Bitcoin Approaching Key Resistance—Watch for Breakout / PullbackSince the last analysis, Bitcoin has respected the Crucial Support Zones and is now approaching a pivotal point at the Descending Resistance trendline.
We’ve seen a bounce off the support zones, particularly the 1W BISI, which has held firm, and the next move will be decisive as BTC approaches the U.S. Election timeline in early November.
Key Developments:
Bitcoin is approaching the Descending Resistance, with a potential breakout signaling a move towards 76K and beyond.
The 1W BISI (one-week bullish imbalance support) has acted as a strong foundation for this current price action, making the upcoming resistance test a crucial moment.
The RSI is sitting comfortably above 55, showing momentum building up in favor of the bulls.
Strategy Update:
Swing Traders: Look for confirmation of the breakout above the descending resistance. If price holds and closes above this level, a run toward 76K and 80K becomes highly probable.
Scalpers: Stay cautious around the resistance zone. If Bitcoin fails to break out convincingly, a short-term pullback to retest the 1W BISI could provide shorting opportunities.
Key Levels:
Resistance: The Descending Resistance trendline is your key point for watching breakout potential. If BTC breaches this level, expect a rally to 72K and 74K.
Support: The 1W BISI and Crucial Support Zone 1 (around 64K) will act as strong support levels in case of any short-term corrections.
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This setup remains crucial as the U.S. Election date approaches, a point that may trigger increased volatility across markets. Keep your risk management tight and stay flexible as the market prepares for its next major move.
Bitcoinmoon
Bitcoin: Step-by-Step Action Plan for 2025
Bitcoin has just reached its 60-day cycle low, coinciding with the conclusion of the U.S. election—a critical moment in both markets. If this cycle follows a "right-translated" pattern, we could see BTC maintaining bullish momentum for the next four weeks.
In trading, two types of participants tend to profit: those who spot and act on trends using indicators, market structures, or other strategies, and those who rely on luck by buying at the right time. While luck might bring gains in a market with Bitcoin’s history of strong growth, relying on it is often short-lived. Without the skill to analyze the market, "lucky" traders often lose out in the long run, especially when conditions turn.
For sustainable success, understanding the 60-day cycle and recognizing right-translation as a bullish sign can make all the difference. Watch for potential upward movement in Bitcoin over the coming weeks, but remember to keep an eye on key indicators and manage risk carefully!
What Are the Cycles Telling Us About Bitcoin and Altcoins Right Now?
Bitcoin Confirmed 60-Day Cycle Low: Bullish Setup for the Next 40 Days
Bitcoin's price is showing signs of upward momentum. Our 3-day indicator, which we aimed to see below 20, has started turning upward, suggesting a bullish short-term pattern. Currently, the daily indicator sits around 46—potentially a good entry signal. Over the next 3-4 days, we could see a strong price push, potentially followed by a brief consolidation.
The ideal buying opportunity came at the last cycle bottom of $56,000, with the next best entry at the recent low around $70,000. Now, with Bitcoin confirming its 60-day cycle low at $68,000 and beginning its ascent, a right-translated cycle could mean a climb over the next 40 days, providing ample time for gains.
While the 1-week indicator (red line) is above 80, it’s holding steady, indicating a continued bullish phase. Although this weekly indicator may dip to 20 within the next month or two, bringing another buying opportunity, strong uptrends can mean that waiting could result in missed profits. Stay alert for potential pullbacks, but the momentum is favoring the bulls!
Don't sleep on open profits - always take profits on the cycle tops!
BITCOIN IS FINALLY READY TO LIFT OFF !!After several months of consolidation and reaccumulation between $50,000 and $70,000 USD, OKX:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! has formed a massive bull flag and is finally beginning to break out.
Since 2012, Bitcoin has surged in the weeks leading up to U.S. presidential elections, only to experience a "sell the news" event afterward, regardless of the winning candidate or party. Mark your calendars for November 4th, 2024, to stay ahead and avoid potential liquidations.
This pattern is corroborated by most altcoins, which are signaling strong buy indicators through multiple technical factors.
Also, please remember the annual tax sell-off that typically occurs in late December.
Bitcoin is on a path toward $140,000–$160,000 by March 2025, which I expect to be the ultimate peak.
The 16-year cycle, which has held on average for the past 100 years, will conclude, leading to a global recession akin to 2008 but even more severe. The events of 2022 and the August 2024 flash crash were just preludes to what may be coming.
Please note, this is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, exercise due diligence, and practice proper risk management.
(I apologize for the picture from KuCoin on top of the TradingView chart; I forgot to renew my premium subscription.)
Best regards, and may fortune favor the bold,
cy4ne
Sep 17, 2024 Short term bitcoin analysis Bitcoin has broken the falling trend channel in the short term and reacted strongly up. For the time being, it is difficult to say anything about the future trend direction. The currency is testing support at points 58000. This could give a positive reaction, but a downward breakthrough of points 58000 means a negative signal. The currency is assessed as technically neutral for the short term.
Bitcoin CUP and HANDLE pattern ☕️ Buy the dip-Take the sip🤩🤩60000 $ to 61000 $Price Range is quite holding well.
➣ Bitcoin price is forming rounding bottom in the 60k-61k price zone.
➣ While 65000 $ is the major resistance. We may some good action this point. But the Weekly and Daily uptrend is intact which confirming the BUYING sentiment.
➣Accumulate at current market price we may see further upside in coming sessions.
Bitcoin Channel AnalysisBullish scenario: $64000 is broken and run to $72000. If $72000 is broken, a bull flag formation occurs and 100k is reached.
Bearish scenario: Rejection at $64000 and break of both price action support and moving average level at $60000. It drops up to $52000.
Since it recovered quickly after the decline below 60k at the beginning of May, I think the bear scenario is not possible except in an extraordinary situation. But we should not forget to put our stops just in case. On the contrary, apart from these two scenarios, it is also possible for Bitcoin to fluctuate in the parallel channel between 73k - 60k.
Update on the Path to $100K and $150K BitcoinHere's an updated 'Path to $100k - $150k Bitcoin' study.
We've already seen the power of the ETF money flowing into these markets, which seems unstoppable with Blackrock and Fidelity now with over $16B in AUM.
We're also now seeing heavy corporate accumulation by the likes of MSTR which just upsized it's convertible debt offering to $700M from $600M to buy more Bitcoin.
But as I've been speculating lately that other corporate accumulation has already begun, and would soon be 'revealed' at quarterly earnings reports and 10K filings...
A wallet address associated with Tesla has started showing new accumulation of BTC.
According to news sources: "Data from Arkham Intelligence reveals Tesla's apparent accumulation of Bitcoin, with holdings now at 11,509 BTC, up from 9,720 BTC. This surge, amounting to 1,789 BTC (approximately $120.4 million), suggests a renewed interest in the cryptocurrency."
And they're likely not the only ones.
It's a game of musical chairs, and not everyone will have a seat when the music stops.
How high will this push Bitcion and the rest of the crypto markets?
As you can see from this study analyzing the past cycle's fibonacci projectsions which correctly called the market cycle top exactly, and also by overlaying the last cycle's price action pattern, stretched out slightly to account for the pre-halving tempo of this market...
We can clearly see $100k Bitcoin as the likely next point of resistance, and after potentially re-testing the current $70k new high, bitcoin could easily push higher to $155K this year.
Similarly, the chart suggests that at a full 3.618 Fibonacci extention like the last cycle, puts Bitcoin at a $210K high this cycle, likely in 2025.
What ar your thoughts?
Last chance to buy. Last week was very eventful for BTCUSD. Breaking out of the
two week long consolidation, the price surged, increasing by around 20%.
However, after reaching a local high on Thursday, the price began
consolidating recent gains and is adjusting to the $60,000 mark.
The positive for bulls is that this consolidation is forming a symmetrical triangle, which we know typically indicates a continuation pattern.
In conclusion, in my view, any dips should be considered opportunities for
buying, and only if the price drops below 59K in terms of daily closing would
this scenario be put on hold.
Bitcoin With the Expected Pullback but How Far?Bitcoin has given us our expected pullback and now we must look at the support side to study which supports will hold price and for how long?The first option, as of this post, is that the pullback will only last till Tuesday (U.S. stock markets are closed Monday) and then the buyers come back via BTC ETFs. If this is the case, it may also mean that our RED ascending trendline, which currently sits at around 50,300, may hold. If our RED ascending TL holds, there is a likelihood we go to 56k before more pullback.
Our second scenario is that the TL breaks and we drop to 48k before more buyers jump in. This is my hope because it represents the best technical options. I’d like to see a retest and hold of our 48k price level. And if we hold, I see the upward longer-term trend continuing for some time.Of course, we could always break 48k support. This is our third scenario. If 48k support breaks, we do have a lot of support underneath us and I don’t see us dropping much below 42k before demand kicks back in. Remember, ETFs are currently demanding 12x+ more than BTC miners can provide. This is on a liquidity ratio of 1 to 4, meaning that something like less than 25% of all Bitcoin in current circulation is even available for trading. Simple math here suggests a near impossibility to drop to 20k or lower again as some analysts are suggesting. Even 31.6k, as I had previously suggested (this was before ETFs were actually confirmed and approved) is now somewhat of a bygone dream. But with current U.S. geo-political policy as disastrous, devastating, disgusting, and destructive as it currently is, it remains a possibility. Anything that brings the price to that level will almost certainly be news-driven at that point in my opinion.
Other indicators that we must consider are the strength of the U.S. dollar and the status of the U.S. stock markets. The dollar (below) continues its rise in strength to that 105.6 target level as predicted many months ago. Once achieved, back down we’ll go. Dollar weakness is almost always reflected in market price which then trickles over into our crypto space. But even more so does this last part ring true with the advent of BTC ETFs in the space.
If the dollar does as I have expected and drops once it hits or nears that 105.6 resistance level, the meltup that I predicted a year and a half ago now, will continue onwards and upwards to even greater highs. Many markets and indices have already achieved all-time highs. This melt-up should continue into mid-late summer. But somewhere before September you can expect it all to end and come crashing down. Bitcoin would then follow at that point but from what price level and to what extent is yet obviously unknown. I do believe Bitcoin reaches at least 80k by mid-late summer. Any sort of crash from that point could bring us quickly back down to 48k or lower. But, I don’t want to speculate price action too dogmatically that far into the future. What I am fairly sure of is a blow-off top (already happening in U.S. stock markets) and then a fairly severe pullback (potential crash) sometime around or before September of this year. This is what I am attempting to prepare myself and those who follow me for.
Now lastly, in terms of my current trades, I have taken profits on most and been stopped out of others at or just above break even. I mainly did a just-above-break-even SL for psychological benefit as it shows green on my spreadsheet (insert smiley emoji). Once I have ascertained to a greater degree where this current pullback will find support, I will begin looking for new entries again.
Bitcoin halving starts in 60 days. I like this price channelI’m not saying that Halving will begin on April 8th, this is an assumption based on my findings.
My forecast is this: Bitcoin is now a colossal success for ETFs, and now "MicroStrategy" has like-minded people, it is enough to single out one figure for everything to fall into place, "BlackRock", which is accumulating 82000 Bitcoins today and announces on the "CNBC" channel that they will be accumulating Bitcoin for several more years.
Based on these important facts, I have a positive forecast for a new high in the price of Bitcoin.
BTC - Bitcoin Falling to $32,000! Or Will It Fall Lower?Bitcoin completed its measured move from the breakout at $31,800, to $37,800 and reached its peak at $48,900! As expected, we witness a sell signal at this level, indicating that the bull run is over. Should we short or long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
My last analysis began just after the confirmation bar closed after the sell signal that wicked at $48,900. This analysis called for a short to just above the trading range support at $38,350:
That short has come and gone, there is not enough area left to short without placing too much initial risk on the trade. It is still reasonable to short on lower timeframes like the 5m and 15m chart, but not the 4HR and Daily as we're doing here. We should be looking for long entries in the Trading Range zone between $31,800 and $37,500, right at the Daily 200EMA support.
If we find a strong bull signal and confirmation candles following that support area, we should enter at least a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio long with a position size near our maximum, as justified by these data points and the macro bull trend. Stop loss should be placed below the Trading Range at $34,300. It's reasonable to take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward around $38,900, move the stop loss to your entry price to lock in profits, and then swing the rest of the position to at least $41,200.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $36,600
🟥 Stop Loss: $34,300
✅ Take Profit #1: $38,900
✅ Take Profit #2: $41,200
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Measured Move completed followed by strong sell signal and confirmation bars
2. Two legs into a pullback with a gap to fill to the Daily 200EMA
3. Look for Support to long in the Trading Range near the Daily 200EMA
4. RSI at 38.00 and below the Moving Average, supports the continued to fall to the Trading Range
5. Once a strong signal and confirmation bull bars close above the Daily 200EMA, it's reasonable to long at 1:2 Risk/Reward
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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