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I am ALL IN BITCOIN BTCUSDTSignal: Green on 1st Ribbon for the second time Green on Background Ribbons High Probability to see New High of all time, so I have invested all of available fund - I am ALL IN. As expected on my last post - 1ST signal, #BTCUSDT has done the 1st wave, now the 2nd signal appears. DISCLAIMER This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice. Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities.
Long
by go8686
2
You might be too optimistic about #BTC!Investors are hopeful that risk assets like Bitcoin could see strong gains if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points instead of the previously anticipated 25 basis points. However, Bank of America (BofA) urges caution. They recommend not overreacting to any initial market reaction after the Federal Reserve's September meeting. According to BofA, the real focus should be on the Fed’s dot plot, which could have a bigger impact than the actual rate cut. BofA expects the Fed’s dot plot to show higher interest rate expectations than what the market is currently predicting. Despite this, they believe Fed Chair Jerome Powell will maintain a more cautious, or "dovish," tone in his comments. What is the dot plot? The dot plot is a chart that shows where each Federal Reserve member thinks interest rates will be in the coming years. Each dot represents one member’s view. It's a useful guide for understanding where the Fed members sees interest rates in the future.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
BTC Fractal suggests bottom is in, with a flagpole to $90k+ In this chart, we are looking at a clear fractal pattern, which has been unfolding in a bullish structure. After a significant rally post the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase, which is visually highlighted by the yellow channel on the right side of the chart. Key Observations: 1. Bullish Flag Formation: We see a clear bullish flag structure following the sharp rise. Bitcoin has moved within this flag (marked by the yellow lines), indicating a healthy consolidation after the rapid ascent. This kind of price action often signals a continuation of the previous trend, which in this case is bullish. 2. Historical Fractal Patterns: Similar consolidation patterns (circled in purple) occurred in previous cycles, as seen in 2023 and prior. Each of these consolidation zones eventually broke to the upside, leading to the next leg higher. The current price action mirrors these past structures, suggesting that BTC could break out soon. 3. Volume Contraction: As we approach the end of the flag, volume has contracted, which is typical before a breakout. This is a classic sign of accumulation as sellers lose momentum and buyers prepare for the next move. 4. Breakout Potential: If BTC breaks above the upper boundary of the flag, we could see a swift move toward the $80K range, with the possibility of even higher targets beyond that in the next leg up. Next Steps: • Watch for Breakout Confirmation: A breakout above the upper yellow line with increasing volume would provide a strong signal that Bitcoin is ready for its next rally. • Target: Once confirmed, the price projection based on the flag pattern would suggest a target around $90K+. • Risk Management: In the event of a downside break, the lower boundary of the flag and the GETTEX:52K support level will be key areas to watch. Bitcoin’s price continues to follow the 2016-2017 fractal pattern closely, and based on this historic model, the next few weeks could offer substantial gains for the bulls.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Blockbullder
Bitcoin (BTC) - Steady Rise Sparks Cautious OptimismEarlier last week, disappointment around Trump's presidential debate performance led to MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN "selling the news,” dropping below $56K. This drop was anticipated on a technical basis, and the reaction was muted after higher-than-expected inflation figures on Wednesday were absorbed. Markets were initially anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut from the Fed. However, recent data has shifted expectations towards a potential 50 basis point reduction. This change has added to Bitcoin's short-term uncertainty, as traders may be gearing up for a more significant cut. A rate cut @ 25 basis points could lead to a short-term sell-off as traders re-adjust. Nonetheless, Bitcoin's consistent upward movement this week has led to a shift in sentiment to "cautiously optimistic." Prices are significantly improved compared to the levels observed when Bitcoin was hovering around the 53K mark. With that in mind, this should be the level to bid if one considers the BMS and the current importance of staying above the mid-$56K range. ----------- The key level for the entire market is critical. I would welcome a retest of the $42-44K range if September sees a downturn. For now, this is the level to target if you're bullish. A break below this range would shift my outlook to bearish, with the target previously mentioned in mind. In the event of a breakdown, we need to see a V-shaped reversal to counteract the bearish trend. Without a strong reversal, expect bearish market conditions for the next six months.
Long
by ZelfTrade
BTC Bitcoin In-Depth Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 Navigating Key Market Levels with Bitcoin Bitcoin (BTC) has broken market structure to the upside. On both the daily and 4-hour charts, we see a pullback into equilibrium, offering a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we dive into market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also discuss how smart money has been targeting stop losses recently. The goal is to set up a trade that minimizes the risk of a stop run without compromising our risk-to-reward ratio. *Disclaimer: The information shared in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.* 📊✅
Long
by fxtraderanthony
2
Will Today's CPI Report Ease Crypto Pressure Post-Debate?Macro theme: - Fears of a global recession are weighing on Bitcoin as a risky asset, though the US economy remains on track for steady growth. - Investor engagement with exchanges has decreased, with lower trading volumes reflecting reduced interest. - Bitcoin's recent gains were impacted following the first debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, with odds favouring Harris. - All eyes are now on today's CPI data; if inflation falls as expected, a short squeeze could ease the recent price pressure. Technical theme: - From a 4-hour chart perspective, BTCUSD is hovering around EMA21, indicating that the sideways mode persists. EMA21 has not crossed up EMA78 yet to create a complete shift of the current sideways structure despite that BTCUSD broke its previous descending channel.  - If BTCUSD extends its gain beyond 58200, the price may continue to reach the psychology level 60000. - On the contrary, if BTCUSD breaks below 55660, the price may retest the 54600. 
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DatTong
BTC/USDT = Dominance Signals Bitcoin's Next Bullish MoveTL;DR for Busy Readers 95% confidence that Bitcoin has bottomed at $52.5k, with the worst possible scenario at $50.4k. The USDT Dominance Chart is showing resistance levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was around $27k. For Bitcoin to hit $44k, USDT dominance would need to enter bear market territory, which is highly unlikely. A 30%+ downside move in USDT dominance suggests more capital will flow into Bitcoin, signaling a bullish uptrend. The odds are heavily in favor of Bitcoin moving upward from here, and I expect it to play out over the rest of the month. I’m 95% confident that we’ve bottomed out at $52.5k, and the worst case scenario would be $50.4k. Additionally, I’m 95% certain we won’t see a drop to $44k or anywhere near it. Here’s why. The USDT Dominance Chart: A Key Indicator One of the most reliable charts for predicting Bitcoin tops and market reversals is the USDT Dominance chart. This chart tracks the dominance of Tether (USDT) in the market, and right now, it’s showing levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was trading around $27k. Currently, USDT Dominance is at critical resistance, touching levels that are typically only observed during bear markets. Historically, when USDT dominance hits these levels, it signals a bottom for Bitcoin and the beginning of an uptrend. Additionally, the USDT dominance chart indicates we could see over a 30%+ move to the downside in USDT dominance, meaning more capital will flow out of stablecoins and back into Bitcoin and other cryptos. This is a strong indicator that Bitcoin is bottoming out and preparing for a bullish move. Why $44k is Unlikely For Bitcoin to drop to $44k, USDT dominance would have to enter territory that we’ve only ever seen in true bear markets. If this happens, it could break the higher timeframe (HTF) structure on both the USDT dominance chart and the Bitcoin chart, and ultimately, we wouldn’t just stop at $44k—we’d probably end up around $30k. That’s why if you’re hoping for $44k , you’re really wishing for a major bear market that could pull Bitcoin down much further. This scenario would mean a shift in the current market structure, which doesn’t align with the probabilities we’re seeing. Upside Probability is Much Higher While there’s always a chance that USDT dominance could break higher and push the market lower, the probability of this happening is very small in my opinion. Investing is all about probabilities, and when we assess the entire market situation, it’s clear that the upside is heavily favored right now. Based on the data, the market structure, and the USDT dominance chart, the likelihood of Bitcoin continuing upward from here is very high. It’s important to monitor how the market behaves in the coming weeks, but all signs point toward a bullish move. My years of experience kind of Opinion In summary, the USDT dominance chart is signaling that we’ve likely seen the bottom at $52.5k, and the chances of Bitcoin falling to $44k or lower are extremely slim. If anything, this level of USDT dominance typically indicates that a Bitcoin rally is on the horizon. Stay cautious, but it looks like the market is gearing up for an uptrend. Let's see how the rest of the month plays out, but from where I stand, the upside looks very promising. DISCLAIMER: All though I predicted the market at 18K pump, this prediction is still for informational/documentation of my journey and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. As with all investments, there are risks involved, and probability-based analysis may not always result in accurate predictions. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by osodatsismoso
BTC: The beginning of a rebound.Hello everyone, Here’s a quick and simple breakdown of the key support and resistance zones. Below are the reasons why these zones have been selected: ✔️ Support Zone 1. ($53,329.5 ~ $52,372.5) Descending channel Fibonacci 0.786 retracement Significant low (S/R Flip) ✔️ Resistance Zone 1. ($55,969.0 ~ $55,499.6) Fibonacci 0.236 retracement Significant low (S/R Flip) ✔️ Resistance Zone 2. ($58,218.0 ~ $57,348.7) Fibonacci 0.382 retracement Significant low (S/R Flip) There's a strong likelihood of significant price action within these zones, either as support or resistance. Keep a close eye on Bitcoin’s movement in these areas. Best of luck! *S/R Flip: Support/Resistance Flip This is not a buy or sell recommendation. It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only. All decisions and responsibilities lie with you.
Long
by Killer_Whales
1
Bitcoin Bull Run Continues?My expectations from the previous post have materialized, and the price of Bitcoin has dropped again into the price imbalance zone below 53,500. My expectations for Bitcoin's price next week are as follows: due to negative economic news, the stock market will likely continue to decline for several more days starting on Monday. Since Bitcoin's price correlates with key indices like the S&P and Dow Jones, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will continue to decline, potentially reaching as low as 48,900. If we look at the Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio 7D indicator, which unfortunately is not yet available publicly on the TradingView platform, based on this data, Bitcoin is currently in an accumulation phase before a major growth season. Similar patterns occurred during the 2011 and 2021 market seasons.
Long
by GarateTradeCrypto
BTC Still inside the BOX / Careful about the BTC heatmap!BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD Hello Traders, Despite positive economic sentiment, BTC still fluctuating inside the box. If the price stays above the yellow area, the green scenario is valid and after that if price breaks above the 65K level and stabilize there, 66690 and 70100 levels are the next price resistances. According to the recent market heatmap, some shadows may occur inside the circle area for some market liquidation. Stay tuned for more updates.
Long
by CrazyS
BTC Swing Long to 65k & 70kTrade Idea: Bottom for Bitcoin Might Be In This chart suggests that Bitcoin may have found its bottom, with the potential for a bullish reversal. The following elements highlight this outlook: 1. Liquidity Zones: - Liquidity/TP1: The chart highlights a take-profit zone (TP1) near the $64,000 level, where liquidity is expected to reside. This is the target area for the long trade. - Prev. Monthly High: This is noted above the $70,000 level, potentially acting as a higher resistance level and extended target if momentum continues after TP1. 2. Entry Zone: - The gray shaded area near the $55,000 level represents the entry zone, with liquidity around this price. This suggests that the price may have tapped into an important liquidity pool before starting its upward movement. - External Liquidity: This region below the current price might have acted as a liquidity sweep, further confirming the bottoming pattern. 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG): - The chart identifies a FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $56,000 level, which could act as an area of interest. Price has filled this gap, possibly signaling the completion of its downward move. 4. Market Structure: - The market appears to have tested lower liquidity levels and rejected them, potentially signaling that a local bottom has been established. The price action shows consolidation in the entry area, indicating accumulation before a potential upward move. This trade idea would be well-suited for traders anticipating a medium-term bounce after Bitcoin’s recent downward movement.
Long
by SerenityEquity