#BTCUSD ANALYSIS.. In the daily chart of Bitcoin, price is now between ma50 and ma100, and there will be a break out.. I expect a structure as I mentioned in the chart..
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor.. Please do your own due diligence when it comes to crypto-investing.. Never put in money that you cannot afford to lose.. Invest at your own risk..
I wish you all the best..
Bitcoindollar
Bitcoin getting more aggressive in forming bull flagsOn short term 4 hour chart the Bitcoin is forming bull flags since 29 March 2020. In the meanwhile the priceline of Bitcoin also formed a down channel from 6th April to 16th April and finally broke out the resistance of the channel and form the next bull flag. After accumulation the Bitcoin took another powerful bullish divergence on 22nd April 2020 and now it is likely to form another bull flag at this time it can be easily witness that the candlesticks are being accumulated for next bullish move.
The price action of the leading cryptocurrency has also crossed up the 25,50,100 and 200 simple moving averages and now it has a very strong support of all these four simple moving averages that can lead the priceline to turn more bullish.
Bounced from 200SMA now fighting 100SMA resistance:
If we switch to the bigger time frame on weekly chart then it can be easily seen that finally the priceline has bounced from the 200 simple moving average after producing a long bearish spike. At this time the priceline is struggling to cross up the 100 simple moving average resistance, more than half of the candlestick has crossed up this resistance once the candlestick will be able to breakout this resistance level then it can turn more bullish to breakout the next resistances of 25 and 50 simple moving averages. And once the price line will be able to cross up all these moving averages then we can witness a really very powerful bullish rally for the long term. On this chart we can also see that we had a strong support of $3322 but the 200 SMA support did not let the priceline of Bitcoin to hit it support even after a very powerful bearish move of March 2020.
Repetitive action like March 2018 to Feb 2019:
Here I would like to share with you again the BTC repetitive move that the Bitcoin has formed and other down trendline and moving above this kind line like it had formed from 2018 to 2019 and as per volume profile of previous trendline when the price line moved below the area where the traders interest was very low it took a powerful bullish divergence for more than 300% profit. Same as like previous move when the Bitcoin moved below the area where the traders interest was very low is taking another bullish divergence.
A big bullish Gartley has starting working:
Here I would like to recall the very big bullish Gartley pattern that the Bitcoin has formed on very long term monthly chart and potential reversal zone of the this pattern is working now. The buying zone or potential reversal zone starts from $7231 to $5424 and at this time we can see that the price action is moved above $7,500 and moving towards the Fibonacci projection area of A to D leg of this Gartley pattern.
This Fibonacci projection area starts from $8654 to $12070, you can also take it as a single trade and buy from the potential reversal zone and sell it between Fibonacci projection area as sell zone. but I am expecting that this time priceline will make a powerful attempt to breakout the resistance level that is at $12325 because it has taken a powerful bounce from the 200 simple moving average on the weekly chart and once this resistance will be broken out then the Bitcoin can start very powerful bullish rally.
Stop loss:
Despite all bullish signals and indications I would suggest you to take care of your stop loss. And you can make your stop loss the 200 simple moving average on weekly chart or the potential reversal zone of this Gartley pattern. Because once the 200 simple moving average and this potential reversal zone support will be broken down then the Bitcoin can re-test the previous support level at $3322.
Conclusion:
On 4hr chart soon Bitcoin is going to make the next bull flag and soon it will also break out the 100 simple moving average resistance on weekly chart for a powerful bullish move and it will hit the $12325 resistance for breakout. In case of $12325 resistance we can see more powerful long term bullish rally.
BTCUSD | Long the Breakout OnlyPlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
The price is near the Mid line resistance of the Ascending Channel and also near the Resistanc trendline of the Local Ascending Channel.
If price manages to break this Resistance node we can initiate a long position.
Remember the setup might be invalidated if we lose out current local support.
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable!
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
BITCOIN 30k-40K VS GOLD 2000$ ( 2020 Year End) Bulls Run ComingBitcoin ( BTC ) has rebounded above trend and the bulls are currently attempting to scale above the $6,000–$7,500 resistance zone. A breakout of this zone can retest the recent highs of $13,200. If the momentum can break through it 13K Next key resistance level 17200$, where short sellers will be forced to send back BTC 12K TP 10K$.
BITCOIN VS GOLD:
In many ways, gold is the precious metal counterpart to the bitcoin. Like the bitcoin, gold must be obtained through mining. But, while gold is obtained through physical mining, bitcoins must be “mined” virtually through the deciphering of special computer encryptions. Another similarity is that both gold and bitcoins are only available in limited quantities. It is estimated that there is approximately 171,000 metric tons of gold in the world, while the Bitcoin system will only be able to generate and support a maximum of 21,000,000 bitcoins until further technological advances are made. The first reason that the bitcoin will never replace gold is because it still poses a great deal of financial risk. Despite its recent peaks in market value, the bitcoin continues to experience significant price fluctuation that often results in substantial losses. With such instability and uncertainty surrounding the bitcoin , it is unlikely that it will generate the customer base to match, much less surpass, gold as an investment asset. Another reason that the bitcoin is unlikely to replace gold as an investment asset is that the system has yet to achieve full status as a truly "universal" and legitimate form of currency. Many countries in the world still don't have any clear regulation of crypto market. But possible in future some rules and regulation come in force.
2017 BITCOIN Surges more than 2000% and hit all-time high 19,00$ and crush back to early 2018 at price $3200. Consequently, as long as investors believe that gold can generate profits, they will continue to forgo any other potential replacements. Bitcoin as a virtual payment system, we feel that there are many issues it still needs to address in terms of security and sustainability before we can encourage customers to use it or accept it as a method of payment may be next 2-5 Years
Good luck
BTCUSD | Possible Fakeout Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
We might have a Fakeout, but to confirm this scenario we need to receive the price crosses back inside of the Channel. Only this way the bearish sign will be confirmed.
However as we broke out of the Channel to upward, I highly recommend to watch the local resistance, because the growth should be continues if we pass this level.
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable!
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Bitcoin is still in a distribution phase, sorry bulls.Hi guys,
so my previous idea that we had a falling wedge with higher probability that we would make a push back upwards towards 7.8k range worked out pretty well
I was short term bullish, and I was watching and waiting for that tick upwards.. but I think the end is very near and we are heading towards a big crash down
in the very near future, maybe in the following weeks, most probably before the halving happens..
looking at everything, I am seeing a Wyckoff distribution pattern that is currently being followed, and this spike upwards was nothing more than our UTAD test
we will probably be ranging a bit within these areas for a few days maybe.. but I think a big drop and crash down out of our rising wedge is likely to be happening
if we do close our monthly candle above the EMA21 I will be very bullish for bitcoin.. so that monthly candle close will tell us all, and that's only 6 days away :)
so for now, my bearish bias still remains, if you want to hear more reasons why? then you can still watch me live on Facebook or Youtube, just google " The Dang Oracle "
have been streaming live daily 7.30PM (UTC+8)
see you on the next one. #stayhome #staysafe #staycovidfree
-Ryu
BTCUSD | Channel Update Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
We got our Retrecement and now price is going to test the Resistance of the Local Ascending Channel + Channel.
If there is a confirmed breakout of the Channel to upward we can initiate a Long position. Also the price can take a correction to the Mid Line of the Local Ascending Channel. In this case we can initiate a long position if there is a confirmed retracement of this point
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable!
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
BTC: Bullish and Bearish scenario imminent breakoutFriends, please, support this free technical analysis idea by clicking the LIKE button below. Thank you!
Within the next 48hours an imminent move gonna happen, 70%Bearish to around 6200 and only 30%Bullish to 7500.
will keep updating you after the break.
BTCUSD | Broke the Mid LinePlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price broke the Mid Line of the Channel so we can retest the Higher Boundary of the Channel. Also we might see a correction back to the Mid Line, also the Ichi Cloud. In case there is a confirmed retracement here we can initiate a long position.
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable!
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
BTCUSD | Bearish Flag Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price is floating along the Mid line of the Descending channel and formed a Bearish Flag. In case we have a confirmed breakout of the flag to downward it will also be a confirmed rejection of the mid line, so we can initiate a short position
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable!
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
BTCUSD | Retracement Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price was supported by the Ichi Cloud + the Mid line of the Descending Channel. It should be a retracement to the higher boundary of the Descending Channel and possible to the Mid Line of the Ascending Channel.
Stop-loss can be placed under the Mid line of the Descending channel or under the Ichi Cloud zone, if it comes to actions.
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable!
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Bitcoin: Ascending Channel Analysis 12H (Apr. 19)X FORCE GLOBAL ANALYSIS:
BItcoin has been on a steady rise for the past few weeks. In this analysis, we assess both bullish and bearish probabilities for Bitcoin
Bullish Evidence
- We are currently trading within an ascending parallel channel, creating higher lows
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also shows a steady uptrend with higher lows, which is a sign of trend strength
- We have recently broken out of a bull flag
Bearish Evidence
- We are still trading within a descending channel in the bigger picture
- We have just created a lower high on the daily
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows mixed signals, with a lack of momentum
- We have been rejected by the 0.5 Fibonacci resistance
- We are yet to test the descending trend line resistance
Market Sentiment:
Long short ratios are at 64 to 36, with significantly more bullish sentiment than bearish sentiment.
What We Believe
We believe that Bitcoin will remain bullish, given that the ascending parallel channel remains intact. It's highly likely that we see continuous attempts to break and close above the significant resistance zones drawn above.
Trade Safe.
BTCUSD | Retracement Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price retraced of the higher boundary of the Descending Channel. We should expect the Ichi Cloud to be tested and possibly the Mid Line of the Descending Channel
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable!
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Bitcoin shorts getting squeezed? or bull run iniated?Hi guys,
things are looking pretty good in the short-medium term for BTC, a very nice rally happened since our doomsdrop in March, and looks like we are getting to an apex soon?
have been making a lot of live videos on my perspective, if you are interested in watching it, join me daily 7.30 PM (UTC+8) on Youtube or Facebook LIVE @ The Dang Oracle
for now we have broken nicely out of our falling wedge during this weekend, and it seems we are holding the EMA55 on the daily, and looks like we are going to get our leg
up higher.. however, we need to be very careful as volume seems to be going down overall, which indicates a weak push upwards
similar to our stocks market that is rallying as well, due to FED printing a lot of dollars (and crypto markets is printing a lot of tethers)
I would be very careful with what will happen next week/before the monthly close, but if monthly manages to close above the EMA21 things might turn bullish on a macro level
going to be some very interesting times in the next few weeks..
overally I am still macro bearish, and don't really believe we will get a V shape correction.. however the market will do what it wants to do, and we should get ready to adjust towards it
for now, I am looking very very carefully at the green box on the top, 7.8k range... which can wick up a little bit higher obv, just under 8k
-Ryu
BTCUSD | The Moment of TruthPlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
We are near the extreme point on Weekly chart. Price is in descending channel and currently is testing the Mid Line of the formation.
If we have a confirmed breakout of this line we can go to the Ichi Cloud to test it.
If we get rejection here that can be a good leg down and retest of 6.600$ and then 5.800$. However for the bearish scenario I would requere the breakout of the 6.900$ horizontal support.
The 6.900$ horizontal is strong and treat the price bullish while we are above this level. But once this level is lost, then down we go.
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable!
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Reached the edge of a rising wedge, is this the swan song?Hello there, this is our view on BTCUSD, enjoy!
Bulls have had their time, but now while coronavirus keeps spreading all around the world I don't believe world market will recover further more. Bitcoin is a new part of this market and news may even influence its value. So we're questioning: what will BTC do now?
A regular recover after the big dump which has occurred on March 12th has took place in form of a small uptrend inside a rising wedge, which now is just about to terminate. The textbook result for this breakdown should be a 2130$ dump in a couple of days. And there are many signs on chart and oscillators which confirm this teory: price could never manage to breakout of the pink trendline, which comes from weekly chart and always acted like support-resistance line. Zooming out price could never close weekly candle above 6650 support level (0.382 fib), which is extremely bearish too. Volumes kept going down since the dump, so I assume this recover is completely natural and not whales based: without solid buyers coming in there's a risk of a further dump waiting silent to take place. Also moving average golden cross (50-200) was negated and it took price down of a 34%; a death cross is now pending since 10 days ago. On h4 time frame price could easily get up to moving average 200, but couldn't state a complete breakout since it couldn't manage to break it out on closure. And that's the same for exponential moving average. Ichimoku cloud still looks bearish on daily and is very tight on h4, so it is never supporting a leg down. Many oscillators, first of all fisher transform, are looking overbought and are now forming many bearish divergences with price both on h4 and daily. I observed chaikin, money flow, relativestrenghtindex, stochastic and ultimate and they all look the same except rsi. Stochastic in particular is just about to mark a death cross on h4. Awesome and moving average convergence-divergence played themselves on h4, forming bear divergences with price.
But don't panic sell now: I also found a little clues about further bullishness in the next future. In fact we dumped too hard and we now miss a retest on weighted moving average 200 base (around 7.7k). Also a big gap on cme futures let bulls believe it needs a wick up to fill it. Bollinger bands start to look very bullish on daily as price broke middle band and never went in oversold while there; they're now beginning to stretch suggesting next big move is preparing. Ichimoku cloud would turn bullish only if price could enter it on daily. Oscillators look great on daily base, a little overbought, where they're trying to breakout in an uptrend. Stochastic is just about to mark a golden cross. Both awesome and moving average convergence-divergence are growing, stating bullish momentum on daily.
I tend to believe that most traders are now greedy, don't know why, so I bet a bearish scenario is more probable and that's what I drew on chart: many people think that fiat are now losing their values and savers will put all of their money in Bitcoin and gold so they could preserve their purchasing power. In reality no one knows where this young asset is going: it's new and never existed during a world crisis. Bitcoin popularity, total number of traders and wallets are increasing, so this could make traders think that we're mostly going up, as there are more holders too. And that's what we're expecting for post-halving, but how will we get there? We hypothesized a strategy, based on our actual money management:
wait for price to breakdown the rising wedge and then short it to the death on retest.
Entry (short): 6650 - 7000
Target (short-term): 5850 - 5550 - 4430
Stoploss: 7407
Risk/reward: upto 3.04
Personally I suggest you should trade upto 10% of your total capital with low leverage (2x-10x).
Trade safe and stay at home. Anlvis
Bitcoin Medium Term Bearish ScenarioBitcoin has broken above the downtrend! I don't trust it and believe a rounded top will form as previously seen.
Included a fractal for the downward move towards the spiral, and some comparison points.
I know I've made a lot of BTC posts lately but there hasn't been much movement in the market so there isn't new BTC information to analyse!
Here are some of my recent ideas
800k by 2027? according to this fib spiral, yes.
Bitcoin with BTC Dominance