Bitcoin (BTC) - Steady Rise Sparks Cautious OptimismEarlier last week, disappointment around Trump's presidential debate performance led to MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN "selling the news,” dropping below $56K. This drop was anticipated on a technical basis, and the reaction was muted after higher-than-expected inflation figures on Wednesday were absorbed.
Markets were initially anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut from the Fed. However, recent data has shifted expectations towards a potential 50 basis point reduction. This change has added to Bitcoin's short-term uncertainty, as traders may be gearing up for a more significant cut. A rate cut @ 25 basis points could lead to a short-term sell-off as traders re-adjust.
Nonetheless, Bitcoin's consistent upward movement this week has led to a shift in sentiment to "cautiously optimistic." Prices are significantly improved compared to the levels observed when Bitcoin was hovering around the 53K mark.
With that in mind, this should be the level to bid if one considers the BMS and the current importance of staying above the mid-$56K range.
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The key level for the entire market is critical. I would welcome a retest of the $42-44K range if September sees a downturn. For now, this is the level to target if you're bullish. A break below this range would shift my outlook to bearish, with the target previously mentioned in mind.
In the event of a breakdown, we need to see a V-shaped reversal to counteract the bearish trend. Without a strong reversal, expect bearish market conditions for the next six months.
Bitcoinlong
BTC Bitcoin In-Depth Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 Navigating Key Market Levels with Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) has broken market structure to the upside. On both the daily and 4-hour charts, we see a pullback into equilibrium, offering a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we dive into market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also discuss how smart money has been targeting stop losses recently. The goal is to set up a trade that minimizes the risk of a stop run without compromising our risk-to-reward ratio.
*Disclaimer: The information shared in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.* 📊✅
BTCUSD - BULLISH.Bitcoin looks interesting (well at least to me). It seems that it is ready to go in a bullish run. Waiting for opportunity to go bullish once price pullback to the 58,800 area. Immediate target is around 61,200 area and larger target is around 65,000.
Like and follow if you agree with this idea. Happy profit day!
Bitcoin BTCUSDT Long Opportunity when Breaks Through 58000Signal:
Green on 1st Ribbon
Green on Background Ribbons
Bitcoin may have found strong support, High Probability for a good Long Opportunity if it breaks through 58000 - a valid breakout
Target-1: 63500
Stop-Loss: 56300
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities.
Will Today's CPI Report Ease Crypto Pressure Post-Debate?Macro theme:
- Fears of a global recession are weighing on Bitcoin as a risky asset, though the US economy remains on track for steady growth.
- Investor engagement with exchanges has decreased, with lower trading volumes reflecting reduced interest.
- Bitcoin's recent gains were impacted following the first debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, with odds favouring Harris.
- All eyes are now on today's CPI data; if inflation falls as expected, a short squeeze could ease the recent price pressure.
Technical theme:
- From a 4-hour chart perspective, BTCUSD is hovering around EMA21, indicating that the sideways mode persists. EMA21 has not crossed up EMA78 yet to create a complete shift of the current sideways structure despite that BTCUSD broke its previous descending channel.
- If BTCUSD extends its gain beyond 58200, the price may continue to reach the psychology level 60000.
- On the contrary, if BTCUSD breaks below 55660, the price may retest the 54600.
BTC/USDT = Dominance Signals Bitcoin's Next Bullish MoveTL;DR for Busy Readers
95% confidence that Bitcoin has bottomed at $52.5k, with the worst possible scenario at $50.4k.
The USDT Dominance Chart is showing resistance levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was around $27k.
For Bitcoin to hit $44k, USDT dominance would need to enter bear market territory, which is highly unlikely.
A 30%+ downside move in USDT dominance suggests more capital will flow into Bitcoin, signaling a bullish uptrend.
The odds are heavily in favor of Bitcoin moving upward from here, and I expect it to play out over the rest of the month.
I’m 95% confident that we’ve bottomed out at $52.5k, and the worst case scenario would be $50.4k. Additionally, I’m 95% certain we won’t see a drop to $44k or anywhere near it. Here’s why.
The USDT Dominance Chart: A Key Indicator
One of the most reliable charts for predicting Bitcoin tops and market reversals is the USDT Dominance chart. This chart tracks the dominance of Tether (USDT) in the market, and right now, it’s showing levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was trading around $27k.
Currently, USDT Dominance is at critical resistance, touching levels that are typically only observed during bear markets. Historically, when USDT dominance hits these levels, it signals a bottom for Bitcoin and the beginning of an uptrend.
Additionally, the USDT dominance chart indicates we could see over a 30%+ move to the downside in USDT dominance, meaning more capital will flow out of stablecoins and back into Bitcoin and other cryptos. This is a strong indicator that Bitcoin is bottoming out and preparing for a bullish move.
Why $44k is Unlikely
For Bitcoin to drop to $44k, USDT dominance would have to enter territory that we’ve only ever seen in true bear markets. If this happens, it could break the higher timeframe (HTF) structure on both the USDT dominance chart and the Bitcoin chart, and ultimately, we wouldn’t just stop at $44k—we’d probably end up around $30k.
That’s why if you’re hoping for $44k , you’re really wishing for a major bear market that could pull Bitcoin down much further. This scenario would mean a shift in the current market structure, which doesn’t align with the probabilities we’re seeing.
Upside Probability is Much Higher
While there’s always a chance that USDT dominance could break higher and push the market lower, the probability of this happening is very small in my opinion. Investing is all about probabilities, and when we assess the entire market situation, it’s clear that the upside is heavily favored right now.
Based on the data, the market structure, and the USDT dominance chart, the likelihood of Bitcoin continuing upward from here is very high. It’s important to monitor how the market behaves in the coming weeks, but all signs point toward a bullish move.
My years of experience kind of Opinion
In summary, the USDT dominance chart is signaling that we’ve likely seen the bottom at $52.5k, and the chances of Bitcoin falling to $44k or lower are extremely slim. If anything, this level of USDT dominance typically indicates that a Bitcoin rally is on the horizon. Stay cautious, but it looks like the market is gearing up for an uptrend. Let's see how the rest of the month plays out, but from where I stand, the upside looks very promising.
DISCLAIMER:
All though I predicted the market at 18K pump, this prediction is still for informational/documentation of my journey and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. As with all investments, there are risks involved, and probability-based analysis may not always result in accurate predictions. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BTC: The beginning of a rebound.Hello everyone,
Here’s a quick and simple breakdown of the key support and resistance zones.
Below are the reasons why these zones have been selected:
✔️ Support Zone 1. ($53,329.5 ~ $52,372.5)
Descending channel
Fibonacci 0.786 retracement
Significant low (S/R Flip)
✔️ Resistance Zone 1. ($55,969.0 ~ $55,499.6)
Fibonacci 0.236 retracement
Significant low (S/R Flip)
✔️ Resistance Zone 2. ($58,218.0 ~ $57,348.7)
Fibonacci 0.382 retracement
Significant low (S/R Flip)
There's a strong likelihood of significant price action within these zones, either as support or resistance. Keep a close eye on Bitcoin’s movement in these areas. Best of luck!
*S/R Flip: Support/Resistance Flip
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only.
All decisions and responsibilities lie with you.
Bitcoin Bull Run Continues?My expectations from the previous post have materialized, and the price of Bitcoin has dropped again into the price imbalance zone below 53,500. My expectations for Bitcoin's price next week are as follows: due to negative economic news, the stock market will likely continue to decline for several more days starting on Monday. Since Bitcoin's price correlates with key indices like the S&P and Dow Jones, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will continue to decline, potentially reaching as low as 48,900.
If we look at the Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio 7D indicator, which unfortunately is not yet available publicly on the TradingView platform, based on this data, Bitcoin is currently in an accumulation phase before a major growth season. Similar patterns occurred during the 2011 and 2021 market seasons.
BTC Still inside the BOX / Careful about the BTC heatmap!BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello Traders,
Despite positive economic sentiment, BTC still fluctuating inside the box.
If the price stays above the yellow area, the green scenario is valid and after that if price breaks above the 65K level and stabilize there, 66690 and 70100 levels are the next price resistances.
According to the recent market heatmap, some shadows may occur inside the circle area for some market liquidation.
Stay tuned for more updates.
BTC Swing Long to 65k & 70kTrade Idea: Bottom for Bitcoin Might Be In
This chart suggests that Bitcoin may have found its bottom, with the potential for a bullish reversal. The following elements highlight this outlook:
1. Liquidity Zones:
- Liquidity/TP1: The chart highlights a take-profit zone (TP1) near the $64,000 level, where liquidity is expected to reside. This is the target area for the long trade.
- Prev. Monthly High: This is noted above the $70,000 level, potentially acting as a higher resistance level and extended target if momentum continues after TP1.
2. Entry Zone:
- The gray shaded area near the $55,000 level represents the entry zone, with liquidity around this price. This suggests that the price may have tapped into an important liquidity pool before starting its upward movement.
- External Liquidity: This region below the current price might have acted as a liquidity sweep, further confirming the bottoming pattern.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
- The chart identifies a FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $56,000 level, which could act as an area of interest. Price has filled this gap, possibly signaling the completion of its downward move.
4. Market Structure:
- The market appears to have tested lower liquidity levels and rejected them, potentially signaling that a local bottom has been established. The price action shows consolidation in the entry area, indicating accumulation before a potential upward move.
This trade idea would be well-suited for traders anticipating a medium-term bounce after Bitcoin’s recent downward movement.
Imminent rebound for BTC in the next 24 hours! A strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, signaling bullish market conditions! ☀️ The price of Bitcoin rose 1 percent to $57,277 over the past 24 hours and still has the potential to go up.
The 12 spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) listed in the US have posted outflows totaling almost $800 million dollar over the past six trading days, data from Sosovalue shows.
Investors now await cues from the upcoming US job figures being released tomorrow. Analysts expect 160,000 jobs to have been created outside the US farming sector in August, up from 114,000 jobs in July.
Yet, over a one-week time horizon, drizzle will linger over Bitcoin, signaling downside potential. 🌧
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BTC Higher Timeframe Outlook 70k Next -> Then 32kIn this video, I break down the market from a top-down perspective, analyzing from higher timeframes down to lower timeframes. I carefully frame key Points of Interest (POIs) to help identify potential trading opportunities.
Additionally, I share a specific short-term trade idea with detailed entry, exit, and risk management strategies. My first target is set at 70k, followed by 32k, and I explain the reasoning behind these levels. Watch to get a clear understanding of the current market structure and actionable insights for your trading journey.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Filling CME Gap==>>Short termBitcoin was accompanied by increases and decreases ( high momentum ) in the past days.
Currently, Bitcoin has reacted well to the Support zone($63,630-$63,200) .
I expect Bitcoin to rise from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and fill the upper CME Gap($61,445-$60,485) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC to rebound - bullish potential for the next 24 hours The price of Bitcoin fell more than 6 percent to $59,290 over the past 24 hours, trading as low as $58,564 over this period, Trading View’s Bitcoin chart shows.
Yet, a strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, signaling bullish market conditions. ☀️
“Today's drop is intriguing and presents a potential opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a tactical rally. Entering at $59,000 with a tight stop at $58,000 might seem overly cautious to some, but tactical opportunities like this are rare in a market lacking a clear bullish trend,” the crypto intelligence firm 10xResearch said in its daily note.
The number of Bitcoin millionaires increased by 111 percent last year and exceeded 85,000 people, Henley & Partners annual Crypto Wealth Report 2024 shows. Eleven persons hold more than $1 billion in Bitcoin. The CEO of MicroStrategy Michael Saylor, the CEO of Coinbase Brian Armstrong and Binance’s founder, currently serving a prison term in the US for money laundering violations, Changpeng Zhao (CZ) are part of this exclusive club.
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