoin is breaking the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , and I expect this zone to be broken soon, and then Bitcoin is ready to attack the Next Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $96,320, we can expect more fall.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
From Bear Trap to Breakout: Bitcoin RoadmapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise again( with a high momentum )
yesterday after failing to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) ( Bear Trap formation).
Educational Tip: Its quick return after exiting the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) with high volume was one of the signs of a bear trap.
Regarding Elliott wave theory , it seems Bitcoin successfully completed a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) yesterday and is currently completing the next five impulsive waves . Likely, Bitcoin is still in correction waves .
I expect Bitcoin to start correcting from the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point and start to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000), we should expect a fall with high momentum (it is unlikely that another Bear Trap will be created).
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a high possibility that Bitcoin will break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000).
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round”
you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market!
at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins
so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day
2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies.
If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles:
3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn.
This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far.
The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze.
Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one.
Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves)
In this idea, we gonna talk about :
- Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025
- Expected pullbacks during the year
- Sell strategy for this cycle
The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors.
Short Term Expectations & Probabilities
Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes”
there is a chance for market pullback in early January
This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th.
Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21
look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market.
In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle.
The Role of Seasonality in Markets
Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making.
Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency.
January Pullbacks
In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead?
Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due.
In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks.
March Pullbacks
Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March:
- March 8, 2017
- March 14, 2021
Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations.
Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality.
While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons.
May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away”
Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well.
Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump
When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch!
This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results.
Why Does This Happen?
The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring.
After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations.
In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down.
Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October.
Even in Bullish Markets!
This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th.
Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period.
The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump
A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities.
H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes
When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle.
The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn:
- 2013: Top in November
- 2017: Top in December
- 2021: Top in November
If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction.
Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025
The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years
Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment
Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging.
If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore.
2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Descending Scallop Pattern!!!As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) again attacked the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
Bitcoin is trying to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) . What do you think? Can Bitcoin finally break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) or not!?
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be in the next five downward waves after completing the corrective pattern , and these five waves can break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin is forming a Descending Scallop Pattern to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , which can cause the break of this heavy zone .
Looking at the chart of USTD.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), we can see the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern that can cause USTD.D% to increase , which in turn causes Bitcoin and other tokens to decrease .
I expect Bitcoin to soon break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) given the above description, and Bitcoin will fall to the Targets I have specified on my chart.
My medium-term view of Bitcoin on the chart I shared with you on January 7, 2025. 👇
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $94,500, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️.
⚠️Note: There is a possibility that Bitcoin will drop sharply and make a long shadow.⚠️.
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin IdeaHi everyone,
I'd like to share my perspective on Bitcoin's BINANCE:BTCUSDT potential price action.
In the medium term, I anticipate a simple sinusoidal movement, characterized by a decline to the $86,000 - $85,000 range within the 4-hour timeframe. This projection aligns with my ultimate price target.
Furthermore, this anticipated movement is unfolding within three discernible bearish channels, encompassing both mini and macro scales.
I hope this insight proves valuable for your analysis and trading decisions.
Best of luck, and happy trading!
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack Heavy Support Zone!!!Today, January 10 , key U.S. employment data , including Average Hourly Earnings , Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate , were released, influencing global markets, including Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
Stronger-than-expected employment figures suggest a robust economy, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to maintain or increase interest rates. Higher interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ), making Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies less attractive as alternative investments , possibly exerting downward pressure on their prices.
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Bitcoin started to pump from the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , as I expected . ( Bitcoin allowed us to enter a long position two times .)
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and near the 50_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to complete wave C of Zigzag waves(ABC/5-3-5) . At best, wave C could rise to $99,000 (but unlikely).
I expect Bitcoin to go down based on today's US employment data and the fact that the U.S. DoJ received court approval to sell 69,370 BTCs . Bitcoin will attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) again soon, and this attack may be able to break this zone .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $99,000, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️.
⚠️Note: We should expect more dumps if Bitcoin touches $93,500 before reaching the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) again⚠️.
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
All you need for Bitcoin to see top, bottom or a crash.These charts show everything you will ever need to buy and sell Bitcoin.
5 day BTC chart.(right chart)
Orange vertical lines on chart show when the RSI touches the pink horizontal line after it touches the top red horizontal line. This indicates a bear market.
Yellow vertical lines on chart show when RSI rose above orange line after touching the blue line but failed to touch the red horizontal line before hitting the pink horizontal line. This indicates a crash is coming.
The green arrows on chart show whenever the blue EMA8 goes below the yellow MA55 after being above it.
This indicates either BTC has entered a bear market or a crash like setup similar to covid. If we get another green arrow you will know what to do as it will be a crash or bear market.
The green trendlines on chart show each bull run Bitcoin touches this trendline 3 times or more before it has a parabolic move. The anamoly being the covid crash. So far this bull run it is only twice that Bitcoin has touched the green trendline.
On the LMACD the green vertical lines show everytime the 5day LMACD crosses down (blue LMACD line going under orange LMACD line) when it is above the horizontal yellow line. This has happened 21 times with only 1 time (red vertical line) where price did not drop to the EMA21 (orange moving average line) on the chart.
BTC just did this cross on LMACD so it has a 95% chance of moving down to touch the orange EMA21.
Based off all this clear evidence it is easy to see that you sell Bitcoin when RSI hits red horizontal line. Confirmation of bear market is as per indicators mentioned above.
You buy when RSI touches blue horizontal line.
You won't sell the exact top or buy the exact bottom but very close to it. You would need a different chart to calculate the exact top.
This chart will stand the test of time if history keeps rhyming for Bitcoin.
Monthly BTC chart.(left chart)
On the monthly chart the orange vertical lines indicate whenever the Stoch RSI went above the green horizontal line. The yellow vertical line on the chart shows the covid crash as the Stoch RSI did not stay above the green horizontal line for very long.
The green arrow on the Stoch RSI shows when it fell straight through the red horizontal line after being above the green horizontal line. This indicated a bear market.
The pink arrows on the Stoch RSI show the crossover of the Stoch RSI (blue RSI line crosses under orange RSI line) after it fell below the green horizontal line and bounced off the blue or red horizontal lines. This indicated the top and a bear market.
After seeing this current information on the Stoch RSI (bounce off blue line) it looks like the upcoming crossover will be a pink arrow.
These arrows indicate time to exit the market as you can see.
Bitcoin is Ready to Pump Again==>>Short-term!!!As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell to the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
Bitcoin is moving in a Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) near the Support line .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the first 5 downward waves , and we can wait for upward corrective waves . Bitcoin has completed two corrective waves in the 15-minute time frame , and we can wait for the next corrective wave .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has formed a Falling Wedge Pattern in the 15-minute time frame , and if Bitcoin breaks the upper line of this pattern, we can confirm this pattern.
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $95,170 AFTER breaking the Upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the support line, we can wait for the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) to break.⚠️.
⚠️Note: In general, if you open a Long position, you can keep it up to the Resistance zone($96,680-$95,520) or Risk-Free your position.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC preparing for run to 150k technical tp on higher timeframeTechnical analysis indicating "measured move" buy setup on higher timeframes
I expect price to advance from current 88-93k buy zone (consolidation structure on 4 hr tf) back to new highs above 109k, which was previously noted as tp1 (with anticipated near term consolidation in low 90k range). It's possible we have one more retest of 88-93k levels after reaching 108-110k level on next buy wave, but as previously noted, it primarily remains a buy opportunity.
Once a move above 120k is achieved, price will be strongly in the hands of buyers (with diminishing supply) and head towards 150-155k level fairly steadily & easily to achieve technical "measured move" target.
There remains possibility that we get one final retracement from 150k but my own cycles analysis indicates that would be the final big discount opportunity IF it were to occur at all.
Price advancement above 100k is a SIGNAL that mass adoption is taking place globally and will lead to much higher highs. Any price dips below 100k remain discounts for institutional ownership
"BTC Alert: Sellers Dominate Until the Price Hits the Bottom!"BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently forming a repetitive pattern. 📈 The price will test the identified support at the bottom of the channel, which could drive the price down toward the 86K-88K level. 📉
If the price drops below 92K, we may see a more significant decline into the 84K range, possibly accompanied by a long shadow reaching the 80-82K area (highlighted in red). 🔻🔍
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position below or above the trigger zone (92K), the setup will be canceled.
BTC Weekly Advanced Detailed Analysis & Prediction with DataThe chart demonstrates a strong bullish order flow in the 4-hour timeframe, with price consistently respecting Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and showing a sharp reaction to imbalanced zones. This behavior reflects the active involvement of institutional or "smart money" participants, who are driving the market higher from key demand zones. The recent structural movements highlight a well-defined trend continuation, with the price eyeing significant liquidity levels as the next targets.
The levels of 99,850 and 102,787 stand out as critical liquidity zones for the week. These areas represent potential clusters of stop-loss orders and other liquidity pools that price often gravitates toward during trending markets. When The price approaches these levels, we may see a liquidity grab followed by either continued bullish movement or a short-term reversal. The bullish bias remains intact, reinforced by a solid rejection and reversal seen at the 92,279 level, where smart money activity was most evident. This region not only acted as a turning point but also established itself as a major structural support.
Given the Monday session dynamics, a minor retracement is expected as traders take profits or the market rebalances slightly. However, any pullback is likely to respect local Fair Value Gaps or untested order blocks within the 96,000–98,000 range. Such pullbacks would provide opportunities for bulls to re-enter the market, aligning with the broader trend. With clear higher highs and higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum unless a breakdown below 96,000 occurs, which would challenge this narrative.
When the price edges closer to the 99,850 liquidity zone, market participants should watch for signs of momentum continuation or exhaustion. Increasing volume alongside upward price action will confirm the strength of the trend, while divergence in volume could signal potential weakening. Similarly, the 102,787 level represents an upper target that may prompt profit-taking or consolidation before further directional clarity emerges.
The 92,279 level, where the smart money reversal occurred, continues to be a pivotal support zone. If the price sees a deeper retracement, this level is expected to act as a strong demand area due to its significance in shifting market sentiment. Traders should also monitor minor untested order blocks that price may respect intraday, providing opportunities for strategic entries or short-term trades.
The market is navigating a bullish environment, driven by institutional demand and liquidity-seeking behavior. The immediate focus lies on the liquidity zones at 99,850 and 102,787, with pullbacks offering opportunities to align with the prevailing trend. However, a sustained breakdown below 96,000 would warrant caution as it could signal a potential shift in the current bullish structure. This week's price action is poised to deliver significant insights into the strength and continuation of the ongoing momentum.
Bitcoin is Ready to Fall Below $90,000!!!Reasons!!!As I expected in the last few posts, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) seems to have started a major correction .
Please be with me.
First, let's take a look at the weekly chart analysis that I shared with you on November 12, 2024 , which almost gave you an All-Time High(ATH) in both time and price .
Let's examine the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour time frame in terms of Classic Technical Analysis . Bitcoin seems to be forming the right shoulder of the Head and Shoulders Pattern . So that in terms of the validity of this pattern , the following two points can be pointed out:
1- During the time when the right shoulder reached $104,000, it was 8 days and 4 hours that the right shoulder was not able to reach $104,000 during this period, and this shows the weakness of buyers or the strength of sellers along the path of the right shoulder.
2- Regular Divergence(RD-) between the right and left shoulders between the price and the volume indicator.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin, over the past 18 days , seems to be forming an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) corrective pattern, with the main wave C ending at $102,725 . ( I mentioned this in the update of yesterday's post ).
If we look at the chart of USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), as I said in the update of yesterday's post , we should have waited for the increase of USDT.D% (due to the sensitive position it was in). I expect USDT.D% to attack the upper line of the descending channel soon .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) and the neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern soon, and if it breaks, we should expect Bitcoin to drop to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Support line s and 100_SMA(Daily) and then Bitcoin can fill the CME Gap($80,670-$77,100) .
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Will BTC Dive to $88K ? Bitcoin Breakdown Alert & Bearish SetupBitcoin has broken down from a well formed rising channel, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The heavy rejection near the $100,000 psychological level followed by a drop to $96,000 indicates strong selling pressure. The price is now trading below a key support-turned-resistance at $97,200.
Key Levels
Resistance Zone: $97,200
Current Price: $96,498
First Support Target: $90,000 - $91,000
Final Support Target: $88,400
Technical Insights
1. Rising Channel Breakdown
The price broke below the lower trendline, suggesting a bearish reversal. Rising channels often precede significant downside moves.
2. Failed Support Retest Possibility
There is a likelihood of a retest of the $97,200 resistance zone before continuing the downward movement. This can provide a new shorting opportunity.
3. Bearish Momentum Indicators
The recent high-volume sell-off reflects weakening market sentiment. Additional rejection near resistance would increase the probability of testing lower levels.
4. Market Instability
The current instability points to further downside risks, particularly if global macroeconomic factors or crypto market sentiment do not improve.
Potential Trade Idea
Entry (Short): Near $97,000 $97,200 on a retest
Stop Loss: Above $98,000 to minimize risk
Target 1: $91,000
Target 2: $88,400
This trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the retest scenario plays out. Traders should monitor volume and any bullish reversals cautiously.
Bitcoin appears poised for further downside movement, with key levels to watch closely. Market participants should remain vigilant as volatility may increase in the coming days.
BTC → Consolidation Before The Breakout When Do We Go Up?BINANCE:BNBUSDT continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse
A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution).
But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful
Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K
Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K
Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is still moving in the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000) .
Compared to the previous analysis , I still have the opinion of correction on Bitcoin .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave Y with the Ending Expanding Diagonal .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Also, USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is in a very sensitive zone . Given that USDT.D% is near the lower line of the descending channel , the support lines , and the support zone , I expect USDT.D% to trend higher and close to the Resistance zone in the coming hours , and the increase in USDT.D% can cause Bitcoin to decrease .👇
I expect Bitcoin to fall AFTER breaking the lower line of the Ending Expanding Diagonal. The First Target can be around $98,000 .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000), we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,840-$100,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $97,870-$97,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,000
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000) and near the Resistance lines .
Regarding Elliott's wave theory , I still see the waves as corrective . It is likely that Bitcoin is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) so that it is currently completing a wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks ( between volume and price ).
In addition, USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is moving near the Support zone and the lower line of the descending channel , so we can expect an increase in this index in the coming hours, and the increase in USDT.D% can cause Bitcoin to decrease .
I expect Bitcoin to start falling from the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage , and Resistance lines again. The First Target can be the Support zone($96,680-$95,500) . If Bitcoin breaks the Support zone($96,680-$95,500), we can expect the CME Gap($94,830-$94,420) to be filled.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,000-$99,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,000
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000), we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Will Bitcoin Break the Heavy Support Zone!? Happy New Year 2025 ! May this year bring you health , happiness , and financial success 🎉.
Let's make it a year of growth and prosperity together !
First, let's take a look at the reasons for Bitcoin's decline these days :
1 - Profit-Taking : Long-term investors are selling after 2024's gains.
2 - Federal Reserve Policy : Slower rate cuts in 2025 have dampened optimism .
3 - Macroeconomic Concerns : Inflation risks and high-interest rates affect sentiment.
4 - Institutional Activity : Reduced MicroStrategy purchases and Bitcoin ETF outflows show declining institutional interest.
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Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) chart from the point of view of Technical Analysis :
Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and is trying to break this zone. Also, the most important Resistance for Bitcoin , in my opinion, right now is the 50_SMA(Daily) and in the next step $98,100 .
In addition, with the closing of the monthly candle , we can also see the Shooting Star Candlestick Reversal Pattern .
After breaking the Uptrend lines , I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the width of the Ascending Channel(broken) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage : $97,686-$96,380
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage : $91,446-$90,000
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($96,620-$95,500), we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis (1 hour time frame)According to my personal analysis I observes a clever bearish trend here.
Read for more details
Note: This post is for educational purpose only. I am not a certified trader or a financial advisor
1. Key Observations on the Chart
Resistance Zone:
The price is near $95,300, which is a resistance level (red zone). The chart shows that the price is struggling to go above this level. This often indicates that sellers are stronger than buyers at this point.
Support Zones:
Below the current price, there are green zones that represent support levels. These are areas where the price may stop falling if it moves downward because buyers may step in.
Indicators:
The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) (blue and yellow lines) are currently below the price, showing that the market is still bullish for now.
The CCI (Commodity Channel Index) at the bottom of the chart is coming down from a high level, which could mean that the buying pressure is reducing.
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2. What Does This Mean?
If the price fails to break above $95,300 (the red zone), it is likely to go down toward the green zones (support levels).
The red arrows drawn on the chart suggest the expectation of a bearish movement (price falling) toward the lower green zones if resistance holds.
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3. Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bearish Trend (Price Falls)
The price fails to break the resistance ($95,300).
It starts to move downward toward the first support zone around $94,400–$94,300.
If this level is broken, the price could fall further to the second support zone near $93,000.
Scenario 2: Bullish Trend (Price Rises)
If the price breaks above the resistance at $95,300 and stays above it, the market might continue upward toward $96,000 or higher.
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4. What to Watch For?
Price Behavior Around $95,300:
If the price forms long wicks (indicating rejection) or red candles, it’s likely to fall.
If the price closes strongly above this level, it might continue upward.
Support Zones:
Watch if the price holds or breaks the support levels below ($94,400 and $93,000).
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Conclusion
The chart currently suggests a bearish possibility because:
1. The price is facing resistance.
2. Momentum (CCI) is reducing.
3. The drawn arrows show an expected downward move.
However, you should wait for confirmation from the next price movements before making any decisions.
Bitcoin is Ready to Fall by Flag Pattern!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) in the past days, and this could be a sign for a further fall of Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and is breaking the Support lines .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , the Bearish Flag Pattern can cause Bitcoin to fall further.
I expect Bitcoin to drop towards $91,000 minimum after breaking the Support line and a possible pullback, and if the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) is broken, we should expect more dumps .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines, we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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#Bitcoin $BTCUSD [2 Marks 75-73k & 115k]CRYPTO:BTCUSD is anticipated to test the 75k : 73k zone where a huge demand is located whereoff it is anticipated to retest ATHs and probably break to 115k.
Closest demand is located at the breakout zone.
#Bitcoin #BTC #COIN #CRYPTOCURRENCY #CRYPTO #BITCOINPRICE #BTCANALYSIS #AHMEDMESBAH
Bitcoin Roadmap=>Short-term!!!As I expected, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) once again attacked the 50_SMA(Daily) but failed to defeat it .
Bitcoin is currently moving near Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) , Support zone($96,620-$95,520) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 4 . To confirm the end of the main wave 4 , we need to confirm the break of the 50_SMA(Daily) .
It also seems that Bitcoin in microwaves should experience an upward movement in the coming hours.
I expect Bitcoin to at least rise to the Targets I have specified in the chart.
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870).⚠️
⚠️Note: In general, the analysis is short-term, and holding a long position for targets above the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is a little risky.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.