BTC Long- Day trading The first line of defense didn’t hold, and price has moved toward the Overlapping defense alongside the Fair Value Area.
I believe this level may hold, though once it reaches the target or gets close, we might see a temporary pullback or consolidation. For this reason, this trade requires close monitoring of price action, especially on a day full of important news. Be safe
Bitcoinlong
Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money."
Gold: The Timeless Haven
Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven.
• Pros of Gold:
o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control.
o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term.
o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk.
o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity.
• Cons of Gold:
o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient.
o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price.
o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds.
Bitcoin: The Digital Gold
Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth.
• Pros of Bitcoin:
o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity.
o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation.
o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection.
o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains.
• Cons of Bitcoin:
o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment.
o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies.
o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some.
o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy.
The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin
The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven.
Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age.
Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including:
• Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold.
• Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time.
• Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk.
A Balanced Approach
Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
ALERT: Bitcoin just hit >$70,000!🧵 With $100,000 in sight, you might wonder if we're truly ready for this next big move. Let’s dive into the cycles to find out 👇
1/ 🔍 Cycle Analysis can help pinpoint ideal entry points for Bitcoin—and eventually, altcoins. Here’s what we’re seeing right now (see the chart above):
2/ 📊 Today’s Reading (Oct 30): All three indicators (1-day, 3-day, 1-week) are above 80, meaning we’re officially in *overbought* territory. This usually signals a potential pullback. Translation? It’s a time to *sell*, not buy 🛑.
3/ 😱 So, why’s everyone so hyped on BTC right now?
It’s simple: after half a year of sideways action, people are ready to see a breakout. BTC has been stuck between $60k and $70k for seven months. Altcoins have taken a beating during this time too, making it tough to profit 🩸.
4/ 😅 After this long wait, everyone’s desperate for upward movement. Many folks bought at the last high back in March and are now shouting “BUY!” in the hopes others will push prices higher.
5/ The Bottom Line 📉
- We’re in overbought territory, which typically signals caution.
- The hype is real, but a retracement could offer better entry points soon.
Let’s see how this plays out! 👀
BTC - NEW ATH Approaches and ALTSEASONThe first time I started talking about my outlook for BTC in 2024, was in MAY. This is the original post where I first propose the Elliot Wave theory, with a 30% multi-month correction:
It's been a painful journey that required a lot of patience - but today, I am pleased to see that the idea has payed out by 95% so far.
The play has always been a "multi-month" approach, and now it is the last push towards the new ATH which I believe to be anywhere from 82K upwards.
_________________________
OKX:BTCUSDT
Retrace before BTC All Time High?I could see the price going back to the EMA 50 or EMA 200 on the 1 hour time frame. Many people could get into high leveraged long positions just before the all time high. This could cause price to reverse and make a mean reversion before the continuation of the uptrend pass the old all-time high.
Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Derivatives Markets Signal The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a surge in bullish sentiment, driven largely by trends in the derivatives market. Analysts and traders are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's potential to reach and even exceed the $80,000 mark before the end of 2024.
The Role of Derivatives Markets
Derivatives markets, which allow investors to speculate on the future price of assets, have been a key indicator of market sentiment. In the case of Bitcoin, derivatives like options and futures contracts provide valuable insights into the expectations of professional traders and institutional investors.
Recent trends in the Bitcoin derivatives market suggest a significant uptick in bullish sentiment. The open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts, which represents the total number of outstanding contracts, has been steadily rising, indicating growing interest from market participants. Additionally, the implied volatility of Bitcoin options, a measure of market uncertainty, has been elevated, suggesting increased expectations for price swings.
The Trump Factor: A Potential Catalyst
A significant catalyst for Bitcoin's bullish run could be the potential election of Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Trump's pro-business stance and his previous support for cryptocurrencies have led many to believe that a Trump presidency could be positive for the crypto market.
If Trump were to win the election, it could lead to increased regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies in the U.S., which could attract more institutional investors to the market. Additionally, Trump's policies could stimulate economic growth, which could indirectly benefit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart also supports the bullish outlook. The cryptocurrency has been forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic bullish pattern known as a bullish uptrend. The recent breakout above the $72,000 resistance level has further strengthened the bullish case.
Many analysts are now setting their sights on the $80,000 level, and some are even predicting a six-figure price target for Bitcoin in 2025. If Bitcoin can maintain its current momentum and break above the $80,000 level, it could trigger a significant price rally.
Potential Risks and Challenges
While the bullish outlook for Bitcoin is strong, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the cryptocurrency's price. These include:
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulatory policies could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market.
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden price swings can occur.
• Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
Conclusion
The convergence of bullish factors, including the positive sentiment in the derivatives market and the potential impact of a Trump presidency, has created a strong foundation for Bitcoin's continued upward trajectory. While challenges and risks remain, the potential for Bitcoin to reach and exceed the $80,000 mark in 2024 appears increasingly likely.
Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - 4H Timeframe - Massive Target Achieved!The Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 4-hour chart reveals a successful long trade setup, with all pre-determined targets reached. Here's a breakdown of the key technical elements that guided this trade:
Entry Point: Positioned at $61,732.3, the trade setup aimed to capitalize on a bullish momentum, as indicated by strong support above the Risological dotted trend line.
Stop Loss: Strategically set at $60,316.2 to limit downside exposure while providing room for price fluctuation.
Target Points:
TP1: $63,482.7
TP2: $66,315.0
TP3: $69,147.4
TP4: $70,897.7 (final target successfully hit, confirming strong upward momentum
)
Volume Analysis: The trading volume stands at 56.92K, with an average of 120.91K over the past 30 days, indicating a slightly below-average activity level, yet sufficient to support the trend.
Bitcoin's successful breach through each target highlights robust bullish sentiment. Monitoring future price action will be crucial to gauge the sustainability of this trend, especially considering potential resistance levels post-TP4.
Bitcoin About To Go ParabolicMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on the crypto market.
This videos shows how Bitcoin can go parabolic and we need to watch very carefully over the next week or 2 .
For more information or any questions just send me a message
MartyBoots
BITCOIN TODAY - STILL THE KING OF THE CEREMONY (TA+TRADE PLAN)Price Levels and Resistance Zones:
The chart shows several key resistance and support levels marked by blue horizontal lines.
Major Resistance Levels:
$73,654.77
$71,552.73
$69,730.95
Support Levels:
$65,947.27
$60,061.54
$52,774.45
Bitcoin is currently trending upward, with price action near $70,734.95, approaching the resistance zone at $71,552.73.
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The VMC Cipher B indicator shows bullish momentum with green dots, signaling possible upward continuation.
The RSI and Stochastic lines are also above mid-levels, suggesting continued bullish momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI (14, close) is at 77.25, indicating overbought conditions. This could mean a possible retracement or consolidation in the short term. However, a strong uptrend may continue if Bitcoin maintains support levels above 70.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic (14, 1, 3) is also at a high level, around 86.19, indicating overbought conditions. This aligns with the RSI and could signal a need for caution on long positions until the oscillator moves back to a neutral or oversold region.
HMA+ Histogram:
The histogram indicates some bullish divergence, but recent bars are turning red, signaling a potential pullback or pause in momentum. Monitoring this for further bearish signs is essential, especially if it crosses below zero.
Trading Plan
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering a long position on a pullback to support around $69,730.95 if bullish signals persist.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the $65,947.27 support level to limit potential downside risk.
Take-Profit: Target $71,552.73 as the primary take-profit level. If momentum remains strong and BTC breaks above $71,552.73, consider holding for $73,654.77.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy on confirmation of a breakout above $71,552.73 with strong volume.
Stop-Loss: A stop-loss slightly below the breakout level at $69,730.95.
Take-Profit: Set a take-profit target around $73,654.77. If Bitcoin breaches this, reassess the position for potential gains towards higher levels.
Risk Management:
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of the trading account on each trade.
Trailing Stop: Implement a trailing stop if Bitcoin strongly surpasses $71,552.73, to lock in gains while allowing for additional upside.
Monitoring Indicators:
Keep an eye on RSI and Stochastic Oscillator for any signs of bearish divergence or weakening momentum.
Monitor VMC Cipher B for any shift in green dots to red, which could indicate potential retracement.
Overall Market Sentiment:
Given the current uptrend and approach to resistance, Bitcoin shows bullish sentiment. However, indicators suggest overbought conditions, so caution is advised.
Bitcoin Prints the First Golden Cross in Almost Exactly One YearWe'll have to see if it sticks but BTC has just printed a golden cross. The crazy thing is, the last golden cross occurred on October 29th 2023! This golden cross was 2 days short of exactly hitting the 1 year mark. We all know what happened after the last golden cross, over the next 4.5 months the price increased by over 116%.
If you take the time to study Bitcoin's price history, it is very clear that Bitcoin has been running in 4-year market cycles. This is especially true for the last two market cycles. From bear market bottom to the next bear market bottom, the 2015 to 2018 market cycle was 1432 days in length, and the length of the 2018 to 2022 market cycle was 1438 days. Even the elapsed times between events (bottom to halving, halving to peak, and peak to bottom) during each of these cycles is very consistent.
Obviously, this market cycle trend doesn't have to continue, but I believe that it will, at least for this cycle. If that is the case then I wouldn't expect the post halving bull market to begin until late October or November of this year. Looking back at the previous two cycles, the 2016 bull market started 259 days after the halving, and the 2020 bull market started 149 days after the halving. We are now 192 days past the halving that occurred on April 19th.
There is always a chance that I am totally wrong and the peak in March was the peak for this market cycle and it will be all down hill from here. But, I believe the probability of that is very low. But this is just how I am approaching this market cycle, every investor needs to do their own research and make their own decisions. I also make my decisions based on my long-term view and long time horizon.
BITCOIN TARGETS 70000$ - BTC BULLISH MOMENTUM IS RISINGBitcoin recently broke and closed above the massive diagonal trendline that had been driving the weekly bearish trend since March 2024. This weekly breakout and close above the trendline gives me strong confidence that a bullish weekly momentum has begun.
After the breakout, Bitcoin retraced into the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection.
During this retracement, it also ran the daily swing liquidity and attempted to close below for six consecutive days. However, buyers defended the daily swing level strongly. This indicates that Bitcoin is likely aiming higher, with the first target set at $70,000.
Other targets can be seen on the chart as well, and I’ll be watching these levels, ultimately aiming for an all-time high.
I’m feeling quite bullish about the crypto market at the moment.
Bitcoin Surge Continues! TP 3 Hit, Eyeing TP 4 Next!BITCOIN (BTCUSDT) 4H time frame Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a solid long trade with momentum intact. Price action has followed the upward curve supported by the Risological dotted trendline, providing a strong bullish foundation for the current rally.
Key Levels:
Entry: 61,732.3
Stop Loss (SL): 60,316.2
Target 1 (TP1): 63,482.7 ✅ (Hit!)
Target 2 (TP2): 66,315.0 ✅ (Hit!)
Target 3 (TP3): 69,147.4 ✅ (Hit!)
Target 4 (TP4): 70,897.7
Observations :
Bitcoin has already smashed through TP3, riding the wave of bullish momentum.
The Risological dotted trendline is acting as strong support, indicating that TP4 is highly within reach.
With TP3 completed, Bitcoin continues its bullish momentum. Keep an eye on the final resistance at TP4, as the price is showing no signs of slowing down!
BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Bonjour! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Bitcoin Futures Hit $40.5B—Big Move Coming? #BTCBitcoin is primed for a big breakout as open interest in BTC futures just hit an all-time high of $40.5 billion! This shows that the smart money is piling in, and volatility is about to spike. 📊
Key Trends to Watch:
Institutional Interest Growing: CME leads the futures market with 30.7% of total open interest, followed by Binance. Institutions are making their moves, and you should too. 💼
Support at $69,000: BTC tested the $69K resistance but couldn't break through. Will it take a 2nd attempt? Many analysts say $70K+ is in play once this level cracks.
On-Chain Signals: Bitcoin supply on exchanges is at a 5-year low, signaling fewer sellers and potential upward pressure. 🛑
Key Catalysts Ahead:
U.S. Election Optimism 🗳️ —Markets love clarity, and any positive news could give Bitcoin the push it needs.
ETF Momentum 📈 —Spot BTC ETFs are seeing major inflows, hinting at increased demand from institutional investors.
Potential Scenarios:
🚀 Break above $70K: We could see a rapid run toward $75K.
📉 If rejected, strong support sits around $63K, so this could be a good pullback opportunity.
What are your next moves? Follow closely, because volatility is knocking! 📉📈
History is being made and people don't seem to care In the past week we've seen CRYPTOCAP:BTC amazing performance defying all the odds ( not mine obviously) and recovering what seemed to be a historical crash
Now we are seeing history being made Bitcoin will certainly make a new higher high surpassing the 74k level
It's just a matter of time, and it will be explosive (huge candles)