Bitcoinlong
Bitcoin Wyckoff Distrubution Schematic #1 - TOP IS IN -Bitcoin is finishing Phase C of our wyckoff distribution schematic #1. This indicates that whales have been selling bitcoin all the way up. Good chances we have finished the upthrust after distribution (UTAD).
03/24/23 Preliminary supply (PSY)
4/14/23 Buying Climax (BC)
4/24/23 Automatic reaction (AR)
06/15/23 Signs of Weakness (SOW)
07/13/23 Upthrust (UT)
11/15/23 UTAD
ZRX Breakout the descending broadeningDescending Broadening Wedge Pattern Explained
A descending broadening wedge chart pattern is a bullish reversal pattern. This pattern is created by two declining and diverging trend lines .
A descending broadening wedge forms as price moves between the upper resistance and lower support trend lines multiple times as the trading range expands during the downtrend in price. Price should touch each line 2 or 3 times to be considered a valid pattern. This pattern looks like a megaphone pointing down and to the right.
A descending broadening wedge is looked at as a bullish pattern as it forms but it is not validated as a buy signal until the pattern starts to make short term higher lows and higher highs and the upper resistance trend line is broken and price begins to move to the upside and above the upper trend line. As the descending broadening wedge pattern is forming trading volumes become most meaningful as the pattern breaks out above the upper trend line, this should happen on increasing volume showing that the chart is starting to go into an accumulation cycle.
ADA to start growing faster than BTCCRYPTOCAP:ADA & BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
The recent performance of ADA (Cardano) suggests it is a promising buy for investors. After a strong recovery from a support level of $0.23 on October 19, ADA experienced a significant rally, soaring by 65% to reach $0.40 by November 11. Although it's trading slightly below this peak, ADA is maintaining an upward trajectory, indicating potential for further growth. The currency seems poised to reach or even surpass its upper range near $0.42, which could represent a gain of around 16% from its current value. This pattern of recovery and growth makes ADA an attractive option for those looking to invest in the cryptocurrency market.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Blue means go [long]On the reverse pmarp it show blue and that means a lot of buying has occured. That is a good sign that things could get to $38,000 to $42,000 in the weeks ahead. On the four hour the overselling has occured and now it's time to buy anywhere down here. Please try to stay in the game until the overbuying occurs. Be careful and trade safe.
Bitcoin to continue moving downwards until tomorrow eveningthere was a significant drop in the price of Bitcoin as it experienced a sudden decline of $1000, bringing it down to $35,344 by the evening. This downward movement caught the attention of traders and market observers. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a commonly used technical analysis indicator, also signaled a bearish trend, further supporting the notion of a potential price decrease.
During this period, Bitcoin exhibited a rapid decline, with the price falling by approximately $75 every 15 minutes. This swift descent created an atmosphere of heightened volatility and uncertainty within the cryptocurrency market. Traders and investors closely monitored the situation, considering various factors that could have contributed to this particular market movement.
Events like these serve as reminders of the dynamic nature of cryptocurrency markets and the importance of closely monitoring price trends and utilizing technical indicators such as RSI to aid in decision-making. It's crucial to conduct thorough research, stay informed about market developments, and exercise caution when engaging in cryptocurrency trading or investment activities.
3 Scenario Outcome for BitcoinSpeculation is just that, only speculation. Ideas to guide your trading and/or investing journey. I put a good amount of time in researching and charting over the last year to specifically develop this thesis. I hope you enjoy and please like and share, even if it's to ridicule my analysis!
With that said, it looks like there are three scenarios that are 'most' likely to play out over the next 2 years:
Scenario 1: Worst case (Red Path). Bitcoin ETF's are denied and/or a major market crash happens beginning Dec '23 or Q1/Q2 '24. Targets are the lower channel back at bear market bottom, the Value area low (Blue) & nPOC (naked point of control sitting above VAL) or below, to include CME gaps of a. 20.3k b. 9.7k & c. 3k at the very worst. 12k bears will rejoice. I for one will be selling the farm and my first born at 9k or below.
Scenario 2. Bitcoin ETF delays (Orange Path). The range continues with a top off near the Macro VAH at about where price stands as of today, 11/11/23 @ 37k-39k. Price would most likely seek to validate back to fair value at 32k, and then retest down to 20.3k for the CME gap fill creating one of the most powerful patterns as an inverse head and shoulders. Given the channels, this seems the most likely with an upside target to the VAH again near dump of April/May '22 and now resistance at 48k. Target is summer of '24.
Scenario 3. Moon boy status (Green Path). This means the Bitcoin ETF was approved prior to any fundamental problems (ie FTX 2.0, WW3, declared depression, etc) and no need to wait for price to come down past 32k, possibly ever.
B. There is the possibility of a priced in ETF scenario that allows for the channel to stay valid. In this case, if price action does not moon over 48k up to ATH's, it likely sets a re-accumulation zone above 48k, playing within the upper channel, with a last dip into the 30k's before we see ATH's.
Either way, Bitcoin is ready to rock and roll.
Now to the less juicy part of this bull run. Give the diminishing returns as most assets have as they age, it looks like 100k is going to be the biggest and baddest of all resistance from a percentage standpoint. Gone are the days of 33k% gains. From the top of each market cycle to the next top we go from over 1k% to now 250-ish% last cycle.
Here's where I 'm at from a charting and fundamental stance:
Bitcoin gets a 44-54% blow off top (Shown in price range) from previous ATH's up to 100k-ish. If it's more, great, sell because you've been stacking or you're long. Buy your lambo, more power to you. However, given the current M2 issue, loan maturations (refinancing in '25 from 2.9% to almost 5%) as well as the overall credit and savings crisis, Bitcoin's blow off top could be in the 80-88k range. That would put the total market crypto cap at ATH's of 3.5-4 Trillion range. If Chairman Powell decides to turn the printers on for 2025, then some of the moon boi's out there may see 150k, so we all win anyway from a plebs perspective. #Stackon
$RVN BREAKOUT Falling wedge in Weekly TF And also retested ** NGM:RVN BREAKOUT Falling wedge in Weekly TF And also retested **
Trading a falling wedge breakout involves identifying a chart pattern called a falling wedge and executing trades when the price breaks out of this pattern. Here are the steps you can follow:
1. **Identify the Falling Wedge:**
- Look for a downtrend in the price movement.
- Identify converging trendlines where the upper trendline (resistance) slopes down at a steeper angle than the lower trendline (support).
- The pattern resembles a wedge pointing downwards.
2. **Confirm the Falling Wedge:**
- Confirm the pattern using other technical indicators like volume. Ideally, during the formation of a falling wedge, the trading volume should decrease.
3. **Wait for Breakout:**
- Patiently wait for a breakout to occur. Breakout refers to the point where the price moves above the upper trendline of the falling wedge.
- The breakout should ideally be accompanied by a noticeable increase in trading volume, confirming the strength of the breakout.
4. **Entry Point:**
- Enter a long (buy) position as soon as the price breaks above the upper trendline.
- Some traders prefer to wait for a confirmed close above the upper trendline to reduce the risk of false breakouts.
5. **Stop-Loss Placement:**
- Set a stop-loss order below the lower trendline or a recent swing low. This helps limit potential losses in case the breakout fails and the price moves back into the wedge.
6. **Target Price:**
- Determine a target price based on the height of the wedge. Measure the distance from the widest part of the wedge to the starting point of the wedge and project that distance upwards from the breakout point.
7. **Risk Management:**
- Consider your risk tolerance and position size to manage your risk effectively. The risk-reward ratio should be favorable.
8. **Monitoring the Trade:**
- Keep an eye on the trade to ensure that the price continues to move in the expected direction. Use technical analysis and other indicators to guide your decisions.
9. **Profit-Taking:**
- Once the price reaches your target, consider taking profits. You can also use trailing stop-loss orders to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor.
10. **Adapt to Market Conditions:**
- Be adaptable and monitor market conditions. If the breakout does not follow through as expected, be prepared to exit the trade with a manageable loss.
Remember that trading always involves risks, and it's crucial to have a well-thought-out strategy, risk management plan, and the discipline to stick to your plan.
BTC overview What's Next?BTC breakout the 32k resistance level in 23 October, since this day BTC is traded between 33k-34k Levels.
So what's next?
- Today's the monthly closing is considered the highest in a year.
- The 30k to 32k level act now as support area.
- 37k-42k are high selling areas.
- If Monthly candle close above 34k we can expect a big move soon.
- If Monthly candle close bellow 34K we can expect BTC to drop to 31k area.
Key moments
- I'm waiting for the monthly closure to confirm my next move, going above 35k will be mega bullish.
- the next Weekly closure is very Important also, we can see what November has in store for us.
Note:
- We've a sideways movement for the last 7 days, for the moment we've Monthly candle closure so if the breakout happen we can expect 37k soon.
Please be safe, DYOR and keep your risk management On.
BTC Support at $36,300 - It's Time to Long BTC!
Now, I know you're already aware of the immense potential that Bitcoin holds, but let me emphasize just how exciting this development is. The $36,300 support level is not only a strong foundation for BTC's price, but it also signifies a potential bullish trend that could propel the market to new heights. Can you feel the excitement building up?
So, why should you consider taking advantage of this opportunity and longing BTC? Here are a few compelling reasons:
1. Support Level: The $36,300 support level has proven to be robust, indicating a strong buying interest from the market. This support acts as a solid base, reducing the likelihood of a significant price drop and increasing the potential for an upward movement.
2. Bullish Momentum: The support at $36,300 coincides with a bullish sentiment in the market, as more and more traders are recognizing the long-term value and potential of Bitcoin. By joining the growing number of traders who are longing BTC, you can ride the wave of this positive momentum and potentially maximize your gains.
3. Long-Term Growth: Bitcoin has consistently demonstrated its ability to bounce back from market downturns and continue its upward trajectory. By taking a long position at this crucial support level, you position yourself to benefit from the long-term growth potential of BTC.
Now, don't let this exciting opportunity slip away! It's time to take action and capitalize on the potential gains that longing BTC at $36,300 can offer. Remember, trading always involves risks, so it's essential to conduct your own analysis and make informed decisions based on your trading strategy and risk tolerance.
If you're ready to seize this moment and embark on an exhilarating journey with Bitcoin, I encourage you to consider opening a long position on BTC today. Take advantage of the current support level and position yourself for potential profits in the days and weeks to come.
BTC | Bitcoin | Final Gameplan | Overlook and price targetAs its been almost over a year since i posted an analysis on Bitcoin its about time with the current strong uptrend.
In my idea
i compared the two bull markets of 2017/2018 with the one from 2020/2021 and showed how similiar they were.
To quote from my previous analysis (You can find a Link to the original post below)
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1. We created a top (orange circle)
2. Downtrend and retest of the 50% of the swing
3. Uptrend from the 50% and creating a swing high that takes out a big upper resistance
4. Again going towards 50% but this time no big demand showing up
5. Fall under the 50% - this is where we are now in the current swing
If we continue like in the first swing we should see price falling towards the 23.60% level which interestingly is in confluence with the big resistance level (orange line) that created the 2017/2018 top.
###
The last part happened recently, however i expected a deeper correction.
I still expect a drop to the orange area around the 23.60% Fib level. This also happened before the 2020/2021 bullmarket started.
I marked (arrows) two potenial scenarios that i can see happening. Currently i favor the blue scenario. In both cases the orange area where i look to add further spot BTC and additional leveraged positions.
Both scenarios are also based on another occurance that happened between the 2 previous bullmarkets: A retest and breakdown of the resistance level that stopped the uptrend / bullmarket. (see the 3 green circles)
Target for the next Bullrun
Current target: Around 225 000 USD.
Thoughts why this target:
- The 361.80% Fib extension of 2017/2018 bullmarket was also the ATH of the 2020/2021 bullmarket
- 100 000 USD / Bitcoin seems to be expected by too many people, therefor many might sell there and be surprised by the harsh movement up after. We can see the uptrend of 2020/2021 was the harshest after price passed 30k and 40k - catching many traders offguard.
Good luck
Disclaimer:
- My posts are mostly for my own journaling
- This information does not constitute as financial advice and is only for educational purposes. I am not your financial advisor.
- You trade entirely at your own risk
- Make your own research
- Finance and trading is evil, capitalism is bad, duh ;)
Bitcoin Bulls in Full Swing: ETF Approval (Swing)Fundamental:
The recent approval of the BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin ETF spot in the US has sent positive shockwaves through the crypto market, providing a strong fundamental backing for a bullish outlook. Additionally, the upcoming halving event for Bitcoin adds further fuel to the potential for a sustained upward trend.
Technical
Bitcoin has exhibited a consistently bullish trend over the past few weeks, with a series of higher highs and higher lows. This technical momentum is supported by the convergence of key indicators, notably the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and the 20 Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Entry Idea
Bitcoin has exhibited a consistently bullish trend over the past few weeks, with a series of higher highs and higher lows. This technical momentum is supported by the convergence of key indicators, notably the recent resistance (red box), 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and the 20 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in the 4H chart. That is about 35.000 to 36.000
Disclaimer
This trading idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BTCUSDTBTCUSDT
We are currently seeing some interesting BTCUSDT price action. The second time the price is trying to break through the strong resistance at $31162. We consider two scenarios.
Bearish scenario: If BTC fails to break through the indicated resistance and bounces off of it, we may see a reverse bounce down. Our green trend line may come under pressure and if the price moves lower, the next support levels are in the $23345-$19942 range.
Bullish scenario: In the event of a breakdown and holding positions above the $31162 resistance level, this may open the way for further growth. Here our targets will be in the range of $33900-37100
Our recommendation: We advise you to keep 10-20% of your deposit in BTC in case the 2019 scenario repeats.
Good luck and good deals!
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BTCUSDT Another Bull Rally!BTC Technical Analysis Update.
BTC Currently Trading at $36700
After a big upmove, Bitcoin started consolidating and formed an ascending channel pattern. Now, the BTC price breaks the ascending channel, and we can expect a bullish continuation for the next few days, with the price possibly hitting 40K soon.
Thanks
Hexa
Potential Path To $150k+ Bitcoin in 2024Here's my revised "Potential Path To $100k+" chart, adding in new factors that further point to the higher Fibonacci targets.
Similarly, the 3.618 accurately predicted the exact market cycle top in 2021 (drawn from the 2018 Hi / Low cycle)... Worth noting - see chart.
The following factors show 3 levels for Bitcoin upside in 2024, which I've labeled as 3 scenarios described in more detail below (Likely, Probably and Possible).
1. BlackRock & Fidelity ETF's Approval - (We know this is happening, just not sure when).
2. QE Money Printing To Pay Down US Debt - (The US won't have a choice. Other countries are).
3. Bank Failures, Bank Runs & Transfer Into BTC - (More regional bank failures are happening).
4. Hyperinflation & De-Dollarization (BRICS) - (We haven't seen effects yet, but likely coming).
5. Corporate Accumulation - MSTR / Apple /Tesla - (MSTR raising 750M Common Stock for BTC).
6. Country Accumulation (New Reserve Currency) - (More will follow El Salvador this cycle).
7. Post-Halving Less Bitcoin Miner Selling ($12B) - (Miners will have less to sell > 2024 halving).
I've broken these down into 3 scenarios...
Likely Target ($100k) - Bitcoin was widely 'expected' to hit $100k in the last cycle, and the math supports the reasons why. With $20T in investable assets in Gold + Silver + US Real Estate in 2023, just 10% of this moved over to Bitcoin gives BTC a $2T market cap alone. It's also the 1.618 Fib target for the next cycle as shown.
Probable Target ($155k) - Looking at the bars pattern from the Oct 19th 2020 breakout, we can see a rapid rise in Bitcoin followed, driving price up to the April 2021 initial high for BTC. This also coincides with the 2.618 Fibonacci target on the charts.
Possible Target ($210k) - Again looking at the last cycle drop starting in Dec 2017, to the low in
Dec 2018, the 3.618 Fib target was exactly where the peak around FWB:64K in April 2021. Many believe this to be true 'high' although later we had a Wyckoff 'Thrust' higher to $69k.
In the near term, the bars patterns also shows confluence for a pause right at the Fib Golden Pocket between FWB:48K and $50k. Since round numbers act as market magnets, I feel $50k is the next push higher before a meaningful profit taking pullback.
Also notable is the 21 week MA which has been an excellent support / resistance barometer over the years, and price has just firmly broken above that in recent weeks.
So this is looking very bullish to me here, and I'm expecting we go higher...
Time will tell if one or more of these scenarios come to pass!
What do you think??
bitcoins bullWe have entered the bull market. Yes there will be pull backs. As of writing this we are at 35762. Don't let others tell you how to trade. Take everything with a gain of salt. If you flip the chart upside down, and pretend this was reality you would sell. So why won't you long, fear of losing money? theres always a chance of losing money. Lots of people screaming bear. Don't listen to the majority. Take your own intuition into account. If your wrong own up to it and figure out why you made those mistakes. Don't be like others follow your own path. Listen to your gut, and weed out the fake gore's. Stay patience and your dreams will turn into reality.
Buying BTC parabollic move incoming BTC is refusing to take out any of these lows and you can see its solidly above its control line in this upward channel.
If you take a look on my twiiter you'll see a retweet from q4 2020 which BTC is mirroring. I agree and i think we are about to go parabollic just as we did then, probably to ATH.
I'm adding to BTC here before the 36000 breakout
Bitcoin Update 08.11.2023Analyzing BINANCE:BTCUSDT on a weekly basis is currently one of the simplest but also most effective tasks. This is because Bitcoin generally only fluctuates between support and resistance. In addition, it is fully compatible with the Fibonacci correction. Therefore, I can easily determine how far it will run.
The fact that INDEX:BTCUSD has not made a significant movement for 1 week shows us that it will not end its 4-week run before hitting the $38 thousand level. But I cannot recommend anyone to buy here and this is definitely not a buying signal.
Because one way or another, this short-term run has come to an end and therefore I am expecting a correction.
When I applied a Fibonacci tool to see how far the correction would be, the level I saw was around $31k. This level is both an important support according to price action and the Fibonacci 0.5 level. It should not be forgotten that Bitcoin likes 0.5 much more than Fiboncci 0.618, especially in the weekly time interval.
Therefore, I think it will return to the FWB:31K level after the $38k resistance is tested. This level will be a great buying opportunity for me.
The FWB:31K level is also the follow-up level of the upward trend that has been continuing since the beginning of 2023. Therefore, a return from this level will also be an indicator that the trend continues.
After buying at FWB:31K , my first target will be the $47200 level. I will not try to teach investment strategy to anyone here, but selling at resistances and collecting at supports is my own strategy and is suitable for my risk management.