From $110K to $66K? The Political Game Behind BitcoinBitcoin's surge from $73,000 to $110,000 was purely driven by political factors and Trump's statements. However, after Trump took office, the market was waiting for a stimulus to continue its bullish rally. With Trump's silence and the start of a trade war, sellers took control, leading to a 30% correction from the all-time high.
🚨 Key question: What happens next? 🚨
📉 If Bitcoin doesn’t receive further political support from Trump, we could see a drop below $73,000, possibly even $66,000!
Is this a buying opportunity or a warning sign? Let me know your thoughts! 👇💬🚀
Bitcoinidea
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things:
1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different)
2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe)
3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe.
I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH)
Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
Long Story short for BTCHistory hasn't failed yet, so the four-year cycle is still intact until it isn't. I have stretched this chart out for the next couple of years so that you can get a good idea of where the potential bottom will be during the next bear market. I plan to accumulate as much as possible the closer it gets to 66k. If we do reach a 150-250k top this cycle then I will expect a bear market bottom between 66-76k. Watch my levels and use them as a guideline. Historically Bitcoin has NEVER returned to the price its low during the US election week:
2012 Election Week Low - $10
2016 Election Week Low - $700
2020 Election Week Low - $13,200
2024 Election Week Low - $66,800
that brings us to now... if this doesn't indicate the current market sentiment then I don't know what will. There's a reason why many genius economists are speculating a 1 million dollar bitcoin in the next 8 years.
Bitcoin BTC Is Ready To Take Off!Hello, Skyrexians!
Yesterday we pointed out that 0.5 Fibonacci has been reached at $80k and this dump will not continue. Today we have a great bounce above $85 and the great chart to be sure that our previous scenario is right.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. As usual we have the 5 Elliott wave cycle which has been started at GETTEX:49K and finished at $110k. Then the current correction has been started. Yesterday this ABC zigzag has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and bounced back. The great thing is the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator inside the target zone. This gives us 90% probability that price has found the bottom and ready for the next huge wave to the upside.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BITCOIN Final update !!! We're about to BOOM!!!According to bigger picture, we're still in bull market, 5th of macro and ending 4th of micro elliott wave.
Good news is, that we're about to get back into bullish mega green candles soon!!
BTC's major CME gap has been filled and this was also the region where FVG is also available and also corrective pattern (double three) Y ends in this region in combining with expanded flat's C. we may most probably by will of GOD almighty will see green days in coming weeks. Targets of wave 5 are up to 120-130K region.
Bitcoin Dropped Below $80k: Will This Nightmare Will Be Stopped?Hello, Skyrexians!
Despite the extreme fear tonight BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues going down and finally broke $80k. Investors are panic selling right now and don't know what to do. But we pointed out earlier that the most impulsive part of bull run ahead and current dump is just the correction.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Here we can see that the potentially strongest reversal signal has been broken. We are talking about divergence with AO. That is the reason why we marked that waves 1 and 2 like you see on the chart. According to this counting we can see that wave's 3 targets are at the $140k and $190k. At the same time we wanna tell you that the strong resistance is located at 1 Fibonacci level at $110k and we have seen it already.
Current dump is wave 2 inside wave 3. It has the target between 0.5 and 0.61. The first one has been already reached. We expect reversal from here. Moreover Fractal Trend Detector is showing us bull run support with the green zone and now we see its retest.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC at a Make-or-Break Level Bitcoin is at a tipping point. If it stays under GETTEX:87K , we could see a drop to $80,806, and if that doesn’t hold, $75K is on the table. But if BTC breaks through GETTEX:87K , momentum could push it to $88,800, and a move past $92,121 would signal the correction is over and the uptrend is back. This is a key moment—let’s see where it goes.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
BITCOIN trading plan 25/2/20251. Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing signs of a potential sell opportunity, with a target set at $82,000.
2. Traders should closely monitor market trends and resistance levels before executing any sell orders.
3. If Bitcoin approaches the $82,000 mark, it may face profit-taking pressure, leading to a price correction.
4. Technical indicators, such as RSI and moving averages, can provide additional confirmation for the sell strategy.
5. Market sentiment and external factors, including regulatory updates and macroeconomic trends, should also be considered.
6. A disciplined approach with proper risk management will help traders maximize profits while minimizing potential losses.
7. It is crucial to set stop-loss levels to protect against unexpected market reversals.
8. Historical patterns suggest that after reaching new highs, Bitcoin often experiences temporary pullbacks.
9. Traders should stay informed about institutional activities, as large sell-offs by major holders can impact price movements.
10. While Bitcoin remains a strong long-term asset, short-term traders can capitalize on volatility by strategically selling at key resistance levels.
It's Time for Bitcoin's Future Trend!As I mentioned in my post yesterday, there was a possibility of the price dropping to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, from which I expected active buying followed by a trend reversal for Bitcoin and the entire crypto market.
The price of Bitcoin has dropped to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and this was enough to trigger a reaction. We’ve already seen a +2,000 price bounce, and there may still be some volatility with price movements up and down, but a drop below 82k is unlikely. I’m waiting for the daily candle to close, after which I will consider my strategy for opening a position.
Bitcoin "Crash" 2025Bitcoin started a more significant correction recently, which is scaring many people, and there is already a lot of talk about the beginning of the Bear market.
In my view, the upward trend is still intact, and this could very well be a healthy correction to prepare for a more significant rise in the coming months.
We have an important support level at $75K which has confluence with the 3D SMMA which has already proven to be strong in the past, I think there will be some reaction and that could very well be the end of this correction, but as long as the price manages to stay above $70K I will remain bullish and looking for Longs.
It is important to note that the Fear and Greed indicator is at 21, with Bitcoin at $84K.
Bitcoin Breaks Major Support: Time to Enter Short Positions...?Bitcoin has recently broken through a crucial support level of $92000 on the daily timeframe, following almost three months of consolidation. It may be prudent to hold off on entering a short position until a retest of the $92000 level occurs. The next significant support area to consider is approximately $73000, which could serve as a target for any potential short positions.
Bitcoin Maxis: Your Delusion Is About to Get Liquidated!Oh look, Bitcoin maxis are back at it again—screaming "NEW ALL-TIME HIGH SOON! 🚀" while conveniently ignoring every single warning sign flashing like a Christmas tree on fire. 🔥🎄
Shall we take a quick reality check? Let's talk about that chart—the one showing a huge bearish divergence on the RSI . Yeah, that thing maxis pretend doesn't exist because, apparently, TA is for "normies." Price is pushing up, but momentum? Looking about as exhausted as a degenerate who just YOLO'd their life savings into a dog coin. This is not a bullish sign.
Last time we saw this pattern? Oh right—November 2021, right before Bitcoin went from $69K to $15K in record time. But hey, I’m sure "this time is different," right? 😂
Then there’s the rising wedge , which is basically a giant neon sign saying, "Hey, we’re about to dump!" But maxis, bless their little diamond hands, will call it "accumulation" while their portfolios get sliced like a Thanksgiving turkey. 🍗
Now, let’s talk targets. 20K? Very possible. 15K? Wouldn’t be shocking. The big green arrows in the chart? Yeah, they’re not pointing up. But don’t worry, you’ll still hear "BUY THE DIP!" echoing through the wreckage as another cycle of hopium plays out in real time.
At the end of the day, Bitcoin maxis don’t need technical analysis—they need therapy. Because no matter how many times the market smacks them in the face, they’ll still be here, shouting " Number go up !" while ignoring every single warning sign. 😆
Tick. Tock. The market doesn’t care about your laser eyes. 🕰️
Bitcoin Plummets: ETF Exodus, Liquidations, and Global Jitters
Bitcoin's recent plunge below the $90,000 threshold, a level unseen since November 2024, has sent ripples of concern through the cryptocurrency market. This sharp correction is attributed to a confluence of factors, including persistent ETF outflows, a surge in leveraged liquidations, and mounting geopolitical tensions, creating a volatile environment that has shaken investor confidence.
The most immediate catalyst for Bitcoin's decline has been the sustained outflows from US-listed Bitcoin ETFs. These exchange-traded funds, which had previously fueled Bitcoin's ascent by providing institutional investors with easy access to the cryptocurrency, have recently witnessed a reversal in sentiment. Investors, possibly reacting to broader market anxieties and profit-taking, have begun withdrawing funds, putting downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. This outflow signals a shift in institutional appetite, raising questions about the sustainability of the previous bullish momentum.
Adding fuel to the fire, the crypto market has experienced a significant wave of liquidations. Over $1.3 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out as Bitcoin's price plummeted. These liquidations, which occur when traders using borrowed funds are unable to meet margin requirements, exacerbate price volatility by triggering cascading sell orders. The sheer volume of liquidations underscores the high degree of leverage prevalent in the crypto market, highlighting the inherent risks associated with such trading strategies.
Furthermore, macroeconomic uncertainties are contributing to the risk-off sentiment permeating financial markets. The recent strengthening of the Japanese yen, often seen as a safe-haven asset, reflects investor concerns about global economic stability. Similarly, the dip in Nasdaq futures suggests a broader aversion to risk in traditional equity markets, which often spills over into the crypto space. The re-emergence of US-China trade tensions adds another layer of uncertainty, as any escalation could have far-reaching economic consequences, impacting investor sentiment and asset valuations.
The technical outlook for Bitcoin remains precarious. Analysts are closely monitoring the $85,000 support level, which, if breached, could trigger a further sell-off. The potential for over $1 billion in long liquidations below this level suggests that a significant drop is possible. Some analysts are even warning of a potential free fall to $81,000 if the $85,000 support fails to hold, indicating a severe test of market resilience.
Moreover, a more dire prediction posits that Bitcoin could potentially drop below $70,000, erasing gains made since the US election. This scenario, while alarming, highlights the vulnerability of Bitcoin to macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment. The prospect of a significant correction raises concerns about the stability of the crypto market and its ability to withstand external shocks.
The current market conditions serve as a stark reminder of the inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the past, its price remains susceptible to a wide range of factors, including ETF flows, leveraged trading, and global economic conditions. Investors must remain vigilant and exercise caution in navigating this turbulent landscape.
The recent downturn underscores the importance of risk management in cryptocurrency trading. Leveraged positions, while offering the potential for amplified gains, also carry the risk of substantial losses. The high degree of leverage prevalent in the market can exacerbate price swings, leading to rapid liquidations and further downward pressure.
Furthermore, the growing correlation between traditional financial markets and the crypto space highlights the need for investors to consider broader macroeconomic factors. Changes in interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions can all impact investor sentiment and asset valuations.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent tumble below $90,000 reflects a confluence of factors, including ETF outflows, leveraged liquidations, and global economic uncertainties. The market remains highly volatile, and further price swings are possible. Investors should exercise caution and prioritize risk management in navigating this challenging environment. The ability of Bitcoin to recover from this downturn will depend on a variety of factors, including the resumption of ETF inflows, a reduction in leveraged trading, and a stabilization of global economic conditions. The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can regain its footing or succumb to further downward pressure.
Important Bitcoin levels. The game of expectations.Today, it is important for Bitcoin to close below 88,000. There is a high probability that today the price will drop to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, thereby partially closing the gap on the daily chart, and the RSI will consolidate below 30 even with a closing price below 88,000. All these factors combined will be sufficient to trigger strong accumulation with a breakdown of the structure, leading to a new all-time high within the next 2-3 weeks.
However, the market doesn’t always play out perfectly. There remains a possibility of a prolonged scenario. In this case, from the current price block (88k - 86k), the price may form a local bounce with a full ABC cycle in the coming days and test the key resistance level (106,200). After that, the price will likely return to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and possibly retest this important level.
A similar scenario occurred last year during a similar phase of prolonged correction, where the price eventually reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, though not immediately.
What's next can we expect from Bitcoin???Bitcoin after making All-time-high is being trading in a long range. According to range trading rule, btc is currently trading under the range low.
Now, if we see range low reclaim, then we can see btc making new ATH (green line).
If btc doesn't holds it's support, then we may probably see btc tapping into it's fvg and from there we can expect great reversal (blue line).
bad case scenario if btc dumps below 80K (major CME gap region) (yellow line).
Bitcoin 4H Chart Analysis & PredictionKey Observations:
1. Price Action:
- The price is trading near $91,575, following a significant sell-off with large red candles.
- There is a small bounce after tapping into a green demand zone, suggesting potential short-term support.
2. Support & Resistance:
- Strong Resistance:
- $93,927
- $94,675 - $95,109 (cluster zone)
- $96,118 - $96,756 (major resistance)
- Support Levels:
- The current green zone around $91,000
- If broken, next support appears closer to $89,000-$88,000.
3. Liquidation Levels (Circles on the Chart):
- The large orange and blue circles represent high liquidation points. The orange circles above signal potential resistance as trapped longs may sell into rallies.
- The blue circles below suggest liquidity that could attract further downside moves.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- RSI sits around 24.5, in deep oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation.
- However, RSI can remain oversold during strong downtrends.
5. Momentum Indicators:
- Market Cipher B-like signals:
- Green dots at the bottom, indicating potential bottom formation or relief bounce.
- The momentum waves are still pointing downward but could flatten if buyers step in.
- Bearish Divergence: Still visible in previous moves, so bulls need confirmation before a trend reversal.
6. Money Flow Index (MFI):
- Negative flow continues, showing capital leaving the market, adding bearish pressure.
Scenarios & Predictions:
⚡ Scenario 1: Relief Bounce (Bullish Short-Term)
- If the $91,000 support holds and RSI recovers from oversold, we could see:
- Target 1: $93,927
- Target 2: $94,675 - $95,109 (key decision zone)
- A break above $95,109 with volume could push towards $96,756. However, rejection is likely given heavy liquidity above.
⚡ Scenario 2: Breakdown (Bearish Continuation)
- If $91,000 fails, expect a sharp decline toward:
- Target 1: $89,000
- Target 2: $88,000
- Momentum and money flow indicators still favor this scenario unless buying volume spikes soon.
Overall Bias:
- Short-term neutral-to-bearish, with potential for a relief bounce.
- Watch for volume confirmation and RSI divergence on lower timeframes before entering long positions.
🕵️Key Levels to Watch:
- $91,000: Immediate support.
- $93,927 - $95,109: Short-term resistance cluster.
- $89,000 - $88,000: Next downside target if the current support breaks.
⚡ Final Note:
The market is showing exhaustion signs but needs confirmation for a reversal. If Bitcoin doesn’t hold the current level, the liquidity below could drive another sell-off. Always manage risk carefully—especially with heavy liquidity zones nearby.
Bitcoin's Volatility Lull: Is a Major Breakout Imminent?Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, finds itself in a peculiar state of limbo. While the broader financial world buzzes with geopolitical uncertainty and economic shifts, BTC's price action has settled into a remarkably narrow range, leading to a significant drop in implied volatility. This period of relative calm, however, is juxtaposed with significant undercurrents: a major exchange hack, strategic accumulation by corporate giants, and the ever-present debate over Bitcoin's next major price movement.
One of the most notable observations is the near-record low implied volatility. Implied volatility, a measure of the market's expectation of future price swings, has dwindled, suggesting traders are anticipating less dramatic price fluctuations. This quietude is unusual for Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset. Traditionally, such suppressed volatility often precedes a significant breakout, either upward or downward. The current stasis could be a coiled spring, ready to unleash a surge of price action when the right catalyst emerges.
Adding another layer of complexity is Bitcoin's rangebound trading. Despite the recent Bybit hack, which raised concerns about exchange security and potential market instability, Bitcoin has remained remarkably resilient within its established trading corridor. This resilience, however, has also bred a sense of unease among traders and analysts. The lack of a decisive break in either direction has left many wondering whether this consolidation is a period of accumulation or a sign of waning momentum.
The Bybit hack, while disruptive, appears to have had a limited impact on Bitcoin's overall price trajectory. This suggests that the market may be becoming more adept at absorbing such shocks, a sign of its growing maturity. Nevertheless, the incident serves as a stark reminder of the inherent risks associated with centralized exchanges and the importance of robust security measures.
Amidst this backdrop of low volatility and rangebound trading, the pronouncements of prominent traders and corporate players are adding fuel to the fire. A crucial narrative revolves around the $106,000 price level. According to some analysts, this threshold represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin. A successful reclaim of this level would, they argue, signal the beginning of a new phase of price discovery, potentially leading to substantial gains.
However, the path to $105,000 + is far from certain. Counterarguments suggest that a significant dip to $80,000 remains a distinct possibility. This perspective highlights the inherent uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, where technical analysis and fundamental factors can often provide conflicting signals. The potential for a sharp correction underscores the importance of risk management and the need for traders to remain vigilant.
On the bullish side, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor continues to make waves with his unwavering commitment to Bitcoin. The company's "21/21" plan, which involves ongoing Bitcoin accumulation, is progressing steadily following a recent $2 billion convertible note offering. Saylor's bullish stance and his company's strategic acquisitions have become a significant market force, providing a powerful vote of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
MicroStrategy's approach is not merely speculative; it is a calculated bet on Bitcoin's role as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This strategy has resonated with other institutional investors, contributing to the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. The company's continued accumulation efforts are likely to exert upward pressure on Bitcoin's price, particularly if demand from other sources increases.
The confluence of these factors – low implied volatility, rangebound trading, the $105,000+ debate, and MicroStrategy's aggressive accumulation – creates a fascinating and potentially explosive dynamic. The low volatility could be a temporary lull before a significant price movement, while the rangebound trading indicates a period of indecision that will eventually resolve itself.
The $105,000+ level represents a critical test for Bitcoin. A successful breach of this threshold could trigger a wave of buying, propelling the price to new highs. Conversely, a failure to reclaim this level could lead to a significant correction, potentially validating the bearish predictions of a dip to $80,000.
In the meantime, MicroStrategy's continued accumulation provides a strong foundation of support for Bitcoin's price. The company's strategic approach and its commitment to long-term holding suggest that it is not swayed by short-term price fluctuations.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current state is a complex interplay of conflicting signals. The low implied volatility and rangebound trading create an atmosphere of uncertainty, while the $105,000+ debate and MicroStrategy's accumulation provide clear points of focus. The cryptocurrency market is poised for a potential breakout, and the direction of that breakout will likely be determined by the interplay of these factors. Whether Bitcoin will reclaim $105,000+ or dip to $80,000 remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the next chapter in Bitcoin's story is about to unfold.