Where from here can go BTCUSD BTC Long BTC Short How far can #BTCUSDT go?
Is the top close, before we see a bigger pull back?
Will We See Bitcoin Over $100k?
I think that at this moment, although we have great euphoria that we will very soon see a break above the magical $100k, at least according to some other indicators, we may see an all time high (ATH), but I think that after that we will see that bigger pull back.
We have that before (I pointed 2 years ago) and even I give where can be bottom.
If that happens, some will call it "fakeout" or "deviation", but I think it could just be an EXPANDING FLAT that often appears as a correction, very often as the fourth wave in the Elliott wave fraction.
B wave, from ABC correction, as a rule, ends beyond the beginning of A wave (in this case it is ATH), 105% - 138% of wave A, while the target for C (the final leg of ABC) is 123.6% - 161.8% of wave AB.
Several indicators, if we see a new ATH soon, will create divergences (RSI, AO, etc.), which can usually be an indication of an exhausting movement.
Also for this idea I see a couple of harmonic patterns that make confluences for these targets. As I said, the price has not yet reached those areas, but this is something I will keep in mind if we see the new ATH soon.
It is also interesting to see on the 1D time frame some harmonic patterns that were very important in certain moments.
I hope for everyone who wants to see Bitcoin over $100k soon, that this idea will not be correct.
In any case, time will tell if I am right and I will try to update as soon as I see some important changes.
Bitcoinpattern
Is Bitcoin Preparing for 200k?Bitcoin ha been ranging in a potential bullish flag for months. If the bulls ensures a strong bullish close above the $67,000 this week, this could interest more buyers to rally the price of Bitcoin on the continuation of a bullish swing which would eventually tag the price of $200k based on the MOBJ of the obvious bullish chart pattern detected on the weekly chart
Another perspective on Bitcoin?#Bitcoin 1D chart;
Many of you may not like reading. But I think it's worth reading if, like me, you are always looking for different perspectives on Bitcoin.
A completely simple Bitcoin chart.
The yellow vertical lines are from the Halving periods. The Blue vertical lines next to them indicate the 500 days before the Halving and the Green vertical lines indicate the 500 days after the Halving.
Let's try to interpret all this;
What was Halving meaning?
It shows the halving events that occur on the Bitcoin network. Halving is a process that occurs approximately every 4 years, where block rewards are halved. This event slows down Bitcoin's supply growth and often has significant effects on the price.
After the 2020 Halving period, we see the start of the bull run.
But before that, from 500 days ago to the Halving period, there was only a 5% drop . In total, it showed an upward performance of 291% .
In the 500 days after the Halving, we see that it reached its historical peak at that time with a total increase of 660% .
Let me share this information for those who are curious; The level exactly 500 days after the 2020 Halving corresponds to a rise of 426% .
Let's look at today's values;
From its level 500 days before the 2024 Halving period, we see that Bitcoin has only experienced a 5% drop, just like the previous one.
Are you thinking what I'm thinking?
It makes sense to start buying Bitcoin exactly 500 days before the Halving date, right? I don't see why not. So when is the next Halving? What is the date 500 days before?
Well, nobody knows that yet. Because it depends on the speed at which Bitcoin blocks are created, but it usually happens every 210,000 blocks . Assuming it's sometime in May-June 2028, that would put it between December 2026 and January 2027. When that date approaches, we will bring up this graph again and revise our predictions. Don't forget to save this post for that.
Now...
Although it is difficult to comment on how much Bitcoin testing the ATH level and making a new peak before the Halving due to ETF news will change this statistic, I think it would not be wrong to say that the endless declines since the peak are related to this.
While Bitcoin has not yet seen a new peak after the 2024 Halving, it has only risen by 10%.
What is the 500th day after the 2024 Halving?
September 1, 2025
As seen last time, on the eve of the 500th day after the Halving, Bitcoin saw a new high and fell sharply from there. It then continued to rise and made another new high. So day 500 is just before the second new high, as you can see on the chart. So if something like this happens in the next cycle, is your psychology ready for it? Can you wait that long? Or would you wait?
Let's meet in the comments...
By the way, if you like my article, I would appreciate if you can like and share it to support me.
Bitcoin phase programmed? Take a look at the chart above. I am keeping this fully transparent: I am not a perma bear, nor am I a perma bull or moon boi. I am just analyzing what I see. If I am right, that would mean that we have bottomed for the time being and the next phase of Bitcoin is preparing. I inverted the chart to make the TA make sense to me because the right side up was just too confusing apart from the red line that I drew based on the run-up at the beginning of the year. (Which still held) We tested that red line support and retested it for the double bottom. Even if we triple bottom here it would also be a triple top inverted which is why this chart is upside down to showcase the bullish movement still works if we look at it this. Happy Trading and stay safe out there.
BITCOIN $BTCUSD - Apr 9th, 2024 | ASCENDING TRIANGLE ON BITCOINBITCOIN BITSTAMP:BTCUSD - Apr 9th, 2024 | ASCENDING TRIANGLE ON BITCOIN
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $71000 - $83000
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE 1 (WHITE): $68500 - $71000
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE 2 (WHITE): $63000 - $68500
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $52000 - $63000
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: DNT
The DNT zones are separated into two and can also be used to create expanded zones for the bearish and bullish areas. The zone is split at the 68500 level because this holds structural impact on the lower timeframes and is roughly where price should create a new support level at for the ascending triangle pattern that can be seen on the Daily timeframe down to the lower timeframes. Whether price further creates bullish support or breaks through the level and down into the bearish area, the 68500 level is my main trend determination for the lower timeframes. The ascending pattern can also be seen on the Weekly but is more so shown as a tight range and does not show as much detail as the Daily and 4H pattern did.
My main focus for looking for entries is going to be on the 4H timeframe and try to follow the chart pattern of the ascending triangle, whether it respects it or breaks it.
The bearish target was determined by where previous bullish momentum had started, about a 17% drop from the start of the bearish area.
The bullish target was made to roughly match the same percentage distance as the bearish target, which is where the 83000 level came from.
Previous CRYPTOCAP:BTC analysis is linked below!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Bitcoin Market Cycle This chart tried to reflect the uncanny similarities between Bitcoin's previous cycles and will try to use that information to "predict" next market cycle top in terms of price and time.
The price is derived using Log FIB extension 1.618 and is the minimum Bitcoin has to hit.
Although Bitcoin has gone way above this extension in the past, I am going to keep things a little conservative.
The chart is aimed to not use any indicators to keep it clean but you can apply Pi cycle top indicator (which has been super accurate to make it more precise)
The chart shows how bottom of the previous bear market to the next one takes about 206 Weeks or so and how bear market lasts about 52-55 weeks while Bull market (from the bottom and not halving) is about 155 Weeks ish.
While the drawdowns are becoming less and severe by some percentage, I chose about 75% drawdown for next bottom in 2026 with price of about mid 40K.
Like someone said " All models are wrong but some are useful" this can clear some noise and provide us some timeframe when we can start taking some profits based on time and price.
Over time, I will provide update to this model if I think I can make it more accurate.
LFG!!
Will History Repeat Itself? - Hunting for ARCSThe Bitcoin chart showcased illustrates the characteristic parabolic arcs that in the past heralded significant market turning points. These arcs depict periods during which the price of Bitcoin rose sharply, only to experience equally vigorous corrections. Such patterns raise the question - will the current price movement of Bitcoin conclude with a similar parabolic arc? This visualization aims to direct investors' attention to these potentially key formations, which could act as signposts for predicting future price movements. Recognizing these arcs becomes a "hunt," where traders endeavor to discern potential warning signals before market history repeats itself.
Bitcoin Might Retest The Highs One More Time.Bitcoin hit our target from our last video on a short squeez then came back down to retest the resistance of our descending broadening wedge as a support.With this successful retest we could see another retest at the highs
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Bitcoin Dumped To Our Target.A Retest And Pump ?BTC hit our 4H target (double bottom) now its consolidating around 35.4. we could see another retest at the lows the go higher around 38K or just push it from here.
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Bitcoin Hit Our Fib Level And Continues To ConsolidateBTC yesteday hit our fib level where we mentioned (0.618) and now its slowly pulling back up for more consolidation.possible retest points explained.
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