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Explanation Why Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is not Over YetHello, Skyrexians! Time to update BINANCE:BTCUSDT huge analysis. Market became bigger and it needs more rime to form bull and bear stages. Now everyone is waiting for the bear market because it was every time, but this time it will be tricky for retailers. Let's take a look at the 2 week time frame. If we apply our Fractal Trend Detector to this chart we can see that Bitcoin is still in the green zone and now is inside the huge support area. If it will be held we will see the following Elliott waves scenario where wave 3 will reach at least $144k. Awesome Oscillator also gives us a hint that it's still not over. The entire bull market will be finished only in the middle of 2026. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
1
The Current State of Bitcoin on the CME Futures ChartAs we analyze the current state of Bitcoin on the CME Futures chart, it's clear that a mixture of market forces and investor sentiment is playing out in an intriguing way. Looking at the Commitment of Traders (COT) index, we can observe a distinct divergence in the positioning of different market participants: commercials, retail traders, and fund managers. Commercials: Bearish but Accumulating Over-the-Counter Commercials, who are typically large institutions and market makers, continue to hold a bearish stance on Bitcoin in the futures market. This suggests that they are still not convinced of Bitcoin’s long-term price sustainability, likely reflecting a cautious outlook amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty. However, what stands out is their behavior in the over-the-counter (OTC) market. Despite their bearish position in the futures market, these same entities are accumulating Bitcoin in the OTC market. This suggests that while they might be hedging against short-term volatility, they still recognize Bitcoin's potential value or see it as a long-term store of value, allowing them to position themselves for future upside. Retail Traders: Fearful and Bearish Retail traders, on the other hand, have a far more pessimistic view of Bitcoin at the moment. With a lot of fear circulating in the market, many smaller traders are hesitant and have adopted bearish positions. This fear is compounded by the volatility that has become characteristic of the cryptocurrency market, alongside the macroeconomic challenges in traditional markets. Retail traders’ bearishness is a sign of market uncertainty and can often present opportunities for those who can see past short-term price movements. It is also indicative of the emotional influence that sentiment, such as fear, can have on the broader market. Fund Managers: Extremely Bullish In stark contrast to both the commercials and retail traders, fund managers are incredibly bullish on Bitcoin. They see the cryptocurrency as a valuable asset, particularly in the context of diversification and inflation hedging. The strong bullish positioning of fund managers indicates that institutional interest in Bitcoin is growing. These larger investors, likely driven by long-term growth prospects and the increasing recognition of Bitcoin as digital gold, remain optimistic about its potential. Their strong positions also suggest a belief in the fundamental value of Bitcoin and its resilience in the face of market turbulence. Conclusion: A Complex Market Sentiment The current state of Bitcoin futures on the CME reveals a market characterized by stark contrasts. Commercials are hedging their bets with a bearish outlook in the futures market while accumulating Bitcoin over-the-counter. Retail traders are fearful and bearish, showing caution amid uncertain market conditions. Meanwhile, fund managers stand in stark contrast, displaying strong bullishness, likely driven by the long-term potential of Bitcoin. This divergence of sentiment suggests that the market is at a crossroads, with various players taking different approaches based on their time horizon, risk appetite, and views on Bitcoin's role in the financial system. In the short term, volatility and fear could dominate, but the long-term bullish positioning of institutional players may point toward a stronger future for Bitcoin as the market matures.
CME:BTC1!Long
by Aryaman_SmartContracts
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Market Structure & Key Levels: The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart displays a descending channel breakout, followed by a range-bound consolidation phase. Key Support Levels: $78,000 - $77,320: A strong demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in. $80,000: Psychological support level. Key Resistance Levels: $84,340: Short-term resistance currently being tested. $85,996: Next major resistance level. $89,363: Target resistance level if a breakout occurs. $92,331: A higher timeframe resistance level. Chart Pattern & Price Action: Descending Channel (Early March) Price was in a downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern. The breakout from this channel led to a shift in momentum. Range Consolidation (Current Pattern) After the breakout, BTC entered a sideways accumulation phase (marked by the red box). Price is bouncing between $82,000 - $84,500, showing low volatility and indecision. Breakout Possibility (Bullish Bias) A break above $84,500 could confirm a bullish move towards $85,996 and beyond. The next major target is $89,363, which aligns with previous resistance. Support Retest (Bearish Risk) If BTC fails to break resistance, we might see a retest of $80,000 or even $78,000. A break below $77,320 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
BTCUSDT - Forecast for Today!My general opinion is that we will go back and forth in the intermediate zones until interest rate decision is announced and I'm bearish for now due to CDV. I have indicated the possible manipulations in these intermediate zones in the drawings on the chart. Starting from the 4-hour point of control zone(indicated in the chart), I will start looking for short trends downwards and as usual, I will enter with confirmations in the low time frame. I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
Short
by UmutTrades
BTC → Bitcoin Retrace to $69,500? Or Bounce to $150,000?The short version, the probability that Bitcoin tests the breakout price around $69,500 is very high. That's simply the nature of breakouts; bulls take profits (sell orders) until the previous high is reached, at which point the bulls start buying again, and the bears take their profits (buy orders), driving the market up for another leg. The question is, what is our next move as traders? Or even Bitcoin investors? How do we trade this? 🤔 Let's zoom out to the Monthly chart. Bitcoin is resting on the 9EMA, a support area we've closed above it since September of 2023. Our current context is we've broken out of the 2021 cycle high of $69,500 and reached a new high just shy of $110,000. It's clear we're in pullback mode right now, so far-reaching down to $78,000. Fundamentally, there aren't many catalysts for bullish activity. Bulls are simply taking profit at the first 6-figure Bitcoin price, which is both a psychological and technical price for selling. Monetary policy is still in a state of qualitative tightening, inflation has been slowly rising since September 2024, from 2.4% to 3%. Not a dramatic move, which certainly isn't helping Bitcoin move to the upside. Bitcoin seems to respond more to monetary policy than inflation rates and while the rates have steadily climbed, it's not enough to shock the market, while monetary policy has largely stayed the same. Technical analysis shows TOTAL, TOTAL2, and TOTAL3 crypto market cap charts all were rejected at key resistance areas in early December. Bitcoin broke the 2021 right shoulder around $46,000 to $73,000, then had a measured move up to $109,000, about a 55% move each, give or take. We're simply in a state where we've reached a key resistance level after a breakout while the market as a whole is in a state of uncertainty. I believe that uncertainty will lead to a capitulation down to the high $ 60,000s, even if it's a quick wick. This would likely lead to a $1,500 ETH, $1.50 XRP, it may look ugly. But take a look at past cycles; a 30-40% pullback for Bitcoin is just another Thursday in the crypto market. The alts can pull back as much as 50%-60%. I think we wait for the buy signal. Look for a pullback to the breakout area at $69,500, and wait for the market to tell us that we found the buy zone with a strong candle close on or near its high on the Daily chart, likely somewhere around $75,000. Then I believe $150,000 is the area for this cycle high based on the Lifetime Resistance and measured move target. The measured move shows a 57% move up after the breakout; if we take that 57% move up and stack it on the mid-price of the current trading range at $91,000, that takes us to right around $150,000. Anything beyond that is a bonus. I think from there, it makes a second attempt to breach the high, followed by our 12-18 month bear market as shown in the chart. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $75,000 🟥 Stop Loss: $55,000 ✅ Take Profit #1: $105,000 ✅ Take Profit #2: $135,000 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Breakout above 2021 Cycle High $69,500 2. Psychological and technical high of $100,000 reached 3. Pullback phase has been in motion since December, breakout zone is the buy target 4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Monthly 30EMA (breakout zone), look for strong buy signal, large bull candle closing on or near its high. 5. RSI is near 64.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a drop toward 60.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TraderEngineering
6
BITCOIN Correction in Play - Can Bulls Regain Control?COINBASE:BTCUSD is experiencing a corrective move after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the channel. The rejection from this level has led to increased selling pressure, with price steadily approaching a significant support zone around $73,000. The confluence of the trendline support and the horizontal demand zone increases the probability of a bullish reaction. If buyers step in at this level, we could see a rebound, with a potential move toward the $90,000 resistance zone. This level could act as a short-term target within the current market structure. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside, potentially extending the retracement toward lower levels. Traders should monitor bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before anticipating a continuation to the upside. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
63
Weekly Support is around 80000.Weekly Support is around 80000. However, 72500 - 73000 is its previous breakout level & probably a Best Buying Rage (if it touches) which is also a Confluence area of Trendline Support+Important Fib. level. Bullish Divergence on Shorter Time Frame + Weekly Support around 80000 (if Sustained) may push the Price up towards 87000 & then around 95000 - 96000. Ultimate Resistance is around 110000. Crossing this level may open new Highs Targeting around 136000. On Shorter Timeframe, 85000 - 86000 is the Immediate Resistance & Support is around 80000.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by House-of-Technicals
Breaking: Bitcoin Made a Comeback Surging 8%The world's first digital asset Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) shocked traders and investors alike as it surge 6% striking a comeback amidst the recent crypto bloodbath placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC in the FWB:83K zone with eyes set on the reclamation of the $100k Resistance. Earlier on, we see Bitcoin retraced testing the $70k support point with many altcoins following suit. Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break pass the $90k pivot point which is in lieu with the 38.2% Fibonacci point, a bullish campaign might evolved for CRYPTOCAP:BTC with odds set on the $120k zone. Data from DefiLama shows industries and crypto projects are migrating to the Bitcoin blockchain network for scalability with about $5.414 Billion locked in Total Value Locked (TVL). Bitcoin Price Live Data The live Bitcoin price today is $83,341.47 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $58,734,237,674 USD. Bitcoin is up 7.17% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,653,114,998,100 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,835,443 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
BITCOIN at Key Support – Ready to Bounce to $94,000?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading at a key demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support within the ascending channel. The recent retracement has brought the price back into this area, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction. The confluence of the support zone and the ascending trendline suggests that buyers may step in to regain control. If price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish continuation toward the $94,000 level, aligning with the channel’s midline and the next major resistance. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish bias and signal a potential shift in momentum. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increasing buying volume, before considering long positions. A breakout above minor resistance levels along the way could further strengthen the bullish outlook. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
59
Bitcoin - The Path to a Quarter of a Million Bitcoin - What Happened After the End of the Bear Market 15,460 USD—this value marked the ultimate low of the bear market in hindsight. My previous forecast for a bottom formation was exceeded by approximately 15%. This was not due to a lack of expertise but rather because I rarely publish ideas. Looking back, the levels around 18,000 USD were an excellent opportunity for long-term entry and position accumulation. Since then, Bitcoin has surged by an impressive 350% (as of today). Market Development After the Bear Market Today, I will not delve into Bitcoin’s fundamental situation. First, because it has reached a level of complexity that is difficult to fully grasp, and second, because fundamentals are almost irrelevant to my technical analysis and forecasts. The current price action suggests that we are nearing the completion of Wave 1, which serves as the launchpad for the larger Wave 3. It is important to note that the previous all-time high of 109,358.01 USD may be surpassed if the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level is slightly above it. This means that, despite an initial sell-off, Bitcoin could still reach a maximum of 115,438.15 USD before a major correction begins. However, if the previous all-time high already marked the end of Wave 1, then the price should retrace towards the 78.6% or even the 88.7% Fibonacci levels. Yes, this results in a broad range, but the goal is not to place a short trade—only to time a long trade effectively. One thing is crystal clear: The next correction is imminent—or has already begun. Outlook: Where Is the Next Profitable Long-Term Entry? The art of investing lies in playing the long game and timing the market for optimal long positions. While dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a solid strategy, it is particularly beneficial to invest larger tranches with careful planning. Since my strategy is to hold Bitcoin for decades, I am looking for the next major buying opportunity. Based on current market trends, I see two overlapping target zones for the upcoming correction: 🔹 Potential correction range: 35,774.30 - 58,928.75 USD 🔹 Key Fibonacci retracement level (61.8%) of Wave 1: 51,502.15 USD I expect Bitcoin to correct at least to 51,502.15 USD. However, based on previous corrections and price structures, a deeper retracement is highly likely. 💡 My personal target zone for accumulating larger positions: 👉 35,774.30 - 51,502.15 USD 🚨 Bitcoin must not drop below 34,944.64 USD. After the Correction: The Next Major Bullish Wave Once the correction (Wave 2) finds its bottom between 34,944.64 - 51,502.15 USD, the market will be set for the explosive third wave of the larger Wave 3. 📈 Minimum price target for Wave 3: 160,000+ USD 📈 Further upside potential: Beyond 250,000 USD Key Takeaway: Investing in Bitcoin is an investment in your future. 👉 Think long-term and minimize your risk. Summary 1. Bear Market Recap ✅ Bear market bottom: 15,460 USD ✅ Forecast missed by ~15% ✅ 18,000 USD was a great long-term entry ✅ +350% price increase since then 2. Current Market Situation & Forecast ✅ Bitcoin is near the completion of Wave 1 ✅ Possible breakout beyond all-time high (109,358.01 USD) to 115,438.15 USD ✅ A major correction is imminent—or has already begun 3. Ideal Long-Term Entry Points ✅ Target accumulation zone: 35,774.30 - 51,502.15 USD ✅ Expected correction at least to: 51,502.15 USD ✅ Absolute lower limit: 34,944.64 USD (must not be breached) 4. Long-Term Outlook ✅ Wave 3 to start after correction (Wave 2) ✅ Minimum target: 160,000 USD ✅ Potential long-term target: 250,000+ USD ✅ Investment strategy: Hold long-term & minimize risk
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by PsychoAlien
BTCUSDT Analysis – From Simple to Complex!BTCUSDT Analysis – From Simple to Complex! 🚀 “Let’s break it down step by step. At first glance, the first red line looks like an obvious resistance point. But here’s the deal—it’s too obvious. And in trading, when something is too obvious, it often doesn’t work as expected.” Basic Structure: 📌 Red Line = Clear Resistance – Everyone sees it, but that also means it could be a trap. Now, Let’s Get Deeper... 🔍 Volume Analysis Changes the Game: Weekend Moves with Low Volume = High Manipulation Risk – Crypto loves to fake out retail traders in these conditions. Look at the Black Line Inside the Blue Area – This is where things get interesting. This level could be the true battleground between buyers and sellers. CDV & Volume Profile Will Guide Us – We need confirmation from buying and selling volumes before making any major moves. Final Thoughts: “At first, the chart looks simple, but once you add volume analysis, things get more complex. Don’t trade based on what looks obvious—trade based on what’s actually happening in the order flow. I’ll explain the next step in my following post!” 📉 Stay smart, stay ahead! 🔥 My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. I have a long list of my proven technique below: AVAXUSDT Perfect Short Entry! 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
Short
by UmutTrades