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Bitcoinanalysis

Bitcoin – more pump, but crash will be anyway!Hello, everyone! Last time I told you that we can anticipate another one leg up before the dump, I have even placed short limit order at $17080 . Today market gave me the lesson that it’s alive and we shouldn’t place the limit orders. When we place it we trade our convctions and desires instead of market. This is the violation of rule which Bill Williams gave us. To be honest I forgot that I placed this order before the weekend. Market was not volatile and I was scared that the desired move is going to happen during sleep. The current pump was stronger than I supposed and it has changed the local wave’s structure, but overall forecast is the same. Let’s take a look at the 2h time frame of the WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT chart . I swiched to 2h from 1h because Bitcoin has printed more than 100-140 bars, which is needed for trading chaos approach. Wave 3 is obviously happening now becuase of the highest awesome oscillator value. The price hit exactly the extended wave 3 target of 2.61 Fibonacci extension. It means that market is ready for the corrective wave 4. I am going to fix the mistake I did and close position is the zero profit and open scalp long after that. When it will happen we have to wait for the last wave 5 to execute short trade. The target for the entry point shifted to $17450 approximately, but watch out the market and trade it, not the convictions. I will tell you my actions under this article. Best regards, Ivan ________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you like my trade ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality analytics!
by Skyrexio
17
#Bitcoin Spins, BTC Traders Watching $17.5kPast Performance of Bitcoin Bitcoin prices continue to spin, per the formation in the daily chart. Even though market participants are hopeful, the path of least resistance remains southwards unless there are encouraging gains. As it is, buyers may edge above $17.5k with expanding volumes for trend definition. If not, sellers remain in control, weighing sellers in favor of buyers. #Bitcoin Technical Analysis The contraction of trading volumes and volatility is impacting price patterns. The daily chart has a squeeze forming, signaling flat-lining momentum. It is despite the higher highs relative to the lower BB following gains of January 6. As it is, buyers may take charge. However, this is only after there is confirmation. Conservative traders can wait for gains above $17.5k, confirming buyers of January 6 and December 20. If the breakout is with rising volumes, BTC may rally to $18.5k or better in the coming days. What to Expect from #BTC? Traders are confident of what lies ahead, hopeful the bear run is over. Nonetheless, this will mean nothing unless there are gains above immediate liquidation lines, confirming the spins of the past three days as accumulation. In the short term, the $17.5k and $18.5k levels are critical for BTC price action. Resistance level to watch out for: $17.5k Support level to watch out for: $16k Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Long
by Bitcoin_Analyzer
1
Bitcoin- Mini bull run in the first semester of 2023?The long-term trend for Bitcoin, in fact, for all the crypto market, is bearish, and there's no question about this, and, to be honest, I'm almost sure we will have new lows in the future( as sure you can be when it comes to markets). However, at this moment, I think we will have a rebound for a few months and, as there's no straight up in a bull trend, the same is no straight down in a bear one. In this post, I will explain my reasons for thinking this, both technically and using common sense, and share my current trade and risk management. Technically: At the beginning of November, Bitcoin has broken under important 18k support and reached 15500. After a retest of the broken support, BtcUsd fell again, but, instead of making a new low, made a higher low and started to consolidate again and even made a small double bottom in the past month or so. Now the neckline of this double bottom is broken (17k) and the target for this is towards 18k resistance. In the eventuality of a rise to 18k, 16300 is confirmed as a higher low and there is a high chance of a break back above 18k which would confirm a false break and a bear trap. This whole outcome could lead to further gains and my first target is 21k. Common sense: First of all, after the 18k break back in November, the drop lacked continuation, instead, we have consolidation and even a lot of bad news came from the crypto market Bitcoin stud still. Second... This "invitation" to sell on a stable market because all will drop is something I don't buy. Selling at 16-17k and rebuying it at 10k would be too simple. My Trade: I know there are a lot of "ifs" in my analysis, but if you traded long enough you know that, in fact, you should work with "ifs" and take a trade step by step. Only idiots have certainties(and know that Bitcoin will go to 1mil or 0, depending on the bias), intelligent people have doubts, I'm not an intelligent man, so I have stop loss...:) So.. here is my personal trade at this moment: Bought at 16700 in anticipation of a break above 17k (so far I'm correct) Stop loss is around 16k, but for the sake of round numbers, let's say 15700 Take profit, at this moment, is at 21k Considering a buy trade of 1Btc, the potential loss is 1000usd and the potential profit si 4k, this would mean 1:4 R: R which for me, as a speculator, is fabulous. As I said, a lot could happen, and if the price is breaking 18k and going towards 20k with buying power I even can aim for 25k and remove TP from 21k. Nevertheless, my potential loss for this trade is already counted for and now is the market's turn. Have a nice trading week! Mihai Iacob
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
21
Bitcoin - The newest Local UpdateHello Traders and Investors. I hope you are doing well. At this point, $17,200 to $17,600 is a strong resistance zone. The price has been accumulating for a very long time, volatility has dropped to historic lows, it means that a new strong price movement is coming soon. In which direction it will happen, it is difficult to say now. Anyway, the last fast fall of the price to the level of $12k would be the ideal culmination of this accumulation, after which we could already relax and enjoy the growth of the price to $32k. But also very bearish market sentiment and waiting for the $12k crowd suggests that it could be a trap. Locally, I see an area where there are many preconditions for opening a short trade. These include: - Sell Streak (my own crypto-indicator). Unfortunately, by Trading View rules I can't share my paid indicator for free, my ideas are blocked for that, I can only do it on twit$er (yeah, that's really stupid, I don't get it), so just trust me, it is there! - Imbalance Zone. - Extreme level. - 0.5 - 0.68 Fibonacci I will open a trade in this area! All my 6 years of trading experience, knowledge, developments, and indicators I share them here in ideas for free. In return I will ask you just follow me, like this post and leave a nice comment, it will allow me to move faster and make more useful content! 💚💚💚
Short
by Yaroslav_Krasko
9
Bitcoin - Short Term ReviewToday you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ). Bitcoin price has been heading higher but it may meet resistance very soon as shown in the chart. Volume is low and RSI is headed towards resistance. I have been calling drops on BTC since November and December of 2021. Be careful. If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below. Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #millionaireeconomics
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by MillionaireEconomics
1
Bitcoin – my insane short setup!Hello, everyone! Last time I considered 1h time frame and told you that anticipate leg up in wave 5 to the price range between $17070 and $17245 . Yesterday I opened long at the very bottom $16730 and closed at $17000 . It was the scalp trade, thats why I have not revealed it here, but you could use my analysis to execute it. Now it does not matter because I am going to show you the sniper short entry on Bitcoin. Let’s go! We are using 15 min time frame of the WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT chart because we want to see the local picture. On the 1h BTC is printing wave 5 and now we have the purpose to catch the very top of the wave 5 inside the wave 5 of higher degree. Using our favorite awesome oscillator we found the the wave 3 top. It coincides with maximum AO value. Now the market is in boring wave 4 which has the most frequent target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. If you are intraday trader you can use this information to open scalp long. My purpose it to find the wave 5 top. First of all let’s take a look at the wave 3. It has almost reached the 2.62 Fibonacci extension. It means that it’s extended, that’s why wave 5 is going to be ordinary. Therefore wave 5 has two targets: $16983 if it’s trimmed, $17056 if it’s normal. How to define the trimmed wave 5 before it happened? To be honest I don’t know, it’s tricky task. I can only consider the underlying structure on 5 min time frame. Which trading plan do I have? I am going to place limit order at $17056 and if I will see the weakness next to the $16983 I change the entry level. I want to remind you that the target for this short at the $12-14k. Best regards, Ivan ________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you like my trade ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality analytics!
Short
by Skyrexio
19
Bitcoin TA-Bottom/Next Bull 2023 to 2027 - Final Thoughts Hello everyone, not a financial advice though, This chart analysis is the continuation of the below Bitcoin and DXY Analysis: After Detailed Analysis/Examination in all aspects and making different chart Analysis like Elliott Wave Theory/DXY/Volume/Indicators/Oscillators/Patterns I came to the conclusion with the current Bitcoin targets as somewhat realistic in my mind. In past When the macro trend of DXY is over and DXY is Bottomed - S&P500 is making Double Top and Two Lower Lows. So, Bitcoin is a new class of asset there is no previous macro trend of Bitcoin, since Bitcoin is looking Bearish in Yearly Candles wise, so, I feel Bitcoin may make two major Lower Highs and Two major Lower Lows My Targets: by Dec-2025 - In and around - 55600+. (I took according to 4 year cycle of Bitcoin) by Mar-2027 - In and around - 11800. (I considered 1 Year Bear cycle of Bitcoin) currently Jan2023 am thinking DXY is in topping process with sideways consolidation (whenever DXY consolidates and creating Bearish Divergence in RSI than Bitcoin is in Accumulation/Recovery phase). This is not yet confirmed but comparing to past history, something similar now. Like, share and comment is you have any questions. Thank you, Bitcoin Yearly Analysis:
TVC:DXYLong
by nmchary
2
BTC Daily TA Neutral BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 53% BTC, 47% Cash. * The December US Employment Situation was released this morning , the Unemployment Rate is back down to 3.5% from 3.7% in November, while 223k Nonfarm Jobs were added (compared to 263k in November) and the Labor Force Participation Rate ticked up to 62.3% from 62.1% in November. These numbers hardly reflect an economy affected by higher central bank interest rates and will likely spur conversation regarding whether or not to go back to a 75bps rate hike (as opposed to 50bps) come February 1st. The Fed Minutes released yesterday reaffirmed that the Fed is committed to bringing down inflation, they don't see rates cuts in 2023, and that Russia and China both are still major factors of supply chain disruptions which will continue to reverberate through global markets until some resolution is found. In the report, notable changes are significant rises to consumer credit and decreases to commercial real estate construction and investing. December Global Manufacturing PMI released on 01/03 showed an accelerated decrease to 48.6 from 48.8 in November, influenced primarily by lower output from USA, China, Japan and Europe, and is now at a 30-month low. Among the countries which saw an expansion of output production, Russia and India were in the top 5 (BRICS). The latest GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate (01/05) is 3.8% , down from 3.9% on 01/03. Cryptos, US Equities, US Equity Futures, 1-M and 2-M US Treasurys, Energy, Metals, Agriculture (Mixed), EURUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD, CNYUSD, NI225 and N100 are up. DXY, US Treasurys, VIX and HSI are down. Key Upcoming Dates: Next GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 01/10; US December CPI at 830am EST 01/12; UofM Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am 01/13. * Price is currently trending up at ~$16800 as it continues to test the 50MA for the tenth consecutive session. Volume remains Moderate (moderate) and is on track to favor buyers in five out of the past six sessions; Price continues to trade within the second largest supply/demand zone. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $17600, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI continues to trend sideways at 50 for the third consecutive session as it aims to retest the upper trendline of the descending channel from January 2021 at 57 as resistance. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 97 as it approaches max top. MACD remains bullish for a fifth consecutive session and is currently trending up at -63; the next resistance is at 312 while the next support (minor) is at -232. ADX continues to trend down at 16 and is beginning to form a soft trough as Price continues to trade in range with a short term uptrend, this is bearish at the moment. If Price is able to break above the 50MA at $16800 and establish short-term support there, the next resistance is the local-high at ~$18600 as resistance before potentially testing $19417 resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the uptrend line from March 2017 at $15800 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $16300.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by dailytaguy
BTC Dominance Structure Today I leave you with a rather interesting comparative analysis, introducing the much-studied and used concept of market capitalization dominance, in our case of Bitcon versus the rest of the crypto market. The graph structured by TView gives us in this case a percentage of market dominance, that of Bitcoin against altcoins, ideal for establishing migrations from bitcoin to altcoins according to their profitability at certain times or vice versa. In general, it is well known that altcoins take a little longer than bitcoin to raise their prices, but when this happens they skyrocket above their profitability, in the case of falls it is similar but inversely if bitcoin falls the alts tend to have much larger falls. The comparison that we bring today with the graph in red shows us the concept of numerical dominance, without percentages, in this case the amount in the top 80 Cryptos that are in annual profitability above Bitcoin. A very interesting concept that we will develop further in further analysis. ------------------------------------------- Hoy os dejo un análisis comparativo bastante interesante, introduciendo el tan estudiado y usado concepto de dominancia de capitalización de mercado, en nuestro caso de Bitcon frente al resto del criptomercado. El gráfico estructurado por TView nos da en este caso un porcentaje de dominancia de mercado, el de Bitcoin frente a las altcoins, ideal para establecer migraciones de bitcoin a altcoins según su rentabilidad en ciertos momentos o viceversa. Por lo general es bien sabido que las altcoins tardan algo mas que bitcoin en levantar sus precios, pero cuando esto se da se disparan por encima de su rentabilidad, en el caso de las caídas es similar pero a la inversa si bitcoin cae las alts tienden a tener caidas mucho mayores. La comparación que traemos hoy con el gráfico en rojo nos muestra el concepto de dominancia numérica, sin porcentajes, en este caso la cantidad en el top 80 Cryptos que se encuentran en rentabilidad anual por encima de Bitcoin. Un concepto muy interesante que desarrollaremos más a fondo en nuevos análisis.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by AVNGL01
#Bitcoin Bulls Confident, Will buyers soak In Selling Pressure?Past Performance of Bitcoin Bitcoin prices are holding on pretty solidly in the daily chart. Presently, the coin is up eight percent from November lows and rejecting bear pressure. Even though the upside momentum fell in the second half of this week, there are signals of strength. For a clear definition, there must be gains above $17k. At the back of this must be rising trading volumes to indicate participation from traders. #Bitcoin Technical Analysis Broadly, from a top-down preview, BTC is within a bear flag and trending inside a rising wedge with decreasing volumes. It is considering the spike in trading activity in early November. Nonetheless, since BTC is up eight percent from November lows and holding on solidly inside the bull bar of December 20, there is hope for buyers. Aggressive traders can wait for a close above $17k before accumulating and riding the emerging trend traced to late December. Their target would be $17.5k, and on the upper end, $18.5k. On the flip side, price contractions below $16.5k may see BTC drop to $15.5k in the resumption of the selling pressure of early November. In that case, BTC could drop to as low as $12k. What to Expect from #BTC? Bitcoin is firm, as per the formation in the daily chart. However, before initiating positions, traders must wait for prices to clear immediate liquidation or support levels. After the losses of 2022, traders can best take a wait-and-see approach. Resistance level to watch out for: $17k Support level to watch out for: $16.5k Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Short
by Bitcoin_Analyzer
Will Bitcoin rise back above 20k in the start of 2023?In the past months, Bitcoin trading was boring, to say the least with the ranges becoming smaller and smaller. However, the recent low is above the previous one which could be an indication of some gains in store for the main crypto. More, since mid-December BtcUsd formed a double bottom with confirmation above 17k. A break above this pattern could lead to a rise at 18k resistance and in the longer term, would confirm 16k as a higher low and Bitcoin could rise even to 21k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
25