BITCOIN at Key Support – Ready to Bounce to $94,000?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading at a key demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support within the ascending channel. The recent retracement has brought the price back into this area, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction. The confluence of the support zone and the ascending trendline suggests that buyers may step in to regain control.
If price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish continuation toward the $94,000 level, aligning with the channel’s midline and the next major resistance. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish bias and signal a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increasing buying volume, before considering long positions. A breakout above minor resistance levels along the way could further strengthen the bullish outlook.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
Bitcoinlong
Bitcoin - The Path to a Quarter of a Million Bitcoin - What Happened After the End of the Bear Market
15,460 USD—this value marked the ultimate low of the bear market in hindsight. My previous forecast for a bottom formation was exceeded by approximately 15%. This was not due to a lack of expertise but rather because I rarely publish ideas. Looking back, the levels around 18,000 USD were an excellent opportunity for long-term entry and position accumulation. Since then, Bitcoin has surged by an impressive 350% (as of today).
Market Development After the Bear Market
Today, I will not delve into Bitcoin’s fundamental situation. First, because it has reached a level of complexity that is difficult to fully grasp, and second, because fundamentals are almost irrelevant to my technical analysis and forecasts.
The current price action suggests that we are nearing the completion of Wave 1, which serves as the launchpad for the larger Wave 3. It is important to note that the previous all-time high of 109,358.01 USD may be surpassed if the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level is slightly above it. This means that, despite an initial sell-off, Bitcoin could still reach a maximum of 115,438.15 USD before a major correction begins.
However, if the previous all-time high already marked the end of Wave 1, then the price should retrace towards the 78.6% or even the 88.7% Fibonacci levels. Yes, this results in a broad range, but the goal is not to place a short trade—only to time a long trade effectively.
One thing is crystal clear: The next correction is imminent—or has already begun.
Outlook: Where Is the Next Profitable Long-Term Entry?
The art of investing lies in playing the long game and timing the market for optimal long positions. While dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a solid strategy, it is particularly beneficial to invest larger tranches with careful planning.
Since my strategy is to hold Bitcoin for decades, I am looking for the next major buying opportunity.
Based on current market trends, I see two overlapping target zones for the upcoming correction:
🔹 Potential correction range: 35,774.30 - 58,928.75 USD
🔹 Key Fibonacci retracement level (61.8%) of Wave 1: 51,502.15 USD
I expect Bitcoin to correct at least to 51,502.15 USD. However, based on previous corrections and price structures, a deeper retracement is highly likely.
💡 My personal target zone for accumulating larger positions:
👉 35,774.30 - 51,502.15 USD
🚨 Bitcoin must not drop below 34,944.64 USD.
After the Correction: The Next Major Bullish Wave
Once the correction (Wave 2) finds its bottom between 34,944.64 - 51,502.15 USD, the market will be set for the explosive third wave of the larger Wave 3.
📈 Minimum price target for Wave 3: 160,000+ USD
📈 Further upside potential: Beyond 250,000 USD
Key Takeaway: Investing in Bitcoin is an investment in your future.
👉 Think long-term and minimize your risk.
Summary
1. Bear Market Recap
✅ Bear market bottom: 15,460 USD
✅ Forecast missed by ~15%
✅ 18,000 USD was a great long-term entry
✅ +350% price increase since then
2. Current Market Situation & Forecast
✅ Bitcoin is near the completion of Wave 1
✅ Possible breakout beyond all-time high (109,358.01 USD) to 115,438.15 USD
✅ A major correction is imminent—or has already begun
3. Ideal Long-Term Entry Points
✅ Target accumulation zone: 35,774.30 - 51,502.15 USD
✅ Expected correction at least to: 51,502.15 USD
✅ Absolute lower limit: 34,944.64 USD (must not be breached)
4. Long-Term Outlook
✅ Wave 3 to start after correction (Wave 2)
✅ Minimum target: 160,000 USD
✅ Potential long-term target: 250,000+ USD
✅ Investment strategy: Hold long-term & minimize risk
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( BTCUSD) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (82500) to (82400) 📊
FIRST TP (83000)📊
2ND TARGET (83600)📊
LAST TARGET (84200) 📊
STOP LOOS (81700)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
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BTCUSDT Analysis – From Simple to Complex!BTCUSDT Analysis – From Simple to Complex! 🚀
“Let’s break it down step by step. At first glance, the first red line looks like an obvious resistance point. But here’s the deal—it’s too obvious. And in trading, when something is too obvious, it often doesn’t work as expected.”
Basic Structure:
📌 Red Line = Clear Resistance – Everyone sees it, but that also means it could be a trap.
Now, Let’s Get Deeper...
🔍 Volume Analysis Changes the Game:
Weekend Moves with Low Volume = High Manipulation Risk – Crypto loves to fake out retail traders in these conditions.
Look at the Black Line Inside the Blue Area – This is where things get interesting. This level could be the true battleground between buyers and sellers.
CDV & Volume Profile Will Guide Us – We need confirmation from buying and selling volumes before making any major moves.
Final Thoughts:
“At first, the chart looks simple, but once you add volume analysis, things get more complex. Don’t trade based on what looks obvious—trade based on what’s actually happening in the order flow. I’ll explain the next step in my following post!”
📉 Stay smart, stay ahead! 🔥
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
I have a long list of my proven technique below:
AVAXUSDT Perfect Short Entry!
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
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💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
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march rally coming for bitcoin BTCUSD BTC!Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by broader financial cycles and patterns that are more subtle.
Here's a look at those:
General Financial Cycles:
Market Sentiment Cycles:
Like all financial markets, Bitcoin experiences cycles of fear and greed. These psychological waves drive price fluctuations, with periods of euphoria leading to overbought conditions and subsequent corrections.
These cycles are often amplified in the cryptocurrency market due to its 24/7 nature and the prevalence of social media.
Economic Cycles:
Bitcoin's performance can be influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic growth.
In times of economic uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Conversely, during periods of strong economic growth, capital may flow into more traditional investments.
Adoption Cycles:
Bitcoin's adoption by individuals and institutions follows a pattern of gradual growth, punctuated by periods of rapid acceleration.
As adoption increases, liquidity improves, and the market becomes more mature, which can influence price volatility and long-term trends.
"Secret" or Less Obvious Bitcoin Cycles:
On-Chain Data Cycles:
Analysis of Bitcoin's blockchain data reveals patterns in investor behavior, such as accumulation and distribution phases.
Metrics like:
Hodl waves: which track the age of bitcoin held in wallets.
Entity adjusted dormancy: which shows when older coins are being moved.
These can give indications of underlying cycle activity.
Liquidity Cycles:
The flow of liquidity into and out of the Bitcoin market can create its own cycles.
Periods of high liquidity can fuel price increases, while periods of low liquidity can exacerbate price declines.
The availability of stablecoins, and the actions of large market makers, effect these cycles.
Technological Adoption Cycles:
The development and adoption of layer 2 solutions, and other technological improvements to the bitcoin network, can create their own cyclical impacts on the bitcoin price.
These cycles are less predictable, but can have profound long term effects.
It's important to understand that these cycles are interconnected and can overlap, making it challenging to isolate their individual effects. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is still relatively young, and its cycles may evolve over time.
Bitcoin's Never Look Back AnalysisWhat's Bitcoin's never look back number?
What's that level that you want to stack your sats and always be in profit?
This analysis observes a distinct repeating pattern over everything BTC cycle that if continues to occur could be very effective in informing your investment position.
Bitcoin Breaks 90k with upward bounce on Daily FVG and 200MABitcoin Breaks 90k with bounce on Daily FVG and 200MA.
The FMG "Fair Value Gap" is a big deal, especially this one on the daily.
The 4h and 2h and 45min charts are looking like this could continue.
It's a powerful moment, and maybe 80k will never been seen again?
This is more bullish than I have felt in a few days.
Bitcoin Holds Strong Above 200MA – Is the Next Rally Incoming?Bitcoin has successfully defended the $84K-$86K support zone, with the CME gap now fully closed. On the daily timeframe, BTC remains above the 200MA, signaling strong bullish momentum. With macroeconomic factors aligning in favor of crypto, this could be the start of another leg higher.
Technical Analysis:
• Support Zone: $84K - $86K held firm, preventing further downside.
• CME Gap Closure: The retracement completed the necessary gap-fill, eliminating inefficiencies.
• Trend Reversal Signal: BTC has reclaimed the 200MA on the daily chart, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
• Breakout Watch: Price is approaching a descending trendline, a breakout above could trigger a strong move toward the $110K target.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Bitcoin ETF Impact: Institutional demand continues to grow with ETF adoption.
• Macroeconomic Tailwinds: The Fed’s expected slowdown in rate hikes is a net positive for risk assets like BTC.
• Geopolitical Factors: Increased demand for BTC as a hedge against economic instability and inflation.
• Regulatory Developments: A more constructive approach from regulators supports long-term adoption.
With bullish momentum building, Bitcoin is at a key inflection point. Will it break out and push towards new highs? Stay tuned and trade wisely!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC at a Critical Crossroad: One More High to $130K?BTC: The price remains in a larger correction that began in December. While I still view one more high in this cycle as ideal—potentially targeting $130,000—the minimum requirements for completing a larger 5-wave pattern from the November 2022 lows have already been met. Any additional high would be more of a bonus than a necessity.
A break below $69,140 would provide further confirmation that a substantial top has formed, aligning with the red scenario. For now, $69,140 serves as the key bull/bear pivot, helping us distinguish between the possibility of one more high and the onset of a larger correction or even a potential bear market.
Regardless, I am closely monitoring the current price region for signs of an upside reversal. Even if this only results in red wave B, it could still push the price into the $92,000–$104,100 range.
LONG ON BITCOINIts Timeeeee.....
Bitcoin has tapped into a major demand zone and has given us a change of character/structure to the upside.
It has pulled back to discount price all day today and is now ready to head back up to 100k.
I am purchasing bitcoin now at 83k expecting it to get back to 100k buy the end of the week. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis:
Current Price: $102,859.06
Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance)
Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound)
🚨 Signal:
Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉.
Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area).
💡 Strategy:
Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC.
Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces.
📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻).
🔐 Risk Management:
Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level).
Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things:
1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different)
2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe)
3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe.
I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH)
Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
Mon 3rd Mar 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!Midterm forecast:
73777.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 78181.05 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 98489.63, 101430.12, 105431.17 and more heights is expected.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Take Profits:
94200.00
98489.63
101430.12
105431.17
109932.89
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
130000.00
134142.91
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Bitcoin's 2025 Price Action Mirrors 2017 - Is History Repeating?Bitcoin Halving & The Trump Factor: A Historical Parallel
Bitcoin's price action in 2025 is eerily reminiscent of the post-halving rally of 2017. In both cases, BTC saw a prolonged accumulation phase before a massive markup period. What's even more intriguing is how macro-political events align: Trump was elected in November 2016 , just before BTC went parabolic in 2017, and once again, he's elected in November 2024 , right before Bitcoin enters its explosive post-halving markup phase. Could this be more than just coincidence?
Accumulation Phase Ends – The Markup Begins
From November 9, 2024 , to February 28, 2025 , Bitcoin was in a 107-day accumulation phase . This mirrors previous post-halving cycles, where BTC consolidates in the Green HPR band before entering the next stage. Now, it appears we are entering the Markup Phase, where I expect Bitcoin to rally towards $120K+ in the coming months.
Applying the 2017 Cycle to 2025
The 2017 bull run followed a 59:156:360-day cycle (Accumulation → Markup → Distribution). Using the same ratio and expanding it for 2025, I’ve projected a 107:280:646-day cycle , where:
✅ 107 days Accumulation (Completed!)
📈 280 days Markup (Just Beginning!)
📉 646 days Distribution & Declining (Post-Top Phase)
This fractal projection aligns well with historical price action, reinforcing the likelihood of Bitcoin repeating this structure.
BitBo’s Rainbow Regression Chart Confirms the Setup
Looking at BitBo’s Bitcoin Rainbow Halving Price Regression Chart , BTC briefly dipped into the blue band , just like in 2017’s first wave. However, in both cases, Bitcoin quickly recovered within days and launched into its Markup phase , which is exactly what we’re seeing now!
🔹 Key Takeaway: Bitcoin is following its historic halving cycle patterns, and if history continues to rhyme, the next 280 days could be a wild ride to six-figure BTC prices! 🚀
Don't forget,
Patience is Paramount
It’s Like the Bitcoin Follows Our Predictions! 📉 In our previous post, we predicted Bitcoin would drop from 109K to 81K … And today? ✅ It bounced back from 81K to 94K , achieving a 10% gain!
🔥 Imagine if you had followed our recommendation—how much would you have profited by now?
💔 Unfortunately, those who missed our last post are now feeling the regret of a lost opportunity!
🎯 Don’t miss the next one! Follow us and turn on notifications so you never miss our upcoming predictions! 🚀
#Bitcoin #MissedOpportunity #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto