BTC.D Breakdown the Next Altcoin Bull Run Closer Than You Think?Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is a crucial metric that reflects Bitcoin's market share relative to the overall cryptocurrency market. A rising dominance often signifies Bitcoin outperforming altcoins, while a declining dominance suggests increased strength in altcoins or a broader altcoin rally. The current chart provides critical insights into the state of Bitcoin dominance, the potential implications for market dynamics, and the timeline for future movements.
Key Observations and Technical Insights
1. Breaking the Rising Wedge Pattern
The weekly chart shows a classic rising wedge pattern that Bitcoin dominance has adhered to for an extended period. A breakdown from this pattern is a bearish signal, indicating a potential shift in dominance from Bitcoin to altcoins.
The wedge breakdown was accompanied by significant bearish momentum, validated by a retest of the breakdown level.
This technical development is a strong indication that BTC.D has entered a new phase of its trend.
2. Current Consolidation Zone
Following the breakdown, BTC dominance has entered a consolidation phase within the highlighted rectangular box (approximately between 53.2% and 58%).
The consolidation suggests market indecision as Bitcoin retains relative strength but altcoin activity starts to increase.
Volume levels during this phase are moderate, reflecting a lack of aggressive participation, which is typical before a major directional move.
3.Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: The upper boundary of the box (58%) aligns with prior rejection levels. A move above this could indicate a temporary resurgence of Bitcoin dominance, potentially due to increased Bitcoin-led market rallies.
Support: The lower boundary of the box (53.2%) is a critical support zone. A sustained break below this level could confirm the next bearish leg.
4. Indicators Supporting the Bearish Bias
Ichimoku Cloud: The dominance has started interacting with the cloud's lower boundary, which acts as dynamic resistance. A clean break below the cloud would further confirm bearish momentum.
MACD Divergence: The MACD histogram is tilting bearish, signaling weakening upward momentum. A bearish crossover on the MACD line would solidify downside expectations.
RSI: The RSI is trending near the midline, showing no extreme conditions. This gives room for further downside before entering oversold territory.
Market Implications and Projections
1. Impact of a Breakdown Below the Box
If BTC dominance decisively breaks below the 53.2% level, it will likely lead to a significant shift in market dynamics.
A drop toward the marked lower levels (approximately 48%, 42.8%, and 39.9%) would indicate the onset of an altcoin season, characterized by robust performance in altcoins.
Historically, such breakdowns in BTC.D have coincided with increased speculation and capital rotation into altcoins, signaling the start of a bull run across the cryptocurrency market.
2. Bull Run Timeline
The estimated timeline for this critical move is Q1 2025, which aligns with broader market cycles and macroeconomic expectations. Institutional interest in crypto, combined with improved market sentiment, could amplify this trend.
3. Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case for BTC.D: A reversal above 58% would require significant Bitcoin-led rallies, possibly fueled by macroeconomic uncertainty or a Bitcoin ETF approval. This scenario delays the altcoin season but strengthens Bitcoin as the primary investment vehicle.
Bearish Case for BTC.D: A sustained decline below 53.2% would confirm altcoin strength and could trigger rapid capital rotation into alternative assets, particularly in high-liquidity altcoins and DeFi protocols.
This chart provides a professional-grade analysis of Bitcoin dominance and its potential impact on market dynamics. The breakdown from the rising wedge, the ongoing consolidation, and the bearish indicators suggest that BTC.D is on the brink of a major directional move. Traders and investors should closely monitor the consolidation box boundaries and prepare for a shift in market structure as BTC dominance declines.
The Q1 2025 timeline for the next leg down aligns with historical patterns and macroeconomic projections. A break below 53.2% will likely usher in a new phase of the crypto market, driven by altcoin strength and increased retail participation. Stay vigilant, as this period could mark the beginning of the next crypto bull run.
Bitcoinlong
Critical Trendline Test Will BTC Bounce or Break ?
1. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a key ascending trendline, which has acted as support previously. A bounce from this area could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
2. Price Action: The recent sharp drop in price suggests selling pressure, likely testing the strength of the trendline and the marked support zone (around $91,500–$89,700). If this zone holds, it could provide a buying opportunity.
3. Risk/Reward Setup: The shaded areas highlight a possible trade setup:
Stop-Loss: Below the support level (around $89,700) to manage downside risk.
Target: Around $102,258, suggesting a potential bullish recovery toward resistance levels.
4. Scenario Analysis
Bullish: If the price bounces off the trendline, it could aim for a higher level, confirming the continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish: A breakdown below the trendline and support zone could invalidate the bullish setup, opening the way for further downside toward $86,000 or lower.
To confirm the direction, monitor additional indicators such as RSI for oversold conditions, volume for buying strength, or moving averages for trend confirmation. Let me know if you'd like further clarification or analysis!
BTC/USDT Breakout Strategy & Long SetupThe chart presents a clear structure for BTC/USDT on the 4-hour timeframe. After a significant retracement from the recent highs, BTC has formed a descending channel, which it has now broken out of, signaling potential bullish momentum.
Chart Observations
Descending Channel Breakout
BTC was trading in a well-defined descending channel, consolidating near a critical demand zone. The breakout above this channel suggests a potential reversal in trend.
Key Support Zone
The price has respected the support range between $94,800 and $95,400, which aligns with a high-volume area and serves as a strong buy zone. Buyers have consistently stepped in here to defend this level.
Demand Zone Test
A retest of this support zone has provided a new opportunity to accumulate long positions. The candlestick wicks and volume activity indicate significant buying pressure in this area.
Ascending Channel Formation
Post-breakout, BTC is trading within an ascending channel, which offers potential upside targets as the price moves towards the upper resistance trendline.
Short-Term Pullback Completed
The previous bearish movement was capped at the support zone, with the "short position" trade closed as the price reversed into bullish territory. This reversal strengthens the case for a long position targeting higher levels.
Volume and Momentum
Increasing volume near the breakout and demand zone suggests that buyers are regaining control. Momentum indicators (not shown here) likely confirm this bullish bias.
Key Insights for the Trade Idea
Buy Zone The optimal entry for this trade is between $94,800 and $95,400, coinciding with the retest of the support zone and the lower trendline of the ascending channel.
Stop Loss: A tight stop loss at $92,574 protects against downside risk while allowing room for natural price fluctuation.
Targets: Gradual profit-taking is recommended at the following resistance levels, derived from Fibonacci extensions and key price levels.
Targets 🎯:
$96,333 – Immediate resistance and the first key level of profit-taking.
$97,285 – Mid-range resistance within the ascending channel.
$98,230 – Upper mid-point of the bullish channel.
$99,212 – Close to psychological resistance and ascending channel boundary.
$100,211 – Psychological round number and major resistance zone.
Stop Loss
$92,574: Positioned below the critical support zone to avoid invalidating the bullish setup.
This setup presents a high-risk-to-reward opportunity with clear entry, exit, and risk management strategies. Adjust position size according to your trading plan and always adhere to risk management principles.
Bitcoin | How to Master Ranges ?In our latest analysis ( BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs ) about ranges we had concluded that high leveraged longs would be liquidated, this was due to the belief of the indicators (cdv, volume footprint, etc.) that there were buyers.
However, the lack of buyers in the current picture is a big problem, the data currently says so, but the data is not stable, it can change, you can follow this from volume footprints, cumulative delta volume, liquidation heatmaps. If you do not know how to use these, you can visit my profile, you can contact me, I explain how I use all these tools completely free of charge.
My opinion today is that the price will sell nicely from the red line and the decline will deepen, and everyone who follows me knows that I have been repeating this opinion since $103,000.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Checkmate: Winging it is for birds, not traders♟️ Master the market with strategy, foresight, and just the right amount of sass.
Alright, traders, let’s talk. What do chess grandmasters and top traders have in common? No, it’s not their love of mismatched socks or coffee strong enough to revive the dead ☕. It’s their ability to think three moves ahead while the rest of the world stares at the board wondering, “Is this checkers?”
♟️ Your Gut Isn’t Garry Kasparov
In chess, a grandmaster doesn’t move a piece without thinking of how it’ll play out in the next ten moves. And you? Clicking Buy because your “gut” said so isn’t exactly a strategy. Unless your gut has a PhD in market analysis, maybe sit this one out and plan.
Remember: sometimes you’ve gotta let a pawn (aka small loss) go to protect the king (aka your account). But nope, most traders are out here clinging to losing trades like they’re in a Nicholas Sparks movie. Spoiler alert: this isn’t a love story – it’s an iceberg. 🧊🚢
🤔 Hope Isn’t a Strategy
Chess players anticipate every possible move. You, on the other hand, need to stop vibing your way through trades. 🌈
✔️ Got a plan if the market tanks?
✔️ Got a plan if it spikes?
✔️ Got snacks for when both happen? 🍿
If you’re trading without a stop-loss, you’re basically playing chess blindfolded and hoping for the best. Bold, but not smart.
🧠 Don’t Let Your Brain Sabotage You
Biggest opponent in trading? It’s you. That little voice whispering, “Double down, it’ll recover!” or “Stop-losses are for wimps.” That’s not strategy – it’s sabotage. 🎭
Learn to chill. Emotional moves in chess = disaster. Emotional trades in the market? Same thing, but with fewer pawns and way more pain.
🔑 Discipline = Winning
Grandmasters aren’t magic. They’re disciplined. They put in the hours, study patterns, and show up every day. Traders? Same deal. Forget the mythical “perfect strategy.” It’s your discipline to execute that makes the difference.
So, stop chasing meme stocks and remember: the market is your chessboard. Plan your moves, think ahead, and for the love of all things caffeinated, stop clinging to bad trades. 🖤
Bitcoin will reach $240k - $260k in 2025!With concerns over inflation and money printing in many economies, Bitcoin has increasingly been viewed as a store of value, often compared to gold. If inflation fears persist, more investors could flock to Bitcoin, pushing up its price. In times of geopolitical instability, Bitcoin's decentralized nature and appeal as a "safe haven" asset could drive demand. As Bitcoin continues to capture public interest, more individual investors may enter the market, contributing to price increases.
Conclusion: There are many bullish factors that could drive Bitcoin's price toward $250k in 2025. The combination of institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, inflation concerns, and technological advancements makes this potential price level a possibility!
BUY BTC at 100k in next 12 hours !! once again Fibonacci retracement showing a reversal to 100095 USDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT .
and here im not suggesting to short the market but just wait till 100k and then just long your positions. once again not a financial advice and do your own research before just blindly accepting my so called predictions. (typing to do this all DYOR and NFA so you dont get trapped in a FOMO
Bitcoin - approaching the critical levelBitcoin is approaching the critical area. The price has retraced from $108k (ATH) on 17th Dec and retraced to $91325 retested the previous lower low on 26th Nov. The priced started the upside move to Fib 0.5 Level which is also the previous month mid price zone and it is now hovering over the previous week's high. The 4H candle needs to move decisively and closes above $99,800 region where the sell block is sitting for Btc to move up.
Momentum indicators in both 4H and daily are supporting the upside move initially to $104,433 region (Fib 0.786). Fib 0.786 often works as the very last line of defence for the bear so if there is not enough volume or momentum, the price often gets temporarily pushed down. If it breaks above 0.786, Btc has a very good chance of resuming the upward trend.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis :Time For Bitcoin LongCurrent Situation: As of January 5, 2025, Bitcoin’s price stands at $97,795.01 with a slight decrease of 0.01%.
The chart indicates that Bitcoin’s price is moving within a parallel price channel. The current price is near the lower boundary of this channel. The presence of a bullish three-line strike pattern suggests a potential price increase.
If Bitcoin’s price breaks above the lower boundary of the channel, it may rise towards the $105,000, $110,000, and $115,000 levels. Conversely, if the price falls below this boundary, it could drop to the $80,000, $75,000, and $70,000 levels.
BTC Breakouts Galore: Could 100K Be on the Horizon?Bitcoin has been experiencing one breakout after another, appearing almost unstoppable. If BTC manages to push through the next resistance level, I see a real chance it could reach $100K—and potentially climb even higher once it breaks that critical barrier.
What do you think?
Stay tuned, and I’ll catch you in the next one — peace!
Big Signal BTCUSD ON 120K🚀 Why You Should Consider Buying Bitcoin Now! 🚀
📈 The crypto market is buzzing with a strong bullish momentum! Over the past few weeks, we've seen consistent signs of accumulation—a clear signal that the market is preparing for a significant upward push.
💡 As an investor, timing is everything, and now might be your chance to ride the wave before the next big move. Bitcoin's resilience and potential for growth make it a solid choice for those looking to diversify or strengthen their portfolio.
🌟 My Recommendation? Don't miss out! Analyze the trends, do your research, and consider buying BTC to capitalize on this market opportunity.
🔒 Remember: Always invest wisely and within your means. Let's navigate this exciting journey together!
BITCOIN BEARISH FLAG BREAKOUT Bitcoin on H1 timeframe shows a strong potential signal sell due to formation of bearish flag breakout,This potentially attracts more sellers in the next trading days
Entry:94000.3
Target 1: 90784.1
Target 2: 86564.6
Target 3: 79813.2
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Thanks, Wireforex
IBITUSDT Analysis: Red Box Breakout PotentialIn IBITUSDT, the red box signifies a critical resistance zone. If price breaks and retests this level, it may present a long entry opportunity . That said, my overall expectation is for the correction to deepen further before significant upward movement.
Key Points:
Red Box Resistance: Monitor for a breakout and retest to confirm a potential long setup.
Deeper Correction Likely: Current market conditions suggest the correction could continue before recovery.
Confirmation Indicators: I will utilize CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks in lower time frames to validate entries.
Learn With Me: If you want to understand how to leverage CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints for accurate market analysis, feel free to DM me.
Reminder: Always manage your risk and look for confirmation before taking any trades.
If this analysis helps you, please don’t forget to boost and comment. Your support inspires me to share more valuable insights!
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Ai & OnChain Opportunities | Crypto insights for 2025How Base, Ai & Pump Fun Will Shape the Crypto Market in 2025
2024: A Milestone Year for On-Chain Growth
The year 2024 may prove pivotal for onchain development, potentially rivaling the "DeFi Summer." Narrative driven investment opportunities are expected to proliferate, fueled by the widespread adoption of the “everything can be a Meme” concept and the rapid asset issuance popularized by Pump Fun. Meme projects can now launch without requiring top tier centralized exchange (CEX) listings, with market caps in the onchain space reaching approximately $1 billion. This presents significant profit opportunities for ordinary users, with toptier CEXs serving as the final stage for cashing out on-chain investments.
Challenges for Established Assets
Rising tensions between VCCoin and its community have led to underperformance for new assets listed on major CEXs, while older projects struggle to stay relevant. Many such projects lack motivation or fail to adapt to market changes, often adopting a passive strategy while awaiting unlock periods.
Key Predictions for 2025
1. DEX/CEX Monthly Volume Ratio to Exceed 20%
In December 2024, decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volumes hit a record $320 billion, marking over 200% year-over-year growth. The DEX/CEX ratio rose from 9.6% in December 2023 to 11.7%, peaking at 13.9% during the year. Continued improvements in Web3 wallets and on-chain tools, spearheaded by CEXs, along with the growing appeal of the Meme sector, are expected to accelerate user migration from CEXs to DEXs.
2. AI Agents/AI Meme Market Cap to Eclipse NFTs
AI Agents integrated with tokenization have emerged as the fastest-growing narrative, with the total market cap for related tokens reaching $12 billion. Frameworks like ai16z’s Eliza and Virtuals Protocol’s Game Framework have gained dominance, enabling rapid deployment of AI Agent tokens. Virtuals Protocol’s VIRTUAL token leads the sector with a $3.5 billion market cap, bolstered by a robust ecosystem of subtokens.
3. Emergence of Vertical Launch Platforms
The success of Pump Fun on Solana, a low-cost launchpad for issuing Memecoins, has inspired similar platforms across other networks. Specialized vertical platforms like vvaifu (AI Agents) and Pump Science (DeSci) are gaining traction. The expansion of the “everything can be a Meme” narrative is expected to drive demand for more niche launchpads.
4. Base Ecosystem Tokens to Debut on Binance
The Base network, an Ethereum Layer 2 developed under Coinbase, is predicted to have at least five native tokens listed on Binance’s spot market. With a concentrated ecosystem led by Virtuals and Farcaster, Base is positioned as a key contender for listings. Integration with Coinbase Wallet and the potential for favorable U.S. policies could enhance its competitive edge.
5. Hyperliquid’s Spot Market to Drive Wealth Effects
Hyperliquid, leveraging its HYPE token airdrops and novel asset standards (HIP1 and HIP2), is positioned to create exclusive wealth-generation opportunities. Projects like Solv Protocol and Azuki Anime have utilized its spot listing auctions, attracting significant interest. HYPE’s value, while substantial, will benefit from increased trading volume and partnerships with exclusive projects.
These projections reflect growing innovation in onchain development, with decentralized finance, AI tokenization, and specialized launchpads driving the next phase of market evolution.
2025 BITCOIN PRICE PREDICTIONBased on the current market, all the fundamentals and technicals considered i think BTC could hit $150,000 in 2025 on the next bull run, but first we need a large pull back to complete the fib's retracement levels.
On the monthly time frame the candle formations have started to clearly show signs of deceleration and liquidation as the market slows down, we also have a high test / reversal candle which does indicate the market could be starting to reverse which would make sense after a large pump like the one we saw to $100k, the market needs to offer relief and pull back.
On the weekly we have again signs of deceleration and a few recent candles that signal bearish momentum is incoming. All of this coupled with a large liquidation percentage as BTC famously hit $100k does clearly indicate a move on bigger time frames to the down side.
My target for the downside move / pull back is around the $71,000 level, this is due to this being the next major support level and it also aligns nicely with the 61.80% fib retracement level which adds some correlation to the strategy.
If we get this large pull back / dump to $71,000 i would expect BTC to reject the support / fib level, this area will attract a lot of attention from buyers / traders and will likely see aa large influx of liquidity to support a rejection and pump to the upside, this is likely the price area w would see BTC change it's trend from bearish to bullish.
The fib generates a potential target of $150,000 on this move which also aligns very nicely with a psychological level, a lot of traders will target / take profit at the $150k mark purely because it is a nice round number, similar to $100k.
Remember ALT's move in correlation to BTC, so if this move does play out it will also give us plenty of massive opportunities to get in on some good ALT's like SOL, ETH etc and catch the ride as they'll also pump with BTC, so if BTC creates new ATH's at $150k then so will the majority of the ALT coins.