Bitcoin spiked in potential reversal zone of bearish BATHey friends, hope you are well and welcome to new update on Bitcoin.
Bearish harmonic Butterfly move:
Three weeks ago, I told you that bitcoin is completing the final leg of bearish Butterfly pattern on the long-term monthly chart. Now finally the price action has rallied upto $24211 and completed this leg. Now there are chances of price reversal because the price action already has spiked in the potential reversal zone of this bit bearish Butterfly pattern.
Previous bullish harmonic Gartley move:
This is quite a similar move that Bitcoin completed in April 2020, but that was bullish Gartley. At that time when the final leg was completed, then I posted an article and video where I said that the price action has entered in potential reversal zone and it can be reversed from here. Eventually, the priceline reversed, and sofar it has rallied more than 255%.
The exponential moving averages:
On the long-term weekly chart, the price action of the leading cryptocurrency is at the high distance from the exponential moving averages with the time period of 10 and 21, therefore, if the correction rally will be started then we can expect a move upto exponential moving average 21 that is at $15250 at the time of writing.
Bearish divergence on the daily chart:
If we switch to the daily time period chart, then it can be observed that the price action is forming higher highs, but the RSI is moving in opposite direction sliding down and stochastic is in a sideways trend. But if we switch to the smaller time period charts like in hourly, 4 hourly and 12 hourly, then the RSI stochastic and price action of Bitcoin altogether are in uptrend. So, on the daily chart, we have received a weak signal for bearish divergence, but once this bearish divergence signal will be reflected on the smaller time period charts as well, then we can be confirmed that a down trend can be started.
Fractal resistance and supports:
If we place the zigzag indicator on the daily time frame chart, then it can be clearly observed that from 2nd Oct to 26 Nov, the Zigzag indicator was ignoring all up and down moves and not showing any pattern, this shows the power of bulls. Now finally, after 1st Dec the Zigzag is showing the correction move. It can be an indication that now soon we will have a sideways move or a start of down trend. Here we can also watch the fractals, like previously from 26 Nov to 11 Dec we had bearish reversal fractal resistance at $19900 and the price action broke out that resistance and started the next rally. Now if the price action will form bearish and bullish reversal fractals then we should observe, whether the price action breaks the resistance or support, if the support will be broken down then a rally to the down side can be confirmed.
Conclusion :
At the moment the bulls are in power and we have received very weak bearish signals. But the price action has also entered in potential reversal zone of Butterfly pattern, therefore a bearish reversal from here is very much possible.
Bitcoindollar
BITCOIN - 🚀 To the stars? or back to planet Earth? 🦒It was easy, while it lasted... but the fun goes on
Since the beginning of November we were screaming out loud: BUY IT , THIS ROCKET HAS JUST STARTED
We were right
Further down the road, at the end of November we set our 2 target take profit levels at 21,000 and 28,000
We were right again
On December 17, I shared with you how I had predicted perfectly the crash on Dec 17 /2017 and how this year is different.
I was right in 2017 and I was right again this year.
Right now, the price is at almost 29,000 and you can see our latest updated chart
So, what's next?
Well, this resistance now will be strong.
If this is broken Bitcoin fans can dream for a flight to the stars...but the scenario of gravity still playing a role is more reasonable and a return to the earth is more possible, with 22500 level demanding to be checked.
Let's see what happens next and if i will be right again.
Bitcoin DAILY analisysThe ORANGE LINE define our uptrend support.
If bitcoin closes ABOVE the orange lines, we still in bull run.
If Bitcoin closes BELOW the orange lines, we will have see the reversal, bearish scenario.
What we need for a healthy correction:
1 - MACD needs to go to a neutral zone (0);
2 - RSI needs to touch 40-50 level;
3 - Candle needs to to approach the EMA 50 (green line)
Possible scenarios to continue the uptrend (bull market):
1) Daily candle holding in the first orange line, putting the 20k breakout by the end of 2020 (Currently, I don't believe in this scenario)
2) Daily candle failing to hold on the first orange line, getting closer to major supports (second orange line), EMA 50 (green line) and U$15.800 level.
If btc closes BELOW second uptrend line (orange line) + U$15.800 , we turn to bear market again.
MY PERSONAL OPINION:
BTC will hold ABOVE the second orange line, continuing the climbing to U$20.000 (breakout by the end of january 2021).
MASSIVE buy orders will appear if BTC to go U$15.800 - U$17.500 level.
The probability of continuing the bull market is much bigger than reversing to a bear market.
Bitcoin DAILY analisysThe ORANGE LINE define our uptrend support.
If bitcoin closes ABOVE the orange lines, we still in bull run.
If Bitcoin closes BELOW the orange lines, we will have see the reversal, bearish scenario.
What we need for a healthy correction:
1 - MACD needs to go to a neutral zone (0);
2 - RSI needs to touch 40-50 level;
3 - Candle needs to to approach the EMA 50 (green line)
Possible scenarios to continue the uptrend (bull market):
1) Daily candle holding in the first orange line, putting the 20k breakout by the end of 2020 (Currently, I don't believe in this scenario)
2) Daily candle failing to hold on the first orange line, getting closer to major supports (second orange line), EMA 50 (green line) and U$15.800 level.
If btc closes BELOW second uptrend line (orange line) + U$15.800 , we turn to bear market again.
MY PERSONAL OPINION:
BTC will hold ABOVE the second orange line, continuing the climbing to U$20.000 (breakout by the end of january 2021).
MASSIVE buy orders will appear if BTC to go U$15.800 - U$17.500 level.
The probability of continuing the bull market is much bigger than reversing to a bear market.
BTCUSD broke out resistance, $25500 can be next targetHey friends, hope you are well and welcome to new update on Bitcoin.
Head and Shoulder pattern and resistance:
Previously we have seen that on a 4-hour chart the price action of Bitcoin formed a head and shoulder pattern and found resistance at $24200. Now the BTC has broken out this resistance.
Fractal resistance is broken out:
On the daily chart, after breaking out from a wedge pattern, the price action of the leading cryptocurrency found fractal resistance at $24100, that is also broken out.
Pennant is broken out:
On the hourly chart, the price action of BTC formed a pennant, and now finally, the resistance of the pennant is also broken out. Now, if we take the measurement from the tail of the triangle to the support, then the target can be $25500.
Big butterfly move:
However, on the bigger time frame on the monthly chart, the price action has formed a big bearish Butterfly and entered in potential reversal zone and from here it can start moving down at any time:
The EMAs can be re-tested:
If in the long-term the priceline will start a rally to the downside, then 1st it can re-test the $20K level, this is also previous fractal resistance and now working as support. Incase the priceline will cross down the $20K then 1st it can re-test the EMA 10 and then EMA 21, the exponential moving average 21 is at $15750 at the time of writing.
Conclusion:
On mid-term and short term, we can expect rally to the upside, however, on the long-term, the priceline can start correction soon.
Bitcoin is ready for a major dumpHere is why:
- Extremely overbought
- Mark the date DEC 17, for some reason we always see major trend reversal on this date
- DXY found major support. The price of bitcoin is inversely proportional to the dollar:
Where can BTC find its new support?
- Possibly around 15K, 13K, or 9K region
How long will this last?
- Nobody knows, only chart will tell.
If this helps you, don't forget to throw a like.
All the best and manage risks.
BTCUSD chart - making it publicThis chart was published few days ago. What I can tell so far is that BTC has reached its zone which might extend to ~27k.
negative divergence started to show up in the lower timeframes.
being the iv of 1 wherein wave ii was quite shallow, I do expect a deep retrace to 11-13k.
PS: my charts are simply ideas. not financial advices.
Thank you for your support
BTC 1D Gann Box in actionThere are a lot of coincidences on the BTCUSDT chart. Just look at how the calculations get to the bottom of 2018, then the first high of 2019.
And so it turns out that this week can become fatal.
And another interesting coincidence of dates adds intrigue:
On 17 December 2017, ATH BTC was fixed at level of almost $20k and today again on 17 December only 2020, and the new ATH is only almost $24k. Is it a manipulator's birthday today, or what kind of holiday? :)
If we apply the wave analysis, then we can assume that the third wave is ending now and a good-quality correction can be expected ahead of us.
The minimum correction should be expected in the zone of $11,500-12,000.
Of course, not this second and immediately, this process can take up to six months.
The stronger level is $9800 , just look at the chart how well it performed its function: both as resistance and as support.
And yes, we are aware that everyone is writing and saying that this bullrun cannot be stopped and this is only the beginning.
Consider our idea as an alternative scenario.
If we look at the prospects for the future 2021, the year of the bull, then it can turn out to be very interesting and hopefully profitable.
_______________________________
Since 2016, we have been analyzing and trading the cryptocurrency market.
We transform our knowledge, trading moods and experience into ideas. Each "like under the idea" boosts the level of our happiness by 0.05% . If we help you to be calmer and richer - help us to be happier :)
Bitcoin: The Longterm PictureI have been meaning to post this for a few months now. Bitcoin has been operating in this triangle since 2017. I feel the upward breakout from this triangle will be a new step in establishing the new Bitcoin cycle. For me, I would like to accumulate more Bitcoin anywhere below the median of the Bollinger Bands on the weekly as long as we stay within the triangle. Anywhere near the 6000s would be the best opportunity to load up if we get there. I am not interested in making any predictions as to the certainty of it reaching there. The blue line is where I will be buying aggressively.
This triangle can be drawn in many ways. The way I have drawn it just fits my vision. So for the longterm I feel breaking out of this triangle will have major meaning. I would like to see the price around $16000 by the end of this year and maybe then we can start talking about the unrealistic $50000-80000 predictions.
….so here it is Merry Christmas! 🎅Everybody's having fun. Look to the future now. It's only just begun… We couldn't think of better words than Slade did back in '85. The Bitcoin Bulls deliver an early Christmas present and break above the 20k mark. The breakout confirms the bullish pattern as depicted in orange. We think that higher quotations are now inevitable, and prices have room to roam. Next Stop ist the 25k area. This target, however, might be pushed further northwards, depending on how bullish the upcoming days will be. Stops for Longs should be placed below $17629.
Merry X-Mas and Happy Trading! ✌🏾