Bitcoinlong
#BTC/USDT Bullish September+Q4 Ahead!Detailed technical analysis of the BTC/USDT pair on a daily timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements and potential trading ideas based on the chart:
### Key Observations:
1. **Descending Channel Formation**: The price action is moving within a descending channel, with clearly defined peaks (marked as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and a possible 6) and troughs. The price seems to respect this channel, bouncing off both the upper and lower trendlines.
2. **RSI Divergence**: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom of the chart is showing a bullish divergence. While the price has made lower lows, the RSI is making higher lows, indicating a potential reversal or a weakening bearish momentum.
3. **Two Scenarios Outlined**:
- **Scenario 1**: A breakout above the upper trendline, leading to a potential rise towards the resistance zone around the $70,000 level. This is supported by the drawn path, suggesting a bullish move if the breakout is confirmed.
- **Scenario 2**: A pullback to the support area around $55,000 - $54,000, before a bounce that could either break the descending channel or test the upper boundary again.
4. **Volume Consideration**: The chart indicates a period covering 197 bars (days) with a total volume of 6.448M BTC traded. The consistent volume could signify accumulation or distribution phases, depending on the context of the breakout or breakdown.
### Trading Idea:
Given the current technical setup:
- **Bullish Scenario (Long Trade)**:
- **Entry**: Enter a long position on a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline, ideally above $62,000 with a daily close above this level.
- **Target**: Initial target could be around $68,000 to $70,000. Further targets can be set at key Fibonacci extensions or psychological levels such as $75,000.
- **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss just below the breakout point, around $60,000 to $59,500, to protect against a false breakout.
- **Bearish Scenario (Short Trade)**:
- **Entry**: Enter a short position if the price fails to break out and instead pulls back towards the support zone around $55,000.
- **Target**: Target the lower end of the channel, potentially around $47,000 to $45,500.
- **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss above the upper trendline, around $62,500, to protect against a sudden breakout.
- **Neutral (Wait and Watch)**:
- **Strategy**: If the price remains within the channel without any clear breakout or breakdown, it might be prudent to wait for a clearer signal. This could involve waiting for a decisive move outside of the channel or for confirmation via volume and RSI divergence resolution.
This analysis provides a balanced approach, allowing traders to react to the market based on the price action relative to the defined channel.
Ensure that positions are adjusted according to evolving market conditions and use proper risk management.
Not Financial Advice, Always do your own research.
Please hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
"Powell and Trump's Pump" & New Study Showing BTC Fractal TargetWe had a nice pump in the markets today, stemming from J Powell's comments from Jackson Hole signalling not only one rate cut coming in September, but likely multiple (not priced in).
RFK also kinda sorta endorsed trump but still kept the Hail Mary option open for him to still get elected (Don't hold your breath, although I'd love to see that. RFK had a great speech at Bitcion 2024 and is a good man, but doesn't have the votes).
Markets reacted positively and some are boldly saying 'The Bull Run is Back'. 🚀
We shall see.
Students of Hurst's Market Cycles will also note that this week (tomorrow the 24th preciely) should be the weekly cycle low, so that could also be a contributing factor.
In this video, I briefly review the NASDAQ:IBIT chart showing one open unfilled gap lower (this can take awhile and so this is still on the table) as well as the new BTC fractal study I mentioned.
(But I forgot to share the DXY chart showing that we're testing the important 101 level, which is looking like it's going to cut right through it like a hot knife through buttah).
Most interesting...
Check out this fractal overlay I pulled from earlier in the year, showing the possible path of Bitcoin higher, and that almost exacly lines up with current / previous trendline S&R as well as my Fibonacci price target of $150, which you can review in some of my other posts here...
Finally seems like we'll have the wind at our back soon.
While this was a nice breeze, I'm going to remain cautious and wait for confirmations higher to go 'all in'. For me, that's seeing confirmed closing price action above $74k.
See the video for some specific / excact entries.
If you'd like me to cover anything in future videos, leave a comment below.
Thanks again to the TradingView team for choosing my last video as 'Editors Pick' today! 🚀🚀
Keep up the good work guys!
Bitcoin - Buyers Are Still In ControlBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is reversing every single rejection of the previous all time high which we saw over the past couple of months, clearly showing that buyers are still overall in control of Bitcoin.
Click link above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻
For a couple of months in a row, Bitcoin has been retesting the previous all time high which was created back in 2021 but was not able to break it towards the upside sustainably. However it is quite likely that we will soon see a bullish breakout considering that investors are literally buying every single dip and traders are too hesitant to sell their positions.
Levels to watch: $60.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
BULLISH on BitcoinBTC is in the handle phase of a Cup and Handle pattern on the daily and weekly timeframe, so the higher timeframe is in confluence. A push above 70k on volume could signal the measured move of 46-48000 points to the upside. This is calculated from the bottoming support area of roughly 16k to the top of the handle which is around 64-70k. Best of Luck!
Bitcoin and altcoin overview(August 23-24)Regarding Bitcoin , there have been no changes in the structure since yesterday. We are still within the global sideways range and are primarily waiting for a breakout of the trading high at $62,800. There's a high probability that this will happen today, influenced by the US Federal Reserve's interest rate reduction. The announcement is scheduled for 17:00 (GMT+3).
Selling zones: $64,000-$65,200 (mirror volume zone), $67,000-$68,300 (mirror volume zone).
Buying zones: $59,550-$59,000 (maximum volumes), level $56,100, $52,000-$50,000 (volume anomalies), level $48,000.
Interesting altcoins
A strong mirror volume zone of $1.05-$1.03 has formed for the FET coin, which continues to be in a strong upward trend. When approaching this zone and seeing a reaction from buyers, we open a long position.
Bullish H n S for Bitcoin. Already retested!. Could POP hard
I was watching this one yesterday for BTCUSD but there was an opposing bearish Head n shoulder's pattern and the Bitcoin price really softened.
Take a look.
Trade entry: Look for increased volume & a bullish candle on approach to neckline.
Good luck,
Chris
Bitcoin, is the bull run continuing soon?I expect the Bitcoin price to consolidate in the 53,600 - 49,000 zone, after the price is fixed in the zone, I expect to see a price increase and a high probability of breaking the maximum.
If you look at the Online LTH Realized Profit 7D metric, you can see a similar seasonality of the market that was in 2021, in addition to the online metric, I conducted a deeper study and found many arguments that confirm my expectations, there is a low probability that the price will drop below 48,900, I do not expect this level to break through.
BTCUSDT4-hour time frame bitcoin analysis
Bitcoin has risen in the 4-hour time frame and can move up to the specified Swap zone. In price reversals, we can enter buying positions after seeing the confirmation. Also, when the price reaches the swap zone, we can look for sales positions by seeing the confirmation.
Using the iShares TIP Bond ETF to predict the S&P price reversalThe iShares TIP Bond ETF serves as an inflation-protected investment by adjusting its principal based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This makes it a valuable tool for macroeconomic analysis, as it provides insight into how inflation expectations are being priced into the market which gives early reversal signs when observing the MS on the weekly chart.
As illustrated in the accompanying chart, when the ETF’s value (i.e., the inflation-adjusted principal) rises, the S&P 500 and Bitcoin often exhibit upward momentum, while the ETF’s yield typically declines. This inverse relationship occurs because the ETF becomes more appealing when riskier assets are expected to under perform, especially during periods of rising inflation. Investors should consider the ETF’s price adjustments in response to CPI data. For example, if CPI begins to decline and interest rates peak, the ETF may become less attractive, prompting investors to shift toward high-cap, risk-on assets in equities and potentially Bitcoin.
It is also important to note that the price of this ETF can rise due to increased demand, regardless of inflation expectations. Therefore, a comprehensive, contextual understanding of market cycles is essential when evaluating its position in a broader investment strategy.
Buy BTC, I am still bullish.I am still buying BTC at the current market price.
I woke up to see my trade from yesterday kicked out in lost.
My today's buy view is as follows for trading:
Entry: $58,300
SL: $57,630
TP1: $59,840
TP2: 61,000
However, buy at the current market price and hold till $61K and close your trade if you are medium-term holder.
Bitcoin's path to $100K (summer 2025)Bitcoin has a path to 100K that has been building up for the past year. As long as we don't correct here back below 45K we should continue rising with the intention to reach 85K - once we break through that we have clear line of sight to clear 110K-125K on the next big rally.
Don't get caught in the moment of temporal losses -
Bitcoin will always out perform the dollar - now and forever!
Buy The Dip!!
Peace & Love
BK
Crypto Total Market Cap ~ 14 months of bull run remaining?Crypto - CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap
Another month has passed since I shared this chart. We are now past the half way point for this bull run. Over the next 3 months, this is typically were the market starts to reach escape velocity.
✅ Month 15 of 29 month bull run (past halfway now)
✅ Month 15 of prior cycles (green boxes) were
followed by major upward price movements.
✅ An ascending triangle or compression of the market cap can be seen via a series of higher lows held up by a diagonal support line, market cap is also contained by the overhead all time highs.
⚠️What's interesting is the TOTAL market cap has not made an all time high yet 👀
⏳The 10 month moving average is at $2.06T, we are presently under it at $2.04T however there are 16 days left in August before we have a candle close. Something to watch. It not definitive, but if we could hold above the 10 month it would be very encouraging. The 10 month moving average is still sloping up the way too which is telling.
⏳ Given the unavoidable recession concerns, I have included a Black Swan Line. I do not see this as the most likely outcome however its worth having a back the truck up line in the event of mass panic. This would be a great level for long term hodlers to enter, and could always use a level under the line as a stop for CRYPTOCAP:BTC price.
Summary
I remain bullish mainly due to where we are in the bull market cycle as per the chart timing above. We are fighting the 10 month moving average and it remains upward sloping. We have an ascending triangle of sorts forming and an underside diagonal support line we can watch as an increased risk level (if lost). The monthly candle presently looks like a hammer reversal candle. Patience is the name of the game here for long term hodlers.
Typically Aug/Sept are thee worst months for CRYPTOCAP:BTC price performance, so we should expect consolidation, sideways and a possible churn slightly lower before the market continues its ascent towards the end of Sept, start of Oct 2024. Looking ahead, the Christmas season often brings renewed excitement to the market. That all starts with the "Halloween effect" in October. All will be revealed with 60 days. Stay busy folks 🙌
PUKA
Are we ready for the rise in the price of Bitcoin?The answer is yes
We are repeating history...
There are less than 60 days left until the breaking of the previous ceiling and then the price increase to the desired ranges in the Bitcoin chart.
After 1 year of effort and study, I found out the method of seeing the chart, I did a lot of trial and error, but now I am ready to make the best predictions in the world....
I am Ehsan Chegani from the beautiful country of Iran and I must tell you that the price ceiling of Bitcoin will be set in 2025 and the price will increase to the range of 220 thousand dollars.
The altcoin party will start in 3 months and eventually the price of many altcoins will see new ceilings, but there will be no news of significant progress in the market until the next 2 months...
During these 2 months, I buy more bitcoins and altcoins with every price drop... how about you???
Number 1: The US government will support Bitcoin.
Number 2: Little by little, I am preparing my hardware wallets to be ready to convert bitcoins to dollars and exit the market.
Number 3: The price has reached its ceiling and I am selling.