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Bitcoinprediction

Bitcoin Faces Resistance for the 7th Time—Breakout or Rejection?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is attacking the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) for the seventh time ; even in one of these attacks , it created a Bull Trap . During the last two to three days , Bitcoin has formed an Ascending Channel(Black) and another Ascending Channel(Purple) in the 15-minute time frame . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 , and we can expect corrective waves at least up to the upper line of the descending channel(broken) . I don't expect Bitcoin to succeed in breaking the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) in the seventh attack , although there is positive news around the crypto market , but I think we need a stronger stimulus to break this resistance zone (real news) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $108,218-$106,476 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $104,460-$103,911 Note: The negative point is that the upper line of the descending channel was not broken with a large volume, so we hope for the break of the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400). Note: If the lower line of the ascending channel(Black) is broken, we can expect further decline and filling of the CME Gap($101,525-$100,375). Note: If Bitcoin goes over $108223, we can expect more pumps and maybe a new ATH. Can Bitcoin break the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) and create a new All-Time High(ATH)!? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
3
Bitcoin Long-term Holder CyclesViewing market cycles through the lens of long-term holder behavior can provide valuable insights. This chart tracks the collective balance of long-term holders, highlighting periods of accumulation (green) and distribution (red) across different market phases. Distribution phases align with bull markets, and we are currently in one. The duration of these phases can offer clues about what to expect in the current cycle—assuming market dynamics remain consistent. The first accumulation phase lasted approximately 1,000 days , followed by the second at ~820 days , and the third at nearly 800 days . The first distribution phase lasted ~530 days , the second 420 days , and the current one has reached 385 days so far. At first glance, this may suggest a contracting cycle. However, with only three data points, it's premature to establish a definitive trend. A more prudent assumption is that the current distribution phase will follow a similar duration to previous ones—likely spanning 400 to 550 days. For illustration, if this distribution phase were to last 500 days, it would place its end around mid-May. However, this still leaves the most critical question unanswered: how does this relate to price? Historically, distribution cycles tend to end after market cycle peaks. As prices decline, long-term holders gradually slow their selling and begin accumulating again. This suggests that a market cycle peak before May should be considered a logical scenario within the current cycle.
INTOTHEBLOCK:BTC_HODLERSBALANCE
by IntoTheBlock
4
UPDATE: Altcoin Market Set to Surge Toward $1 Trillion Should this pattern hold, we could see the altcoin market targeting full Fibonacci extensions, potentially ripping to all-time highs and pushing the market toward a $1 trillion valuation this cycle. Momentum is building as liquidity returns to the crypto markets, with growing retail interest and institutional capital eyeing opportunities in diverse altcoin sectors. Rotation out BTC is happening as the BTC rally is losing momentum.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by Flow-Trade
BTC / USDT : Confirmed breakout, Bullish momentum building upBTC/USDT: Confirmed Breakout, Bullish Momentum Building Up 🚀 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has officially broken above key resistance and is now in bullish price discovery mode 📈. With this confirmed breakout, BTC is poised for further upside, and the market sentiment is shifting in favor of the bulls. If momentum sustains, we could see a strong continuation towards higher price targets. Key Insights: 1️⃣ Breakout Confirmed: BTC has successfully closed above the key resistance zone, turning it into new support. This signals a strong bullish trend continuation. 2️⃣ Volume Surge: The breakout was accompanied by a significant increase in buying volume, confirming the presence of strong demand 🔥. 3️⃣ Technical Indicators: RSI is holding above 60, and MACD is showing bullish crossover, reinforcing the uptrend ⚡. What’s Next? Retest Confirmation: A successful retest of the breakout level as support would further validate the bullish breakout 📊. Upside Targets: If BTC holds this momentum, key resistance zones to watch are [ NYSE:X ] and [ TSX:Y ] 🎯. Fakeout Risk: If BTC dips back below the breakout level, it could signal a false breakout, so caution is advised ⚠️. Risk Management Tips: ✅ Set stop-loss levels below the breakout zone to protect capital. ✅ Adjust position sizing based on market volatility. ✅ Keep an eye on macro trends that could influence BTC’s movement. BTC’s breakout is a significant signal for the market. Stay alert for confirmation signals and trade accordingly! 📢 This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR before making investment decisions.
Long
by Crypto-By-Ghazi
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Short Setup into Bearish FVG Context & Rationale: Price is pushing into a rising channel near a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning with a bearish signal. Expecting a potential rejection, especially if upcoming macro news or Fed commentary adds downside pressure. Trade Idea (Short): – Entry: Enter short inside or near the 4H FVG region. – Stop: Tight stop above the FVG boundary (risking 0.5% of account). – Target: Look for a 1:2 or better risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for key structure lows. Risk Management: This is a counter-trend play against the recent rally. If price closes above the FVG zone or invalidates the channel, be prepared to exit promptly and reassess.
Short
by Fondera
BTC | Make sure to buy THIS Bitcoin dip!In the past I did a few predictions when people were uncertain and the results of these predictions were quite accurate if I may say. This is not financial advice. My only goal is to sketch a likely outcome for the people that find this information useful. What we see right now is that we're building a lot of liquidity below. Yes.. I know, there is a mega liquidity area above us and the fundamentals are great. But keep in mind, the marketmakers are not going to let these long traders in these trades before we finally reach $110.000+. Today is an important day and expect a lot of volatility come back to the market. Therefore I think that the most likely short term target from this point is $95.000. This is a place were I'm adding to my long term bag. The worst case scenario would be that we spike below $90.000 (maybe up to around $87.000) somewhere this week. Do your own research and trade safe.
by Davy_h
BTCUSDT Short Swing trade.Hello everyone, i want to share my price prediction at Bitcoin. The week started with strong sell which activated buyers but i think buyers is not more strong, price tested well 2h FVG and Fibonacci Strong sell zone after New York session open. Price is into consolidation, and if we look higher timeframe Bitcoin losing buyers with my strategy here is my short position setup. Open Short position at - 102500 Stop Loss at - 104500 Take profit - i will follow trend if i will be right. Always manage your risk!!! don't risk more than 2.6% of your balance in this trade.
Short
by elmakacho
Did Chinese AI Company Deepseek Cause Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crash? The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, with prices often experiencing sharp swings in short periods.1 Recently, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a notable price drop, sparking discussions and speculation about the potential causes.2 Among the various theories circulating, one has gained particular attention: the suggestion that the price crash was triggered by the emergence of a Chinese AI company called Deepseek.3 Deepseek: A New Player in the AI Arena Deepseek is a relatively new player in the artificial intelligence (AI) field, but it has quickly garnered attention for its advancements in AI technology.4 The company has been developing cutting-edge AI models, particularly in the realm of large language models (LLMs), which are designed to understand and generate human language.5 Deepseek's emergence has raised concerns among some investors and analysts, who fear that the company's advancements could disrupt the existing AI landscape, potentially challenging the dominance of U.S.-based tech companies.6 These concerns have seemingly spilled over into the cryptocurrency market, with some suggesting a link between Deepseek's rise and Bitcoin's recent price decline.7 The Alleged Connection: Market Sentiment and Uncertainty The primary argument linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash revolves around market sentiment and uncertainty.8 The theory suggests that the emergence of a strong competitor in the AI space, particularly one from China, has created a sense of unease among investors.9 This unease has led to a risk-off sentiment, prompting investors to sell off their holdings in various assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.10 The reasoning behind this theory is that investors may be concerned about the potential implications of Deepseek's advancements. Some may fear that the company's technology could lead to job displacement in certain sectors, while others may worry about the geopolitical implications of China gaining a stronger foothold in the AI industry. These concerns, it is argued, have contributed to a negative market sentiment, which has ultimately impacted Bitcoin's price.11 Analyzing the Claim: Correlation vs. Causation While the theory linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash is intriguing, it's crucial to approach it with a critical eye. It's important to distinguish between correlation and causation. Just because two events occur around the same time does not necessarily mean that one caused the other. In this case, it's possible that both Deepseek's emergence and the Bitcoin price crash are coincidental. There could be other factors at play that contributed to the price decline, such as: • Profit-taking: After a period of price appreciation, some investors may have decided to take profits, leading to a sell-off and a subsequent price drop. • Market manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is still relatively unregulated, making it susceptible to manipulation.12 Large sell orders or coordinated "pump and dump" schemes could have contributed to the price decline. • Broader economic factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation or interest rate hikes, can also impact investor sentiment and lead to sell-offs in various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. The Role of Media and Speculation It's also important to consider the role of media and speculation in amplifying the alleged connection between Deepseek and the Bitcoin price crash. News articles and social media discussions may have contributed to the spread of this theory, even if there is limited evidence to support it. In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, rumors and speculation can quickly influence market sentiment. It's crucial to be discerning about the information consumed and to avoid jumping to conclusions based on limited evidence. Conclusion: A Complex Picture with No Definitive Answer The question of whether Deepseek caused the Bitcoin price crash is a complex one with no definitive answer. While the theory linking the two events is intriguing, it's essential to consider other factors that could have contributed to the price decline. It's possible that Deepseek's emergence played a role in shaping market sentiment, but it's unlikely to be the sole cause of the price crash. The cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors, and it's crucial to consider the broader context when analyzing price movements. As the AI industry continues to evolve and the cryptocurrency market matures, it's likely that we will see more instances of speculation and theories linking seemingly disparate events. It's important to approach such claims with a critical mindset, to distinguish between correlation and causation, and to consider the broader context before drawing conclusions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Crash to CashI am a student to any market maker and willing to share this formula with the public as long as it's understood as just a theory and not financial advice. This pull back is being orchestrated by fundamentals and not the media or Elon. The entire world is about to be awaken by the absolute fear of missing out on the next pump. But if you follow along my cookie crumbs you can easily see the next major buy zone. It's important that you understand the way to store your money in wallets and how to make sure if something happens to you... How can someone you love access these funds and export them if needed? Do not trade or invest in Crypto to get rich quick. Also it's imperative you have an IUL established. This functions as an income producing asset along with a protection function. If someone is relying on you then make sure you show them love with this coverage. Go fund me is not life insurance. Neither is buying crypto- Don't do stupid moves with your money. IUL's that are non participative are yielding 9%-15% yearly. You can multiple your income and warehouse of funds this way and take the extra or earnings and invest in the crypto market space. The Dow, NAS, SPX, Gold, Bitcoin and XRP are pulling back. This is because billionaires are going to buy high and lose. This makes the perfect opportunity for the small fish like us to wait until the absolute best buy zones are. This formula that I have provided will take time to pay out. Stay focused and watch my charts. Aaron Polk Money Train 678-739-7902 "Life Insurance Guy"
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by adefender90
Bitcoin Triangle Breakout! What Next?Looking at the 4h, I anticipated at least ±10% on the breakout, which still might happen although it looks less likely as time passes. It made perfect sense to begin the week with liquidating the long positions. It would either have been the longs or the shorts - someone had to take the hit. I cautiously played both sides and benefitted from a short sell of around 2% marked on chart. Where next? It's either going up, down, or sideways. I'm playing both sides . Redrew a Fib between new high and low then chose my EP, TP and SL. It's still possible to lose with this method. The larger Fib remains in play as I'm not yet convinced price cannot reach my original ±10% despite it seeming unlikely. Once the last candle has passed the triangle I'll retire that idea. This won't stop me looking for setups in the meantime.
by ZorosonD
Bitcoin- Something is Rotten in Denmark- Cause of Concern?In my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned that "it's about time for the price to do something" and highlighted that a breakout above 107k could trigger accelerated upward momentum, potentially leading to a significant new all-time high with a measured target in the 130K zone. However, following days of low volatility, Bitcoin has started to decline instead of breaking through the resistance. Overall, the situation is starting to look unfavorable. Despite the positive news surrounding crypto marklet, Bitcoin's inability to break resistance and reach a new ATH is anything but bullish. From a technical perspective, as of now, the price is hovering just above a local support level. If this level breaks, it could once again expose the 90K confluence support. Given the current conditions, this seems like the most likely scenario. In my opinion, if you’re a speculator, the best approach right now is to stay on the sidelines and observe how the market develops.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
5
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout or reversal. Buy entry should break and retest the neutral level (102,000) Sell Entry Pullback at the neutral level (100,000) Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks. Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 11500 (or) Escape Before the Target Bearish Robbers TP 84500 (or) Escape Before the Target Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The BTC/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction, with the price potentially resuming its uptrend after a period of turmoil in late December and early January. The strong bullish trend and slight short-term decrease suggest that traders may consider trading only long positions. To take a trade, consider the following: Analyze the market trend: Look at the overall trend of the BTC/USD pair and identify any potential support or resistance levels. Monitor market news and events: Keep an eye on any news or events that could impact the price of Bitcoin, such as changes in regulations or adoption rates. Use technical indicators: Utilize technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, and Bollinger Bands to help identify potential trading opportunities. Set a trading plan: Develop a clear trading plan, including entry and exit points, stop-loss levels, and position sizing. The fundamental analysis of Bitcoin is aimed at determining where the price of the asset is headed, with models like the stock-to-flow model predicting prices based on the rate of new bitcoins being added to the network relative to the existing supply. Additionally, macroeconomic events like increasing monetary bases of fiat currencies can lead to inflation, which may drive up the demand for Bitcoin as an inflationary hedge. Here's a fundamental analysis for BTC/USD, along with market sentiment percentages: Overall Trend: The BTC/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish direction Bullish Sentiment: 65% Bearish Sentiment: 30% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Market News and Events: The upcoming events, such as the Bitcoin halving and the increasing adoption of cryptocurrencies, are expected to drive the price of Bitcoin up. Bullish Sentiment: 70% Bearish Sentiment: 25% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Technical Indicators: The technical indicators, such as the moving averages and RSI, are indicating a bullish trend. Bullish Sentiment: 60% Bearish Sentiment: 35% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Fundamental Analysis: The fundamental analysis of Bitcoin, including the stock-to-flow model, is predicting a bullish trend. Bullish Sentiment: 75% Bearish Sentiment: 20% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Macro-economic Events: The increasing monetary bases of fiat currencies and the potential for inflation are expected to drive up the demand for Bitcoin as an inflationary hedge. Bullish Sentiment: 80% Bearish Sentiment: 15% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Overall, it's essential to stay informed about market trends, news, and events, and to use a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and use trailing SL Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Thief_Trader
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King! If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out! Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom! Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade: Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far. Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed? ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where: A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak. B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level. C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see: The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement. The B wave goes to the 0.382 The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began. CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down. Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming. Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat. Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun! Conclusion: The King Needs to Reset! No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits. Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
CME:BTC1!Education
by Candle_Styx
BTC, long or short? It could go either wayTriangle pattern on the Daily. Clearer on the 4hr. A bit choppy on the 1hr, 45 and 15min as would be expected. Pretty much respects 0.236 and 0.785, and more recently 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. I’m expecting an early morning breakout to the upside at the start of the week with $109k in sight. Chances are, if enough retail think it’s breaking out to the upside, price will probably flush out shorts with a strong wick up then liquidate longs on the way to $97,2k region. On the back of Trump signing crypto related executive orders, it might be assumed bullish news for the of N.Y open, but this is as much psychology as it is TA and FA. Keep your stops tight or sit this one out?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ZorosonD