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Bitcoin - On the way to 200,000?To what level can Bitcoin rise? There is an analyst that I respect a lot, from Standard Chartered, who has considered the most likely target for Bitcoin's rise, the price of 200,000. I am more of a chart person, and we are going to go level by level, seeing the evolution of the price on the chart. Financial advisors who have recommended their clients invest in cash Bitcoin ETFs have advised them to allocate 3.5% of their financial assets. It strikes me that the group of financial advisors who have made this investment recommendation to their clients is a small group. Institutions have not yet entered Bitcoin spot ETFs in large volume, because they have not had time to decide, and they will most likely do so now once a correction has begun. So there is money waiting to flow into spot Bitcoin ETFs. In such a way, that analyst's forecast can be fulfilled. Now, I prefer to look at the chart. What are we seeing in the short term? The day before yesterday, there was less money coming into the spot Bitcoin ETFs, and yesterday we had net outflows by funds from the spot Bitcoin ETFs. What does this reveal? It reveals that the bubble of optimism of people who believed that there were not going to be enough bitcoins for everyone is being punctured. We see that desire to buy Bitcoin has been reduced. And what do we see on the chart? The medium and long-term trend continues to be bullish, and what we are witnessing is a correction. It is an orderly, logical and normal correction. There is a bearish channel, and I have established first resistance at the 68.123 zone. In the short term, we are going to consider as the most likely scenario that Bitcoin continues to fall to that support zone that is around 61.000 And when it reaches that zone, or when we see some type of exhaustion pattern, we will think about whether it has made a bottom and can deploy another leg upwards. Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by tradingconmike
4
📈Bitcoin Next Stage 75K? / Trading setups (Updates soon)📉BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD Hello dear traders. A few hours ago, before I left the Bitcoin analysis chart. I drew two bullish and bearish scenarios for Bitcoin. Despite being late for a valid entry, I still think Bitcoin will go near the $75,000 level before the price correction. However, in the current situation, Bitcoin should not go back below the pitchfork nearest line (blue line). A bearish scenario could happen sooner if Bitcoin returns below the indicated blue line. ✌💥If you are satisfied with my analytical content, please share my ideas💥✌ ✍🐱‍👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱‍👤✍ 🍾Thank you for your support. I hope you will gain profit by following my analyses.🍾
Long
by CrazyS
Bitcoin's 486 days marathon after halving to reach the 150,000 !The Basics of Bitcoin's Analysis As we approach the anticipated fourth Bitcoin halving on April 15th, 2024, the mining of Bitcoin’s 19,656,962nd coin is a testament to the network’s enduring strength, bringing the circulating supply to 90% of the total. The ‘rainbow chart’ remains a popular model for visualizing Bitcoin’s logarithmic growth and its cyclical price patterns. The halving events, pivotal in Bitcoin’s economic model, systematically reduce the block reward, thereby constraining the new supply of Bitcoin. The current reward stands at 6.25 BTC per block, which will decrease to 3.125 BTC post the fourth halving. This deflationary mechanism has historically triggered bullish market sentiments as the reduced flow of new coins amplifies scarcity. Analyzing the cycles between halvings, a clear pattern emerges: the initial 70,000 blocks post-halving often usher in a bullish phase, succeeded by a bearish phase up to the 140,000th block, and culminating in a sideways market until the next halving at the 210,000th block. Bitcoin’s market dominance is also subject to cyclical fluctuations. Since 2016, its dominance has dipped below 40% during bearish phases and soared to around 70% during bullish periods, significantly influencing the broader cryptocurrency market. The average drawdown observed between halvings is approximately 80%. Currently, in the sideways phase of the third cycle, projections based on the intersection of the 210,000th block and the lower logarithmic regression boundary suggest a valuation of $30,000 per Bitcoin. The forthcoming era could witness a peak of $150,000, with an 80% drawdown positioning the potential low at $55,000 during the bearish phase, commencing 486 days after the halving. Where are we Today? Recent market analyses align with these projections, indicating a minor retracement a month after the 2024 halving, followed by a significant rally to new heights. Analysts advise caution as the market nears the halving event, with some predicting a pre-halving sell-off. Despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, with predictions of a new all-time high price in each 4-year period between Halving dates. The only indicator to consider: The MVRV Ratio and Z-score The MVRV ratio was created by Murad Mahmudov & David Puell hot on the heals of the invention of the Realized Cap concept by the Coinmetrics team of Nic Carter and Antoine Le Calvez. Realized Cap is an alternative approach to Market Cap as a measure of network valuation. Rather than using the last traded price and multiplying by the coins in circulation as seen in Market Cap, Realized Cap approximates the value paid for all coins in existence by summing the market value of coins at the time they last moved on the blockchain. MVRV is simply the ratio comparing the two, i.e. MVRV = Market Cap / Realized Cap. It’s useful for getting a sense of when the exchange traded price is below “fair value” and is also quite useful for spotting market tops and bottoms (Source: Coinmetrics.com). The MVRV ratio is calculated by dividing the total bitcoin market value (MV) by its realized value (RV). Therefore, the metric represents the extent in which the current bitcoin market valuation is overextended beyond (values >1) or actually at a discount (values <1) compared to the holders’ aggregated cost base. From the MVRV ratio we obtain the MVRV z-score, which first calculates the difference between the total bitcoin market value and its realized value, and then divides that by the standard deviation of the market valuation — a common statistical procedure called “standardization.” The MVRV z-scores, therefore, represent the number of standard deviations that each bitcoin market valuation is increased or decreased against its realized value (Remember z-score >1 means overextended and z-score <1 discount) What do indicators say? We are currently at the dusk of the 3rd halving era which occurred on May 11th 2020, more precisely the END of the sideways phase. The MVRV ratio is at 2.24 giving sights of a Fair Value. Historically, Values over '3.7' indicated price top and values below '1' indicated price bottom.(Source: CryptoQuant) (It is crucial to note that these insights are for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and while historical data can provide guidance, it does not guarantee future performance).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1
Bitcoins newer all time highOn the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin appears to be within a distinct channel. This week, it experienced a decline, reaching the 65654 support level at the channel's bottom before rebounding. Currently, it has bounced off the 67562 support and is heading upwards. If it breaks above 69005, it could revisit all-time highs. Back on March 3rd, Bitcoin formed a flag pattern before reaching its previous all-time highs. Considering the length of the candlestick pole to the flag pattern, I anticipate Bitcoin may reach 75000 before a downturn, potentially returning to the support trend line around 54670.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by samstoobad
COIN - Reckoning Incoming?COIN has been on an epic run. What goes up must come down as they say... but Bitcoin is at 73k tho bro. Just think of all the people who bought when it was at ~$50. A lot of institutional investment decided they were not going to miss out crypto this cycle and anticipated the run up. They are definitely going to take profits now that they are up almost 400% and they are also going to make sure to take advantage of the recent upsurge in retail interest and start selling into the momentum.
NASDAQ:COINShort
by Goontata84
9
QNTUSDT - BUY OPPORTUNITYHOLDING QNT to swing area and beyond - This coin is one of my top favs - If you want to understand its project - I highly advise you read its whitepaper. I believe this coin can MC to 100B and beyond as cryptos take off, Web3 becomes more advanced and in play, Future will be tokenised with blockchain! Your IDs, Photos, anything digital you own etc If you understand blockchain, you will understand what I mean. You can't dupe a FAKE photo, clone it etc from its original makers as blockchain will help protect its authenticity, originality and ownership. This has nothing to do with Quant, just in general my own opinion and view on the future of Blockchain in our daily life. Trade Safe Habibis - The future is Blockchain!
Long
by PathaanKhan
Bitcoin - Triangle BreakoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Bitcoin. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After the quite expected break and retest on Bitcoin in December of 2022, Bitcoin started the next bullrun with a move of +350%. Furthermore Bitcoin is about to break out of a long term ascending triangle formation which could lead to seven-figure price targets. But first I am waiting for a retest of the level mentioned in the analysis to then add to my long positions. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by basictradingtv
7
Bitcoin Inflow Volumes Poised for Surge? RSI Hints at Upswing## Bitcoin Poised for Surge? RSI Hints at Upswing Technical indicators on TradingView suggest Bitcoin may be primed for a rise in price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 2-hour timeframe, which measures price momentum based on 14-minute intervals and volume, currently sits at 48. This value indicates that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold, potentially signaling a healthy position for further upward movement. While a reading of 48 on the RSI is positive, it's important to consider this data point alongside other technical indicators and market conditions. Combining RSI analysis with other factors can provide a more comprehensive picture of Bitcoin's potential price trajectory. Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin's future, with some predicting a surge towards $88,000. However, the cryptocurrency market remains volatile, and unforeseen events can significantly impact prices. It's crucial to conduct thorough research and implement sound risk management strategies before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Henrywaters
Bitcoin Inflow Volumes Poised for Surge? RSI Hints at Upswing ## Bitcoin Poised for Surge? RSI Hints at Upswing Technical indicators on TradingView suggest Bitcoin may be primed for a rise in price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 2-hour timeframe, which measures price momentum based on 14-minute intervals and volume, currently sits at 48. This value indicates that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold, potentially signaling a healthy position for further upward movement. While a reading of 48 on the RSI is positive, it's important to consider this data point alongside other technical indicators and market conditions. Combining RSI analysis with other factors can provide a more comprehensive picture of Bitcoin's potential price trajectory. Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin's future, with some predicting a surge towards $88,000. However, the cryptocurrency market remains volatile, and unforeseen events can significantly impact prices. It's crucial to conduct thorough research and implement sound risk management strategies before making any investment decisions. #btclong
Long
by asianwhales
BITCOIN - Expected Rally - How far will this run?Bitcoin has various fundamental tailwinds driving price including the two notable ones, ETF flows and halving expected H2. Looking at the two previous breaks above an all time high (ATH) we can expect a period of 6+ months of price increases if a break is sustained above $70k with prices expected to at least double. Target price for Bitcoin: $150k. Profits to be scaled down from September to complete unwinding by December 2024.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by mikeycollins
2
BTC MACRO Perspective - LONG Way to go📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 It's been a while since I've done a macro update on BTC since the previous update. I love the logarithmic view of BTC. It gives a clearer indication of price increases alongside growth. Although inflation and value factors aren't physically calculated into the price, seeing the upwards curve makes more sense from a "holistic view" that would include things such as growth and inflation. A logarithmic chart view displays price changes as a percentage of the previous price. This means that equal vertical distances on the chart represent equal percentage changes, regardless of the absolute price level. This is in contrast to a regular chart view, which displays price changes on an arithmetic scale. This means that equal vertical distances on the chart represent equal absolute price changes. With help of great technical indicators, we can use the logarithmic chart as a sort of "roadmap". The logarithmic trendline indicator (log trend channel) shows possible support and resistance zones. The logarithmic moving averages show possible support zones, and help identify if the price is generally trading bearish (under) or bullish (over). First immediate support according to the logarithmic moving averages is around 51K: Another interesting way you can use technical indicator in the MACRO timeframe, is by using the RSI such as this: Here's another look at it from the MONTHLY logarithmic chart: _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoCheck-