Bitcoin (BTC) analysisDespite recording a correction of approximately 1% within the past 24 hours with a trading volume of $31.059 Billion, the Bitcoin price has recorded a jump of 11.93% within the past seven days, highlighting a strong bullish rise in the crypto space.
Moreover, the market leader is on the path of testing the resistance neckline of its rounding bottom pattern in the 1D time frame, the outcome of which is unpredictable.
On the other hand, the BTC coin price is also hovering close to its important resistance trendline of the descending channel pattern, highlighting increased price action for the star crypto in the market.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a constant rise in the green histogram with its averages recording a positive action. This indicates increased buying pressure for the BTC token within the crypto space.
The RSI indicator has experienced a neutral action below its overbought range. However, the average trendline displays a bullish action, suggesting a positive outlook this week.
Taking the current market sentiments into consideration, if the bulls continue to gain momentum, Bitcoin price will break out of its crucial resistance level and test its $67,775 mark.
Maintaining the price at that level could result in the star crypto heading toward its high of $73,750.07 during the upcoming weeks.
However, if the bears overpowered the bulls, the BTC price will lose momentum and plunge toward its important support level of $60,000 in the coming time.
Bitcoinidea
Bitcoin's Next Big Move: Long or Short? Key Levels to WatchHello Traders,
Bitcoin has been moving within an uptrend channel for the past week, forming three continuous bottoms at 54,200, 55,000, and 56,600. This pattern suggests it has been gaining momentum for a significant move expected tomorrow or the day after.
Long Scenario: If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking and closing above 59,200, I will enter a long position targeting 62,200. My stop-loss will be set at a close below 56,600.
Short Scenario: If Bitcoin closes below 56,600, I will enter a short position targeting 51,500. The stop-loss will be set at the close of a 4-hour bar above 59,000.
Happy trading!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Price Breaks $63,000 Following Assassination AttemptBitcoin Price Breaks $63,000 Following Assassination Attempt
In a dramatic turn of events, the price of Bitcoin surged past $63,000 following an assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump. This unexpected spike in Bitcoin’s value has captured the attention of investors and analysts worldwide, highlighting the intricate relationship between political events and financial markets.
The incident occurred during a campaign rally in Pennsylvania, where a gunman opened fire, targeting Trump. Fortunately, Trump survived the attack with minor injuries
Market Analysis
Analysts have linked the rising price of Bitcoin to improved odds of a Trump election victory. Trump’s pro-crypto stance has made him a preferred candidate for many Bitcoin advocates.
Exchanges saw heavy trading volume as Bitcoin broke above its 200-day moving average, a technical level viewed by many as a bullish signal.
Bitcoin’s recent price movement is part of a broader trend of volatility in the cryptocurrency market. Earlier this month, Bitcoin’s value had dipped to lows near $53,000 due to Mt Gox pay out and German government action with Bitcoin. However, the cryptocurrency has shown resilience, bouncing back and regaining its footing above $60,000.
Investor Sentiment
The assassination attempt on Trump has been described as a “black swan event” by some crypto commentators, referring to its unexpected nature and significant impact on the market.
Investors are now closely watching the market to see if Bitcoin can sustain its current momentum and potentially reach new all-time highs.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead, the future of Bitcoin remains uncertain but promising. If Trump continues to gain political traction and maintains his pro-crypto stance, Bitcoin could see further gains.
However, it’s important to note that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and external factors such as regulatory changes, technological advancements, and macroeconomic trends will continue to play a significant role in shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory.
Conclusion
The recent surge in Bitcoin’s price following the assassination attempt on Donald Trump underscores the complex interplay between politics and financial markets. As Bitcoin continues to evolve and gain mainstream acceptance, events like these will likely become more common, reflecting the growing influence of cryptocurrencies in the global economy.
Investors and analysts will be keeping a close eye on future developments, particularly in the political arena, as they assess the potential impact on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies
#BTC/USDT Hit our Target $63k What's Next? Since the last BTC update, the price has followed our expected path perfectly. Currently, BTC is trading right around the critical resistance level of $63k, a level I've highlighted since it reached $53k. This is the moment of decision.
Following the news of an assassination attempt on Trump, the market experienced a relief rally. However, it's still uncertain whether we are out of the woods yet.
The best strategy now is to start positioning into altcoins while holding BTC. Over the past 3-4 weeks, I've posted insights on 40 altcoins. Feel free to review those, as I'll be sharing 30 more promising altcoins starting today, so make sure to follow me.
Returning to the chart, if BTC breaks above the $63k level, we could see it trading around $70k+ in the short term.
The mid-dotted line, which previously acted as support, has now turned into resistance. A breakout above this level could be very bullish for the market since the same level aligns with Multiple EMAs.
We are almost there; patience is key.
The most reasonable move now is to wait for a breakout above $63k. A break and close above this level would signal a strong opportunity to go long on both altcoins and BTC.
I will keep this chart updated and inform you of any significant changes, whether the breakout occurs or not.
So, follow me and share these charts with others. Don't forget to hit the like button. Please share your views, questions, or altcoin requests if you have any.
Thank you.
PEACE
BTC Long - Take Profit Targets (Short Term/Scalp)🚀 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: Soaring High! 🚀
My positions are crushing it! 🤑 Time to start locking in some gains. 😎
Scaling out in these zones:
#BTC: $59.5K - $63.5K 🎯
Already de-risked 25% as we hit the lower end of my targets. Smart money secures profits along the way! 😉
Remember, this is NOT financial advice. Do your own research and trade responsibly! 🧠
Thank you
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Bitcoin Price Nears 200-Day SMA: Bullish Signal on the Horizon?
Bitcoin (BTC), the world's leading cryptocurrency, has been on a rollercoaster ride in 2024. After a strong start to the year, prices dipped below the crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) in early July, sparking concerns about a potential bear market. However, recent price movements suggest a potential bullish reversal, with Bitcoin again hovering close to the 200-day SMA.
The 200-Day SMA: A Key Indicator
The 200-day SMA is a technical analysis tool investors use to gauge the long-term trend of an asset's price. It's calculated by averaging the closing price of Bitcoin over the past 200 days. This metric helps smooth out short-term price fluctuations and provides a clearer picture of the overall market direction.
Historically, the 200-day SMA has played a pivotal role in identifying bull and bear markets for Bitcoin. When the price trades above the 200-day SMA, it's generally seen as a bullish signal, indicating an upward trend. Conversely, prices consistently falling below the SMA suggest a bearish market.
Bitcoin's Recent Price Movements
In early July, Bitcoin dipped below the 200-day SMA for the first time since August 2023. This triggered anxieties among some investors, questioning the sustainability of the current bull run. However, it's important to note that such temporary dips below the SMA have occurred during previous bull markets.
For instance, in 2016, Bitcoin fell below the 200-day SMA for three months before embarking on a significant upward trajectory that culminated in the 2017 bull run. Similarly, in 2023, Bitcoin dipped below the SMA in August but recovered shortly after, continuing its bull run through the end of the year.
Reclaiming the 200-Day SMA: A Potential Bullish Signal
The current situation presents a critical juncture for Bitcoin. It could be a significant bullish signal if the price can successfully reclaim the 200-day SMA and maintain a position above it. This would suggest a continuation of the current bull run and potentially pave the way for further price increases.
There's historical precedent for such a scenario. In early 2023, Bitcoin successfully reclaimed the 200-day SMA after a brief dip, marking the beginning of a strong bull run that lasted throughout most of the year.
Factors Supporting a Bullish Outlook
Several factors contribute to the potential for a bullish reversal. Firstly, Bitcoin's underlying fundamentals remain strong. The network continues to experience steady growth in hash rate, indicating strong miner participation and network security. Additionally, institutional adoption of Bitcoin is on the rise, with major investment firms and corporations increasingly recognizing its potential as a valuable asset class.
Secondly, the recent price dip could be attributed to short-term market corrections and profit-taking by some investors. These temporary fluctuations are natural occurrences within any bull market and shouldn't necessarily be interpreted as a sign of a long-term bearish trend.
Looking Ahead: Important Considerations
While the current price movements suggest a potential bullish outlook, it's crucial to maintain a cautious and realistic perspective. The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and unforeseen events can trigger significant price swings.
Investors should closely monitor economic factors, regulations, and industry developments that could impact Bitcoin's price. Additionally, conducting thorough technical and fundamental analysis is essential before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's price hovering near the 200-day SMA presents a fascinating situation. While a successful reclaim of the SMA could signal an upcoming bullish phase, continued vigilance and comprehensive analysis are necessary. The cryptocurrency market is dynamic, and investors should be prepared for potential volatility. However, the underlying strength of Bitcoin's network and growing institutional adoption suggest that the long-term outlook remains promising.
#BTC/USDT Weekly Analysis, $44k or $58.5k, Fib Levels.#BTCUSDT Weekly Update:
BTC is trading just below the crucial level of $58.5k. Let's look at the current situation.
Current Situation:
- BTC is in a precarious position. The $51k level corresponds to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, which hasn't been tested yet.
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, often referred to as the "golden pocket," is also yet to be tested.
- A close below the 0.382 level could drive BTC down to $44k or even $38k. This isn't fear-mongering, just a straightforward chart analysis using Fibonacci Retracements. Such a move would likely trigger a broader market downturn, with altcoins potentially experiencing 50% further discounts.
Possible Avoidance Scenarios:
1. BTC maintains the monthly support level of $56.5k.
2. BTC closes above the $58.5k level, rendering the current price action as a deviation (false breakdown).
For those considering entering altcoins, it might be wise to wait for clear confirmations on either side.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments section. Bookmark this chart for future updates, and hit the like button if you found this helpful!
Share with your friends.
Thank you
#PEACE
How Much further do we go?bitcoin on the weekly, analyzed previous price action and previous "death crosses "and noticed at each point of cross bitcoin continued to slide in price anywhere from 40-60%. This has me looking at bitcoin with a hard eye. It's very possible we see 43k, which gives me a bit more confluence , with the RSX telling us that a reverse isn't in just yet.
BTC Bearish Pattern in Weekly ChartAfter a long time, BTC has been dropped with weekly candle below bottom line of Pi cycle average line. This is a bearish pattern based on the history.
Now resistance is around 65000.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
#BTC Short Update!#BTC: Holding Strong Within the Box and EMA
The anticipated bounce occurred within the expected region, reaffirming our position.
Now, it's crucial to observe the weekly close for more clarity. IMHO, avoiding FOMO and waiting for clear reversal signals is wise before making any moves.
Will share the weekly chart later today for the exact price levels which BTC needs to reclaim.
Let me know what you think in the comment section and please hit the like button if you find my updates helpful.
Thank you
#PEACE
#BTC/USDT Bounce or more pain?#Bitcoin : We've been waiting for this volatility for weeks. This is the point where a bounce should occur. A close below this level would be drastic for the market.
For more clarity, I'll be sharing the stable charts.
Altcoins are showing good opportunities, but we still need to wait for clear reversal signals before entering. GETTEX:54K is a key level in the higher time frames (HTF). Don't lose it, bulls!
Stay strong.
WAGMI
Bitcoin establishes new support level around previous ATH closeMany people have been losing sleep over the Bitcoin price action so I wanted to provide some technical analysis to show where we're possibly headed. I have a theory with data to back it up. If history repeats itself I believe Bitcoin has established a new baseline support level around $55k.
If you take a look at the Bitcoin chart on an 8-week time interval going all the way back to 2015, you can see every new all time high has a similar period of around 3 years of retracing back to the same level, before breaking through it again. Then after breaking the previous all time high, a new support level is established and price doesn't drop below the newly established support level. On this 8-week chart the previous all time high candle didn't close above $55k in August 2021. So, we have had almost 3 years of retracing back to this level and finally broke through it in Feb 2024. If my theory is true and history repeats itself, I don't believe we will see Bitcoin fall below $55k as this has become the new baseline support level.
*Of course, I could be wrong. Just a theory, not financial advice.
#BTC/USDT Broke the support, Next move explained!Welcome to this Idea on Bitcoin.
As speculated in my previous update, the price was unable to break the 100 EMA, resulting in a rejection and subsequent decline. Now, $56,452 appears to be the next significant level to monitor. The 200 SMA on the daily chart is also crucial, with the price currently trading around this level. Let's observe if this support holds.
It's important that funds currently in meme coins shift to stronger assets, as they are siphoning liquidity from the market.
Patience is key here. I've posted over 30 altcoin charts in the last 8 days, and prices are gradually moving towards accumulation levels. If this cycle mirrors previous ones, the current market depression will soon end. We just need to stay vigilant and look for opportunities.
**BONUS:** Use the 245 EMA to plot market bottoms on lower time frames (LTF) in the daily chart. It's very useful—try some backtesting.
If you like my content, please hit the like button and share your views in the comments section. Thank you.
#PEACE
#BTC/USDT Critical point. Emergency Update!#BTC needs to break and close above the 100EMA on the daily chart. Keeping it straightforward: until this occurs, the price may target the liquidity below $60k. This is not an opinion, just what the charts indicate!
The rejection in altcoins is concerning.
While I'm not bearish, BTC is currently at a critical juncture. This is the right time for the bulls to step in!
This indicator has been highly effective in identifying local bottoms and tops.
Sooner or later, the market will rally for the final wave. Until that happens, be cautious with leverage and view these times as opportunistic for altcoins.
dyor, nfa
#Crypto
Do hit the like button and share your views in the comments section.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC Range continues. Weekly = Trend. Daily = Trend. 4H = Range.
Keep it simple, every time we find price at range lows, the order flow shows demand / bid.
I could a see a sweep below 65k to take some liquidity. But this all looks very 'normal' and constructive. Next time we hit supply at 72/73k - it will not hold IMO.
Note the fib time. I think we grind this zone until end of June before any push.
BITCOIN Outlook for Q3 2024Hello everyone,
Today is the beginning of the new fiscal quarter, so as usual that means Q3 outlook is here.
I already know that with this one, I will most likely not make any new friends, but things have to be said even if the majority may be against "the Idea".
So first, I would point out that my Base Case from Q2 is still relevant in my opinion : " My Base Expectation for now is that this MAY(June/Q2), MAY be the worst time to become a Buyer/Bull for a prolonged period of time as we potentially already reached our TOP. That is because, as I mentioned in Q1 outlook:
"6. - !!! New REAL Bullmarket didn't Start until Interest Rates reached their bottom rate !!!
Note, this time can be different due to inflation & elevated price levels, which cause more money in rotation, but IT SHOULD NOT change base line of reverse expectations when the correct time comes - 1.FED start cutting, 2.FED stop (is DONE) with cutting, 3.bottom Rate is found" "
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Secondly- Yes, my outlook is Based on Macroeconomy, since I am of the opinion that the Economy and decisions of Central Banks are closely correlated to the charts and prices on them.
With that said, I am going to present a few charts which may bring some clarity to what I am expecting to happen in the next 3 months and Why I am NOT over-optimistic .
Before I start posting these screens, I would like to say, that I believe we are in incredibly tough times to call shorts where price will go since we are in kind of unprecedented times - both chart-wise and macroeconomy-wise kinda too.
So Why I am still more Bearish?
These are just a few examples of Why I am still more bearish..
I am sure that I could add some more, but at this point my "reasons Why" should be clear to everyone and if not, I would suggest you read the Q1 & Q2 outlook too.
Also, I would like to mention that this week we will get a lot of economic data which may provide a clearer view of what is coming next month/quarter. Anyway, I decided to do this TODAY so I am working with what we have "RIGHT NOW". If my opinion changes in the future based on these data I will let you know.
As well, to not be viewed as "perma BEAR", I want to say, that I see possibility that BITCOIN keep going Higher in Q3 and reach new ATHs ( all economic data comes "bullish" and FED still not decided to cut rates), BUT it is not my Base Case for now.
My Base Case as I said - staying the same as was in Q2, at least for now!
Until next time good luck to everyone.
Joe
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Hopefully, some of you found this post interesting and helpful in further market navigation.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me. Thanks!
Is Bitcoin set for rebound?Over the past week, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price dropped below the $60,000 mark on two separate occasions, which was accompanied by a slight increase in the reserves held by exchanges.
Interestingly, alongside the increase in BTC on exchanges, there was a significant uptick in the creation of new addresses.
On the 24th of June, BTC experienced a notable drop of 4.60%, with the day’s trading closing at approximately $60,263.
Despite this close, the price had dipped as low as $58,411 during the day. Similarly, on the 28th of June, BTC’s price again tested lower levels.
It declined to $59,868, and closed at around $60,313, marking a decline of over 2%.
As of this writing, BTC was trading at around $63,215, showing a modest increase of less than 1%. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key indicator of price momentum, was around 43.
This suggested that BTC was in a strong bear trend.
The move might thus precede a potential price rebound.
This week’s price movements have had an impact on broader market dynamics as well, including the creation of new Bitcoin addresses and changes in exchange reserves.
Typically, significant price declines can trigger increased activity on exchanges as traders move BTC to sell or buy at perceived key levels.
Also, new addresses may be created as new or existing participants enter the market to capitalize on the volatility.
Such a significant rise often reflects broader market movements or sentiment shifts, which could have various implications for BTC’s network activity and price dynamics.