Bitcoin 2020 vs. 2024 - Lows and the Anticipated Bull MarketThis chart draws a parallel between Bitcoin's price action in 2020 (left) and the current trajectory in 2024 (right). On the left, we observe the pivotal lows formed around the $6,000 - $7,000 range in 2020, which set the stage for the subsequent bull market.
A similar pattern is emerging in 2024, with the price consolidating and finding support around the $50,000 - $60,000 range.
In 2020, Bitcoin broke out of a consolidation phase, igniting a powerful bull run that saw prices surge past $20,000. This breakout is mirrored in the 2024 chart, where a similar breakout seems imminent, suggesting a strong upward movement could follow.
The similarities between the two periods are striking, with both showing a strong accumulation phase (highlighted in grey) followed by a breakout above key resistance levels (marked by blue lines). If history repeats itself, we expect a significant bull market to start in 2025, potentially leading to new all-time highs.
Investors should keep a close eye on the $70,000 resistance. A breakout above this level could confirm the beginning of the next bull cycle, echoing the powerful rally we saw in 2020.
Bitcoinbullmarket
Bitcoin Bull Market Fully Matures! Category 5 😮 What now?In this video we examine what happens after a Bitcoin bull market fully matures and stabilizes. We also explore the relationship between the timing of bull market maturity and the future halving price, and how this relationship may affect the price action moving forward. Thanks for watching!
Don't Get Impatient! Bitcoin Holding The LineIn this video we examine the bitcoin price action after reaching category 1 in a Bull Market. We are currently at category 4 and have been holding the category 1 price line at 26,976 USD since March 18th. We are still expecting more upwards movement towards the future halving price in the very near future.
when is the bitcoin bull run? bitcoin long range targethere is my analysis on the macro situation for bitcoin.
using elliott wave, we can see that regardless if a bottom is in or not, this will be the final leg down and that we are going to start a run from here.
elliott wave is able to show me where we are in the market and by using the fib tool, i can get a rough prediction and bounce points.
my targets for the next run are from 185k-249k, this can depend on adoption and things like that but that would be speculation,
the price will probably be higher but i want to give realistic targets, based off pure analysis and not speculation
What Goes Down Must Come Up - Navigating Bitcoin's CorrectionDuring an uptrend, we have this saying - what comes up, must come down.
The similar notion can be said during a downtrend, but in an opposite direction - what comes down, must come up.
Following this series of downtrend within the Cryptomarket, we can actually maximize the intra-cycle volatility which we see within the smaller timeframes. In this chart, we used a common indicator and strategy which everyone uses and applies with their own trading strategy. But in this chart, we combined the following strategies to come up with a way of navigating the downtrend:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) Bullish Divergences
Support and Resistances
- During a downtrend, there will be a point in time wherein the price gets oversold in the RSI.
- The moment wherein the price starts declining but the RSI has started increasing, that poses a signal wherein a bullish retracement is bound to happen.
- Entry points will vary depending on different support levels, as much as possible, set a stop loss for 5-10% in order to secure your capital.
- As for Exit strategy, the suggested take profit areas are determined by the resistance areas forming.
- Previous support will now act as a resistance, hence the resistance areas are a good levels for exiting a trade (either fully or partially).
- Once you've exited a trade, you now wait for the next indicators to form, especially if you see a downtrend continuation. In that case, you now wait for the next bullish indicators to form.
In this example, the Bitcoin downtrend which started late November 2021 has been forming multiple instances of a bullish retracements using bullish divergences and resistance areas. While you are shorting within the bigger timeframe, it is still possible to long every bullish retracement opportunities that you can find in the smaller timeframes.
To summarize:
- During a downtrend: being bearish in the bigger timeframe doesn't mean you have to be always bearish in the smaller timeframe;
- And during an uptrend: being bullish in the bigger timeframe doesn't mean you have be always bullish in the smaller timeframe.
BTC / USD Situational UpdateUpdate to the previous chart " Idea of the Bitcoin Bull Market Channel "
The third pullback (started in April) is currently down from 23% to 54%.
At this chart we can see first signs of recovery after 16 days of downtrend continuation.
Key levels of resistance marked.
As well as two news indicators are added (moving averages):
20 week SMA and 21 week EMA
As per the history, Bitcoin usually trades above them during the bull market phase.
At the moment, we are still below and 21 EMA is currently coinciding with the second resistance level of 46700 .
Breaking above it (and confirming) would be a good confirmation of potential bullish continuation.
🚀One Step Ahead - The bottom of the next Bear Market may be inEveryone is trying to figure out what will be the peak of the current Bull Market. However, when investing, you need to be forward-looking and think ahead. While the price target for the current market cycle is still very uncertain, it may be easier to foresee what will be the price floor of the next bear market.
Looking at the previous cycles, in both cases, the parabolic uptrend had a brief re-accumulation phase at around half of the way. The price level at which that consolidation happens market years after the same level at which the Bear market followed found its final support.
What if the current sideways price action on Bitcoin anticipates a more significant price drop instead of a new leg up? That is possible, yet unlikely. Usually, parabolic uptrends end up in a much sharper way. On-chain data and the macro environment are still positive, and that could offer a supportive tailwind for months.
Why predicting the bottom of the next Bear market is important? Because knowing that you have the chance to buy below such levels adds significant upside to your investment and will protect your allocation in future drawdowns. Short-term volatility may push prices slightly lower, but dollar-cost averaging Bitcoin may be a very interesting long-term strategy.
The best time to accumulate Bitcoin was years ago. The second-best time may be now.
Bitcoin $BTCUSDC Target PTs 80,000-95,000Market Wrap: Bitcoin Near $60K as Coinbase Listing Stirs Fresh Crypto Hype
Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $60,120.82 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Climbing 0.68% over the previous 24 hours.
Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $59,428.21-$61,219.72 (CoinDesk 20)
BTC trades between its 10-hour and 50-hour averages on the hourly chart, a sideways signal for market technicians.
Bitcoin surged early Monday to a four-week high of $61,219.72. Analysts said the largest cryptocurrency might have gotten a boost from the hoopla surrounding U.S. exchange giant Coinbase’s coming direct stock listing Wednesday.
In cryptocurrency circles, the “Coinbase effect” is when a digital token gets a price pump after getting listed on the cryptocurrency exchange. But bitcoin might get the benefit of a different type of “Coinbase effect” – if newbie investors, spurred by mainstream press coverage of the stock listing, decide to put money into cryptocurrencies.
“The Coinbase hype within crypto, in terms of valuation and its domino effect on other markets” means Wednesday’s direct listing might become “a key catalyst event,” Singapore-based crypto quant firm QCP Capital wrote Monday on its Telegram channel.
Bitcoin Cash $BCHUSD Target PTs 790-835 and higherBitcoin Cash needed to defend $668.5 support to avoid a breakdown from its 20-SMA.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin was trading at $60,217 with a market capitalization of over 1.1 trillion.
Bitcoin Cash needed to hold on to $668.5 support over the coming sessions to avoid a breakdown from its 20-SMA (red). Additional support areas lay at $629.6 and at $600 and these levels would be in focus in case of a southbound move.
A bearish divergence on the MACD lent weight to a breakdown prediction. The Signal line even crossed above the MACD line as bears sought to control the market. The RSI pointed south from 52 and a dip below 40 could even see BCH lose out on the $600 level. A stronger region of support lay at $550 as it coincided with the 200-SMA (green), but a dip below this could be damaging for BCH’s mid-long term trajectory.
Here's Why We Didn't Know If Bitcoin Is In a Bull Or Bear PhaseIt would explain all the new price patterns and movements. We were neither in bullish or bearish territory. We were in a huge Bullish Continuation Symmetrical Triangle and all price movements were taking place within this symmetrical triangle from around April 2017 and will continue till breakout to start next bull run which is expected to be around January 2021.
It would answer many questions and confusion out there especially the disagreement between traders on whether are in a bull phase or in a bear market continued correction phase still. The breakout to huge bull run will also happen about 8 months after halving which fits into the timeline too.
It would explain why the bears will be louder when price rejects from the top of the triangle and why the bulls will take over when the price bounces from the bottom of the triangle.
And if this is indeed the case, the next bull run will be HUGE after building up all that energy in the Symmetrical Triangle for 3 years now and by the time it breaks out as expected to next year it would have been 4 years!
If this indeed turns out to be the case, the next bull run will be epic. Aren't we due for one? All we have to do is survive the shakeouts.
BTC more signs of a bull run regardless of Iran US conflictSince BTC is already digital gold and adaption is just the next step. Considering that BTC was pumping along with January effect and the conflict between US and Iran. Let's consider that I was bearish already during this phase of consolidation from January 8-13 where Iran and US expressed concern to end conflict to not escalate a war. BTC then consolidated and was bound for correction on my analysis. But I was proven wrong and for me BTC pumping was unlikely from here. But it did...So in conclcusion if BTC is pumping even out of the Iran and US conflict which is already fading away...then we can consider this a sign of a bull run. Let's still see
BITCOIN Breaking point for a bull runSince the chart above mentioned the RSI 14 weekly showing signs of btc on a bull run or not..in a candle stick perspective we're already right exact at the resistance area of BTC and it will show either we have a retracement-pullback then go back up to a bull run. Or...this is alraedy the top and another correction dowanrds to $5,500ish. Call me repetitive but I have been saying since Novemeber BTC bottoming is possible already. Inline with January effect, halving and technical indicators showing up. BTC coming to a bull run this January is possible. Notice on the same China pump before there is a bearish divergence HTC present at MACD, RSI CCI. Now there's no bearish divergence at MACD only at RSI, CCI. It's possible this is just a retracement-pullback only.
Bitcoin catalyst bull run or not...Notice if BTC goes and finds support above RSI 14's 50-52 level. It says in the bull run regardless of bearish divergences which are irrelevant at uptrends. If it's below it, it's a bear run. We're now at the breaking point where BTC will either break above these levels and confirm a bull run...or not.
BITCOIN The parabolic bull run's supportAs BTC gets closer to the essential MA200 test supported by the MA1400 on 1D, I have come across a new support level level, which has been missing from key analyses out there.
It is known that the Halvings historically signal the start of the new bull market on Bitcoin that escalates into a parabolic run. What we have been missing is that since the Halving the 0.5 logarithmic retracement level has been providing a support. This essentially means that Bitcoin only retraces around half the log scale of its parabolic bull run.
The following month is pivotal for Bitcoin's trend as I've described on a more short term analysis below: