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BTCUSD - Watching for a Pullback Before the Bounce?COINBASE:BTCUSD is retracing, and I’m keeping a close eye on the 98,500 - 99,200 zone. My expectation? A tap into this area, followed by a bounce back toward 102,000. Why I’m watching that particular zone is because it has provided relatively strong reactions before. So, if buyers step in again, we could see a potential reversal. 🎯My target is 102,000 – If we get a bounce, this is my first price of interest. It’s a realistic target, and how it behaves there will shape the next move. My plan: ⚡ Waiting for price to tap the zone – with patience. ⚡ Looking for bullish signs – Strong wicks, a shift in structure, or clear buying pressure would confirm the idea. ⚡ Watching 102,000 closely – If price reaches it, I’ll reassess whether it has strength to push even higher. I’m expecting Bitcoin to pull back into that zone before making its way back to 102,000. If it plays out as expected, this could be a clean move. ⚠️ This is how I see the support and resistance zones—not financial advice! Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
10
Can Bitcoin surprise the world again?Good day fellow traders and investors, The short answer for the question in the heading is... Yes, Bitcoin will always surprise the world. Since Novembers move into December, bitcoin for the first time has broken above this fairly substantial resistance trend line that gave bitcoin a very strong rejection back in 202. THIS IS VERY POWERFUL!! Bitcoin from what I see here is showing strong price support above this line that was resistance back in 2021. It has confirmed so far the bottom of the zone as support, I would like to see it catch support on the top of the zone. Doing so, could lead to a massive breakout all the way up to 170k, which could lead to the parabolic top of this market. Any way you cut it, the more it holds above this trendline the more likely it will lead to the biggest breakout in recent years. I personally am very bullish as long as bitcoin stays above this zone. Also, the indicators I have used are the PANPAN XBT RISK METRIC and Oscillator. This is not finical advice and I am not your financial advisor. If you like this chart and my work share this chart with your friends and let me know what you think in the comments. Cheerios, WeAreSat0shi
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by WeAreSat0shi
2
Trade high probabilities using game theoryAccording to statistics, 95% of traders are losing longterm. Not because they lack skill, but because they involve in high variance (or poor probability) situations. What is game theory? we can define GT with three principles. *People dont want to lose. (hence.. predictable). *People buy good things at good price, or they are profit maximizing. *Everyone is strategic. ** we assume that "nobody can predict future". ** markets respond to feedbacks or signals. Practice: the higher something goes, potential narrows and risk increases. Deeper something falls, "potential" becomes attractive. Once market decides that it will fall -- people assume crash as possibility. People who can buy at a strong trend line - has benefit of having more information. (1) Downtrending VIX highs and accumulating lows. a strong signal about SPX peak, with everyone expecting a market correction before US election. ---> GT in practice. (2) pre-election. Markets be wobbly, pointing to 50-50 probability or risk. Maybe there was fear of NVDA/AAPL high valuations, or the fear due to Trump tariff policy (markets are 6m forward looking) as bond yields were rallying. If we assume statistically, markets boom after elections. We can predict GT in action (or call it market forces). imo that still is a profitable risk. People hate uncertainty and they love guarantees. So the "wobble" was reasonable. (3) VIX higher low.. predictably (GT) sell off follows. Almost as by the book. other way to put it? people maximize potential while minimize loses/risk. There are periods of volatile markets and periods for one directional rallies. P.S. Blue arrows are longterm macd turning points.
ICEUS:NYFANGEducation
by citsvar
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years. But let me ask you an important question: What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026? As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers. Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated? Of course not. 2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders. We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins. This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market. But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run. Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target. This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective. It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months. Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle. Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ceciliones
39
UPDATE: Altcoin Market Set to Surge Toward $1 Trillion Should this pattern hold, we could see the altcoin market targeting full Fibonacci extensions, potentially ripping to all-time highs and pushing the market toward a $1 trillion valuation this cycle. Momentum is building as liquidity returns to the crypto markets, with growing retail interest and institutional capital eyeing opportunities in diverse altcoin sectors. Rotation out BTC is happening as the BTC rally is losing momentum.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by Flow-Trade
BTC/USD Analysis (4H Chart) BITSTAMP:BTCUSD **BTC/USD Analysis (4H Chart)** - **Current Price:** ~$105,331 - **Major Resistance Zone:** Around **107,500 - 110,000** - **Major Support Zone:** Around **97,500 - 98,000** - **Key Pattern:** A possible **cup & handle formation** is forming, suggesting bullish momentum. **Bullish Scenario:** - BTC is approaching a key resistance zone. If price **breaks above 107,500 with strong volume**, it could push toward **112,300**. - A successful retest of the resistance as support would confirm the breakout. **Bearish Scenario:** - If BTC fails to break resistance, it may retrace back to the **ascending trendline (~102,000-103,000)** or even the **major support zone (97,500-98,000)** for a potential bounce. **Conclusion:** - BTC is at a **critical breakout zone**. - **Break & retest above 107,500 → bullish continuation toward 112,300+.** - **Rejection → Possible pullback to trendline or support zone.**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Aim for $106.8k After Key Recovery ! BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis 🚀 Follow me on Tradingview if you respect our charts 📈 Current Market Structure: Bullish recovery underway after a liquidity sweep at 98.4k. Hidden Bullish Divergence: Higher lows on RSI while price made lower lows, indicating potential for further upside. Smart Money Activity: Accumulation phase appears complete. Market now transitioning to markup phase with strong institutional buying evident. Key Levels: Entry Zone: 101.8k-102.2k Targets: T1: 104.4k T2: 106.8k Stop Loss: Below 98.2k (recent sweep). Risk Score: 7.5/10 (favorable R:R with clear invalidation). Market Maker Intent: Previous distribution attempt at 104.4k failed, suggesting a move to target liquidity near prior highs. Volume profile supports the bullish narrative, with strong accumulation complete. Recommendation: Long positions are favorable within the 101.8k-102.2k range. Maintain tight stops below 98.2k to limit downside risk. Monitor price action near 104.4k for potential resistance. Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation. 🚀 Follow me on Tradingview if you respect our charts 📈
Long
by Cryptokijker
Did Chinese AI Company Deepseek Cause Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crash? The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, with prices often experiencing sharp swings in short periods.1 Recently, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a notable price drop, sparking discussions and speculation about the potential causes.2 Among the various theories circulating, one has gained particular attention: the suggestion that the price crash was triggered by the emergence of a Chinese AI company called Deepseek.3 Deepseek: A New Player in the AI Arena Deepseek is a relatively new player in the artificial intelligence (AI) field, but it has quickly garnered attention for its advancements in AI technology.4 The company has been developing cutting-edge AI models, particularly in the realm of large language models (LLMs), which are designed to understand and generate human language.5 Deepseek's emergence has raised concerns among some investors and analysts, who fear that the company's advancements could disrupt the existing AI landscape, potentially challenging the dominance of U.S.-based tech companies.6 These concerns have seemingly spilled over into the cryptocurrency market, with some suggesting a link between Deepseek's rise and Bitcoin's recent price decline.7 The Alleged Connection: Market Sentiment and Uncertainty The primary argument linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash revolves around market sentiment and uncertainty.8 The theory suggests that the emergence of a strong competitor in the AI space, particularly one from China, has created a sense of unease among investors.9 This unease has led to a risk-off sentiment, prompting investors to sell off their holdings in various assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.10 The reasoning behind this theory is that investors may be concerned about the potential implications of Deepseek's advancements. Some may fear that the company's technology could lead to job displacement in certain sectors, while others may worry about the geopolitical implications of China gaining a stronger foothold in the AI industry. These concerns, it is argued, have contributed to a negative market sentiment, which has ultimately impacted Bitcoin's price.11 Analyzing the Claim: Correlation vs. Causation While the theory linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash is intriguing, it's crucial to approach it with a critical eye. It's important to distinguish between correlation and causation. Just because two events occur around the same time does not necessarily mean that one caused the other. In this case, it's possible that both Deepseek's emergence and the Bitcoin price crash are coincidental. There could be other factors at play that contributed to the price decline, such as: • Profit-taking: After a period of price appreciation, some investors may have decided to take profits, leading to a sell-off and a subsequent price drop. • Market manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is still relatively unregulated, making it susceptible to manipulation.12 Large sell orders or coordinated "pump and dump" schemes could have contributed to the price decline. • Broader economic factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation or interest rate hikes, can also impact investor sentiment and lead to sell-offs in various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. The Role of Media and Speculation It's also important to consider the role of media and speculation in amplifying the alleged connection between Deepseek and the Bitcoin price crash. News articles and social media discussions may have contributed to the spread of this theory, even if there is limited evidence to support it. In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, rumors and speculation can quickly influence market sentiment. It's crucial to be discerning about the information consumed and to avoid jumping to conclusions based on limited evidence. Conclusion: A Complex Picture with No Definitive Answer The question of whether Deepseek caused the Bitcoin price crash is a complex one with no definitive answer. While the theory linking the two events is intriguing, it's essential to consider other factors that could have contributed to the price decline. It's possible that Deepseek's emergence played a role in shaping market sentiment, but it's unlikely to be the sole cause of the price crash. The cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors, and it's crucial to consider the broader context when analyzing price movements. As the AI industry continues to evolve and the cryptocurrency market matures, it's likely that we will see more instances of speculation and theories linking seemingly disparate events. It's important to approach such claims with a critical mindset, to distinguish between correlation and causation, and to consider the broader context before drawing conclusions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available. Support and Long Setup The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with: Stop-loss: Below $93K Take Profit: around $113K Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup Resistance and Short Setup For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity: Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
Long
by SiDec
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Breakout Potential and Targeted Upsidehello guys! The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart shows a strong upward trend after breaking out from a key resistance level. The breakout occurred around January 20, 2025, when the price surged through a horizontal resistance zone. The bullish momentum suggests that the price is headed toward the next significant resistance level near $110,000, marked by a potential target zone highlighted on the chart. what I see: Breakout Confirmation: BTC has successfully broken out from a consolidation zone, as indicated by the strong upward movement after the breakout. Bullish Channel: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, with the breakout occurring near the middle of the channel. This suggests that the market has significant upward potential. Potential Resistance: The next critical resistance lies at the $110,000 level, and if the price continues to gain momentum, it could reach $115,000, as seen in the forecasted range. Support Level: A major support level lies near $99,000, which could provide a strong base for any short-term pullbacks.
Long
by melikatrader94
6
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in. Trade Idea (Long): – Entry: Buy now at market. – Risk: 1% of account. – Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low). – Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
Long
by Fondera
Bitcoin Distribution PhaseThe safety trade appears to be unraveling, with Bitcoin showing clear signs of topping out as it moves through a distribution phase. Chart analysis supports this, and the narrative among Bitcoiners has shifted following President Trump’s emphasis on supporting all digital assets and U.S. companies, rather than positioning BTC as a strategic reserve. This marks a pivotal shift in market sentiment. Many had hoped for Bitcoin to play a central role, but the focus on a broader digital asset ecosystem has left some investors disappointed. While this may take time to fully digest, I believe this narrative, combined with technical indicators flashing bearish signals, sets the stage for a rotation out of BTC and into altcoins. Altcoin momentum could gain further traction as investors seek opportunities in projects aligned with a more diversified digital future. As we continue monitoring price action, this could be the catalyst the market has been building toward.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCShort
by Flow-Trade
Bitcoin’s Big Move: Can It Hit $126K or Drop to $70K?Good morning, trading family! Bitcoin (BTC) is at a key point right now. If it breaks above $107K, there’s a good chance we’ll see it climb to $117K, and if it keeps going, $118–$119K could be next. From there, it could push all the way to $126K. But here’s the flip side—if we hit one of those levels, I’m expecting a correction. That could bring BTC back down to $80–$86K. If that doesn’t hold, we might even see it drop to $70K. If this helped, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Feel free to like, comment, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
Bitcoin yearly divergency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Take a look on this historical Bitcoin chart. Based on my 2 indicators Accumulation and Distribution we can see huge yearly divergency. Step by step whales distribute coins which they got in a first 5 years. From 2015 till now we see pure divergency. I think we will see new ATH around 89000-130000 and reject one more time at the main line on ADZ indicator. Based on Direction indicator (lowest) we touch the same level where BTC was in 2015. Of course we will not repeat % pump because Bitcoin is to heavy now. But model can be similar with uptrend move. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Crypto4light
Bitcoin to 34000BINANCE:BTCUSDT Possible Targets and explanation idea ➡️We trade in a range. After deviation at the bottom we made a deviation at the top ➡️Now would be good to see sweep liquidity at 29630 ➡️Main target is full fill of next Weekly gap above. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Crypto4light
Bitcoin - Sell in May and go away BINANCE:BTCUSDT This is pretty simple but logic movement. All market drive by algorithm and plan Impulse from top 69 to 42 and next Fib Trend Extension At 0.618 level we came almost to 25314 Locally we should came and find a rejection at covid dump up-trend line. Its hard to say about timing but if we take a look on macro in a world most likely we can see this uptrend move till end of April and "sell in may and go away" cliche. Recession have an always lag around 2-4 months. We probably already in recession, but affect we will see later. Also DXY this time will be around 108-110 After September/October macro situation will start stabilise and we will see test 20-19K again like strong support zone. Than few month in flat around 19-24K range again so more and more people build consensus about 10-12K for SURE. And start climbing up slowly but surely. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Long
by Crypto4light
11
Bitcoin confirmed lower lowBINANCE:BTCUSDT If we are looking on a chart without noice we clearly dropped and formed lower low. But on Weekly timeframe RSI climbing up, so its a huge divergence. And the more higher timeframe the more power for reversal move. All market waiting 21 September and data of RATE. So usually all upcoming news and event included in price a weeks before! And sentiment on a market - everyone waiting 15 or 10K. Literally the same like everyone waited 100K in November Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. * Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ * For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Long
by Crypto4light