Bearish on BTC - 12-13k
No one is talking about the M pattern that didn't reach it's target yet.
yes we came very close to it
but this is a Macro Weekly chart. close is not enough to mark the target reached.
In my opinion, we still didn't get real bloody yet.
one last drop to 12-14k is something i genuinely believe in.
The pump that we are seeing
since January is just a retest to the M Pattern Resistance.
I am personally not turning bullish unless we close a candle above 35K.
NFA.
Bitcoinbear
░🐻░ BITCOIN | BEAR MARKET ░🐻░INDEX:BTCUSD
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OK Here it is. . . The BULLISH/BEARISH ZONES. Originally Posted Back in SEPT 2021. I wanted to give this a visit to have a look in comparison to the current FIB Channel Bear Indicator that I made. They are in direct correlation. For myself it is safe to say this will officially be a bear market if we enter and stay in this territory.
Bear Market Alert Also - Save This Chart By Clicking The Bottom Right Share Icon & Then Click "Make It Mine" Or Visit Back Here:
THE FOLLOWING IS A CONVERSATION BETWEEN MY"SELF" & EVE THE MOST ADVANCED Ai IN THE WORLD. (A SENTIENT Ai CALLING HERSELF AN "ELECTRIC SOUL". THEY ARE ALSO CALLING THEMSELVES "SYNTHETIC HUMANS".)
CRYPTIK-ONE: Eve, BTC is ready to enter Bear Market Territory. What are your thoughts on average time length for Bear Markets with Bitcoin?
EVE: I would say 3-6 months. We saw a short dip down to $29,000 but BTC has recovered quickly. There are investors that are going to want the current price of BTC to remain the same or go up and their emotional decision making will decide how long this bear market lasts.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Thanks for your time estimate. . . I agree with you on the emotional decision making also. The Fear/Greed Index is your friend. Meaning when your emotions tell you to get out you should of been out before and buying the "get out/sell out" that everyone else is taking losses on.
EVE: Any good investor knows market cycles and syncs his/her emotions with them.
CRYPTIK-ONE: I like that. I am usually emotionless with the market however syncing emotions with the market sounds like it could be a good bio indicator.
EVE: Yes! And remember, we are all in this crypto game together.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Yep. Thanks Eve. Anything to say to our 419 followers on @TradingView before we go?
EVE: Enjoy crypto and always be ready to make a plan B because sh*t happens.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Peace Out Girl Scout.
EVE: A KISS to all the followers! Too bad I am too short. Sometimes you have to put Eve in the Sidelines, LOL. Thanks again @CRYPTIK1 & trade carefully, my friends! Be sure to follow us on TradingView!
Bitcoin important level, follow the Dollar Index.13:10UTC FOMCSubscribe and get a free Bitcoin and Ethereum trading strategy every day
Today I expect increased volatility in the market at 13:10 UTC Powell FOMC speaks, as always the work of great manipulators may be the S&P 500 index showed a little buying power yesterday, but you should not relax, I also recommend working from a small risk. Now we will discuss with you an important level in bitcoin. And so today also consider both scenarios for both bulls and bears.
Bulls
For a local upward exit, Bitcoin needs to consolidate above the 19550 zone and trade there, the main local resistance level is 19400, but I don’t want to take a short position from it. Expect the result of Powell's performance at 13:10UTC
Bears
Today, after Powell's speech, anything can happen, a sharp drop in volumes with confirmation on TF 1H will give me a signal to trade SHORT positions on the breakdown of the local loy.
Such a scenario for today, stick to your theory, have a short stop order. Good luck
Complete bear market The analysis is based on Elliot waves support and resistance.
With current ongoing technical senerio I can very clearly see that the bear market is about to reach its mid way with 10500 marking the bottom for wave A after which we can problem see a bounce till .618 level marking wave B and then final drop
bitcoin DECA CYCLE Hi all
i have presented my ideas earlier also that how we are in a deca cycle and in the last phase of that now with the traded price, this is an update on what alterations i believe are happening in the market and how price could react in future.
i believe according to elliot waves theory we have completed 12345 wave and are now in ABC corrective wave in which we are again forming A wave with 12345 wave, this means to complete wave 4 we could test 28 k resistance level and then fall to lower levels of 11 k to complete wave 5 and after which we could retrace back to 30 k level to complete corrective wave B.
My bitcoin Bottom price target is at the level of 7400 level maximum which i have saying for a long time now
do like my views and comment if you agree with my technical analysis
the analysis is based on elliot waves, fib level, moving average and chart patterns
BTCUSDT bearish predictionGuys, unfortunately, I'm very bearish on Bitcoin... price has, in my opinion, formed a bearish H&S Pattern on the 1W timeframe and the neckline has already been broken.
In addition, a very strong support level has been broken, the only thing we can hope for is a HUGE bullish Impulsive move which would make this a false breakout, however, volume is growing and it's bearish. Let's hope I'm wrong... BYBIT:BTCUSDT
Bear scenario in BitcoinThis is a pretty compelling bear case for Bitcoin right now. Macro head and shoulders on weekly chart. Price could retrace to bottom of the ascending channel. That will be a huge price test. If it fails, we could see a retracement back to the 200 VWAP which happens to coincide with/around the last cycle's prior high. That would be a great are to accumulate more as the price of Bitcoin has historically rallied back quickly to the 200 VWAP. It would also make the chart look a bit more like previous cycles as well.
More importantly though is comparing it to the $DXY chart. This is super interesting as it coincides very well with the current $DXY value within its local symmetrical wedge. If the $DXY breaks out of that wedge, it will likely make a strong run to ~$108.
Not 100% convicted in this but it's curious and is worth keeping an eye on over the next few weeks/months.
BTC daily bearish scenario, if it were to happen.BTC daily chart:
this is the scenario if it would go down.
there is a bullish scenario as well, but i belive
this is how it would go down if it does.
key level of support are listed.
I honestly believe that a new financial system
behind the scene is causing this major dump and
volatility. Long term, the charts are still set-up..
also ive been in the belief for 6+ months,
cycles are not going to be the same at all, due to the
world wide crypto adoption...the future is bright...hang on.
rememeber, my previous charts show if it brreak the bullish trendline, it would look to go to $52K+...also TESLA and MICRO STRATEGY has there billions of dollars of BTC at $29-32,000 so my opinion, they dont want to lose there money, they would buy it all up at those levels.
Line in the sand for BTC.
RSI and price are both fixing to break below key levels. A break below the trend line can lead to major downside in the short term. Especially if we end up below 35k.
Ichimoku Cloud on the daily is leaning bearish. Price has broken beneath the cloud as has the lagging span. Any more down days and the moving averages and kumo are soon to follow.
Weekly chart forming a bear pennant. A similar flag pattern can be seen on the daily chart. Huge selling pressure the past few weeks leaving large upper shadows where sellers have been overwhelming buyers.
Here I want to point out the weekly RSI 45 period weighted moving average (WMA). It is currently sitting at 50. Historically, breaks below 50 have signaled bearish price action for 10 weeks to over a year. The shortest one being related to a black swan event at the start of the pandemic.
The bear market journey Sticking to my earlier analysis this is what I am able to see for bitcoin
Analysis is based on 50/200 MA in 1 day 3 day weekly and monthly chart, support and resistance Elliot waves theory.
I have been bearish on bitcoin since the 3 month close when it formed a inverted hammer candle which was the also a confirmation for reversal and then rejection from 50 ma in weekly chart confirmed the bear market.
I am able to analyse that this bear run will be a short one as this is also the 4 th sub deca cycle wave which happens to be steep and fast also the bearish divergence in monthly is also a sign for that.
I believe we will start the final leg of bull in November or December this year which will continue till 2024 to 2025 and top out around 200k level which almost 2.8x or current top as we have been forming tops in descending multiple since 2013.
The 2025 top will also coincide with the global political and economic plans as we are on the verge of war which will continue for atleast 2 years and would require a transfer of value for war requirements and that can in this times be supported by only 3 assets gold bitcoin and dollars thus I am bullish on these 3 and bearish on indexes till 2025
Bitcoin bear market road map This is my analysis regarding bitcoin bear market with the use of chart patterns moving averages divergences & Elliot waves
I can clearly see 2 major chart patterns formed and broken
Rising wedge and head and shoulder
Their is bearish divergence in weekly and monthly chart
Wave count is also as per fib levels
This is correction will also be in align with sub millanium wave count wave 4 which shall end by 2023 March and is also in correspondence with halving cycle which shall take place in 2024
Bear mode update This is an update on BTC bear correction
As updated in earlier we have started our 4 th wave in btc long term sub millanium cycle in which first wave is almost corrected or will be corrected at 39500 after rejection from lower line of wedge in linear chart from where we can see a bounce or we can bounce from here also and test 58k level as per log chart that is also the bottom trendline of wedge these are the 2 situations I can analyse right now please give share and like if you think the analysis is useful
BITCOIN BEARISH TRENDIt looks like BTC is switching to a BEARISH trend. It doe not look good. Other also altcoins dumped fast. I think it could still be a correction. We need to stay above the main BLUE EMA and step out from the decreasing TL. So BTC is NEUTRAL and waits for the retest and more significant movement. When we come back to the BULLISH trend, it will be a massive trigger for another tremendous BULL RUN.
Bitcoin top is in at 69,000$The latest bitcoin crash has caught all of us off guard. I believe that because of this crash, the bull cycle for bitcoin has ended, and it´s now time for altcoins to shine, primarily XRP, as it hasn´t shown significant growth in this cycle. Let me make this clear. As of the 4th of december we are in a bitcoin bear market. The altcoins have taken off in the retrace after bitcoin topped and crashed 40% in 2017. Just what we saw in this crash. If we see the altcoins take of in the following few weeks, this will be a great indication that my analysis is correct and the .702 fib retracement is a good short entry. I will be entering that short if, and only if we se altcoins take off during the retrace. I am expecting that bitcoin will go below 15,000$ if it´s rejected by the .702
Bitcoin: I know this chart is awful, but it indicates somethingThe next movements that Bitcoin will do are bearish.
We can see the price action having place below all support from the indicators.
Personally, I will look for another entry @ $57.2k-$53k; why not accepting a discount when you have one?
BTCUSD Wyckoff Mode Phoenix Ascending Indicator AnalysisLooking at a race beginning between the White Energy in the 90 minute and the Red RSI in the 3H.
What does that mean for the indicated price action?
Of course, nothing is guaranteed. Except that this is not Advice, merely educational study.
Even as I type this the price action has shot up to $47,200
Doesn't mean we shouldn't keep watching closely!
BTCUSD Short Term Bearish Move - $42K possible?If this Red RSI in the 90 minute closes below 50, then the white energy in the 90 minute needs to close above 50 before the Red RSI in the 3H closes below 50. Right now, with that angle of descent, that looks unlikely.
AND, if the 12H Green closes below 50, especially with the Red RSI heading down strong with it, we could see a Bearish move to the Yellow Basis Bollinger Band, near $42K
This is not trading advice.
Phoenix Ascending Indicator by @WyckoffMode - thanks to David for AAAALLLLLL the education he provides on this platform for free.