$BITCOIN Analysis: The market retreats, Ignoring the good news?My answer to the topic is that MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN might have a short-term pullback from technical analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD soared 9% yesterday since Trump won the presidential election. And then, it be rejected by the resistance level of the bullish channel upper edge.
Therefore, the price might continue to go up after a short-term pullback. And the support level for this pullback could be previous high area.
Bitcoinlong
Bitcoin Smashes ATH: Is a New Bull Run on the Horizon..?Bitcoin has recently soared to a new all-time high, a surge that many analysts attribute to the unexpected victory of Donald Trump in the presidential election. This political shift has sparked renewed interest and investment in cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin. Currently, the digital currency is in the process of testing a newly established support level, which fluctuates between 74000 and 74600 dollars.
As Bitcoin ventures into this uncharted price territory, it presents both opportunities and challenges for investors. The uncertainty surrounding this price range complicates the ability to forecast potential price targets shortly. Market dynamics, investor sentiment, and external economic factors will all play crucial roles in determining Bitcoin's trajectory as it navigates these unprecedented levels.
ETH Diverges from Bitcoin: Is a 20% Downside Imminent?Currently, many altcoins, including Cardano, XRP, and Ethereum, are showing strong bearish signals . Using a straightforward indicator like the 200-day EMA on the daily timeframe, we can see that most of these coins are trending below this line, highlighting a consistent bearish bias.
Altcoins often follow similar trends, moving together with the overall market sentiment. With this in mind, we're screening for the best potential setup based on technical indicators. Out of all, we’re zeroing in on BINANCE:ETHUSDT which we believe presents the strongest opportunity right now. Let's dive deeper into its technicals.
With ETH/USDT in focus, the technical indicators reveal a clear bearish setup. The price is currently trading below a well-defined bearish trendline and the 200-day EMA, signaling sustained downside pressure. This bearish outlook is further reinforced by a Rising Wedge breakout, while a bearish MACD crossover highlights strengthening momentum in favor of the bears.
Given these aligned signals, there’s a high probability of a continued downward trend. Our first target sits at 2015.82 . From there, we may see a brief pullback into the green zone before ETH/USDT resumes its decline, potentially reaching the second target at 1834.62.
This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds below the stop-loss level at 2773.05
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Ethereum.
ETH/BTC Weekly - Ascending Trendline Support and Potential RebouThe ETH/BTC weekly chart shows a strong ascending trendline acting as long-term support. ETH/BTC is currently near this support level, where it has historically shown bullish reactions. The recent drop to the trendline suggests a potential bounce, with a green arrow indicating the possible upward trajectory if the trendline holds.
I'm personally considering this level for a potential long position, with a target near 0.08 BTC, aligning with prior resistance. However, if the price closes below the trendline on the weekly chart, I’ll reevaluate this setup for further downside possibilities.
This is my personal trade setup and not financial advice
Post Election Bitcoin and Crypto Market UpdateThis is a shorter version of my video yesterday, just recapping what I've been seeing and forecasting in these markets.
Didn't expect to see the rally to new ATH so quickly.
Or the DXY to push up higher at the same time...
But here we are breaking and apparently holding new ATH, so I do think we continue to push higher. Even if we get one more sell off, to re-test the ATH as support.
Yesterday's pump was part short-squeeze, and part SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows.
In this video we look at BTC and SOL, which I believe will lead the next leg of the Bull.
Also an interesting speculative study on the Pi Cycle Top, and the idea we could see a double top or dual-cycle in the next 12 months, like we did in 2013.
As well as recapping why my targets are $100k (conservative), $150k (base case), and $200k (aggressive) along with confluent targets based on measured moves from the Bull Flag breakout.
Let me know what you think, and if I missed anything!
Brett
BTC | Price CELEBRATES Trump VictoryBitcoin has increased by 13% after Donald Trump has been declared the next President of the United States, beating rival candidate Kamala Harris.
Over the past few months, Trump has claimed to be very open to cryptocurrency and this victory has done nothing short of pushing the price to a new ATH... and climbing!
There are two ways in which we can calculate the net major stops; one I have been speaking about since MARCH. This target seems to be the likely next stop for BTC in the short to near term.
Time will tell if the new POTUS will be kind or cruel to crypto - remember that time we all rooted for Garry Gensler...? About that... Let's hope this time will be different.
If you want to know al little bit more about how ALTSEASON fits into this picture, check out the following idea:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin's Unstoppable: The next U.S. President won't matter!+67%COINBASE:BTCUSD NASDAQ:IBIT
🚀 Bitcoin’s Unstoppable: The next U.S. President won’t matter! +67% Potential! 🚀
In this video GEM, we dive deep into Bitcoin: Private Link below breakdown!
Disclaimer: The video is long, but it is thorough and informative. Worth a full watch, IMO!
1️⃣ A detailed look at the "High Five Setup" with MASSIVE Multi-Year Cup & Handle and Bull Flag Patterns.
2️⃣ A historical review of CRYPTOCAP:BTC to uncover the characteristics of TOPS and BOTTOMS. Spoiler: We haven’t TOPPED yet!
3️⃣ Potential trade insights, including entry/exit points and price targets.
PRIVATE LINK TO TV VIDEO:
Drop your 2025 Bitcoin predictions in the comments below!
LIKE | FOLLOW | SHARE
STAY TUNED 🔔
Not financial advice.
BTC Reaches New All-Time High as U.S. Election Excitement SpikesBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has surged to record-breaking highs, exceeding the $73,800 mark on November 6, driven by growing excitement surrounding the U.S. presidential election. The cryptocurrency experienced a robust 8.63% gain over the past 24 hours, briefly touching $75,011.06, as per CoinMarketCap data. This rally marks a pivotal moment for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), reflecting both fundamental shifts and robust technical momentum.
Election-Driven Momentum and Investor Sentiment
The U.S. election has played a significant role in this surge, with Bitcoin’s price mirroring heightened market anticipation. During early New York trading hours, CRYPTOCAP:BTC climbed more than 3%, hitting $70,577. We attribute this performance to political forecasts, many of which favor Republican candidate Donald Trump. On decentralized prediction platforms like Polymarket, Trump's odds of victory surged past 60%, driving speculative interest in risk assets like Bitcoin.
Investor sentiment also appears split amid this rally. Prediction markets have become a focal point for traders eyeing short-term price shifts, and a boost in Trump’s winning odds correlated directly with Bitcoin's breach of the $70,000 threshold. However, uncertainty persists: major Bitcoin spot ETFs, including Fidelity and Ark Invest, have seen outflows totaling $541.1 million, while BlackRock's IBIT ETF stood out with $38.3 million in inflows.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) exhibits strong upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 67.76, indicating that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is nearing overbought territory but still has room for further gains before reaching extreme levels. Moreover, a bullish crossover has occurred: the 9-day moving average has risen above the 21-day moving average, signaling sustained bullish sentiment.
Support levels also highlight the strength of Bitcoin's price action. BTC’s current support at $69,000 has been tested multiple times, acting as a reliable floor for price movements. If Bitcoin were to pull back, analysts identify $64,000 as the next critical support level. On the upside, resistance at $75,000 is significant, but breaking past this barrier could propel CRYPTOCAP:BTC to a target range between $80,000 and $85,000, setting new benchmarks for price stability.
Fundamental Factors: Halving and ETF Developments
Bitcoin’s impressive rally builds on fundamental developments, including the April 2024 halving, when mining rewards were reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. Historically, halvings have constrained Bitcoin's supply, often triggering significant price appreciation. This year’s halving has once again underscored Bitcoin's deflationary nature, contributing to its ongoing seven-month upward trend.
Additionally, the emergence of U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs has catalyzed further interest in the cryptocurrency market. Since their debut in January, these ETFs have amassed over $450 billion in daily trading volume, with inflows reaching $22.5 billion in 2024. Nevertheless, ETF performance has shown mixed signals. Notably, on November 5, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows of $72.67 million, marking a three-day streak. Fidelity’s FTBC ETF recorded a substantial single-day outflow of $68.24 million, suggesting some investors remain cautious.
Options Market Insights and Leverage Risks
The options market reveals bullish sentiment for key November dates, with many traders targeting price levels between $72,000 and $75,000. However, caution is also evident, as one trader placed $64,000 worth of put options, hedging against potential downside risk. The stakes are high, as CoinGlass data indicates a price drop below $68,000 could liquidate roughly $484 million in long positions. Conversely, a breakout above current levels may trigger forced liquidations of $215 million in short positions, underscoring the volatility driven by leveraged trading.
Leverage plays a crucial role in Bitcoin's market dynamics. Should BTC’s price move sharply, liquidation cascades could amplify price swings, heightening market turbulence. This setup remains a double-edged sword, promising either rapid gains or significant losses for traders.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's ascent past $75,000 showcases its resilience as a digital asset, bolstered by election-driven sentiment, favorable technical indicators, and a foundation of growing institutional adoption. While uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election outcome and ETF flows present risks, Bitcoin’s robust support levels and bullish momentum signal a promising outlook. As market participants watch for the next breakout, CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains a focal point in the ever-evolving digital economy.
BITCOIN's Meteoric Rise Targets New Highs – Massive Gains AwaitBITCOIN Analysis:
Bitcoin (BTC) has continued its upward trajectory, hitting initial targets TP1 and TP2, with TP3 and TP4 in sight. This bullish momentum aligns with recent market developments, showing signs of further growth potential.
Key Highlights:
Price Action : BTC has breached significant resistance levels, marking strong bullish activity on the 1D timeframe.
Targets Remaining: With TP1 ($68,220.2) and TP2 ($73,980.5) already achieved, Bitcoin's bullish push looks set to challenge TP3 ($79,740.9) and TP4 ($83,300.7).
Supporting Factors:
Market Cap Surge : Bitcoin’s market cap returned to the top 10 global assets, driven by a recent spike to $75K.
Liquidation Event : A single trader was liquidated for $75M on Binance during Bitcoin's latest surge, highlighting heightened market interest and volatility.
Technical Indicators:
The Risological Dotted Trendline shows a strong upward inclination, adding to the bullish outlook. If BTC continues on this path, TP3 and TP4 could be within reach soon.
This setup signals promising profit opportunities as Bitcoin continues to capture massive interest worldwide. Keep an eye on the remaining targets as BTC pushes towards new potential highs.
BTC Poised for a Breakout: Will Bulls or Bears Take Control?hello guys.
let's analyze BTC
Ascending Channel: BTC is trending within an upward channel, with a broken resistance line acting as support, indicating a bullish trend.
Scenarios Outlined:
Scenario 1 (Bullish): BTC could continue its upward movement, aiming for $74,000 and potentially $76,000 if momentum holds. This scenario suggests a strong rally after breaking through resistance levels.
Scenario 2 (Pullback): BTC may pull back to retest the $66,000–$67,000 range, which would be a healthy correction within the trend. This level could provide a solid support base before the next upward move.
Key Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Around $66,000, where Scenario 2 will likely play out if a correction occurs.
Resistance Zone: Between $74,000 and $76,000, a potential target for a bullish continuation.
In summary, BTC is currently at a decision point. A breakout above the $74,000–$76,000 zone could lead to a sustained rally, while a retest of the $66,000 support could provide a better entry for bulls. Watch closely for price action at these levels!
Stand StillHey guys and girls,
Here is an updated chart from my (Feb 29, 2024) post.
Sometimes I add a bit to what I have thought. let's do some math here:
Technical Section:
minute:
Wave 4 = 50% of wave 3 ($ 49k)
that was the end of it
Wave 3 is greater than 161.8% of wave 1 ----> Wave 5 = 261.8 % of wave 1 ----> Target = $ 89528
minor:
Wave C = 123.6% of wave A ----> Target = $ 92115
Conclusion: There is only one possibility for the long-term outlook. BTC is about to go vertical!
Appendix:
Stand pat! (Feb 29, 2024)
Dec 28, 2022 (This is what I am basing mine on for the bull market!)
BITCOIN HEADING HIGHER! BUCKLE UP!!!COINBASE:BTCUSD NASDAQ:IBIT
🚀BITCOIN HEADING HIGHER! BUCKLE UP!!! 🚀
Bitcoin is unstoppable, and the next U.S. President won’t change that! 🌟 +67% Potential!
In our previous video, we did a deep dive into Bitcoin. Here's what we covered:
1️⃣ High Five Setup: MASSIVE Multi-Year Cup & Handle and Bull Flag Patterns.
2️⃣ Historical Review: CRYPTOCAP:BTC tops and bottoms – spoiler: we haven’t topped yet!
3️⃣ Trade Insights: Entry/exit points and price targets.
We've successfully bounced off the BULL FLAG retest area and are heading higher. Breaking $74k could mean a breakout of the multi-year cup n handle pattern, targeting over $100k! 🚀
It's early on election night, but in the long run, it doesn't matter for Bitcoin. Don’t believe the FUD.
NFA
#Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingStrategy #HighFiveSetup
Bitcoin and Crypto US Election Day Forecast and Bullish TargetsHi everyone,
In this video I break down how my Bitcoin forecast over the last few weeks has been playing out (nearly exactly) and where we likely go from here...
I think Bulls are in control, and we'll see Bitcoin at ATH to $80k in the coming weeks...
We review an article form POMP today, saying that who wins the election isn't really that important, and showing very bullish outomes after every previous election cycle...
But I do think a Trump win is likely, and will propel Bitcoin higher faster.
We look at the DXY and how that's rolling over nicely here, potentially taking us to "Bitcoin Rally Zone" and even the Vall-halla "Bitcoin Super Pump Rally Zone" where prices can really PUMP!
I'm hearing more and more people talk about an early left-translated cycle and parabolic blow-off top by the end of THIS year, followed by an everything bubble bursting and deflationary bust.
This is where a Trump win could save the long-tail of the 4-year cycle, by saving the economy.
If nothing else, a Trump win would be more pro-crypto because it's not jus him but a very pro-crypto cabinet with RFK, Elan Musk, Cythia Lummis, and more.
But we're not here to talk about politics!
It's the markets reaction to the news, that matters.
I've said 100 times THIS year and EVERY year... "Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news".
Lastly, I review my now Top 11 factors that could push Bitcoin to $100, $150k, and even $200k.
And the charts showing the same... Interesting that the 1.618, 2.618, and 3.618 almost perfectly align with $100k, $150k, and $250k.
I also show how these targets can be achieved by measured moves of the Bitcoin Bull-Flag breakouts, using 2 different scenarios.
Let me know what you think below, and as always would appreciate a like, tip or share with someone you like in the crypto world!
I we can get to 100 likes, I'll do more of these on a regular basis.. and do an end of week post-election breakdown.
Thanks, and thanks again to TradingView for making this great platform we all use.
Brett Fogle
Moonstream Crypto
1 Year of Bitcoin Bull Run Remaining? In the chart above, we’re analyzing Bitcoin’s historical cycles to see if the current cycle follows a similar pattern.
Bear Run (1 Year): In each of the last three cycles, Bitcoin experienced a bear market lasting exactly 1 year from the all-time high (ATH). This phase saw a significant drop in price as the market corrected.
Bull Run from Bottom (1,064 Days): In the last two cycles, once the bottom was established, Bitcoin entered a consistent bull market that lasted approximately 1,064 days. During this period, the price gradually climbed, eventually reaching new highs.
Current Bitcoin Cycle:
So far, the current cycle appears to be following the same pattern as previous cycles. We’ve already experienced a 1-year bear market after reaching the previous all-time high (ATH).
Currently, we have completed 2 years of a bull run from the bottom, aligning with the 1,064-day bull run observed in past cycles. Based on this historical pattern, we may have 1 year of bull run remaining, which could potentially push Bitcoin to new highs by late 2025.
If this trend continues, it suggests a strong opportunity for growth over the next year, mirroring the end phase of past cycles.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Regards
Hexa
All-Time High Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Future Bitcoin's mining difficulty has recently reached a new all-time high, a significant milestone that underscores the network's growing security and resilience. This metric, which adjusts every 2016 blocks to maintain a consistent block generation time of approximately 10 minutes, reflects the increasing computational power dedicated to securing the Bitcoin network.
What Does Increased Mining Difficulty Mean?
• Enhanced Network Security: A higher mining difficulty implies that it becomes increasingly challenging for malicious actors to launch attacks like 51% attacks. This strengthens the network's security and protects its integrity.
• Increased Energy Consumption: As more miners join the network to compete for block rewards, energy consumption associated with Bitcoin mining tends to rise. This has sparked debates about the environmental impact of the network.
• Price Volatility: Increased mining difficulty can influence Bitcoin's price volatility. A surge in mining difficulty may lead to price fluctuations as miners adjust their operations to maintain profitability.
Bitcoin Open Interest Surges Ahead of Elections
In the lead-up to the U.S. presidential election, Bitcoin's open interest has seen a significant uptick. Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding futures contracts on a particular asset. A rising open interest indicates increased market activity and potential for heightened price volatility.
Bitcoin Breaks Above $70K
Bitcoin's recent surge above the $70,000 mark has generated considerable excitement and speculation. This milestone highlights the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. However, it's important to note that such rapid price movements can be accompanied by periods of volatility.
"Calm Before the Storm": Anticipating Volatility
The term "calm before the storm" is often used to describe a period of relative tranquility before a significant event. In the context of Bitcoin, it suggests that the current period of relative price stability may precede a period of increased volatility.
Several factors could contribute to this anticipated volatility:
• Election Uncertainty: The outcome of the U.S. presidential election could have a significant impact on global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market.
• Regulatory Developments: Changes in regulatory policies can influence the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
• Market Sentiment: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news events, social media trends, or economic indicators, can lead to rapid price fluctuations.
Navigating the Volatile Market
Given the potential for increased volatility, investors and traders must adopt a cautious approach. Here are some tips for navigating the volatile Bitcoin market:
• Do Your Research: Stay informed about the latest news and developments in the cryptocurrency market.
• Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread your investments across different assets to reduce risk.
• Set Stop-Loss Orders: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
• Manage Your Risk: Avoid overtrading and stick to a well-defined trading strategy.
• Stay Patient: The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility. It's important to maintain a long-term perspective and avoid making impulsive decisions.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's increasing mining difficulty, surging open interest, and recent price surge highlight the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. While the potential for volatility remains, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, driven by its underlying technology and growing institutional adoption.
Bitcoin: Another FakeoutBitcoin has once again surprised traders with another fakeout. Recently, it has resumed following the established trendline after experiencing some volatility. On the 4-hour chart, there was a minor resistance level positioned at the 69000 dollar mark. Remarkably, Bitcoin has managed to break through this resistance. It's important now to monitor whether it can maintain its price above this level for a sustained period, as this will confirm a potential upward trend. Let's keep an eye on its performance to see if it can solidify its position.
BTC : Riding Asia Open Volume to the Golden Zone TargetOn the 8-hour chart, I’m targeting an entry to capture potential volume influx as the Asian markets open. I plan to take partial profits along the way, with a target to reach the $71,000 zone, which aligns with the golden Fibonacci retracement level.
Fundamental Context:
This setup is influenced by the buzz around the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election and speculation around Donald Trump’s potential reentry, possibly fueling a “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect. Given the high-impact events surrounding this period, I’m managing risk closely, aiming for strategic exits to maximize profitability within this volatile environment.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC IN UP MOVEMENT + TRADE PLANTrend Identification:
Descending Channel: Bitcoin is currently in a descending parallel channel after an uptrend, indicating a potential bullish continuation if it breaks out of this channel.
Previous Uptrend: The price came from an uptrend, and descending channels often serve as continuation patterns, suggesting a higher probability of an upward breakout.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$68,556.87: Major support near the recent low in the channel.
$66,333.98: Secondary support zone that could act as a cushion in case of a downside move.
$64,591.15: Historical support level providing a safety net if the price dips further.
Resistance Levels:
$72,198.87: Immediate resistance that BTC needs to overcome for a continued uptrend.
$73,655.67: Key resistance area that, if broken, could trigger a strong bullish move.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is close to the midpoint, indicating a neutral zone. However, an upward movement in RSI could signal increasing bullish momentum.
Stochastic RSI: Currently near the overbought zone. It indicates potential upward pressure, but caution is needed as it may signal short-term exhaustion.
Volume: Noticeable increase in volume around the support levels, indicating buying interest. Volume confirmation on breakout above the resistance line would strengthen the bullish case.
Moving Averages:
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Showing a slight upward trend, aligning with the potential breakout from the descending channel.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: Enter a long position upon the breakout of the descending channel, ideally with a confirmed volume increase above $72,198.87. This would signal a possible continuation of the previous uptrend.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest of the $72,198.87 level. If the price holds above this level after retesting, it indicates stronger bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss slightly below $68,556.87 to limit downside risk. This area aligns with recent support, and a drop below it may indicate invalidation of the breakout pattern.
Take Profit Levels:
Primary Target: $73,655.67 (first resistance level). Partial profits can be taken here to lock in gains.
Secondary Target: $76,000, if Bitcoin gains strong momentum after breaking through the primary target. This level could be achieved in a continued bullish scenario.
Final Target: $80,000 as a psychological target, if there is sustained bullish momentum and no major resistance above.
Risk Management:
Position Size: Limit the position size to manage risk exposure, especially with the potential volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop after reaching the first target to lock in profits while allowing for potential upside.
Monitoring Indicators:
Volume: Continuously monitor the volume as the price approaches resistance zones. Higher-than-average volume would support the breakout, whereas weak volume could lead to a false breakout.
RSI and Stochastic: Keep an eye on these momentum indicators. If the RSI and Stochastic enter overbought territory and start to diverge, it could signal a potential reversal.
Timeframe:
This setup appears on a 4-hour chart, suggesting a medium-term trading perspective. Reassess positions if the breakout fails to materialize within the next few days.
Bitcoin Faces Critical Week Amid US Presidential ElectionBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is at a pivotal moment, with the cryptocurrency market bracing for heightened volatility as the United States approaches a historic election. The impact of this key event, combined with a possible Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate cut, is set to make waves across digital asset markets. At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $68,749.84, up 0.62% over the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $35 billion and a market cap surpassing $1.35 trillion.
Elevated Volatility Expected
Traders are bracing for sharp moves in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as indicated by a 30-day gauge of implied volatility developed by CF Benchmarks. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, highlighted a potential swing of 8%, starkly contrasting the usual 2% fluctuation level. This suggests traders are preparing for significant market action, and expectations of volatility are reflected in the crypto options market.
Political Uncertainty Looms Large
The 2024 US presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability. Both frontrunners, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, have expressed distinct stances on cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, setting the stage for shifts in market sentiment. Trump has boldly positioned himself as the "Crypto President," promising to elevate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve for the United States. His strong pro-Bitcoin rhetoric, coupled with a pledge to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler—widely seen by the crypto community as an adversary—has fueled optimism among investors.
Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's emphasis on tech innovation has kept speculation alive about how her policies might influence the crypto market. The political landscape’s close ties to the crypto industry could be pivotal, especially with the backdrop of regulatory debates involving the SEC and CFTC.
Historical Trends and Market Sentiment
Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has been closely linked to major political and economic events. Notably, the cryptocurrency has often rallied following US presidential elections, mirroring trends seen in traditional markets like the S&P 500. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis of past elections reveals that 83% of election years have yielded positive returns leading up to Election Day. However, these gains moderated post-election, emphasizing the importance of timing in market strategy.
Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s charts reveal mixed but potentially bullish signals. Two critical patterns are forming on the daily chart:
1. Doji Candlestick Pattern: The emergence of a Doji pattern, which indicates indecision among traders, often precedes significant market moves or trend reversals. This formation suggests that market participants are awaiting key news, such as the election results and the FOMC decision, before committing to a direction.
2. Golden Cross Formation: The market is closely monitoring a potential Golden Cross, a bullish indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. While this pattern has yet to fully materialize, it is gradually building momentum, signaling possible upside in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin’s Dominance and Macro Environment
Bitcoin’s dominance remains robust at 59.2%, a testament to its evolution from a peer-to-peer (P2P) technology to a global financial asset. Amid ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty, CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to be seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. The potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week could further boost bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, making it an attractive asset for risk-on investors.
Long-Term Optimism Despite Short-Term Concerns
Despite near-term worries about a potential market dip or crash on election day, long-term optimism prevails. Analysts are betting on a strong rebound, with Bitcoin potentially setting a new all-time high if bullish catalysts align. The overall crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, but any positive momentum in Bitcoin could see a cascade effect on top altcoins, setting the stage for a robust market recovery.
Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout Incoming – $100k Target!!Bitcoin is forming a bull flag pattern on the daily chart, hinting at a potential breakout that could propel the price towards $100,000. Currently trading at $65,859, Bitcoin is testing the upper boundary of the flag, with multiple rejections seen in previous attempts to break out. This consolidation within a descending channel, following a strong upward trend, suggests a bullish continuation if the breakout is confirmed.
If Bitcoin successfully breaches the flag’s resistance, the measured move from the prior leg indicates a target of $100k. Bull flags are known for signaling a continuation of the prevailing trend, and with Bitcoin’s bullish momentum intact, a breakout could lead to a significant surge. Traders should watch for a clean break above the upper trendline as a confirmation of this setup.
Yes, Bitcoin can also do this - next move to watch out1️⃣ Bitcoin is retracing to its 60-day low, giving risk-takers a chance to enter the market’s next leg up right now 🪙.
No rush, wait patiently.
So, are we going to go up in November?
It all depends on the next 10 days. If Bitcoin can hold above $65,000–$66,000 while the 3-day indicator resets, it’ll be a prime opportunity to re-enter the market. If Bitcoin fails to hold that level, we may need to wait for the 1-week (red line) indicator to reset instead.
📈 Bitcoin has rallied 34% from September to November, hitting overbought on all cycle indicators. Just like in 2021 , the 2-week cycle (light blue line at the bottom) indicates mid-term growth, while other indicators are beginning to retrace. 🔄
📉 If history repeats (and it might), the ideal re-entry will be when the 3-day indicator (violet line) dips below 20.
Let’s stop gambling and start making sustainable money in crypto.
BTC targets for NovemberLocally I would like to see Correction to 64-63 after elections But we can also hold a line around 67500-68000 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Monthly we are in re-accumulation
Daily would be good to see retest of this hypotetical uptrend local line
Sweep of EQLow will be perfect test D fvg on 4h chart you can find the targets
Let me remind you once again, regardless of who becomes the president of the USA, bitcoin will be algorithmically delivered to pre-planned targets, you cannot know the timing, only after the fact, people, guided by a logical chain, will tie each event to the bitcoin timeline to convince the crowd that bitcoin is something special! In fact, this is a simple asset that institutions use for speculation, you just can't even imagine the scale of speculation! If it were something special, this asset would never fall, right? But it has its own cyclicality, ups and downs like any other asset!
The rate will most likely be reduced by 0.25! And the market will still be in uncertainty until January 20, when the president finally enters the White House
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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