Orange Breaks, We Fly. Blue Falls, We Dive. The chart highlights two critical regions, each playing a pivotal role in determining the next trend direction for IBIT Bitcoin shares:
Orange Box - Key Resistance Zone
The orange box represents a crucial resistance area. For the rally to sustain momentum and push higher, this region must be decisively broken and secured. A close above this level, coupled with strong volume, would indicate the bulls are in control, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Blue Box - Key Support Zone
The blue box acts as a significant support level. Should the price fall below this zone, it would suggest weakness in the market. A confirmed breakdown, followed by a retest of the orange box from below, provides an opportunity to take a short position, as this would signal the onset of a downtrend.
Conclusion:
These zones are pivotal for the current market structure. Traders should closely monitor price action around these levels to identify whether the market leans towards bullish continuation or bearish reversal.
Bitcoinetfs
The writing is on the wall #BTCThis chart speaks for itself. Pure price action for me. This is looking at the daily chart and we can easily identify key area. Like where we could be headed both long and short. Nevertheless, #BTC is doing exactly what it needs to do to take us to the next level. Hold on to your seats people This is going to be a hell of a ride. Downside move could be in the play short term, but history shows us each halving comes with its topside move HOLD STRONG!!!!
Is a supply shock coming for Bitcoin?Traders,
I will probably not be posting as frequently this next week due to some personal matters that require more attention. Thus, I thought pushing out another general update on where we are currently sitting in the crypto space would be appropriate.
As you have seen, I have still been busy entering trades in alts. The main reason for this is Bitcoin’s continued sideways price action. Because the bears have not had the power to push it down to the 48k support area, various altcoins have been given a chance to continue their rise. I have been attempting to spot those coins with the greatest potential of popping and entering as I see the time is right. So far, we are doing great in this regard. And unless/until the bears are able to push Bitcoin down below that bottom ascending purple support, I will continue to look for good setups in the alts. Though, I may not have the opportunity to alert you all on every exit or take-profit point this week, I will still attempt to post any new entries. Perhaps, that is what you all would prefer anyway as it will mean less in the way of noisy substack notifications from me? Let me know in the comments any further thoughts on this.
Back to Bitcoin. Honestly, Bitcoin bulls have amazed me. Even with the pullback that I expected after the ETF approval news, we did not touch the supports that I expected we might. This indicated the bulls would maintain control. And they certainly have.If done right, the technicals will often show us the future of price action. But sometimes, it will not show us the complete picture without at least a surface understanding of the fundamentals. For this reason, I have alluded to fundamentals several times in my previous weekly updates and Bitcoin posts. Mainly this:
Bitcoin ETFs were at one point demanding an average of 12x+ that which Bitcoin miners could supply.
Only 24% of Bitcoin remains liquid and available for trading
Bitcoin halving is only months away making it that much less available
Demand from various nation-states for Bitcoin continues to rise
Simple math here dictates that the multiplier effect is going to cause Bitcoin (and much of crypto) price to go parabolic. We could soon see a supply shock occur that has never been witnessed previously. And, my followers know, I am no moon-boy who incessantly pumps crypto. My conclusion simply is predicated upon cold, hard logic, math, and reason.
Side note: I have never been a huge Bitcoin fan as you may have been able to tell from my underhanded jabs or derogative nicknames I have given to BTC like “Boomer Trading Coin” and more recently, “Blackrock Trading Currency”. I believe that of all cryptos that exist Bitcoin is probably one of the least private, most expensive transactionally, and most centralized in terms of ownership. Certainly, the latter is much more true recently. There are far better alternatives that exist that fulfill the goal and function set forth by Mr. Nakamoto. Anyways, this is a whole other topic and Bitcoin remains the lead dawg on which all eyes are focused. Therefore we must give it the attention and respect it deserves as the price leader of the crypto space.
To conclude, if we don’t see a pullback in Bitcoin soon, this sideways action, much to the shock of many analysts, may be all that we see. At most, at this point, I would be happy with a retreat and touch of the 48k support area before we hit new all-time highs this year.
Altcoins will certainly come along for the ride here and the best blockchain technologies will exaggerate this move up. I still believe many alts can see 10x plus gains from here.
In any case, we have to be prepared either way. So, continue to practice those safe trading habits: be disciplined and consistent with your strategy, set your targets, set your stop-outs, don’t put all your eggs into one basket, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Taking Profit on my Bitcoin TradeTraders,
While I have stated all along that Bitcoin could spike to as high as 55k, though 50-52k is more likely, my target of 48k has been reached and I am choosing to take my profits now. 48k is huge resistance and I will probably not trade again until future direction can be confirmed with a close above 48k and two more candles opening and closing above that same price. If that doesn’t happen, it means we should see a bit of a pullback here as hype and euphoria dies down.
Additionally, you can see we’ve also reached RSI resistance exactly when we touch 48k. This is very significant. Watch closely over the next few days. It should be interesting.