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Will #Bitcoin repeat its past moves?#Bitcoin 1W chart; Let's try to look at the Bitcoin picture from a more distant and different angle; First of all, the positive divergence of the MVRV indicator with the breakout of the rising top in October 2020 signaled the beginning of a movement in the market. MVRV is an indicator used to determine the overbought or oversold conditions of the market. In May 2021, we see that the first top began to decline (2nd vertical yellow line), again with negative divergence. Subsequently, the 1/RSI divergence at the second top signaled that the downward start of the cycle was now possible. We can say that the manipulation area here was the foam of the 2021 cycle. We can say that those who read this place well left the market with good gains in time. With the start of the bear cycle, the next first positive signal came in April 2023. With the 2/RSI giving a positive divergence, it showed us that the direction of the market was about to change. With the test of the Ath level in March 2024, the 4/RSI divergence formed with the 2021 top showed us that the rise was over for now. Subsequently, the 3/RSI divergence formed at this level showed us the direction of the market a little. I tried to warn you as much as I could in this regard. The area indicated by the orange arrow below shows us that an extreme buying period has not yet started in the market and therefore we have not yet entered the cycle we call mega bull. Let's talk about the target... According to my estimates, I foresee that this cycle may be between 102k and 120k. I hope this was useful information for you. If you like it, I would be very happy if you can share it to support.
by ugurtash
3
Will #Bitcoin repeat its past moves?#Bitcoin 1W chart; Let's try to look at the Bitcoin picture from a more distant and different angle; First of all, the positive divergence of the MVRV indicator with the breakout of the rising top in October 2020 signaled the beginning of a movement in the market. MVRV is an indicator used to determine the overbought or oversold conditions of the market. In May 2021, we see that the first top began to decline (2nd vertical yellow line), again with negative divergence. Subsequently, the 1/RSI divergence at the second top signaled that the downward start of the cycle was now possible. We can say that the manipulation area here was the foam of the 2021 cycle. We can say that those who read this place well left the market with good gains in time. With the start of the bear cycle, the next first positive signal came in April 2023. With the 2/RSI giving a positive divergence, it showed us that the direction of the market was about to change. With the test of the Ath level in March 2024, the 4/RSI divergence formed with the 2021 top showed us that the rise was over for now. Subsequently, the 3/RSI divergence formed at this level showed us the direction of the market a little. I tried to warn you as much as I could in this regard. The area indicated by the orange arrow below shows us that an extreme buying period has not yet started in the market and therefore we have not yet entered the cycle we call mega bull. Let's talk about the target... According to my estimates, I foresee that this cycle may be between 102k and 120k. I hope this was useful information for you. If you like it, I would be very happy if you can share it to support.
by ugurtash
#Bitcoin geçmişte yaptığı hamlelerini tekrar eder mi?#Bitcoin 1W grafik; Bitcoin resmine daha uzaktan ve daha farklı bir açıdan bakmayı deneyelim; Öncelikle Ekim 2020’deki yükselen tepenin kırılımı ile birlikte MVRV indikatörünün pozitif yönlü ayrışması bize markette bir hareketliliğin başlangıcı olduğu sinyallerini vermişti. MVRV, piyasanın aşırı alım veya aşırı satım durumlarını belirlemek için kullanılılan bir indikatördür. Mayıs 2021’de yine negatif yönlü ayrışmayla birlikte ilk tepenin düşüşünün başladığını görüyoruz (2. dikey sarı çizgi). Akabinde gördüğümüz ikinci tepede ise oluşan 1/RSI uyuşmazlığı artık döngünün aşağı yönlü başlangıcının olabileceğinin sinyallerini vermişti. Buradaki manipülasyon alanı da 2021 döngüsünün köpüğüydü diyebiliriz. Burayı iyi okuyanlar piyasadan vaktinde iyi kazançlarla ayrıldı diyebiliriz. Ayı döngüsünün başlamasıyla birlikte bir sonraki ilk pozitif sinyal Nisan 2023’de geldi. 2/RSI’ın pozitif uyumsuzluk vermesiyle birlikte piyasanın yönünün değişmek üzere olduğunu bize göstermişti. Mart 2024’de Ath seviyesinin test edilmesiyle birlikte 2021 tepesiyle birlikte oluşturduğu 4/RSI uyumsuzluğu bize yükselişin şimdilik buraya kadar olduğunu göstermişti. Akabinde de bu seviyede oluşan 3/RSI uyumsuzluğu bize marketin yönünü az da olsa göstermişti. Bu konuda elimden geldiğince sizleri çokça uyarmaya çalıştım. Aşağıda turuncu ok ile belirtili bölge bize aslında markette aşırı bir alım döneminin henüz başlamadığını ve bu nedenle de mega boğa dediğimiz döngüye henüz girmediğimizi gösteriyor. Gelelim hedefe.. Bu döngünün tahminlerime göre 102k ile 120k arasında bir seviyede olabileceğini ön görüyorum. Umarım sizler için faydalı bir bilgi olmuştur. Beğendiyseniz, destek olmak adına paylaşabilirseniz çok sevinirim.
by ugurtash
2
Bitcoin - On the EdgeHello everyone, today I decided to do a quick update before I come back with Q3 update in July. I haven't planned to do more updates this month, but I noticed something very interesting in my opinion and I think that more people should pay attention to it. As I said before - my Base Case for Q2 was that this quartal may be the BAD time to Invest in BTC for a longer period of time due to previous experience when we had similar macroeconomic conditions. Today, we are about the same Price range, in fact, we are around 7% lower than we were at the time of that statement. So I am still going to stick with that idea until my requirements are no longer met. Now, to the reason why I am doing this Saturday morning update... Reason is that 20SMA & 21EMA CROSSED . It may look like nothing extraordinary we should pay attention to, but I think otherwise. Looking back on the whole History of Bitcoin, we can see that this Case didn't occur so many times, but when it did, most of the time it resulted into the decline of price in upcoming weeks/months. For better visualization I decided to use simple Arrows, to point out the magnitude of the move before 20SMA&21EMA crossed. - If we count the relevant Cases (ones that occurred after the STRONG upwards move) - it looks like 7 out of 7 times we experienced a significant correction in price. - If we count all cases then it is 7 out of 11 times. In these 4 cases, we moved sideways with slightly bearish price action, BUT once we tested the price at 20SMA&21EMA and were able to hold above that price, it continued to rally to higher prices. At this exact moment, it's hard to say with Higher% certainty which of these cases we are experiencing right now because our criteria are mixed up... We got BOTH - strong move upside & at the same time we have been in SIDEWAYS move for several weeks already... So I am looking for what is going to happen next week/s when we reach our 20SMA&21EMA price, because it may give us a CLEAR signal in which group we are right now. Until then I would suggest everyone practice patience, unless you like to gamble. Hopefully, this update was helpful for some of you in further market navigation. If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me. Also, if you are interested in more updates or you would like to receive more predictions with lower time frame updates daily, let me know in the comments or DM. Best Regards, Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading
Breaking $72,000 as a Catalyst for a Surge to $180,000+As we closely monitor Bitcoin's price movements, a critical resistance level at $72,000 stands out. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this barrier, it could signal the beginning of a significant upward trajectory. The implications of surpassing $72,000 are substantial, potentially driving momentum that propels Bitcoin to new all-time highs. Reflecting on historical trends and market cycles, it's evident that Bitcoin is on the verge of entering a new bull market phase. Analyzing the patterns and growth from previous years, there are compelling indicators suggesting that Bitcoin's next peak is on the horizon. I anticipate that we will see Bitcoin's value soar between April and September of 2025, reaching levels above $180,000. Several factors support this bullish outlook. The increasing institutional adoption, growing acceptance as a store of value, and technological advancements within the blockchain space all contribute to the potential for significant price appreciation. Moreover, the macroeconomic environment, characterized by inflation concerns and a search for alternative assets, further bolsters the case for Bitcoin's continued growth. In conclusion, breaking the $72,000 mark is more than just a price milestone; it could be the trigger for a substantial bullish run. With the potential peak projected between April and September 2025, reaching above $180,000, Bitcoin's future looks exceptionally promising. Investors and enthusiasts alike should keep a close eye on these key levels and prepare for the opportunities that lie ahead in this dynamic and evolving market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by cryptomaki
2
Bitcoin Channel AnalysisBullish scenario: $64000 is broken and run to $72000. If $72000 is broken, a bull flag formation occurs and 100k is reached. Bearish scenario: Rejection at $64000 and break of both price action support and moving average level at $60000. It drops up to $52000. Since it recovered quickly after the decline below 60k at the beginning of May, I think the bear scenario is not possible except in an extraordinary situation. But we should not forget to put our stops just in case. On the contrary, apart from these two scenarios, it is also possible for Bitcoin to fluctuate in the parallel channel between 73k - 60k.
Long
by YavuzAkbay
Bitcoin's Halving Event: Impact, Expectations, and PreparationsAs the cryptocurrency community eagerly anticipates Bitcoin's upcoming halving event, there's heightened discussion regarding the digital asset's potential trajectory. With Bitcoin preparing for its third halving, traders and investors are deliberating on the opportune moment to engage with the market. The halving, an inherent feature of Bitcoin's protocol, serves to reduce the rate at which new coins are introduced, effectively managing inflation and preserving Bitcoin's scarcity. Historically, the halving has been a pivotal event in the cryptocurrency market, often accompanied by increased volatility and speculation. Leading up to the halving, market sentiment typically turns bullish, with traders anticipating potential price surges as Bitcoin's issuance rate diminishes. Nonetheless, caution is advised, as some investors remain apprehensive about a potential post-halving market correction. Recent bullish momentum has propelled Bitcoin to new highs, breaching significant resistance levels and impacting altcoin markets as well. Currently hovering around the $64,000 mark, Bitcoin experienced a retracement from its recent peak near $73,680. However, many view this pullback as an opportunity to enter the market ahead of potential post-halving price increases, citing historical precedents. While economists speculate on Bitcoin's future potential, forecasting values upwards of $100,000 and beyond, a balanced perspective is crucial. Market dynamics are influenced by a myriad of factors beyond the halving event, including macroeconomic trends and regulatory shifts. Investors are urged to approach their decisions judiciously and adhere to sound trading strategies aligned with their financial objectives and risk tolerance. While the halving event may present enticing opportunities, it's imperative to consider the broader landscape of the cryptocurrency market and exercise prudent decision-making accordingly.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXN1
1
Bitcoin Shatters Records, Soaring Above $73,000March 13, 2024 - In a historic surge, Bitcoin surpassed its previous all-time high today, reaching a value of over $ 73,000 . This comes just days after the cryptocurrency broke the $ 68,900 mark, exceeding its peak from 2022 . Analysts offer mixed interpretations of this development. Some view it as a sign of Bitcoin's growing maturity and solidifying its position as a valuable asset. Others express caution, highlighting the cryptocurrency's inherent volatility and the lack of strong fundamental factors driving the recent upswing. This record-breaking price follows a period of significant recovery for Bitcoin. After a major industry slump in late 2022 that saw the price plummet below $ 17,000 , the cryptocurrency has staged an impressive comeback. While the future trajectory of Bitcoin remains uncertain, today's milestone marks a significant moment in the history of the world's leading cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EliteSignals
BITCOIN - March Highier Timeframe Breakdown - 01/03/24'Hello everyone, lets jump in.. So bellow you can find screenshots, with every relevant timeframe to be looked at, to make a better educated guess at least in my opinion. First of all, I need to say, that this Idea DO NOT have to play out immediately, IF ALL! BUT Since Highest Timeframe we operating with is 3Month, there is still like 60Days window in which this CAN play out. 3M 2M 1M 15D 10D 5D So this Whole IDEA, is Based on 3M candle/timeframe (basically quarter outlook), which still follow my Q1+FED outlook as next.. --> In which I ment there is higher chance of continuing Higher with time UNTIL FED start cutting Interest Rates... and in the mean time we Rallied.. BUT since we are reached Price targets close to ATHs' I think is needed to be even more carefull.. and this due to --> If we take a look at 3M chart, we can see that prior times in History, when we reached Closing price of 3M candle, IT WAS THE TIME WHEN WE PEAKED WITH PRICE FOR PROLONGED PERIOD OF TIME. (And we already did it!) but there is still almost 2month to next FED meeting.. So Main Question is IF we will go Above ATHs' in this period of time, or We will follow what happend prior Cycles and thats correction... AND My honest answer is that I DONT KNOW, BUT if I HAVE TO pick one, I REMAIN EXTREMLY CAUTIOUS, since Right Now I see this more as "fake bull market" BECAUSE , and this "Because" have two aspects- Micro/Macro economy and then what Charts are saying.. Firstly, if we check out Charts, we can see on EVERY SINGLE ONE, that we reached with Closing Price close to where ATHs Closes are, BUT we dont Close above them.. Which In my understanding of Market Increasing chances for revisiting Lower prices "when correct time come" BUT, in the meanwhile, there is still "TREND" which I would say is still "bullish" and for that Reason we can "be trying" to reach or break ATH.. and only "time shows and chart tell" if we will go there.. BUT , as I ment.. there is other factor and thats.. Micro/Macro economy outlook at things, And I would say.. "ITS NOT THE BEST ONE"! --> Inflation is STILL HIGH (due to FED) and it looks like it slowly starting to elevate again, Unemployment is STILL relative close to all time Lows, and Interest Rates are STILL HIGH.. on top of that, from last reports it looks like economy start Slowing down a little bit BUT Markets still looks like "they dont care". Which In my opinion is BIG Mistake, and for that reason, Im trying to evaluate things on Daily basis when New Important Market/Economy News happen.. especially, in time "Where people believe only way of going is Highier!"... AND THATS BECAUSE - if we again, come back to our 3M chart, we can see there is 30D left on it.. and in those 30days market can change a LOT, AND We already reached price where In history was our "turning point" chart wise.. So, in my opinion, being a buyer right now is more risky then being seller.. , but I still label this IDEA as Neutral, since there is still lot of time remaining for Price to behave irational. Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market. If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading
Dash - Prepare for a massive breakoutHello Traders, at this time I am focusing on dash . This is a project that has been around since 2014 with continuous updates and to date is completely undervalued. From the chart we see a return of interest and technically it can get to 300 USD on a short cycle. Dash has private transactions and instant transactions. Charaterized by : ○ Strong community ○ Low marketcap 374,96 K ○ 11.69 M current circulation supply ○ All time high 1,600k USD
KRAKEN:DASHUSDLong
by IllyrianTrader
4
BITCOIN Weekly Outlook 05/02/2024Hello guys, great week to everyone. So my view on BITCOIN didnt change in last days. I think the IDEA from last Update is still in play. But - Im staying alerted, since trading range is getting squeezed into tight range, so I would be expecting highier tide of volatility to come sooner rather then later. For this reason, I would again suggest to EVERYONE to use STOP LOSS. Reason why Im somewhat "alerted" is - longer we stay in highier price range, without moving further down, in my view, it increasing chances of our idea to be WRONG- and as stated in big Q1 update, until FED start cutting, or somethiing going significantly wrong, market will go highier with time... So this would invalid our view.. BUT UNTIL IT HAPPEND we need to suggest that Sellside liquidity is the 1st target before potentional continuation of move upside since that how chart present itself after meeting... Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market. If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading
BTC ETF Approval. Expect the Unexpected.Happy New Year Traders! With the likelihood of Bitcoin ETF approval in the cards, there are a plentitude of zealous crypto traders on the crypto rocket anticipating destination moon. But what if it doesn't turn out the way everyone expects? What if the MMs shake out the pockets of dumb money and over-leveraged moon boys? Or worse yet, ETF approvals are delayed yet again? Nothing is really certain until it's settled. In this episode, we're going to discuss a few indications that the possibility of more sideways to down action is really not that far-fetched. Understanding this perspective can help us to trade safely and avoid being rekt.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
Bitcoin ETF - buy the rumor, sell the newsbitcoin @ 38K = smart btc money slowly exiting for weeks… November Highlights 🔹 Nov 17 BTC etf delayed 🔹 Nov 24 (52 Wk High 38.4K) 🔸 18 Daily High of 37K+ 🔸 ZERO daily closes of 38K+ PS could hit 40K then retest 38K for “support” and fail and my idea’s still correct 😁GG You can see that we struggle to move up and it's likely because people bought the rumor and are selling this news lol. The SEC has stated the won't give a until January 2023 and even then there are lots of issues that can come up. There is nothing to really look forward to in terms of bullish news for December. I am sitting on the sidelines as I feel the insiders are going to leave retailers holding the bag for this recent pump.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by dogdaddevan