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Bitcoin Weekly Analysis Here's the corrected version: BTC continues to lead in this bullish market, reaching a new all-time high. Initially, we anticipated the price to target $75,000 as an algorithmic prediction, but it fell short and stopped at $73,800, likely trapping buyers who had set psychological targets for $75,000 and $80,000. The drop in BTC is healthy after the significant gains we've witnessed in this bullish trend. It seems BTC is taking a breather, with buyers who entered around $15,000 and $30,000 now taking profits to accumulate at better prices. Following the halving, predicting BTC's behavior becomes more uncertain, but historical data suggests BTC tends to reach new highs after halving events. From a technical analysis standpoint, we identify a sweet spot for accumulating BTC between $47,000 and $39,000. Breaking above $52,000 and closing above it on a weekly basis would likely propel the price to $47,000 and $42,000. In terms of market dynamics, we have significant funds from the USA, and now China is also getting involved. This suggests that BTC is unlikely to drop to low prices like last time. Best of luck to everyone, and I'll provide updates if I observe any changes in the analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Deotrade1
BTC Downside 2 Parts 5 Day first $52-32K! On the 5 day you can see if you draw 2 fibs, one from the last break up... in yellow, another fib, grey from cycle low to top, and look back, you can see that there are 3 tops that need to be tested from previous cycle. when you draw the yellow fib, the previous high has to be tested, that's between the 6.18 & 78.6, 90% of the time, that top gets tested, roughly GETTEX:49K , the 61.8 is just above that, and that also has a top lined up with it at 52.6K those are the 2 white lines and the white circle area. The 5D 200sma will be up to those levels in a couple candles also BTC has dipped 20% or so and usually dips 30-40% before or close to the Halving, back test that yourself... So play with this chart, and a second post wiil be up in a few minutes to back up this 5 day with a 6 hours wave chart Worst case $32K hasn't been re-tested either... that's a bit low but would like that price for a wick, All of these could be flash wicks so set limit buys above with stop losses, in several small orders per level, just one limit order at $32-34K
Short
by Chefrusty
4
BTC Flips Bearish, Price Plummets Below $70.5KPanic gripped the cryptocurrency market this week as Bitcoin, the world's leading digital asset, tumbled below the crucial $70,500 mark. This sharp decline was accompanied by a disheartening shift in a key technical indicator, signaling a potential bear market on the horizon. The CoinDesk Bitcoin Trend Indicator (BTI), long a trusted gauge of Bitcoin's price momentum, has delivered a devastating blow to investor confidence. After a period of bullish dominance since late February 2024, the BTI has decisively flipped into bearish territory. This shift indicates a fundamental change in market sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal of the uptrend that had propelled Bitcoin to record highs earlier this year. While the price plunge and the BTI's bearish turn are undoubtedly concerning developments, some analysts caution against hitting the panic button just yet. Intriguingly, trading volume for Bitcoin remains relatively stable, indicating that some level of investor interest persists despite the selloff. This ongoing activity suggests that the market might be undergoing a period of aggressive correction rather than a complete collapse. Several factors are likely contributing to the current bloodbath in the cryptocurrency market. Mounting regulatory concerns continue to cast a shadow over the industry, with government agencies around the world scrutinizing cryptocurrency transactions and exchanges. This heightened scrutiny is creating uncertainty and deterring some institutional investors from entering the market. Geopolitical tensions and rising inflation are also playing a role in dampening investor sentiment. As traditional markets experience volatility, investors tend to seek safer havens for their assets, and cryptocurrency often gets sidelined during these periods. Furthermore, profit-taking by short-term investors who entered the market during the recent upswing could be exacerbating the price decline. The BTI's plunge into bearish territory serves as a stark warning for Bitcoin bulls. While the indicator doesn't guarantee a prolonged downturn, it suggests a significant shift in the balance of power between buyers and sellers. The coming weeks and months will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can reverse this bearish trend. If Bitcoin can find support and stabilize above key price points, it could potentially restore some investor confidence and pave the way for a recovery. However, if the price continues its descent and the BTI remains in bearish territory, it could signal a more extended period of decline. This scenario could lead to a significant shakeout in the cryptocurrency market, potentially weeding out weaker players and fundamentally altering the landscape. Looking beyond the immediate turmoil, some analysts believe that Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain promising. They point to the continued development of blockchain technology and the potential for wider institutional adoption as reasons for optimism. These believers argue that the current downturn presents a buying opportunity for investors with a long-term outlook, allowing them to accumulate Bitcoin at a discount. The coming weeks and months will be a test of resilience for the entire cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin, as the bellwether of the industry, will be closely watched as it navigates these turbulent waters. Whether Bitcoin can weather the storm and emerge stronger, or succumb to the pressures of the bear market, remains to be seen. One thing is certain: the cryptocurrency market is in for a wild ride.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Q2 2024 Outlook - ElaborationHello guys, today I am back with an Elaboration on my previous Q2 Outlook ↓↓↓ With halving in front of us and all the hype it brings in, I can see mostly people who think that after halving we have to go to ATHs no matter what. So I decided to bring counter points to their views with reasonings as to Why I am currently more bearish than bullish. If you are interested in Why, you should definitely keep reading. As I stated previously - " My Base Expectation for now is that this MAY(June/Q2), MAY be the worst time to become a Buyer/Bull for a prolonged period of time as we potentially already reached our TOP. That is because, as I mentioned in the Q1 Outlook: "6. - !!! New REAL Bullmarket didn't Start until Interest Rates reached their bottom rate !!! Note, this time can be different due to inflation & elevated price levels, which cause more money in rotation, but IT SHOULD NOT change base line of reverse expectations when the correct time comes -> 1. FED start cutting, 2. FED stop (is DONE) with cutting, 3. bottom Rate is found" " and to that statement, I would add today one more - 4. until FED start expanding their balance sheet/start printing money. and my position in that still has not changed - Why? Simply, nothing changed. Everything I was expecting to happen happened and Price is still doing exactly what I was expecting it to do. So no matter if there is halving or any other kind of narrative which may suggest that "if you don't jump in right now, you lose your opportunity", I will still stick with what in my opinion are real moving forces behind the markets - current economic environment and Central Banks agendas. So, this is what happend in our prior case: I believe the most important part of the whole process is the MONEY PRINTING PART (4b). Today we have not even reached the Cutting process (1) yet. Some may say, that it should be a point for bull case scenario and I would agree. As I said, we may see a price rally until Cutting starts. BUT I believe we need to pay attention as well to What happened before this process starts. If you break the chart down, you would see that the Price Topped & dropped Before Cutting started, in expectation of it happening. And that is exactly where we may be Today! I am not saying it has to happen the same as it did in our prior case, BUT I believe everyone should pay more attention to it. If you look closer at the chart, you can see that when Price starts to elevate, most of the time it takes Inflation with it. That is exactly opossum of what the is FED trying to achieve because it could bring even more pressure on the FED in their decision making. Potentially it could cause a scenario in which we have still High Interest Rates but FED is unable to print money due to High inflation. That could cause a fear of recession or recession scare which is terrible for markets price wise, but it is as well a great buying opportunity at the same time. So, until there is some significant development in the areas I mentioned, I would suggest to everyone to stay cautious! Hopefully, this elaboration was helpful for some of you in further market navigation. If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me. Also, if you are interested in more updates or you would like to receive more predictions with lower time frame updates daily, let me know in the comments or DM. Best Regards, Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading
Bitcoin Whales Aren't Buying the Dip (yet)The large holder netflow indicators helps you to keep an eye on when the largest Bitcoin wallets (those holding >0.1% of the supply) accumulate or sell $BTC. Not only can these wallets seriously impact the markets, they often pick the best moments to accumulate or sell, meaning we can learn a lot from their behavior. Bitcoin has retraced quite significantly since the turmoil in the middle east. The big question on everyone's mind is this: Is the dip over? While it is hard to say, we can see that the largest whales haven't started accumulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC yet. They did do this during previous dips. This could indicate that large holders are expecting prices to decrease further. Keep your eyes on this indicator today, as ETF wallets can strongly impact this metric. Will ETF investors sell out of fear, or respond strongly and buy the dip? The Large Holder Netflow indicator provides crucial insights into the activities of Bitcoin's largest wallets, those holding more than 0.1% of the supply. These wallets not only have the potential to significantly influence the market but also tend to time their buying and selling strategically, offering valuable lessons from their trading behaviors. Recent events in the Middle East have triggered a significant retracement in CRYPTOCAP:BTC price. The big question on everyone's mind is this: Is the dip over? Determining the end of the dip is challenging, but it's worth pointing out that the largest whales have not yet begun accumulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC , something they did do in recent downturns. This pattern suggests that these significant holders might anticipate further declines in price. Today, keep a close watch on this indicator. ETF wallets play a substantial role in influencing this metric. The behavior of ETF investors, whether they sell out of fear or buy into the dip aggressively, will be key to predicting the market's direction.
B
by IntoTheBlock
Bitcoin BTC price starts a pre-halving correction?On April 1, the BTCUSDT price started with a "humorous" correction. In general, April promises to be quite interesting and provide "many answers." During the likely long-awaited correction, it will be necessary to closely monitor such indicators as BTC.D and USDT.D: - It will be possible to trace where the capital that previously entered the cryptocurrency market through the purchase of BTC by large players is flowing. - It will be possible to track which "industry's" altcoins are best held and bribed. Do you think there is something more interesting to invest in the cryptocurrency market than various memecoins?) And on April 19, 2024, the long-awaited "BTC halving" is to take place. The halving of the reward for a mined block from 6.25BTC to 3.25BTC will reduce the supply on the market in the medium and long term. If we compare the growth dynamics of the BTCUSD price in 2024, we will see that it is more similar to 2021 than to the previous years when halving took place - 2020 and 2016. What are your goals for the Bitcoin price movement in April 2024? We would like to see a correction at least to $65 thousand, or even better, a drop in the BTCUSDT price $58400-59100 But there is also the $78000 mark, which would also be good to test for strength, the only question is when) _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
23
Bitcoin moment of Truth (Weekly Analysis)And the big question atm is... Who will win this Resistance level zone?!?!?🤔🤔🤔 Bulls?!? Bears?!?! - RSI overbought and crossing downwards - Momentum crossing downwards as well Breaking upwards of this Resistance box my target is between $85K & $95K Breaking downwards there are 2 support zones to consider for a bounce 1- $51.6K & GETTEX:48K 2- $42.8K & $38.7K With all said we all know BTC is different beast. Always wait for breakouts or scalp LTF.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by sailortrades
Waiting for the Bitcoin Bull Run: A Look at MDIAThe recent sideways movement in the Bitcoin market has many investors wondering when the next bull run will begin. Blockchain intelligence firm Santiment suggests a specific metric to watch: the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA). Understanding MDIA: The MDIA tracks the average age of investments in Bitcoin held within the same wallet addresses. When the MDIA rises, it signifies that coins are being held for longer periods, with less movement or trading activity. This could indicate: • Investor Stagnation: Existing holders are content with their positions and not actively buying or selling. • Whales Holding: Large investors, often nicknamed "whales," might be accumulating or holding onto their Bitcoin, reducing overall market circulation. MDIA and Bull Run Continuation: According to Santiment, a falling MDIA suggests renewed movement from long-held coins. This could signal: • Increased Investor Confidence: A drop in MDIA might indicate that major stakeholders (whales) are returning their Bitcoin to active circulation, potentially fueling a price increase. • Fresh Investment: New investors entering the market with fresh capital could also contribute to a decline in MDIA. Current Market Situation (as of April 13, 2024): • Bitcoin is experiencing a price decline, potentially reflecting investor uncertainty. • It's important to note that MDIA is just one indicator, and other factors can influence market movements. Additional Considerations: • Market Sentiment: Broader market sentiment and external factors can significantly impact Bitcoin's price. Analyzing news and economic data alongside MDIA can provide a more holistic view. • Technical Analysis: Technical indicators like price charts and trading volume can offer further insights into potential price movements. Beyond MDIA: Implied Volatility The recent rise in implied volatility for Bitcoin options suggests increased market uncertainty. Implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of price fluctuations within a specific timeframe. A rise indicates: • Investor Hesitation: Investors might be unsure about the future direction of Bitcoin's price. • Increased Risk Premium: Option traders are demanding a higher premium to account for the perceived volatility. Conclusion The MDIA is a valuable tool for gauging investor behavior and potential shifts in the Bitcoin market. While a falling MDIA can be a bullish sign, it's crucial to consider other factors like implied volatility and broader market sentiment for a comprehensive understanding. By combining MDIA analysis with other technical and fundamental indicators, investors can make more informed decisions in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency. Further Research: • Santiment: santiment.net • Implied Volatility: www.investopedia.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin RSI Hints at Short-Term Bounce, But Long-Term Top Looms?The ever-volatile world of Bitcoin is once again presenting a perplexing puzzle. While the price seems to be taking a breather, technical indicators are flashing conflicting signals, leaving investors scratching their heads. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a mainstay in technical analysis, sits at the heart of this debate. RSI: A Gauge of Momentum The RSI measures the momentum of a price movement by comparing the average gain of closing prices to the average loss of closing prices over a specific period. It's typically displayed on a scale of 0 to 100, with higher values indicating stronger upward momentum and lower values signifying stronger downward momentum. Traditionally, an RSI reading above 70 is considered "overbought," suggesting the asset might be due for a correction. Conversely, readings below 30 are considered "oversold," potentially indicating a buying opportunity. Current RSI Reading: A Neutral Zone As of April 10, 2024, Bitcoin's daily RSI hovers around 53, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView. This positions it comfortably within the neutral zone, neither screaming "buy" nor "sell." Short-Term Bounce or Long-Term Top? This seemingly neutral RSI reading is being interpreted in two distinct ways by analysts, creating a fascinating dichotomy: • Short-Term Bounce: Analysts like Jelle, a prominent crypto trader, believe a retest of the 50 mark on the RSI often precedes a price bounce in a strong uptrend. With Bitcoin currently hovering around 50, this could signal an imminent short-term rise in price. This interpretation finds support in historical data, where similar RSI behavior has been followed by price corrections and subsequent rebounds. • Long-Term Top: However, another factor, the Value Days Destroyed multiple, throws a curveball. This indicator, which measures the intensity of price movements, is hinting at a possible long-term peak for Bitcoin. In simpler terms, it suggests the current bull run might be nearing its end, and the RSI's current reading could be a sign of exhaustion in the uptrend. The Value Days Destroyed Conundrum: The Value Days Destroyed multiple considers both the magnitude and duration of price movements. A high value suggests an intense bull run, potentially unsustainable in the long term. While the specific calculations of this indicator are beyond the scope of this article, its current reading for Bitcoin is raising concerns about a potential long-term price correction. Beyond the RSI: Unveiling Other Clues While the RSI is a valuable tool, it shouldn't be the sole factor guiding investment decisions. Here's what investors should consider alongside the RSI: • Confirmation of Hidden Bullish Divergence: Trader Alan Tardigrade identified a promising sign on the 4-hour RSI charts - a hidden bullish divergence. This pattern suggests a potential disconnect between price and momentum, where the price makes a lower low but the RSI doesn't, indicating underlying buying pressure. If confirmed, this divergence could bolster the short-term bounce theory. • Moving Averages: Moving averages smooth out price fluctuations, revealing the underlying trend. Investors should analyze key moving averages (like the 50-day and 200-day) to understand the overall direction and potential support/resistance levels. • Trading Volume: Trading volume often rises alongside strong price movements, both up and down. Analyzing volume alongside price action can help confirm the strength of a trend. • Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, interest rate policies, and major news events can significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. Staying informed about these external factors is crucial. The Final Word: Navigating Uncertainty The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and technical analysis should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions. Diversification, risk management, and a long-term perspective are essential for navigating this dynamic landscape. Beyond the Technicalities: A Look at Market Sentiment The current market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin also plays a crucial role. Are major institutions still entering the space, or is there a sense of FOMO (fear of missing out) subsiding? Are regulatory hurdles creating uncertainty? Gauging the overall mood of the market can provide valuable context for interpreting technical indicators. Conclusion: A Balancing Act While the RSI reading suggests a potential short-term bounce for Bitcoin, the Value Days Destroyed multiple raises concerns about a long-term top. Investors should carefully consider other technical indicators, trading volume, and broader market sentiment before making any investment decisions. Remember, the cryptocurrency market thrives on volatility, and navigating its complexities requires a measured and informed approach.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
#Bitcoin bounced from our Support zone, What's next?#Bitcoin is currently encountering resistance. Is it a liquidity hunt around the all-time high (ATH), or a genuine breakout? Nobody knows for certain! We're in a waiting game. Based on previous charts, we seem to be leaning towards Scenario 1. A break and close above this level could potentially trigger a rally to a new ATH. Fingers crossed for a positive outcome! 🤞 Caution:- With just 10 days to go for the Halving, it's crucial to note that corrections often occur around halving dates. Exercise caution with your leverage positions. I am spot long and ready to load any dips in Altcoins! Conclusion:- While BTC appears poised for a breakout, it's crucial to acknowledge the possibility of a correction in this area. I'll ensure to keep you updated, so please remember to hit the like button and bookmark this chart for future reference! 📈
Long
by Cryptorphic
2
BTC - Expecting new all-time highs soon Proficient analysis of historical patterns is paramount; failure to glean insights from the past often leads to repeated errors. This axiom holds true not only within the realm of trading but extends to broader facets of life. The narrative unfolds with the breakdown of the descending trend line, after which an ascending triangle is formed followed by a new trend movement After exiting the ascending triangle, we move to the global khai, accumulate stops (consolidation), consolidate above and follow the trend
Long
by truepersonal
5
Has Bitcoin already reached its peak, or just a Shakeout?Let's address the common question here:- Has Bitcoin already reached its peak, or is there still more potential for growth? Taking a look at the chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is presently trading near the 35-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a level that often serves as a short-term support for price bounces. The subsequent support level could be around the .382 Fibonacci retracement level, approximately at the $60.2k mark. Interestingly, this level coincides with the 65-day EMA, suggesting a robust support zone. Therefore, it's plausible to anticipate price consolidation between these EMAs, influenced by both lower time frame (LTF) and higher time frame (HTF) support levels. Moreover, a potential catalyst for a breakout could be the upcoming halving event. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced price rallies following halving events due to decreased supply issuance. This suggests a possibility of upward momentum post-halving. However, it's important to remember that no one knows with full certainty what will happen; this is all speculation. In summary, considering these factors, two plausible short-term scenarios have been outlined in the chart which I think can play out in the next few weeks! DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button to show your support. I will keep this chart updated and will post more this week. Thank you #PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
2
BITCOIN Outlook for Q2 2024Hello everyone, hope you guys had a great Easter Holiday. Same as in Q1, I decided to share with you What I Think is the Most likely going to happen with price in Q2 , purely based on current micro&macro economic conditions and indicators, plus what are charts presenting right now. Before I get to the business, I would like to reflect on my Q1 outlook, mostly because I believe things that were said and thought back then are still relevant today for future outlook (Q2), so I would suggest if you want to understand better, check out this first ↓↓↓ So when the year started, my Base Expectation was: " my Base Expectation is the market can still keep going higher. With occasional time to time not so significant price pullbacks (20-30% should be considered normal in this asset), UNTIL FED decides to START cutting rates. I guess everyone knows what happened next... We indeed rallied, in matter of fact, to the new ATHs at around 74k. This is impressive to me, considering the market conditions we are at right now and what is possibly coming soon (Q2). Finally it's time to get back to the business, so let's get to the "prediction" of what Q2 most likely bring upon us. So, I have to say, I believe that today Bitcoin conditions are harder to read than back in Q1 due to several reasons. One I already mentioned and its Price reaching New ATHs, but there are several others like CPI numbers are still elevated, potential upticks in unemployed numbers, FED balance, FED meetings and the most important - first Interest Rates cutting around the corner. These conditions make the market harder to read because of the Time Window that it provides for Price to "keep run going higher" before "expectations of reverse". Meaning, that market participants still expect the market to go higher, because there was not Rate Cuts yet, BUT Price already can be elevated enough and with Cuts around the corner process of Market Selling/Reversing may start sooner (being frontrunned) before the official Cut is done. Explained in chart pic. ↓↓↓ And since my Whole Idea is Based on previous time in History when we were in similar market conditions, either times were different (highier IR, highier CPI, price at ATH), I still expect Markets to do the same thing, because I believe that human behavior and psyche related to Markets not changing, so result should be same, until we proved otherwise. So basically, My Base Expectation for now is that this MAY(June/Q2), MAY be the worst time to become a Buyer/Bull for a prolonged period of time as we potentially already reached our TOP. That is because, as I mentioned in Q1 outlook: " 6. - !!! New REAL Bullmarket didn't Start until Interest Rates reached their bottom rate !!! Note, this time can be different due to inflation & elevated price levels, which cause more money in rotation, but IT SHOULD NOT change base line of reverse expectations when the correct time come - 1.FED start cutting, 2.FED stop (is DONE) with cutting, 3.bottom Rate is found " Aswell note, that the price of asset class (BTC) went down in time with FED balance sheet and even kept going lower due to the "recession scare" even when FED balance sheet started expanding, and that the New Bull market didn't start until FED printed ridiculous amount of money. Since I believe this perception of the Market is still valid, I will follow it further until I am proved wrong by the chart itself. = Price will be higher than 74k in July after the first rate cut already occurred. Hopefully, some of you found this post interesting and helpful in further market navigation. If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me. Thanks! Best regards, Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading