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BTC Wyckoff accumulation Schematic 2 - Moving as planned!BTC Update: So since my analysis on BTC, price has delivered beautifully and exactly as anticipated from the forecast, having took the internal highs at FWB:65K and into HTF supply from the prior weekly bearish leg and we had the bearish reaction from this area. Price has pushed back into the daily range with a lovely bearish reaction, further fuelled by the FUD news, timed pretty much perfectly to the bearish momentum and downturn in the market as we sit in this accumulation range. However im not worried regarding the news as i see it as FUD in line with my wyckoff understanding. In line with my USDT.D update also posted recently⁠, im still seeing a little downside risk in BTC and im expecting it to continue bearish and push down deeper into the levels marked up between GETTEX:59K - $52K. This level is the discount of the accumulation range and the HTF weekly range and aligns with the weekly demand range, 3D demand range and daily demand range, alongside resting SSL to target at $57,500 in this area, making a prime reversal level and key level imo. As im viewing this as a reaccumulation range, following wyckoff schematic 2 as shown, im looking at price to form a last point of support in this area and a bullish reversal to form and expand out of it as shown. This is my main idea and thesis so far as we continue to range here after the capitulation event. Now my idea could get invalidated at a later time but right now its aligning pretty perfectly alongside what im seeing on USDT.D in its distribution range and price doesn't have to take the lows again on BTC so don't be fooled into thinking it does as right now its not suggesting this and im not looking for it. Patience is needed here as we need more price action to form to work with, but overall its looking great, i aint worried and my focus remains on the range. As a result, i expect alts to continue to bleed and underperform, especially as BTC.D continues to push up into HTF supply and ETH is looking rather weak here with potential to take its lows again, which could end up being SMT divergence between ETH and BTC as it forms its bottom here over the coming weeks. With Q4 just starting, im looking for the next expansion phase in the market to begin within this quarter, alongside the US elections next month which is typically a bullish event in the market! Its all aligning in my opinion for a bullish Q4 and Q1 of 2025, we just need to have patience here and not get shaken out in this range. In addition to this China has started quantitive easing and their market has went on a massive bullish run the last week, with the US also easing up on interest rates cutting them by half a point, leaving investors able to acquire debt at a cheaper rate which typically fuels further bullish momentum in the market, as the M2 money supply increases too which i will delve into in another post. Essentially as global money supply increases, money markets tend to also increase and ill break down this relationship in some other charts to show you just how correlated this is as its very interesting stuff. The technicals are aligning with the macros and i think its shaping up to be a great Q4 and Q1 of 2025! Dont be fooled by the first bearish tones to Q4, think of the monthly candle in terms of the PO3 Power of three formation, we have started the new monthly candle, forming the downside wick before the true expansion to the upside begins!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by marshyyy
#BITCOIN is fine, Don't panic!Bitcoin continues to trade within a descending channel, with the current weekly candle showing a 7.17% drop, rejecting near the $65,000 resistance level. The price has entered a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $60,000 and $62,500, where we might see some buying support. (FVG sare levels of liquidity gaps which the MMs eventually take before continuing the uptrend) Explained more in my previous BTC/USDT Chart However, a break below the invalidation level at $57,466.09 could lead to further downside towards the channel support. Bulls need to HOLD the FVG to initiate a bullish breakout. Invalidation Level: An invalidation point is marked around $57,466.09. If the price breaks below this level, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and further downside action is likely to follow. There's also 200 MA support around the $59.8k level. This is an important level to keep an eye on! I think we will see a relief soon! NOTE:- Stop panicking! When the market pumps, everyone wants a dip, but when the dip comes, fear takes over. This is often a sign you're taking on more risk than you can afford. Stay calm and focus on Altcoins, which often bounce hard after corrections. While Crypto Twitter was expecting a green October, the market makers threw in a surprise to start the month. Expect a few days of downtrend and consolidation, followed by daily green candles. That’s my view, not financial advice! Let me know your thoughts in the comment section and do hit the like button sp it reaches more souls who need to read this! Thank you #PEACE
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptorphic
9
BTC & Crypto Market Forecast. 4 Yr Cycle Top and Elliot WavesIn this video, I've pulled up an old chart from 2022 I've had on my desktop (not my original chart) that shows potential Waves 3-5 for Bitcion and the 4 year cycle high time targets. In my new chart, I've re-created this showing that we're ahead of schedule from the dark study, and the 4 year past cycle time targets for reaching ATH around 539 days after the halving. But as we know, we hit ATH's this cycle already BEFORE the halving, so it's unclear how that's going to affect the next phase. It would certainly make sense, that everybody (Big money, smart money and even us dumb money retail traders) will be looking to 'go all in' early... But also to GET OUT early. Remember, it's a game of musical chairs.. and the music is speeding up. For these reasons, and other global economic and political influences... I think we could STILL see a left-translated cycle and a parabolic bull rally going into Dec of this year... Unsure if that would be THE Top, but I'd be looking for some profit taking and correction there, which most likely WILL LOOK like the top. But may not actually be. We may still see the 4 year cycle play out, and continue to push higher until October '25 as the original study suggests (539 days post-halving). On the one hand, some are suggesting a deflationary market bust in early 2025 for both the stock market and Bitcoin / crypto. We'll have to wait and see. But it does look like we're experiencing the Wave 4 pullback, and poised to beging the final Wave 5 phase of the bull-run. What do you think? Would appreciate any likes, comments, or compliments below. Cheer always welcome! To the moon 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BrettFogle
Bitcoin & some Sunday thoughtsAt this moment, I’m long Bitcoin, just like many others out there who are hoping for the next all-time high. The dream of Bitcoin breaking its historical peak is alive, but there’s this lingering question I can’t ignore: what if it doesn’t happen? It’s worth considering a scenario that no one really talks about — what if Bitcoin doesn't break out to new highs and instead stays in a range between $50k and $70k for the next few years? We've seen this play out before in other markets. Take gold, for example, between 2020 and 2024. After its big run-up, it stayed in a range, teasing breakouts but taking years before finally breaking through its previous all-time high. What If Bitcoin Enters a Prolonged Range? The idea that Bitcoin might simply range trade between key levels for a long period is not that far-fetched. The fact that we now have Bitcoin ETFs isn't necessarily a bullish argument. After all, ETFs exist for gold too, and that didn’t prevent gold from ranging for several years. Similarly, the argument that institutional investors are buying Bitcoin also isn’t a guarantee of a breakout. Big players have been accumulating gold for years, and yet, the price didn't explode immediately. Instead, it moved in a sideways range, frustrating long term bulls, until it was ready for a sustained move. The Danger of Fake Breakouts Bitcoin is notorious for its spike-like moves that give traders hope of a breakout, only to reverse in the opposite direction shortly after. It’s entirely possible that in the coming months or years, we could see multiple fake breakouts to the upside, triggering excitement that "this is it," only for Bitcoin to quickly retrace, leaving traders caught off-guard. The same thing could happen with downward spikes that make people think the bull market is over, only for Bitcoin to bounce back into its range. Final Thoughts Bitcoin’s potential to enter a prolonged range, despite the ETF and institutional buying, is a real possibility. The key takeaway is that traders and investors should be prepared for both scenarios: the explosive breakout everyone hopes for, but also the chance that Bitcoin could just as easily trade sideways for years, keeping everyone guessing. As always, the market will do what it wants, and our job as traders is to remain adaptable, keep emotions in check, and make the best decisions based on what we see, not just what we hope for.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
12
Bitcoin is above main Support After breaking the resistance level of $65,000, Bitcoin is currently trading above this level, which has now become an important support level. As seen in the chart, Bitcoin is in a mid-term ascending channel, and upon hitting the resistance level of $66,400, it faced a rejection and broke below the midline of the ascending channel. We expect Bitcoin to test the support range between $64,500 and $65,000 before starting a new upward movement. If it rejects from this level and buying pressure increases, we will likely see a retest of the resistance range between $64,500 and $67,000. Conversely, if the support level is lost, we could witness increased selling pressure, leading to a move towards the bottom of the ascending channel. If the bottom of the channel is broken, a candlestick shadow towards $63,700 may form. With the opening of global banks, we expect to see the beginning of volatility in Bitcoin.
by bizamooz-com
2
#BTC/USDT Weekend Update!#BTCUSDT: Not much is happening—just sideways price action on low volume due to the weekend. Expecting more volatility on Monday after the weekly close. For now, OB remains untested so be ready if that gets tested, possibly $63k-$64.3k. It will give us some good entries for scalp and swing in altcoins. With both the monthly and weekly closes approaching, these will be crucial. We’ll need a few confirmations for the anticipated "UPtober." I’ll be sharing more details on Monday. Alts? Alts might be choppy for now, but I expect strong rallies next month. Remember, dips are for buying! Have a great weekend folks! Do hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
4
Navigating BTCUSD: A Data-Driven Approach to Bullish TradingI have a bullish outlook on BTCUSD, and here are a few key reasons supporting this view: 1. Political Changes: Recent shifts in the U.S. political scene may lead to more favorable regulations for cryptocurrencies. 2. Economic Conditions: The economy seems to be stabilizing, with inflation decreasing and growth continuing. 3. Institutional Interest: Big investors are showing renewed interest in Bitcoin, which is a positive sign for the market. To get into long positions on BTCUSD, I’m using a strategy based on probabilities. By using this approach, I aim to make smart, data-driven decisions in the exciting world of Bitcoin trading. 1D: 1H: Please feel free to share your thoughts and ideas in the comments below! Let’s learn from each other and navigate this exciting market together!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action + trade planTechnical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action with multiple indicators and a descending triangle pattern by Blaž Fabjan Chart Patterns Descending Triangle: This is a classic pattern that typically suggests consolidation, and in many cases, a breakout (especially when formed in an uptrend). The triangle seems to be nearing the apex, indicating that a breakout could happen soon. Breakout potential: Since it's forming within an overall uptrend, the triangle suggests the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend after the consolidation. Indicators VMC Cipher B: The VMC Cipher B shows wave-like movements indicating market momentum and divergences. It looks like the waves are approaching a positive curve, indicating a potential bullish movement if confirmed by momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering around 50.49, which shows a neutral trend at the moment. No overbought or oversold conditions are present, leaving room for upward or downward movement depending on the breakout direction. Stochastic (14, 1, 3): The stochastic shows a level of 43.32 (blue) vs 56.91 (orange), indicating a slight bearish momentum, but it could reverse if price continues consolidating and breaks upwards. HMA+ Histogram: The histogram appears to show bearish pressure with negative values such as -55.9, though it looks like it may start to shift upwards if there's enough buying momentum. Volume: The volume appears lower during consolidation, which is typical before a significant move. Watch for an increase in volume as the price approaches the end of the triangle. Support and Resistance: Support: Around 63,800 USDT (marked by the bottom of the triangle). Resistance: Immediate resistance appears at around 64,200 USDT, the upper trendline of the descending triangle. Trading Plan: Breakout Strategy: Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks the triangle to the upside, enter a long position after confirmation (e.g., after the price breaks above 64,200 USDT with volume). Place a stop-loss slightly below the triangle's bottom at around 63,500 USDT. Target price: A potential upward target could be around 67,000 USDT (previous high) based on the size of the triangle. Bearish scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle’s bottom (around 63,800 USDT) with volume, a short position can be considered. In this case, place a stop-loss just above the upper trendline of the triangle (around 64,500 USDT). Target price: A downside target would be around 62,000 USDT, depending on how strong the downward momentum is. Risk Management: Set a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2, considering the uncertainty of the consolidation period. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on the trade. In summary, BTC is consolidating in a descending triangle within an uptrend, and a breakout in either direction is likely. Watch for volume and confirmation before taking a position, and stick to a disciplined risk management plan.
Long
by elfabiiani
More pain before we SoarHere in this chart, I have mapped out the price points to keep an eye on. I like the 53k-55k range and believe it is extremely bullish for us to stay above it but the longer we linger here... the more likely we are to break down. Down would be to 48k support which is not as strong as some may think. I am still keeping an open mind to the possibility of an event where we don't have a normal cycle that rallies into the next year post-cycle but instead a drastic dip back down to reality at 38k - this is also a worst-case scenario and possibly the disbelief phase of the cycle. Or I can always go with my gut and say that we already had a short-lived bull market these past few years.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RetiredNovice