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march rally coming for bitcoin BTCUSD BTC!Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by broader financial cycles and patterns that are more subtle. Here's a look at those: General Financial Cycles: Market Sentiment Cycles: Like all financial markets, Bitcoin experiences cycles of fear and greed. These psychological waves drive price fluctuations, with periods of euphoria leading to overbought conditions and subsequent corrections. These cycles are often amplified in the cryptocurrency market due to its 24/7 nature and the prevalence of social media. Economic Cycles: Bitcoin's performance can be influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic growth. In times of economic uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Conversely, during periods of strong economic growth, capital may flow into more traditional investments. Adoption Cycles: Bitcoin's adoption by individuals and institutions follows a pattern of gradual growth, punctuated by periods of rapid acceleration. As adoption increases, liquidity improves, and the market becomes more mature, which can influence price volatility and long-term trends. "Secret" or Less Obvious Bitcoin Cycles: On-Chain Data Cycles: Analysis of Bitcoin's blockchain data reveals patterns in investor behavior, such as accumulation and distribution phases. Metrics like: Hodl waves: which track the age of bitcoin held in wallets. Entity adjusted dormancy: which shows when older coins are being moved. These can give indications of underlying cycle activity. Liquidity Cycles: The flow of liquidity into and out of the Bitcoin market can create its own cycles. Periods of high liquidity can fuel price increases, while periods of low liquidity can exacerbate price declines. The availability of stablecoins, and the actions of large market makers, effect these cycles. Technological Adoption Cycles: The development and adoption of layer 2 solutions, and other technological improvements to the bitcoin network, can create their own cyclical impacts on the bitcoin price. These cycles are less predictable, but can have profound long term effects. It's important to understand that these cycles are interconnected and can overlap, making it challenging to isolate their individual effects. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is still relatively young, and its cycles may evolve over time.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by EIP-EverythingIsPlanned
Bitcoin Holds Strong Above 200MA – Is the Next Rally Incoming?Bitcoin has successfully defended the $84K-$86K support zone, with the CME gap now fully closed. On the daily timeframe, BTC remains above the 200MA, signaling strong bullish momentum. With macroeconomic factors aligning in favor of crypto, this could be the start of another leg higher. Technical Analysis: • Support Zone: $84K - $86K held firm, preventing further downside. • CME Gap Closure: The retracement completed the necessary gap-fill, eliminating inefficiencies. • Trend Reversal Signal: BTC has reclaimed the 200MA on the daily chart, reinforcing bullish sentiment. • Breakout Watch: Price is approaching a descending trendline, a breakout above could trigger a strong move toward the $110K target. Fundamental Analysis: • Bitcoin ETF Impact: Institutional demand continues to grow with ETF adoption. • Macroeconomic Tailwinds: The Fed’s expected slowdown in rate hikes is a net positive for risk assets like BTC. • Geopolitical Factors: Increased demand for BTC as a hedge against economic instability and inflation. • Regulatory Developments: A more constructive approach from regulators supports long-term adoption. With bullish momentum building, Bitcoin is at a key inflection point. Will it break out and push towards new highs? Stay tuned and trade wisely! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
BTC at a Critical Crossroad: One More High to $130K?BTC: The price remains in a larger correction that began in December. While I still view one more high in this cycle as ideal—potentially targeting $130,000—the minimum requirements for completing a larger 5-wave pattern from the November 2022 lows have already been met. Any additional high would be more of a bonus than a necessity. A break below $69,140 would provide further confirmation that a substantial top has formed, aligning with the red scenario. For now, $69,140 serves as the key bull/bear pivot, helping us distinguish between the possibility of one more high and the onset of a larger correction or even a potential bear market. Regardless, I am closely monitoring the current price region for signs of an upside reversal. Even if this only results in red wave B, it could still push the price into the $92,000–$104,100 range.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by MCOGlobal
1
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis: Current Price: $102,859.06 Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance) Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound) 🚨 Signal: Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉. Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area). 💡 Strategy: Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC. Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces. 📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻). 🔐 Risk Management: Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level). Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Long
by ehsancrypto72
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things: 1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different) 2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe) 3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe. I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH) Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!Midterm forecast: 73777.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 78181.05 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 98489.63, 101430.12, 105431.17 and more heights is expected. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Take Profits: 94200.00 98489.63 101430.12 105431.17 109932.89 115000.00 120000.00 125000.00 130000.00 134142.91 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! 🙏 Your Support is appreciated! Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ForecastCity
12
Bitcoin's 2025 Price Action Mirrors 2017 - Is History Repeating?Bitcoin Halving & The Trump Factor: A Historical Parallel Bitcoin's price action in 2025 is eerily reminiscent of the post-halving rally of 2017. In both cases, BTC saw a prolonged accumulation phase before a massive markup period. What's even more intriguing is how macro-political events align: Trump was elected in November 2016 , just before BTC went parabolic in 2017, and once again, he's elected in November 2024 , right before Bitcoin enters its explosive post-halving markup phase. Could this be more than just coincidence? Accumulation Phase Ends – The Markup Begins From November 9, 2024 , to February 28, 2025 , Bitcoin was in a 107-day accumulation phase . This mirrors previous post-halving cycles, where BTC consolidates in the Green HPR band before entering the next stage. Now, it appears we are entering the Markup Phase, where I expect Bitcoin to rally towards $120K+ in the coming months. Applying the 2017 Cycle to 2025 The 2017 bull run followed a 59:156:360-day cycle (Accumulation → Markup → Distribution). Using the same ratio and expanding it for 2025, I’ve projected a 107:280:646-day cycle , where: ✅ 107 days Accumulation (Completed!) 📈 280 days Markup (Just Beginning!) 📉 646 days Distribution & Declining (Post-Top Phase) This fractal projection aligns well with historical price action, reinforcing the likelihood of Bitcoin repeating this structure. BitBo’s Rainbow Regression Chart Confirms the Setup Looking at BitBo’s Bitcoin Rainbow Halving Price Regression Chart , BTC briefly dipped into the blue band , just like in 2017’s first wave. However, in both cases, Bitcoin quickly recovered within days and launched into its Markup phase , which is exactly what we’re seeing now! 🔹 Key Takeaway: Bitcoin is following its historic halving cycle patterns, and if history continues to rhyme, the next 280 days could be a wild ride to six-figure BTC prices! 🚀 Don't forget, Patience is Paramount
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PatienceIsParamount
It’s Like the Bitcoin Follows Our Predictions! 📉 In our previous post, we predicted Bitcoin would drop from 109K to 81K … And today? ✅ It bounced back from 81K to 94K , achieving a 10% gain! 🔥 Imagine if you had followed our recommendation—how much would you have profited by now? 💔 Unfortunately, those who missed our last post are now feeling the regret of a lost opportunity! 🎯 Don’t miss the next one! Follow us and turn on notifications so you never miss our upcoming predictions! 🚀 #Bitcoin #MissedOpportunity #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stocksfox
BITCOIN FILLED CME GAPToday BTC might have bounced-off a 5 months away gap. OPPORTUNITY : Ideal buy was in the now filled CME GAP. We might revisit these price, so 79100$ remain a good spot for a BUY/LONG alert. General buy zone is from 72.5k$ to 85k$ and should last until approximately mid April . TARGETS : Ideal sell would be 136425$ in late July (23/07). Probable sell zone go from 130k$ to 160k$ and should span from early June to early August . MAXIMAL $ TARGET : - There is still a chance for a powerful leg up, in the event of prices nearing 200k$ , profit will have to be taken regularly and without restraint. MINIMAL $ TARGET : - A faillure to break above last ATH, so 110k$ is definitely a partial sell price (and will react). MAXIMAL time TARGET : - All positions (including altcoins) should be closed before October 2025. Based on Chart Tools : - Fibonacci levels from Retracement and Extension - Expansion/Consolidation periods durations tendencies from this bullrun - Regression over time of said periods - Percent change of said Expansions periods Statistical Arguments : - Past Bitcoin cycles (2016 & 2021) general seasonality - Coinglass's Bull-Market-Peak-Signals had 0/30 indicators showing a top Fundamentals : - Optimistic US inflation - Peace negociations - Pro-business policies - Blockchain technology usage growth - Bitcoin & major crypto adoption in finance Bias : - Up-trend intact - No hard corrections compared to previous bullrun - I guess i could use some profit
CME:BTC1!Long
by LOKEN94
Bitcoin BTC Is Ready To Take Off!Hello, Skyrexians! Yesterday we pointed out that 0.5 Fibonacci has been reached at $80k and this dump will not continue. Today we have a great bounce above $85 and the great chart to be sure that our previous scenario is right. Let's take a look at the daily time frame. As usual we have the 5 Elliott wave cycle which has been started at GETTEX:49K and finished at $110k. Then the current correction has been started. Yesterday this ABC zigzag has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and bounced back. The great thing is the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator inside the target zone. This gives us 90% probability that price has found the bottom and ready for the next huge wave to the upside. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
BITCOIN SITS ON CRITICAL BULL MARKET SUPPORT!!!Good day Traders and investors, Bitcoin at the moment is sitting above VERY CRITICAL Bull market support band. In my opinion, this support needs to hold it there is going to be another leg up. I want to add this is likely the last time it will hold this line as support. It will not play such a big roll in the future other possibly serving as resistance to the tops or top. Please keep in mind I as talking about closing above support, so... yes it can wick down. Weekly and monthly closes are very important. If this level is lost with a monthly close, then I would call t his bull run over. Yes, it's that important. The top shows the entire trend line, and on the bottom is the same line, just zoomed in o the daily. Please feel free to ask or add anything down below like and share. Follow me on other socials linked in the BIO. Kind regards, WeAreSat0shi
BNC:BLXLong
by WeAreSat0shi
6
BTC BOTTOM $ - 100% Never Fails (2013 - Today)Bitcoin Weekly Chart Going Back To 10+ Years We are looking at the BitStamp Green Support Line here that has Marked the bottom correctly before 100% of the time for each each bull cycle pump on bitcoin going 3/3 without fail. We are now looking to see if we can go 4/4 and mark the new bottom buy with a quick wick down to the green support currently around 73K+ this week, but as each week closes the bitcoin bottom number will rise as the green support line rises over time. Good luck. Let's see if the 4th time is also the charm.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dogdaddevan
12
Bitcoin Has Dropped $20K in a Single Week! Where’s the Bottom?Hey followers, Crazy times, huh? I was just looking at the Bitcoin chart, and I don’t see any other week in history with a $20K retracement, absolutely wild. I haven’t done much BTC analysis lately, but the last time I did, I warned: “Money on your screen won’t feed your family—turn it into real gains.” Well, here we are. Once again, two simple criteria have proven their ability to predict profit-taking areas and potential corrections: 📌 Channel projection 📌 Equal waves Now, with this massive sell-off, it’s time to hunt for strong support zones. Percent-wise, the weekly drop might not be extreme, but in raw dollar terms, it should be the biggest in BTC’s history. So, where could this madness stop? For me, the 48K–$66K range is where things get interesting. Somewhere inside this zone, I expect a reaction, and I’ll be looking for possible reversal setups. Let’s break down the key reasons why this area is a potential landing spot: 🔹 1. Previous yearly highs acting as support In 2021, Bitcoin saw two major sell-offs in the $60K–$70K range. Then, in early 2024, the same zone acted as a strong resistance before BTC finally broke through. When a zone like this is left untested, it often pulls the price back like a magnet for a retest, a classic case of liquidity seeking validation. That’s why this area forms the foundation of my support box. 🔹 2. Short-term trendline alignment This trendline, drawn from wick touches, is valid because the third touch happens higher than the peak between the first and second touches, comes to retest the trendline from higher high levels (HH). Even though it’s short-term, it perfectly aligns with the horizontal support zone, adding extra confluence. 🔹 3. 50% retracement from the all-time high From my past crypto analysis, BTC loves its 50% retracements from all-time highs—like clockwork. And guess what? This level perfectly overlaps with the marked support zone, reinforcing its strength. 🔹 4. The psychological $50K level Round numbers play a big role in trading, humans love them. Back in August 2024, $50K acted as a key level. I even mentioned on a local radio station earlier that year that buying the dip around here could be a smart move… and, well, lucky me, it worked out. :) So once again, this simple but effective criterion strengthens the case for this area. Putting all these criteria together: Summary: The more confluences in a single price zone, the stronger it is. Sure, we could add some fake trendlines or EMAs, but for me, price action and human psychology tell the real story. Think of it like tracking footprints in the snow, BTC leaves clues, and it’s our job to follow them. - For long-term believers, this zone could be a solid place to accumulate more BTC. - For those looking to enter Bitcoin for the first time, this is the area to watch. What do you think? Are we heading lower, or... 🚀If you like the analysis, hit the boost as well🚀 Cheers, Vaido --------------------------- 📢 Want more in-depth technical analysis? I post similar insights on my Substack channel, where I break down technically strong stocks worldwide by saving you time and helping grow your portfolio. I do the technical analysis, so you don’t have to! 🔗 Find the link in my BIO (under the Website icon) , or if you're using mobile just scroll down to my signature to choose your preferred language. See you there!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by VaidoVeek
1