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BITCOIN Breakdown of Whats Going On - 06/02/2024Hello everyone, I have to update on update of previous post, to break it down little clearer for some of you, to explain why RIGHT NOW Im very causious... For that purpose Im going from Highier to Lower timeframes, to get clearer picture of what is the MOST possible at this moment.. So, If we go from 5Day to 4h timeframe, its clearly to see that we are "stucked" in consolidation of last 5D candle, which was our "top" of 2023 and we are in process of "accumulation/distribution" either shorts/longs before moving further (as stated yesterday, longer we stay highier, chance of continuation of going highier increasing)... So as you know, I WAS of opinion, that we should go lower to swept Sellside liquidity, before moving further... but since FED meeting changed nothing, I HAVE TO stick with my Highier TimeFrame perspective... And thats it, as presented in Q1 update - Due to previous experience in similar market conditions I should suggest that until nothing change & FED start cutting rates, market will move Highier with Time until this change come! Breakdown : 5 DAY - to 1 Day - On 1Day, we can see much better, that we first swept Buyside liquidity of that 1st Rectangle consolidation, before we processed to swept Sellside liquidity... BUT NOW, we came EXACTLY BACK where we WAS, which SHOULDNT be CASE if we continuing LOWER with confidence... So, we HAVE TO go to 4hr, to make "better and clearer" guess of whats happening... 4h - So , I added 1 more layer of rectange... which is LAST WEEK RANGE... You can see, its relatively tight with its own "consolidation" (i put green cut line between for better visibility)... and YESTERDAY, we firstly swept highs, then lows and now we proceeding to going back up.. in this case, IF WE ARE ABLE to MOVE ABOVE that FED HIGH I would expect with high probability of moving further up, ONCE WE GET ABOVE OUR CONSOLIDATION BOX, both of them! -- One more 4hr chart with SMA , which I do not use as "trading tool", but in my obsertvation-> When they are stacked like now and we moving in tight range in same time.. WHEN Price BREAK above/under them with "test" - in most cases it continuos in that direction for pro-longed period of time. Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market. If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading
BTC Market Update 5th February In the latest analysis post, I've closely examined the performance of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) with a particular focus on recent liquidity movements. Over the past week, spanning five trading sessions, a noticeable deceleration in the rate of daily outflows from the trust has been observed. Specifically, the average daily outflow rate has contracted by +20%, indicating a substantial reduction in the volume of withdrawals. Since its inception, Grayscale's Bitcoin exposure has significantly diminished, registering a reduction of 127,000 BTC, equivalent to a 20.5% decrease in its holdings. This contraction can be attributed to various factors, including the liquidation of positions by discount buyers, the unwinding of assets by the FTX estate, and a notable shift by investors towards more cost-effective ETF options available in the market. Regarding Bitcoin's market direction, my analysis suggests a period of consolidation before any potential upward momentum. Currently, there are no discernible indicators hinting at an imminent downturn in Bitcoin's value; the market conditions appear stable and ready to grow. This stability holds significance for the crypto market, as historical patterns indicate that an increase in Bitcoin's price often precedes similar uptrends across the broader altcoin market. In essence, when Bitcoin's price rises, it tends to have a ripple effect, elevating the value of other coins. The intricate interplay between Bitcoin's liquidity movements and its price dynamics, coupled with the subsequent impact on the altcoin market, underscores the complexity of the cryptocurrency investment landscape. Having a long exposure in the consolidation range is considered a favorable entry point, especially for portfolios without existing long exposure.
Long
by TheArabianWhale
1
Bitcoin - Important StructureHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Bitcoin. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: In 2018 Bitcoin created the previous cycle high which was roughly at the $17.000 level. In November of 2020 Bitcoin then broke above the resistance, came back to retest and started its new bullish cycle. If Bitcoin will now retest the confluence of support mentioned in the analysis, I will certainly be looking for more long setups to add to my current long position. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by basictradingtv
17
Long-term bullish trend for Bitcoin. (3-EMA) with periods of 50, 100, and 350 days creates a bullish configuration, where shorter averages are above the longer ones, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. The strength of the trend is also supported around events such as Bitcoin halvings, which historically have been associated with periods of intense price increases. The upcoming fourth halving may be another catalyst for price movements. Equally important could be market events like the approval of a Bitcoin ETF , which could bring new institutional capital to the market. Increased trading volume during clear price movements indicates significant interest at these price levels, which can be interpreted as confirmation of the trend's strength. The analysis may also point to key resistance levels, which, if broken, could pave the way for further price increases. Current technical configuration indicates a strong bullish trend, which, if maintained, could lead to testing and breaking through successive price levels. It is always important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is characterized by high volatility and unpredictability, therefore any technical analysis should be regarded as one of many tools for making investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoDiabloo
Bitcoin $200,000: A Matter of TimeThe price of Bitcoin has historically exhibited an upward trend following each halving event. This phenomenon stems from a combination of factors, including a reduced supply of newly minted bitcoins, increased demand driven by scarcity, positive market sentiment surrounding the halving, and speculative buying fueled by anticipation of future price appreciation. The price of Bitcoin began to rise significantly in the months leading up to the 3rd halving, which occurred on May 11, 2020. The price rose from around $5,000 in March 2020 to over $10,000 in May 2020. After the halving, the price of Bitcoin continued to rise, reaching a peak of over $68,000 in November 2021. The fourth halving is estimated to occur in the second week of April 2024. The price of Bitcoin has been rising since the beginning of 2023, and I believe that it could reach $46,000 before halving and forming strong resistance for the next breakout. However, it is also possible that the price of Bitcoin could decline before the halving, as it did in the months leading up to the second and third halving in 2016 and 2020. After the 4th halving, we can expect a significant upward movement in Bitcoin. Additionally, we can expect ETF approval after the halving, which could further impact the price of Bitcoin and drive it upwards to $200k. Thanks Hexa
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
20
BTC: Short-Term Liquidity Hunt Before Bear Trap and DropBitcoin (BTC) is currently positioned for a short-term move targeting liquidity above the current highs, potentially luring in bears. This setup suggests a liquidity hunt, followed by a rebound from the heavily traded area, and then a push towards higher liquidity zones beyond the recent highs. It appears to be a tactical move to trap bears before a significant downturn. While the short-term outlook hints at a bullish trap, my global perspective remains bearish, anticipating a more substantial short position post-liquidity grab around the $44K level, possibly even higher. www.coinglass.com
Long
by Shved126
4
BTC Bullish Day and Week Ahead? ☀️Cryptocurrencies rallied over the past 24 hours as investors poured in fresh cash, bolstered by the benchmark S&P 500 index hitting a new all-time high on Monday. They are also waiting for new signals from the Federal Reserve meeting up on Wednesday, regarding the up-coming rate cuts in the US. The price of Bitcoin recovered 3.2 percent over the past 24 hours to roughly 43,400 US dollars, a level last seen just after the approval of 10 spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) mid-January. This sharp increase triggered liquidations of Bitcoin short positions totaling around 40 million dollars over the past 24 hours. According to ATTMO, a bullish sun will shine over Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Coin and Ripple’s XRP in the next 24 hours, while bearish clouds will linger over Avalanche, Dogecoin and Polkadot. Follow us for more crypto weather reports!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ATTMO