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BITCOIN Trending Higher - Can Bulls Maintain Momentum?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation toward higher levels. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and successfully retested it as support, confirming the bullish structure. This retest strengthens the case for further upside, with the next target aligning with the upper boundary of the channel near $91,000. As long as the price remains above this newly established support, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, if the price fails to hold above this zone, a deeper pullback toward the midline or the lower boundary of the channel could come into play. Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
47
BITCOIN Correction in Play - Can Bulls Regain Control?COINBASE:BTCUSD is experiencing a corrective move after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the channel. The rejection from this level has led to increased selling pressure, with price steadily approaching a significant support zone around $73,000. The confluence of the trendline support and the horizontal demand zone increases the probability of a bullish reaction. If buyers step in at this level, we could see a rebound, with a potential move toward the $90,000 resistance zone. This level could act as a short-term target within the current market structure. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside, potentially extending the retracement toward lower levels. Traders should monitor bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before anticipating a continuation to the upside. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
63
BTC → Bitcoin Retrace to $69,500? Or Bounce to $150,000?The short version, the probability that Bitcoin tests the breakout price around $69,500 is very high. That's simply the nature of breakouts; bulls take profits (sell orders) until the previous high is reached, at which point the bulls start buying again, and the bears take their profits (buy orders), driving the market up for another leg. The question is, what is our next move as traders? Or even Bitcoin investors? How do we trade this? 🤔 Let's zoom out to the Monthly chart. Bitcoin is resting on the 9EMA, a support area we've closed above it since September of 2023. Our current context is we've broken out of the 2021 cycle high of $69,500 and reached a new high just shy of $110,000. It's clear we're in pullback mode right now, so far-reaching down to $78,000. Fundamentally, there aren't many catalysts for bullish activity. Bulls are simply taking profit at the first 6-figure Bitcoin price, which is both a psychological and technical price for selling. Monetary policy is still in a state of qualitative tightening, inflation has been slowly rising since September 2024, from 2.4% to 3%. Not a dramatic move, which certainly isn't helping Bitcoin move to the upside. Bitcoin seems to respond more to monetary policy than inflation rates and while the rates have steadily climbed, it's not enough to shock the market, while monetary policy has largely stayed the same. Technical analysis shows TOTAL, TOTAL2, and TOTAL3 crypto market cap charts all were rejected at key resistance areas in early December. Bitcoin broke the 2021 right shoulder around $46,000 to $73,000, then had a measured move up to $109,000, about a 55% move each, give or take. We're simply in a state where we've reached a key resistance level after a breakout while the market as a whole is in a state of uncertainty. I believe that uncertainty will lead to a capitulation down to the high $ 60,000s, even if it's a quick wick. This would likely lead to a $1,500 ETH, $1.50 XRP, it may look ugly. But take a look at past cycles; a 30-40% pullback for Bitcoin is just another Thursday in the crypto market. The alts can pull back as much as 50%-60%. I think we wait for the buy signal. Look for a pullback to the breakout area at $69,500, and wait for the market to tell us that we found the buy zone with a strong candle close on or near its high on the Daily chart, likely somewhere around $75,000. Then I believe $150,000 is the area for this cycle high based on the Lifetime Resistance and measured move target. The measured move shows a 57% move up after the breakout; if we take that 57% move up and stack it on the mid-price of the current trading range at $91,000, that takes us to right around $150,000. Anything beyond that is a bonus. I think from there, it makes a second attempt to breach the high, followed by our 12-18 month bear market as shown in the chart. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $75,000 🟥 Stop Loss: $55,000 ✅ Take Profit #1: $105,000 ✅ Take Profit #2: $135,000 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Breakout above 2021 Cycle High $69,500 2. Psychological and technical high of $100,000 reached 3. Pullback phase has been in motion since December, breakout zone is the buy target 4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Monthly 30EMA (breakout zone), look for strong buy signal, large bull candle closing on or near its high. 5. RSI is near 64.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a drop toward 60.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TraderEngineering
6
$700 on a Saturday Morning (BTC)Probability is the name of the game with any trading setup. Let me ask you this, If I made you a bet in which you think the probability that you'd win that bet is lower than your chances of winning, would you take that bet? If you answer yes, you are a gambler because that is exactly what gambling is. If you go to the casinos, you hear it all the time - your chances (probability) of winning are very low as they are skewed in favor of the casino. Lets be real, a casino is a business and the business's goal is to make money. It is just sad that most gamblers aren't smart enough to realize that the money is mostly being made off of their backs. Conversely what about if you realized the probability is skew more in your favor, would you take the bet? You'd be foolish not to as it is more likely to be easy money for you right? That is the theory I have applied here. Simple in and out. That's it, no special strategy, special terminologies, weird candlesticks patterns and all that B.S. K.I.S.S - Keep it stupid simple Have a good day guys!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Brandon_evo4
1
BTC → Bitcoin to $40,000? Or to $80,000? Let's Answer.Hello everyone, I am back! I spent the last couple of months finishing the trading course, which is now live. With that project complete, I am back to the analysis! My Bitcoin Weekly analysis has not dramatically changed since March 25th. Bitcoin is now staring at the $65,000 to $74,000 resistance zone. A double top has formed after three pushes up, and we have closed below the Weekly 30EMA. How do we trade this? 🤔 We ought to be looking for a long entry since Bitcoin is bullish on this timeframe. We now have three completed pushes toward the upside ending with a double-top in the resistance zone, we need to at least wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000. Once successful signal and confirmation candles close above the Weekly 200EMA, it's reasonable to enter a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Stop loss should be set below the Weekly 200EMA at $32,350, the first take profit at 1:1 Risk/Reward at $51,600 where the stop loss is moved to your entry price, then the final take profit at $61,300 before the Resistance Zone at $65,000. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $42,000 🟥 Stop Loss: $32,350 ✅ Take Profit #1: $51,600 ✅ Take Profit #2: $61,300 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up into the Resistance Zone at $65,000 - $74,000 2. Double-top reversal pattern completed inside Resistance Zone 3. Weekly close below the 30EMA, more confirmation of a pullback 4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the 200EMA in the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000 5. RSI is near 49.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a final drop toward 40.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TraderEngineering
1
Trading Bitcoin | Buy Orders | Elliott Wave (Mar 2020) - Part 1BTC/USD (weekly) has been labeled within a Cycle Degree wave III starting point. Cycle Wave II (black) has been called as the bottom during Dec 2018, unleashing the Crypto Bull Market. Primary (2) (green) hit the bottom in December 2019. Cycle II (black) Structure - Double Flat Dec 2017 peaks and down until Dec 2018 bottoms - Cycle II (black) Primary 1 (blue) Sequence - Impulse Break-out and confirmation of a bullish sequence. Primary 2 (blue) Structure - Correction Descending Channel unfolding within a complex Triple Three sequence. Next expected swing Bullish Impulse, with a rally in the 3 of 3's, of a Primary degree. Levels in focus: $7800 & $5550. Dominant Trend Bullish Impulse (Rally) presenting an Extension towards $35K and then beyond. Structure Change Primary 2 (blue) invalidation is at $3122.28.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EW4X
4
UPDATE: Bitcoin target still on the way to $36,300On 22 June 2023, we sent out a buy signal on Bitcoin. This was when it broke above the Falling Wedge... The momentum was strong and so was the promising move. We got in but hasd NO idea it would be such a long hold. Unfortunately, the daily interest costs added up and the entry price went higher and higher. But we held on regardless... The loss was quite large in September, and it seemed like the market was going to break down. But as patient traders, we held. Right now it's nicely in the money and I'm still holding. And from my experience anything can change. The market can driop just as much or it can rally to the target. It still hasn't hit the target, but seeing a new rounding Bottom form - Helps show more confirmation of upside to come. It's been a long and rough ride but so far very worth it...
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Timonrosso
#BTC 🟢 M15 LONG (Bitcoin). Long awaited failure 📣For more than one week, Sellers have been gaining selling positions... Although they haven't reached the main selling zone 32k. But there was an impressive sale .. and at the same time, grandiose discounts for 26.2K, who didn’t have time - he didn’t have time) On the retest of the M15 imbalance near our D1 Buy Zone, we expect a hike up and a breakout of the long-awaited level of 31K. Entry price below market opening price.(✔️) M15 imbalance at the potential of the D1 range.(✔️) Below the First Buyer of Exchange Options.(✔️) According to CFTC futures reports, SHORTS prevail so far. 12851/14261 .(⚠️) input: 26560 (on test/retest) sl: 26223 tp1: 26898 tp2: 27566
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TrEKone