ZKSync: Poised for a Major Breakout in the Coming Cycle!ZKSync is rapidly positioning itself as one of the top Layer 2 solutions for Ethereum, offering scalability, lower fees, and faster transactions key ingredients for the next wave of blockchain adoption. As Ethereum’s congestion issues persist, Layer 2 protocols like ZKSync are becoming essential, and with its zero-knowledge rollups and strong utility, it is set to outperform many major coins.
In the coming cycle, I believe ZKSync has the potential for significant growth. With its solid technicals and increasing adoption, ZKSync is well-positioned to experience a breakout. Keep your eyes on this one it could be a top performer in the next market phase.
Bitcoinlong
BTC/USDT 4H Trade Setup: Potential for Bullish ContinuationBitcoin’s 4H chart shows a potential bullish continuation after a healthy retracement. The market has pulled back into a key support zone, providing an opportunity to enter this trade with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The setup aligns well with the optimism surrounding the month of October, often referred to as “UPtober,” where historical data has shown strong price action for BTC during this period.
Technical Analysis:
• Price has retraced to a key Fibonacci zone, signaling a potential buy opportunity.
• The FibCloud indicator shows price maintaining above key support levels, with a bullish breakout being tested.
• Volume is picking up, indicating growing interest at this level, which could push the market higher.
Risk Management:
Given the volatility of BTC, managing risk is crucial. We are placing stop losses just below the last significant low to protect capital in case the market fails to break higher.
Stay alert, and let’s see how this setup unfolds. UPtober could live up to its name!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things:
1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different)
2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe)
3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe.
I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH)
Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
BTC Big Fall With MA-200 read the caption The price faced hurdles near a key bearish trend line at $64,200 on the same chart. There was no convincing close above the 100 simple moving average (red, 4 hours).
The price corrected gains and declined below the $63,500 level. Immediate support is near the $62,200 level. The next key support sits at $61,400. A downside break below $61,400 might send Bitcoin toward the $60,500 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,000 support zone.
On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $63,250 level. The next key resistance is at $64,502. A successful close above $64,500 might start another steady increase. In the stated case, the price may perhaps rise toward the $65,501 level
BTC Holding Above EMA200: Will We See a Jump to $66K?📈 📈
BTC/USD is currently holding strong above the EMA200, which is a key indicator of support. If the current support level continues to hold, we could see a significant move up towards the $66K resistance. However, if the support fails, we may see a retest of the $60K support zone before any potential recovery.
Interestingly, the Stochastic RSI on the 4-hour chart is signaling that the market is in an oversold condition, which increases the likelihood of a bounce back in the near term. The next few moves are crucial—keep an eye on these levels and manage your risk carefully.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoUpdate
BTC Bullish Outlook Based on BVIV Indicators (Oct 2024)Overview:
I’m seeing a strong bullish signal for BTC based on the latest data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility Index (BVIV) and related indicators. Here’s why I believe the current setup favors a potential move to the upside.
Technical Analysis:
BVIV (Volatility Index):
The BVIV is trending lower, signaling that implied volatility is cooling off. Historically, declining volatility often precedes price stabilization, which can be a precursor to a bullish breakout. While the Z-score hasn't crossed below 0 yet, the trend suggests that this could soon happen, reinforcing the idea that the market is bottoming out.
ATR Percentage:
The ATR% is nearing the midline, and a break above it could indicate the start of increasing price action. This typically signals momentum building up for a larger directional move. Given that volatility is cooling off, I interpret this as a bullish signal for BTC.
Z-Score of RSI:
The Z-score of RSI has yet to cross below 0, but it is approaching the threshold. Once it does, it would further confirm the dissipation of overbought conditions and signal that bearish momentum is fading, adding strength to the bullish case.
Macro Factors Supporting BTC:
Institutional Adoption:
With Bitcoin ETFs progressing toward approval and increasing institutional interest, BTC is poised to benefit from a shift in market sentiment.
Global Liquidity Trends:
Central banks have recently softened their stance on aggressive rate hikes, improving liquidity conditions for risk-on assets like BTC. This shift could support a price recovery.
Safe-Haven Narrative:
As inflation remains a concern, Bitcoin could reclaim its narrative as a store of value, particularly if traditional assets struggle amidst ongoing economic uncertainty.
Post-Halving Cycle:
Bitcoin is now several months into its post-halving phase (April 2024), a period that has historically seen significant price appreciation as supply constraints kick in. We could see this dynamic continue to play out, especially as the market anticipates further price gains in the months to come.
Conclusion:
Based on the alignment of these technical indicators and broader macroeconomic factors, I believe BTC is poised for a bullish breakout. While implied volatility is decreasing, rising ATR% suggests momentum is building for a strong move. I’ll be watching for confirmation of the Z-score crossing below 0 on the BVIV and ATR% breaking above the midline for additional conviction.
BTC 4 YEAR CYCLEDear Traders and CryptoLovers!
Are we Bullish or Bearish?
We actually want traders to turn bearish and be in shorts because when the market goes up, as per the cycle (explained in detail below), they get liquidated, and shorts buy long.
These create bear tears. Bear tears are the SALTY goodness that pushes the market higher!
Bitcoin is currently in a pivotal stage, aligning with its 4-year cycle, during which BTC rises after 6 months of sideways accumulation.
Looking back at previous cycles, particularly in 2016 and 2020, Bitcoin showed similar patterns before major breakout rallies. In both cases, Bitcoin went through a strong bullish phase shortly after the halving event, leading to all-time highs.
We had a new ATH prior to this point in this cycle, and this is because we are potentially in wave 3 of the supercycle; for those who are aware of ELLIOTT WAVE Cycles, my idea here has been very accurate.
Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle is primarily driven by the halving event, a key feature of its protocol that occurs approximately every four years (or every 210,000 blocks). During this event, the block reward given to miners for validating transactions is cut in half. This reduction in the rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation creates a supply shock, which typically has a profound impact on Bitcoin’s price.
Here’s how the 4-year cycle works:
1. Halving Event (Supply Shock):
Bitcoin's maximum supply is capped at 21 million coins. To manage this limited supply, the halving event ensures that fewer Bitcoin are introduced over time.
The block reward started at
50 BTC in 2009, and it halves approximately every four years.
2009, 50 BTC
2012, 25 BTC
2016, 12.5 BTC
2020, 6.25 BTC
2024, 3.125 BTC
This reduction in supply increases scarcity, and as demand either remains stable or rises, the price tends to increase.
2. Phases of the 4-Year Cycle:
The halving drives the Bitcoin market through four main phases:
Accumulation Phase (Post-Crash) : Bitcoin usually experiences a bear market after a peak. During this time, investors begin to accumulate BTC at lower prices.
Pre-Halving Accumulation (Consolidation) : Prices tend to consolidate in the 1-1.5 years leading up to the halving. Investors anticipate the reduced supply, and confidence builds as the market prepares for a new bull run.
Post-Halving Bull Run : After the halving event, there’s typically a massive price surge as scarcity becomes more apparent and demand spikes from retail and institutional investors. This phase usually brings Bitcoin to new all-time highs.
Blow-Off Top and Bear Market : Once Bitcoin reaches extreme heights, there is usually a correction or "blow-off top," followed by a bear market.
The cycle resets as prices gradually stabilise, and the accumulation phase begins again.
3. Economic Principles of Supply and Demand:
The halving reduces the rate at which new Bitcoin is produced, cutting supply.
If demand remains strong or increases, the price rises sharply because fewer coins are available.
This pattern leads to predictable price movements around the halving events, fueling the 4-year cycle.
4. Investor Psychology:
Market psychology also drives Bitcoin's cyclical nature. Many investors recognise the halving as a bullish catalyst, which attracts more interest and buying activity as the event approaches.
As prices rise post-halving, media attention increases, drawing new participants into the market. This often results in an explosive bull run, followed by an inevitable correction.
Historical Context:
Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle has played out repeatedly since its inception:
2012 Halving : Preceded by a major bull run in 2013, where Bitcoin reached over $1,000 before crashing.
2016 Halving : Led to the 2017 bull market, where Bitcoin hit nearly $20,000 before the market correction.
2020 Halving : Triggered the 2020-2021 bull market, with Bitcoin reaching an all-time high of around $69,000 in November 2021.
The recent price action, especially in “Uptober,” shows that the market is waking up. Historically, this month has often been bullish for Bitcoin. With rising institutional interest, especially ETFs, clearer regulatory frameworks, and a growing awareness of Bitcoin's role as a hedge against inflation, the potential for a breakout seems stronger than ever.
If Bitcoin follows its past cycles, we may be on the verge of a significant move upward. While there's always risk involved, the cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s market structure suggests that the next rally could take us to new heights, making this a crucial time to be BUYING THE DIP! (and I don't mean hummus)
While I am seeing many say this cycle is different, I don't think it is.
And if I am wrong, I have a stop loss, and so should you! The only way to survive this market is to protect your capital.
Safe trading and cheer's to a HUGE year ahead.
♥️ Lisa
Bitcoin/USDT on 1-hour timeframe Binance. TA+Trade plan by B.F.Descending Channel Pattern:
The price is trading within a descending channel. The upper boundary (resistance) and lower boundary (support) are clearly defined.
Descending channels typically indicate a bearish trend, but if the price breaks out of the channel, it could signal a trend reversal.
Possible Breakout to the Upside:
The chart highlights the possibility of a breakout above the descending channel, supported by a bullish blue trendline.
The breakout area is noted around the 61,758.48 USDT level. If the price moves past this level, it could lead to further upside momentum.
Volume:
Volume appears moderate, indicating that the market has yet to show a strong momentum surge. A breakout on higher volume would confirm the upside move.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator shows multiple green dots, suggesting bullish divergence and potential reversal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is in neutral territory around 58.66, indicating no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. If it crosses above 60, it may confirm the bullish breakout.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic shows a bullish signal, with the %K line at 90.29 and the %D line at 88.42. However, it’s approaching overbought territory, suggesting caution as there could be short-term pullbacks.
HMA Histogram: Shows a slight downtrend in the short term (negative values). If it turns positive, it could confirm the breakout move.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1: 61,758.48 USDT (upper boundary of the channel and key breakout level).
Resistance 2: 64,591.15 USDT (previous high, and next major resistance zone if the breakout happens).
Support 1: 60,301.68 USDT (lower boundary of the channel).
Support 2: 59,000 USDT (psychological support and lower range of the broader consolidation).
Trading Plan:
Long Position:
Entry: Enter a long position if the price breaks and closes above 61,758.48 USDT with a confirmation candle (preferably on higher volume).
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below the descending channel or at the 60,301.68 USDT support level to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: The initial target would be the next resistance at 64,591.15 USDT. Partial profits can be taken here, with further upside potential if momentum remains strong.
Short Position (in case of failure to break out):
Entry: If the price fails to break above 61,758.48 USDT and falls back into the channel, consider a short position targeting the support at 60,301.68 USDT.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly above 61,758.48 USDT to protect against an unexpected breakout.
Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the channel and potentially below, near 59,000 USDT.
Conclusion:
The overall structure indicates a potential breakout from a descending channel. A confirmed breakout above 61,758.48 USDT could signal a bullish reversal and upside toward 64,591.15 USDT. However, if the price fails to break out, it may continue to trade within the channel, offering short-term trading opportunities.
Monitoring volume and key levels (especially 61,758.48 USDT) will be crucial for confirming the next major move.
COIN Technical Analysis: Wave (4) Correction Nearing CompletionTechnical analysis chart of the cryptocurrency "COIN" using Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that suggests that financial markets move in predictable patterns based on a series of five waves.
The information provided in this post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. The content is not an advisory and does not guarantee profits. We are not responsible for any kind of profits and losses; individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Based on the chart, we had identified a potential impulse wave pattern from January 2023 to the present. An impulse wave pattern consists of five waves, with each wave labeled (1), (2), (3), (4), and (5).
Wave (1): This is the first wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strong upward trend. In this case, wave (1) appears to have run from the low near 31-32 to a high near 114.
Wave (2): This is a corrective wave that moves in the opposite direction of wave (1). It is typically a retracement of wave (1), but it can also extend beyond the starting point of wave (1). Wave (2) appears to have run from the high near 114 to a low near 69.
Wave (3): This is the second wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strongest upward trend that extends most of times. Wave (3) given move from 69 to 283
Wave (4): This is a corrective wave that moves in the opposite direction of wave (3). It is typically a retracement of wave (3). Wave (4) is currently in progress, but at verge of completion now any time.
Wave (5): This is the final wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strong upward trend that completes the pattern. Wave (5) is expected to start soon and could potentially reach the levels of 300 plus.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTC at Critical Support: Strategy for the Breakout or Further DeBTC is currently holding strong around the $60K support level, but the overall trend is still showing a downtrend on the hourly chart, with the price trading below the EMA21, EMA50, and EMA200. The market is at a crucial point, and patience is key to avoiding unnecessary risks. Here's my detailed strategy for short-term trading in this scenario:
1. If the trend breaks out:
- I'll wait for confirmation of a breakout above the current trendline.
After the breakout, I will enter a buy position on the pullback, targeting an entry around $60,900 and a stop-loss set just below $59,900 to manage my risk.
- My take-profit target 1 is $63,100, and my take-profit target 2 is $66,000, where I expect potential resistance. This setup ensures I'm following the trend with minimal risk.
2. If the downtrend continues:
I'll hold off on any immediate trades and wait for the price to reach the next support zone around $58K-$57K, as highlighted on the daily chart.
- I will only consider entering a position if the price manages to go above the EMA21 and EMA50, signalling potential bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal.
If the price breaks below $57K, I’ll reassess the situation, as further downside to GETTEX:52K -$50K could be possible.
Advice: It’s important to remember that no trade is guaranteed, and risk is always involved. My approach is to wait for clear signals before entering any position, ensuring the risk is managed correctly. I’ll also closely watch for volume spikes and any potential news influencing market movement.
Finally, with the market being highly volatile, this is *not financial advice*. I always recommend doing your own research and making sure you're comfortable with the risk involved before making any trade decisions. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and remember that sometimes the best trade is the one you don’t take!
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCommunity #RiskManagement #NotFinancialAdvice
Bitcoin’s Ready for Liftoff!!!Everybody´s on disbelief.... Its DO or DIE today.
There is a bullish time at mode trend about to confirm on today´s daily close.
If we close the daily charts above $64,850 we´ll be in for a ride.
Targets of $67,150 and $69,950 will be in the scope.
Moon wen? fingers crossed....
BTCUSD I 1 hr double bottom formation and long opportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4h timeframe TA+Trade plan by BFDescending Broadening Wedge
Pattern Description: This is a bullish reversal pattern. As shown, the price of Bitcoin is testing the support line of the wedge, which typically suggests that a breakout to the upside might occur after the completion of the pattern.
Potential Breakout: The chart indicates a potential breakout above the upper boundary (resistance line) of the wedge, possibly signaling the beginning of an upward move.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
60,301.68 USDT: This is a near-term support zone where price could find buyers if it revisits these levels.
53,988.89 USDT: A deeper support level shown on the chart, which might come into play if Bitcoin faces a significant sell-off.
Resistance Levels:
64,591.15 USDT: A strong resistance zone that Bitcoin would need to surpass for a sustained upward move.
68,556.87 USDT: A higher resistance level that could become the target in the case of a breakout.
Indicators Analysis
VMC Cipher B Divergences: It appears to show divergence. A green dot below indicates potential bullish divergence, suggesting price may increase soon.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 31.48, which indicates oversold conditions. This level usually implies that the asset is undervalued, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic reading is at 23.61 (blue line) and 20.43 (red line), indicating oversold conditions as well. This adds further strength to the bullish argument, aligning with the RSI's signals.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): The HMA histogram shows green bars, suggesting a bullish trend might be forming or momentum is starting to shift to the upside.
Trading Plan
Long Position Setup
Entry:
A breakout above the resistance line of the descending broadening wedge would be the ideal entry signal. You may consider entering around 61,750–62,000 USDT.
Take Profit:
First take-profit target could be around 64,591 USDT (resistance zone).
If momentum is strong, a secondary target can be set around 68,556 USDT.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss just below the recent low at 60,000 USDT, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish wedge pattern and signal further downside.
Alternative (Cautious) Approach
Wait for confirmation of a breakout with a strong candle close above the wedge's resistance line, paired with bullish indicators on lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart).
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio on this trade, adjusting position size accordingly.
Final Considerations
Monitor for any false breakouts as Bitcoin could retest the wedge's resistance line before confirming the breakout.
Keep an eye on volume; a breakout with strong volume increases the likelihood of the wedge pattern playing out successfully.