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Quick BITCOIN Fractal update, Not on Fractal but still good BITCOIN still in that target circle, first posted in Feb 2025, and I expect to remain here till early June. This daily chart shows us where exactly we sit in the circle. There are a number of reasons why we may remain here a little longer but one thing to always look at is the MACD. The Weekly is still rising Bullish with room to move higher The Daily is choppy and currently just fallen below its Signal line We need to watch this area as between the MACD and its Histogram, we could see a Strong Bearish Divergence The shorter term 4 hour shows how support in approaching The habit has been for MACD to bounce off Neutral line but if we look at that Histogram, we can see the volatility there and so this could point to a weaker reaction in the near future. In conclusion, the potential for a drop lower exists but the lower time frame MACD can also show us that some support is available maybe Lines of support for BTC PA suggest a Low of around 105K should curent support fail. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently rising again while the others are dropping. If BTC PA Drops while this is rising, ALTS will Bleed heavy Continued Range is the likely option till we reach June and then, Mid June, 18th, we have the FED Rate decision. This could trigger renewed reaction. We have reentered a zone of upmost CAUTION till we get some stronger momentum signals
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
We've observed the formation of an Order Block(OB)Gold Market Daily Timeframe Analysis The gold market, on the daily timeframe, is currently exhibiting price action consistent with an IRL (Internal Range Liquidity) to ERL (External Range Liquidity) model. Price has swept the IRL and then moved upward by tapping into a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This price action suggests a smart money liquidity grab followed by a reaction to an imbalance. Subsequently, the market formed another FVG and executed a tap once more after taking out the initial target structure (TS), continuing its bullish move. Recently, we’ve observed the formation of an Order Block (OB), indicating a potential area where institutional orders may reside. It’s expected that price might return to this OB, and if a Market Structure Shift (MSS) is confirmed on lower timeframes, there could be a strong bullish continuation. In such a case, we may witness the market reaching towards the $3430 level in the coming days. It’s essential to monitor how the market reacts to these key zones especially the OB and the surrounding liquidity structures. Such movements could provide confirmation or invalidation of the projected move. As always, this is a personal market perspective based on price action and liquidity concepts. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice. And by the way what are your thoughts on this analysis? Does it align with your outlook?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
$3350 would indicate short-term strengthGold Price Analysis – Technical Outlook Gold is currently approaching a critical resistance level around 3350. If the price manages to break and close above this level on the 15-minute chart, it could signal the continuation of the bullish trend. A confirmed 15-minute candle close above 3350 would indicate short-term strength and increased buying pressure. To strengthen this bullish bias, we are also watching for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 1-hour timeframe. A BOS would suggest a shift in market structure, potentially transitioning from a consolidation or retracement phase into a new impulsive leg to the upside. If both conditions – the 15M candle close above 3350 and a 1H BOS – are met, the next immediate target would be 3370. Depending on how the price action unfolds beyond that point, and supported by additional confirmations such as volume, momentum indicators, or price patterns, there could be further upside potential. As always, ensure you apply risk management and conduct your own thorough analysis before making any trading decisions. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research (DYOR).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
BTC/USDT Analysis: Breaking the All-Time High Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here is your daily update. Yesterday, Bitcoin broke its all-time high. There were no strong sell-offs either at or above the level. During the move, a volume zone was formed, and we managed to consolidate above it. Since there is no visible resistance ahead, trading should currently be approached from the long side — at least until a strong opposing force appears on the chart. Buy Zones: • $109,200–$106,500 (volume zone) • $103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market selling) • Around $100,000 (pushing volumes) • $98,000–$97,200 (local support) • $93,000 level • $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) • $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling) • $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes) • $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone) • $74,800 level • $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes) This publication is not financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
BTC Hits New All-Time High: Is a $128K Blow-Off Top Next?Bitcoin's Meteoric Ascent: New All-Time Highs Fuel $128K "Blow-Off Top" Predictions Amidst Unprecedented Adoption The digital gold rush of the 21st century is reaching a fever pitch. Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneering cryptocurrency, has not only shattered previous records but is now tantalizingly close to new, stratospheric all-time highs, with analysts eyeing a potential "blow-off top" as high as $128,000. This electrifying surge, which saw BTC climb to within 1.5% of new peaks as bullish sentiment decisively overcame final resistance, is underpinned by a confluence of factors: soaring institutional and retail adoption, particularly in the United States, booming ETF inflows, growing political and regulatory support, and a shifting macroeconomic landscape that increasingly favors non-traditional assets. As of May 21, 2025, Bitcoin has firmly established itself above the $109,000 mark, a testament to its resilience and burgeoning mainstream acceptance. The recent price action has been nothing short of spectacular. Bitcoin bulls have been relentlessly "grilling sellers," pushing the price to historic milestones. On May 21, 2025, Bitcoin etched a new all-time high (ATH) above $109,000, a landmark achievement that notably placed 100% of BTC holders into profit. This surge saw Bitcoin's market capitalization briefly surpass that of e-commerce giant Amazon, a symbolic victory highlighting its growing financial clout. Specific figures around this period include a climb to a record $109,302, and another peak at a historic $109,500, demonstrating the intense buying pressure and bullish conviction in the market. Analysts are now recalibrating their upside targets, with many calling for $116,000 as the next significant milestone on the path to even loftier valuations. This bullish momentum isn't occurring in a vacuum. It's the culmination of years of development, increasing understanding, and a series of pivotal events that have collectively propelled Bitcoin into the financial limelight. The American Bitcoin Boom: Adoption Surpasses Gold, Institutions Dive In One of the most compelling narratives driving Bitcoin's current rally is its explosive growth in the United States. A staggering 50 million Americans now own Bitcoin, a figure that notably surpasses the 37 million gold holders in the country. This demographic shift signifies a profound change in investment preferences, particularly among younger generations who are increasingly comfortable with digital assets. Bitcoin is no longer a niche interest for tech enthusiasts; it's becoming a recognized component of diversified investment portfolios across a broad swathe of the American population. The institutional embrace within the US is equally, if not more, impactful. US firms now hold an astonishing 94.8% of the Bitcoin reserves held by publicly traded companies globally. This concentration underscores the confidence American corporations have in Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset, a hedge against inflation, and a potential source of significant returns. Furthermore, the United States is solidifying its position as the global epicenter of the Bitcoin industry, with 40% of all Bitcoin companies headquartered domestically. This robust ecosystem of miners, exchanges, wallet providers, and ancillary service companies fosters innovation and provides a strong foundation for continued growth. The advent and subsequent success of Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been a game-changer. These regulated financial products have opened the floodgates for a new wave of capital, allowing retail and institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through traditional brokerage accounts without the complexities of direct ownership and custody. The "booming ETF inflows" are a direct contributor to the recent price surge, creating sustained buying pressure and signaling widespread market acceptance. Macroeconomic Tailwinds and Regulatory Optimism Beyond direct adoption, broader economic and political factors are playing a crucial role. The recent new all-time high of $109,000 was notably set just nine days after the US and China closed a 90-day trade agreement. This resolution eased economic uncertainty and market jitters that had previously weighed on global markets. In such an environment, assets perceived as hedges against traditional market volatility or fiat currency devaluation, like Bitcoin and gold, often thrive. Indeed, concurrent with Bitcoin's rise, concerns such as Japan's debt woes have contributed to gold surpassing the $3,300 mark, indicating a broader flight to alternative stores of value. Furthermore, there's growing optimism around US regulations concerning cryptocurrencies. While the regulatory landscape is still evolving, recent pronouncements and actions suggest a move towards greater clarity and a more accommodative stance, rather than outright prohibition. This "growing political support" is crucial for long-term institutional commitment, as regulatory uncertainty has historically been a significant barrier to entry for larger, more conservative investors. The fact that Bitcoin climbed to a record of $109,302, breaching a previous high set around the time of a major political event like a presidential inauguration (specifically referenced as Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 in a historical context for a previous ATH), often correlates with market sentiment interpreting political or regulatory shifts as favorable. The "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" (BSR): A Paradigm Shift for National Economies? An intriguing, albeit more speculative, concept gaining traction is the idea of a "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" (BSR). While not yet a formal policy in any major nation, the discussion itself highlights Bitcoin's evolving perception from a purely speculative asset to one with potential strategic geopolitical and economic importance. A BSR would involve a nation-state, such as the United States, acquiring and holding Bitcoin as part of its national reserves, much like it currently holds gold or foreign currencies. The rationale behind such a move could be multifaceted: 1. Hedging Against Fiat Devaluation: As central banks globally continue to engage in monetary expansion, concerns about the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies persist. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply, offers a potential hedge against this inflation. 2. Participating in a New Financial System: If Bitcoin continues its trajectory towards becoming a globally recognized store of value or even a medium of exchange for certain international transactions, holding it in reserve would position a nation to participate actively in this emerging financial infrastructure. 3. Technological Leadership: For a country like the US, which already leads in Bitcoin company headquarters and corporate holdings, establishing a BSR could further cement its leadership in the digital asset space, attracting talent and capital. 4. Economic Resilience: In a future where digital currencies play a more significant role, a BSR could offer a degree of economic resilience and autonomy, reducing reliance on traditional financial systems or the currencies of other nations. The implications of a major economic power like the US even seriously considering, let alone implementing, a BSR would be monumental for Bitcoin's legitimacy and price. It would signal ultimate institutional acceptance and could trigger a wave of similar considerations by other nations, creating immense demand for a limited supply of BTC. While the "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Explained and What BSR Means for the US Economy" remains a topic of forward-looking discussion, its emergence in financial discourse is a testament to how far Bitcoin has come. The Path to $128K: Understanding the "Blow-Off Top" With Bitcoin having decisively broken past $109,000 and upside targets of $116,000 now in common parlance, the ultimate bull-case scenario being discussed is a "blow-off top" potentially reaching $128,000 or even higher. A "blow-off top" is a chart pattern that signifies a steep and rapid price increase in an asset, often on high volume, followed by an equally sharp reversal. It typically occurs at the end of a prolonged bull market or a parabolic advance. The psychology behind it involves: 1. Euphoria and FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out): As prices accelerate, media attention intensifies, and stories of quick riches abound. This draws in a flood of retail investors who don't want to miss out on the gains. 2. Exhaustion of Buyers: The parabolic rise eventually becomes unsustainable. The last wave of enthusiastic buyers enters at or near the peak. 3. Smart Money Distribution: Experienced traders and institutions, who may have accumulated positions much lower, begin to sell into this heightened demand, taking profits. 4. Sharp Reversal: Once buying pressure is exhausted and selling pressure mounts, the price can fall dramatically as latecomers panic-sell and stop-losses are triggered. Predicting the exact peak of a blow-off top is notoriously difficult. However, analysts use a combination of technical analysis (chart patterns, momentum indicators, Fibonacci extensions), on-chain data (network activity, holder behavior), and market sentiment to identify potential price targets and warning signs. The $128,000 figure is likely derived from such analyses, representing a significant psychological level or a projection based on previous market cycle behavior. Navigating the Bull Market: Indicators for Identifying a Cycle Top While the current sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, savvy Bitcoin traders and investors are always mindful of market cycles and the potential for corrections or trend reversals. The question, "Is Bitcoin price close to a cycle top?" is one that prudent market participants constantly evaluate. Several indicators can help traders gauge whether a market might be overheating: 1. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): This trend-following momentum indicator can show bearish divergences, where the price makes new highs, but the MACD fails to do so, signaling weakening momentum. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): An RSI reading above 70 is generally considered overbought, and readings above 80 or 90 in a strong bull market can signal extreme conditions, though Bitcoin can remain overbought for extended periods. Bearish divergences on the RSI are also key. 3. On-Chain Metrics (e.g., MVRV Z-Score, Puell Multiple, SOPR): o MVRV Z-Score (Market Value to Realized Value): Compares Bitcoin's market cap to its realized cap (the price at which each coin last moved). High Z-scores indicate the market cap is significantly higher than the average cost basis, suggesting the asset is overvalued and potentially near a top. o Puell Multiple: Looks at the supply side of Bitcoin's economy – miners and their revenue. It divides the daily issuance value of bitcoins (in USD) by the 365-day moving average of daily issuance value. High values suggest miner profitability is high compared to historical norms, which has sometimes coincided with market tops. o Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR): This indicates if holders are, on average, selling in profit or loss. Values significantly above 1 suggest holders are realizing substantial profits, which can increase sell pressure. A sustained drop below 1 after a peak can signal a shift in trend. 4. Logarithmic Growth Curves: Bitcoin's long-term price action has often respected logarithmic growth channels. When the price reaches the upper band of these channels, it has historically indicated a market top. 5. Funding Rates and Open Interest in Derivatives Markets: Extremely high positive funding rates on perpetual swaps indicate that an overwhelming number of traders are long and paying a premium to maintain those positions. This can signal excessive bullishness and a crowded trade, making the market vulnerable to a long squeeze if prices reverse. High open interest can also exacerbate volatility. While Bitcoin is currently refusing to give up on its quest to revisit $108,000 (a level now surpassed) and beyond, concerns over a trend change, though perhaps quieter amidst the euphoria, are always present in the minds of seasoned investors. These indicators provide a more objective lens through which to assess the sustainability of the current rally. The Road Ahead: Uncharted Territory with Immense Potential As Bitcoin forges new all-time highs, it enters uncharted territory. The confluence of unprecedented US adoption, robust institutional investment via ETFs, a more favorable regulatory outlook, and supportive macroeconomic conditions has created a potent cocktail for price appreciation. The surpassing of Amazon's market cap, even if temporary, and the fact that 100% of BTC holders are in profit, are powerful psychological milestones that can fuel further confidence. The predictions of a $116,000 interim target and a potential $128,000 blow-off top are no longer fringe theories but are being seriously discussed by mainstream analysts. The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" is gaining more traction than ever, especially as traditional safe havens like gold also see increased interest amidst global economic uncertainties like Japan's debt situation. However, the path is unlikely to be linear. Bitcoin's inherent volatility means that sharp corrections can and will occur, even within a broader uptrend. The "concerns over a trend change" will likely grow louder as prices reach more extreme levels, and profit-taking becomes more tempting. Investors should remain vigilant, utilize the available indicators to assess market conditions, and practice sound risk management. In conclusion, May 2025 has marked a historic period for Bitcoin. Its surge above $109,000, driven by a powerful combination of fundamental adoption and favorable market dynamics, has set the stage for potentially even more dramatic price action. Whether the ultimate peak of this cycle is $116,000, $128,000, or another figure entirely, one thing is clear: Bitcoin has firmly cemented its place in the global financial landscape, and its journey is far from over. The coming weeks and months will be closely watched by investors worldwide as the world's preeminent cryptocurrency continues to redefine the boundaries of financial assets. ________________________________________ Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only, based on the provided snippets, and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
2
SUSHI Token: A High-Potential Setup You Shouldn’t IgnoreHello everyone! A huge opportunity has emerged on the BINANCE:SUSHIUSDT chart. I’ll break down the technical analysis for SUSHI using both the Daily and 4H timeframes , highlighting key levels and potential trade setups. On 1D timeframe - Price has swept the liquidity below the November 2024 low , forming an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , which is a strong bullish reversal signal. - Price recently broke did the May high after that retraced approximately 24% . This pullback aligned perfectly with a retest of the neckline from the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, reinforcing its validity as a bullish setup. On 4H timeframe - If price breaks above $0.775 , it would serve as a confirmation of bullish momentum, suggesting a likely move toward the liquidity zone above $1.00 . - In my opinion, if market conditions remain bullish and Bitcoin continues its upward trend, SUSHI is likely to break above the $1.00 level with ease and potentially reach the inverse Head and Shoulders target around $1.20+ . In conclusion, SUSHI is currently showing strong bullish signals, and if the broader market gives altcoins room to run, this token has the potential to rally aggressively. Note: SUSHI is a low-cap token with high volatility, so exercise proper risk management when trading or investing.
Long
by ahmedeidoox
ETHUSDT pair has formed a set of Equal Highs!Currently, the ETHUSDT pair has formed a set of Equal Highs (EQ Highs) on the chart, indicating the presence of potential liquidity resting above that level. At the same time, there’s some price structure visible on the lower side, suggesting that the market may have created liquidity pools both above and below the current price range. This kind of setup often precedes a significant move. Recently, the market executed what appears to be a 'Turtle Soup' pattern — a common liquidity grab strategy in which price breaks below a key support or above resistance to trap breakout traders, only to quickly reverse and pump in the opposite direction. Following this pattern, ETHUSDT saw a sharp upward movement, indicating that smart money may have manipulated liquidity to fuel this breakout. Now , patience is essential. The market has created a visible trendline, and typically, such trendlines attract retail traders who treat them as dynamic support or resistance. However, what often happens is that liquidity builds up around these trendlines, and institutional players later push the price through them to trigger stop-losses or induce panic. It’s likely the market will take out (or 'kill') the liquidity lying along that trendline. After that liquidity sweep, we’re watching for price to move into a marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) — an imbalance left by a strong move where price didn’t fully fill in. Once the price taps into that FVG, we need to wait for additional confirmation. Ideally, we’d like to see a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or a Change of Character (CHoCH), both of which are strong indicators that the trend may be reversing or forming. Only after those confirmations should we start considering entering a long position. We can further validate the setup using refined models such as the Unicorn Model, or other entry confirmations like a refined FVG entry, a bullish order block (OB), or breaker block. The goal is to enter the trade when there is a high-probability confluence of signals, not just based on a single indicator. Once a solid entry setup is confirmed, our targets can be the Equal Highs formed earlier, as they represent resting liquidity which price often seeks. However, it’s crucial not to blindly follow the setup. Observe how the market reacts at each critical level, manage risk properly, and most importantly DYOR (Do Your Own Research) before making any trading decision.
Long
by Peter_Wade
4H FVG level is indicating a strong bullish sentiment.Market Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) Gold is currently trading within a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe, accompanied by notable volume activity. Just below this zone lies a weekly FVG, and multiple other FVG and Breaker Block (BPR) formations have emerged in the same region. The price action around the 4H FVG level is indicating a strong bullish sentiment. However, on the 1-hour chart, the market has recently formed a bearish FVG in the 3214–3220 range. If the price breaks above this level with strength, the bullish momentum could potentially drive the market toward the following upside targets: 3233, 3240, 3250, and 3260. Let’s monitor closely and remember: Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
BITCOIN Daily Bullish / Bearish days ahaed with Big push after Even though I have mentioned that we maybe in for some RED days this week, this chart shows how, ultimately, we are in a Bullish momentum still. The CUP pattern that we have printed ( adjusted since I last posted this) , Goes from ATH line back to the ATH line. We also see how there is this APEX that PA has fallen into that has its peak at the end of this month. PA always reacts before the APEX But before this, we may range across or drop down onto the CUP. This has Strong support and could possibly propel PA above thaT ATH line. We do need to also understand, there is a 618 Fib circle at this intersection and that may not be easy to break through. But PA has often searched out intersections of resistance to break through and so I am looking to this as the way forward. The 2.618 Fib Ext on this chart may also offer support at around 98K if we loose support higher. The RSI is already dropping from OverBought and so will probably continue to do so till we reach Neutral / Over Sold again. And the Daily MACD, is also turning Bearish, But as mentioned before, this is possibly repeating what happened in Nv 2024 See the Arrow on the left...The Histogram is the one to take note of. Two Green peaks and then a red Dip We have just begun the Red bit after the two Green peaks. The scale is larger here and so we may have to wait longer till we return out of the green. In 10 dayts, we will be near end of month So, for me, this week will be possibly Red but towards the end of the month, things will begin to move higher. All depends on PA following expected patterns and that does not always happen We can only look, plan and react.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
GOLD Has Shown A Significant Bullish Move!!Gold Market Analysis Over the past week, gold has shown a significant bullish move by touching its weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and closing a candle above it. This price action serves as a strong indication that the market is currently exhibiting bullish momentum. However, it is important to note that the sustainability of this bullish trend will be confirmed only through future market developments and price behavior. As of now, our analysis suggests that gold, after revisiting and respecting the weekly bullish FVG, is trending upward. Looking ahead, we anticipate a minor retracement in the short term. This pullback could provide a healthy opportunity for the market to gather momentum before making another move upward. Ideally, we expect the price to retrace slightly and re-enter the highlighted yellow zone. Within this zone, we will be watching for a Market Structure Shift (MSS), which would act as our confirmation signal to consider entering a long position. Once confirmation is received through MSS or similar price action cues, our strategy would be to target the liquidity zones situated above the current price level. It is also worth mentioning that the market has already cleared liquidity on the sell-side, which further strengthens the bullish case. Based on current technical indications and liquidity structure, there is a high probability that gold could reach as high as $3,250 in the upcoming sessions. That said, market conditions can evolve rapidly, and it is essential to monitor price action closely. Traders and investors are strongly advised to conduct their own research (DYOR) and await clear confirmations before making any trading decisions. Staying vigilant and informed will be key to capitalizing on potential bullish movements in the gold market.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
Bitcoin Stalls, But Chart Watchers Eye $300,000 Peak: Here's Whe Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a period of consolidation, leaving investors and analysts alike pondering its next move. While the price has stalled below the $105,000 mark, a confluence of factors, including popular predictive models and bullish sentiment from prominent crypto analysts, suggests that a significant surge could be on the horizon. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, possibly soaring to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year, is fueling excitement and speculation within the crypto community. This article delves into the factors driving the bullish outlook for Bitcoin, examining the predictive models, analyst forecasts, and underlying fundamentals that support the possibility of a substantial price increase. We will explore the potential catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to new heights and analyze the technical indicators that chart watchers are monitoring closely. Predictive Models Point to a Massive Surge One of the primary drivers of the bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is the existence of popular predictive models that suggest a massive price surge in the coming months. These models, often based on historical data, supply and demand dynamics, and other relevant factors, attempt to forecast the future price of Bitcoin with varying degrees of accuracy. One such model, which has gained considerable attention in the crypto community, points to a potential surge to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year. While the specifics of this model are not explicitly detailed in the prompt, it is likely based on factors such as Bitcoin's scarcity, its increasing adoption as a store of value, and the potential for institutional investment to drive demand. It is important to note that predictive models are not foolproof and should not be taken as definitive guarantees of future price movements. However, they can provide valuable insights into potential scenarios and help investors make informed decisions. Analyst Forecasts: $159,000 This Cycle In addition to predictive models, bullish forecasts from prominent crypto analysts are also contributing to the optimistic outlook for Bitcoin. One analyst, in particular, has predicted that Bitcoin's price could reach $159,000 this cycle. While the specific methodology used by this analyst is not detailed in the prompt, it is likely based on a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment. Technical analysis involves studying price charts and other technical indicators to identify potential trends and patterns. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the underlying value of Bitcoin based on factors such as its adoption rate, network security, and regulatory environment. Market sentiment involves gauging the overall mood and expectations of investors in the crypto market. The analyst's forecast of $159,000 this cycle suggests a belief that Bitcoin is currently undervalued and that its price will eventually catch up to its intrinsic value. Bitcoin IS The Opt Out The phrase "Bitcoin IS The Opt Out" encapsulates a growing sentiment within the crypto community that Bitcoin represents a viable alternative to traditional financial systems. This sentiment is based on the belief that Bitcoin offers several advantages over traditional currencies and financial institutions: • Decentralization: Bitcoin is not controlled by any single entity, such as a government or central bank. This decentralization makes it resistant to censorship and manipulation. • Scarcity: Bitcoin has a limited supply of 21 million coins, which makes it a scarce asset. This scarcity is expected to drive its price higher over time as demand increases. • Transparency: All Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain. This transparency makes it difficult to engage in illicit activities using Bitcoin. • Security: The Bitcoin network is secured by cryptography, making it difficult to hack or tamper with. The belief that Bitcoin offers a viable "opt out" from traditional financial systems is driving increased adoption and investment in the cryptocurrency. BTC Price to $116K Next? 'Early Week' All-Time High The prospect of Bitcoin reaching $116,000 in the near future, potentially even achieving an all-time high early in the week, is further fueling bullish sentiment. This forecast, attributed to a Bitcoin trader, suggests that the cryptocurrency is poised to break out of its current consolidation phase and enter a new period of price discovery. The trader's forecast is likely based on technical analysis, identifying potential breakout patterns and momentum indicators that suggest an imminent surge in price. The expectation of an "early week" all-time high suggests a belief that the market is primed for a rapid and decisive move to the upside. Leaving the Tight Range Behind The statement that "Bitcoin is in line to leave its tight range behind in the coming days" suggests that the period of consolidation is nearing its end. A tight trading range typically indicates a period of indecision in the market, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched. However, such periods often precede significant price movements, as pent-up energy is released in one direction or another. The expectation that Bitcoin will leave its tight range behind suggests a belief that the balance of power is shifting in favor of buyers, setting the stage for a potential breakout to the upside. Retaking All-Time Highs and Pushing into Price Discovery The ultimate goal for Bitcoin bulls is to see the cryptocurrency retake its all-time highs and push into price discovery. Price discovery refers to the process of establishing a new price level for an asset when it breaks out of its previous range. When Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high, it enters a period of price discovery, where there are no historical resistance levels to impede its upward movement. This can lead to rapid and substantial price increases, as buyers are willing to pay higher and higher prices to acquire the asset. Potential Catalysts for a Bitcoin Surge Several potential catalysts could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs and trigger a period of price discovery: • Increased Institutional Investment: As more and more institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, allocate capital to Bitcoin, demand for the cryptocurrency is likely to increase, driving its price higher. • Regulatory Clarity: Greater regulatory clarity surrounding Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could remove a major source of uncertainty and encourage more investors to enter the market. • Mainstream Adoption: As Bitcoin becomes more widely accepted as a form of payment and a store of value, its adoption rate is likely to increase, driving demand and price appreciation. • Macroeconomic Factors: Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability, could drive investors to seek refuge in Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. Technical Indicators to Watch Chart watchers are closely monitoring several technical indicators to gauge the potential for a Bitcoin surge: • Breakout Patterns: Identifying potential breakout patterns, such as ascending triangles, cup and handle formations, and flag patterns, can provide clues about when Bitcoin is likely to break out of its current range. • Volume: Monitoring trading volume can help to confirm the validity of a breakout. A breakout accompanied by high volume is generally considered more reliable than a breakout accompanied by low volume. • Momentum Indicators: Momentum indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), can help to gauge the strength of a trend and identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. • Support and Resistance Levels: Identifying key support and resistance levels can help to anticipate potential price movements and set appropriate entry and exit points. Conclusion: Awaiting the Next Chapter in Bitcoin's Story Bitcoin's recent period of consolidation has left investors and analysts eager to see what the future holds. While the price has stalled below $105,000, a confluence of factors, including predictive models, analyst forecasts, and bullish market sentiment, suggests that a significant surge could be on the horizon. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, possibly soaring to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year, is fueling excitement and speculation within the crypto community. Whether Bitcoin achieves these lofty targets remains to be seen, but the stage is set for what could be another exciting chapter in the cryptocurrency's story. As always, investors should conduct their own research, assess their risk tolerance, and make informed decisions before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency. The journey ahead promises to be volatile, but the potential rewards could be substantial for those who are willing to navigate the risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
1
BCH/USDT Bullish Heist: Crack the Vault & Grab the Loot!🔥 **BCH/USDT Bullish Heist Plan** 🔥 Hey Profit Pirates & Chart Chasers! 🤑 Ready to pull off a slick move on the Bitcoin Cash vs. Tether (BCH/USDT) crypto market? 📈 This *Thief Trading Style* blends sharp technicals with market vibes to hunt a bullish breakout. Stick to this plan, ride the surge, and slip out before the Red Zone danger hits. Let’s stack those gains as a crew! 💪🎯 📊 Heist Blueprint: BCH/USDT - Market: BCH/USDT (Crypto) 🌐 - Bias: Bullish Breakout 🌟 - Timeframe: 1D (Swing Trade) ⏰ Entry Points 📈 - **Breakout Entry (Entry 1)**: "Crack the vault! Spot the MA breakout at 430.0 and jump in—bullish riches are calling!" *Pro Move*: Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average or buy limit orders at the latest 15/30-min swing low/high for pullback entries. 📣 Add a chart alert to snag the breakout! - **Pullback Entry (Entry 2)**: "The job’s on! Wait for the MA pullback in the Market Makers Trap/Heist Zone at 350.0, then strike—guts win big!" 📍 *Trader Hack*: Set a TradingView alert for the 430.0 breakout to stay one step ahead! 🔔 Stop Loss 🛑 - **Breakout Traders**: Once the breakout confirms, place Stop Loss below the recent 1D swing low at (Entry 1) 380.0 & (Entry 2) 310.0 to shield against reversals. ⚠️ - **Pullback Traders**: Customize Stop Loss to your risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of account). Tweak based on lot size and multiple orders. 📏 - **Risk Warning**: This heist’s high-octane! Keep position sizing tight to protect your stash. 🔥 Target 🎯 - Aim for 500.0, close to the Red Zone (overbought territory ripe for consolidation or reversal). 🏴‍☠️ - **Exit Play**: Cash out early if bearish clues (e.g., high volume, reversal candles) pop up near 500.0. 💸 Scalpers 👀 - Focus on Long-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Team up with swing traders for the full heist or grab quick profits if your funds allow. 💰 📡 Why This Trade’s Got Juice (May 17, 2025) BCH/USDT is primed for action with a neutral trend and bullish sparks, fueled by: - **Technicals**: A breakout above the 50-day MA (not 108000, correcting to ~430.0), paired with higher lows on the 1D chart, screams momentum. 📊 - **Sentiment Analysis (May 17, 2025)**: Social media buzz on platforms like X shows 68% positive sentiment for BCH, with traders hyping altcoin season. Fear & Greed Index at 72 (Greed), signaling bullish vibes but caution near overbought levels. 😎 - **Fundamentals**: The latest COT report (May 16, 2025) from CFTC shows institutional long positions in crypto futures up 12% WoW, hinting at big-player confidence. 📰 - **Seasonal Edge**: Q2 historically favors Bitcoin and altcoins, aligning with our setup. 📅 - **Market Flow**: USD softness (DXY down 0.8% this week) and altcoin strength boost BCH’s upside. 🌎 ⚠️ Risk Management: Lock Your Loot - **News Alert**: Dodge new trades during high-impact events (e.g., CPI, FOMC) to sidestep volatility traps. 🗞️ - **Trailing Stops**: Activate trailing Stop Loss as price nears 500.0 to secure profits. 🔒 - **Position Sizing**: Cap risk at 1-2% per trade for a smooth heist. 🚨 💥 Ignite the Heist! 💥 Join the *Thief Trading Style* squad—like, comment, and follow for more electrifying trade setups! 🚀 Your support powers our market raids, paving the way for precise wins. Let’s dominate BCH/USDT together! 🤝🏆🎉 **Stay Locked In**: Another heist plan’s brewing. Keep your charts ready, traders! 🐱‍👤😎 --- 🔥 **Real-Time Data (May 17, 2025, UTC+1)** 🔥 - **BCH/USDT Price**: ~425.0 (based on aggregated exchange data). - **COT Report (May 16, 2025)**: Institutional long positions in crypto futures up 12% WoW, per CFTC. - **Sentiment**: 68% positive, Fear & Greed Index at 72 (Greed). - **USD Index (DXY)**: Down 0.8% WoW, supporting altcoin strength.
Long
by Thief_Trader
Momentum Fades: Is Bitcoin Poised for a Pullback to Rebalance?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions 🇺🇸🇨🇳, we’re observing a notable rotation of capital into equities 📈. This shift is lending strength to the US dollar 💵, which in turn has exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price action. After a strong momentum-driven rally 🚀, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of weakness, suggesting a potential consolidation or a measured pullback. With equity markets—particularly tech stocks—appearing overextended 🏦, a retracement seems likely. Since Bitcoin remains closely correlated with the tech sector, a synchronized pullback across both asset classes is a plausible scenario. I’m closely monitoring for a counter-trend opportunity, specifically eyeing a short entry should we see a decisive break in market structure 🔍. It’s important to note that this setup is highly dependent on price action confirming the thesis as outlined in the accompanying video. If the anticipated conditions do not materialize, this trade idea will be promptly invalidated. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and equities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions. 📊
Short
by fxtraderanthony
Market Overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, we had a true breakdown of the local maximum for bitcoin. We considered the probability of this scenario developing in our daily analysis on TradingView. The buyer resumed control over the delta, although we had previously noted strong sell pressure within the $98,000–$93,000 range several times, which could trigger a deep correction. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? Now the price has reached the target of $105,000, the priority remains for the longs. If BTC gains a foothold above this mark, the volume zone of $104,000–$103,000 may become a key support zone. Sell Zones: $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: $104,000–$103,000 (high-volume area), ~$100,000 (absorbing/breakthrough volume), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume), $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume). IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic events to watch out for: • Tuesday, May 13, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024; • Wednesday, May 14, 06:00 (UTC) — German Consumer Price Index for April is published; • Thursday, May 15, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP for March, for the first quarter of 2025, as well as in comparison with the fourth quarter of 2024; • Thursday, May 15, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US retail sales index for April, the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, the index of manufacturing activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the US producer price index, the volume of retail sales in the USA for April and May; • Thursday, May 15, 12:40 (UTC) — Speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell; • Thursday, May 15, 23:50 (UTC) — Japan's GDP for the first quarter of 2025 is published. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
BTC/USDT Crypto Heist - Bullish Breakout Blueprint!🔥 Thief Trading Style: BTC/USDT Bullish Heist Plan 🔥 Greetings, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑 Ready to execute a daring heist in the Bitcoin vs. Tether (BTC/USDT) crypto market? 📈 Our Thief Trading Style combines technical precision and fundamental insights to target a bullish breakout. Follow this charted strategy to ride the wave and exit before the risky Red Zone. Let’s grab those profits together! 💪🎯 --- 📊 Trade Setup: The Heist Plan - Market: BTC/USDT (Crypto) 🌐 - Bias: Bullish Breakout 🌟 - Timeframe: 1D (Swing Trade) ⏰ Entry 📈: - Breakout Entry: Wait for a clean breakout above the Moving Average (MA) at 108000. Place Buy Stop orders just above 108000 to seize the momentum. 🚀 - Pullback Entry: For lower-risk entries, set Buy Limit orders at the recent 15M/30M swing low (e.g., 105000-106000) to catch pullbacks. 📍 - Trader Tip: Set a TradingView alert for the 108000 breakout to stay ahead of the move! 🔔 Stop Loss 🛑: - Breakout Traders: After the breakout confirms, place your Stop Loss below the recent 1D swing low at 96000 to guard against reversals. ⚠️ - Pullback Traders: Tailor your Stop Loss to your risk appetite (e.g., 1-2% of account). Adjust based on lot size and multiple orders. 📏 - Risk Alert: This heist is high-stakes! Stick to disciplined position sizing to protect your capital.🔥 Target 🎯: - Aim for 122000, near the risky Red Zone (an overbought area prone to consolidation or reversal). 🏴‍☠️ - Exit Strategy: Consider taking profits early if bearish signals (e.g., high volume, reversal candles) emerge near 122000. 💸 Scalpers 👀: - Stick to Long-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Join swing traders for the full heist or scalp quick moves if your capital allows. 💰 --- 📡 Why This Heist Has Potential BTC/USDT is in a neutral trend with strong bullish prospects, driven by: - Technicals: A breakout above the 108000 MA, backed by higher lows on the 1D chart, signals robust momentum. 📊 - Fundamentals: Institutional buying and positive crypto sentiment (check COT reports) fuel upside potential. 📰 - Seasonal Trends: Bitcoin often rallies in Q2, aligning with our setup. 📅 - Intermarket Factors: USD weakness and altcoin strength could lift BTC higher. 🌎 --- ⚠️ Risk Management: Secure Your Gains - News Caution: Skip new trades during major news events (e.g., CPI, FOMC) to avoid volatility spikes. 🗞️ - Trailing Stops: Use trailing Stop Loss to lock in profits as price nears 122000. 🔒 - Position Sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of your account per trade for a safe heist. 🚨 --- 💥 Power Up the Heist! 💥 Join our Thief Trading Style crew by liking, commenting, and following for more high-energy trade plans! 🚀 Your support strengthens our market raids, helping us profit with precision. Let’s conquer BTC/USDT together! 🤝🏆🎉 Stay Sharp: Another heist plan is on the horizon. Keep your charts locked and loaded, traders! 🐱‍👤😎 #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Bullish #SwingTrading #Breakout
Long
by Thief_Trader
2
MSTR - Strategy B fractalsVery interesting patters in MSTR stock when using Fibo levels. By taking the high of 2021 as the reference (fibo = 1) and projecting it to the current cycle we can see that: 2024 mid year top was 1.618 level and mid year low was 0.786 level. 2024 blow off top was 4.236 level. Now if we take the 2024 consolidation range and apply fibo to the top and lows of that range, we get also the blow off top at the same level: 4.236, and exactly the same price (around $500). If we recursively apply this to current blow off top and current low in 2025, we would get a blow off top of around $1,500 if we aim at the 4.236 fibo level.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by UnderstandingBitcoinPrice
Bitcoin, MACD and what we may get over the weekend - STILL BULLS Just a quick post to explain how Ia m looking at this weekend with Bitcoin and I will use the MACD as amajor player here. The BTC chart above is Daily, we can see the "Cuo " pattern, we can see the Long term rising Libne of support, we can see the red 236 Fib circle we shot through and the up coming 618 fib circle, that may or may not be trouble. And that 2.618 Fib extension I can easily see us returning to to test as support. WHY ? The MACD on numerous timeframes... What is MACD ? MACD, short for Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a technical indicator used in the analysis of securities prices. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and is widely used to identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price OK, So, Lets start witht he 4 hour MACD - I zoomed out on this a little so we can get a long term look at this and you can clearly see, we are already gettign near the High side, overbought levels where, historically, MACD turns Bearish, crosses over the Signal line ( red) and heads back down to cool off befoe heading higher again. We are not yet as high as we were in Late April but it is not far off. Safe to assume this will turn down. So now, lets see the Daily MACD This is the daily MACD from around Nov last year and, again, we are heading into an area where it is prudent to be Bullish and Cautious. Remember, the moves in the 4 hour are a lot quicker than the daily. Go back and Look at the 4 hour, see where MAY began and what the MACD did in that time See what that was on the Daily ? It was that little Blip on the rise up , that we are now continuing. So, we have more room to go on the Daily. and now the Master MACD, The WEEKLY ,the one that told us we were going to range in 2024, 2025 and will once again tell us when PA has reached Exhaustion later in this run In this chart, you can see the 2 ATH's in 2021, you can see the Bear market and the recovery and everything ever since. And you can also see that we have Still to cross the Signal line here to really enter a bullish state. We have SO FAR to go here.....BUT with the high price now now have with BTC, it take more to push it higher. See how high MACD had to go to push PA up this last time ? The same height as it had to go in the 2024 push and yet we went twice as high on PA. So, th be realistic here.....We are entering a bullish push but a $1 million BTC is NOT going to happen just yet. SO, back to this weekend, the shorter term. the 4 hour is high, already starting to turn as I write. I can see BTC PA ranging or, maybe, as I said, testing the 2.518 as support at around 98K. What people also need to watch os that BTC.D I talled about yesterday to guage if ALTS will Dip back lower or not. Some alerady seem to be Dipping SO, Bullish Caution for the weekend....Hang in there.....We only just begun
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
#BTCUSDT:Price Moving Well From $88,000 to $96,000,Next $128,000Bitcoin has moved well from our last idea of $88,000 to $96,000. However, a small correction is expected, which could be a good point to enter a swing trade. This could take the price to a new record high of around $128,000. We have three targets, but each can be set based on your overview. The last three candles are not clear, so it’s best to wait for price to have a clearer indication of its next move. We wish you the best and good luck in your trading journey. Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
24
#BTCUSDT: Will Bitcoin Make Any Correction To $90,000?Hey Everyone, Happy Sunday Currently, Bitcoin’s price is consolidating within a shorter timeframe, which has heightened the likelihood of it reaching the $90,000 ‘FVG’ region. However, this could be attributed to the hectic week we experienced, with numerous significant market announcements that have heightened uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market. At present, there are two opportunities for Bitcoin: one is riskier, while the other is considerably safer. You can utilise this analysis as a secondary bias. We extend our best wishes and good luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated. If you wish to contribute, here are several ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
Long
by Setupsfx_
2