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Long Story short for BTCHistory hasn't failed yet, so the four-year cycle is still intact until it isn't. I have stretched this chart out for the next couple of years so that you can get a good idea of where the potential bottom will be during the next bear market. I plan to accumulate as much as possible the closer it gets to 66k. If we do reach a 150-250k top this cycle then I will expect a bear market bottom between 66-76k. Watch my levels and use them as a guideline. Historically Bitcoin has NEVER returned to the price its low during the US election week: 2012 Election Week Low - $10 2016 Election Week Low - $700 2020 Election Week Low - $13,200 2024 Election Week Low - $66,800 that brings us to now... if this doesn't indicate the current market sentiment then I don't know what will. There's a reason why many genius economists are speculating a 1 million dollar bitcoin in the next 8 years.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
1
Trump and Zelenskyy Clash | I Predicted BTC crash week ago As I mentioned a week ago, Bitcoin (BTC) was poised for a correction, and we’ve now seen this play out over the past few days. On the 1D timeframe, Bitcoin tested its Fair Value Gap (FVG) and reversed from that zone. Today’s closing candle showed some bullish pressure, indicating a potential reversal toward the 90,000 – 92,000 range. The FVG was tested cleanly, and the reversal was strong. What’s Next? Donald Trump and Zelenskyy Clash While the market showed a healthy reversal from the FVG, recent news of a clash between Donald Trump and Zelenskyy at the White House has introduced uncertainty. Trump’s statement that “President Zelenskyy is not ready for peace” has created a negative sentiment in the market. If tensions escalate further, this could lead to a bearish impact on the market, as geopolitical instability often weighs on risk assets like Bitcoin. Expected BTC Zones Given the current situation, here are two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: Bearish Impact from Geopolitical News If the clash between Trump and Zelenskyy escalates and fear spreads in the market, Bitcoin could drop to the 73,500–76,000 zone in the coming days. Scenario 2: Recovery Continues If the news has a limited impact and the market stabilizes, Bitcoin could continue its reversal from the FVG and gradually move back toward the $92,000 zone. Key Takeaways: Trade with Caution: Given the current geopolitical developments, it’s crucial to trade carefully and use stop losses to protect against sudden market moves. Monitor News: Keep an eye on further developments between Trump and Zelenskyy, as they could significantly influence market sentiment. Note My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward. Thank you!
Short
by The_Chartist30
Bitcoin Plummets: ETF Exodus, Liquidations, and Global Jitters Bitcoin's recent plunge below the $90,000 threshold, a level unseen since November 2024, has sent ripples of concern through the cryptocurrency market. This sharp correction is attributed to a confluence of factors, including persistent ETF outflows, a surge in leveraged liquidations, and mounting geopolitical tensions, creating a volatile environment that has shaken investor confidence. The most immediate catalyst for Bitcoin's decline has been the sustained outflows from US-listed Bitcoin ETFs. These exchange-traded funds, which had previously fueled Bitcoin's ascent by providing institutional investors with easy access to the cryptocurrency, have recently witnessed a reversal in sentiment. Investors, possibly reacting to broader market anxieties and profit-taking, have begun withdrawing funds, putting downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. This outflow signals a shift in institutional appetite, raising questions about the sustainability of the previous bullish momentum. Adding fuel to the fire, the crypto market has experienced a significant wave of liquidations. Over $1.3 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out as Bitcoin's price plummeted. These liquidations, which occur when traders using borrowed funds are unable to meet margin requirements, exacerbate price volatility by triggering cascading sell orders. The sheer volume of liquidations underscores the high degree of leverage prevalent in the crypto market, highlighting the inherent risks associated with such trading strategies. Furthermore, macroeconomic uncertainties are contributing to the risk-off sentiment permeating financial markets. The recent strengthening of the Japanese yen, often seen as a safe-haven asset, reflects investor concerns about global economic stability. Similarly, the dip in Nasdaq futures suggests a broader aversion to risk in traditional equity markets, which often spills over into the crypto space. The re-emergence of US-China trade tensions adds another layer of uncertainty, as any escalation could have far-reaching economic consequences, impacting investor sentiment and asset valuations. The technical outlook for Bitcoin remains precarious. Analysts are closely monitoring the $85,000 support level, which, if breached, could trigger a further sell-off. The potential for over $1 billion in long liquidations below this level suggests that a significant drop is possible. Some analysts are even warning of a potential free fall to $81,000 if the $85,000 support fails to hold, indicating a severe test of market resilience. Moreover, a more dire prediction posits that Bitcoin could potentially drop below $70,000, erasing gains made since the US election. This scenario, while alarming, highlights the vulnerability of Bitcoin to macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment. The prospect of a significant correction raises concerns about the stability of the crypto market and its ability to withstand external shocks. The current market conditions serve as a stark reminder of the inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the past, its price remains susceptible to a wide range of factors, including ETF flows, leveraged trading, and global economic conditions. Investors must remain vigilant and exercise caution in navigating this turbulent landscape. The recent downturn underscores the importance of risk management in cryptocurrency trading. Leveraged positions, while offering the potential for amplified gains, also carry the risk of substantial losses. The high degree of leverage prevalent in the market can exacerbate price swings, leading to rapid liquidations and further downward pressure. Furthermore, the growing correlation between traditional financial markets and the crypto space highlights the need for investors to consider broader macroeconomic factors. Changes in interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions can all impact investor sentiment and asset valuations. In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent tumble below $90,000 reflects a confluence of factors, including ETF outflows, leveraged liquidations, and global economic uncertainties. The market remains highly volatile, and further price swings are possible. Investors should exercise caution and prioritize risk management in navigating this challenging environment. The ability of Bitcoin to recover from this downturn will depend on a variety of factors, including the resumption of ETF inflows, a reduction in leveraged trading, and a stabilization of global economic conditions. The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can regain its footing or succumb to further downward pressure.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
$BTC Current Decline Analysis - 2/25/2025Update... 2/25/2025 As projected, Wave (e) has technically been completed. Does this mean the correction is over? The answer is no, for the following reasons: If the rebound holds, we can say the current 5-wave decline structure is complete. However, there's a possibility that the structure could evolve into a 7-wave formation. In this case, we need to watch for Wave (f), which could conclude at the $93,200 level (f = 61.8% a) or the $96,67x level (f=a). Let's see how it plays out! Cheers! CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BTC
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by photomax
Bitcoin Approaches the Critical $90,000 SupportBitcoin has registered a decline of more than 4% over the past two trading sessions, and for now, the bearish bias remains strong. This downward pressure is fueled by major security breaches on the Bybit exchange, where approximately $1.4 billion in funds were stolen. This event has eroded confidence in Bitcoin, leading to sustained selling pressure in the short term. Sideways Range Remains Intact For now, Bitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined sideways range, respecting the $106,000 resistance and the $90,000 support levels. The price has broken below the short-term uptrend, which had previously supported bullish momentum and Bitcoin is now approaching the lower boundary of this critical range. As long as the price remains below the 50-period simple moving average (SMA), the bullish momentum from January may fade, leaving sellers in control. The current sideways channel is the most important technical formation, as it may determine Bitcoin’s future trend. TRIX Indicator: The TRIX line has recently turned bearish, bringing price oscillations down to the 0 neutral level. If this level crosses into negative territory, it could signal that sellers have gained full control over price momentum. This could further reinforce the ongoing bearish pressure. MACD Indicator: The MACD histogram remains below the neutral 0 level. Both the MACD line and the signal line are following the same downward movement as the histogram. If price action continues to move further below 0, it would confirm that the short-term moving averages are predominantly bearish, reinforcing the selling bias. Key Levels to Watch: $106,000 – Major Resistance: The most important resistance level at the top of the current sideways channel. A break above this level could reactivate the uptrend that was in place a few weeks ago. $98,000 – Key Resistance: New resistance level aligning with the 50-period SMA barrier. If price approaches this level again, it could reinforce short-term neutrality, keeping the sideways channel intact. $90,000 – Critical Support: The key support level at the lower boundary of the sideways range. If Bitcoin reaches and breaks this level, the current bearish bias could become significantly stronger, potentially leading to a confirmed downtrend. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
Bitcoin's Volatility Lull: Is a Major Breakout Imminent?Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, finds itself in a peculiar state of limbo. While the broader financial world buzzes with geopolitical uncertainty and economic shifts, BTC's price action has settled into a remarkably narrow range, leading to a significant drop in implied volatility. This period of relative calm, however, is juxtaposed with significant undercurrents: a major exchange hack, strategic accumulation by corporate giants, and the ever-present debate over Bitcoin's next major price movement. One of the most notable observations is the near-record low implied volatility. Implied volatility, a measure of the market's expectation of future price swings, has dwindled, suggesting traders are anticipating less dramatic price fluctuations. This quietude is unusual for Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset. Traditionally, such suppressed volatility often precedes a significant breakout, either upward or downward. The current stasis could be a coiled spring, ready to unleash a surge of price action when the right catalyst emerges. Adding another layer of complexity is Bitcoin's rangebound trading. Despite the recent Bybit hack, which raised concerns about exchange security and potential market instability, Bitcoin has remained remarkably resilient within its established trading corridor. This resilience, however, has also bred a sense of unease among traders and analysts. The lack of a decisive break in either direction has left many wondering whether this consolidation is a period of accumulation or a sign of waning momentum. The Bybit hack, while disruptive, appears to have had a limited impact on Bitcoin's overall price trajectory. This suggests that the market may be becoming more adept at absorbing such shocks, a sign of its growing maturity. Nevertheless, the incident serves as a stark reminder of the inherent risks associated with centralized exchanges and the importance of robust security measures. Amidst this backdrop of low volatility and rangebound trading, the pronouncements of prominent traders and corporate players are adding fuel to the fire. A crucial narrative revolves around the $106,000 price level. According to some analysts, this threshold represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin. A successful reclaim of this level would, they argue, signal the beginning of a new phase of price discovery, potentially leading to substantial gains. However, the path to $105,000 + is far from certain. Counterarguments suggest that a significant dip to $80,000 remains a distinct possibility. This perspective highlights the inherent uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, where technical analysis and fundamental factors can often provide conflicting signals. The potential for a sharp correction underscores the importance of risk management and the need for traders to remain vigilant. On the bullish side, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor continues to make waves with his unwavering commitment to Bitcoin. The company's "21/21" plan, which involves ongoing Bitcoin accumulation, is progressing steadily following a recent $2 billion convertible note offering. Saylor's bullish stance and his company's strategic acquisitions have become a significant market force, providing a powerful vote of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential. MicroStrategy's approach is not merely speculative; it is a calculated bet on Bitcoin's role as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This strategy has resonated with other institutional investors, contributing to the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. The company's continued accumulation efforts are likely to exert upward pressure on Bitcoin's price, particularly if demand from other sources increases. The confluence of these factors – low implied volatility, rangebound trading, the $105,000+ debate, and MicroStrategy's aggressive accumulation – creates a fascinating and potentially explosive dynamic. The low volatility could be a temporary lull before a significant price movement, while the rangebound trading indicates a period of indecision that will eventually resolve itself. The $105,000+ level represents a critical test for Bitcoin. A successful breach of this threshold could trigger a wave of buying, propelling the price to new highs. Conversely, a failure to reclaim this level could lead to a significant correction, potentially validating the bearish predictions of a dip to $80,000. In the meantime, MicroStrategy's continued accumulation provides a strong foundation of support for Bitcoin's price. The company's strategic approach and its commitment to long-term holding suggest that it is not swayed by short-term price fluctuations. In conclusion, Bitcoin's current state is a complex interplay of conflicting signals. The low implied volatility and rangebound trading create an atmosphere of uncertainty, while the $105,000+ debate and MicroStrategy's accumulation provide clear points of focus. The cryptocurrency market is poised for a potential breakout, and the direction of that breakout will likely be determined by the interplay of these factors. Whether Bitcoin will reclaim $105,000+ or dip to $80,000 remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the next chapter in Bitcoin's story is about to unfold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
In-Depth Bitcoin VolumeData is on the chart. The single most important indicator is the Volume. There are certain anomalies in the volume that can be attributed to wash trading in the beginning or the Covid. As you can see, since the early cycles, volume in price discovery has been steady. More importantly, the current volume in price discovery is still very low. There are lots of talks about how some mythical players are accumulating. For 21M of issuance, the volume is huge, IMO. !!! It is not trading advice, but an overview of the market in the past and the current situation. I do not advise investing in highly volatile markets like crypto unless you are prepared to mark losses.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Decentralized-Trade
BTC Halving | Halving Mapping | Bull Run | Bitcoin Analysis Timeframe: 1 Week (Halving Mapping) This article focuses on three key aspects of Bitcoin’s halving, based on historical research: Bull Market Moves Bear Market Moves Pre-Halving Moves As you can see in the chart above, the previous halving events have been mapped out, providing a clear picture of Bitcoin’s price behavior. Historically, after each halving, Bitcoin enters a bull market, followed by a bear market. Additionally, I’ve observed and mapped a unique pattern that isn’t widely discussed: a pre-halving upward move that occurs before the halving event. This pre-halving move often provides significant returns, especially after a bear market phase. For investors and long-term holders, this presents an opportunity to divide investments into two parts: Pre-Halving Move: Capitalize on the upward momentum before the halving. Post-Halving Bull Run: Benefit from the sustained bull market after the halving. These strategies don’t require extensive technical analysis. A deep dive into historical data makes the patterns clear. Historically, after an uptrend, Bitcoin experiences a downtrend lasting between 1.5 to 2 years. Keeping these patterns in mind can help you craft effective investment strategies. Current Market Bull Run Update A common question among traders and investors is: Has the bull run ended? Is this the last exit point for Bitcoin? Based on my research, the bull run is not over yet. While we may see a downward move in the near term, this is likely to be a manipulation phase, creating FOMO (fear of missing out) among traders who might believe the bull run has ended. However, Bitcoin is expected to make one final upward move, reaching a new all-time high. This final phase is likely to occur in the latter part of this year, with 2025 being entirely dominated by the bull run. Looking at the 2020 halving chart, you can see a clear "M" shape pattern. At that time, the market experienced a similar phase where the "M" shape completed, and Bitcoin retraced significantly, creating FOMO. However, it eventually surged to a new all-time high in the final phase. Currently, I believe we are witnessing the formation of a similar "M" shape. Bitcoin is in the process of completing the first half of the "M," which could lead to a downward move. However, this is not a cause for panic. After this retracement, Bitcoin is expected to complete the "M" shape and reach a new all-time high later this year. On-Chain Analysis Insights From an on-chain perspective, it’s evident that major investors have not fully exited their positions. There’s a general sentiment among large holders to create FOMO, allowing them to buy back at lower prices. This aligns with my research, suggesting that the current market dynamics are part of a larger strategy. Additionally, the recent delay in the bull run can be attributed to the rise of meme coins. These coins have created a frenzy, with politicians and influencers jumping on the bandwagon to launch their own meme coins. This has diverted attention and capital from Bitcoin, causing a slight delay in its upward momentum. However, once the meme coin hype subsides, Bitcoin is expected to resume its upward trajectory. Summary Halving Mapping: Three key phases were discussed – the bull run, bear market, and pre-halving upward move. Current Chart Structure: Bitcoin is forming a half "M" shape, which may lead to a downward move before completing the pattern and reaching a new all-time high later this year. 2025 Outlook: The entire year of 2025 is expected to be dominated by the bull run. Note My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward. Thank you!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by The_Chartist30
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has remained closely aligned with the completed Outer Coin Dip at 96000. This development suggests a potential pullback to retest the Mean Support level at 91800, with the possibility of further decline down to the Outer Coin Dip marked at 89000 before a possible resurgence in the bull market. On the other hand, if the anticipated pullback does not occur, the cryptocurrency may experience upward momentum, retesting the Mean Resistance level at 101300. This could lead to an extension toward challenging the completed Outer Coin Rally at 108000 through Key Resistance at 106000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
#Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Is a Reversal or Just the Beginning?BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is once again in the spotlight! The market is at a crossroads, and Bitcoin is deciding its next move. Recent weeks have shown volatility: sharp swings, battles for key levels, and attempts to hold critical zones. 💡 Key Metrics: ✔ Current Price: $95,472 ✔ ATH: $109,356 ✔ RSI: 45 – no clear overbought or oversold signals yet ✔ POC (Point of Control): $95,732 – we are near a major liquidity zone 🔥 What’s happening with #BTC? Bitcoin previously tested the $102,000 area, but sellers took control and pushed the price down. BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is now trading at a strong support level with high liquidity, making this zone crucial for future movements. If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P holds above $95,700, we could see a retest of $102,500 and higher. However, a breakdown below this level could lead to a move toward $92,000 or lower. 📉 Current Situation: ➡️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues testing the key $95,732 level, which serves as the POC (Point of Control) – the area with the highest liquidity and the most concentrated orders. ➡️ The price is consolidating at the lower boundary of the strong support zone $92,700 - $95,700. This level has held multiple times, but bearish pressure is increasing. ➡️ Resistance at $102,500 - $104,000 remains a crucial barrier for recovery. ⚡ Possible Scenarios: 📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Below): 🔴 If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P breaks and holds below $92,700, further downside movement is likely: ✅ Target 1: $88,000 – a previous area of strong buyer interest. ✅ Target 2: $84,500 – a critical support zone where a strong bounce may occur. ✅ If selling pressure continues, the next major support lies around $80,000. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Reversal Upwards): 🟢 If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P holds above $95,700 and breaks $100,000, a strong upward impulse may follow: ✅ Target 1: $104,000 – the nearest key resistance. ✅ Target 2: $110,000 - $112,000 – an area where new local highs could be formed. ✅ A breakout above $115,000 would open the way for testing $120,000. 📌 Bitcoin is currently in a high-risk zone, where any move could trigger a strong breakout. 📌 For traders: Be cautious with short positions, as the $92,700 - $95,700 zone could induce a bounce. 📌 For long-term investors: Watch the price reaction at $92,700 – if this level holds, it may be a strong accumulation point. 📌 Risk Factor: If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P breaks and consolidates below $92,700, bearish momentum could intensify, leading to further declines towards $88,000 and below. 🚀 # BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is at a crossroads – be ready for a big move!
by MoriartyTrading
Bitcoin Yet To Recover Amidst February DipBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has yet to fully recover from its early February drop. The leading cryptocurrency remains colloquial, trading between $92,000 support and $102,200 resistance. This price variations posits a key contrast between digital and physical gold—while an ounce of gold trades at a relatively modest $3,000, Bitcoin fluctuates within a $10,000 price disparity. BTC’s future direction remains uncertain. If buyers gain strength and push the price above $100,000, Bitcoin could test new highs in the $102,200–$105,500 range, potentially extending its upward trend. However, a deeper correction could trigger a retest of the $93,000 support level, which would likely lead to a new local low within the $89,200–$92,000 range. Presently Up 1.02% with a moderate RSI of 44.90 a moderation largely attributed to Michael Saylor's 7,633 purchase of Bitcoin worth $742 million today. While the fear and greed index still remains at 35 this hints at a potential pull back might be inevitable.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
The Wait Is Almost Over – Alt Season Is Near The moment we've all been waiting for is just around the corner. Now is the time to apply cycle indicators and accumulate high-potential coins. I was much less active in January due to the 3-day cycle failures on most altcoins. The last 60-day cycle of the weekly trend didn’t offer great buying opportunities. But now, it's time to start aiming for those 100%-200% gains with relatively lower risk. (Premium members are already scouting top coins in our chat!) 🔸 Not Everything Is Straightforward Yet Just because some alts have dipped **60-70%** over the last two months doesn’t mean they’ll immediately pump. You still need to **buy in the “green” zone** on cycle indicators—otherwise, you risk getting rekt. 🔹 Bitcoin Outlook BTC is slowly approaching its **60-day cycle low** toward the end of the month. The **3-day cycle topped above 80**, increasing the chances of BTC heading toward the **90s area** before finding support. 😱 More blood on the charts? Possibly. Right now, there are two types of traders: 1️⃣ Those who believe the top is in. 2️⃣ Those who think February will be extremely bullish. I believe once both groups are confused, the upside will resume—likely in March, after the 3-day cycle resets and Bitcoin takes another leg down to shake out traders. 📉 Watching the 2-Week & 3-Day Cycles When the 2-week cycle trends downward, we usually don’t perform well. Sure, we could reverse before the cycle fully resets, but ideally, we want the 3-day cycle to drop to around 20 before rebounding. If the 3-day cycle continues to fall (which is likely unless we move up soon), February could see more bearish action before a stronger recovery. Stay sharp & follow the cycles. 🚀
Long
by TheStrategyMaster
5
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn. Key Support Level Identified Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation. The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include: • Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price. • Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment. • Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market. Risks to Watch Out For Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include: • Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn. • Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility. • Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm. Balancing Act Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory. Conclusion Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
Bitcoin Price Surges Despite US-China Trade TensionsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has seen a surge in price in recent weeks, despite ongoing trade tensions between the US and China. Bitcoin's price has risen by over 20% in the last few months, and some analysts believe that it could reach a new all-time high in the near future. There are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. One factor is the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as Tesla and MicroStrategy, have announced that they have purchased Bitcoin as part of their treasury reserves.2 This has helped to legitimize Bitcoin as an investment asset and has attracted more institutional investors to the market. Another factor that is driving Bitcoin's price growth is the increasing use of Bitcoin as a means of payment. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as PayPal and Visa, have announced that they will allow their customers to use Bitcoin to make payments.3 This has made it easier for people to use Bitcoin in their everyday lives and has helped to increase demand for the cryptocurrency. Despite the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, Bitcoin has continued to perform well. This suggests that Bitcoin is becoming increasingly decoupled from traditional financial markets. This is likely due to the fact that Bitcoin is a decentralized currency that is not controlled by any central bank or government. As a result, Bitcoin is not as susceptible to the same economic and political risks as traditional currencies. However, it is important to note that the price of Bitcoin is still volatile and can fluctuate significantly in a short period of time. As a result, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin. Other factors driving Bitcoin's price In addition to the factors mentioned above, there are a number of other factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors include: • The increasing scarcity of Bitcoin. There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins in existence. This scarcity is one of the reasons why Bitcoin is seen as a store of value. • The increasing adoption of Bitcoin by developing countries. In many developing countries, Bitcoin is seen as a more stable and reliable currency than the local currency. This is driving demand for Bitcoin in these countries. • Overall, there are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors suggest that Bitcoin could continue to perform well in the future. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln