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Bitcoinanalysis

Bitcoin Breaks Uptrend line– Is a Crash Coming?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise and reached the upper areas of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) and has managed to break the Uptrend line . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have finally completed the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines once again, this is likely to be a heavy drop . Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260), we expect more Pumps. Do you think Bitcoin can break the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) or not? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
4
Bitcoin’s Bullish Patterns_Ready for a Breakout!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) approached the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines but quickly started to rise. Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . And in this increase of Bitcoin in the last few hours, we can see the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern well in the 2-hour time frame . Educational tip : The Morning Star is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern that forms after a downtrend, consisting of three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a strong bullish candle. It signals a potential trend reversal and growing buying momentum. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , which can be a sign of Bitcoin's increase . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the entire corrective waves inside the descending channel were all in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) so that it seems that Bitcoin finally completed the main wave C in the previous hours. If Bitcoin breaks the upper line of the wedge pattern, we can confirm the end of the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to be able to touch the Targets I specified on the chart AFTER breaking the upper line of the Descending Channel . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $94,400, we expect more dumps. Do you think Bitcoin can finally break out of this Descending Channel? Pump or Dump? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
ROAD TO 125K !!!Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance. Do you believe that ? see it Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
Bitcoin Update: Warning of a Potential Crash!Bitcoin has been ranging around the 98K level for about 90 days. Fractals show strength, but I see another potential move incoming, though with a low probability. In this scenario, we can expect a quick shakeout in the market, where BTC price drops in a 17% shadow down to $80K, followed by a flash recovery to the starting point of this move, continuing toward new highs along with the fractal demonstrated on the chart, with the ultimate target of $150K, in my opinion. Overall, there is little concern about this scenario since it has a very low probability, but to be cautious, it’s better to manage our risks. The main scenario in my mind is still my previous analysis based on its fractal, and I remain bullish.
by farhadnmd
#BTCUSDT: The Turning Point is Near! Will the Market Crash or Re🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P has entered a critical zone! After a prolonged uptrend, the asset formed a "Rising Wedge" pattern and tested resistance twice (Top 2), indicating a potential trend exhaustion. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Market Overview for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P ✔️ The Volume Profile shows that the current range is below the Point of Control (POC), meaning the main liquidity zone (where the highest trading volume occurred) remains above the current price. ✔️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is currently trading within a consolidation zone after a notable short-driven drop. 🟢 The price has already broken below the wedge’s lower boundary, which is historically a bearish signal. However, the market is still holding above a key liquidity level (POC: 96,125.2). 🟢 If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues consolidating without reclaiming lost levels, altcoins will likely face selling pressure or stagnation. 🟢 If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P recovers above the critical horizontal volume level (POC), this could trigger a market-wide rebound and push altcoins higher. 🔥 Technical Outlook ✔️ A 10–15% correction is common for Bitcoin before it enters a consolidation phase. If no major negative news emerges and there is no aggressive short squeeze, the market may stabilize and attempt a recovery. ✔️ However, if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P starts trading significantly below key levels (e.g., drops under $90,000 or $85,000), this could signal a deeper correction phase. 💡 Key Market Factors at Play: ✔️ Current Price: $95,901 ✔️ Volume: 19.64K BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P – moderate but not extreme, indicating possible market indecision. ✔️ Key POC Level: 96,125.2 – the point of highest volume, which may determine the next direction. 🔥 General Market Sentiment ✔️ If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues its downtrend, most altcoins will follow. In this case, it makes sense to look for buy opportunities at support levels when bounce signals appear. ✔️ Pay attention to key support and resistance levels for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P . If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P finds strong support, this could trigger a broader altcoin recovery. 🔥 Technical Indicators: 📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index): If RSI for most assets approaches oversold territory, short-term bounces may occur. This could present good buying opportunities. 🔥 What’s Happening with BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P ? 📌 Breaking the Rising Wedge – a strong bearish signal for further downside. 📌 Support at 96,125.2 is holding for now, but selling pressure remains strong. 📌 Projected downside target: $68,000 - $48,000 if the breakdown is confirmed. 📌 Alternative scenario: A move back above $100,000, which could lead to renewed bullish momentum. 🔥 Action Plan for Buying: ✔️ Short-term: Look to buy during dips, focusing on support levels close to recent lows. ✔️ Mid-term : Use a dollar-cost averaging strategy if a larger recovery is expected, while managing risk as the market stabilizes. ✔️ Long-term : Wait for clear signs of recovery on charts and macroeconomic conditions before making bigger moves. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Outlook): Further Decline Expected If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P stays below $95,000 - $96,000, expect an accelerated downtrend: ✅ Target 1: $88,000 – first major support zone. ✅ Target 2: $72,000 – level where the market may seek balance. ✅ Target 3: $48,000 – critical zone, where BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P may form a bottom. ✔️ If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P breaks $95,000, short remains the main scenario. ✔️ Confirmation: Increasing volume on the sell-off. ✔️ Caution with longs – no clear reversal signals yet. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Alternative): Reversal Possible If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P holds above $96,000 - $97,000 and breaks $100,000, a bullish continuation is possible: ✅ Target 1: $104,000 – nearest resistance. ✅ Target 2: $110,000 – major liquidity zone. ✅ Target 3: $120,000+ – potential new highs. ✔️ Long positions should only be considered if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P confidently holds above $100,000. ✔️ Confirmation: Sharp increase in volume and a strong bounce off support. ⚡ Final Thoughts: ✔️ The drop from $107,673 to $96,150 over the past months suggests a mix between a local correction and the potential start of a deeper downtrend. The next move will largely depend on whether BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P can hold above key support levels and reclaim major liquidity zones (~$100,000–101,000), turning them from resistance back into support. ⚡ Critical Moment for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P ! ✔️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is sitting at its final major support zone – the coming days will determine its fate. ✔️ Sellers remain in control, but the market still has a chance to regain strength. ✔️ A break below $95,000 could accelerate the drop, while a move back above $100,000 could reignite the bull run. 🚀 A major move is coming for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P – stay ready! 🔥
by MoriartyTrading
Bitcoin's Inverse Cup and Handle – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) at least dropped to the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 15-minute time frame , we will see that Bitcoin is completing the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern ( Handle of this pattern is being completed). As I said in the previous post, $96,700 is important for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently moving below this level , which could mean that the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern can work for Bitcoin. Educational tip : The Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It resembles a cup shape followed by a small consolidation (handle) before a breakdown. A breakdown below the handle confirms the pattern, signaling a potential downward move. The price increase in the last two or three candlesticks (in a 1-hour time frame ) was NOT accompanied by a large volume , and this can strengthen the theory of completing the handle of the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) AFTER breaking the Neckline of the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern . Note: If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking the Resistance line and stabilizes above $96,700, we can hope to break the Descending Channel, And the CME Gap($97,845-$97,110) will also be filled. Do you think the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern will work? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
Bitcoin Stuck in a Range—Breakout or Breakdown Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous post but once again failed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) . In general, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for more than 10 days , making it difficult for Bitcoin traders . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) and created a Fake Break for the Resistance line . Meanwhile, it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a descending channel , and the falling wedge pattern has failed for me (in the previous post). Another point is that during the last 10 days , the most Bitcoin trades were around $96,700 , which number can play an important role in determining the direction of Bitcoin and can be an important support and resistance level for us . Regarding the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . An hour ago, Bitcoin managed to complete the microwave C from the main wave Y. It can be one of the signs of the completion of microwave C , which is a fake break . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) again AFTER breaking the $96,700 level , and this time, it has a higher chance of breaking this zone, and if this zone breaks, we should wait for Bitcoin to decline to the Support line . Note: If Bitcoin can touch $99,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise further and possibly break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200). Note: Generally, the trading volume is low on Saturdays and Sundays, and the chance that Bitcoin will go out of the range in the next two days is low, although it is not unlikely. When do you think Bitcoin will leave this range (upward or downward)? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
12
Bitcoin’s Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout—Next Stop: $100K?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall after US indices(Core CPI m/m_CPI m/m_CPI y/y) were announced but rose again. One of the reasons for the rise of Bitcoin in the previous minutes was Trump's speech , which talked about negotiations with Russia ." Trump: Putin and I agreed to have respective teams start negotiations immediately ."= The possibility of the end of wars , in general, can increase investment security. After several attempts to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) , Bitcoin failed to break this zone and created a Fake Break . Bitcoin is above the Support zone($96,150-$94,760) and near the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern . Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the Double Three Correction(WXY) as the main wave X was completed minutes ago . I expect Bitcoin to break the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern soon and rise to the Targets I specified on the chart. Note: If Bitcoin goes below $93,800, we have to wait for an attack on the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500), and there is a possibility of a heavy fall in this situation. Do you think the Falling Wedge Pattern will eventually increase Bitcoin? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
Bitcoin Analysis—Bulls vs Bears—Who Will Win This Battle!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and 100_SMA(Daily) but started to rise again. The increase in the last few hours has NOT been accompanied by high volume so far. Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper lines of the Falling Wege Pattern , the Monthly Pivot Point , and 50_SMA(Daily) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) near the upper lines of the Falling Wege Pattern . If Bitcoin goes above $99,200 , this wave count will expire . Educational tip : If you cut the falling wedge pattern exactly in half, you will notice that most of the candles are in the lower half, and whenever Bitcoin hits the upper lines, it starts to fall immediately, which means that the power of sellers is more than buyers. Although the wedge pattern is a bullish pattern, we cannot expect an increase until the upper line is validly broken. I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and Support zone($96,520-$95,720) in the coming hours, and if it breaks , it will also attack the lower line of the falling wedge pattern . Note: If Bitcoin breaks the upper lines of the falling wedge pattern in huge volumes, we should most likely wait for the break of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200). However, the main resistance of Bitcoin is the $107,000 range. Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the lower line of the falling wedge pattern and 100_SMA(Daily), we should wait for Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines. Which scenario do you think will happen to Bitcoin? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
17
Bitcoin’s Fake Breakouts—Bears Taking Control!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to defeat Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point for the umpteenth time and even created a Fake Break . It also seems that Bitcoin has been unable to break the Resistance lines . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing the corrective wave so that the structure of the main wave C is the Expanding Ending Diagonal . I expect Bitcoin to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and touch $95,500 this time, I told you about the importance of this price in the previous post . Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point , we should expect an increase to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($103,210-$102,454) . It doesn't seem reasonable for Bitcoin these days to provide a long-term or even mid-term analysis, and we need to stick to a series of resistance and support levels in order to determine the next targets. Do you agree with me? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28
Bitcoin Pullback or Trend Reversal? Key Levels to Watch!Bitcoin failed to Break the $107,000 Resistance as in the Previous post (the 7th attack failed ). Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , near the Support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point . This upward movement these few hours can be in the form of a pullback to 50_SMA(Daily) and Support lines (broken) . Of course, the worrisome point is the momentum of this upward movement . According to the theory of Elliott waves , this increase of these few hours can be in the form of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure so far is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to once again attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $102,926-$100,450 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,570-$91,249 Note: If Bitcoin goes below $97,000, we should have more confidence that this analysis is correct. Note: If the CME Gap($102,580-$100,320) fills in this uptrend, we should expect another attack on the $107,000 resistance. Do you think the correction of Bitcoin continues, or should we wait for Bitcoin re-pumps in the coming hours? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
31
Crucial point for Bitcoin on the 3 week chartThis 21 day chart shows the green price ranges drop happens every time the white RSI line touches the yellow rsi line. Minimum drop is around 25%. As you can see 3 times it signalled the top was in and bear market to start. However on the RSI we can see that it has not got that shaded green area similar to every other bull run. The yellow price range on chart signals current candle drop whilst the orange price range shows the potential minimum should this play out as described. Each price drop is measured from candle at touch on RSI to the very next candle only. From this we can deduct that a huge bounce from here is about to happen to restart the last leg up and form the shaded green area on rsi, or price will drop minimum 25% which is another 11% from current price. From there price moves up to continue bull run or we enter the bear market cycle.
BNC:BLX
by Pro_Trader_HTBB
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round” you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market! at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day 2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies. If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles: 3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn. This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far. The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze. Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one. Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves) In this idea, we gonna talk about : - Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025 - Expected pullbacks during the year - Sell strategy for this cycle The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors. Short Term Expectations & Probabilities Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes” there is a chance for market pullback in early January This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th. Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21 look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market. In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle. The Role of Seasonality in Markets Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making. Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency. January Pullbacks In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead? Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due. In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks. March Pullbacks Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March: - March 8, 2017 - March 14, 2021 Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations. Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality. While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons. May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away” Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well. Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch! This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results. Why Does This Happen? The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring. After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations. In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down. Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October. Even in Bullish Markets! This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th. Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period. The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities. H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle. The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn: - 2013: Top in November - 2017: Top in December - 2021: Top in November If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction. Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025 The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging. If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore. 2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by moonypto
6
Bitcoin Faces Resistance for the 7th Time—Breakout or Rejection?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is attacking the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) for the seventh time ; even in one of these attacks , it created a Bull Trap . During the last two to three days , Bitcoin has formed an Ascending Channel(Black) and another Ascending Channel(Purple) in the 15-minute time frame . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 , and we can expect corrective waves at least up to the upper line of the descending channel(broken) . I don't expect Bitcoin to succeed in breaking the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) in the seventh attack , although there is positive news around the crypto market , but I think we need a stronger stimulus to break this resistance zone (real news) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $108,218-$106,476 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $104,460-$103,911 Note: The negative point is that the upper line of the descending channel was not broken with a large volume, so we hope for the break of the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400). Note: If the lower line of the ascending channel(Black) is broken, we can expect further decline and filling of the CME Gap($101,525-$100,375). Note: If Bitcoin goes over $108223, we can expect more pumps and maybe a new ATH. Can Bitcoin break the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) and create a new All-Time High(ATH)!? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
12
Bitcoin’s Next Move: Long Setup or Deeper Correction Below $95K?As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued to fall to the Support zone($101,280-$99,500) , and it even seems that it has broken . Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($101,280-$99,500) , a set of support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 and is completing the main wave 4 . I expect Bitcoin to follow the Roadmap I outlined in my chart in the coming hours . Because Bitcoin is near the set of support parameters , I chose the label of this idea as LONG . Note: Like the previous Mondays, the purchase MicroStrategy company continues buying Bitcoin=>"MicroStrategy Buys 10,107 Bitcoin For $1.1 Billion." Note: If Bitcoin can touch $104,200, it will fill the CME Gap($105,500-$104,695) in the next step, and it is possible to form a new All-Time High(ATH). Note: If Bitcoin goes below $95,000, we should expect more corrections from Bitcoin. Has the main Correction of Bitcoin started!? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
28
Bitcoin’s Next Movement=>Symmetrical Triangle!!!On January 24, 2025 , the latest U.S. Flash Manufacturing and Services PMI data was released, revealing mixed signals about the economy . These indicators often influence market sentiment and could drive volatility in Bitcoin and others. Manufacturing PMI : Rose to 50.1 in January from 49.4 in December, signaling a slight improvement in manufacturing conditions. Services PMI : Declined to 52.8 from 56.8 , marking the slowest growth in nine months . Potential Impact on Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) : The slowdown in the services sector may lead to increased market uncertainty, potentially driving investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. However, the modest uptick in manufacturing could offset some of this uncertainty. Overall, Bitcoin might experience heightened volatility as markets react to these mixed economic signals. ------------------------------------------ Regarding the news of the last 24 hours that came in the crypto , the news has been positive as in the past days and weeks: President Trump signs an executive order for a national Bitcoin strategic reserve. SEC Eases Rules for Banks to Safely Hold Bitcoin and Crypto. In general, from Donald Trump's inauguration until Trump's speech , the crypto market has been very excited , and we even saw a bull trap in the Bitcoin chart. Generally, the news can affect the trend , but we must also pay attention to the technical zones on the chart . ------------------------------------------ Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) near the upper lines of the Symmetrical Triangle . Educational Tip : A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern where the price forms converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. A breakout usually follows, signaling the trend's direction. Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Bitcoin to once again decline to at least the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle . In general, if any of the lines of the symmetrical triangle are broken, Bitcoin can continue in the same direction . Note: In general, the Volume Trading on Saturday and Sunday is low, and if Bitcoin fails to break the upper lines of the symmetric triangle in the next few hours, we can expect Bitcoin to correct to the first target that I specified in the chart. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $108,520, we can expect Bitcoin to increase at least to Cumulative Long liquidation Leverage($111,053-$109,594). Can Bitcoin make a new All-Time High(ATH)!? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
40
Bitcoin Update: Bears Nightmare!Bitcoin decently moved as expected according to my last analysis and now is ranging between 90 - 107K for almost 2 months and now I expect the price to make another last correction to GETTEX:97K and grab the liquidity to make a new leg up to the new all-time high of $130K and start the main move to my ultimate target of $150K. The zone between 154 - 172K will be the final top for BTC in this cycle in my opinion and I will fully close all my positions and execute my profits whenever the price hits this zone. I hope you guys all be in profit and stay safe and always DYOR.
Long
by farhadnmd
5
Bitcoin at a Crossroads Will $104K Support Hold the Line ?Bitcoin/USDT market, where price action is confined within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern reflects a period of consolidation and market indecision, as buyers and sellers are evenly matched, leading to a narrowing price range. The eventual breakout from such a formation is often significant, as it indicates the market's chosen direction. A notable observation on the chart is the fakeout above the upper trendline. The price briefly moved past this resistance but failed to hold, retreating back into the triangle. This suggests weak bullish momentum or strong resistance, possibly trapping early buyers and increasing volatility as these positions are unwound. Bitcoin's movement has also impacted altcoins. The retreat within the triangle appears to have triggered another round of declines in altcoin prices. Given Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market, its stability and direction often dictate broader market trends. A decisive move by Bitcoin is critical for a potential recovery in altcoins. The $104,000 level serves as a crucial support area in the current scenario. A breakdown below this support could lead to intensified selling pressure, with the next potential targets around $102,000 and $100,000. On the other hand, if this level holds, it could act as a foundation for another attempt to break above the triangle's resistance. This would restore market confidence and likely initiate a rally. There are two potential outcomes. A bullish breakout above the triangle, supported by strong volume, could spark upward momentum and drive altcoin prices higher. The measured move target for such a breakout would typically equal the height of the triangle projected upward. Alternatively, if Bitcoin fails to hold $104,000, the bearish scenario would see a breakdown below the lower trendline, resulting in a deeper correction. Volume analysis is essential in this context. A genuine breakout is often accompanied by significant trading volume, while low-volume moves are more likely to reverse or fail. Traders should remain cautious, especially as the price approaches the apex of the triangle, where volatility tends to spike. Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by external factors such as market sentiment, news events, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Considering these elements alongside the chart structure is essential for a comprehensive analysis. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above or below the triangle before taking directional positions, with stop-losses in place to manage risk effectively.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by wolfchemist
Bitcoin is Ready to Pump againDonald Trump , the President of the United States , is set to deliver a speech today, January 23, 2025, at 4:00 PM GMT . The crypto community is eagerly watching to see if Trump will address cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, during his remarks. While any mention of crypto could have a significant impact on the market, a lack of commentary on the subject might leave crypto enthusiasts disappointed, especially those hoping for it to be a focal point in his agenda. -------------------------------------------------- As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has declined to near the Support zone($100,600-$99,530) . Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($103,400-$102,320) and Resistance lines . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $105,000 after breaking the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($103,400-$102,320) . Cumulative Long liquidation Leverage: $100,807-$98,472 Note: If Bitcoin goes below 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect more falls. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
31
Dear Bitcoin, is't about time...For over a month, Bitcoin's price action has been rather frustrating, as it has remained stuck in a range. The key support level is clearly at 90k, while resistance is around 108k. Recently, the price tested the resistance level again and has since entered another consolidation phase. On the positive side, this consolidation appears to be a buildup, potentially signaling an imminent breakout above 110k. As long as the price holds above 100k, we can reasonably expect this breakout to happen sooner rather than later. As I’ve mentioned before, the target level for this move is around 130k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
8
Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster Ride:Trump Effect or Market Speculation?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has experienced strong ups and downs in the last 48 hours . One of the main reasons could be the inauguration of Donald Trump as the President of the United States , in which people and the crypto community expected Trump to talk about the crypto market in his speech . In one of the first steps, Donald Trump appoints pro-Bitcoin Mark Uyeda to replace Gary Gensler as Chair of the SEC . But we have to see how Mark Uyeda will behave in reality . Bitcoin's rise and fall over the past 48 hours created a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin . Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($107,200-$105,500) . The possibility of forming an Ascending Channel for Bitcoin in the 15-minute time frame and the upper line can be a Resistance line . I expect Bitcoin to fal l to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($107,632-$105,869) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,807-$99,382 Note: If Bitcoin goes above $108,300, we should expect a new All-time High(ATH). What do you think about the next movements of Bitcoin? Can Bitcoin make a new All-time High(ATH) again? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
Bitcoin confirmed lower lowBINANCE:BTCUSDT If we are looking on a chart without noice we clearly dropped and formed lower low. But on Weekly timeframe RSI climbing up, so its a huge divergence. And the more higher timeframe the more power for reversal move. All market waiting 21 September and data of RATE. So usually all upcoming news and event included in price a weeks before! And sentiment on a market - everyone waiting 15 or 10K. Literally the same like everyone waited 100K in November Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. * Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ * For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Long
by Crypto4light