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Bitcoin’s Rally Fades Below Resistances — Bearish Wave Setup!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , but failed to break the Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,820) . Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($107,520-$105,940) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($106,720-$105,948) , and the Resistance lines . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 4 near the Resistance lines. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 could be the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern . I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($103,666-$102,800) AFTER breaking the Support line , and the next target is the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) . Note: Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine could help drive down Bitcoin. Note: If Bitcoin touches $107,600, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
42
BITCOIN end of cycle at $111K? Unlikely.1) The bitcoin cycle linked to the Spring 2024 halving ends at the end of 2025 The bitcoin price reached 11,900 US dollars on Thursday May 22, and many investors are wondering whether the bullish cycle linked to the Spring 2024 halving is already over. In terms of bitcoin's time cycle, the answer is negative, as all past cycles have ended at the end of the year following halving, i.e. at the end of 2025 in the case of our current cycle. 2) In terms of chart analysis of the financial markets, the underlying trend remains bullish above support at 93000/97000 US dollars. Since the bull market's starting point at the US$15,000 level, the same pattern has been repeating itself, alternating between impulses, sideways phases and bullish breakouts. As long as the market holds above support at $93/97K, this bullish pattern is not invalidated. 3) If M2 global liquidity continues to act as a leading indicator, then bitcoin's price should make a new record this summer Since the beginning of April, Bitcoin has been on a marked uptrend. This progression, which we have followed step by step, raises a key question: can this momentum be maintained throughout the spring, and even into the summer, in the absence of explicit signals of monetary stimulus from the major central banks? Such a hypothesis seems plausible, provided that a key - and often underestimated - driver continues to act: the unprecedented increase in global liquidity, as measured by the M2 monetary aggregate. This new peak in global M2 money supply is more than just macroeconomic data. It represents a genuine source of liquidity for risky assets. This aggregate includes sight deposits, liquid savings accounts and immediately available funds - all resources that can be mobilized rapidly on the markets. Global M2 is the sum of data from the three main economic zones: the United States, China and Europe. And each of them is actively participating in this monetary expansion: In China, M2 is at an all-time high, reflecting the accommodating stance of the Beijing authorities. In Europe, the aggregate rose sharply under the effect of the first rate cuts initiated by the ECB. In the United States, despite the Fed's still restrictive stance, M2 is growing strongly and is now close to its highest levels. The evidence is therefore crystal clear: the major economies are injecting liquidity in a coordinated fashion, which is mechanically supporting the valuation of financial assets, with Bitcoin at the forefront. Consequently, if this positive linear correlation continues, and if support at $93/97K is preserved, then the likelihood of a new record high for Bitcoin this summer is attractive. What about altcoins? This will be the subject of one of our next publications, so don't hesitate to follow our account on TradingView. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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INDEX:BTCUSD
by Swissquote
BTC Bitcoin Warning: No Clear Setup — Don’t Get Trapped!🚨 BTC Market Outlook: Analysis & Key Warning for Traders 🧠💡 Currently keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) 🔍. Previously, we saw strong bullish momentum propelling price upward 📈. However, that momentum is now under pressure — especially when you zoom into the 4-hour timeframe. We've seen a clear break in market structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming 🔻. Right now, there’s no clean trade setup on the table. Price has pulled back, and we’re at a key inflection point — either we see a bullish breakout, or further downside could unfold 📉. This video is more of a technical warning ⚠️ for traders feeling the urge to jump in early. The current structure is risky, and taking impulsive trades here could do more harm than good. In the video, I also cover how to identify the highest-probability setups — particularly when price consolidates in a range and then breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend. These continuation setups offer far better odds than guessing mid-range. 📌 Be patient. Let the setup come to you. Don’t force trades when conditions are unclear. 💬 If you’ve watched the analysis or have thoughts on BTC’s next move, comment below — I’d love to hear your view. ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Everything shared is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
by fxtraderanthony
BTC/USDT Analysis – Continued Rotation Hello everyone! This is a daily market analysis from a CryptoRobotics trader-analyst. Yesterday, after testing the local resistance at $105,400, Bitcoin shifted to a downward movement — but not for long. Selling pressure was very weak, and the initiative was quickly taken over by buyers. However, after a second test of that same level, selling resumed again, indicating that sellers currently hold the upper hand. Main expectation: a test of the local low at $103,000, from where a return into the sideways range and a potential retest of the upper sell zone is likely. Sell Zone: $107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volume) Buy Zones: Around $100,000 (aggressive buying volumes) $98,000–$97,200 (local support) $93,000 level $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
IBIT — Ishares Bitcoin Trust. Under Bearish PressureThe iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has been a mixed performer year to date, with its price up and down around 20 percent this year and currently tracking for low double-digit returns in 2025. The ETF currently trades around $59.36–$60.40, with assets under management of around $68 billion and a 0.1 percent premium to net asset value (NAV). 1-Hour Technical Outlook On the 1-hour time frame, technical indicators are mixed but generally bearish: Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages (e.g. 200-hour SMA/EMA) are currently signaling a Sell signal as the price moved below these averages in late May. Support and resistance: The ETF faces resistance around $61, corresponding to the broken 200-hour SMA, and support around $54, with stronger volume-based support around $47, corresponding to the beginning of the April rally. RSI indicator: Over the last 20 days, the RSI(55) indicator has already been briefly noted below the baseline of 50, highlighting the need for more active risk management, since, as we can see from the chart, the indicator has again moved into the risk zone in late May and early June (where it currently remains), accordingly, for a longer term. Volatility: During the recovery period in April-May 2025, the ETF demonstrated moderate intraday volatility (with half the 200-hour sigma value (σ) of about 3.5 percent), while the 20-hour decline on May 22-23, which exceeded this value, has provided at that time clear arguments for more active risk management. To summarize, we can say that NASDAQ:IBIT is experiencing a pullback, technical indicators point to local persistence of bearish sentiment, following the classic, empirically proven adage of the financial market "Sell in May - and Go away." -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
NASDAQ:IBIT
by PandorraResearch
1
BTC: Facing Resistance?Bitcoin recently encountered renewed selling pressure, stalling the anticipated continuation of green wave B. Under the primary scenario, this corrective upward movement should still extend into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, where the price is expected to reverse and initiate green wave C. That move should complete with a low in the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323, thereby finalizing orange wave a. Following a corrective advance in wave b, the larger wave (ii) should reach its conclusion. There remains a 30% probability for the alternative scenario, in which BTC pushes above the upper blue Target Zone, establishing a new high in blue wave alt.(i)— which would delay the expected pullback. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
BTC/USDT Analysis: Rotation Continues Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued rotating within the newly formed range, showing a slight upward bias. Today, however, the direction has shifted, and the price has started moving toward the lower boundary of the range. At the moment, price anomalies have appeared around the $105,400 level. If we see a reaction during a test of this level, an intraday short could be considered. Selling zones: $105,400 (local absorption of sell pressure), $107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes) Buying zones: ~$100,000 (initiating volumes), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin-is that it for now ? Lazy summer, take off in September? Not posted this chart for a while but we may find it has become Very relevant to what to expect for the next few months First thing to note is that PA is once again in TOP of range box and ALSO got rejected off the Long Term Blue line that has rejected BTC PA ATH since 2017. This also coincidened with the 1.618 Fib Extension. Rejection here was highly likely and given how PA had pushed up, it is not surprising to see PA at least taking a breath. For me, even though we do have the ability to push higher, I am not to sure we will just yet. The weekly MACD could offer some credence to this idea The Arrow points to an area that could turn out to be similar to what we are doing now. The MACD has begun curling over after a prolonged push higher. While There was strength left, PA took a breath and regrouped. The Chart below shows this period and how BTC PA reacted...and is circled This was in Dec 2023 to Jan 2024. PA had just had a sustained push higher and needed a break.and following a 7 week range, PA moved up another 67% 7 weeks from now brings us to near August. There are charts that point towards a move in August / September Here is another chart that offers some confluence to this idea. The Dotted line is a line of support that PA has used as support numerous times this cycle and currently, is almost bang on the 50 SMA. Assuming that PA goes back down to that and bounces again, a 67% rise takes us back up to the Top of Range Should we drop that far, to the 50 SMA again, we are in the 92K - 95K zone, scaring a LOT of people, wrecking Leverged players and putting Fear everywhere. PERFECT FOR BUYING This area also happens to be the 1.382 Fib extension on the main chart, the next Major line of support below us currently. Should we fall through that, we reach the Bottom of Range and the intersection with the 50 SMA in.......August So, we have to wait and see. We can push higher now but to do so would require breaking through that long term Blue line of resistance. I am not sure we can do that just yet. Also, Should we post a RED June candle, Even a small one, the ideas in the Monthly candle post I recently posted also back up the idea of a lazy summer...... and a move higher around Mid to late August Stay safe
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC: Still in the Grip of Wave BBitcoin is holding steady near the same levels seen at the time of yesterday’s update — and so is the structure. According to our primary scenario, we expect the current corrective wave B to complete soon within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once that happens, a wave C selloff should follow, likely targeting the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That said, our alternative scenario (30% probability) remains intact. In that case, the high of blue wave (i) has yet to form — a breakout above $130,891 would confirm that view and open the door to further upside before a correction resumes. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
BTC/USDT Analysis: Development of a New Range Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics. Yesterday, the scenario for the leading cryptocurrency remained almost unchanged. No buyer anomalies were observed within the $104,200–$102,300 area (accumulated volumes). Volume remains low. The primary scenario is the development of a sideways range between two volume zones: $104,200–$102,300 (accumulated volumes) and $107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes). If the recently formed low is retested and buyers fail to defend it, we expect a moderate short toward the next selling zone at $100,000. Selling zone: $107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes) Buying zones: ~$100,000 (initiating volumes), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
Market Overview WHAT HAPPENED? Despite the prevailing bullish trend, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold at the lower end of the sideways range. Instead, there was a breakdown downwards, which led to a shift of the accumulated volume in the short direction. After that, the support zone of $104,200 – $102,300 (accumulated volumes) was tested, which was followed by the first positive reaction from buyers. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? It’s too early to talk about a full-fledged reversal and a resumption of the bullish trend. The resumption looks weak, both in terms of volume and momentum. In the near future, we should expect a repeat test of the formed minimum. In the absence of a buyer's reaction, a rollback to the next area of interest is possible. An alternative scenario is the formation of a new sidewall between key levels: – $104,200 – $102,300 (current accumulation zone), – $107,000 – $109,800 (potential upper limit). Sell zone: $107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volume) Buy zones: $104,200–$102,300 (accumulated volume) ~$100,000 (initiating volume) $98,000–$97,200 (local support) Level at $93,000 $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) IMPORTANT DATES The following macroeconomic events are expected this week: • Monday, June 2, 13:45 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for May; • Monday, June 2, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the ISM index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for May; • Monday, June 2, 17:00 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell; • Tuesday, June 3, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index for May and in comparison with May 2024 in the Eurozone; • Tuesday, June 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for April; • Wednesday, June 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non—agricultural sector for May from ADP; • Wednesday, June 4, 13:45 (UTC) - publication of the index of business activity in the service sector (PMI) USA for May, as well as Canada's interest rate decisions; • Wednesday, June 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non—manufacturing purchasing managers' index for May from ISM; • Thursday, June 5, 12:15 (UTC) - publication of the deposit rate, as well as interest rate decisions in the Eurozone; • Thursday, June 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States; • Thursday, June 5, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank; • Friday, June 6, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States in May. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June. Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed. 🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump. 💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k. And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little. ⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume. What do you think?
by P_S_trade
#BTC/USDT It's not over yet! Eying at 130K +ALTCOIN CHEAT SHEET!The last time I shared this chart was on April 14th, when Bitcoin was trading around $84,000 — right when panic was setting in across the market. The message back then was simple: don’t panic, it’s just a retest. And here we are again, revisiting the same sentiment with a new chart! There are a lot of “double top” charts circulating in the space right now, but let me be clear: it’s not over yet. Before jumping to conclusions, go through this chart and analysis to understand the full picture. Bitcoin closed the week at $105,705 — certainly higher than most expected just a few days ago. This marks the first red weekly candle after seven consecutive green closes, which is normal in the context of a healthy uptrend. We're still midway toward the broader target, so there’s no reason to panic or shift into disbelief. Yes, we may see further corrections in BTC over the coming days or week, potentially down to $98K, and in a less likely scenario, even $ 92K. But this time, Ethereum is showing signs of strength and is likely to outperform Bitcoin, creating high-quality entry opportunities across the altcoin market. In other words, this phase is not a threat, it's an opportunity. BTC is still destined to hit $130k+ as per charts and other important metrics. Here’s a typical market structure and reaction flow to help put things in perspective: 1. Bitcoin rallies — Altcoins underperform or get suppressed due to capital rotation into BTC. 2. Bitcoin corrects — Altcoins correct further as fear increases and dominance rises. 3. Bitcoin stabilises — Ethereum begins to gain strength, often leading the altcoin recovery. 4. ETH/BTC ratio increases — Ethereum holds up better while many altcoins continue to lag. 5. Bitcoin breaks ATH — This triggers a gradual recovery in altcoins. 6. BTC dominance peaks — Altcoins start gaining serious momentum. 7. Capital rotates from BTC and ETH into altcoins — Sectors tied to the current narrative (like meme coins this cycle, and Metaverse/NFTs in the last one) begin to lead. 8. Altcoin season begins — Utility and mid-cap tokens follow, often delivering strong returns in the final phase. This pattern has repeated across cycles. Currently, we appear to be in the transition between Bitcoin stabilising and Ethereum gaining dominance — typically the stage that precedes a strong altcoin rally. Now is not the time to assume the move is over. Stay objective, monitor capital rotation closely, and prepare for what comes next. If your views resonate with mine, or if this post adds any value to you, please boost with a like and share your views in the comments. Thank you #PEACE
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptorphic
1
Can Potentially move upwards from here?Bitcoin just created an inducement and it has been hunted. Now the structure is also broken and the inducement is also taken out. The market is in a discount zone, and there's an overlap of a Breaker Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap), which indicates that the market can potentially move upwards from here. Wait for bullish confirmations here, such as MSS (Market Structure Shift), CISD (Change in Character/Continuation of Internal Structure Dynamics), and failed selling PD Arrays! Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
Long
by Peter_Wade
Daily BTC/USD Analysis - Smart Money PerspectivePrice recently swept liquidity above the previous weekly high, indicating a classic liquidity grab. After this move, we observed a market structure shift (MSS) to the downside, followed by a break and a mitigation of a bearish imbalance (BAG). Currently, price is reacting from a small fair value gap (FVG), but this is likely just a retracement. I'm expecting the market to drop further and target the larger FVG zone that aligns on both the weekly and daily timeframes (highlighted in blue). This zone also aligns with a potential POI (point of interest) for smart money accumulation. 📌 Short-term bias: Bearish 🎯 Target: 99,000–97,000 zone 🔍 Watch for rejection at current FVG or possible internal liquidity grab before the drop. Smart money is likely to seek deeper liquidity before any meaningful bullish continuation. Stay patient and let price come to the premium zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Herotraderfx
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone. 🔹 Trade Setup Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart. Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline. Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk. Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline . 🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach) To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup: 🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade). 🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher. 🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably. 🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms. 🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy. 💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict. 🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below! BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Long
by rayhanrafi7
1
BTC/USD – Double Top Breakdown Signals Bearish Wave- 4H chart. 🧨 🔍 Chart Analysis: 🟢 Recent Price Action: Bitcoin formed a double top pattern near the Recent All-Time High (ATH) 📈 — a strong bearish signal 🔔. A trendline break occurred right after the second peak, confirming potential weakness ⚠️. 🟠 Supply Zone: Price re-entered a previous supply zone (resistance area) and failed to hold above it 🧱 — indicating sellers are active again. 🔵 EMA 70 (Blue Line): The price has dropped below the 70 EMA, signaling momentum shift from bullish to bearish 📉. 🔴 STOP LOSS ZONE: Positioned above 110,555 🚫 — risk level for this short setup if bulls reclaim control. 🟡 Bearish Pathway (Expected Move): Price may retest the broken zone 🔁. Followed by a sharp drop to the 1st support near $101,503 🎯. Confirmed by large bearish volume spikes 📊. 💥 Trade Idea: Entry: Near 106,000 (on retest of supply zone). Stop Loss: Above 110,555 🔺. Target: $101,500 🎯. Risk/Reward Ratio: 🔥 Favorable setup for swing short sellers! 📛 Pattern Breakdown: ⚠️ Double Top = Reversal Signal. 🔻 Trendline Break = Shift in Market Structure. 🧊 Supply Zone Rejection = Bearish Confirmation.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by KingProTrader
2
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level. 🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning? The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play. 🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues: First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
by EhsanZeydabadi
20
Bitcoin Is Entering Into Very Difficult TimesHello, Skyrexians! I have been thinking what will happen next with BINANCE:BTCUSDT and it was obvious that correction has been started, you can easily find my recent update on Bitcoin and check it, but what will happen after. Today I decided that the first impulse has not been finessed yet and we need one more small leg up to complete this growth before significant correction. Let's take a look at the yellow Elliott waves cycle. Awesome Oscillator gave me an idea that only wave 3 has been finished above $110k. Now price is printing wave 4. Wave 4 has a target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci, but this time it will be definitely 0.38 at $101k. Here was the smaller degree wave's 4 bottom. Wave 5 will be shortened because wave 3 was extended, it's very logically. After $111k retest the major wave 2 will go to $90k approximately. Difficult times ahead for crypto, I think this period will be finished only at the end of June. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
8
Bitcoin's Breakout Fizzles: Is a Major Reversal in Play...?Bitcoin Technical Analysis – In-Depth Breakdown Over the past two months, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong bullish trend, appreciating by approximately 51%. The sustained rally was primarily driven by bullish momentum, increased investor confidence, and broader market sentiment. Recently, Bitcoin broke through its all-time high (ATH) of 106,500, surging to a new peak near 112,000. However, this breakout was short-lived as the price failed to sustain above this level, indicating significant profit-taking activity by traders and long-term holders. This inability to hold the ATH region highlights a potential liquidity pocket where sell orders accumulate, resulting in a rejection wick and a subsequent reversal. From a Technical perspective: The price has now fallen back below 106,500, turning this key level into a major resistance zone. Historically, once a strong resistance level (like an ATH) is breached and subsequently reclaimed, it often acts as a formidable barrier to upward price movement unless there’s renewed bullish momentum. Additionally, Bitcoin has broken its ascending trendline (drawn from the lows of the uptrend) and has already retested this trendline from below. The retest was successful in confirming the breakdown, which further strengthens the bearish bias. The price structure is now forming a potential lower high pattern near the 106,500 resistance. This could signal a shift in market sentiment from bullish continuation to consolidation or correction. In terms of market psychology, the all-time high region represents a crucial psychological barrier. Traders and investors often exhibit heightened caution near such levels. Many choose to lock in profits due to fear of a double top or a false breakout. This behavior can create increased volatility, especially when combined with institutional and retail order flows. Trading Strategy and Risk Management Given the technical breakdown and the psychological factors at play: ✅ A short position can be considered, particularly around the 106,500 resistance, with confirmation from the trendline retest. ✅ However, exercise caution due to the high volatility typically observed near ATH levels. Whipsaws and fakeouts are common as both bulls and bears battle for control. ✅ Avoid high-leverage positions unless you have a strict stop-loss in place. Ideally, place the stop-loss just above the 106,500 - 107,000 zone, where a decisive breakout would invalidate the short setup. ✅ For profit targets, initial supports are seen around 100,000 - 98,000, and a deeper correction could test the 94,000 - 92,000 zone. ✅ Wait for clear confirmation, such as a strong bearish candle on the retest of the resistance, before entering the trade.
Short
by Kartik_Elkunchwar