Bitcoinforecast
LETS PUMP THIS BABY. BTC/USDT ANALYSIS THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE....this video is provided for educational, informational, and entertainment purposes only, without any express or implied warranty of any kind, including warranties of accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose.
LET'S GATHER AT 25K AND TALK WHAT ARE THE NEXT POSSIBLE ZONE! TUNE IN!
BITCOIN price, SP500, FOMC-Fed Funds Rate. Today will be hot🔥In 9 hours (from the moment the idea is published), the FOMC meeting will announce the new Fed Funds rate
At the previous meeting on 12/14/2022, the rate was raised from 4.00% to 4.50%
And then, the forecast was more than 70% that on 02/01/2023 the rate would be raised by another +0.5%, and on 03/22/2023 +0.25%
However, over the past month, US economic indicators have shown positive dynamics , sometimes even better than expected.
CPI 12/01/2023 - 6.5%, and GDP with a forecast of 2.6%, - 26.01.23 = 2.9%.
Everything was as the Fed wanted and as the markets were "guided".
Most financial markets took this news very positively, including the cryptocurrency market.
Roughly speaking, the announcement of today's rate has already been "priced in" to current prices.
Moreover, 99.7% expect that due to improved macroeconomic indicators, the US will announce a rate hike of only +0.25% today, not 0.5% as predicted a month earlier.
And more than 82% believe that the rate will be raised by +0.25% to 5% in total on 03/22/2013.
To summarize:
- the announcement of a rate within the expected range of 4.50-4.75% will act as a driver for the continued growth of both the SP 500 and the crypto market. Of course, increased volatility is guaranteed, which may be used to try to knock "extra passengers" out of long positions with a squeeze down.
- The announcement of a rate of 5.00% or higher is guaranteed to bring down both the SP 500 and the crypto market. How long the fall down will last is "another question".
We have depicted these two possible scenarios as fractals.
Which one do you like better: blue or white? Vote in the comments
SP500 also has two possible scenarios:
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Bullish on Bitcoin, Prove Me WrongThis is my favorite indicator for a macro lense. As you can see by the CM Super Guppy Indicator; and the VWAP something very interesting is happening that you cannot fade. First off you'll notice we are over the VWAP for the first time in months, but when layered over the Super Guppy Indicator you can see thats it's very hard to deny these moves in either direction. People will tell you to short this all the way up and it really makes you wonder. Also, 18500 was a serious level that was defended for 6 months and was only pushed slightly lower when the news of the FTX scandal hit. The very fact that within 6 weeks bulls we're able to reclaim this territory is not something to be faded. So yeah, until i am proven otherwise i am very bullish on Bitcoin
Bitcoin to leg up?Bitcoin - 24h expiry - We look to Buy a break of 24011 (stop at 23379)
Our short term bias remains positive.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
A break of the recent high at 23956 should result in a further move higher.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Daily signals are bullish.
Our profit targets will be 25641 and 25941
Resistance: 23100 / 23500 / 23923
Support: 22700 / 22500 / 22300
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Too early to say that Bitcoin has entered a bullish trend?Is it too early to say that Bitcoin has entered a bullish trend? The weekly timeframe suggests that the overall trend might no longer be bearish considering the current price of Bitcoin has broken the upper line of the downward trend line.
A factor that could prevent Bitcoin from moving higher is that it is approaching the 200 EMA period, which could be a strong resistance. Furthermore, there is a supply zone at around $24,300 that could pose a problem for the cryptocurrency's short-term upward trend.
The narrative on the daily chart is almost the same, with the only significant change for a bullish signal being the closure above the 200 EMA period. On the other hand, the RSI indicator is giving an overbought signal. Currently, Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase in the daily timeframe within the range of the Darvas box.
Bitcoin - THIS Support MUST HOLD❗Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Here's a quick 3min video for a potential long-setup on Bitcoin with an entry point, a take profit point and a stop loss point.
Here's my previous analysis on near term price action on BTC, which played out almost exactly:
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Bitcoin is about to destroy the longs!Hello, everyone!
Yesterday we had the long trade which brought us the very small profit. I closed the trade manually because price has broken down the low of the bearish reversal bar. You can find this moment in the previous idea’s update. Today we have the potential short trade setup with the very tight stop loss.
1h time frame of the BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart is showing us that the yestrday’s pump is likely has been ended. First of all, the Awesome Oscillator shows the decreasing momentum which means that bears took control in their paws. Also we have the fractal level at $22919 , if Bitcoin price will break this level I am going to execute the short trade with the stop loss at $23173 becuase the second up fractal is placed there. The profit target I chose randomly.
Using the classical technical analysis we can see the triangle pattern which has been broken to the downside. This is not reliable sign for me, but it’s also the bearish sign.
Best regards, Ivan
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Will Bitcoin give us this long trade opportunity?Hello, everyone!
Let’s continue our trading journey. Yesterday we had the successful short trade on Bitcoin, but tonight it gave us the early reversal signal, that’s why I decided to close the trade in solid profit and wait what the market will give us.
Let’s take a look at the 1h time frame BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart. We can see the bullish reversal bar at the very bottom. This is the simply the bullish hammer with the large angle with the Williams Alligator red line. This was the first valid signal that the downtrend is weakening right now. Moreover the BTC has already created the first fractal above the red line. If it will be able to overcome this level at $22998 we can use the long trade setup pointed out on the chart. In case of losing support at $22738 we can open the new short trade because the potential trend reversal is not valid anymore. Anyway we should not try to predict the future, just trade the current market situation.
Best regards, Ivan
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If you like my trade ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality analytics!
Bitcoin is forming the bull trap right now!Hello, everyone!
I hope you enjoyed my last two trades, it were extremely risky, but we took very nice profit. I have completely changed my mind about trading. As you know I have lost significant amount of money, shorting the market during current bull rally. It was the moment where I fully understood that market is unpredictable. That’s why I also revealed that Elliott waves are needed not for entering position and predicting the future, but for the verification if the market is in impulsive or corrective wave right now. I was too self-confident using waves and forgot about other Trading Chaos tools. Now I started to use them all.
We have 1h time frame of the BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart. The price hit exactly my target for the long trade and started local retracement. Now we can see that it has already formed two up fractals and one downfractals. It means that we have the fractal signals for both sides, long and short. Looking at the higher time frames we can notice the multiple bearish divergeneces. That’s why in my opinion the long trades now are risky. I will remind you, divergence is the greatest predictor that the wave 5 has been ended. It is not the signal, just caution.
What about potential trades? We have the key fractal level $23564 . If the price will break this level I am going to open short with the stop-loss above the second up fractal $23893 . take profit I am going to place at $22575 . But we have to watch out carefully the moment when price approaches the crossover of the trendline support and resistance, we can see the reaction from there.
If the signal will be activated it is going to be under the red line of the Williams Alligator indicator. It confirms the signal’s validity. Awesome Oscillator has also shown us the short signal, which enhanced our thoughts.
Best regards, Ivan
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If you like my trade ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality analytics!
Bitcoin idea | UpdateMy idea; the probability of breaking the support line and falling to 21500 is more likely
Bitcoin - BTCUSDT - BTCUSD
✅ ✅ Risk warning, disclaimer: the above is a personal market judgment and analysis based on published information and historical chart data on The trading view,
And only some of these analyzes are my actual real trades.
I hope Traders consider I am Not responsible for your trades and investment decision.
Trading is Repeating- Not sure that we already finished Wave 1.
- What we know is : " BTC went straight up for 4 weeks ".
- the safest way for now if you missed the last bottom is to watch and wait.
- At one point TheKing have to retrace, so be patient.
- if BTC Retrace now :
- Set your Fibo to -61.8% Retracement, around 18,500$
- Charge bag at the good time.
- if BTC push more :
- Wait for a retrace and recalculate your -61.8%.
- Keep it easy and Stay Safe!
Happy Tr4Ding!
BITCOIN SHORT based on liquidity grabbingmy shitty analysis based on liquidity grabbing in the market.
BTC just grabbed shortside liquidity internal range, expecting a grab of internal buyside liquidity at 23200 then further down move all the way to 20000 range before continuing to take built up buyside liquidity internal range.
Expecting further ranging movement for some time, but a short opportunity right now.
That's all.
Possible level for BTCThis is a very basic and general idea about what we had as a resistant and support level between the $20k to $69k. Desipite of everyone is mentioning that bear is finished and we will have new ATH or this is just bull trap, you can find yourself a pretty good simple technical analysis of what level we should pass. At worst case scenario we need to at least reach a 0.5 Fib to say that we have retracement of crash and ready for the next one. Best case scenario starts when we pass 0.786.
If we pass that level then I will be joining everyone to watch the market for better market.
ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE, AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IS TO FIND THE POSSIBILITIES.
While macro economy is not well I do not see a reason to be bullish for new ATH but we can be cheerful for a nice retracement.
Bitcoin (BTC) forming bullish BAT for another price reversalHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Bitcoin (BTC)
In the previous trade setup, after a lot of sideways move, finally Bitcoin rallied more than 43%.
Now on a 2-hr time frame, BTC is about to complete the final leg of a bullish BAT move.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade
#BTC Game of Bullish and Bearish Deviations..#BTC has been trading inside this channel for the last week.
Only a breakout will decide the trend.
All the marked deviations are merely a filtration process before the next leg.
But it's crucial for BTC to break the $23k level by this week.
Else the trend will weaken if it gets rejected again and again.
Keep an eye, better not be emotional.
IMHO, Wait for the breakout in HTF, You can't be bullish or bearish in a sideways trend.
You will only lose money trying to trade the sideways market.
DYOR, Not financial advice.
Do show your support with your likes and share your ideas in the comments.?
Thank you
#PEACE
The Bull market for Bitcoin has been confirmedI am so overwhelmingly optimistic that I incessantly evaluate my emotions to ensure that my viewpoint is not erroneous. But how unrealistic is this when #Bitcoin is on the verge of closing its weekly candle at this current price level? We have breached the triangle and the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In recent days, Bitcoin has also established support at the 0.382 Fib level. Bollinger Bands are contracting, indicating an imminent explosive breakout. In my opinion, we can begin preparing to revisit the $35,000 price level in the upcoming weeks. That is the next resistance point, specifically the 0.236 Fib retracement.
Furthermore, the outlook on the monthly timeframe is highly favorable, which is in the process of closing within the next few days.
Wishing you all a thriving bull market, my fellow Bitcoiners.
Bull confirmed.