BTC will see 100$#BTC has started an uptrend since 16oct2023 (30 weeks ago) and then reached an all-time high in 2024, as values exceeded over 73,000 USD in March 2024 . when Israel bombed Iran's consulate , tensions escalated and risky assets like BTC dropped , on the other hand safe assets like gold rose . after that , BTC retraced and found support the 38.2 Fibo level ( while tensions eased ) and now on weeky timeframe we see a pin bar and a strong bullish candle which is a sign that BTC continues uptrend ; but we should wait until Monday and see if last weekly candle would remain strong or not .
if so , we would take profit at 161.8% (Fibo ext) level and 102.300$ or you can exit safely and earlier on 100$ .
Bitcoinlong
Bitcoin Bounces Back: Eyes on $74,000 After May 16 Surge
Bitcoin (BTC) surprised many on May 16th with a sudden surge that brought its price close to $66,000. This bullish move followed a period of consolidation and came amidst a broader risk-asset rally triggered by positive economic data from the United States. While some analysts remain cautious, others see this jump as a potential springboard for further gains, with some even predicting a push towards $74,000.
Positive Macro Data Fuels Risk-On Sentiment
The key factor behind Bitcoin's recent price increase seems to be a shift in investor sentiment. The release of positive economic data from the U.S., indicating continued economic growth, sparked a risk-on environment across the markets. This meant investors were more willing to invest in riskier assets like Bitcoin, leading to the sudden price jump.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: A Bullish Case
Technical analysts are now scrutinizing the recent Bitcoin price action. The successful break above the $62,000 resistance level is a bullish signal, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend. Additionally, some analysts point to the fact that Bitcoin is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, further bolstering the bullish case.
This positive sentiment is echoed by some prominent figures in the cryptocurrency space. Predictions are circulating that Bitcoin could reach $74,000 in the near future, with some even suggesting a potential price discovery phase beyond that.
Doubts and Uncertainties Remain
Despite the current optimism, some analysts remain cautious. The swiftness of the recent price increase has raised concerns about a potential correction. A pullback could occur if investors decide to take profits or if there's a sudden shift in market sentiment.
Furthermore, the broader economic climate remains uncertain. Rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve could dampen investor enthusiasm for riskier assets like Bitcoin.
Focus on Key Resistance Levels
The coming days will be crucial for Bitcoin's price trajectory. If BTC can hold onto its gains above $62,000, it could pave the way for a test of the $68,000 resistance level. A decisive break above this level would significantly strengthen the bullish case and increase the possibility of reaching the much-anticipated $74,000 target.
Long-Term Outlook: Still Bullish?
While the short-term outlook for Bitcoin is uncertain, many analysts remain optimistic about the long-term prospects. The upcoming Bitcoin halving event in 2024, which will significantly reduce the number of new Bitcoins entering circulation, is expected to put upward pressure on the price in the long run.
Furthermore, the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin continues to be a positive sign for its future. As more major financial institutions embrace Bitcoin, it could lead to increased demand and price appreciation.
Conclusion: A Balancing Act for Bitcoin
Bitcoin's recent surge is a positive development, but it's important to acknowledge the remaining uncertainties. The price will likely continue to be influenced by a combination of factors, including macroeconomic data, investor sentiment, and technical indicators.
While some analysts predict a price discovery phase beyond $74,000, others remain cautious about the possibility of a correction. Close attention should be paid to how Bitcoin behaves in the coming days, particularly its ability to hold onto its gains and potentially overcome the key resistance levels.
Ultimately, whether Bitcoin can maintain its upward momentum and reach new highs will depend on how these various factors play out in the near future.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BTC upside potential for the next 24 hours and one week ☀️Hundreds of firms disclosed investments in the spot Bitcoin ETFs
With the first quarter earnings season coming to an end and the deadline for regulatory filings expiring, a slew of financial institutions have disclosed their equity and crypto holdings. Interest in the 11 exchange traded funds (ETFs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was high.
At least 317 firms have disclosed investments in BlackRock’s NASDAQ:IBIT ETF, and at least 502 firms have disclosed investments in AMEX:GBTC , Grayscale’s Bitcoin trust that was converted into an ETF, CryptoSlate reports citing Fintel data.
Bitcoin rallied to a three-week high above $66,000, Trading View’s Bitcoin chart shows. The sharp upturn triggered the liquidation short positions exceeding $100 million. The price of Bitcoin climbed 5.83 percent to $66,327 over the past 24 hours.
ATTMO forecasts bullish sun to shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, indicating upside potential. This bullish trading mood is set to continue across the board over a one-week time horizon.
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Bitcoin - The halving breakout!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Bitcoin.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
On the Bitcoin chart there are actually only three lines which you need to draw: First you have a horizontal structure at $16.000 which Bitcoin perfectly broke towards the upside with the last cycle in 2020. Furthermore Bitcoin is creating an ascending trendline - always rejecting towards the upside - and there is also a horizontal structure at the $67.000 level. Just don't get caught up in the short term moves.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Trading Signal For Bitcoin Trading Setup:
There is a Trading Signal to Buy in BTCUSDT Bitcoin (h1)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 61500.0
⭕️SL @ 59990.0
🔵TP1 @ 65000.0
🔵TP2 @ 67000.0
🔵TP3 @ 70000.0
#cryptosignal #Crypto
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
Bitcoin & Ethereum - Market Thought
Just checked BTC and ETH again and escpecially ETH is playing out like wanted. The strenght over the last days was nothing not to note but we said it in our last report, we need to flip 64,2k on BTC and 3200$ on ETH to remain bullish in the long term. On BTC we are back to exactly 64,2k where we rejected multiple times now throughout the last weeks and on ETH we got the current quartarly VWAP coming in our way. There should come a correction of the past surge in the coming days but how far? Either we are coming down on BTC 62,7k, ~60k or even a new lower low to 55k. It is all not of the table so be cautios and always trade with stop losses if you are trading with leverage.
A possible setup for BTC could be another drop into the 2H FVG and than a push upwards to the current level, this idea would be much stronger if we are getting a candle break over 64,3k else we could be witnessing the same sell off as the last time we tried to break this level and ended as an SFP. Moreover we are being slightly oversold in the RSI and on the edge of our monday high range, the coming days could get interesting
Bitcoin May 2023 Forecast - 12 Months of AccumulationThe chart is telling me that we could see the next 6-9 months slowly grind lower as the global economy enters recession. This will be a great opportunity to scale into long positions slowly for Bitcoin as we gear up for 2024-2025 bull run. If you can get an average price between FWB:21K - FWB:25K you will be nice and cozy in your position for the next two years. Upside target is between $100K-$250K for this next bull run. Please manage your risk carefully as this is truly the only thing that you can control.
Best of luck.
Blorenz
BTCUSDT As you can see that btc on daily has made LL and LH again LL and LH and is now above its support , we have 2h support as mentioned in above picture,
we have 3 probabilities;
probability 1;if on daily btc closes above 64150 level , then we will wait for a retest again to 64k and can open a long/buy there which i think has minimal chances
be cautious and don`t fight the trend
Probabilty 2; on bearish side
if we close below 60K on daily then we can play it in two ways;
1. close below 60K and touches 56300, we can buy/long and target will be 60k atleast
2. close below 60K and daily previous lows break too, then most probably we can see BTC coming to 52300 and then range formation , targeting again previous support (which will be resistance then) can be targeted which is 60300 and 64k
The next Big Bet: Bitcoin BTCUSDTThe next big bet: Bitcoin is back, Is it possible to touch 92000, so a AB-CD?
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities
BTC In the buy zone againBitcoin is giving us good opportunity to add longs for the long term and mid term also. Price entered again an awesome buy zone, and i hope the price will touch the lower of the box to add some longs again. I think we will trade above $75k in the coming months, and every drop is a chance to add a little long exposure
Bitcoin - The bullrun is not over (yet)!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Bitcoin .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than five years Bitcoin has been trading in a solid rising channel formation. We saw the last retest of support in 2022 which was followed by a bullish reversal on the smaller timeframes and an incredible rally of 300% towards the upside. Considering that Bitcoin is now retesting previous resistance, it is quite likely that we will see a short term rejection first.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ETH/BTC Ratio Slumps 30% as Bitcoin Flexes Market MuscleThe Ethereum (ETH) to Bitcoin (BTC) ratio has been on a downward spiral, recently dipping to 0.046 – a level last witnessed in April 2021 and briefly revisited in April 2024. This significant decline underscores Ethereum's current challenges in maintaining its position against Bitcoin's ever-growing dominance within the cryptocurrency market.
Over the past year, the ETHBTC pair has shed an unsettling 30% of its value. Year-to-date losses are also concerning, exceeding 11%. These figures paint a worrying picture for Ethereum, raising questions about its future trajectory and potential to dethrone Bitcoin as the leading cryptocurrency.
Several factors are likely contributing to this trend:
• Bitcoin's Narrative Strength: Bitcoin continues to hold a strong narrative as "digital gold," a scarce, hedge-like asset favored by institutional investors seeking a store of value. This perception fuels its price stability and market dominance, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty.
• Ethereum's Inflationary Concerns: Unlike Bitcoin's capped supply, Ethereum's issuance is not limited. This "inflationary" model has caused anxieties among some investors, who worry about potential price dilution in the long run.
• The Ethereum Merge Looms: The highly anticipated Ethereum merge, transitioning from a Proof-of-Work (PoW) to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, is still under development. Delays and uncertainties surrounding the merge's impact on Ethereum's scalability and efficiency might be keeping some investors on the sidelines.
• Regulatory Landscape: Regulatory scrutiny surrounding the cryptocurrency market remains a concern. While clarity on regulations could benefit the entire industry in the long run, the current uncertainty might be discouraging some investors from entering the Ethereum market.
• Alternative Layer 1 Blockchains: The emergence of alternative Layer 1 blockchains like Solana and Cardano offering faster transaction speeds and lower fees could be siphoning off some investor interest away from Ethereum.
Is This the End for Ethereum?
The current situation doesn't necessarily signal the end of Ethereum. It's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is still young and highly volatile. Here are some reasons for optimism regarding Ethereum's future:
• The Potential of DeFi: Ethereum remains the dominant platform for Decentralized Finance (DeFi) applications, a rapidly growing sector with immense potential to disrupt traditional financial services. Continued DeFi adoption could significantly boost Ethereum's utility and value.
• The Merge's Promise: A successful merge to PoS could address scalability concerns and enhance Ethereum's environmental sustainability, potentially attracting more environmentally conscious investors.
• Developer Ecosystem Strength: Ethereum boasts a robust and active developer ecosystem constantly innovating and building dApps (decentralized applications) on the platform. This strong developer base is a crucial asset for Ethereum's long-term growth.
Looking Ahead: A Shifting Landscape
The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and the relationship between Bitcoin and Ethereum is likely to remain dynamic. While Bitcoin may retain its "digital gold" status for the foreseeable future, Ethereum's success will hinge on its ability to address scalability issues, deliver on the promises of the merge, and maintain its dominance in the DeFi space.
Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any decisions. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum represent high-risk, high-reward investment opportunities. A diversified portfolio across established and emerging cryptocurrencies might be a prudent approach for navigating the ever-changing digital asset landscape.
Potential Bitcoin Long on Weekly Stochastic RSI CrossoverBitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a volatile period in recent months. However, a technical indicator on the weekly timeframe is sparking potential buying opportunities for long-term investors. This indicator is the Stochastic RSI, and a recent or upcoming bullish crossover could signal a reversal in the downtrend.
Understanding the Stochastic RSI
The Stochastic RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) is a technical momentum indicator that oscillates between 0 and 100. It measures the closing price of an asset relative to its price range over a specific period. In simpler terms, it indicates whether the asset is currently trading near the highs or lows of its recent price range.
The Stochastic RSI consists of two lines: %K and %D. The %K line is the faster-moving average of the RSI, while the %D line is a slower-moving average of %K. A bullish crossover occurs when the %K line crosses above the %D line, suggesting a potential reversal from oversold conditions and a possible upswing in price.
Why a Weekly Stochastic RSI Crossover Matters
The weekly timeframe provides a broader perspective on price movements compared to daily or hourly charts. A bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI suggests a shift in momentum that could hold more weight than on shorter timeframes. This crossover can indicate that oversold conditions have been exhausted, and buyers are starting to take control.
Current Bitcoin Situation and the Stochastic RSI
By analyzing historical charts, we can see that the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin has fluctuated between oversold and overbought territories throughout its history. In previous instances, bullish crossovers on the weekly timeframe often coincided with periods of price accumulation and subsequent price increases.
Is a Bullish Crossover Imminent?
While it's impossible to predict the future with certainty, a potential bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin is an interesting development to watch. If the crossover materializes and is accompanied by other positive indicators, it could signal a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Important Considerations Before Going Long on Bitcoin
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Even with a bullish technical indicator, there's no guarantee of a sustained price increase.
• Fundamental Analysis: Don't rely solely on technical indicators. Consider fundamental factors like regulations, adoption rates, and overall market sentiment when making investment decisions.
• Risk Management: Always implement proper risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to limit potential losses. Bitcoin is a high-risk investment, and investors should only allocate a portion of their portfolio that they can afford to lose.
Conclusion
A potential bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin presents a glimmer of hope for long-term investors. However, it's crucial to remember that technical indicators are just one piece of the puzzle. A comprehensive investment strategy should also consider fundamental analysis and proper risk management. While the future remains uncertain, this technical development is worth keeping an eye on as Bitcoin continues to navigate a volatile market.
Bitcoin Channel AnalysisBullish scenario: $64000 is broken and run to $72000. If $72000 is broken, a bull flag formation occurs and 100k is reached.
Bearish scenario: Rejection at $64000 and break of both price action support and moving average level at $60000. It drops up to $52000.
Since it recovered quickly after the decline below 60k at the beginning of May, I think the bear scenario is not possible except in an extraordinary situation. But we should not forget to put our stops just in case. On the contrary, apart from these two scenarios, it is also possible for Bitcoin to fluctuate in the parallel channel between 73k - 60k.
Bitcoin Outlook \wGenAI assisted analysisGiven that the JP Macro Trend script integrates DeMarker and momentum indicators and now includes the OBV data, we can refine the analysis and attempt to outline a more informed probabilistic outcome for the short and longer term.
However, it's important to note that probabilities in market analysis are inherently subjective and can vary widely depending on market conditions and the analyst's interpretation.
Short-Term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
Bullish Signals: If the price is trending upward, accompanied by rising OBV and the proprietary momentum indicators are in a bullish configuration, the confidence in a continuation of the uptrend might be relatively high.
Bearish Signals : If there are any bearish divergences such as price making new highs while momentum indicators and OBV fail to confirm, the probability of a price correction or consolidation might increase.
Probability Estimate : If all indicators align and confirm the current trend, one might posit a 65-75% probability of the trend continuing in the short term. In the case of divergences or conflicting signals, the probability might be adjusted down to 50-60%.
Longer-Term Analysis (1-6 months):
Bullish Scenario : Should the price maintain above significant moving averages, and the OBV continues to show volume backing up the price increases, one could maintain a bullish outlook. Watch for the momentum indicators to remain in a bullish posture without significant divergences.
Bearish Scenario : Should the OBV and momentum indicators start to show sustained divergences with price, or if the price falls below key moving averages, one might adopt a cautious stance with a higher probability of a bearish phase.
Probability Estimate: With the confirmation of the trend by OBV and proprietary indicators, one might estimate a 60-70% chance of the prevailing trend continuing . Should divergences become apparent, the probability of trend continuation might drop to around 40-50%.
Bitcoin: Buy Low. Sell High. All Time HighBuy low. Sell high. All-Time High. #Bitcoin
I'm anticipating a #Bitcoin pullback into the end of May. Get close to RSI oversold condition - maybe touch the 30 lower level on the RSI - and then a quick reversal as #Bitcoin resumes its Bullish narrative towards ALL TIME HIGH.
It's a great time to be alive. I for one, will be partying as we ride the rocket into this new paradigm...
Bitcoin - $200.000 price target!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Bitcoin.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
More than 4 years ago Bitcoin created a nice bullish ascending triangle formation and broke out above the resistance. This breakout was followed by a +270% move towards the upside. Currently Bitcoin is once again creating a similar ascending triangle formation and is currently retesting upper resistance. We might get a pullback but the overall trend is still very very bullish.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTC on the way UP
Based on the analysis of technical indicators on BTCUSDT chart, a potential price increase can be anticipated. Currently, the Money Flow Index (MFI) is at a low level, which may suggest an undervaluation and a possible trend reversal. At the same time, the Average Directional Index (ADX), which measures the strength of a trend, is showing growth, signaling a strengthening trend. The chart also displays a "bull flag" formation, generally considered as a continuation of the upward trend after a brief consolidation period.
Additionally, the recent "cooling off" after the halving event (which cuts the reward for mining bitcoins in half) could be interpreted as an opportunity for accumulation before further growth. Considering these observations and a strong foundation for bullish sentiment, it is expected that the Bitcoin price could reach targets of $90,000 in the course of the year, and may rise to $135,000 to $160,000 per Bitcoin in a longer-term outlook.
FTX To Return Money To Former Customers
FTX customers to get money back: Lawyers for bankrupt crypto exchange FTX said customers will receive the funds lost when FTX went bankrupt in November 2022, plus interest. The payout will likely take months and still requires approval from a bankruptcy judge.
Regulator cracks down on Robinhood: The SEC has issued a Wells Notice informing the crypto arm of Robinhood that it will face upcoming enforcement action. Robinhood maintained the crypto token assets in question are not securities and expressed readiness to contest any charges.
Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) reverses four-month outflow trend, BTC remains stable: The ETF saw significant new inflows and contributed to a positive shift in the overall spot Bitcoin ETF market. Meanwhile, the price of BTC remained stable over the past week as investors settle into what analyst described as “post-halving boredom.”
Binance CEO Richard Teng calls for release of Tigran Gambaryan: Nigerian authorities have detained the crypto exchange’s compliance officer on charges related to illegal transaction.
Hacker responsible for stealing $125M from Poloniex in November moves $35.3M worth of Ethereum and Bitcoin: Some of the funds were moved to the sanctioned mixer Tornado Cash, in attempts to obscure the origins of the stolen funds.
🤑 Topic of the Week: Anti-Money Laundering (AML)
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