Bitcoin Dominance Double Resistance – Altcoin Breakout Ahead?Bitcoin Dominance Double Resistance – Altcoin Breakout Ahead?
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📊🚀 Bitcoin Dominance Double Resistance – Altcoin Breakout Ahead? 🌈📉
Hey Traders!
BTC Dominance just hit a critical confluence of resistance at the top of the ascending channel (62.82% to 63.53%) and is already showing early signs of rejection. History tells us this zone doesn’t hold for long—check the left side of the chart for past failures!
📚 What This Means:
If dominance rolls over here, expect altcoins to finally break free and start outperforming. 🌱
Watch for a key breakdown below 62.32% to officially kick off the next wave of altcoin dominance.
Targets for dominance on the downside: 59%, 56.9%, and possibly even 54% over the coming weeks.
📈 Probability Outlook:
✅ 70% chance BTC dominance gets rejected—altcoin rally ahead! 🚀
❌ 30% chance dominance breaks higher—remain cautious on alts.
This is the moment we’ve been waiting for. Altseason isn’t declared yet—but the gates might just be opening!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoindominance
Having a Mini ALT pump -but it may not last much Longer -CAUTION
The main chart is the Daily BTC PA and the BTC DOMINANCE ( BTC.D ) super imposed below, for the same period.
When BTC.D Drops and BTC PA remains stable, we see ALTS increase in Value, Mostly.
On the main chart, you can see that in Nov 2024, Till Dec, we had a mini ALT seasons and we are having another now
But will this last ?
If we look in more detail at the BTC.D chart below, we can get some ideas
Will it Last ? I do not think so.
We are on two areas of strong support right now.
The 618 Fib extension has provided support already and PA bounced. In fact, at time of writing, Many ALTS are in the RED on an hour chart. We need to watch and see where we go in the next 7 hours
Should this Fib extension Fail, Just below is a longer term line of support.
SO, I would head towards a High rate of Caution with the ALTS right now.
Does this mean that Bitcon will push higher ?
The potential is there, YES
High Level of Caution for th eALTS right now
Altseason Has Been Started (But I Am Not Sure...)Hello, Skyrexans!
Let's carefully make update on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D because previous analysis where I bet for local top slightly above 65% is playing out even stronger than I supposed. Today I will show you why altseason could be already started, why I am not sure and where is the critical level.
Earlier I told that daily time frame does not suit for this Elliott waves cycle measurement, but we have 155 bars there, slightly above 140 bars, so we can count it as a valid. Moreover we can see zero line cross on Awesome Oscillator, but again only slightly. That's why I am not sure if uptrend on dominance is over or we shall wait for earlier predicted wave to 67%. But anyway I am sure that 60-61% will be reached before, so it was not a mistake to be in altcoins from 65.3%. When price will reach Fibonacci level we will see how it will approach it and make a decision about our altcoin's holdings.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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BTC Dominance New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We had a bullish diametric for Bitcoin, and it seems that the price has reached the highest point of this diametric. Wave E of this diametric, which is a bullish wave, is nearing its end.
We refer to this as the highest point because Wave G might not reach the peak of Wave E.
We expect a rejection from the red box, and this rejection could be very strong. Smaller altcoins could experience a significant pump.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Dominance TA, Bearish SignalsRecently I spotted a very strong, long-term bearish signal on this index. A triple-bearish signal as it is present with three indicators. I am talking about a bearish divergence.
Volume has been dropping significantly as the index moves higher.
The weekly RSI peaked October 2023 and has been producing lower highs. The MACD peaked July 2023.
These are long-term, but let's have a closer look and consider the daily chart.
Here we have some interesting signals as well, let's start with the candles:
—Here we have a rising wedge ending in a rounded top and long-term double-top. The uptrend is also in risk of failing. A breakdown of this uptrend, which can happen anytime, would result in a strong crash of this index.
Next is the daily RSI:
—The peak happened November 2024. There is also a short-term lower high as the peak this month happened on the 7th of April, the index peaked on the 22nd.
—The daily RSI is already trending lower.
Clearly the most interesting and revealing of all three indicators is the daily MACD. Let me show you the chart first and then I'll describe the signals:
—Here the lower high is so strong that reveals what is coming to this index. The MACD peaked in February and produced a lower high this month, April. Notice the bearish cross, it happened yesterday.
The daily MACD and RSI trending down with short-term, mid-term, long-term and long long-term bearish divergence all point towards a lower reading on these oscillators.
The last major drop for this index happened in November 2024 with the bottom hitting a month later, December 2024. At this time Bitcoin produced a very strong advance as well as the entire Altcoins market, it was awesome.
It is surely interesting to notice that the index recovers and moves higher while Bitcoin continued to grow. But at that time the Altcoins were starting their correction. Most of the Altcoins peaked late November 2024 and some in early December 2024. So this index is more related to how the Altcoins behave rather than Bitcoin.
When it drops, it does not mean that Bitcoin will drop but that the Altcoins will grow. When it grows, it does not necessarily means that Bitcoin is moving up but that the Altcoins are moving down.
We know the Altcoins are set to produce their strongest growth period since 2021. This Bitcoin Dominance index works as confirmation. It leaves no room for doubt.
» Doubt can remain open as to whether the start of this rise will happen tomorrow or within a few weeks. Short-term, anything goes; the market can become erratic and produce some strong shakeouts, specially preceding a major wave of growth. But after 2-3 weeks, it is 1,000% certain that the entire Cryptocurrency market will be bullish and up. Regardless of what this index does or anything else for that matter. When the time is ripe, the market grows.
The time is ripe right now... You will be happy with the results.
Namaste.
BTC Dominance at Crucial Support– Altseason Incoming OR Ending? 📊🚀 Bitcoin Dominance at Crucial Support – Altseason Incoming? 🌈💰
If you’re wondering why I’ve been focused on BTC more than altcoins recently, this is exactly why! Dominance plays a critical role in understanding market cycles and timing those explosive alt moves.
📚 Quick Recap:
BTC dominance reflects Bitcoin’s market share versus altcoins.
Historically, altcoin bull runs often begin when BTC dominance tops out and reverses.
The last big altseasons kicked off from the 73% dominance zone—but remember, history doesn’t always repeat, it often rhymes!
🔎 Current Chart Observations:
BTC dominance is currently testing support at 63.41% within an ascending channel.
Resistance sits at 64.25%.
The dominance is flirting with re-entering the channel, but hasn’t confirmed yet.
📈 Probability Outlook:
✅ 62% chance BTC dominance breaks down—bullish for altcoins!
❌ 38% chance dominance holds and moves higher—bearish for altcoins.
If BTC dominance breaks down from this level, it won’t just be a red candle—it’ll be a flashing green light for altcoins! 🚦📈
Mastering these cycles is crucial if you want to position yourself properly ahead of the next big alt moves.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin Dominance: Don't Be So OptimisticHello, Skyrexians!
My previous CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D forecast now is playing out well. I bet for the reaching 65.35% before drop, we have seen 65.5% which is almost the same. Now dominance is dumping, but I warned you it's not the end. Now I will give you small update.
I will not cover higher degree waves, you can check previous articles, let's cover only this Elliott waves cycle. The wave 3 now is finished slightly above the 1.61 Fibonacci level and now is printing wave 4, to make sure that wave 4 is finished we want to see the Awesome Oscillator zero line cross and reaching the target area next to 63.5%. After that I expect wave 5, it's not going to be extended because wave 3 is extended, so, the target is 65.5% again to retest. After that we can wait for bigger correction to 61%.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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A Table to show you Money Flow when BITCOIN DOMIANCE MOVES
A Simple Rule of Thumb can be followed when BITCOIN DOMINANCE moves up or down and it can save you a fortune if you use it properly.
BTC.D - BTC - ALTS
increase - increase - Decrease
increase - Decrease - Decrease Rapid
increase - Stable - Stable
Decrease - Increase - Increase Rapid
Decrease - Decrease - Decrease / Stable
Decrease - Stable - Increase
Currently we are seeing BTC.D Decreasing and yet the BITCOIN Price in Increasing and ALTS are INCREASING
Tjhis is Great BUT you need to watch BTC.D like a Hawk now because when that changes and begind to rise again, as it will do one day, maybe soon maybe in a month....then the likly hood of ALTS dropping Quickly is high
Bitcoin is now in heavy resistance and pushing through.
Pay attention to how long it can do that
The table above is your Saviour
#BTC Dominance Update – Key Levels in Play!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
Bitcoin dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) is trading inside a beautifully defined rising channel on the 4H chart.
📈 What’s unfolding?
✔ Strong support holds at the lower channel line (marked by green arrows)
✔ Bounce potential toward the upper channel resistance (~65%)
✔ Expect possible rejection there, followed by another retest of support
💥 Why this matters:
✅ BTC dominance drives altcoin sentiment
✅ Rising dominance → pressure on altcoins
✅ Watch for a breakdown below support → potential altcoin relief rally
⚙ Key Takeaway:
Monitor this channel carefully. If dominance breaks below support, alts could gain momentum. If it bounces, BTC will continue to lead.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments — are you betting on BTC or alts next? 🚀👇
Bitcoin Dominance - the two scenarios!Bitcoin dominance continues to rise after breaking out of a rising wedge pattern on the weekly chart. It has now also broken through the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Next stop is Rectangle 1, where Bitcoin dominance is expected to reach 68% — and most likely, this will mark the top of dominance before it starts to drop, triggering a historic altcoin season.
Scenario 2:
Dominance keeps pushing higher toward Rectangle 2, potentially surpassing 70%. At that point, many altcoins may form new lows, and weak projects could get wiped out.
Fear in the market will hit extreme levels —
but that could signal the beginning of an altseason and the collapse of BTC dominance.
Best regards Ceciliones 🎯
The Most Important Bitcoin Dominance Analysis!Hello, Skyrexians!
This CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis can be a little bit complicated, but this is very important update on our previous analysis. Dominance is next to the top, but now the period of unexpected moves has been started.
Today we have 12h time frame to look at the internal wave structure. Tonight dominance hit the higher degree wave 3 target at 65.3% like I told you in previous article, but the subwave inside the wave 5 inside wave 3 is not finished. Let's count the waves for yellow cycle and we can see that there were no the wave 4 because Awesome Oscillator is still above zero. When it will cross it the yellow waves 5 will finish wave 5 inside wave 3. Now I expect the move to 63-63.5% then retest of recent high again then more significant correction and then another one wave to the upside - final big shakeout.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Bitcoin: The Robot Taxi Driver We Didn’t NeedWhy Blockchain Is Driving the Future Without It
In the 1990 sci-fi classic Total Recall, Arnold Schwarzenegger’s character hails a futuristic taxi only to be greeted by “Johnny Cab”—a creepy, clunky robot driver that awkwardly talks while struggling to navigate.
Back then, audiences imagined a future where robotic taxi drivers would be commonplace. But instead, we got something far superior: fully autonomous, self-driving cars that render robot drivers unnecessary.
The same is happening with Bitcoin. It was revolutionary, sure—but much like Johnny Cab, it’s outdated, inefficient, and rapidly becoming irrelevant in a world driven by advanced blockchain technology.
Bitcoin: The Nostalgic First Step
When Bitcoin burst onto the scene, it felt groundbreaking—just like the idea of robot taxi drivers in the Total Recall era. It gave us a new way to transact, free from centralized banks. People were thrilled, seeing it as the future of money.
But here’s the problem: Bitcoin was never the endgame. It was merely the proof-of-concept—like Johnny Cab showing that, yes, you can put a robot behind the wheel… but does that mean we should?
As financial systems evolved, Bitcoin’s shortcomings became glaringly obvious:
✅ Slow transaction speeds
✅ High fees
✅ Lack of scalability
✅ Energy inefficiency
Meanwhile, blockchain technology—the real revolution—kept advancing, proving that we don’t actually need Bitcoin any more than we needed Johnny Cab.
Enter Blockchain: The Self-Driving System
Self-driving cars didn’t need robot taxi drivers, and blockchain doesn’t need Bitcoin.
Blockchain is the foundation—an autonomous, self-sustaining system that underpins everything from finance to supply chains to digital assets.
In fact, precious metals, equities, and commodities are all moving toward digitization—but not through Bitcoin. Instead, they’re being integrated directly into blockchain-based ecosystems that offer seamless, smart contract-driven transactions.
The result?
💨 Faster
💡 More efficient
🛠️ Scalable & adaptable
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is stuck in the past. It’s clunky, expensive, and increasingly unnecessary—just like a robot taxi driver frantically punching buttons while self-driving cars smoothly navigate the streets.
Why Bitcoin Will Be Left Behind
Much like how we skipped the “robot taxi driver phase” and went straight to autonomous vehicles, the financial world will soon skip Bitcoin entirely as blockchain technology takes over.
Everything digital is moving toward streamlined, automated systems—systems that don’t require Bitcoin as an intermediary.
So the real question isn’t, “Will Bitcoin survive?”
It’s: “Why would we even need it?”
Just like Johnny Cab in Total Recall, Bitcoin might be fun to look back on—but it’s not the future.
Blockchain is the self-driving car. Bitcoin is the unnecessary robot driver.
And in a world that values efficiency, guess which one we’re leaving behind? 🚗💨
INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:MARA TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER TVC:DXY SP:SPX NYSE:BLK NASDAQ:TSLA NYSE:GME INDEX:ETHUSD CRYPTO:XRPUSD CRYPTO:ADAUSD
Bitcoin dominance and the altseasonIn this chart, you can see the Bitcoin dominance from 2017 till now.
The depth of the altseason was 35.14% and for the bear market we went up, up to 73.02.
If we take a Fibonacci retrace level, we can see during 2021 altseason we were only retraced 0.893 or 89.3% what we lost during bear market.
It was something new and for the first time, Bitcoin Dominance didn't make the new all time low.
Following the same fact, I decided to find the possible levels for bitcoin dominance to top. we are getting closing the the 0.786, this level usually the last level that we could be bearish in any chart, however remember that last altseason we passed 0.786 but rejected at 0.893.
My opinion would be we are reaching to the top of Bitcoin dominance sooner than later, I can easily see Alts are reversing from bearish in short term and BTC Dominace Maxing in stoch RSI.
When you stay longer than usual in max excitation in stoch RSI you will be doing longer in opposite direction as well
Max BTC dominance can reach 66.2%
However, worse case scenario I am expecting at least BTC Dominace during altseason drop to 49.14% which is a historical support and also resistance during BTC season and Alt Season.
Ideally, we should go down up to 45.30% as it would be the 0.786 of the range from 39.9% to 66.2%
However, if we are able to make a new All time low in BTC dominance first idea place to see rejection or reaction would be 32.38%
Bad News From Bitcoin Dominance: Pain AheadHello, Skyrexians!
I got sick for these 5 days that's why has not shared updates, but market was very boring so we didn't miss any significant move. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D concerns me now because to end this trend we need to see any significant correction, but we didn't. On the 12h Awesome oscillator was not able to cross zero line and reversed to the upside, so our main change is that daily time frame measures the wave 3 inside the major impulse.
If we count waves inside this impulse price is approaching 1.61 Fibonacci level at 65.3% and trust me it's much better to see it's reaching before the drop. When this wave will be finished, wave 4 will happen. It can bounce significantly to 61%. This is strong target area and I am sure we will be there soon. Wave 5 can be extended, can be not. The max target is 71%! Sounds awful. The likely target at 66-67%, to make it more precise let's wait for wave 4 finish.
I plan to close in profit those part of trades which has been opened after Feb 3 dump on this potential bounce to have money to add on the last huge shakeout. People believe in altcoins too much, very unlikely to have altseason now. Ready for hate!
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Btc.d targetting lows.This is the short term target.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Total 3, do flags point to the target area?Welcome back dearest reader,
Today i have a very interesting analysis for you, quite some valuable time was put into this.
What i've noticed is the following:
-From april 2021 untill july 2021 total 3 has been trading in a bullish wedge flag, when we continue the lines on the full candle bodies the apex pointed to the top of that flag durationwise
-August 2022 till october 2023, extend the trendlines, apex march 2024, look up. Oh.
-March 2024, october 2024 --> apex december 2024, look up. Oh.
Now:
-January 2025, april/may 2025, apex june 2025, look up. Oh.
-I used the fractal from july 2021 as i think we're in this period
-Upward sloping channel from october 2022 untill now could provide insights as to what the target price might be, HH and HL
Target: 1.5T
Also check out my BTC.D idea, these would coincide perfectly
~Rustle
Is it certain this will happen? No-one has a glass ball, all we have are patterns based on past performance, this is no guarantee. But it does look good.
Let's Watch Bitcoin Dominance Together!Hello, Skyrexians!
You may think that we make analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D too often, but it's needed because as we pointed out many times we are closed to the global top and it's important to predict when altcoin season starts.
Today we have 12h time frame to look in details at final wave 5 inside global 5. Wave 3 inside this wave is about to be finished at 64.85%. This is not new information. You can check our previous 12h analysis and see it. Today price has reached the target and soon we have to see the reaction and small correction to 0.38 Fibonacci at 63%. During this drop altcoins may show great performance, but after that last shakeout will happen. After that we expect 3-5 months of dominance decrease.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin Dominance Is About To Finish The Growth CycleHello, Skyrexians!
Time to update our main chart CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and today we will take a look at 4h time frame to make sure that everything is going according our global scenario.
Today we consider wave 3 in 5 into the global 5. It has been almost done with the potential double divergence and ending diagonal at the top. The next wave is higher degree wave 4. It has the target at 0.38 Fibonacci at 63%. From this point we expect final wave 5 to final target at 66%.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin Dominance Is Printing The Last Shakeout Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we pointed out that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is in the last bullish wave which has a target approximately at 66% and the bear market on altcoins is almost over. Today we will look in details on this wave inside and try to predict the most precise scenario.
Let's take a look at 12h time frame. Here we can see the wave 1 and 2 and now price is in wave 3. Fibonacci extension levels 1 and 1.61 is the target for wave 3. Looking at the current wave we can say that it's not over, so it will likely to see 64.7% in this wave before the correction. Correction is going to be subwave 4 which will likely be finished at 63% then we have the last wave which can be equal to wave 1. In this case predicted earlier 66% will be reached at the end of April.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC.D - Still in the ascending channelCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D remains firmly within its long-standing ascending channel. The recent “fake breakout” below the channel has been invalidated as dominance swiftly returned to the channel, showing a strong reaction and confirming the channel’s validity.
This suggests:
✅ Bullish Implication for BTC: Bitcoin is likely to continue gaining dominance in bullish moves, outpacing altcoins in performance.
✅ Bearish Impact on Altcoins: In downturns, altcoins are expected to experience sharper declines compared to Bitcoin.
Traders should monitor this channel as a key indicator for market behavior, especially for Bitcoin and altcoin strategies.
Bitcoin Dominance, We Are Waiting For You!Hello, Skyrexians!
We are changing color according to the new upcoming market cycle phase, hope our forecast will be realized and it's time to be bullish. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is about to flash the reversal signal, while altcoins dominance and USDT dominance are already did it, but we don't also forget about disaster targets.
Let's take a look at the daily chart. Earlier we told that this is final wave 5 and now we are trying to catch its top. We mentioned that dominance will enter into 63-66% target area and it did it. Now we have to be focused on the reversal signals. For example Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator has already printed the red dot at the top. Moreover Awesome Oscillator started reversing. You can say that this is the top, be our intuition tell us that some small move to the upside will be continued to 65%. Also we need to mention about nightmare wave 5 extended target at 70%, but this scenario is unlikely because it will break the divergence on the daily chart.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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''Altseason 2025''Welcome back dearest reader,
I will probably get alot of backlash from bitcoin maxi's for writing this post, i have read and heard it all by now. I'm not disregarding their opinion on bitcoin and i think it will do well, but not as well as some altcoins which i have monitored.
First the technical part:
~Bitcoin has seemingly formed a double top pattern with now on the weekly a gravestone doji (confirming this sunday). Looking at previous action from 2019 and 2020, these have been topping indicators and indicate a bearish reversal which in turn will be bullish for altcoins.
~ MFI --> massively overbought.
~ Stoch RSI --> nearly at 100! Screaming for a reversal.
Over the past months everyone seemed to think ''this is the top, only to see dominance rise further and alts bleeding''. It is possible that BTC.D doesn't correct immediately, but i do suspect an altseason to be really close.
Sentiment: When everyone... i mean EVERYONE is bearish. ''Alts to zero'', ''bitcoin is the only good coin'', ''Ethereum is dead''. This has historically been the perfect time to buy. And that time is now.
''But, there are over 13 million altcoins now!''
Yes this is true, i don't think all of them are going to do well, stick to the ones available on big exchanges. Those have 400 different ones on average. From those i have covered some allready which i think are going to do well, it's worth your time to look at those ideas.
Any questions?
Ask.
~Rustle