Bitcoin Analysis==>> Attack to Resistance zoneBitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($63,630-$63,200) , Support lines and 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the correction structure of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
One sign of Bitcoin's increase is the Hammer Candlestick Pattern with a long shadow, which adds to its validity.
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Bitcoin to attack again the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) .
Note: Bitcoin can attack the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) from around $62,600.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoinanalysis
Bitcoin Analysis==>> PumpingBitcoin began to pump after Jerome Powell's speech and the possibility of interest rate cuts .
⚠️First of all, I must say that we must always keep up with the news and new events in the market, and all the analyses will never be correct; otherwise, there is no need for capital management, so we should always follow capital⚠️
Bitcoin seems to have managed to break the Resistance zone ($58,500-$57,000) , 200_SMA(Daily) , and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , the Bitcoin pump has invalidated the Rising Wedge pattern . The Rising Wedge pattern is a Reversal Pattern; if it Fails , it will become a Continuation Pattern .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 4 , and the structure of the main wave 4 can be a Contracting Triangle .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $65,000 after breaking the upper line of the Contracting Triangle .
Note: Wave 4's structure is likely to change; overall, I expect the maximum correction or end of wave 4 to be at the Support zone.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Market overviewBitcoin (BTC): $63,693.28 (-0.34%)
Bitcoin Dominance: 57.42%
Fear and Greed Index: 55 (neutral)
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, as expected, fully met our expectations and implemented a priority scenario – an upward exit from the balance.
We entered the first sell zone of $64,000-$65,200 (mirrored volume zone), from which we received a reaction.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
A local correction can be expected in the near future. There are no strong fixes on the part of the buyer, so this week it is worth paying attention to longs.
The first local resistance is located at ~ $63,000, but it shouldn’t be considered as a strong buying zone. A really strong buying zone that appeared along the way is below $61,500-$60,600. If there is a reaction from there, it’s worth joining the upward movement.
Buy zones: $61,500-$60,600 (accumulated volumes), $59,550-$59,000 (accumulated volumes), $56,100 level, $52,000-$50,000 (volume anomalies), $48,000 level.
Sell zones and goals for the near future: $67,000-$68,300 (mirrored volume zone), $70,000 (round number, seller's market aggression).
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• August 27, Tuesday, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of German GDP for the 2nd quarter of 2024; 17:00 (GMT+3) — publication of the CB consumer confidence index of the USA (Aug).
• August 29, Thursday, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the index German Consumer Prices (CPI) (Aug); 12:30 (UTC) — publication of US GDP for the 2nd quarter of 2024; publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits.
•August 30, Friday, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index (CPI) in the Eurozone (Aug); 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic price index of US personal consumption expenditures (July).
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
BTC remains bearish next targets 57.7k and 56kIn this video, I provide an update on my previous trading analysis.
I'll discuss the current targets for the bearish scenario and highlight the key levels to watch. Additionally, I present a bullish counter-idea and explain where the invalidation of the bearish thesis might occur. This way, you'll be well-prepared no matter which direction the market takes. Stay tuned to catch all the important details!
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin failed to break the Resistance zone ($58,500-$57,000) for the fifth time . It seems that important news is needed to break the resistance zone.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave C with the Ending Diagonal Pattern .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Looking at the USDT.D% chart , we find that USDT.D% is in a symmetrical triangle . The main wave 4 can be completed in this triangle. I expect USDT.D% to pump after breaking the upper line of the symmetrical triangle, which will cause a correction in the Cryptocurrency market .👇
Another important chart that can help us analyze Bitcoin is the BTC.D% chart . BTC.D% is moving near the Heavy Resistance zone(60%-57.2%) and the Resistance line , and according to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that it has completed the main wave 5 in the two-day time frame with the help of Ending Diagonal . So, we should expect a correction of BTC.D% , which means that if the cryptocurrency marketcap decreases, Bitcoin can fall more .👇
I expect Bitcoin to at least fill the CME Gap($55,880-$56,775) after breaking the lower line of the Ending Diagonal .
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $63,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to pump to $65,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Bearish Flag PatternBitcoin pulled back to the broken Support zone($60,520-$60,120) , as I expected ( in yesterday's post ).
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to have formed a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to fall again after breaking the Ascending Channel's lower line and the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) .
Bad News: Since yesterday, 785 million dollars of Bitcoin and 75 million dollars of Bitcoin have been moved by the Mt.Gox exchange, which is a significant volume.
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $60,700, the Scenario will change.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin, is the bull run continuing soon?I expect the Bitcoin price to consolidate in the 53,600 - 49,000 zone, after the price is fixed in the zone, I expect to see a price increase and a high probability of breaking the maximum.
If you look at the Online LTH Realized Profit 7D metric, you can see a similar seasonality of the market that was in 2021, in addition to the online metric, I conducted a deeper study and found many arguments that confirm my expectations, there is a low probability that the price will drop below 48,900, I do not expect this level to break through.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>FallingBitcoin was rejected from the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) , 50_SMA(Daily) , Upper line of the Ascending channel , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to Go down to at least the lower line of the ascending channel , and maybe Bitcoin will break the support zones .
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $63,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to pump to $65,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Attack to Downtrend line==>>Short-termBitcoin is moving in the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) near the Downtrend line .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5-wave downtrend in the 15-minute time frame .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise again to at least $59,200 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $57,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to fall to $55,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Breaking Downtrend lineBitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the First Target after the Downtrend line breaks .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $57,000 , we should wait for Bitcoin to fall to $55,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Keep Calm And Trade BitcoinIt would be relevant and popular to type a scenario called "if" with forecasts to buy, sell and hold in one article. However, I tend to be as objective and useful as possible, because I believe that if we hold and speculate on our popularity, this can continue until the last market maker is left without his commission and lead to a dead line of existentialism. Especially since, while some if buy, others if sell and else if hedge. In general, I do not see the point in two or even three way forecasts for all occasions, so that you can always tell your subscribers: "Look in my feed history! — I told you..." (all the ways). I am convinced that in order to learn, you need to practice confident steps, then you will get irreplaceable experience and the opportunity, if necessary, to earn money without begging. Risk is a noble cause. It is important not to miss the moment here. Either way, you will have to make a choice, otherwise doubt will eat you up. So grab your space spoons and forks and have a hearty meal, the training simulator won't be returning to the ground until lunchtime.
I often observe fatal conclusions (probably from newbies) that if "bitcoin falls" so then it's forever, "it's all over". But what they won't understand is that always goods are bought and sold on the market? Otherwise the market doesn't exist. You simply can't afford to buy-buy-buy all the time, sometimes you have to sell. Otherwise, what's the point of all this? And Bitcoin is not Ethereum! Bitcoin is original blockchain core with limited emission! And look at all chart at least sometimes. Take a break. There are other areas for investment in life. You can buy a new laptop or surfboard, for example. You have to fix your profit from time to time.
Due to outside interference for the last four years, the price looks tired. Sooner or later, an exotic vacation of Bitcoin to at least 28k for a breather is inevitable, and then it returns to its mathematically lawful exponential level of ~100k by the end of next year. If your friends just bought Bitcoin, it does not mean that it will be worth a million next week, and they can sell it on the market and buy it again. Maybe they lack education in this area, help them. Think before you judge. Just free your mind to think differently from time to time.
As much as we would like it, the rocket is not fly into space this year. And the events do not matter for the mathematical regularity of the original blockchain. Yes, there is a tendency for shortages (deficit), but what will you do with Bitcoin if not sell at the real price now and buy it profitably later? Do not stand still, use the market to dream. There is a lot of liquidity in the support zone. The exponential trend is constant, but we will not fly into space at all, because there is nothing to do and under gravity we just build and fill up the supporting silicon mountains for our observatory to look at the stars. The original blockchain is the most stable algorithm for maintaining independence in a secure decentralized unity environment. And it is only a matter of time what the result of the infinity fraction with a limited denominator will be.
We are on the peak of the wave, the next part of Blockchain journey ahead. Now put the record on.
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Death Cross HappenedBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) and the upper line of the Ascending Channel .
Finally, the Death Cross Sell Signal was seen yesterday.
Death Cross Signal : The death cross appears on a chart when an asset's short-term Moving Average(MA) , usually the 50-day, crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Price and Volume .
I expect that Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) in this attack and at least fall to the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone($58,500-$57,140) .
Note: If the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) is broken, Bitcoin can rise to $65,000.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin analysis - short term idea (longer term included)I've been on a losing streak recently for day trades, but I am optimistic about this trade idea! As illustrated in the chart (90 minute chart), the price of bitcoin is holding steady above $58k (last weeks value high). The orderbook also shows strong bids appearing at this price level (Green dashed line). The first visit to this level resulted in a sustained move up on Tuesday. This is a good sign that shows price is accepting this zone(58k to 62k) and is stabilizing/balancing within it. Just about an hour ago, the green dashed line was revisited. This also cleans up Monday's value area low. Based on this, I am positioned long. See chart for entry, target and stop loss.
This short term Bitcoin trade idea is backed by my longer term analysis I posted a little over a week ago. Chart link below for that.
Boost and follow for more ideas! Thanks!
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Last ChanceBitcoin started to rise after the announcement of the Unemployment Claims rate and Putin's signing of the crypto mining law . However, the factors I mentioned in the post below can still cause Bitcoin to decrease.👇
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($60,800-$56,700) and near 50_SMA(Daily) and 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the Triple Double Correction(WXYXZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to continue falling to at least the Support line after completing the corrective pattern .
Considering the Situation of Bitcoin, a Short Position is definitely better than a Long Position. Do you agree with me!?
Note: If Bitcoin can create a 4-hour or daily candle above the 200_SMA(Daily) and 50_SMA(Daily), we should expect Bitcoin to go up again.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Short-termBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($60,800-$56,700) and the Downtrend line .
According to the theory of Elliott Waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) near the Resistance zone.
From a Classic Technical point of view, Bitcoin seems to have formed a Double Top Pattern .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $52,600 .
Bitcoin analysis on the daily time frame 👇
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Death Cross!?The fall of Bitcoin in the last 3-4 days has shocked everyone, first, let's take a look at the reasons for this fall :
The publication of the US employment report and the increase in the unemployment rate to the highest level in the last 3 years .
Tensions in the Middle East , the possibility of a confrontation between Iran and Israel in the coming days.
Rumors of selling Jump Trading's assets .
The Nikkei index of the Japanese stock market today fell 3,595.30 units , equivalent to -10.01% , to experience the heaviest daily decline in its history since October 1987 .
The Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index hit its lowest level since early July , indicating panic in the market. However, I think the Fear and Greed index will enter the Extreme Fear zone in the coming days.
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Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the daily time frame .
Bitcoin managed to break the Support zone($60,800-$56,700) which is shown on the chart with the Resistance zone. Also, Bitcoin has broken 200_SMA(Daily) , 100_SMA(Daily) , 200_SMA(Daily) and 21_SMA(Weekly) , which is NOT a good sign for BTC.
Most likely, the Death Cross Sell signal by Bitcoin will happen.
Death Cross Signal : The death cross appears on a chart when an asset's short-term Moving Average(MA), usually the 50-day , crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day .
From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that according to the momentum of Bitcoin's fall in the last 3-4 days, the continuing Descending Broadening Wedge pattern will fail, which could be a sign of the further fall of Bitcoin .
Looking at the USDT.D% chart , we can see that USDT.D% will probably increase again after a correction and attack the Resistance lines .👇
According to the explanation above, I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($49,000-$38,500) again after the correction , probably near $59,000-$60,000. If the Support line is broken, we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $42,000-$43,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin can stabilize above the resistance zone, we can expect Bitcoin to rise again, but due to possible tensions that will happen in the Middle East in the coming days, this scenario is less likely to happen.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Daily time frame ⏰.
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🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️🧐Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in a weekly time frame so that maybe it can give us a good view of the continuation of Bitcoin's movement .
🏃♂️If you look at the chart, Bitcoin is moving in the Ascending Channel in the weekly time frame, the ascending channel I have drawn seems to be a valid channel, so that the middle line of the ascending channel has played the role of resistance and support well.
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near the ascending channel's midline , the pitchfork line , the Resistance lines , and the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($82,800-$73,200) 🟡➡️ So it shows that Bitcoin is facing an Important Resistance(Supply zone).
⚖️If we look at the chart, it looks like we can expect similar moves before the 2020 Halving . Move 1 is similar to move 3 , and moves 2 and 4 are similar, so if we want to expect similar moves, Bitcoin should start correcting . And until the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci corrections (we should NOT consider the decrease of Bitcoin in Covid ). I have drawn the possible move for you in the chart below.👇
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin can follow two scenarios, and it depends on future events and news . The scenario is as follows:
🚀 Bullish scenario ( more likely due to Halving, ETF, etc ): Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 at $73,777, and we should wait for the start of the main wave 4 and then increase towards $87,000-$99,000-$112,000 .
🚨 Bearish Scenario : Bitcoin has finished the main wave C at $73,777 (or a little higher), and in case of breaking the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($50,000-$38,500) 🟢, we should wait for Bitcoin to fall (the fall can continue up to 😱 $18,000 😱). Of course, according to the current market conditions, this scenario is somewhat unlikely, but it is still possible, if Bitcoin goes above $77,000 , this scenario will be removed in general .
💡If we look at the RSI indicator in the weekly time frame , we can see that it seems that the RSI has succeeded in forming a Rising Wedge pattern , which can correct the upcoming correction of Bitcoin.
💡In the 1-hour time frame , Bitcoin has formed an Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern , which can be a sign to start the correction of Bitcoin .
🔔According to the above explanation , we can conclude that Bitcoin correction can start soon ; Bitcoin can have a correction to 🟢 Heavy Support zone($50,000-$38,500) 🟢 and then we have to wait for the next movement of Bitcoin( Re-pumping is more likely ).
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Weekly time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin can Go Up Temporary!!!==>>Short termBitcoin and other tokens faced a sharp drop in price following unfavorable US economic reports and the possibility of tension between Iran and Israel .
Bitcoin fell below $60,000 for the first time in recent weeks. The publication of the US employment report and the increase in the unemployment rate to the highest level in the last 3 years have been the main factors of this fall in previous days. The withdrawal of capital from Bitcoin ETFs and failure to maintain key support zones also fueled this downward trend, and strong selling pressure in the market also provided the conditions for further price reduction.
First of all, I must say that this analysis is short-term , and Bitcoin's trend can continue to be bearish if it does not stabilize above the 21_SMA(Weekly) .
Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($61,760-$58,400) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that a 5th downward wave has been completed and we should wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $61,900 .
Note: Because the tension in the Middle East is increasing, especially after 20:30 UTC, try to keep an eye on long positions and make sure not to forget capital management and Stop Loss(SL).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Fifth Attack to Resistance linesBitcoin is currently moving near important Resistance lines and a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . This is the fifth time that Bitcoin has attacked important Resistance lines .
I expect Bitcoin NOT to break the Resistance lines for the first time in the 5th attack .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Also, I expect that Bitcoin will at least fill the first CME Gap($68,700-$68,270) , and if the Uptrend line breaks, we can expect Bitcoin to go down to the Support line and possibly fill the second CME Gap($66,350-$65,835) as well.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Market Turmoil: Dow Jones Plummets and Bitcoin Retests Key LevelAlright, everyone, it's been a rough day for the US Stock Market. The Dow Jones plummeted following the job report released this morning. In response, I'm anticipating Bitcoin to retest the Fibonacci .618 level and consolidate around $61,000 for a few days. Let's check back in a couple of days to see how things unfold.