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BTCUSD | MT Long H4 | Continuing The Run-Up?Pair: HTX:BTCUSDT Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1 and H1 time-frames - Price action may face resistances from being at the bottom of a parallel channel, there is a support trendline going through and there is a demand zone area as shown with the horizontal trendline - Price is close to 32.8% Fib retracement Level - Targeting to trade this position between the Supply-Demand zones as shown with the Horizontal Trendlines Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Market stabilization from geopolitcal risks and US's strong economic data is happening and may bring back risk appetite - Fiscal dominance concern on the USD may see people try to buy BTC as a store of value (IMO, still not a store of value but as long as the market feels so, I'll go with it first) - Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and see the BTC fall Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 61,500 - 63,500 SL @ 59,843 TP 1 @ 62,648 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 68,838 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.20 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by weekendanalyst
BTC UPDATE ✅The daily structure on CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still bullish as long as we don't break and close below $59,200. My average entry for spot buy is at $61,900 after all three fills. This could be the best possible opportunity to buy since the RR would be great because of invalidation just daily close below $59K. Daily also seems to be forming this bullish AB = CD structure and there are two equal lows on daily aswell. But the smaller timeframe structure (4H, 1H) is definitely bearish, although the last night's low was not able to close below previous $59,652 low so there is no valid BOS but in any case we need a break and solid close above FWB:67K to be bullish back again imo or atleast a close above $64.5K to make that move. The only reason I emphasize upon buying right here is because the invalidation for bulls on daily is just too close, a small $1000 drop and the whole structure would be bearish on daily but at the same time, a great buying opportunity too if this happens to be the low ✅
Long
by GeorgeZoros
Bitcoin Short Term Bottom FormedBTC is expected to halve in these few days. Everyone observing BTC price reaction to the halving. While we have historical data showing BTC price surge higher after 1 year in the previous 3 times halving. However, many investors are not so sure about the current halving will bring the same effect. Due to BTC wasn't in high demand in 2012, while 2020 BTC's price was mainly driven by Central Banks flooding the market with cash & causing the BTC's price surge to new high. With BTC ETF legalization, this could increase the BTC volatility due to more demand than ever. Let's get back to reality, the present moment of BTC is showing sign of bottoming with high volumes generated at yesterday price low & causing the price recover slightly. Based on our analysis, this is a sign of the BTC's "Big Boys" are supporting the price. Which could lead to rebound in the short term. Could be a good chance to long BTC for any short term gains. Any further gains after that, we would need to watch again until then.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ROUNDnSURGE89
BTCUSDT OUTLOOKThe $59000-$61.000 range is a very good entry area before halving, but this price depends on Bitcoin Price Action (BTC) and depending on news from the war taking place in the Middle East. Here are some factors to consider: 1. BTC price action: Keep an eye on BTC price action. If BTC starts to drop, then MANTA is likely to follow. 2. Volume: Look for increased volume on MANTA. This could indicate that buyers are entering the market. This is not Financial Advise!. It is important to do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Long
by mrskyzo
BTC Bull Flag Potential Target $110,000 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating recently, but analysts see this as a potential launchpad for a significant upswing. A technical chart pattern known as a "bull flag" is emerging, suggesting a bullish continuation could be in the cards. Bullish Flag in Play The bull flag pattern is characterized by a sharp price increase (the pole) followed by a period of consolidation within a narrowing price range (the flag). A breakout above the flag's upper trendline is typically seen as a bullish signal, indicating a continuation of the uptrend that preceded the consolidation. Analysts at Fairlead Strategies point to this formation on Bitcoin's chart, with the price consolidating above $30,000. A decisive break above the resistance level around $31,900, which coincides with the Ichimoku cloud indicator, could be the catalyst for a breakout. Targetting $110,000? If the bullish flag pattern plays out, technical analysis suggests a potential price target of $110,000. This target is derived by measuring the height of the flagpole (the initial price increase) and adding it to the breakout point. Not a Guaranteed Upswing However, it's crucial to remember that technical analysis is not a foolproof prediction method. The cryptocurrency market remains volatile, and unforeseen events can disrupt any predicted trajectory. Downside Risk also Present A breakdown below the bull flag's support level, currently around $51,000, would negate the bullish signal and could indicate a potential price decline. Cautious Optimism While the bull flag pattern offers a glimmer of optimism for Bitcoin bulls, investors should maintain a cautious approach. Close monitoring of price movements and adherence to sound risk management principles are essential when navigating the cryptocurrency market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Double Bottom & Falling WedgeBitcoin is forming a double bottom and a falling wedge formation this could indicate an extremely bullish scenario where we see bitcoin fly past $73,000 Take caution when executing the trade as a Triple top formation can also lead to a bearish case leading us straight to $58,000 or $59,000 on the low end Bullish Case is 90% Scenario Bearish Case is at 10% I've opened a long position on ByBit we'll see in the coming weeks but i do see us in extremely bullish territory! Using Technical Indicators i was able to spot a Double Bottom and a falling Wedge Pattern
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by aironwinds
1
Bitcoin Looks for ONE MORE Possible Chance to BUY THE DIP!! Remember to Like, Comment, & Follow for more in-depth analysis! Share with your friends! The greatest compliment one can give is a referral I've seen too many doom and gloom posts for Bitcoin, and there are macro and micro bullish patterns being layered with more bullish patterns as we get closer to the Havening. Bitcoin is in a descending parallel channel, but it is not a bearish distribution. The distribution is bullish due to the top of the channel being tested already 4 different times, and the bottom side of the channel has only been tested once. The more times a support or resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes. Bitcoin has also created a macro inverse head and shoulders pattern, and each shoulder and the head of that inverse head and shoulders pattern is its own inverse head and shoulders pattern. The most bullish bottoming pattern in trading was just created 4 times to create the bullish support in the 60k - 73K range. This range includes the bullish double top that was made in 2021, plus now, this inverse head and shoulders pattern is made up of an inverse head and shoulder pattern in each of the shoulders and the head. We are now Even though we did not break out off the inverse head and shoulders pattern, we will continue to cool off indicators with another drop down to the 65K level, or potentially the 59.7k level. The only reason that we would drop down that far again after creating the bullish pattern we just made would be the fetish Bitcoin has with needing to hit the .618 Fib retracement level. The .618 Fib retracement level sits at 59.7k. The head of the inverse head and shoulders wicks down under the .55 fib retracement but never reaches the .618 fib retracement level. Since we are in a descending parallel channel, it would allow it to hit that .618 Fib retracement level now while staying within this parallel channel. Another bullish pattern bitcoin has made, is the macro bull flag. We had a major run-up, from 38.5k, where volume increase was consistent and noticeable, and we topped out at 73.5k (about +93% upward). Just by extrapolating the percentage move and estimating where the second pole moves from the bull flag would finish. More importantly, it would be important to know where the starting point for the next runup is. It would be starting from the 59.7k (.618 fib retracement level) and then extrapolating +93% upward would put us at about $115k (which also is the 1.618 Fib Extension Level). Another pattern I see that can occur is, as I said previously, we technically have not bounced off the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k), which is the bounce point Bitcoin has a fetish for to be able to start another bullish move upward. Currently, we sit in a position where we are 2 weeks away from the Bitcoin Halvening, which is the catalyst that starts the new Bitcoin Bull Market, where we make a parabolic move. There are at least 10 different bullish confluences of support within the range of $60k- FWB:73K , and the only bearish confluence is that the top side of the descending parallel channel we have has held any breakout above it from happening. The move that I am possibly watching for would be one that lands us just shy of the $100k milestone. The move would look possibly something like this, where the only way I could see this bullish confluence zone could become more BULLISH would be to make an eve & eve double bottom and create the second bottom with another inverse head and shoulders pattern. We would then break out to $73.5k peak and then around the same time as the halvening, we would look to break the peak and then use the .55 Fib Ext.Level and .5 FIb Ext Level to create a Bullish W-Breakout Pattern with making both bottoms re-test the previous peak of $73.5k. After re-testing both times, holding support above that previous peak, We would launch to the .618 Fib Ext Level, possibly re-test the top of the W breakout we just made, and then after, we would take a launch at the 1 Fib Ext. Level that sits at $93.8k. Major key points would be: -Drop to the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k) -Breakout bounce up to the .5 Fib Extension ($76.1k) or the .55 Fib Extension ($77.9k) of which breaks out $73.5k peak -Minor Correction from the .55 Fib Ext and the .5 Fib Ext level down to re-test the $73.5k peak to create a Bullish W breakout pattern -Breakout to either .618 Fib Ext ($80.3k) or the 1 Fib Ext ($93.5K) Let me know what you think in the comments below! Which pattern do you see playing out? 1. Run-up to $115k 2. Run-up to $94k
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Gamblers_Paradise
Bitcoin Cools Off After Flirting with Overheated Futures MarketThe Bitcoin market appears to be taking a breather after a period of intense activity in the futures market. Recent data indicates a decline in Bitcoin's open interest, a metric that reflects the total amount of outstanding futures contracts. This development comes after concerns arose about the futures market potentially overheating, which could lead to increased volatility. Open Interest and the Overheating Signal Open interest essentially measures the level of leverage traders are using in the Bitcoin futures market. When open interest rises significantly, it suggests that traders are placing more bets on the future price of Bitcoin, often using borrowed capital to magnify potential returns (and losses). This increased leverage can amplify price movements, leading to sharp swings in both directions. Analysts observed a surge in Bitcoin's open interest in recent weeks, raising concerns about the market overheating. This situation has historically been a precursor to increased volatility, as seen in the lead-up to the FTX crash in November 2022 and the price correction in June-August 2022. Both instances coincided with periods of elevated open interest. The Recent Cool Down Fortunately, recent data shows a notable decrease in Bitcoin's open interest. This suggests that traders might be unwinding their leveraged positions, potentially reducing the risk of a sudden and dramatic price movement. This development is seen as a positive sign for the current Bitcoin rally, particularly by bulls (investors who believe the price will continue to rise). The Battle for $65,000 Despite the cooling off in the futures market, the price of Bitcoin itself remains locked in a battle for the crucial $65,000 resistance level. Breaking above this level could signal a continuation of the current uptrend. However, bulls still face challenges. Technical Indicators: EMAs and RSI Analysts like Skew emphasize the importance of Bitcoin price action maintaining certain technical indicators. These indicators provide clues about potential future price movements based on historical price trends. Two key indicators to watch are the exponential moving averages (EMAs) on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. EMAs smooth out price fluctuations and highlight the underlying trend. If the price can stay above these key EMAs, it bolsters the bullish case. Another indicator to monitor is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI measures the momentum behind price movements and indicates potential overbought or oversold conditions. For the current uptrend to continue, the RSI needs to return above the central level of 50, suggesting a return to positive momentum. Conclusion The decline in Bitcoin's open interest offers a sigh of relief for those concerned about excessive leverage in the futures market. However, the price battle for $65,000 continues. Keeping an eye on technical indicators like EMAs and RSI will be crucial in gauging the strength of the current rally and potential future price movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Cash Halving Jitters: A Cautionary Tale for Bitcoin? With Bitcoin's fourth mining reward halving just days away, all eyes are on the leading cryptocurrency. However, a recent price slump in Bitcoin Cash (BCH), a derivative of Bitcoin, is sending a potential warning sign to Bitcoin traders. Understanding the Halving Bitcoin's mining reward halving is a pre-programmed event that occurs roughly every four years. It cuts the number of new bitcoins awarded to miners for verifying transactions on the blockchain in half. This economic model is designed to control the overall supply of Bitcoin, theoretically leading to price appreciation in the long run due to scarcity. Bitcoin Cash: A Proxy for Bitcoin's Halving? Bitcoin Cash (BCH) emerged from a hard fork of the Bitcoin blockchain in 2017. While sharing similar core functionalities, BCH has a larger block size, allowing for faster transaction processing compared to Bitcoin. Historically, the price movements of Bitcoin Cash have often mirrored those of Bitcoin, making it a potential indicator for Bitcoin's future performance. This is why the recent post-halving price drop in BCH has some analysts worried about the potential impact on Bitcoin after its upcoming halving on April 20th. BCH's Cautionary Tale: A 15% Slide Following its own halving on April 4th, 2024, Bitcoin Cash experienced a significant price drop of around 15%. This decline suggests that the anticipated rise in value post-halving might not materialize immediately. Furthermore, BCH futures markets also witnessed a significant drop in open interest, indicating a potential decrease in bullish sentiment among traders. Negative funding rates on BCH perpetual futures contracts further highlight a shift towards a bearish outlook. Why BCH Might Not Be a Perfect Proxy While BCH offers some insights, it's important to acknowledge key differences between the two cryptocurrencies: • Market Capitalization: Bitcoin dwarfs Bitcoin Cash in terms of market capitalization. This vast difference means that Bitcoin's halving will likely have a more muted impact on its price compared to BCH. • Adoption Rate: Bitcoin enjoys a wider user base and higher adoption rate compared to BCH. This translates to a potentially more robust and resilient market for Bitcoin. What to Expect for Bitcoin's Halving Despite BCH's recent price slump, predicting the exact impact of Bitcoin's halving remains a challenge. Here are some factors that could influence Bitcoin's post-halving performance: • Institutional Investment: Increased institutional investment in Bitcoin could provide significant support for the price post-halving. • Regulatory Landscape: Evolving regulations surrounding cryptocurrencies can significantly impact investor sentiment and market stability. • Overall Market Conditions: Broader economic factors and the prevailing risk appetite in the market will also influence Bitcoin's post-halving trajectory. A Measured Approach: Long-Term Perspective While the BCH price movement post-halving is a cause for some concern, it shouldn't be the sole indicator for Bitcoin's future. Investors should approach the upcoming halving with a well-rounded perspective, considering the unique fundamentals of Bitcoin and the broader market environment. Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated a tendency for price appreciation in the long term after halving events. However, short-term volatility is inevitable. Investors should exercise caution and adopt a long-term investment horizon when navigating the complexities of the cryptocurrency market. The Bottom Line: A Learning Experience The recent price behavior of Bitcoin Cash serves as a valuable learning experience for Bitcoin traders. It highlights the inherent volatility in the cryptocurrency market and the potential for short-term setbacks even after anticipated positive events like a halving. While BCH might not be a perfect proxy, its performance offers a glimpse into the potential psychological impact of a halving on investor sentiment.
COINBASE:BCHUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC Bullish ☀️ Over the Next Week - Further Upside LikelyThe cryptocurrency trend was positive over the past 24 hours ahead of Bitcoin’s halving next week and despite the release of higher-than-expected US inflation data that initially pushed prices lower. “Whether the Fed cut rates 25bps in June or not isn't the long-term driver of bitcoin prices right now. It's a marginal factor. ETF flows + rising deficits matter more, and they are lining up very well for bitcoin,” commented Matt Hougan, Bitwise Invest’s chief investment officer. The spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) approved in the US three months ago exactly recorded $124 million in net inflows on Wednesday. There are currently roughly 19,680,000 Bitcoins in circulation. “Investors in US ETFs own 838,730, or 4.3 %. If we exclude the BTC that has not moved in the last 3 years (9,650,000), the US ETFs own 8.4%. If we exclude the BTC that has not moved in the last 1 years (15,190,000), the U.S. ETFs own 18.7%,” the crypto profile @HODL15Capital noted. Quarterly regulatory filings starting to drip in also show that financial advisers have acquired spot Bitcoin ETFs. Signal Advisors, for example, reported that it holds more than 20,000 of BlackRock’s NASDAQ:IBIT ETF, BlockBeats reports. A bullish sun shines over the global crypto market in the next 24 hours, including Bitcoin and Ether, signaling upside potential. Over a one-week horizon, the trading conditions will be mixed with bearish clouds lingering over Uniswap, Polkadot, Ripple’s XRP and Binance Coin, indicating downside risks. The sun will, however, continue to shine over both Bitcoin and Ether over this medium-term time horizon. Follow us for more crypto news and crypto weather reports!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ATTMO
BTC Cup and Handle Forming | 120K SOONCRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed a cup over the last few years and we are seeing a short term downtrend to the last major resistance level from the 2021 ATH around 64K-69K. This may very will set us up for a perfect cup and handle formation if we: Break below the resistance Find support at a reasonable level, lets say 58K-60K lowest Move back up and retest the resistance Break the resistance again This would confirm our cup and handle pattern. It is then probable to conclude that Bitcoin could reach new all time highs around $120,000 per Bitcoin . This target is predicted by measuring the resistance line to the cup's low, and then adding that measurement to the breakout. That would give us another 77% gains from current prices. Keep an eye on this chart over the next few days and weeks to see if the handle of our pattern forms. DYOR and bring home those gains.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by altsandislands
1