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Bitcoinlongtermanalysis

3 Scenario Outcome for BitcoinSpeculation is just that, only speculation. Ideas to guide your trading and/or investing journey. I put a good amount of time in researching and charting over the last year to specifically develop this thesis. I hope you enjoy and please like and share, even if it's to ridicule my analysis! With that said, it looks like there are three scenarios that are 'most' likely to play out over the next 2 years: Scenario 1: Worst case (Red Path). Bitcoin ETF's are denied and/or a major market crash happens beginning Dec '23 or Q1/Q2 '24. Targets are the lower channel back at bear market bottom, the Value area low (Blue) & nPOC (naked point of control sitting above VAL) or below, to include CME gaps of a. 20.3k b. 9.7k & c. 3k at the very worst. 12k bears will rejoice. I for one will be selling the farm and my first born at 9k or below. Scenario 2. Bitcoin ETF delays (Orange Path). The range continues with a top off near the Macro VAH at about where price stands as of today, 11/11/23 @ 37k-39k. Price would most likely seek to validate back to fair value at 32k, and then retest down to 20.3k for the CME gap fill creating one of the most powerful patterns as an inverse head and shoulders. Given the channels, this seems the most likely with an upside target to the VAH again near dump of April/May '22 and now resistance at 48k. Target is summer of '24. Scenario 3. Moon boy status (Green Path). This means the Bitcoin ETF was approved prior to any fundamental problems (ie FTX 2.0, WW3, declared depression, etc) and no need to wait for price to come down past 32k, possibly ever. B. There is the possibility of a priced in ETF scenario that allows for the channel to stay valid. In this case, if price action does not moon over 48k up to ATH's, it likely sets a re-accumulation zone above 48k, playing within the upper channel, with a last dip into the 30k's before we see ATH's. Either way, Bitcoin is ready to rock and roll. Now to the less juicy part of this bull run. Give the diminishing returns as most assets have as they age, it looks like 100k is going to be the biggest and baddest of all resistance from a percentage standpoint. Gone are the days of 33k% gains. From the top of each market cycle to the next top we go from over 1k% to now 250-ish% last cycle. Here's where I 'm at from a charting and fundamental stance: Bitcoin gets a 44-54% blow off top (Shown in price range) from previous ATH's up to 100k-ish. If it's more, great, sell because you've been stacking or you're long. Buy your lambo, more power to you. However, given the current M2 issue, loan maturations (refinancing in '25 from 2.9% to almost 5%) as well as the overall credit and savings crisis, Bitcoin's blow off top could be in the 80-88k range. That would put the total market crypto cap at ATH's of 3.5-4 Trillion range. If Chairman Powell decides to turn the printers on for 2025, then some of the moon boi's out there may see 150k, so we all win anyway from a plebs perspective. #Stackon
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Zseries33
2
Why 2024 Could Spell Bullish Success for the Crypto Market? The roller-coaster ride of the crypto market never fails to pique the curiosity of traders and enthusiasts alike. As Bitcoin, the luminary of cryptocurrencies, continues to chart its course, the prospect of a bullish market in 2024 has sparked widespread anticipation. This article delves deep into the fascinating world of Bitcoin's halving event and its profound impact on market dynamics. So, buckle up and join us as we uncover the factors propelling Bitcoin's potential surge and the implications for you as a trader. The Significance of Halving Picture a recurring event, happening roughly every four years, that halves the reward for Bitcoin miners and slows down the supply of new Bitcoins. This event, known as halving, is a cornerstone of the Bitcoin ecosystem, designed to maintain scarcity and keep inflation in check. The past halvings in 2012 and 2016 catapulted Bitcoin to new all-time highs. So, it's no surprise that the forthcoming halving in 2024 is expected to set the stage for a similar spectacle. Market Dynamics and Bullish Predictions The world of crypto trading is a game of anticipation, with traders keeping a close eye on market dynamics to predict future price movements. Amidst a sea of perspectives, many industry insiders, including Huf, the founder of Pear Protocol, see a bright future for Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2024. Huf's bullish sentiment is fueled by the expected onset of the next bull market during this period, underpinned by positive narratives and conducive market conditions. *Bitcoin Dominance: Bitcoin Dominance means how much the ratio is in the total crypto market cap. Bitcoin and Market Cap: A Direct Correlation The value of Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, plays a critical role in establishing the overall temperament of the cryptocurrency market. The market cap of Bitcoin, a value obtained by multiplying the current Bitcoin price by the total number of Bitcoins in circulation, increases as Bitcoin's price surges. This results in a higher valuation of the entire cryptocurrency market. Thus, Bitcoin's market cap serves as a yardstick for other cryptocurrencies, with their prices often moving in the same direction as Bitcoin's. The Ripple Effect on the Cryptocurrency Market Bitcoin's correlation with the market cap deeply impacts the cryptocurrency market. A bullish trend in Bitcoin, leading to an increased market cap, fosters positive sentiment and boosts investor confidence in the overall market. This confidence translates into increased buying activity and heightened demand for other cryptocurrencies, propelling their prices. Additionally, Bitcoin's rising market cap draws new investors and institutions to the crypto arena, viewing it as a lucrative opportunity. This capital influx further intensifies the bullish market sentiment, escalating the prices of other cryptocurrencies. Driving a Bullish Cryptocurrency Market The correlation between Bitcoin and the market cap can trigger a bullish market within the cryptocurrency sector due to a combination of factors. Firstly , Bitcoin's dominance and influence in the market render it a significant indicator of overall market trends. An upswing in Bitcoin's performance injects confidence into the market, enticing more investors and catalyzing price hikes across the board. Secondly , the increased Bitcoin market cap creates a perception of the cryptocurrency market as a viable and profitable investment channel, sparking demand and price appreciation for other cryptocurrencies. Lastly , the positive market sentiment borne from Bitcoin's bullish trend generates a self-reinforcing cycle. In this cycle, investor optimism and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) stimulate further price escalations, culminating in a bullish market for the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem. Narratives and Media Influence Storytelling plays a powerful role in shaping market sentiment and price fluctuations in the crypto sphere. The narrative of Bitcoin as a potent disruptor of traditional financial systems has steadily gained ground. The green light for the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States in 2024, as highlighted in the Cointelegraph's Market Talks episode, further reinforces this positive sentiment. Such milestones have the potential to create waves, drawing in institutional investors and boosting demand. External Factors and Potential Risks However, it's not all smooth sailing. Beyond the halving event and favorable narratives, other elements can sway Bitcoin's market trajectory. Geopolitical tensions and global economic conditions can inject volatility and uncertainty into the mix. As a trader, it's vital to take these factors into account and diversify your portfolio to cushion against potential shocks. Preparing for the Bull Market With the potential bull market of 2024 around the corner, it's time for crypto traders to gear up. Adopting careful strategies to amplify gains and curb risks is the order of the day. Comprehensive market research, staying on top of industry news, and maintaining a disciplined approach are your keys to success. Moreover, spreading your investments across different cryptocurrencies and setting realistic profit targets can help you navigate the market's inherent volatility. The tantalizing prospect of a bullish Bitcoin market in 2024 presents a golden opportunity for crypto traders. The forthcoming halving event, combined with positive narratives and potential institutional adoption, lays the groundwork for potential price appreciation. But remember, staying alert to external factors and market risks is just as important. By staying informed, adopting robust trading strategies, and taking a long-term view, you can position yourself to capitalize on the expected bull market in 2024. Follow and Boost for your financial success ! Write your thoughts in the comment section.
BNC:BLX
by Wealthy_Stats
2
BTCUSDT Long Term Analysis.Hello everyone. I want share my idea about bitcoin at 1 month chart. I was looking to bitcoin bullish, but when i saw Fibonacci at 1 month chart the picture is so bad. Everything were going well until Friday, i though bitcoin will have strong movement at 1 week bullish trendline but it broke without any buyers, at 1 month chart what we are looking at is a new high of bearish trend, if it will brake that support LVL at 25000-24000 zone i think we will see bitcoin at 10000, it depend on how aggressive buyers or sellers we will have. at lower timeframe for example at 1D or 4H chart we saw big and strong reaction from that LVL but price still coming down and we see strong sellers. We will see in this This what price will make, i still think bitcoin is bullish, and in my opinion this happen for new buyers. if we will not see soon new buyers i will share my new price prediction at bitcoin which will be short side. In this post I will link all my ideas and price prediction of bitcoin why i was thinking long. BE PATIENT!!! LOSE IS LOSE!!!
by elmakacho
btc/usdt#Bitcoin Update: In the complex world of financial markets, patterns emerge in the form of "impulse" and "correction" waves. Currently, #Bitcoin is constructing its initial wave, indicating potential upward movement. Our analysis predicts a short-term decline followed by a strong buying opportunity. Our team foresees a strategic entry point for savvy traders. To enhance your trading potential and ensure secure transactions, We provide professional fund management and trade execution services. Want to amplify your trading success? Ask us how we manage both your funds and trades, minimizing risk and optimizing returns. Join us on this journey of profitable trading opportunities.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by oraclpips
Btc Update in My Opinion Btc going fall down in coming days. But Even if there is a bitcoin pump, it will go to a maximum of 35k to 42k. After that he has to fall down very badly 18k. If Bitcoin seems to be pumping, you guys don't think the bullrun has started. Because if we analyze the chart from the previous halving, Bitcoin looks like a dump. This is a swing trade, it may take time to hit the targets, so it is recommended only for those members who have patience according to their financial condition. Only those who can wait should take this trade according to their financial condition.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Houseofcryptokings
Halving High Pressure Zone? 🙌🏻 This could be the answer 🤔 In this video we explain a new item we found in the chart which we call the "Halving High Pressure zone". As we approach the halving date there is ever increasing downwards pressure on the bitcoin price. After the halving, as we move away from the halving date this downwards pressure decreases which results in upwards price movement. Could this be half the answer to why mini-bull markets form? Check out this video. Thanks for watching!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptoWeatherChannel
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #17 !!! IT IS IMPORTANT TO READ THE DESCRIPTION !!! Good afternoon , dear colleagues! I want to continue my opinion and vision of the current situation on the cryptocurrency market on the example of this instrument. For the current period of time, I continue to look for opportunities to buy an asset cheaper. As in the previous opinion, it was said that the range of 23000 - 23200 is a benchmark for further movement. As we can see, there is no professional activity. I expect purchases to resume around 19000 . Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success, and remember: Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn . #Bitcoin
Short
by WVitalievich
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #16!!! IT IS IMPORTANT TO READ THE DESCRIPTION !!! Good afternoon , dear colleagues! I want to continue my opinion and vision of the current situation on the cryptocurrency market on the example of this instrument. On this time frame, you need to pay attention to the development of events. The graphical situation is as follows: If professional operators are not interested in further markup of the asset from the range of 23000 - 23200 , then I expect a drop to 19000 . We are watching the development of events on the 15m. Otherwise, it's a long-only mood. Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success, and remember: Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn . #Bitcoin
by WVitalievich
4
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #15!!! IT IS IMPORTANT TO READ THE DESCRIPTION !!! Good afternoon , dear colleagues! I want to continue my opinion and vision of the current situation on the cryptocurrency market on the example of this instrument. I am continuing the deal open on the previous idea. There is a buyer present, everything is going according to plan. I expect an impulsive movement, by Monday, March 06, 2023 , I expect bitcoin at 25800 . Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success, and remember: Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn . #Bitcoin
Long
by WVitalievich
5
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #14!!! IT IS IMPORTANT TO READ THE DESCRIPTION !!! Good afternoon , dear colleagues! I want to continue my opinion and vision of the current situation on the cryptocurrency market on the example of this instrument. The current situation suggests that the asset may rise in price over the next week. For further gains to occur, professional operators and other market participants should keep the price above 22722 with possible false breakouts. After this formation, we will have all the doors open for further upward movement. Otherwise, we will see a decline to the next support price, where there will be demand at favorable levels. Stay tuned for an update of the idea, there will be a continuation of the idea. Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success, and remember: Sometimes you win/ sometimes you learn. #Bitcoin P.S. Consider the previous idea and search for an entry point.
Long
by WVitalievich
2