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Bitcoinprediction

Bitcoin at PRZ! Is This the Calm Before a Drop?As I expected in yesterday's idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from near the Support line and hit the Target . Bitcoin is trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper line of the ascending channel(minor) , and the Resistance line . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has successfully completed the microwave B of the main wave 4 in the ascending channel(minor). A break of the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) could be a sign of the completion of this wave. The corrective structure of the main wave 4 so far could be a Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,923 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) and breaking the Support line, the next target could be the lower line of the ascending channel(major) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,525-$104,500 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,763-$99,774 Note: If Bitcoin goes above $105,300, we can expect more pumps. Note: If Bitcoin touches $99,400, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
13
Bitcoin’s Path to ATH: Final Wave or Just a Pause? Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) pumped about +2% after the " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. " news, but then started to decline again. Do you think Bitcoin can see the new All-Time High(ATH)? Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($102,200-$101,680) and Support line . In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed microwave 3 of the main wave 5 and is currently completing microwave 4 of the main wave 5 . Given the momentum of the decline a few hours ago , I expect Bitcoin to either touch the previous low or create a new low in the 1-hour timeframe . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($102,200-$101,680) once again and possibly touch the Support line and then attack towards the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) with the two scenarios I outlined on the chart . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,313-$104,787 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $102,198-$101,697 Note: If Bitcoin can move above $104,500 without correction, we can expect more pumping. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,500, we can expect more declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
21
BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving According to the Scenario Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update. Yesterday, Bitcoin reached our sell zone at $105,000–$105,700, and we saw an immediate reaction upon testing the lower boundary of that range. The scenario outlined yesterday remains valid. We expect a corrective move with potential to reach $100,000, from where a continuation of the primary long trend may be considered. Sell Zones: $105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: ~$100,000 (absorbing volume), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume), $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
BITCOIN SCALP?. here is my famous words to you guys from this book ;>>>Now a lot of people will be looking for sells from here, so if we know that. So once we have a nice rejection from this double top and nice retrace, this looks good for the majority of people, because price come up but we failed to break above this DT or as we know a EQH. We have got a nice retrace candle, which again retail love retrace candle, because its showing potential move to the downside, and rejection from an area. So now that we have got a rejection from this DT, people are looking to sell this, and when people are looking to sell at DT, where are their stop losses going? Well they are going above the DT. But clearly they have going above the DT. Retail always put stops above DT or below DB, and then expect to move down. So that is exactly why there is liquidity this areas. So that basically means that a lot of stop losses are at this areas.. all traders on bitcoin would longs right. My target would be the 106k only for scalping. Goodluck traders, see cap and charts. its the same on our EURUSD ideas right? Grab it and take the trade. don't missed it. pewww
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
CME & Deribit Insights:Smart Money Takes Profits Ahead of ExpiryCME session update. 115 000$ partially closed just closed right before the price drop — someone had a piece of their options portfolio at 115,000 strike level already squared away. Safe to say it was an experienced player who got out near the top 💡 The good news: "he" still have about 2/3 of the portfolio open at that 115K strike. The bad news: nothing’s happened yet … But here’s what Deribit is showing us...... 👀 Observation : In the May 30 options series, the highest trading volume is concentrated between 110,000–120,000 strike levels — which makes sense given the current underlying price. But here’s the twist: this isn’t so much new positioning as it is existing players selling off . Yep — those moves were definitely noticed. Some traders are locking in profits, even though we’re still 17 days out from expiry . Overall, classic playbook: Smart money lightens the load , while the not-so-smart money tries to pick up the pieces. (Though let’s be honest — there’s way less "dumb money" in options than in spot markets 😉) 💡 Sentiment remains Bullish, but correction is prevailing at the moment! 🎯 No Valuable Data, No Edge!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by ClashChartsTeam
BTC/USDT Analysis. Local Scenario Has Changed Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update. Yesterday, Bitcoin failed to confirm the bullish scenario above $105,000 and instead entered a natural correction. The volume zone at $104,000–$103,000 mentioned yesterday still hasn't shown any clear positioning. Currently, the local scenario has shifted. On the 1-hour timeframe, we’ve seen a break in the trend structure. The cumulative delta indicates weakness on the buyers’ side, and just above the current price, there is a zone of absorbed market buys. Main scenario: a decline toward the nearest support at ~$100,000 (absorbing volume), from where we can consider rejoining the global bullish trend. Sell Zones: $105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: ~$100,000 (absorbing volume), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume), $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume). What do you think — which scenario will play out? Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives! This publication is not financial advice.
Short
by Crypto_robotics
BTC Crossroads: Will Tariff News Trigger a Counter-Trend Move?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions, Bitcoin may consolidate or experience a slight pullback as capital rotates into equities. The resulting strength in the US dollar could further contribute to a Bitcoin retracement. I'm watching for a potential counter-trend setup, specifically a short entry on a break of market structure. However, this scenario is contingent on the price action unfolding as described in the video; otherwise, the idea will be invalidated. Not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
4
Bitcoin CME Futures Daily Trend AnalysisMarkets move in cycles, and different cycle durations help confirm trends ranging from short-term to long-term. Based on my analysis of the 5-day cycle, the Bitcoin CME Futures show a bearish signal. This suggests that the closing price on May 16, 2025, is likely to be lower than the opening price on May 13, 2025, which is 103100. The current trend remains bullish, with a trailing stop-loss placed at 101059. A close below this level would confirm a sell signal. Disclaimer: This is my personal market view and not a buy or sell recommendation. Traders should conduct their own technical analysis and follow sound risk management practices before taking any position.
CME:BTC1!Short
by Mastersinnifty
Bitcoin gameplan - What to expect nextWith BTCs most recent move higher and the confirmation of a higher low within the current uptrend (the one that started Jan. 23) we have sufficient indication to assume a short term continuation of the current rally. As next target I'm looking for 120k. In the very short term we might see a little corrective move (Scenario 2) or just power through the range high of the micro range to chase the set target directly. (Scenario 1) That highly depends on price reaction to the range high price level. (106k) Either way, BTC looks great at the moment and I'm pretty confident that the bull market is far from over, especially with more inflation on the horizon. Let me hear your thoughts!
Long
by HeadlessAlts
Bitcoin BTC Is Entering Into CorrectionHello, Skyrexians! I got a lot of comments to analyze BINANCE:BTCUSDT because it has almost reached ATH and people don't understand what is happening. In my opinion last pain ahead and after that likely we see great gains. Let's take a look at 4h time frame. We can finally notice the full 5 waves cycle which is likely to be finished. If you remember my recent analysis this is just the wave 1 inside higher degree wave 3. Awesome Oscillator has printed divergence, so there is a great chance that correction has been already started. The target for this correction is 0.5 Fibonacci at $90k. I don't recommend you to short this move if you are not experienced because this is trade against the trend. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
44
Market Overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, we had a true breakdown of the local maximum for bitcoin. We considered the probability of this scenario developing in our daily analysis on TradingView. The buyer resumed control over the delta, although we had previously noted strong sell pressure within the $98,000–$93,000 range several times, which could trigger a deep correction. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? Now the price has reached the target of $105,000, the priority remains for the longs. If BTC gains a foothold above this mark, the volume zone of $104,000–$103,000 may become a key support zone. Sell Zones: $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: $104,000–$103,000 (high-volume area), ~$100,000 (absorbing/breakthrough volume), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume), $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume). IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic events to watch out for: • Tuesday, May 13, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024; • Wednesday, May 14, 06:00 (UTC) — German Consumer Price Index for April is published; • Thursday, May 15, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP for March, for the first quarter of 2025, as well as in comparison with the fourth quarter of 2024; • Thursday, May 15, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US retail sales index for April, the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, the index of manufacturing activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the US producer price index, the volume of retail sales in the USA for April and May; • Thursday, May 15, 12:40 (UTC) — Speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell; • Thursday, May 15, 23:50 (UTC) — Japan's GDP for the first quarter of 2025 is published. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin BTC price analysis - READ the text !There was some positive news: "The US and China have agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days." The price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC has entered the zone of total sales - $105-110 thousand. 🕯 Metrics show that large wallets are now opening short positions worth hundreds of millions of dollars, and on the other hand, no less large wallets that organized this rebound in the OKX:BTCUSDT price are very tempted to launch the final stage of cascading liquidations of shorts. 🍿 So, stock up on popcorn - it's going to be "fun" today/tomorrow, and then we'll go to the stronger side!) Globally, before the growth wave begins, we want to see the final "shake-up" of the longs who have survived everything and still held their positions and didn't give up. 1️⃣ Weak correction in the range of $90-91k - to close the GAP that formed on this rebound and then continue to confidently update ATH with a clear conscience. 2️⃣ A strong correction to the range of $80-82k - during which it will be very interesting to watch the capital flow and dominance. Which scenario is closer to your heart? Write in the comments! _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
4
Bullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as $31M Shorts VanishBullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as FWB:31M Shorts Vanish and "Price Discovery 2" Looms? The cryptocurrency landscape is once again electric with anticipation, and at the heart of this renewed fervor stands Bitcoin. As of May 2025, the prevailing winds appear to be firmly in the sails of the bulls. A cascade of recent market events, headlined by a dramatic $31 million liquidation of Bitcoin short positions, is sending a stark warning to pessimistic speculators. This, coupled with compelling technical analysis suggesting that Bitcoin must close the week above a crucial level to initiate 'price discovery 2', paints a picture of a market on the brink of a potentially explosive upward trajectory. This isn't merely about fleeting price surges. Underlying these market dynamics is a growing conviction that Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. While critics often call for Bitcoin to become "faster, cheaper, greener," a powerful counter-narrative champions its existing, robust design as a solution to the inherent weaknesses of traditional systems. Adding fuel to this bullish fire is the subtle but significant trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup, as wealth funds methodically build up their holdings. Furthermore, market sentiment indicators like Bitcoin funding rates remaining positive on major exchanges like Binance seem to confirm a strong, underlying uptrend. Are Bitcoin bears truly losing out, and are we witnessing the dawn of a new era for the king of cryptocurrencies? The Cost of Doubt: $31 Million in BTC Shorts Wiped Out The unforgiving nature of leveraged trading in the cryptocurrency markets was recently laid bare with the news that a staggering $31 million in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated. This event serves as a potent illustration of the risks involved in betting against Bitcoin's momentum, especially in the current climate. Short selling in the crypto sphere, much like in traditional markets, involves traders borrowing Bitcoin, selling it with the expectation that its price will fall, and then planning to buy it back at a lower price to profit from the difference. However, the crypto markets are known for their high volatility and the widespread use of leverage, particularly in perpetual futures contracts. Leverage allows traders to control a much larger position than their initial capital would normally allow, amplifying potential profits but also, crucially, potential losses. When the market moves sharply against a leveraged short position – meaning Bitcoin's price surges upwards – traders can face a margin call. If they cannot add more funds to cover their mounting losses, the exchange automatically closes their position to prevent further debt. This forced closure is a liquidation. The $31 million wipeout signifies that a substantial volume of bets on Bitcoin's price decline was overwhelmed by a potent wave of buying pressure. This mass liquidation event has several implications. Firstly, it inflicts significant financial pain on those who were positioned for a downturn, effectively Bitcoin bears losing out on their wagers. Secondly, these forced closures inherently involve buying Bitcoin to cover the short positions, which paradoxically adds more fuel to the upward price movement. This can trigger a "short squeeze," where rising prices force more shorts to cover, leading to further liquidations and an accelerated price rally. Such events bolster bullish sentiment, demonstrating underlying market strength and deterring further aggressive short selling. It’s a clear signal that the market's undercurrent was far more robust than the bears had anticipated. On the Cusp of a New Frontier: The Critical Weekly Close and "Price Discovery 2" The excitement among Bitcoin proponents is palpable, with many analysts asserting that Bitcoin bulls are on the cusp of launching the market back to all-time highs and beyond. Central to this optimistic outlook is the focus on an upcoming, crucial weekly close. According to prevailing technical analysis, Bitcoin must close the week above a specific, strategically important price level to start 'price discovery 2'. "Price discovery" is the process by which market participants determine the fair value of an asset through their buying and selling activities. When an asset like Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time high (ATH), it enters a phase where historical resistance levels cease to exist. This is true price discovery – the market is venturing into uncharted territory, with no past price ceilings to act as psychological or technical barriers. "Price Discovery 1" can be considered Bitcoin's journey to its previous peak (around $69,000 in November 2021). The term "Price Discovery 2" thus implies a new, sustained bull run that would take Bitcoin significantly beyond that former zenith. The significance of a "weekly close" above a key resistance level cannot be overstated in technical analysis. Weekly charts smooth out short-term noise and are often seen as better indicators of major trend shifts. A decisive weekly close above, say, the previous ATH or a major interim peak, would be a powerful confirmation for many traders and investors that the bulls are firmly in control. It would invalidate bearish scenarios that predicted a rejection at these upper levels and would likely attract a fresh wave of capital into the market. Several potent catalysts could fuel this ascent into "Price Discovery 2." The quadrennial Bitcoin halving event, the most recent of which occurred in April 2024, historically constricts the new supply of Bitcoin, often leading to significant price appreciation in the months and years that follow as demand outstrips this reduced supply. Continued institutional adoption, evidenced by wealth funds accumulating Bitcoin, provides a steady stream of large-scale buying pressure. Furthermore, a challenging macroeconomic environment, characterized by persistent inflation in major fiat currencies or geopolitical uncertainties, can enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a non-sovereign store of value and a hedge against systemic risks. Should Bitcoin achieve this critical weekly close and embark on "Price Discovery 2," the upside could be substantial, as the market seeks to establish a new equilibrium in uncharted price territory. The Unwavering Standard: Bitcoin Doesn’t Need to Change, The World Does Amidst the price charts and market analyses, a more profound narrative is solidifying: Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. For years, critics have argued that Bitcoin should be faster, cheaper, greener, often comparing its transaction throughput or energy consumption to centralized payment networks or newer, less proven blockchain protocols. However, an increasing number of proponents argue that maybe the point isn’t to fix Bitcoin. Maybe it’s to fix everything else with Bitcoin. This perspective champions Bitcoin's core attributes – often perceived as limitations by detractors – as its most vital strengths: • Unparalleled Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a globally distributed network with no single point of control. This makes it resistant to censorship, shutdown, or manipulation by any government or corporation. In an age of increasing financial surveillance and control, this is a feature, not a bug. • Robust Security and Immutability: The Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, while energy-intensive, is what underpins Bitcoin's formidable security. The immense computational power dedicated to mining creates an economic fortress around the network, making its transaction history virtually tamper-proof. While the "greener" argument often pushes for alternatives like Proof-of-Stake (PoS), many believe PoW offers a unique level of objective security crucial for a global store of value. Moreover, the narrative around Bitcoin's energy use is evolving, with increasing adoption of renewable and stranded energy sources for mining, and a growing recognition that its energy consumption is a worthwhile trade-off for securing a truly independent financial system. • Absolute Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, a hard-coded limit that cannot be altered. This programmatic scarcity makes it a powerful antidote to the inflationary pressures inherent in fiat currencies, which can be created limitlessly by central banks. This "digital gold" characteristic is fundamental to its value proposition. • Layered Scaling: While the Bitcoin base layer prioritizes security and decentralization over raw transaction speed, innovation is flourishing on Layer 2 solutions like the Lightning Network. These protocols enable fast, low-cost transactions by batching them off-chain and settling them periodically on the main Bitcoin blockchain, thus allowing Bitcoin to scale for everyday payments without compromising its core principles. The argument is that instead of trying to mold Bitcoin to fit the constraints of the old financial world, we should recognize how its unique properties can address the systemic flaws within that world – issues like inflation, financial exclusion, censorship, and counterparty risk. Bitcoin, in its current form, offers a radical, resilient alternative. The Silent Infiltration: Wealth Funds Build Up Bitcoin Holdings Further bolstering the bullish case is the ongoing, often understated, trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup: Wealth Funds Build Up Holdings. This isn't about flashy headlines but rather a methodical, strategic accumulation of Bitcoin by sophisticated institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, sovereign wealth funds, and large family offices. These entities, traditionally conservative and managing trillions of dollars in assets, are increasingly allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. Their motivations are manifold: • Diversification: Bitcoin has historically exhibited low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds, making it an attractive addition for enhancing portfolio risk-adjusted returns. • Inflation Hedge: In an environment of persistent global inflation, Bitcoin's finite supply positions it as a potential store of value, a digital hedge against currency debasement. • Asymmetric Upside: Even a small allocation to Bitcoin can offer significant upside potential, an appealing proposition for large funds seeking growth. • Growing Regulatory Clarity and Infrastructure: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in major jurisdictions like the U.S. has provided regulated and accessible avenues for institutional investment, alongside the development of institutional-grade custody and trading solutions. This "Quiet Coup" signifies a maturing perception of Bitcoin, moving it from a speculative niche asset to a legitimate component of institutional investment strategy. The steady inflow of significant capital from these large players not only provides price support but also lends credibility and encourages further adoption, potentially reducing long-term volatility as more Bitcoin is held by entities with long-term horizons. Reading the Bullish Tea Leaves: Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive Adding another layer of confirmation to the prevailing bullish sentiment is the observation that Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive On Binance — Strong Uptrend Confirmed? Funding rates are a key mechanism in cryptocurrency perpetual futures markets, designed to keep the price of the perpetual contract aligned with the spot price of the underlying asset. When funding rates are positive, it generally means that traders holding long positions (betting on a price increase) are paying a premium to those holding short positions. This indicates a higher demand for long leverage, reflecting overall bullish sentiment in the derivatives market. Consistently positive funding rates on a major exchange like Binance, which boasts significant trading volume, suggest that this optimism is sustained. It implies that traders are confident enough in Bitcoin's upward trajectory to pay a recurring fee to maintain their leveraged long positions. While extremely high funding rates can sometimes signal an over-leveraged market ripe for a correction (a "long squeeze"), moderately and persistently positive rates, as currently observed, are often interpreted as a healthy sign of a strong and well-supported uptrend. It suggests that the rally is not just speculative froth but is backed by conviction among active traders. Conclusion: A Perfect Storm for Bitcoin's Next Chapter? As May 2025 progresses, the confluence of factors points towards a potentially transformative period for Bitcoin. The $31 million decimation of short positions serves as a stark reminder of the perils of underestimating Bitcoin's strength. The market's eager anticipation of a weekly close that could unlock "Price Discovery 2" highlights the potent bullish technical setup. This is further reinforced by the fundamental conviction that Bitcoin's core design is its ultimate strength, offering solutions the traditional financial world desperately needs. The quiet, strategic accumulation by wealth funds injects not only capital but also a profound sense of legitimacy, while positive funding rates reflect a confident and sustained bullish sentiment among active traders. While the path ahead will undoubtedly feature volatility – a characteristic inherent to Bitcoin's journey – the current alignment of technical indicators, institutional adoption, strong market sentiment, and a compelling fundamental narrative suggests that Bitcoin bears may indeed be losing out, and significantly so. The stage appears set for Bitcoin to not only challenge its previous highs but to potentially embark on a new, exhilarating phase of growth and adoption, further solidifying its role in the evolving global financial order.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSD Technical Analysis – V-Shaped Recovery Points to BreakoutBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing strong bullish momentum following a textbook V-shaped recovery from the recent support zone around $73,699. After consolidating and breaking the descending channel, BTC surged with conviction, reclaiming critical levels and now approaching the previous All-Time High (ATH). Key Technical Highlights Pattern: V-Shaped Recovery Support Zone: $73,699 – $75,000 Resistance/ATH: $109,255 Trendline: Long-term bullish trend remains intact Recent Breakout: Clean breakout above the falling wedge/descending channel BTC has reversed sharply from the bottom, printing higher highs and higher lows. This aggressive rebound has brought price action back toward ATH levels, with strong chances of a breakout continuation. The structure suggests bullish control, especially after retesting key areas with strength. Bitcoin Dominance at 62.2% Bitcoin's market dominance sits at 62.2%, showing clear investor confidence and capital preference for BTC over altcoins. This dominance level reinforces the bullish bias as smart money flows into Bitcoin in anticipation of a potential price discovery breakout. This trend, along with large institutional inflows, highlights a growing belief in BTC’s strength as a leading asset, especially in the current macro environment. BTCUSD Trade Setup (As Per Chart) 🎯 Entry $104,732.85 ⛔ Stop Loss $99,507.06 ✅ Take Profit $114,359.25 The trade idea is based on the continuation of the current uptrend and breakout above $109,255, which previously acted as resistance (ATH). A clean daily close above this level would likely open the path toward $114,359 and possibly $116,000+ as the next milestone. BTC is primed for a new leg higher. The market structure favors bulls with BTC dominance rising, large investments entering, and strong technical recovery in place. If Bitcoin holds above the entry zone and pushes through ATH, we may see a new high forming in the coming weeks.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
BITCOIN Has Unfinished Business Below $74K! Will It Return?Key Disclaimer: Inefficiencies Don’t Need to Be Filled Let’s set the stage clearly: inefficiencies like the one at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 for BTCUSD do not HAVE to be filled. They’re a TENDENCY, not a rule, an intriguing opportunity to explore high-probability zones. If Bitcoin doesn’t return to this level, no harm is done; but this is a very good opportunity to analyze the term, as such... let’s break it down. What Is an Inefficiency? An inefficiency, or sometimes a fair value gap (FVG), is a price range with "minimal" trading activity, often caused by a rapid move—here, a rally—creating a liquidity imbalance. On the weekly BTCUSD chart, this area between wicks spans $73,624.98 to $74,420.69, likely formed during a sharp rally around April 2025. This untested range makes it a potential target for future price action, as markets often seek to resolve such imbalances. Notably, the price has already approached this zone, and there’s a chance it may never return. However, around $74,400, there are still some “unfinished things to do”, untested liquidity, or orders, which could draw the price back if conditions align. Why Do Inefficiencies Attract Price? Inefficiencies often act as magnets for price due to: Liquidity Seeking: Markets revisit areas with unfilled liquidity (stop-loss or pending orders) to balance supply and demand. Market Memory: Traders and algorithms, target these levels, reinforcing their significance. Mean Reversion: After rapid rallies, the price may retrace to test imbalances before continuing. (atm we are probably too far from it but still keep this area in your minds) Institutional Activity: Large players might re-enter at these levels, making them key zones for reversals or consolidation. Historically, assets tends to revisit such areas, as the chart notes. BTCUSD Context: $103,000 with Bullish Momentum As of May 10, 2025, BTCUSD is at ~$103,200 on the weekly chart, on the way to confirm a weekly breakout above $100,000, supported by higher highs, an ascending channel, and macro factors ( for example ETF inflows), signaling quite a strong momentum. The inefficiency at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 is 28–29% below the current price, a deep pullback that might require a catalyst like a macro correction, negative crypto news, or profit-taking. Given the price has already approached this zone, it may not return, but the “unfinished business” around $74,400 keeps it on the radar. Still, strong trends can bypass inefficiencies, and factors like time decay or adoption may drive prices higher. Trading Approach, Short-, Mid-Term Investors Take Your Profits! This formation of inefficiency is not a prediction to short, it’s an opportunity to monitor. Still, if you’re a short- to mid-term investor, it might be a smart move to take some profits here and observe what unfolds next. Right now, we’re potentially seeing a double top forming around major psychological levels. And to be honest, the inefficiency below (shown on the chart) still lingers in the back of my mind. People often ask me: “When is a good time to take profits?” My answer? Now. It is a perfect example and it fits to all assets. And here's why. There are clear scenarios that help remove the guesswork: 1. You sell now, and the price continues to rally higher. That’s not a problem. By selling, you’ve reduced your risk, and securing your profits - always a smart move. If the price breaks above $100K, you can always buy it back after a confirmed breakout and retest. That’s a strong sign that investors are willing to pay higher prices for BTC, and historically, after such breakouts (like with the $50K level in August 2024), the market tends to come back to retest that breakout zone. Of course, if you’re a long-term investor with a 3-5+ year horizon, you may choose to ride it out. In that case, trying to time this might just be over-managing your position. There’s always a chance BTC won’t retest $100K again. 2. The best-case scenario if you take profits now: You get the chance to buy back lower. If the market pulls back, keep that inefficiency level in mind—there’s also a mid-term trendline, previous yearly highs, and other technical elements that haven’t been tested yet. Traders’ psychology hasn’t really been pushed to the limits at this stage, and in my view, the crypto market loves to test limits. So if you’re a short- or mid-term investor who bought in at lower levels, this is a good time to seriously consider locking in some profits. Step back, and let the price action guide the next move. Listen—just listen. Conclusion Inefficiencies like the one between $73,624 and $74,420 don’t demand to be filled—but they’re worth understanding, tracking, and learning from. Whether price revisits that zone or not, the real value lies in recognizing where the market has moved too fast and what that might mean if momentum shifts. Right now, BTCUSD is strong. But strength can fade, sentiment can shift, and “unfinished business” below still holds weight for traders who think in probabilities, not certainties. If you’re in profit—especially from lower levels—this might be one of those moments to pause, and make sure greed isn’t driving your next decision. Whether this zone becomes just a memory or a brilliant case study, it’s already a valuable example of how understanding market structure helps you stay a step ahead—not a step behind. Stay alert. Stay humble. And as said… listen. Cheers, Vaido
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VaidoVeek
37
ETH : What the Options Are Saying (Hint: Big Move Ahead)Right now, Ethereum’s key players are positioning themselves to make some money on the rise. And guess what? The market's already whispering where it’s headed next — but only if you know how to listen. And the loudest voice right now? Options flow on Deribit. Let me break it down for you… --- We caught some serious heat in the options pit lately. On Deribit, someone — or maybe a few someones — started stacking **Call options on ETH at 1,800 and 2,200 strike prices**, all under one portfolio. That’s not random. That’s a classic **Call Spread** setup, expiring June 27, 2025. Translation? Someone’s betting hard on ETH heading north — straight toward **$2,200**. But here's where it gets spicy. The **Max pain** for this contract sits right at **$2,000** — currently above spot price. Yeah, we’ve seen mixed stats on whether "price gravitates" to max pain like magic. But from experience? Right before expiry, price tends to *flirt* with that level. So here's our read: - There's **bullish sentiment** building. - Eyes are locked on the **$2,200 zone** — likely within the next **30–50 days**. - BTC’s playing the same game — big interest around **$100K–$110K strikes**, same expiry. This isn’t noise. This is signal. --- If you're tired of FOMO and want to catch the real setups before they blow up — follow. We turn complex flows into simple edge. Just actionable insights. --- 📈 *Trade smart. Stay sharp. Join the crew that reads the market — not the hype.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
4
Bitcoin Smashes $103K: Is $150K Just Around the Corner?Bitcoin's Resurgence: Navigating the $100K Breakthrough and What Comes Next In a remarkable display of market resilience, Bitcoin has reclaimed the coveted $100,000 level, just three months after dropping below this significant psychological threshold. The flagship cryptocurrency's powerful comeback has sent shockwaves through financial markets, triggering a massive short squeeze and reigniting debates about Bitcoin's long-term potential. As the asset pushes beyond $103,000 and approaches its previous all-time high, traders and investors are scrambling to position themselves for what many believe could be the next phase of an extraordinary bull cycle. The Historic Reclamation of $100K Bitcoin's journey back to $100,000 represents more than just a numerical milestone—it's a testament to the asset's remarkable resilience in the face of significant headwinds. After briefly touching six-figure territory in early 2025, Bitcoin experienced a substantial correction that saw prices retreat below $90,000, triggering concern among market participants and no shortage of bearish predictions from skeptics. What makes this recovery particularly impressive is the speed with which it occurred. Historically, Bitcoin has often experienced extended consolidation periods after major corrections, sometimes lasting months or even years. The rapid three-month turnaround suggests underlying strength in Bitcoin's market structure that distinguishes this cycle from previous ones. On-chain data reveals fascinating dynamics behind the recovery. Throughout the correction, long-term holders continued accumulating Bitcoin, with wallet addresses holding more than 1 BTC increasing by 5.2% even as prices declined. This pattern of "smart money" accumulation during periods of retail fear often precedes significant upward price movements. The reclamation of $100,000 also coincided with several favorable macro developments, including renewed expectations for central bank easing and diminishing concerns about regulatory crackdowns. These factors, combined with Bitcoin's post-halving supply dynamics, created ideal conditions for a powerful recovery. The Massive Short Squeeze A key accelerant in Bitcoin's surge beyond $100,000 was an extraordinary short squeeze that forced bearish traders to cover their positions at increasingly higher prices. Data from cryptocurrency derivatives platforms reveals that over $850 million in short positions were liquidated during a 72-hour period as Bitcoin broke above key resistance levels. The mechanics of a short squeeze are particularly powerful in cryptocurrency markets due to the prevalence of leverage. Many platforms offer leverage ratios of 10x, 20x, or even higher, meaning relatively small price movements can trigger automatic liquidations. As these liquidations occur, trading algorithms automatically purchase Bitcoin to close the short positions, creating additional upward pressure on prices and potentially triggering more liquidations in a self-reinforcing cycle. What made this particular short squeeze especially impactful was its timing relative to market sentiment. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index had been hovering in "Neutral" to "Fear" territory for weeks, indicating widespread caution among market participants. This cautious positioning resulted in a market structure where relatively few traders were positioned for upside, creating the perfect conditions for a powerful squeeze when momentum shifted. Is $150,000 Now Conservative? In light of Bitcoin's powerful resurgence, price predictions that once seemed ambitious are being reevaluated. Earlier this year, several major financial institutions and research firms issued year-end targets of $150,000 for Bitcoin—forecasts that were met with skepticism by many market observers. Now, with Bitcoin already above $103,000 and demonstrating strong momentum, these once-ambitious targets appear increasingly conservative. Technical analysts point to several factors supporting the case for higher prices. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite the recent surge, remains below extreme overbought levels that typically signal exhaustion. Additionally, volume profiles show relatively little resistance above the previous all-time high, suggesting potential for rapid advancement if that level is breached. The most bullish analysts have begun floating targets of $170,000 to $200,000 for this cycle, basing their projections on Fibonacci extensions, comparative analysis with previous bull markets, and on-chain metrics indicating strong holder conviction. These projections represent a dramatic shift in market sentiment compared to just a few months ago when many were questioning whether Bitcoin would reclaim $100,000 within the year. Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin? As Bitcoin pushes beyond $103,000, the perennial question resurfaces: is it too late to buy Bitcoin? This query, which has appeared at virtually every significant price level in Bitcoin's history, reflects the challenge of evaluating assets in price discovery mode without extensive historical reference points. Historical perspective offers valuable context for addressing this question. Investors who asked whether it was "too late" to buy Bitcoin at $10,000, $20,000, or $50,000 and chose to remain on the sidelines missed substantial returns. However, those who purchased at local tops often endured extended drawdowns before seeing their investments return to profitability. On-chain data provides additional perspective for evaluating current price levels. The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, which compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, currently sits around 2.8—elevated compared to bear market conditions but significantly below the extreme readings above 4.0 that characterized previous market tops. Similarly, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit currently stands at approximately 93%, approaching but not yet reaching the 98-99% levels typically seen at cycle peaks. These metrics suggest that while Bitcoin isn't in "bargain" territory, present valuations haven't reached the extreme overvaluation levels that preceded major corrections in previous cycles. Bull Run Warning: Navigating the Path Forward While enthusiasm surrounds Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000, experienced market participants recognize the importance of maintaining perspective during periods of strong momentum. Several potential warning signs merit attention as traders navigate the current environment. The rapid nature of Bitcoin's ascent to $103,000 has created technically overbought conditions on shorter timeframes, suggesting the potential for near-term consolidation or pullbacks. The daily RSI has reached levels above 80, a zone that has historically preceded at least temporary pauses in uptrends, even during the strongest bull markets. Additionally, funding rates on perpetual futures contracts have reached extremely positive levels, indicating traders are paying significant premiums to maintain long positions. This condition often occurs near local tops as market participants become overly enthusiastic about near-term prospects. Risk management becomes particularly important during such periods of strong momentum. Many professional traders reduce position sizes when volatility increases, recognizing that while potential returns expand during such phases, so do potential drawdowns. Next Price Targets: From $106K to $1M As Bitcoin pushes into record territory, analysts have begun identifying potential targets for the next phase of the bull cycle. The immediate focus remains on the previous all-time high around $106,000, which represents both a psychological and technical resistance level. Beyond this point, limited historical price action creates a potential vacuum that could allow for rapid advancement if bullish momentum continues. Technical analysts have identified several key levels through Fibonacci projections and extension analysis. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous major correction projects a target around $122,000, while the 2.618 extension suggests potential toward $170,000. These levels represent natural points where the market might experience resistance or consolidation during continued uptrends. More ambitious predictions extend considerably higher. The stock-to-flow model, which relates Bitcoin's scarcity to its market value, suggests potential long-term valuations approaching $1 million per Bitcoin. While such forecasts remain highly speculative, they illustrate the wide range of potential outcomes for this emerging asset class. Support levels are equally important to monitor, particularly for traders managing risk in leveraged positions. The psychological $100,000 level now represents initial support, followed by the $94,000-$96,000 zone where significant buying emerged during the recent advance. The 50-day moving average, currently around $92,000 and rising, provides an additional technical reference point for potential support during pullbacks. Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Dynamics Market sentiment indicators provide valuable context for understanding Bitcoin's current positioning. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has shifted into the "Greed" zone after spending much of the previous month in "Neutral" territory, reflecting improved market sentiment following Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000. This transition marks an important psychological shift but also signals increasing risk of overexuberance. Historically, when the index reaches extreme readings in either direction, it has often served as a contrarian indicator. Extreme greed readings have typically occurred near local tops, while extreme fear has often presented buying opportunities. Social media activity metrics reveal a significant increase in Bitcoin-related discussions, with sentiment analysis showing predominantly positive expressions. Google Trends data indicates search interest for "Bitcoin" has reached its highest level since January, suggesting renewed attention from retail participants who typically enter during periods of strong price performance. Institutional sentiment provides a contrasting perspective to retail excitement. Surveys of professional investors indicate a more measured outlook, with many maintaining Bitcoin allocations but expressing concern about near-term volatility and the potential for consolidation after the recent surge. This divergence between institutional caution and retail enthusiasm creates an interesting dynamic that may influence price action in the weeks ahead. Trading Strategies for the Current Environment For traders navigating Bitcoin's volatile price action, adapting strategies to current market conditions is essential. Different approaches suit varying risk tolerances and time horizons, particularly during periods of expanded volatility and strong directional momentum. Trend-following strategies have performed exceptionally well during Bitcoin's recent advance, with systematic approaches based on moving average crossovers or momentum indicators capturing much of the upside movement. These strategies typically involve entering positions when short-term momentum aligns with longer-term trends and using trailing stops to protect profits. Countertrend strategies face greater challenges in the current environment but can still prove effective when applied with appropriate risk parameters. These approaches involve identifying potential exhaustion points where trends might temporarily reverse, typically using oscillators like RSI or Stochastic indicators to identify overbought or oversold conditions. For longer-term investors, dollar-cost averaging continues to demonstrate effectiveness in navigating volatile markets without requiring precise timing decisions. This approach involves regularly purchasing Bitcoin in fixed dollar amounts regardless of price, mathematically ensuring better average entry prices during periods of volatility. Conclusion: Navigating Bitcoin's New Era Bitcoin's resurgence beyond $100,000 represents a significant milestone in cryptocurrency market development, potentially signaling the beginning of the next phase in this remarkable asset's evolution. The speed and magnitude of the recovery from below $90,000 to above $103,000 demonstrates both the volatility inherent in this emerging asset class and the powerful market forces that can drive prices when technical breakouts coincide with favorable fundamental catalysts. For traders and investors, the path forward requires balancing enthusiasm about Bitcoin's demonstrated resilience with pragmatic risk management appropriate for an asset capable of significant price swings in both directions. While the backdrop appears favorable for continued strength, history suggests the journey will include both exhilarating advances and challenging retracements. As market participants position themselves for what may come next, maintaining perspective on both historical precedents and the unique aspects of the current market cycle provides the most sustainable approach to navigating this dynamic landscape. Bitcoin's breakthrough beyond $100,000 creates both opportunity and risk—the traders who successfully balance these competing forces while maintaining disciplined execution will likely find the greatest success in capturing the potential of this extraordinary market. The question is no longer whether Bitcoin can reach $100,000, but rather how far beyond this once-unimaginable milestone the current cycle might extend. For an asset that began trading at fractions of a penny, the reclamation of six-figure territory serves as a powerful reminder of cryptocurrency's capacity to challenge conventional financial assumptions and create paradigm-shifting returns for those willing to embrace both its potential and its risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
#BTCUSDT: Will Bitcoin Make Any Correction To $90,000?Hey Everyone, Happy Sunday Currently, Bitcoin’s price is consolidating within a shorter timeframe, which has heightened the likelihood of it reaching the $90,000 ‘FVG’ region. However, this could be attributed to the hectic week we experienced, with numerous significant market announcements that have heightened uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market. At present, there are two opportunities for Bitcoin: one is riskier, while the other is considerably safer. You can utilise this analysis as a secondary bias. We extend our best wishes and good luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated. If you wish to contribute, here are several ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
Long
by Setupsfx_
2