Bitcoin Bullrun Rings (2016-2024)In this chart, I showcase my major Bullrun Rings since 2016. As stated on the chart, there have only been 2 failures that still resulted in a major upturn into new ATHs. The only failed trigger since inception was marked in Nov 2013 (not depicted). This saw a close above the green ring and then closed below two weeks later. Prior to this date, 4 additional targets were also proven to signal upward continuation. With regards to my additional ring placements, they help guide and navigate price action direction and assist in providing forecasted support, resistance levels and pivot points. The results are evident and harmonic, to say the least.
Forward-looking projections and Key Takeaways:
As I see it here, there is a little upward free-ranging until we hit either the above or below rings. Just keep in mind, typically once crossed, that price is not seen for a long time, or if not at all.
One major clue in identifying major moves is when these cycle Rings converge or cross one another. On and around the week of the 20th of May 2024 we will be seeing a major crossing of Rings multiple rings. Some of which are not here due to the inability to visually comprehend.
I have labelled some price targets, but be aware rings are not straight and price can, at any point hit a ring. As it stands now the peak of the upper red ring is coincidentally the 2022 ATH at
69K
Final Thoughts
Become subjected to what may appear to be a solar system of overlapping crazy rings, but be sure to look closely and see for yourself the confluence and relationships these rings play into price action and timings.
Thanks
Here is a link to the original post
x.com
I will be sure to post updates zoomed in as we approach a ring.
Bitcoincycles
The Next Cycle Peak? Insights from Long-Term Holder BehaviorDuring every cycle, long-term holders start selling their CRYPTOCAP:BTC as it moves to new highs. This data provides key insights into the bull market.
The selling of these holdings is shown through the collective balance of long-term holders, as indicated by the gray arrows.
Typically, the balance reaches its lowest point shortly after the market peak.
In the 2017 bull market, it took around 270 days for the hodler balance to hit its lowest point, which came right after the market cycle peak.
In the last bull market, the exact peak is debated. The first peak occurred 210 days after the hodlers started selling, while the second peak took place 410 days after the initial decrease in their balances.
As in previous cycles, long-term holders have started selling again. We can identify late December as the starting point. Assuming the peak occurs within a similar timeframe, we can estimate the next peak will happen within the next 140 to 260 days, or between October 2024 and March 2025.
Global Liquidity Cycles vs Bitcoin CyclesIn this analysis, we will compare the Global Liquidity Cycles with Bitcoin Cycles on the weekly timeframe. The top pane shows the Bitcoin weekly price, while the bottom panes showcases Global Liquidity and Bitcoin cycles.
Bitcoin tops (the bottom pane) are highlighted in red with a level of 75+ and the bottoms are highlighted in green with a level of 15 or lower.
In the middle pane (second up from bottom), we can see the global liquidity cycles. The tops are shown with values of 90+ and the bottoms are shown with a value of 30 or less.
The vertical gray lines help to illustrate how the global liquidity cycles align with the Bitcoin cycles. The bottom two panes include projections into the future, with values projected with a 4-year and 8-year offset.
This analysis allows us to understand the projected cycles for the current market top, with the middle of 2025 as the market top for both the global liquidity and bitcoin.
It's fascinating (and a blessing) that Bitcoin aligns so well with global liquidity, enabling investors with knowledge of these high-level cycles to better time the market.
Bitcoin CyclesJust another update to my long term chart. Add Pi indicator and clearer trends on the DXY.
Because of the way the DXY has been behaving, it has me thinking were not repeating the last cycle, but the one prior.
We still haven't had that peak in the RSI that was also present on both previous cycles, so yeah.. I dunno make of this as you will.
When things start showing this is wrong, ill admit im wrong.
Global Liquidity vs BTCUSDIn this idea we'll have a look global liquidity vs BTCUSD on a quarterly timeframe.
The main pane contains the bars of a new global liquidity formula discovered by Twitter TechDev_52. On top of the bars is a solid orange line which is BTCUSD both on quarterly timeframe. Also on the main pane is a value grid for global liquidity which is based on time and global liquidity closing values.
The secondary panes show the DB ZPS RSI values of global liquidity and BTCUSD. The entire point of this idea is three factors; 1) showcase the beautiful cyclical nature of global liquidity and 2) to show the beautiful cyclical nature of BTCUSD and financially 3) the near 1-to-1 high timeframe cycle pattern matches.
It's common theory that as global liquidity increases money flows into highly valuable assets and then trickles into secondary assets in a lagging manner. If this idea is correct, this would showcase the best periods to enter and exit assets from a very high level from an investment point of mind.
To the investor these cyclical patterns are a gift that shows periods of wealth growing opportunities in traded assets. Enjoy!
BTCUSD Balanced Price (Tops & Bottoms) with Market RibbonBTCUSD Balanced Price (Tops & Bottoms) with Market Ribbon
The gradient ribbon is calculated based on the BTCUSD market index factoring in time with bottom orange and maroon lines showcasing the market bottoms.
On top of the ribbon is the adjusted balanced price (tops & bottoms) calculated from BTCUSD on-chain data.
Below we have the same BTCUSD adjusted balanced price (tops & bottoms) on top of a custom adjusted realized price grid using on-chain data.
BTCUSD cyclical nature is clearly on display and what a blessing it is!
BTC A New Way of Viewing Market Cycles?This idea is from an experimental historic indicator I'm working on which uses market price history to display a new type of crypto ribbon. Found some interesting patterns that I thought a few investors may find interesting.
2021 Market Cycle Pattern
2017 Market Cycle Pattern
2013 Market Cycle Pattern
2011 Market Cycle Pattern
Cheers!
Bitcoin Cycles - Road to $15M Bitcoin by 2040When in doubt zoom out...
This chart shows Bitcoin's road to a $15 Million per coin by 2040. It shows the impact of the halving cycles and the potential areas of the bull run cycles based on an average of the logarithmic growth curve commonly used to create rainbow charts.
The current candle will close in 6 months which is typically followed by two bullish candles before entering a bear market once again. We are entering the 4th cycle for Bitcoin and the future is bright.
#Bitcoin bear market Bottom 2022if we go back by time between bottoms and top and halving this is what we got if you know what i mean!! µ
we are already in the final first half of the bear market, and i think now we are in the seconde (last half)
the same time of the last bear mrket the bitcoin Dominance was at the same levels i expect big pumpto 60/70% on the dominance and big dump on the Bitcoin price ... im already in accumulation phase right now already invest 10% of my wallet, lets get the party start.
Bitcoin accurate bottom and top zones
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
This is my market mood indicator. Accurate determine the bottoms and top of cycles.
Based on this analysis on BLX chart and Monthly timeframe we can find something interesting
- Marked Monthly green zones.
- We never seen white color disbeliefe zones.
- Previews 3 times when we saw BLUE color it was a bottom (I was impressed how accurate it play out!!!)
- Now it looks like 2018-2019 period (green box-blue-green)
- So now no euphoria on market. Need to see yellow, orange and top will be again at extreme red
- Hard to say about timing but most likely we will test trendLine at 35-36 (maybe with fake out to 41)
- Then we will see yellow and orange color on indicator and drop to covid trendLines again 21-19 and continue move forward till 2025 March to extreme RED zones and end of cycle.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Where are we heading for the next cycle?From top to bottom, using log fib extensions:
Cycle 2: 2.272 Fib is the top of 2013
Cycle 3 : 2.272 Fib is the top of 2017
Cycle 4: 1.618 Fib is the top of 2021. Institutions are in since 2017, diminishing returns.
Cycle 5: Will 1.618 or 1.272 fib be the top of 2025? I bet on the 1.618 option.
Max pain will occur before, certainly. But the destination is known, path isn't.
Why would this time be different?The pattern is simple:
1. Top
2. Bear trend
3. Bullish pattern reversal breakout strongly
4. Retest (2015) or not (2019)
5. Consolidation
6. Echo Rally to 0.5 Fib
7. Decline and prepare for the base for the next halvening
Why would this time be different whilst we are at the consolidation phase in this cycle. Worst case scnenario restest of the base. I previously said 36k is a magnet. It is. That's the target of the iC&H that confirmed.
Now 42k is also a magnet.
Cycles of BitcoinIn weekly time units and in logarithmic scale, we can see that the cycles of Bitcoin have been based on technical support since 2010. This support gave way only once during the panic of the world stock exchanges in March 2020, due to the Covid 19 pandemic. This representation shows that Bitcoin is probably on the low of the current cycle (end of cycle) and that it will never return below $17,500, except in the event of a new global crisis which could cause the price to fall below its historical support.
The same analysis done in February 2019:
My analysis on the end of the current bear market:
Bitcoin reaching $33,000 end of summer (beginning of leg 3 of 4)Based on a fractal of MVRV Z-Score. My previous idea jumped the gun with the first two starting points, so I made this one as the bottom is in and so is the first high.
Most people seem to think we are going to be in these low levels for a while and that the next top will be in 4 years time. I think we are yet to reach the cycle top and that Bitcoin is emulating the 2012-2013 bull market with 4 tops. 1st top was in June '19, 2nd top was in April '21. We are currently just starting the 3rd leg up that is projected to top in February according to this fractal. The 4th top and therefore the end of this bull run for BTC should come around December '24.
This fractal idea of a $33,000 top in late summer '22 is only about the initial rally or, in other words, the beginning of the 3rd cycle. This MVRV Z-score fractal estimates a $232,000 price tag for Bitcoin in February, but this does seem to be too advantageous. I do not currently have a specific price estimation for the 3rd leg up, but the 4th leg should bring us to those levels.
Just my two mites.
To Christ be the glory forever!
DATE PROJ. ACTUAL
Jun-18 xxxxx 17593
Jun-26 xxxxx 21868
↘ Jun-30 18781 18596 (0.98% diff)
↗ Jul-06 21156
↘ Jul-12 19968
↗ Jul-23 25193
↗ Aug-02 28993
↘ Aug-05 26381
↗ Aug-11 28756
↗ Aug-19 32793
↘ Aug-23 31368
↗ Aug-29 33031
↘ Sep-04 29943
↗ Sep-09 31131
↘ Sep-13 29468
↗ Sep-22 30418
↘ Sep-28 28993
↗↗↗↗ onwards...
BTC/USDT CycleI'm trying with this chart to give hope to all those who are dissapointed to the whole situation going on right now and trying to explain how market works and how the price moves by in cycles which is showed in the half curved bubble how the price goes on and respects tremendously those supports in cycle at those zones of support and how price rises when the curve starts going up with the price in the chart explained , If Bitcoin respects those support zones and starts to go up prices are shown in chart the lowest point where BTC Can make new ATH which is shown 130k and Highest price where Bitcoin could hit probably it will take maybe some time more to peak to that price probably at 2022 December , So better make yourself ready for your holding bags till those price are hit and take profit to these perfectly zones shown on the chart!
Albanian description:
Po përpiqem me këtë grafik t'u jap shpresë të gjithë atyre që janë të zhgënjyer nga e gjithë situata që po ndodh tani dhe përpiqem të shpjegoj se si funksionon tregu dhe si lëviz çmimi në cikle që tregohet në flluskën gjysmë të lakuar se si çmimi vazhdon dhe respekton jashtëzakonisht ato mbështetje(supporte) në cikël në ato zona të mbështetjes dhe mënyrën se si çmimi rritet kur kurba(forma gjysmë e lakuar) fillon të rritet me çmimin të shpjeguar në grafikë, nëse Bitcoin respekton ato zona mbështetëse dhe fillon të rritet, çmimet tregohen në grafik më të ulëtat pika ku BTC mund të bëjë ATH (All Time High) të re e cila është 130 mijë dhe çmimi më i lartë ku Bitcoin mund të arrijë ndoshta do të duhet ndoshta pak kohë më shumë për të arritur kulmin në atë çmim ndoshta në dhjetor 2022, kështu që më mirë bëhuni gati për çantat tuaja të hodl derisa ato çmime të arritën dhe përfitoni në këto zona të përsosura të paraqitura në grafik!
Bitcoin top is in at 69,000$The latest bitcoin crash has caught all of us off guard. I believe that because of this crash, the bull cycle for bitcoin has ended, and it´s now time for altcoins to shine, primarily XRP, as it hasn´t shown significant growth in this cycle. Let me make this clear. As of the 4th of december we are in a bitcoin bear market. The altcoins have taken off in the retrace after bitcoin topped and crashed 40% in 2017. Just what we saw in this crash. If we see the altcoins take of in the following few weeks, this will be a great indication that my analysis is correct and the .702 fib retracement is a good short entry. I will be entering that short if, and only if we se altcoins take off during the retrace. I am expecting that bitcoin will go below 15,000$ if it´s rejected by the .702
Repost and Update of 'Golden Bull Cycle' (Orig. Trading Shot)Golden Bull Cycle originally posted by Trading Shot on Trading View.
The basic theory is that Bitcoin spends approximately equal amounts of time going from the bear market low to the halfing compared to the halfing to the bull market peak.
I've added Fib extensions based on the previous bull cycle peak and bear market low.
We see on all cycles a struggle at breaking the 1.618 fib extension, especially in 2013. The following bull market peaks seem to line up with the 2.212 and 2.414 Fib extension.
The trendline connecting bull market peaks from 2013 to 2017 give a projected target for the 2021 peak, also around the fib extension levels of the previous peaks.
This cycle gives a predicted peak date around the end of September at levels in the 200 thousands. Although this is the first cycle to experience a stock market crash so the bull run may have been delayed and perhaps this pattern may be broken.
⭐️ BTC Cycle break down [WHY YOU SHOULD HODL!] ⭐️NEW BITCOIN INVESTORS SHOULD READ THIS!
Bitcoin trends in cycles.
Bull Market (peaked price) -> Bear Market -> Accumulation 🔄
We have yet to come close to the logarithmic channel resistance.
Bitcoin is likely to test this resistance level at around $200,000 possibly some time in September - November. (unless for some reason the cycle is disrupted).
A Massive correction around 80% is more than likely to occur once the bull run is completed.
Which would bring the price of BTC to around $55,000 - $60,000
And the cycle repeats after that.. Which can potentially lead us to the price of 1 BTC over $1,500,000 BY 2024 - 2025!
For any new Bitcoin investors / traders. There is NOT an easy way to get rich quick. Patience will pay off in the long run!
#HODL!❤️
This idea / analysis is fully constructed on Fundamentals of Bitcoin .
Please give this a 👍 if this post taught you something new :)
Potential End of Year RunI ran a comparison between last cycle and this one, and if the proportions hold up from the breaking of the ATH, this is what our course could look like.
I also ran a comparison using the old July 2015 peak to January 2017 peak and if that played out it would put us even higher.
I'm also not sure if we should count that first leg up coming to the top of the red circle as a part of the final up-trend or not.
Hope this helps.
Bitcoin: The most sustainable bullish sequence since the ATH.The current candle sequence since February 6th is the longest in this bear market. Since the All Time Highs Bitcoin's strongest bullish sequence (Higher Lows) was 40 days in April/ May. The current sequence is 45 days and counting.
This is also evident on key technical indicators:
RSI: Current bullish streak above 40.000 = 45 days (longest since ATH).
CCI: Current bullish streak above -100.000 = 45 days (longest since ATH).
TSI: Current bullish streak above 0.000 = 35 days (longest since ATH).
Can this be a strong indication of bullish sustainability? It certainly is a sign of accumulation of buyers after the December bottom. This is a lengthy process and the longer the price trades above those levels, the stronger the foundation of the accumulation phase gets.
Read more on Bitcoin's cycle's and phases below:
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