Bitcoin: Step-by-Step Action Plan for 2025
Bitcoin has just reached its 60-day cycle low, coinciding with the conclusion of the U.S. election—a critical moment in both markets. If this cycle follows a "right-translated" pattern, we could see BTC maintaining bullish momentum for the next four weeks.
In trading, two types of participants tend to profit: those who spot and act on trends using indicators, market structures, or other strategies, and those who rely on luck by buying at the right time. While luck might bring gains in a market with Bitcoin’s history of strong growth, relying on it is often short-lived. Without the skill to analyze the market, "lucky" traders often lose out in the long run, especially when conditions turn.
For sustainable success, understanding the 60-day cycle and recognizing right-translation as a bullish sign can make all the difference. Watch for potential upward movement in Bitcoin over the coming weeks, but remember to keep an eye on key indicators and manage risk carefully!
What Are the Cycles Telling Us About Bitcoin and Altcoins Right Now?
Bitcoin Confirmed 60-Day Cycle Low: Bullish Setup for the Next 40 Days
Bitcoin's price is showing signs of upward momentum. Our 3-day indicator, which we aimed to see below 20, has started turning upward, suggesting a bullish short-term pattern. Currently, the daily indicator sits around 46—potentially a good entry signal. Over the next 3-4 days, we could see a strong price push, potentially followed by a brief consolidation.
The ideal buying opportunity came at the last cycle bottom of $56,000, with the next best entry at the recent low around $70,000. Now, with Bitcoin confirming its 60-day cycle low at $68,000 and beginning its ascent, a right-translated cycle could mean a climb over the next 40 days, providing ample time for gains.
While the 1-week indicator (red line) is above 80, it’s holding steady, indicating a continued bullish phase. Although this weekly indicator may dip to 20 within the next month or two, bringing another buying opportunity, strong uptrends can mean that waiting could result in missed profits. Stay alert for potential pullbacks, but the momentum is favoring the bulls!
Don't sleep on open profits - always take profits on the cycle tops!
Bitcoinnews
Bitcoin’s Fate on U.S. Election Day: Predicting Market MovementsAs the world closely watches today’s U.S. presidential election, the crypto market is gearing up for a reaction that could be pivotal for Bitcoin’s future. Historically, U.S. elections have had a positive impact on cryptocurrencies, and many traders are optimistic about Bitcoin's outlook. With two contrasting candidates—one a proponent of crypto and the other leaning towards regulation—the stakes are high for Bitcoin holders and investors alike.
A Trump Win: The Fuel for a Parabolic Bull Run
If Donald Trump, a vocal supporter of cryptocurrency, secures the win, the market is likely to respond with a powerful surge. Trump’s favorable stance on digital assets could inspire confidence among crypto investors, sparking a parabolic bull run that may push Bitcoin past its previous all-time high. Many traders are poised to buy into Bitcoin if Trump’s victory is confirmed, anticipating a rush of institutional and retail investment that could propel prices to unprecedented levels.
A Kamala Win: The Calm Before the Comeback
In contrast, a win for Kamala Harris could trigger an initial wave of panic selling. Harris has shown a more cautious approach toward cryptocurrency, which may incite fear among investors and lead to a sharp pullback. However, it's important to note that strong support zones around $60,000, as indicated in the chart, are expected to buffer any drastic price drops. Despite the potential sell-off, these levels have historically provided resilience and could stabilize Bitcoin, leading to a period of consolidation.
Once the initial shock settles and investors digest the news, the market may start to regain strength. Confidence in Bitcoin’s fundamentals could draw investors back, fueling a renewed push towards the all-time high. While a Kamala win might delay the anticipated bull run, the scenario of Bitcoin falling below critical levels like $50,000 or $40,000 remains highly unlikely.
Caution: Trading Amidst Volatility
For those trading with leverage, today and the coming days present heightened risks. Apart from the election, Thursday’s FOMC meeting will bring the Fed’s Interest Rate Decision, a significant event that could add volatility to an already charged market. It’s essential to tread carefully, as both events could create sudden price swings and impact liquidity.
In conclusion, regardless of who wins, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook appears resilient. A Trump win may bring immediate bullish momentum, while a Kamala win might usher in short-term turbulence but is unlikely to derail Bitcoin’s upward trajectory entirely. Traders and investors should brace for a dynamic week, as Bitcoin prepares to navigate these significant events.
Trade safe everyone,
Cheers!
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ALERT: Bitcoin just hit >$70,000!🧵 With $100,000 in sight, you might wonder if we're truly ready for this next big move. Let’s dive into the cycles to find out 👇
1/ 🔍 Cycle Analysis can help pinpoint ideal entry points for Bitcoin—and eventually, altcoins. Here’s what we’re seeing right now (see the chart above):
2/ 📊 Today’s Reading (Oct 30): All three indicators (1-day, 3-day, 1-week) are above 80, meaning we’re officially in *overbought* territory. This usually signals a potential pullback. Translation? It’s a time to *sell*, not buy 🛑.
3/ 😱 So, why’s everyone so hyped on BTC right now?
It’s simple: after half a year of sideways action, people are ready to see a breakout. BTC has been stuck between $60k and $70k for seven months. Altcoins have taken a beating during this time too, making it tough to profit 🩸.
4/ 😅 After this long wait, everyone’s desperate for upward movement. Many folks bought at the last high back in March and are now shouting “BUY!” in the hopes others will push prices higher.
5/ The Bottom Line 📉
- We’re in overbought territory, which typically signals caution.
- The hype is real, but a retracement could offer better entry points soon.
Let’s see how this plays out! 👀
Bitcoin Weekly to Four Analysis: Everything To Know Good morning Trading family
So I created this video to figure out where we are currently at in Bitcoin in price but as well what levels can Bitcoin reach currently and what happens if Bitcoin reverses with the Bears
I try to go into full depth to give you some levels to look for to help you mark out good entry or short positions if you are shorting Bitcoin
If you like this video or found it helpful : like, comment, follow, boost I appreciate it all
Mindbloome Trading / Kris
Trade What You See
#BTCUSDT: Bitcoin to 100k is not far now! Get ready In our previous chart, we identified a potential swing buy planning area at 60k, where we anticipated a price reversal. The price subsequently reversed and is currently at 68k. Examining the price behavior in this pattern, we observe a Wyckoff strategic pattern on the two-day timeframe. The pattern has been completed, and the price is currently in a distribution phase. Potential targets include an all-time high, with 80k as the next target, followed by 90k and a final target of 100k. While this may seem optimistic, we base our actions on observed price behavior, which currently indicates the potential for a significant move. We appreciate your feedback and encourage you to follow for more insights.
EDL IS BACK : BTC SHORTKey levels and support/resistance in addition to the general 1D trend show that BTC might be keep stalling tonight.
We'll provide a daily forecast on the most interesting asset of the day each day, please stay plugged.
If you want to learn more and get more personnalized information, don't hesitate to send us a message ;)
#Bitcoin 1D chart updated#Bitcoin 1D chart;
Bitcoin is likely to touch the upper red trend line in the short term.
Let me explain why I think so, based purely on technique, far from the < emotional thinking > that I always underline, so that it is not in the air;
< ChoCh > is also known as a trend direction change. The fact that it broke the uptrend with a hard momentum candle and then unwound to the IMB area in this region, where it can hold for now, reveals this possibility.
However
The levels indicated by the orange circles are critical.
The orange circle on the left is the highest peak of the previous month. Naturally, it is the first important hurdle to cross for now. This is the 70k level . If a close above it comes, then we can talk about bullishness. For now, we can state that no chart based on rockets and flames has any basis in reality, as we have no data to suggest that it can break here hard.
What happened at the previous highs?
Not only were the highs not broken, but the downtrend line (red) also worked as resistance.
There is no reason why the same scenario cannot work again (for now).
Of course, it should not fall below the IMB level first. If this happens, the previous monthly low below will be tested.
Another perspective on Bitcoin?#Bitcoin 1D chart;
Many of you may not like reading. But I think it's worth reading if, like me, you are always looking for different perspectives on Bitcoin.
A completely simple Bitcoin chart.
The yellow vertical lines are from the Halving periods. The Blue vertical lines next to them indicate the 500 days before the Halving and the Green vertical lines indicate the 500 days after the Halving.
Let's try to interpret all this;
What was Halving meaning?
It shows the halving events that occur on the Bitcoin network. Halving is a process that occurs approximately every 4 years, where block rewards are halved. This event slows down Bitcoin's supply growth and often has significant effects on the price.
After the 2020 Halving period, we see the start of the bull run.
But before that, from 500 days ago to the Halving period, there was only a 5% drop . In total, it showed an upward performance of 291% .
In the 500 days after the Halving, we see that it reached its historical peak at that time with a total increase of 660% .
Let me share this information for those who are curious; The level exactly 500 days after the 2020 Halving corresponds to a rise of 426% .
Let's look at today's values;
From its level 500 days before the 2024 Halving period, we see that Bitcoin has only experienced a 5% drop, just like the previous one.
Are you thinking what I'm thinking?
It makes sense to start buying Bitcoin exactly 500 days before the Halving date, right? I don't see why not. So when is the next Halving? What is the date 500 days before?
Well, nobody knows that yet. Because it depends on the speed at which Bitcoin blocks are created, but it usually happens every 210,000 blocks . Assuming it's sometime in May-June 2028, that would put it between December 2026 and January 2027. When that date approaches, we will bring up this graph again and revise our predictions. Don't forget to save this post for that.
Now...
Although it is difficult to comment on how much Bitcoin testing the ATH level and making a new peak before the Halving due to ETF news will change this statistic, I think it would not be wrong to say that the endless declines since the peak are related to this.
While Bitcoin has not yet seen a new peak after the 2024 Halving, it has only risen by 10%.
What is the 500th day after the 2024 Halving?
September 1, 2025
As seen last time, on the eve of the 500th day after the Halving, Bitcoin saw a new high and fell sharply from there. It then continued to rise and made another new high. So day 500 is just before the second new high, as you can see on the chart. So if something like this happens in the next cycle, is your psychology ready for it? Can you wait that long? Or would you wait?
Let's meet in the comments...
By the way, if you like my article, I would appreciate if you can like and share it to support me.
Will #Bitcoin continue to rise? Or is this a deception?#Bitcoin 1D chart;
Let's first interpret the Bitcoin chart and then evaluate the scenarios related to the agenda for the week;
In the simplest form.
As of June, it had broken the uptrend it had been maintaining since January and started to decline.
While moving towards the Ath level again, the point I want to draw your attention to here is the part I indicated with the yellow line; If the RSI side remains weak while testing the Ath level, we infer that there is a fake rise from here.
The fact that it has retested the downtrend at this very moment may bring us the question of , so this is in the pocket.
Let's talk about the Fed Rate Decision Meeting this week;
As we know, in previous pre-meeting events, the market has shown a retreat without a bounce. This time this is not happening, why?
My personal opinion is that the market now knows that the rate hike situation is at a very low rate, so it does not price it with pullbacks. Therefore, it may be possible to infer from this that the atmosphere in the market is upward.
Nevertheless, let's not rule out the possibilities I just mentioned above. Also, as you may remember, the gaps formed on 2 different dates on the CME side are still not filled.
Have a good week for all of you
#btc CRYPTOCAP:BTC
47k Coming for Bitcoin?$Bitcoin #CME 1D chart;
The gap formed by the opening last week has not yet been filled. I think the rise will not start before this place is filled.
The Bat Harmonic structure, which is also formed in the current structure, points us to $ 47k levels. It is difficult to say anything clear if it will come true. However, we should not forget that this possibility also exists.
Bitcoin had received an upward reaction with the support it received with its last visit to the IMB level. However, as can be seen, it has not yet made any contact with the IMB zone at $ 47k levels.
It doesn't always touch these areas, of course, but why not:)
Will #Bitcoin repeat its past moves?#Bitcoin 1W chart;
Let's try to look at the Bitcoin picture from a more distant and different angle;
First of all, the positive divergence of the MVRV indicator with the breakout of the rising top in October 2020 signaled the beginning of a movement in the market.
MVRV is an indicator used to determine the overbought or oversold conditions of the market.
In May 2021, we see that the first top began to decline (2nd vertical yellow line), again with negative divergence.
Subsequently, the 1/RSI divergence at the second top signaled that the downward start of the cycle was now possible. We can say that the manipulation area here was the foam of the 2021 cycle. We can say that those who read this place well left the market with good gains in time.
With the start of the bear cycle, the next first positive signal came in April 2023. With the 2/RSI giving a positive divergence, it showed us that the direction of the market was about to change.
With the test of the Ath level in March 2024, the 4/RSI divergence formed with the 2021 top showed us that the rise was over for now. Subsequently, the 3/RSI divergence formed at this level showed us the direction of the market a little. I tried to warn you as much as I could in this regard.
The area indicated by the orange arrow below shows us that an extreme buying period has not yet started in the market and therefore we have not yet entered the cycle we call mega bull.
Let's talk about the target... According to my estimates, I foresee that this cycle may be between 102k and 120k.
I hope this was useful information for you. If you like it, I would be very happy if you can share it to support.
Will #Bitcoin repeat its past moves?#Bitcoin 1W chart;
Let's try to look at the Bitcoin picture from a more distant and different angle;
First of all, the positive divergence of the MVRV indicator with the breakout of the rising top in October 2020 signaled the beginning of a movement in the market.
MVRV is an indicator used to determine the overbought or oversold conditions of the market.
In May 2021, we see that the first top began to decline (2nd vertical yellow line), again with negative divergence.
Subsequently, the 1/RSI divergence at the second top signaled that the downward start of the cycle was now possible. We can say that the manipulation area here was the foam of the 2021 cycle. We can say that those who read this place well left the market with good gains in time.
With the start of the bear cycle, the next first positive signal came in April 2023. With the 2/RSI giving a positive divergence, it showed us that the direction of the market was about to change.
With the test of the Ath level in March 2024, the 4/RSI divergence formed with the 2021 top showed us that the rise was over for now. Subsequently, the 3/RSI divergence formed at this level showed us the direction of the market a little. I tried to warn you as much as I could in this regard.
The area indicated by the orange arrow below shows us that an extreme buying period has not yet started in the market and therefore we have not yet entered the cycle we call mega bull.
Let's talk about the target... According to my estimates, I foresee that this cycle may be between 102k and 120k.
I hope this was useful information for you. If you like it, I would be very happy if you can share it to support.
#Bitcoin geçmişte yaptığı hamlelerini tekrar eder mi?#Bitcoin 1W grafik;
Bitcoin resmine daha uzaktan ve daha farklı bir açıdan bakmayı deneyelim;
Öncelikle Ekim 2020’deki yükselen tepenin kırılımı ile birlikte MVRV indikatörünün pozitif yönlü ayrışması bize markette bir hareketliliğin başlangıcı olduğu sinyallerini vermişti.
MVRV, piyasanın aşırı alım veya aşırı satım durumlarını belirlemek için kullanılılan bir indikatördür.
Mayıs 2021’de yine negatif yönlü ayrışmayla birlikte ilk tepenin düşüşünün başladığını görüyoruz (2. dikey sarı çizgi).
Akabinde gördüğümüz ikinci tepede ise oluşan 1/RSI uyuşmazlığı artık döngünün aşağı yönlü başlangıcının olabileceğinin sinyallerini vermişti. Buradaki manipülasyon alanı da 2021 döngüsünün köpüğüydü diyebiliriz. Burayı iyi okuyanlar piyasadan vaktinde iyi kazançlarla ayrıldı diyebiliriz.
Ayı döngüsünün başlamasıyla birlikte bir sonraki ilk pozitif sinyal Nisan 2023’de geldi. 2/RSI’ın pozitif uyumsuzluk vermesiyle birlikte piyasanın yönünün değişmek üzere olduğunu bize göstermişti.
Mart 2024’de Ath seviyesinin test edilmesiyle birlikte 2021 tepesiyle birlikte oluşturduğu 4/RSI uyumsuzluğu bize yükselişin şimdilik buraya kadar olduğunu göstermişti. Akabinde de bu seviyede oluşan 3/RSI uyumsuzluğu bize marketin yönünü az da olsa göstermişti. Bu konuda elimden geldiğince sizleri çokça uyarmaya çalıştım.
Aşağıda turuncu ok ile belirtili bölge bize aslında markette aşırı bir alım döneminin henüz başlamadığını ve bu nedenle de mega boğa dediğimiz döngüye henüz girmediğimizi gösteriyor.
Gelelim hedefe.. Bu döngünün tahminlerime göre 102k ile 120k arasında bir seviyede olabileceğini ön görüyorum.
Umarım sizler için faydalı bir bilgi olmuştur. Beğendiyseniz, destek olmak adına paylaşabilirseniz çok sevinirim.
Bitcoin - On the EdgeHello everyone,
today I decided to do a quick update before I come back with Q3 update in July.
I haven't planned to do more updates this month, but I noticed something very interesting in my opinion and I think that more people should pay attention to it.
As I said before - my Base Case for Q2 was that this quartal may be the BAD time to Invest in BTC for a longer period of time due to previous experience when we had similar macroeconomic conditions. Today, we are about the same Price range, in fact, we are around 7% lower than we were at the time of that statement. So I am still going to stick with that idea until my requirements are no longer met.
Now, to the reason why I am doing this Saturday morning update...
Reason is that 20SMA & 21EMA CROSSED . It may look like nothing extraordinary we should pay attention to, but I think otherwise. Looking back on the whole History of Bitcoin, we can see that this Case didn't occur so many times, but when it did, most of the time it resulted into the decline of price in upcoming weeks/months.
For better visualization I decided to use simple Arrows, to point out the magnitude of the move before 20SMA&21EMA crossed.
- If we count the relevant Cases (ones that occurred after the STRONG upwards move) - it looks like 7 out of 7 times we experienced a significant correction in price.
- If we count all cases then it is 7 out of 11 times. In these 4 cases, we moved sideways with slightly bearish price action, BUT once we tested the price at 20SMA&21EMA and were able to hold above that price, it continued to rally to higher prices.
At this exact moment, it's hard to say with Higher% certainty which of these cases we are experiencing right now because our criteria are mixed up...
We got BOTH - strong move upside & at the same time we have been in SIDEWAYS move for several weeks already...
So I am looking for what is going to happen next week/s when we reach our 20SMA&21EMA price, because it may give us a CLEAR signal in which group we are right now.
Until then I would suggest everyone practice patience, unless you like to gamble.
Hopefully, this update was helpful for some of you in further market navigation.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me.
Also, if you are interested in more updates or you would like to receive more predictions with lower time frame updates daily, let me know in the comments or DM.
Best Regards,
Joe
Breaking $72,000 as a Catalyst for a Surge to $180,000+As we closely monitor Bitcoin's price movements, a critical resistance level at $72,000 stands out. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this barrier, it could signal the beginning of a significant upward trajectory. The implications of surpassing $72,000 are substantial, potentially driving momentum that propels Bitcoin to new all-time highs.
Reflecting on historical trends and market cycles, it's evident that Bitcoin is on the verge of entering a new bull market phase. Analyzing the patterns and growth from previous years, there are compelling indicators suggesting that Bitcoin's next peak is on the horizon. I anticipate that we will see Bitcoin's value soar between April and September of 2025, reaching levels above $180,000.
Several factors support this bullish outlook. The increasing institutional adoption, growing acceptance as a store of value, and technological advancements within the blockchain space all contribute to the potential for significant price appreciation. Moreover, the macroeconomic environment, characterized by inflation concerns and a search for alternative assets, further bolsters the case for Bitcoin's continued growth.
In conclusion, breaking the $72,000 mark is more than just a price milestone; it could be the trigger for a substantial bullish run. With the potential peak projected between April and September 2025, reaching above $180,000, Bitcoin's future looks exceptionally promising. Investors and enthusiasts alike should keep a close eye on these key levels and prepare for the opportunities that lie ahead in this dynamic and evolving market.