Bitcoin is Ready to Attack to Resistance zone==>>Short termBitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($55,720-$54,550) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed main wave 4 with the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, in terms of Classic Technical Analysi s, Bitcoin is moving in a Symmetrical Triangle on the 15-minute time frame. The symmetrical triangle is the Continuation Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance zone($55,720-$54,550) in the coming hours after breaking the Upper line of the Symmetrical triangle .
If you want to know more about Bitcoin, please look at the below post:
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the uptrend line, we can expect more dumps.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
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Bitcoinanalysis
Bitcoin Support & Resistance- 09-Sep-24Bitcoin Support & Resistance- 09-Sep-24
Further to my post last week,
The supports are working fine and 52650-52750 ( Previous Feb 24 high) and Fib Support 51750, further downside 44736 ( Fib support) to watch out.
Supports provided with clear mark up in the chart.
Bitcoin's Price Struggles: A Bearish Short-Term OutlookAfter dipping to 50k in early August, Bitcoin staged a recovery and climbed to 65k. However, the bullish momentum lacked follow-through, as buyers were unable to push past the resistance of a large flag pattern that has kept Bitcoin in a corrective phase for months.
In the short term, Bitcoin’s price pulled back down from 65k, initially forming what looked like a falling wedge—a potential bullish reversal pattern.
Unfortunately, this formation did not hold, and Bitcoin experienced another breakdown.
Currently, the short-term outlook is bearish, with resistance around the 55,500-56k zone.
Short-term traders may consider selling in this range, targeting a move back to 50k if a new leg downward materializes.
This bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price stabilizes above the 58k level.
Bitcoin Bull Run Continues?My expectations from the previous post have materialized, and the price of Bitcoin has dropped again into the price imbalance zone below 53,500. My expectations for Bitcoin's price next week are as follows: due to negative economic news, the stock market will likely continue to decline for several more days starting on Monday. Since Bitcoin's price correlates with key indices like the S&P and Dow Jones, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will continue to decline, potentially reaching as low as 48,900.
If we look at the Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio 7D indicator, which unfortunately is not yet available publicly on the TradingView platform, based on this data, Bitcoin is currently in an accumulation phase before a major growth season. Similar patterns occurred during the 2011 and 2021 market seasons.
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin started to rise again after Failing(Fake Break) to break the Support zone($58,000-$56,600) .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has formed a Falling Wedge Reversal Pattern , and if the upper line of this pattern breaks, we can expect a further increase in Bitcoin .
From the point of view of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin's correction waves seem to be continuing. The last corrective wave was the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , which was the end of wave C , $55,600 .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
A head and shoulders pattern could form , causing Bitcoin to decline again to nearly $50,000==Two scenarios are possible 👇
I expect Bitcoin to move according to the movements I have outlined in the chart .
Note: If Bitcoin loses the Support zone($58,000-$56,600), we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $51,000(at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Reversal Patterns==>UP/UP/UPBitcoin is moving near the Support zone($58,000-$56,600) .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern . It is also possible to form the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . This wave is part of Corrective Waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to go UP to at least the target of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
My previous post titled " Bitcoin Analysis==>> Pumping Again==>>Short term
" is still valid
Note: If Bitcoin loses the Support zone($58,000-$56,600), we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $55,000(at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>Bearish Deep Crab Harmonic PatternAs I expected yesterday , Bitcoin went towards filling the CME Gap($61,855-$60,485) , although the structure of the trend was slightly different .
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistane zone($62,920-$61,460) , Resistance line , Daily Resistance(2) and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Also, the 🦀 Bearish Deep Crab Harmonic Pattern 🦀 can be formed near the Resistance line and the Resistance zone .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing corrective waves after completing five bearish waves .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $59,400 after breaking the Support line , and if this level breaks, we should expect an attack on the Support zone($63,630-$63,200) .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($62,920-$61,460) again, we should wait for Bitcoin to attack $65,000-$66,000.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Filling CME Gap==>>Short termBitcoin was accompanied by increases and decreases ( high momentum ) in the past days.
Currently, Bitcoin has reacted well to the Support zone($63,630-$63,200) .
I expect Bitcoin to rise from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and fill the upper CME Gap($61,445-$60,485) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Attack to Resistance zoneBitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($63,630-$63,200) , Support lines and 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the correction structure of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
One sign of Bitcoin's increase is the Hammer Candlestick Pattern with a long shadow, which adds to its validity.
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Bitcoin to attack again the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) .
Note: Bitcoin can attack the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) from around $62,600.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> PumpingBitcoin began to pump after Jerome Powell's speech and the possibility of interest rate cuts .
⚠️First of all, I must say that we must always keep up with the news and new events in the market, and all the analyses will never be correct; otherwise, there is no need for capital management, so we should always follow capital⚠️
Bitcoin seems to have managed to break the Resistance zone ($58,500-$57,000) , 200_SMA(Daily) , and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , the Bitcoin pump has invalidated the Rising Wedge pattern . The Rising Wedge pattern is a Reversal Pattern; if it Fails , it will become a Continuation Pattern .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 4 , and the structure of the main wave 4 can be a Contracting Triangle .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $65,000 after breaking the upper line of the Contracting Triangle .
Note: Wave 4's structure is likely to change; overall, I expect the maximum correction or end of wave 4 to be at the Support zone.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Market overviewBitcoin (BTC): $63,693.28 (-0.34%)
Bitcoin Dominance: 57.42%
Fear and Greed Index: 55 (neutral)
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, as expected, fully met our expectations and implemented a priority scenario – an upward exit from the balance.
We entered the first sell zone of $64,000-$65,200 (mirrored volume zone), from which we received a reaction.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
A local correction can be expected in the near future. There are no strong fixes on the part of the buyer, so this week it is worth paying attention to longs.
The first local resistance is located at ~ $63,000, but it shouldn’t be considered as a strong buying zone. A really strong buying zone that appeared along the way is below $61,500-$60,600. If there is a reaction from there, it’s worth joining the upward movement.
Buy zones: $61,500-$60,600 (accumulated volumes), $59,550-$59,000 (accumulated volumes), $56,100 level, $52,000-$50,000 (volume anomalies), $48,000 level.
Sell zones and goals for the near future: $67,000-$68,300 (mirrored volume zone), $70,000 (round number, seller's market aggression).
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• August 27, Tuesday, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of German GDP for the 2nd quarter of 2024; 17:00 (GMT+3) — publication of the CB consumer confidence index of the USA (Aug).
• August 29, Thursday, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the index German Consumer Prices (CPI) (Aug); 12:30 (UTC) — publication of US GDP for the 2nd quarter of 2024; publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits.
•August 30, Friday, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index (CPI) in the Eurozone (Aug); 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic price index of US personal consumption expenditures (July).
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
BTC remains bearish next targets 57.7k and 56kIn this video, I provide an update on my previous trading analysis.
I'll discuss the current targets for the bearish scenario and highlight the key levels to watch. Additionally, I present a bullish counter-idea and explain where the invalidation of the bearish thesis might occur. This way, you'll be well-prepared no matter which direction the market takes. Stay tuned to catch all the important details!
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin failed to break the Resistance zone ($58,500-$57,000) for the fifth time . It seems that important news is needed to break the resistance zone.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave C with the Ending Diagonal Pattern .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Looking at the USDT.D% chart , we find that USDT.D% is in a symmetrical triangle . The main wave 4 can be completed in this triangle. I expect USDT.D% to pump after breaking the upper line of the symmetrical triangle, which will cause a correction in the Cryptocurrency market .👇
Another important chart that can help us analyze Bitcoin is the BTC.D% chart . BTC.D% is moving near the Heavy Resistance zone(60%-57.2%) and the Resistance line , and according to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that it has completed the main wave 5 in the two-day time frame with the help of Ending Diagonal . So, we should expect a correction of BTC.D% , which means that if the cryptocurrency marketcap decreases, Bitcoin can fall more .👇
I expect Bitcoin to at least fill the CME Gap($55,880-$56,775) after breaking the lower line of the Ending Diagonal .
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $63,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to pump to $65,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Bearish Flag PatternBitcoin pulled back to the broken Support zone($60,520-$60,120) , as I expected ( in yesterday's post ).
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to have formed a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to fall again after breaking the Ascending Channel's lower line and the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) .
Bad News: Since yesterday, 785 million dollars of Bitcoin and 75 million dollars of Bitcoin have been moved by the Mt.Gox exchange, which is a significant volume.
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $60,700, the Scenario will change.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin, is the bull run continuing soon?I expect the Bitcoin price to consolidate in the 53,600 - 49,000 zone, after the price is fixed in the zone, I expect to see a price increase and a high probability of breaking the maximum.
If you look at the Online LTH Realized Profit 7D metric, you can see a similar seasonality of the market that was in 2021, in addition to the online metric, I conducted a deeper study and found many arguments that confirm my expectations, there is a low probability that the price will drop below 48,900, I do not expect this level to break through.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>FallingBitcoin was rejected from the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) , 50_SMA(Daily) , Upper line of the Ascending channel , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to Go down to at least the lower line of the ascending channel , and maybe Bitcoin will break the support zones .
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $63,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to pump to $65,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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