Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin failed to break the Resistance zone ($58,500-$57,000) for the fifth time . It seems that important news is needed to break the resistance zone.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave C with the Ending Diagonal Pattern .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Looking at the USDT.D% chart , we find that USDT.D% is in a symmetrical triangle . The main wave 4 can be completed in this triangle. I expect USDT.D% to pump after breaking the upper line of the symmetrical triangle, which will cause a correction in the Cryptocurrency market .👇
Another important chart that can help us analyze Bitcoin is the BTC.D% chart . BTC.D% is moving near the Heavy Resistance zone(60%-57.2%) and the Resistance line , and according to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that it has completed the main wave 5 in the two-day time frame with the help of Ending Diagonal . So, we should expect a correction of BTC.D% , which means that if the cryptocurrency marketcap decreases, Bitcoin can fall more .👇
I expect Bitcoin to at least fill the CME Gap($55,880-$56,775) after breaking the lower line of the Ending Diagonal .
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $63,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to pump to $65,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoinanalysis
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Bearish Flag PatternBitcoin pulled back to the broken Support zone($60,520-$60,120) , as I expected ( in yesterday's post ).
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to have formed a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to fall again after breaking the Ascending Channel's lower line and the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) .
Bad News: Since yesterday, 785 million dollars of Bitcoin and 75 million dollars of Bitcoin have been moved by the Mt.Gox exchange, which is a significant volume.
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $60,700, the Scenario will change.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin, is the bull run continuing soon?I expect the Bitcoin price to consolidate in the 53,600 - 49,000 zone, after the price is fixed in the zone, I expect to see a price increase and a high probability of breaking the maximum.
If you look at the Online LTH Realized Profit 7D metric, you can see a similar seasonality of the market that was in 2021, in addition to the online metric, I conducted a deeper study and found many arguments that confirm my expectations, there is a low probability that the price will drop below 48,900, I do not expect this level to break through.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>FallingBitcoin was rejected from the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) , 50_SMA(Daily) , Upper line of the Ascending channel , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to Go down to at least the lower line of the ascending channel , and maybe Bitcoin will break the support zones .
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $63,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to pump to $65,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Attack to Downtrend line==>>Short-termBitcoin is moving in the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) near the Downtrend line .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5-wave downtrend in the 15-minute time frame .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise again to at least $59,200 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $57,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to fall to $55,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Breaking Downtrend lineBitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the First Target after the Downtrend line breaks .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $57,000 , we should wait for Bitcoin to fall to $55,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Keep Calm And Trade BitcoinIt would be relevant and popular to type a scenario called "if" with forecasts to buy, sell and hold in one article. However, I tend to be as objective and useful as possible, because I believe that if we hold and speculate on our popularity, this can continue until the last market maker is left without his commission and lead to a dead line of existentialism. Especially since, while some if buy, others if sell and else if hedge. In general, I do not see the point in two or even three way forecasts for all occasions, so that you can always tell your subscribers: "Look in my feed history! — I told you..." (all the ways). I am convinced that in order to learn, you need to practice confident steps, then you will get irreplaceable experience and the opportunity, if necessary, to earn money without begging. Risk is a noble cause. It is important not to miss the moment here. Either way, you will have to make a choice, otherwise doubt will eat you up. So grab your space spoons and forks and have a hearty meal, the training simulator won't be returning to the ground until lunchtime.
I often observe fatal conclusions (probably from newbies) that if "bitcoin falls" so then it's forever, "it's all over". But what they won't understand is that always goods are bought and sold on the market? Otherwise the market doesn't exist. You simply can't afford to buy-buy-buy all the time, sometimes you have to sell. Otherwise, what's the point of all this? And Bitcoin is not Ethereum! Bitcoin is original blockchain core with limited emission! And look at all chart at least sometimes. Take a break. There are other areas for investment in life. You can buy a new laptop or surfboard, for example. You have to fix your profit from time to time.
Due to outside interference for the last four years, the price looks tired. Sooner or later, an exotic vacation of Bitcoin to at least 28k for a breather is inevitable, and then it returns to its mathematically lawful exponential level of ~100k by the end of next year. If your friends just bought Bitcoin, it does not mean that it will be worth a million next week, and they can sell it on the market and buy it again. Maybe they lack education in this area, help them. Think before you judge. Just free your mind to think differently from time to time.
As much as we would like it, the rocket is not fly into space this year. And the events do not matter for the mathematical regularity of the original blockchain. Yes, there is a tendency for shortages (deficit), but what will you do with Bitcoin if not sell at the real price now and buy it profitably later? Do not stand still, use the market to dream. There is a lot of liquidity in the support zone. The exponential trend is constant, but we will not fly into space at all, because there is nothing to do and under gravity we just build and fill up the supporting silicon mountains for our observatory to look at the stars. The original blockchain is the most stable algorithm for maintaining independence in a secure decentralized unity environment. And it is only a matter of time what the result of the infinity fraction with a limited denominator will be.
We are on the peak of the wave, the next part of Blockchain journey ahead. Now put the record on.
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Death Cross HappenedBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) and the upper line of the Ascending Channel .
Finally, the Death Cross Sell Signal was seen yesterday.
Death Cross Signal : The death cross appears on a chart when an asset's short-term Moving Average(MA) , usually the 50-day, crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Price and Volume .
I expect that Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) in this attack and at least fall to the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone($58,500-$57,140) .
Note: If the Resistance zone($63,000-$61,450) is broken, Bitcoin can rise to $65,000.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin analysis - short term idea (longer term included)I've been on a losing streak recently for day trades, but I am optimistic about this trade idea! As illustrated in the chart (90 minute chart), the price of bitcoin is holding steady above $58k (last weeks value high). The orderbook also shows strong bids appearing at this price level (Green dashed line). The first visit to this level resulted in a sustained move up on Tuesday. This is a good sign that shows price is accepting this zone(58k to 62k) and is stabilizing/balancing within it. Just about an hour ago, the green dashed line was revisited. This also cleans up Monday's value area low. Based on this, I am positioned long. See chart for entry, target and stop loss.
This short term Bitcoin trade idea is backed by my longer term analysis I posted a little over a week ago. Chart link below for that.
Boost and follow for more ideas! Thanks!
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Last ChanceBitcoin started to rise after the announcement of the Unemployment Claims rate and Putin's signing of the crypto mining law . However, the factors I mentioned in the post below can still cause Bitcoin to decrease.👇
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($60,800-$56,700) and near 50_SMA(Daily) and 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the Triple Double Correction(WXYXZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to continue falling to at least the Support line after completing the corrective pattern .
Considering the Situation of Bitcoin, a Short Position is definitely better than a Long Position. Do you agree with me!?
Note: If Bitcoin can create a 4-hour or daily candle above the 200_SMA(Daily) and 50_SMA(Daily), we should expect Bitcoin to go up again.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Short-termBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($60,800-$56,700) and the Downtrend line .
According to the theory of Elliott Waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) near the Resistance zone.
From a Classic Technical point of view, Bitcoin seems to have formed a Double Top Pattern .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $52,600 .
Bitcoin analysis on the daily time frame 👇
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Death Cross!?The fall of Bitcoin in the last 3-4 days has shocked everyone, first, let's take a look at the reasons for this fall :
The publication of the US employment report and the increase in the unemployment rate to the highest level in the last 3 years .
Tensions in the Middle East , the possibility of a confrontation between Iran and Israel in the coming days.
Rumors of selling Jump Trading's assets .
The Nikkei index of the Japanese stock market today fell 3,595.30 units , equivalent to -10.01% , to experience the heaviest daily decline in its history since October 1987 .
The Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index hit its lowest level since early July , indicating panic in the market. However, I think the Fear and Greed index will enter the Extreme Fear zone in the coming days.
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Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the daily time frame .
Bitcoin managed to break the Support zone($60,800-$56,700) which is shown on the chart with the Resistance zone. Also, Bitcoin has broken 200_SMA(Daily) , 100_SMA(Daily) , 200_SMA(Daily) and 21_SMA(Weekly) , which is NOT a good sign for BTC.
Most likely, the Death Cross Sell signal by Bitcoin will happen.
Death Cross Signal : The death cross appears on a chart when an asset's short-term Moving Average(MA), usually the 50-day , crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day .
From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that according to the momentum of Bitcoin's fall in the last 3-4 days, the continuing Descending Broadening Wedge pattern will fail, which could be a sign of the further fall of Bitcoin .
Looking at the USDT.D% chart , we can see that USDT.D% will probably increase again after a correction and attack the Resistance lines .👇
According to the explanation above, I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($49,000-$38,500) again after the correction , probably near $59,000-$60,000. If the Support line is broken, we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $42,000-$43,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin can stabilize above the resistance zone, we can expect Bitcoin to rise again, but due to possible tensions that will happen in the Middle East in the coming days, this scenario is less likely to happen.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Daily time frame ⏰.
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🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️🧐Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in a weekly time frame so that maybe it can give us a good view of the continuation of Bitcoin's movement .
🏃♂️If you look at the chart, Bitcoin is moving in the Ascending Channel in the weekly time frame, the ascending channel I have drawn seems to be a valid channel, so that the middle line of the ascending channel has played the role of resistance and support well.
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near the ascending channel's midline , the pitchfork line , the Resistance lines , and the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($82,800-$73,200) 🟡➡️ So it shows that Bitcoin is facing an Important Resistance(Supply zone).
⚖️If we look at the chart, it looks like we can expect similar moves before the 2020 Halving . Move 1 is similar to move 3 , and moves 2 and 4 are similar, so if we want to expect similar moves, Bitcoin should start correcting . And until the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci corrections (we should NOT consider the decrease of Bitcoin in Covid ). I have drawn the possible move for you in the chart below.👇
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin can follow two scenarios, and it depends on future events and news . The scenario is as follows:
🚀 Bullish scenario ( more likely due to Halving, ETF, etc ): Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 at $73,777, and we should wait for the start of the main wave 4 and then increase towards $87,000-$99,000-$112,000 .
🚨 Bearish Scenario : Bitcoin has finished the main wave C at $73,777 (or a little higher), and in case of breaking the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($50,000-$38,500) 🟢, we should wait for Bitcoin to fall (the fall can continue up to 😱 $18,000 😱). Of course, according to the current market conditions, this scenario is somewhat unlikely, but it is still possible, if Bitcoin goes above $77,000 , this scenario will be removed in general .
💡If we look at the RSI indicator in the weekly time frame , we can see that it seems that the RSI has succeeded in forming a Rising Wedge pattern , which can correct the upcoming correction of Bitcoin.
💡In the 1-hour time frame , Bitcoin has formed an Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern , which can be a sign to start the correction of Bitcoin .
🔔According to the above explanation , we can conclude that Bitcoin correction can start soon ; Bitcoin can have a correction to 🟢 Heavy Support zone($50,000-$38,500) 🟢 and then we have to wait for the next movement of Bitcoin( Re-pumping is more likely ).
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Weekly time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Bitcoin can Go Up Temporary!!!==>>Short termBitcoin and other tokens faced a sharp drop in price following unfavorable US economic reports and the possibility of tension between Iran and Israel .
Bitcoin fell below $60,000 for the first time in recent weeks. The publication of the US employment report and the increase in the unemployment rate to the highest level in the last 3 years have been the main factors of this fall in previous days. The withdrawal of capital from Bitcoin ETFs and failure to maintain key support zones also fueled this downward trend, and strong selling pressure in the market also provided the conditions for further price reduction.
First of all, I must say that this analysis is short-term , and Bitcoin's trend can continue to be bearish if it does not stabilize above the 21_SMA(Weekly) .
Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($61,760-$58,400) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that a 5th downward wave has been completed and we should wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $61,900 .
Note: Because the tension in the Middle East is increasing, especially after 20:30 UTC, try to keep an eye on long positions and make sure not to forget capital management and Stop Loss(SL).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Fifth Attack to Resistance linesBitcoin is currently moving near important Resistance lines and a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . This is the fifth time that Bitcoin has attacked important Resistance lines .
I expect Bitcoin NOT to break the Resistance lines for the first time in the 5th attack .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Also, I expect that Bitcoin will at least fill the first CME Gap($68,700-$68,270) , and if the Uptrend line breaks, we can expect Bitcoin to go down to the Support line and possibly fill the second CME Gap($66,350-$65,835) as well.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Market Turmoil: Dow Jones Plummets and Bitcoin Retests Key LevelAlright, everyone, it's been a rough day for the US Stock Market. The Dow Jones plummeted following the job report released this morning. In response, I'm anticipating Bitcoin to retest the Fibonacci .618 level and consolidate around $61,000 for a few days. Let's check back in a couple of days to see how things unfold.
Bitcoin - When will we see the breakout?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is preparing its most bullish breakout of the entire trading history!
After a couple years of trading experiences, you will simply stop paying attention to your emotions. Looking at the chart of Bitcoin objectively, you can see that everything is still incredibly bullish. Despite the hesitancy at the previous all time high, Bitcoin is also not rejecting it towards the downside. Eventually, we will just see a monstrous bullish breakout.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack the Resistance Zone ==>>Short termBitcoin ended up filling both CME Gaps as I expected.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($65,500-$64,600) and seems to have succeeded in forming a Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Resistance zone($67,540-$66,740) at least once and if this zone is broken, we should expect Bitcoin to reach $68,000 .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Market overviewBitcoin (BTC): $69,539.18 (+3.16%)
Bitcoin Dominance: 56.58%
Fear and Greed Index: 74 (greed)
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, we had a natural correction in bitcoin, but by the end of the week we had completely regained the drop.
Over the weekend, Donald Trump gave a speech at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville. He made many positive statements for bitcoin, but this event didn't affect the price increase, and only increased volatility.
At the moment, we're in the sell area, from which we received a reaction earlier.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Now there is weakness in the delta, so we should expect a repeat correction from current prices or from the zone above.
After the increased volatility over the weekend, new volume zones were formed. The first one is interesting for joining long movements.
Buy zones: $68,000-$66,800 (volume anomalies), $64,900-$63,900 (buyer activity), $61,700-$60,800 (pushing volume), $58,700-$55,200 (accumulated volume zone), $55,000-$53,900 (volume anomalies zone).
Sell zones: $70,500-$71,400 (accumulated volume).
Globally, we're still waiting for the ATH test.
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• July 30, Tuesday, 8:00 (UTC) — German GDP for the second quarter of 2024;
• July 30, Tuesday, 12:00 (UTC) — German consumer price index for July;
• July 30, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) — consumer confidence index for July and the number of open vacancies in the JOLTS labor market in the United States in June;
• July 31,Wednesday, 9:00 (UTC) — Eurozone consumer price index for July;
• July 31, Wednesday, 12:15 (UTC) — change in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector in the United States in July;
• July 31, Wednesday, 18:00 (UTC) — US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• July 31, Wednesday, 18:30 (UTC) — Fed press conference.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
From Monthly to Daily: Bitcoin’s Bullish Surge Above $100KI'm not a "to the Mooner", and when I thought Bitcoin was going down, I said so, even though I knew I'd get some negative comments.
I'm not a perma-bear either...
In fact, at the beginning of this month, I mentioned that the break under 60k is most probably a false break.
I try to stay as objective as possible, trading based on what I see rather than my biases, and right now everything I'm seeing looks extremely bullish
I'll break down my analysis from monthly to daily because I believe all signs point to Bitcoin reaching 100k or more by the end of the year.
Monthly Chart Analysis:
Starting with the monthly chart, although I'm not an Elliott Wave (EW) expert, it's quite clear that from the 15,500 bottom, we have an impulsive EW structure.
The first wave reached 31.5K, followed by a correction in the second wave down to 25K. Wave three then surged to 74K, and now we're experiencing the complex correction that typically characterizes wave four.
Going further with basic Elliott Wave (EW) theory, Wave 1 shows an approximate 100% increase from 15,500 to 31,500.
Wave 3 then surged from 25,000 to 74,000, an approximate 200% increase.
After a correction in Wave 4 down to 54,000, we can now project Wave 5 using these percentage movements.
Using the percentage increase of Wave 1 (100%) and applying it to the bottom of Wave 4 (54,000):
- A 1.0x extension of Wave 1’s percentage increase suggests Wave 5 could rise by approximately 54k (54,000 * 1.0), reaching a target above 100k.
- A more bullish scenario, using a 1.618 extension of Wave 1’s percentage increase, suggests Wave 5 could rise by approximately 90,000 (54,000 * 1.6), reaching a target of 144,000.
Therefore, considering these percentage movements and the high volatility of Bitcoin, the potential target for Wave 5 could be between 100k and 150k, depending on market conditions and the exact nature of Wave 5.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
Refining to the weekly chart, we observe a notable upward movement from 25 to 74, followed by a correction that forms a bullish flag pattern.
The bottom of this flag pattern aligns around the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, which is typical for flag formations.
Additionally, from a price action perspective, the last three weeks exhibit strong bullish tendencies, with the current week presenting a bullish continuation Pin Bar.
Applying the measured target for the flag pattern projects a value above 100k.
If we were to apply a percentage-based target similar to the wave analysis, it would suggest 150k, but it's prudent to hold off on that projection for now (though this would approximately equate to a 1.6 extension from the monthly wave analysis).
Daily Chart Analysis:
Zooming in further to the daily chart, we clearly see a false break followed by a reversal back above 60k.
The recent correction dropped to a horizontal support level, concluding with a Pin Bar. Adding to this, yesterday's bullish candle completes a strongly bullish Morning Star pattern, indicating a likely imminent break of the resistance level.
Overall Perspective and Conclusion:
Looking at Bitcoin's behavior from monthly down to daily charts, the outlook remains very positive.
The long-term wave analysis suggests significant growth potential. On the weekly chart, the bullish flag pattern points to further gains, and the daily chart's reversal patterns reinforce this bullish sentiment.
In summary, Bitcoin is showing strong signs of upward movement across all time frames. While conservative targets point to around 100k, the possibility of reaching 150k isn't off the table if the bullish trends continue.
As always, it's wise to watch for key resistance breaks to confirm these bullish projections.
Best of luck!
Mihai Iacob
Bitcoin will Fill the CME Gap!!!Bitcoin reached the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) again. Will Bitcoin succeed in breaking this zone or not❗️❓
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 ; the structure of the main wave 5 can be Expanding Ending Diagonal .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to go down at least up to the Support line and the CME Gap($66,350-$65,835) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.