Bitcoinprediction
A Disciplined Approach to BTC/USDT - Wait for the Right Set Up!Right now, I’m closely monitoring BTC/USDT — and what immediately jumps out is how aggressively this rally has pushed upward 🚀. We’ve seen price climb into a key external range high, taking out liquidity that was likely sitting just above those prior highs 💧.
This kind of move is often where institutional players step in to offload positions, as the liquidity makes it easier to find counterparts for previous accumulation phases 🏦. The way this price action is unfolding, I wouldn't be surprised to see a correction or retracement soon.
With the market this stretched, I’m not looking to get long here — especially not while BTC is trading at such a clear premium 🎯. No edge in chasing the highs.
Instead, I’ll be sitting back, waiting for a healthy pullback and a confirmed bullish structure shift before considering any entries 🔄📊. There’s no need to force trades in these conditions. Patience protects capital 🛡️.
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just my current market perspective.
Could BTC Hit \$160,000 Before 2026?
As of **June 2025**, Bitcoin trades near **\$61,000**. But based on historical patterns, market signals, and macro trends, here’s a bold scenario that could unfold:
**📊 Key Signals:**
* The **2024 Bitcoin halving** cut new supply by 50%.
* **Institutional Bitcoin ETFs** now control over 6% of circulating BTC.
* **U.S. rate cuts** expected Q3 2025 could trigger a flood of new capital.
* **Global unrest** pushing investors toward alternative stores of value.
**🔥 Mind-Blowing Prediction:**
If Bitcoin follows even half of its average post-halving surge, we could see **\$150,000 BTC before March 2026**.
That’s a **+145% gain from today’s price** — within historical norms:
* 📈 2020 post-halving: +300%
* 📈 2016 post-halving: +600%
**⚠ Risks remain:** regulations, market shocks, or ETF outflows could stall momentum.
**✅ Bottom Line:**
If Bitcoin’s history repeats (or even rhymes), \$150k is not impossible — and 2025 could be the setup year.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoPrediction #CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin Targets $105K as Portfolio Share Soars But...
The year 2025 is proving to be a watershed moment for Bitcoin. The world's premier cryptocurrency has solidified its position as the bedrock of digital asset portfolios, now accounting for nearly one-third of all holdings, a testament to its growing acceptance as a legitimate macro-asset. Yet, this rising dominance belies a fractured and complex market landscape. While institutional giants and sovereign wealth funds systematically increase their Bitcoin allocations, a counter-current is flowing through the retail sector, where investors are rotating into high-potential altcoins, spurred on by the promise of new investment vehicles. This bifurcation is unfolding against a backdrop of dramatic price swings, conflicting technical forecasts, and a potent mix of macroeconomic and geopolitical catalysts, painting a picture of a market at a pivotal crossroads.
The headline statistic is striking: as of mid-2025, Bitcoin's share in investor crypto portfolios has climbed to nearly 31%, a significant increase from the previous year. This growth has persisted through months of volatility, including harrowing dips below the psychological $100,000 mark and powerful rallies reclaiming levels above $105,000. The market is being pulled in opposing directions. On one hand, bullish tailwinds are gathering force. A ceasefire in the Middle East has calmed geopolitical jitters, restoring appetite for risk assets. Simultaneously, hints from the U.S. Federal Reserve of a potential July interest rate cut have investors anticipating a surge of liquidity into the market.
However, a sense of unease permeates the technical charts. Some analysts warn of a "final crash" still to come, drawing parallels to the market structure of 2021. On-chain analysis has identified the $97,000 to $98,000 range as a critical market pivot, a line in the sand that could determine the next major trend. Meanwhile, other models, like the Elliott Wave count, predict a corrective crash to as low as $94,000 before any new highs can be sustainably achieved.
This is the story of Bitcoin in 2025: a maturing asset cementing its institutional role while navigating the turbulent waters of retail speculation, macroeconomic shifts, and its own volatile price cycles. The journey toward becoming a third of all crypto holdings has not been a straight line, but a dramatic tug-of-war that will define the future of the digital asset class.
Part 1: The 31% Benchmark - Bitcoin's Ascendant Portfolio Dominance
The steady climb of Bitcoin to nearly 31% of investor portfolios is the defining trend of 2025. This figure, a cornerstone of market analysis this year, underscores a profound shift in investor conviction. Through a period marked by six-figure price tags and gut-wrenching volatility, the average investor has not been scared away but has instead deepened their commitment to the original cryptocurrency. This suggests a maturing "buy the dip" mentality, where price corrections are increasingly viewed not as a crisis, but as an opportunity to accumulate a long-term store of value.
The primary engine behind this trend is unmistakable: institutional adoption. The floodgates, first opened by the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, have become a torrent of institutional capital in 2025. Sovereign wealth funds, major financial institutions, and public companies are now systematically accumulating Bitcoin, treating it as a core component of their treasury and investment strategies. Observations of institutional trading desks indicate this buying pressure from large-scale investors intensified in the first half of the year, even as retail activity showed signs of slowing. This institutional stamp of approval is reflected in the growing number of Bitcoins held in various corporate treasuries and exchange-traded funds.
This institutional embrace of Bitcoin has been fueled by several factors. First, an increasingly innovation-friendly regulatory environment in the United States has provided the clarity that large, compliance-focused firms require. Second, Bitcoin’s performance has been undeniable. Following recent shifts in the political landscape, Bitcoin has outperformed many major global assets, including stocks, treasuries, and precious metals, solidifying its reputation as a powerful portfolio diversifier.
This "flight to quality" within the crypto space has also created a distinct rotation story. As institutions fortify their Bitcoin positions, they appear to be de-risking by moving away from more speculative assets that were darlings of the previous cycle. The most notable casualty of this shift has been Solana. Once a high-flyer, Solana's narrative has "cooled" in 2025. Its portfolio weight among investors has seen a sharp decline since late 2024, as institutional capital pivots toward assets with perceived staying power and clearer narratives. While some analysts see this cooling phase as a potential accumulation opportunity before a new leg up, the dominant trend has been a rotation out of Solana and into the perceived safety of Bitcoin.
Part 2: The Great Divide - A Tale of Two Investors
The crypto market of 2025 is characterized by a stark divergence in strategy between its two main cohorts: institutional players and retail investors. While their actions collectively push Bitcoin's portfolio share higher, their underlying motivations and asset choices paint a picture of two different worlds.
The Institutional Playbook: Slow, Steady, and Strategic
For institutions, Bitcoin has become the undisputed king. Their approach is methodical and long-term, driven by a desire for a non-sovereign, inflation-resistant asset that acts as a hedge against macroeconomic instability. The attributes of scarcity, immutability, and portability are paramount in their decision-making. The advent of regulated products like spot ETFs has been a game-changer, providing a familiar and secure access ramp for deploying significant capital.
These large players are not chasing the explosive 100x gains that define crypto lore. Instead, they seek sustained, risk-adjusted returns from an asset that is increasingly uncorrelated with traditional markets during times of stress. Their strategy is one of accumulation, and their exit from more volatile altcoins like Solana is a clear signal of a de-risking mandate. They are building foundational positions in the asset they view as "digital gold," positioning themselves for a future where Bitcoin is a standard component of diversified global portfolios.
The Retail Rebellion: Chasing the Next Big Narrative
In stark contrast, retail investors appear to be reducing their direct Bitcoin holdings. This is not necessarily a rejection of Bitcoin's value, but rather a strategic reallocation of capital toward what they perceive as the next frontier of high growth. Having witnessed Bitcoin's journey to a multi-trillion-dollar asset, many retail participants are now hunting for "the next Bitcoin"—assets with a lower market capitalization but a powerful, near-term catalyst that could trigger exponential gains.
Part 3: The Analyst's Crystal Ball - Price Targets and Technical Tremors
Navigating the Bitcoin market in 2025 requires a steady hand and a tolerance for conflicting signals. While macro-environmental factors are painting a bullish picture, technical and on-chain analyses are flashing cautionary signs, creating a tense equilibrium between hope and fear.
The Bullish Case: A Confluence of Catalysts
The bulls have strong reasons for optimism. A key level on every trader's chart is $105,000. This price is seen as a critical "trend switch"; a decisive break and hold above this zone would signal the end of the recent consolidation and the beginning of a new, powerful phase of the bull market. This optimism is underpinned by powerful external forces.
First, the U.S. Federal Reserve has been signaling a potential interest rate cut as early as July. Historically, lower interest rates reduce the appeal of traditional yielding assets like bonds, pushing investors toward riskier, high-growth assets. This injection of liquidity into the financial system has often preceded significant rallies in Bitcoin, and the market is pricing in this possibility.
Second, a significant de-escalation of geopolitical tensions has bolstered market confidence. The announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran caused an immediate and positive reaction in risk assets. Bitcoin surged past $105,000 on the news, demonstrating its sensitivity to global stability. During times of acute conflict, markets often experience a flight to safety, but when tensions ease, that capital flows back into assets like Bitcoin, which thrive on renewed risk appetite.
The Bearish Counterpoint: Echoes of the Past and On-Chain Warnings
Despite the bullish macro-outlook, clouds remain on the horizon. Some market commentators are warning that the current market is mirroring the patterns of 2021, suggesting that one "final crash" may be necessary to flush out leverage and establish a firm bottom before a sustainable move to new all-time highs.
This thesis is supported by specific technical models. Proponents of Elliott Wave Theory, a method of analysis that posits markets move in predictable, repetitive wave patterns, suggest a significant correction is due. Some Elliott Wave counts predict a corrective move down to the $94,000 level, which would represent a substantial pullback from current prices. Such a move would be seen as a healthy, albeit painful, corrective wave before a final, explosive impulse higher.
Adding weight to this cautious outlook is deep on-chain analysis. A close look at blockchain data pinpoints the $97,000 to $98,000 zone as the market's next true "pivot." This range represents a massive concentration of supply where a large volume of Bitcoin was previously acquired. This means a large cohort of investors has a cost basis in this zone. As the price approaches this level from below, it will likely meet significant selling pressure from investors looking to break even. A failure to decisively break through this wall of supply could trigger a sharp rejection and validate the bearish corrective scenarios.
The Derivatives Dilemma: A Market in Flux
Further complicating the picture is the state of the Bitcoin derivatives market. Reports indicate that futures buying activity has declined sharply, suggesting that the speculative fervor that often fuels rallies may be waning. This can be interpreted in two ways. The bearish view is that speculators are losing confidence, and the market lacks the momentum for a continued push higher. However, a more bullish interpretation is that the market is purging excessive leverage, creating a more stable foundation for a rally built on spot buying—the very kind of buying being done by institutions. This faltering derivatives activity, contrasted with strong institutional spot accumulation, could mean the current rally is in "stronger hands" than previous, more speculative-driven cycles.
Part 4: The Broader Ecosystem - A Story of Diverging Fates
The cross-currents shaping Bitcoin's trajectory are creating ripple effects across the entire crypto ecosystem, with the diverging fortunes of XRP and Solana serving as perfect case studies for the market's 2025 themes.
Beyond the Majors: The Speculative Fringe
As always, the crypto market maintains a speculative fringe. The emergence of assets like "BTC Bull Tokens" represents the high-leverage, high-risk plays that appear during bull markets. These instruments are designed to offer amplified returns on Bitcoin's price movements and attract the most risk-tolerant traders. Their existence underscores the full spectrum of the market—from sovereign wealth funds methodically buying Bitcoin for their treasuries to degens betting on leveraged tokens, the digital asset ecosystem remains a place of immense diversity and opportunity.
Conclusion: Bitcoin's Maturation in a Fractured Market
The year 2025 will be remembered as the year Bitcoin truly came of age as an institutional asset, firmly planting its flag and claiming one-third of the crypto investment landscape. This growing dominance, driven by the steady, strategic accumulation of the world's largest financial players, has provided a powerful anchor in a volatile market.
Yet, this newfound maturity has not tamed the market's wild spirit. It has instead created a great divide. While institutions build their Bitcoin fortress, retail investors are on the hunt for the next narrative-driven explosion, pouring capital into assets like XRP with the hope of front-running a transformative ETF approval.
The market is consequently balanced on a knife's edge. Bullish macroeconomic and geopolitical tailwinds are pushing for a breakout to new all-time highs beyond the pivotal $105,000 level. At the same time, technical and on-chain analyses warn of a potential final washout, a corrective crash to the mid-$90,000s that may be necessary to reset the market for a sustainable ascent.
Bitcoin's path forward will be carved by the resolution of these opposing forces. Can the quiet, persistent demand from institutions absorb the selling pressure from short-term traders and navigate the technical resistance zones? Or will the speculative fervor and corrective patterns that have defined its past cycles pull it down once more before it can climb higher? Whatever the outcome, 2025 has made one thing clear: Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative digital curiosity. It is a global macro asset at the heart of a complex and evolving financial ecosystem, and its journey is far from over.
BTC - Getting 2021 Double Top/Bearish VibesLooking at the weekly chart for BTC, I'm seeing similar price action from when we double topped in 2021. We hit the top of the channel, corrected, and then had a slightly higher high before going down hard. Again we hit the top of the channel, had a strong correction, only to hit it again for a slightly higher high. But the signs of market weakness are showing in the indicators and price action. Not to mention war is looming between Israel and Iran. I'm taking a defensive posture here. I think if the bears take control, we could hit the $60k liquidity area that we missed on the last correction. We can reassess the market better at the time based on the price action and current events.
BTC at Decision Point: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Incoming ??BTC is now trading within a symmetrical triangle, bouncing strongly from the trendline support at $98,898, and now faces overhead resistance of around $106,000.
Price is moving between higher lows and lower highs; a breakout in either direction could trigger a significant move.
Key Levels:
Support Zones:
$101,409 – Near-term support
$98,898 – Strong ascending trendline support
$93,343 – Critical structure base
Resistance Zones:
$105,807 – Immediate ceiling
$106,057 – Triangle breakout point
$108,895 – First major upside target
$111,785 – Higher target if bulls take control
Analysis:
The structure shows clear compression, and BTC has already made a sharp bounce off the lower range, suggesting bulls are stepping in. However, a clean breakout above $106K is needed to confirm the momentum shift.
A breakout above this triangle could lead to a fast move toward $111K, while failure could send the price back toward $101K or even lower.
This is a make-or-break zone.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Bitcoin BTC Pullback Strategy: How I’m Planning My Next EntryI’m currently watching BTCUSDT 👀. Yesterday, we saw a bullish break of structure 🔼, and my bias is to follow that momentum moving forward 📈. Right now, price is overextended 📊, so I’m looking for a retracement into equilibrium, ideally around the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone 📏.
If price pulls back into that range and holds above the bullish imbalance (discussed in the video) 🧱, I’ll be watching for a long opportunity 🎯. My targets are set at the previous highs and the Fibonacci extension levels 🔝.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis or consult a qualified financial advisor.
BTC/USDT Drop to 101k?🧠 High Time Frame Context
Trend: Consolidation within a broad range (support and resistance clearly defined).
Key Psychological Levels:
105,000 USDT – minor level, acting as a magnet in short-term PA.
110,000 USDT – major supply confluence and liquidity target.
🟪 Supply & Resistance Zone
Zone: Marked in purple (108.5k-112k).
Key Observation:
Swing high formed inside this zone, indicating liquidity trap.
Potential fake-out or strong rejection from this area.
Strong confluence with a descending resistance trendline, adding to the selling pressure.
🔵 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Retracement Targets
FVG identified just below the current price (~103.5k-104.5k).
Price is projected to:
Reject from the current high.
Drop to fill the FVG zone.
Possibly bounce between FVG and Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.5
0.618
0.786
🔴 Volume & RSI Divergence
Volume breakout is noted on the last push down (bottom red annotation), followed by a retrace.
OBV shows bullish divergence with price:
🔻 Support Structure
Lower red trendline is a key long-term support.
Previous swing low aligns with this trendline – buyers showed strong interest here.
If FVG fails to hold, expect a retest of this trendline near 97,000–98,000.
📈 Likely Scenarios
Base Case (Neutral-Bearish):
Price rejects current zone (~107,000).
Pullback into FVG (101–104K).
Bounce to 105K (minor resistance), then decide next direction.
Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks and closes above 110K, it invalidates supply zone.
Opens door to 115–118K range.
Bearish Breakdown:
Fails FVG zone.
Tests previous swing low and support (~97K).
Below that, structure becomes macro bearish.
🧩 Summary
Short-Term: Retracement into FVG likely. Monitor reaction.
Medium-Term: Bearish bias while price is below 110K.
Invalidation for bears: Clean break and hold above 110K.
₿itcoin: Grinding higherBitcoin has extended its recent rally, reclaiming the $106,000 level in the last few hours. While short-term setbacks remain possible, our primary scenario continues to point higher: prices should aim for the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Within this zone, BTC should complete green wave B before initiating a corrective decline in wave C, which should extend into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. At the low of major wave a, a temporary recovery in wave b is likely, preceding the final downward push that should mark the end of the broader wave (ii) correction. Our alternative scenario (30% probability) suggests that Bitcoin remains within blue wave alt.(i). If true, a breakout beyond the upper blue Target Zone could occur.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Bearish Money Flow looking for 101kPer 2hr chart I can see a bearish divergence as smart money is unloading. This is is a liquidity grab by the whales. I eventually see Bitcoin retracing back to 98k. I will layered my charts gradually for you to review... disclosure I do have a short position active.
Signs of Bullish Reversal EmergingAs of today’s close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal from a key mid-range Keltner Channel support zone. The recent Heikin Ashi candle reflects a strong recovery after a brief sell-off, with price rejecting lower support levels and closing firmly within the mid-band.
🔹 Key Observations:
Support Zone Respected: Price action respected the mid-Keltner Channel support, suggesting underlying buying interest around the $103k–$104k range.
Momentum Shift: The bullish engulfing nature of the current candle implies a potential shift in momentum, especially after recent consolidation below the upper range.
🔹Trade Idea: TP is near $112k, SL just under $102k.
Continued confirmation above the mid-band and sustained bullish volume will be critical for this move to extend.
Bitcoin - Looking To Buy Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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A TA Macro Look into Bitcoin to assess directionThis is a look into the macro developments happening currently in Bitcoin.
This is strictly a TA look into the big picture. We zoom out to Timeframes bigger than 1W.
At times zooming in to check (3 Day, 5 Day, maybe 1D) for potential swing trades.
I tend to look into things like price action, indicators, volume and other data to sway probabilities of where an asset may go and determine best opportunities of supply and demand zones based on my interpretations.
So jumping right in this is a look into price action on the 1 Month timeframe.
Notice trend lines drawn.
Notice the Ascending channel.
Notice the Blue rectangle zone.
Notice this months (June) Candle
Our current June candle is in a critical area.
We are around the horizontal resistance zone, indicated by red horizontal line.
This red horizontal resistance line is a powerful one.
Our previous interaction generated a massive Bearish engulfing monthly candle.
This area is not to be joked with and would urge to consider looking for more signs or better data to support continuation of bull run. If not a sell off is in the cards.
Notice our current June candle
Having equal length upper and lower wicks indicate that this month was neutral.
Bulls nor the Bears came on top.
If we close around this in 8 days.
Probabilities would be 50/50 just based on price action and candles for price movement in July.
We would need to look for other signs in indicators or something else, in other words look for confluence of multiple signs whether bull or bear.
The Ascending channel is also in my opinion over extended.
Notice the price action touch points on Green ascending support line.
The duration between touches is coming down.
2nd touch happened 365 days after first. Which was the initial part of Crypto bull market.
3rd touch happened 214 days after.
We are currently 61 days in after 3rd touch. Considering this and being logical, we could be getting close to another touch.
But consider also that the duration can extend well into in the 100's (of days), before we touch.
Notice also the Blue rectangle zone. This marks a side ways range of bitcoin.
The orange horizontal line is mid point of this blue zone.
A scenario could be that price goes to where the orange horizontal line meets the green sloping support line.
The confluence of these 2 support lines, can be a decent area for potential bounce (which can be temporary).
A break down of these 2 lines could also lead Bitcoin back down to the lower border of the Blue rectangle also indicated by Green horizontal line, which is a massive supply zone at the moment.
This scenario in my opinion would be a high probability trade by looking for bounce up but please keep in mind this does not mean a bull run would continue.
Look for more posts as things develop on Bitcoin.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉
I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals.
🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉.
📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry.
⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup.
🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
BTCUSD 4-Hour Analysis – Sell Setup IdeaCurrently, the trend on BTCUSD is bearish. On the 4-hour chart, I’m watching for a reaction at the Balanced Price Range (BPR) zone. This area aligns with a daily Rebalanced Breaker (-RB), adding higher time frame confluence.
In addition to the BPR, there’s an Order Block (OB) within the same region, and a nearby swing high, which strengthens the case for a bearish reaction. If price respects this zone, I expect continuation to the downside targeting the 98,000 and the 96,000 price level.
Bitcoin Crash Will Continue to Levels that will REKT majority!??MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN crashed towards $98k so far! Almost 10% drop so far! Crypto noobs and mass media manipulators will blame this CRYPTOCAP:BTC crash on the Iran and Israel conflict! Professional traders will, however, tell you that this was orchestrated and the crash was already planned beforehand, and the best traders caught the crash from the top at $109k and made a profit on this Bitcoin correction! Professional insider trading against news manipulation, artificial conflicts, and emotional trading !
Bitcoin Breakout Incoming? Flash PMI & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall ( about -4%) after the news that the US was involved in the Middle East tension , but it has risen again with good momentum .
Do you think Bitcoin will go below the previous bottom($98,200) again on the 1-hour time frame?
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zonezone($102,130-$100,700) and near the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that a Double Three Correction(WXY) has been completed near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, the first 5 microwaves of the Impulsive have now been completed .
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Bitcoin traders should monitor today’s Flash Manufacturing (expected 51.1) and Services PMI (expected 52.9) . Both forecasts are already lower than last month’s figures (51.3 and 54.8) , but I see a chance they come in even weaker.
Why weaker PMI is likely?
Slowing retail sales and softer labor data point to reduced consumer demand.
High interest rates are starting to pressure both the production and services sectors.
Regional Fed surveys already showed a cooling in business activity.
If the PMI prints below expectations, the market may anticipate a more dovish Fed, pushing the dollar( TVC:DXY ) down and giving Bitcoin a potential bullish boost.
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I expect Bitcoin to move towards filling the CME Gap($103,730-$102,275) after breaking the Resistance lines , and if the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,060) is broken, we should expect further increases.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $103,391-$103,934
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,800-$100,250
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $97,691-$97,241
Note: Increased tensions in the Middle East or new and important news surrounding this news can make the analysis invalid, so be more careful with capital management.
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $98,170 , we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
₿itcoin: PullbackBitcoin has experienced significant selling since Friday, briefly slipping below the $100,000 mark. We previously mentioned that a sharper pullback wouldn't surprise us. Whether prices will drop a bit further remains to be seen for the moment. Ultimately, we still expect Bitcoin to climb into the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891) before a broader C-wave sell-off occurs, pushing the price down to the lower blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323). There, we anticipate the low of the larger orange wave a, which should mark the start of another corrective upward move. Afterward, we're preparing for the last downward leg of blue wave (ii). However, if Bitcoin directly surpasses the resistance at $130,891 – and thus our upper blue Target Zone – we'll locate it still in blue wave alt.(i) (30% probability).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend
After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level.
🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning?
The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play.
🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues:
First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction
Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction
Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction
Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME
🔍 Trade Idea Overview:
We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend.
Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation)
TP 1 🎯: $102,000
TP 2 🎯: $97,500
TP 3 🎯: $93,000
🛑 Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk.
TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues.
If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.