BTCUSD / Bitcoin Trade IdeaBitcoin looking decent for a bit more push to the upside. Here's my thoughts and plan.
I like this momentum so ideal scenario A) is we have a minor pullback ideally into $65.000 area and push from there. M15 - H1 candle showing strong bullish intention is a must here.
Scenario B) is something I will be more cautious based on HTF narrative. Will look for buy as a scalp and if BTC rejects from this level I'll consider taking a trade for higher prices.
There is also C scenario that I consider to short this pullback but this might be quick so I won't cover it in this idea but I'm looking for this intra day setup as well.
Bitcoinidea
BITCOIN IS FINALLY READY TO LIFT OFF !!After several months of consolidation and reaccumulation between $50,000 and $70,000 USD, OKX:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! has formed a massive bull flag and is finally beginning to break out.
Since 2012, Bitcoin has surged in the weeks leading up to U.S. presidential elections, only to experience a "sell the news" event afterward, regardless of the winning candidate or party. Mark your calendars for November 4th, 2024, to stay ahead and avoid potential liquidations.
This pattern is corroborated by most altcoins, which are signaling strong buy indicators through multiple technical factors.
Also, please remember the annual tax sell-off that typically occurs in late December.
Bitcoin is on a path toward $140,000–$160,000 by March 2025, which I expect to be the ultimate peak.
The 16-year cycle, which has held on average for the past 100 years, will conclude, leading to a global recession akin to 2008 but even more severe. The events of 2022 and the August 2024 flash crash were just preludes to what may be coming.
Please note, this is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, exercise due diligence, and practice proper risk management.
(I apologize for the picture from KuCoin on top of the TradingView chart; I forgot to renew my premium subscription.)
Best regards, and may fortune favor the bold,
cy4ne
Bitcoin Parabolic Bull Run with the Latest 200-Day MA CrossAfter a brief dip below the $60,000 mark on October 10, Bitcoin (BTC) has regained momentum, inching closer to its all-time high (ATH) of $73,700, reached in March of this year.
This price recovery follows considerable volatility experienced by the largest cryptocurrency on the market throughout the year, with significant price swings, including sharp falls of almost 20% on 5 August and 6 September.
The 200-Day Moving Average (MA)
A key indicator to watch for Bitcoin is the 200-Day Moving Average (MA). This technical analysis tool represents the average closing price of Bitcoin over the past 200 days. When the price of Bitcoin crosses above this long-term moving average, it often signals a bullish trend reversal.
Historical Significance
Interestingly, the last three times Bitcoin's price crossed above the 200-Day MA, it triggered a "parabolic bull run." This refers to a period of rapid and sustained price increases, characterized by a parabolic curve on the price chart.
The first instance occurred in 2016, when Bitcoin's price surged from around $400 to over $20,000 within a year. The second instance took place in 2019, with the price climbing from roughly $3,000 to nearly $14,000 in a similar timeframe. Most recently, in 2021, Bitcoin's price soared from approximately $29,000 to its ATH of $73,700.
Current Outlook
Given the historical significance of the 200-Day MA crossings and the recent price recovery, many analysts are closely watching Bitcoin's price action in anticipation of a potential breakout. If Bitcoin successfully breaks above its ATH, it could signal the start of a new parabolic bull run, potentially leading to even higher price targets.
However, it's important to note that the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Several factors could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment.
Key Considerations
As investors evaluate the potential for a Bitcoin breakout, they should consider the following factors:
• Regulatory Environment: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies varies across different jurisdictions. Favorable regulatory developments can boost investor confidence and drive price appreciation, while unfavorable regulations can create headwinds.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical events, can influence the overall market sentiment and impact the demand for risk assets like Bitcoin.
• Investor Sentiment: The prevailing sentiment among investors towards Bitcoin plays a crucial role in determining its price direction. Positive sentiment can fuel buying pressure, while negative sentiment can lead to selling pressure.
• Technical Analysis: Technical indicators, such as moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and support and resistance levels, can provide valuable insights into Bitcoin's price trends and potential future movements.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's price action is approaching a critical juncture, with the potential to break above its all-time high. The historical significance of the 200-Day MA crossings and the recent price recovery have fueled speculation about a new parabolic bull run.
However, investors should remain cautious and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market is subject to significant volatility, and it's essential to consider the various factors that could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Good setup for BitcoinA break from the correction, marked here on the chart on the upper trendline, will be bullish for Bitcoin.
There are some very good signs so far:
1. The MACD lines on the weekly chart seem to be converging, potentially going from negative to positive.
2. On the daily chart, we see the same pattern. This time, we broke the minor correction trendline with MACD lines already showing positive convergence.
The power of one setup is often sufficient, but if it's valid on multiple timeframes, it's even better.
What's your take on Bitcoin here?
Bitcoin Quest- History tends to repeat itself.
- The maximum could reach around 250k.
- The minimum could drop to about 40k.
- Remember, the longer it takes, the higher we could go.
- The graphic is straightforward as usual; just track "colors", "bubbles" and "trends."
- Keep in mind, while the future is uncertain, we can still speculate.
Happy Tr4Ding
I'm light years away from everyone this was said September 30th
On September 30th I posted that the last panic sale for bitcoin was a healthy pull-back and that it's just a panic sale
People trolled me for that because they aren't traders they are gamblers
And I've posted multiple time after that(check my profile) borderline begging people to buy Bitcoin for easy profit at least 5% now we are at more than 7% in 3 days
Now is your chance buy as much as you can and follow to get the perfect exit point
Bitcoin is entering dangerous territoryBitcoin just hit 80 on the 1W (Weekly) cycle and is gearing up for one final push before a 1-1.5 month bearish phase. If reading that sentence made your face go pale, and you're pretending to follow along but don’t fully understand the market right now – this edition is for you.
Making money in crypto isn’t rocket science if you follow cycles. Buy near cycle lows, sell near cycle highs (the hard part). The challenge is identifying those lows and highs.
If this plays out in the current cycle, Bitcoin’s price movement would look something like this:
The truth is, predicting the height of the next cycle is never simple. We’re currently on Day 36 of the 60-day cycle, and we’re still below the mid-cycle high. Typically, this signals a bearish cycle, so we shouldn’t expect new highs until the next cycle low in early November (which means don’t rush to buy now!).
Alternatively, there’s a higher probability we’re in a left-translated daily cycle and on the verge of a downside reversal. A left-translated cycle would look like this:
I know, I know, you don’t like hearing that there are two potential scenarios without a clear short-term trend. But that’s exactly when you need to stay out of the market. That’s exactly when you protect your capital and avoid jumping into trades just because you "feel" like it. Now, take a look at what my 1D, 3D, and 1W Cycle indicators are showing:
My cycle indicators are telling the same story – patience! The 1D Indicator just reversed and looks like it’s targeting the 80s, suggesting a short-term uptrend. Meanwhile, the 3D Indicator just dipped below 20, which is intriguing.
The 1W Cycle Indicator is pushing above 80, signaling danger ahead – Bitcoin is nearing its 1W cycle top, but we could still see one final push upwards.
I’ve even added a Wavetrend Oscillator, which complements my Cycle theory well. It’s currently at 0 – a neutral zone.
When will I be ready to re-enter the market?
I’ll wait until the 1D Indicator drops back to the 20s. By then, the 3D Indicator should be heading up, offering a great opportunity to catch the next pump.
For now, stay safe, protect your capital in cold storage (or a Web3 wallet), and avoid overtrading!
#BTC/USDT Quick Update!#BTC is stuck in the range, with multiple rejections and bounces.
We need a catalyst at this point. The direction will be clear whether it breaks $66k or $60k.
We wait.
Weekly closes in 7 Hours.
IMHO, We will hit $66k this week.
Let me know what you think in the comment section and do not forget to hit that like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC/USDT 4H Trade Setup: Potential for Bullish ContinuationBitcoin’s 4H chart shows a potential bullish continuation after a healthy retracement. The market has pulled back into a key support zone, providing an opportunity to enter this trade with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The setup aligns well with the optimism surrounding the month of October, often referred to as “UPtober,” where historical data has shown strong price action for BTC during this period.
Technical Analysis:
• Price has retraced to a key Fibonacci zone, signaling a potential buy opportunity.
• The FibCloud indicator shows price maintaining above key support levels, with a bullish breakout being tested.
• Volume is picking up, indicating growing interest at this level, which could push the market higher.
Risk Management:
Given the volatility of BTC, managing risk is crucial. We are placing stop losses just below the last significant low to protect capital in case the market fails to break higher.
Stay alert, and let’s see how this setup unfolds. UPtober could live up to its name!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things:
1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different)
2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe)
3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe.
I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH)
Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade plan by BFTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan
Overview of Current Market Structure:
Descending Trading Channel: The Bitcoin price is currently trading within a descending channel, marked by parallel lines of resistance and support. The price has respected both boundaries and continues to oscillate between them.
Support: The current support level within the descending channel is approximately 60,000 USDT, as shown by the lower green line.
Resistance: The resistance level is around 61,758 USDT, as indicated by the upper green line.
Potential Breakout: A potential breakout to the upside is indicated by the analysis. If the price breaks through the resistance zone, we may see a rally towards the 64,591 USDT mark, which is a key resistance level in the broader time frame.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index, 14 periods): The RSI is currently around 39.25, which indicates that the market is in a slightly oversold condition. This suggests a potential buying opportunity if momentum shifts to the upside.
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 1): The stochastic oscillator shows a value of 27.09, signaling that the market is near the oversold region. A bullish crossover between the %K and %D lines could trigger an upward move.
VMC Cipher B Indicator (Divergences): The VMC Cipher B Divergences are currently showing bearish momentum, but the price appears to be bouncing off a significant support level. We are awaiting confirmation for a reversal.
HMA Histogram (40, 44): The HMA Histogram shows a value of 91.97 in the short term, indicating that bearish momentum is starting to slow, and a potential bullish reversal could occur soon.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: The key support level lies around 60,000 USDT. If the price drops below this level, further bearish movement towards 58,000 USDT could be expected.
Immediate Resistance: Resistance stands at 61,758 USDT, the upper boundary of the descending channel. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish rally.
Key Target Level: The next major target on a breakout would be the 64,591 USDT resistance, where the price is likely to face significant selling pressure.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Point: Look for a breakout above the 61,758 USDT resistance level. Confirm the breakout with increasing volume and price closing above the channel.
First Target: 64,591 USDT, which is a major resistance zone in the upper range.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly below the support level of 60,000 USDT to manage downside risk.
Second Target (Aggressive): If bullish momentum continues, a potential extension towards 65,500 USDT is possible, aligning with previous highs.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry Point: If the price fails to break above the 61,758 USDT resistance level and starts rejecting at this point, consider a short position with a breakdown below the 60,000 USDT support.
First Target: A drop towards 58,000 USDT could be expected if bearish momentum accelerates.
Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above 62,000 USDT, just outside the resistance of the descending channel to account for volatility.
Neutral Scenario (Sideways Trading):
If the price consolidates between 60,000 and 61,758 USDT, wait for a clearer breakout or breakdown before entering any trades. The current channel suggests potential opportunities, but patience for confirmation is key.
Risk Management:
Position Size: Use proper risk management by not risking more than 1-2% of your capital on any trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or higher to ensure the profitability of your trades.
BTC Big Fall With MA-200 read the caption The price faced hurdles near a key bearish trend line at $64,200 on the same chart. There was no convincing close above the 100 simple moving average (red, 4 hours).
The price corrected gains and declined below the $63,500 level. Immediate support is near the $62,200 level. The next key support sits at $61,400. A downside break below $61,400 might send Bitcoin toward the $60,500 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,000 support zone.
On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $63,250 level. The next key resistance is at $64,502. A successful close above $64,500 might start another steady increase. In the stated case, the price may perhaps rise toward the $65,501 level
Bitcoin ARE WE CORRECTING DOWN & T0 WHERE ???? Hey Traders
I take a quick dive into Bitcoin: currently it appears we are making our way down with some signals from candlesticks such as our lucky hammer which indicates bearish thinking.
Question is where do we go from here and can we punch back up or will sink further down to 50K and below ?
Must watch
Comment, like follow if you liked this video and found it useful or tell me what you think you see will happen with Bitcoin
MB Trader
BTC Bullish Above $65.5K, Bearish Below $60K | Weekly to 4-HourHey everyone, it’s Mindbloome Trader here! Let’s dive into Bitcoin’s charts, from the weekly to the 4-hour timeframe. If BTC breaks above $65,570, we’re in for a bullish run. But if we dip below $60K, things could turn bearish fast. Keep these levels on your radar and, as always, trade what you see. Let’s get it!
Key Levels:
Bullish above $65,570 (Target higher moves)
Bearish below $60,000 (Watch for downside pressure)
Mindbloome Trader
Trade what you see
btc in reverse Head and Shouldersthe **reverse Head and Shoulders pattern** signals a possible bullish reversal, and if Bitcoin breaks the resistance with strong volume, it could lead to a significant upward move. The current pullback and neutral RSI suggest the market is in a wait-and-see mode, but the setup looks promising for a potential price increase. What do you think?
$BTC MEGA BULL RUN BEGINS!#Btc mega bull run period between October 2024 and October 2025 is loading
📌1065 DAYS between January 2015 local dip and December 2017 local peak!
📌1065 DAYS between December 2018 local dip and November 2021 local peak!
#Bitcoin If there is a local bottom in November 2022 and a local peak in October 2025, 1065 days will be completed.
M2 Money supply Vs BTCM2 Money supply Vs BTC
Heres the M2 money supply plotted against BTC. As you can see, as US liquidity increases, risk on assets such as BTC increase due to increased liquidity going into risk on assets and markets.
M2 Money supply starting to increase again here and curve up after 942 days of sideways/correctionary movement.
As M2 supply increases, im anticipating BTC to continue to push into new ATHs with the altcoin market.