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Bitcoin - Bulls Defend Support: Is a Sell-Off Still Possible?A Major Support Zone Holds Once Again Bitcoin just tapped into a key 4-hour support level, a zone where price has repeatedly bounced in the past. This area has proven to be a strong demand zone, with buyers stepping in each time price reaches it. What makes this level even more significant is that it perfectly aligns with the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement level, a key technical area where price often finds support before continuing its trend. As expected, BTC reacted strongly upon reaching this zone, showing a sharp rejection and bounce to the upside. This confirms that buyers are still actively defending this area, and as long as we hold above this level, the probability of a move higher remains strong. A Huge Imbalance Zone Above – Where Is BTC Likely Headed? Looking ahead, the most interesting aspect of this setup is the large imbalance zone sitting above the current price. When price moves rapidly in one direction without much consolidation, it creates an inefficiency or imbalance in the market. These imbalances tend to get filled over time as price naturally retraces back to these areas. In this case, there’s a significant imbalance above us, making it highly likely that Bitcoin will push higher in the coming sessions to correct this inefficiency. I’m targeting at least a 50% fill of this imbalance zone, as this is typically where price starts to show some reaction. This would put BTC at a critical decision point where we could either see further upside or a rejection back down. If buyers remain in control, we could see Bitcoin fully filling this imbalance, which would push price towards the 84-85K range, a key area to watch for potential reversals. What If Bitcoin Loses This Key Support? While the current reaction from support looks promising, we always need to consider the bearish scenario. If Bitcoin fails to hold this golden pocket level and strong support zone, it could open the door for a much deeper retracement. In this case, BTC could drop significantly, with the next major support sitting around the $72K level. This area represents a critical demand zone where buyers would likely step in more aggressively. A breakdown toward $72K would also signal a much larger corrective move within the broader trend, possibly shifting market sentiment in favor of bears. What Comes Next? Right now, Bitcoin is at a crucial point. The bounce from support suggests bullish strength, but the key test will be whether BTC can sustain this momentum and push into the imbalance zone. If we see a clean move into this area, I’ll be watching for potential short setups, as price often struggles to break through these zones in one attempt. On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to hold above this golden pocket and key support, the next logical move would be a retest of the $72K region, where buyers will have another chance to defend the trend. For now, I remain cautiously bullish, expecting at least a partial fill of the imbalance before any major rejection. Let’s see how price action develops in the coming sessions! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
56
Bitcoin Faces a "Resistance Lines WALL" – Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in my previous post and hit all targets . Will Bitcoin continue the upward trend of the past two days!? Please stay with me. First of all, I have to say that Bitcoin is facing a Wall of Resistance lines ( intersection of at least 4 Resistance lines ). Do you think Bitcoin can easily break these resistance lines with a single attack? Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($87,520_$85,840) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and a Series of Resistance lines . In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed Corrective waves . The corrective wave structure in the Ascending Channel is a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to drop to $85,000 in the first step in the coming hours. The Second target is $84,333 , and if the Support zone($84,430_$83,170) is broken, we should wait for the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) to fill. Do you think Bitcoin can break the wall of the Resistance lines, or will it start declining again? Note: Donald Trump's speeches over the next hours could also affect the market, so trade a little more cautiously during this hour. Trump’s Speech & Potential Tariffs In today’s speech, Trump is expected to discuss new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, possibly ranging from 20-25%. If confirmed, this could impact global markets, strengthen the USD, and increase economic uncertainty. Note: If Bitcoin touches $89,000, we should most likely expect more pumping. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
8
Navigating BTC Volatility Storm: Buy, Hold, or Flee?Bitcoin's recent price action has been reminiscent of a rollercoaster, leaving investors grappling with a whirlwind of conflicting signals. From sharp drops mirroring stock market turmoil to the looming "death cross," the cryptocurrency's trajectory is shrouded in uncertainty. Is this a prime buying opportunity, a warning to retreat, or simply another bout of the volatility that defines Bitcoin? The past few days have been a stark reminder of Bitcoin's inherent volatility. Reports of an 8% drop, coupled with the US stock market shedding $2 trillion in value, sent ripples through the crypto sphere. The catalyst? Concerns surrounding potential US tariffs and their impact on the global economic outlook. This sudden shift in market sentiment triggered a sell-off, reminiscent of the COVID-19 crash in 2020, during which Bitcoin’s pre-pandemic gains evaporated. Adding to the unease is the looming "death cross," a technical indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average. Historically, this pattern has signaled bearish momentum. The 2022 death cross, for example, precipitated a significant price drop of nearly 20%. Conversely, "golden crosses," where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, have historically signaled bullish momentum, triggering rallies of over 500% in 2020 and 2021. Currently, Bitcoin's 50-day moving average is edging closer to this critical crossover, prompting widespread speculation. Is this a repeat of 2022, or will the market defy historical patterns? The answer, as always, is complex and contingent on a confluence of factors. One significant factor is the strength of the US dollar. While the dollar's strength can often negatively impact Bitcoin, the current increase in the money supply could potentially counteract this effect, creating a bullish flag pattern. The dollar's inflation may become a catalyst for Bitcoin as a store of value. The global market dynamics are currently shrouded in uncertainty, making it difficult to predict the long-term impact of these factors. The recent price drops have pushed Bitcoin towards the $80,000 mark, with some analysts predicting a potential fall to $71,000. However, this level could also represent a "sizeable bounce," acting as a strong support zone for Bitcoin. The concept of an "oversold bounce" also comes into play. After a period of intense selling pressure, markets often experience a relief rally as traders capitalize on discounted prices. Whether this materializes remains to be seen. Is it a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin? The decision to buy, hold, or sell Bitcoin depends on an individual's risk tolerance, investment strategy, and understanding of the market. Here's a breakdown to consider: • For the Long-Term Investor: o Bitcoin's long-term potential remains a compelling narrative. Its decentralized nature, limited supply, and growing adoption continue to attract institutional and retail investors. o Price volatility is an inherent part of the Bitcoin journey. Historically, periods of sharp declines have been followed by significant rallies. o Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) can mitigate the impact of volatility by investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, regardless of the price.1 o The strength of the US dollar may become a catalyst for Bitcoin as a store of value. • For the Short-Term Trader: o The current volatility presents opportunities for skilled traders to profit from price swings. o Technical analysis, including monitoring moving averages and support/resistance levels, is crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. o However, short-term trading is inherently risky and requires a deep understanding of market dynamics. o The "death cross" should be monitored carefully. • For the Cautious Investor: o The current market uncertainty may warrant a more conservative approach. o Diversifying investments across different asset classes can help mitigate risk. o Staying informed about market developments and avoiding emotional trading decisions is essential. The Death Cross: A Warning or a False Alarm? The "death cross" is a significant technical indicator, but it's not a foolproof predictor of future price action. Historical data show that while it can signal bearish trends, it's not always accurate. Market conditions, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors can all influence Bitcoin's trajectory. Ultimately, the Bitcoin market remains highly speculative. The current volatility, driven by a confluence of factors, underscores the importance of careful research, risk management, and a long-term perspective. While the "death cross" and market fluctuations may cause short-term panic, the long-term potential of bitcoin, and it's reaction to the weakening dollar, may still produce long-term gains.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USDT Analysis: Expected DumpYesterday, Bitcoin tested the key sell zone at $86,000–$87,200. Later that evening, D. Trump made statements regarding mutual trade tariffs on imported goods. Initially, he announced a 10% base tariff for all countries, which was perceived positively, pushing Bitcoin up to $88,000. However, shortly after, tariffs of 34% for China and 20% for the EU were introduced, causing the market to plummet sharply. As a result, the $86,000–$87,200 sell zone has been validated, but with a short squeeze. At the moment, we have dropped to the local buyer zone of $83,800–$82,800, where significant volumes have already accumulated. Currently, the primary scenario favors further downside movement. If this plays out, we will form a new volume-based sell zone at $82,500–$83,800, which should be considered for re-entry upon a retest. Sell Zones: $82,500–$83,800 (volume zone) $85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Short
by Crypto_robotics
BTC/USDT Analysis: Local EuphoriaYesterday, right after the release of our analysis, Bitcoin absorbed the entire breakout of the trendline with buyer aggression. At the moment, we have reached the sell zone at $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer aggression) and have already observed an abnormal spike in volume. The main expectation is a decline, at least to the new local buyer zone at $83,800–$82,800. On a broader scale, we could still see a drop down to the $76,700 low. Sell Zones: $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer aggression) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $83,800–$82,800 (local volume zone) $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Short
by Crypto_robotics
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | BITB | Long at $46.25It definitely should get everyone's attention when a US Senator (David McCormick) is willing to dish out up to $600,000 in a Bitcoin ETF ( AMEX:BITB ): Feb. 27: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Feb. 28: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 3: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 5: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 10: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 11: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 13: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 20: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Something may be brewing this year with the "U.S. crypto reserve" and I'll throw down a couple grand at $46.25 with a self-proclaimed wild prediction into 2026: Bitcoin to $120,000. Bitwise ETF Targets: $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
AMEX:BITBLong
by WorthlessViews
CME Gap Target: Is Bitcoin Headed for $80K!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) , and on the 1-hour time frame , Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($82,360_$82,000) and the lower line of the ascending channel (small) . Overall, Bitcoin has started another downtrend after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel (big) . Since trading volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , it is unlikely that the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) will be broken before the financial markets open . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed the main wave 3 at $81,644 and is currently completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 will most likely have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . In general, the financial markets and US indices such as TVC:DJI , SP:SPX CME_MINI:NQ1! were not in a good state last week , and this trend will most likely continue next week . The tariffs that Donald Trump is imposing on countries around the world, as well as the turbulent situation in the Middle East , will all lead to the possibility of a fall in Bitcoin and other financial markets in the coming days. I expect Bitcoin to make at least a temporary increase to $83,200 and then next target the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) and the upper line of the ascending channel before starting to fall and attack the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) and also fill the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) . Note: If Bitcoin breaks above the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580), we can expect more pumping. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
35
BITCOIN Update: What We Can Expect Next???According to current price action we can expect 3 scenarios: Scenario 1: BTC is currently at it mid range resistance. If it breaks above this resistance then we may probably see price approaching range high and even beyond. Scenario 2: If it fails to break and rejects, then most probably we can expect reversal from range low demand zone, which aligns with cypher harmonic pattern's PRZ. Scenario 3: In worst case, we may see BTC dumping upto 74-70K region, and from there we will most probably see trend reversal. Most crucial level to watch in all scenarios is 95k region, if it breaks successfully above it, then we will see BTC slamming new ATH.
Long
by CryptoNether
BTC/USDT Analysis. Watching for Further DeclineYesterday, Bitcoin experienced a local rebound, reaching the sell zone. Our weekly scenario remains unchanged—we still expect further downside movement. Several factors support this view: the reaction in the sell zone and weak price action during the upward move (each high is struggling to break through). All zones remain active. We are monitoring the break of the trendline, and on a pullback, we will look for short entries. Sell Zones: $84,000-$85,300 (pushing volumes) $86,000-$87,200 (absorption of buyer's market aggression) $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500-$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zone: $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Short
by Crypto_robotics
Bearish Trend Meets Bullish Momentum: Is BTC Ready for a Rebound📉 Bitcoin is currently in a strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, but 📈 the 1-hour timeframe shows a break of structure and bullish momentum. This suggests a potential short-term pullback into the previous range, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 Additionally, there’s a bearish imbalance above that could be rebalanced. While this presents a possible buy opportunity, ⚠️ it’s a high-risk setup due to the overall bearish trend. Always trade with caution! 🚨 Disclaimer ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult a professional if needed. 💡
by fxtraderanthony
BTC Breakout or Breakdown: 83K to 87K or Bust to 73K?BTC’s standing at a fork in the road, and it’s itching to make a move! If it pushes past 83,121, we’re looking at a smooth jump to 84,600—like a quick win you can almost taste. Keep the good vibes going, and 87,000 might just be the big payoff. But hold up—if it stumbles below 81,300, things could get messy. The bears might crash the party, pulling us down to 80K, then 79,900. And if the slide keeps going? We’re talking 74,700, maybe even a rough landing between 73,600 and 73,000. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
Bitcoin's Rocky Quarter: Tariffs, Whales, and Volatility Loom Bitcoin's first quarter of 2025 has concluded with a whimper, marking its worst Q1 performance since the tumultuous bear market of 2018.1 While gold has surged to record highs, fueled by geopolitical tensions and US trade tariffs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum, leaving traders bracing for potential further volatility. This week’s preview reveals a confluence of factors that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory. A Disappointing First Quarter The initial months of 2025 were anticipated to be a period of growth for Bitcoin, particularly with the anticipation surrounding the halving event. However, the cryptocurrency failed to deliver on these expectations. Instead, it experienced a period of stagnation and even decline, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Several factors contributed to this underwhelming performance. The escalating trade tensions, particularly the US tariffs, have injected uncertainty into global markets, diverting capital towards established safe-haven assets. Tariffs and Trade Tensions: A Persistent Headwind The US imposition of trade tariffs has emerged as a significant headwind for Bitcoin. These tariffs, designed to protect domestic industries, have disrupted global trade flows and created a climate of economic uncertainty.2 Investors, wary of potential market disruptions, have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which has historically outperformed during periods of economic instability. The impact of these tariffs extends beyond immediate market reactions. They signal a potential shift towards protectionist policies, which could have long-term implications for global trade and investment flows. Bitcoin, often touted as a decentralized and borderless asset, is particularly vulnerable to disruptions in global trade and capital flows. Whale Activity and Market Manipulation Adding to the complexity of the market is the activity of large Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales."3 These entities, possessing significant amounts of Bitcoin, can exert considerable influence on market prices through large buy or sell orders. Recent observations suggest increased whale activity, potentially contributing to the volatility and price fluctuations. Concerns about market manipulation have also resurfaced. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin, while a core strength, also presents challenges in terms of regulation and oversight. This lack of centralized control can create opportunities for manipulation, leading to price swings that are not necessarily reflective of fundamental market dynamics. Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip: Where’s the Next Support? The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin bears are tightening their grip. The failure to sustain upward momentum has emboldened sellers, leading to a downward trend. Traders are now closely monitoring key support levels, anticipating potential further declines. Identifying these support levels is crucial for understanding the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price. Technical analysis, using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, can help traders identify potential areas of support where buying pressure may emerge. However, the volatile nature of Bitcoin makes it challenging to predict these levels with certainty. Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis The stark contrast between gold's recent performance and Bitcoin's struggles has reignited the debate about their respective roles as safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history and established reputation, has benefited from the current climate of uncertainty. However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a superior store of value in the long term. The comparison between the two assets highlights the evolving nature of safe-haven assets and the growing acceptance of digital currencies. The quote "Gold has taken 26 years to 10X. Bitcoin has taken 4 years to 10X" shows the potential for rapid growth, but also its volatility. Looking Ahead: Volatility and Uncertainty The coming week promises to be a period of significant volatility for Bitcoin. Traders should brace for potential price swings, driven by a combination of factors, including: • Continued Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade disputes and potential for further tariffs are likely to continue to impact market sentiment. • Whale Activity: Large buy or sell orders from whales could trigger significant price fluctuations. • Regulatory Developments: Any regulatory announcements or policy changes could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price. • Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation data, interest rate decisions, and other macroeconomic indicators will continue to influence investor behavior. • In conclusion, Bitcoin's disappointing first quarter has set the stage for a period of heightened volatility. The confluence of trade tensions, whale activity, and market manipulation creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a subject of debate, the immediate future is marked by uncertainty and the need for caution.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, we were unable to update the local high of $88,800, after which we broke the uptrend and went down. As we mentioned earlier in the daily analysis on TradingView, of the support zones at the moment, only the accumulated volume zone of $84,400-$82,900 and technical levels can be noted. Therefore, the main priority for this week is to reduce to a minimum of $76,700. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The only buyer's zone couldn't resist. The seller's pushing volumes appeared just above it, which will now act as a resistance zone when the price returns. Long is contraindicated. Consider buys only when approaching the local minimum and testing the buyer's zone of $77,000-$73,000, or with abnormal market activity and a breakdown of the maximum of $88,800. Sell Zones: $84,000–$85,300 (pushing volumes) $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer's market aggression) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zone: $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes) IMPORTANT DATES This week we’re following these macroeconomic events: • Monday, March 31, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the German consumer price index; • Tuesday, April 1, 03:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision; • Tuesday, April 1, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to March 2024; • Tuesday, April 1, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for March; • Tuesday, April 1, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the US labor market for February; • Wednesday, April 2, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in March; • Thursday, April 3, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Thursday, April 3, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for March; • Thursday, April 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for March; • Friday, April 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for March; • Friday, April 4, 15:25 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Short
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin - Bulls in trouble: 81k next?BTC Loses Bullish Structure – What Comes Next? Bitcoin has officially broken below the bullish trendline, closing underneath it for the first time in this recent uptrend. This is a key shift in market structure, as the ascending trendline had previously acted as strong dynamic support, keeping Bitcoin in a steady climb. Now that we have seen a clean break, the momentum appears to be shifting toward a deeper retracement, and the price is heading toward the next major support zone. Whenever a trendline like this is broken, it signals that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher levels. Instead of continuing the pattern of higher lows, Bitcoin is now moving lower, seeking stronger levels where buyers might step back in. The question now is whether the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement zone, combined with a historically strong support level, will be enough to hold the price up and trigger a reversal. Golden Pocket Support at $81.2K – A Key Bounce Zone The next major area of interest is the golden pocket retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the strong support around $81.2K. This is an area where Fibonacci traders and institutional buyers tend to look for entries, as the 0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci levels have historically been some of the most reliable support zones during retracements. What makes this level even more significant is the confluence of technical factors coming together at the same price range. Not only does this level align with the golden pocket, but it has also been a major historical support in previous price action. Every time Bitcoin has visited this range in recent weeks, we have seen strong buy-side reactions. If buyers step in once again, this could be the turning point for another leg to the upside. If we see a bounce from this zone, Bitcoin could attempt a recovery back toward $ 83K – $85K, potentially regaining its footing and re-entering a more bullish structure. However, the strength of the reaction at $81.2K will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term relief bounce or the start of another major uptrend. What If Bitcoin Fails to Hold $81.2K? While the golden pocket is often a high-probability reversal zone, it’s important to consider the bearish scenario as well. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, we could be in for an even deeper retracement. The next major downside target would be around $79.3K, which lines up with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. A move to $79.3K would indicate that Bitcoin needs a larger correction before it can regain bullish momentum. This wouldn’t necessarily mean that the bull market is over, but it would suggest that the uptrend needs a deeper reset before resuming. A drop this low would likely shake out weak hands and allow larger players to accumulate before any potential reversal. If Bitcoin does move down to this level, the market reaction will be key. A strong bounce from $79.3K could set up a powerful recovery, but a failure to hold would raise concerns about a larger trend shift. Losing this level would open the door for even deeper downside, meaning traders would need to be cautious about the broader market outlook. Final thoughts Now that Bitcoin has broken the trendline, all eyes are on how it interacts with this next major support zone. If the $81.2K level holds, we could see a strong reaction and a push back toward higher levels, reestablishing confidence in the market. However, if we lose this level, the next stop at $79.3K will become the last major line of defense before a more significant correction unfolds. The next few 4-hour candles will be crucial in determining whether buyers are ready to step in or if we need to prepare for a deeper move down. Will the golden pocket be enough to stop the drop, or is Bitcoin setting up for an extended retracement? We’ll find out soon! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
63
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move - Bounce or Breakdown?Bitcoin Holding the Ascending Channel (For Now) Right now, Bitcoin is moving inside a well-respected ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. This channel has been acting as a strong structure for price action, with Bitcoin consistently bouncing off the lower trendline while facing resistance near the upper boundary. As long as we remain within this channel, the trend remains bullish, and buyers are still in control. However, we are at a critical point where Bitcoin is approaching a key support level. If the price holds, we could see another bounce toward the top of the channel, but if support fails, a larger retracement is on the table. Golden Pocket Support – A Crucial Area for a Bounce A golden pocket retracement zone is forming from the most recent short-term swing low to swing high, and this is where Bitcoin could find support for a potential bounce. The golden pocket is one of the most high-probability reversal zones, as it often attracts strong buy orders. At the moment, Bitcoin hasn’t quite tapped into this level yet, but if we do, we could see buyers stepping in, leading to a reversal. If this scenario plays out, the price could make a move toward the midline of the channel first, followed by a potential test of the upper resistance level. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, we need to see strong buy-side momentum at this level. If we get a clear rejection and a push higher, it could signal the continuation of the uptrend, offering solid opportunities for long positions. What Happens If Support Fails? While the golden pocket is a great area for a bounce, there’s always the risk of it breaking down. If Bitcoin fails to hold the $85.5K level and breaks below the ascending channel, we could be in for a much deeper correction. In that case, the next major support level to watch would be the golden pocket from the entire uptrend, which sits around the $81K range. This would be a more significant pullback, but still a normal and healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. A move to this level could offer another strong buying opportunity if the market structure remains intact. However, if Bitcoin loses the $81K support, that could indicate a larger shift in trend, meaning we’d have to reconsider the overall market outlook. Possible Trade Setups and Key Scenarios Bullish Setup: If Bitcoin holds the short-term golden pocket and bounces, we stay inside the ascending channel. In this case, a move back to the midline and possibly even the upper trendline is likely. This would confirm that buyers are still stepping in and maintaining control. Bearish Breakdown: If Bitcoin loses $85.5K and breaks below the channel, then we could be looking at a larger retracement toward the $81K zone. This would signal short-term weakness, but it wouldn’t necessarily mean the bull trend is over—just that a deeper correction is needed before the next move up. Invalidation Zone: If Bitcoin falls below $81K, it could indicate a larger structural shift, meaning the bullish outlook would need to be reassessed. Final Thoughts Right now, we’re at a make-or-break point for Bitcoin’s short-term price action. If we see strong buying at the golden pocket, the uptrend remains intact, and we could be heading higher. But if support breaks, we’re looking at a deeper pullback toward $81K. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
46
Bitcoin is so close to falling into a Bear, repeating Aug 2023First off, this maybe the last time I post this chart. Binance are Stopping USDT use from tomorrow morning. I have used this chart since around March 2020 and it is my most trusted,. A sad day for me. This chart saw me through Bulk Run, Deep Bear and now this Recovery and Bull run. ANYWAY, the Arrow points towards a time in 2023 when we were so close to dropping into a Bear market for a number of reasons. Lets just say that Long Red Candle shoiwed a sudden weakening of Sentiment, A Lot of selling and confidence went. It took a number of weeks for confidence to return. And Now, we have a Similar thing. FEAR is high AND I AM BUYING MORE BITCOIN - this is excellent...because when the price rises again, this maybe the last we see this price range. We have Loads of support below. It is that RED 236 Fib circle that is dragging PA down, as I mentioned last week. This and the Fact that the Weekly MACD is still falling Bearish As you can see, the weekly MACD hits Neutral around 21 April, in 3 weeks time. It is from this point forwards that I believe we will see major shift's in Sentiment and PA action. Possibly earlier but maybe not strongly. Also note how the Histogram is levelling out. We need to see a White candle in the coming weeks or we could be facing bigger issues maybe. The Daily version of this same chart shows us very clearly where we are. This is Great News. We have broken through that 236 Red Fib circle. It is now Support. though we are under a line of resistance. But we broke through that in the recent past. I still think we will visit 78K again for a very short period of time. ( Hopefully, nothing is certain) Currently, the shorter term charts show Support found on the 618 Fib retracement line. And we need to see if this holds Over all, We are near the end of the first phase of this pause in Pushes higher. We have that wall at 109K to break through in the longer Term. Once Weekly MACD is on neutral, we will wait fo rthe daily to get there also and then we can push higher with Strength. This push maynot be a single push. the Weight of BTC with its current price holds back the sprints to ATH we once saw. Patience is a Virtue HOLD and BUY MORE
by Orriginal
BTC Volatility Play: Compression, Fib Confluence & 48% IV OptionBTCUSD | Volatility Compression Meets Macro Catalyst: Options & Technical Thesis Chart: BTC/USD 1M (BITSTAMP) Bitcoin is currently consolidating below all-time highs after touching the $95K level. The monthly candle structure shows the first significant pause in momentum, with price now holding around the $82,000–$84,000 range. This area represents a confluence of prior resistance-turned-support, Fib retracement zones, and the VWAP session level (~$84,910). Technically, the long-term ascending broadening wedge remains intact. MACD is extended but positive, while RSI has cooled to approximately 62. The structure supports the thesis of short-term rebalancing before a potential continuation or breakdown. Volatility compression is evident. Options Market Context | BTC1! (May 30, 2025 Expiry) Implied Volatility (IV): 48.1% across strikes Underlying Spot Price: $82,978 ATM Strike: $84,500 Theta: ~ -52 per leg (high decay environment) Delta Cluster: Calls around 0.53–0.59, Puts around -0.41 to -0.47 Despite BTC's recent move and upcoming halving-related volatility potential, the options market is pricing in moderate movement, not extreme. This opens the door for straddles, strangles, and gamma-based strategies if volatility expands or price breaks out of range. Breakeven Analysis: BTC Straddles (May 30, 2025) The table below illustrates the breakeven zones and required directional moves for various straddle positions, based on total premium (call + put). Strike Total Premium ($) Upper Breakeven ($) Lower Breakeven ($) % Move Up % Move Down 82,500 13,468 95,968 69,032 15.65% 16.81% 83,000 13,454 96,454 69,546 16.24% 16.19% 84,000 13,488 97,488 70,512 17.45% 15.04% 84,500 13,546 98,046 70,954 18.16% 14.48% 85,000 13,607 98,607 71,393 18.87% 13.97% Interpretation: The FWB:83K –$84.5K strikes offer the most balanced convexity. The average breakeven range requires BTC to move approximately 15%–18% in either direction by expiration to achieve profitability. Strategy Considerations 1. Long Straddle at ATM ($84,500): Total cost: ~$13,546 Profit potential if BTC > GETTEX:98K or < $70.9K Ideal for traders anticipating a significant move in either direction Vega + gamma rich; best for breakout environments 2. Directional Option Play: Long Call at $85,000 (~$6,538) for a lower-cost breakout bet Long Put at $82,500 (~$5,713) to lean bearish Scaled exposure possible for either side, depending on directional bias 3. Advanced Structures (Neutral Thesis): Short Straddle or Iron Butterfly at $84,500 to harvest premium High decay potential, but vulnerable to directional expansion Only suitable if anticipating range-bound behavior near-term Final Thoughts Bitcoin is entering a historically volatile phase post-halving with price compressing below all-time highs and implied volatility sitting at moderate levels. This convergence of technical consolidation and underpriced volatility creates a strong environment for defined-risk, high-reward trades. Whether you favor directional breakouts or volatility-based strategies, the current setup offers clear levels, manageable risk, and strong reward-to-risk symmetry. Chart source: BTCUSD Monthly (BITSTAMP) Options source: CME BTC Options (May 30, 2025)
Short
by TheHouseofTrade
$BTC for Next week (31st March - 4th April)Given out all the ideas, Will react to the market based on which idea presents itself. If Yellow line - Its better to stay out of the markets. With the other wait for MSS (Market Structure Shift) and then take the trade and target the other side of the liquidity. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT Overall I'm neutral on CRYPTOCAP:BTC but SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ and NYSE:ES look bearish to me, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could follow.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by MrVelvet_
Bear cycle begins if this happens. Not the time of buy the dipI have been thinking this Bitcoin cycle has already peaked.   I am using a weekly chart here because I can fit in three BTC cycles on the screen, but it is more clear if you look at it in the Daily chart.  I am analysing the chart by using VWAP - Volume weighted moving average. When you place VWAP (orange line) at the peak of each cycle you can see the pattern as below: 1) The price goes down steadily from the suspected peak price but eventually breaks above the descending trendline.  (please check it in daily chart).  2) The price moves and closes above the descending trendine but the upside move is limited and price gets trapped and consolidate in the sideway for a few months (blue rectangular box).    3) VWAP acts as resistance line and eventually resumes the downside move. 4) By then, all momentum indicators are deep in the bear zone, and the bear cycle begins. When I look at weekly and daily chart, I can see the same scenario is unfolding now.  I don't think the price will go straight down from here. There are good small swing trade opportunities in lower time frame for the next few months. However, if the price struggles to move above VWAP, the end of cycle scenario becomes more and more convincing. It is just my humble opinion based on one style of analysis. Final note: Bitcoin price action has been very similar to NASDAQ100 and US500, and these charts are looking very dire. If US indices go down in the the next few months, Bitcoin will go with them.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EbonyFalcon
Bitcoin: Breaking Below $80K Soon,10% Correction on the Horizon?Hey Realistic Traders, Bitcoin is consistently hitting new lower lows. Could this signal that the bear market is here to stay? Let’s dive in....... On the H4 chart, Bitcoin is clearly in a bearish phase. It consistently trades below both the trendline and the EMA 200, reinforcing the downtrend. Additionally, a rising wedge pattern has formed and broken out, and the MACD has shown a bearish crossover. This crossover is a key indicator, signaling that momentum is shifting from buyers to sellers. Together, these signals suggest that Bitcoin may drop toward our first target at 79,081. After reaching this level, a short pullback is expected as traders take profits before the price continues its descent toward a new low at 73,633. This outlook remains valid as long as the price moves below the stop-loss level at 89,557 Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Bitcoin.
Short
by financialfreedomgoals101
Bitcoin Part2: Bullish Trade longBad economy,global inflation,recessive U.S. economy,hypes,uncertainly, the white house policy. All these facts matter:They put the markets under massive pressure Where is the chance: To plan different scenarios and models that have benn working in such similar scenarios. 202 is a good example, as the markets suddenly experienced big pressure. Last not least, the FED transistory inflation, that wasnt real inflation, now indeed is becoming a dangerouse reality: We will have higher inflation, and global risks increasing.This will impact global liquidity inflow into markets. Additionally we are noticing an outflow of the US stock markest, and increasing inflow of capital in foreign countries stock markets. This are not good news for Bitcoin nor for crypto at all. The chane in my opinion is just to think reverse.like 2020 Sell when positive news from the Whitehouse andpositive tone from FED. Buy when White house talking and announcing threadful tariffs and if FED talks negatively. Why?Because we have indieed real thread of inflation, and FED is the more competent team, who really now does everything to tame the inflation.Therefor i beleive them more. Also short term contarian trade is just planned for max 24-48 hours. not longer As the volatility rises. Helding positions for more periode of time means increasing the risk.Upwards and downwards.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
1
Bitcoin Part1: bearish Trade Short termBitcoin Macro Index' bear signal puts $110K BTC price return in doubt Fact is: Bitcoin and ether drop amid grim inflation outlook, tariff uncertainty midterm to long term, as long the white house continues its policy.And PRES: trump cannot prevent it. A positive change of the white house policy, and improving its relationshipsto other nations,instead putting them with tariffs, will be a boosting positive cataylst also for crypto,specially Bitcoin. Bitcoin has lost in trust of new investors ,specially since 21st of January 2025. Also participating of Pres. trump in crypto summits had no positive significant signals ,specilly not for Bitcoin.Instead Bitcoin lost now more than 34% since Nov. 2025. Also many crypto fans are very disappointed about developement of their crypto performances. Promise gave,Promise ,,NOT,,kept! It wIll be a very volatile time ahead. Therefor I prepare for both scenarios:Bullish/Bearish short term. This is part 1:bEARISH STRATEGY: Below 78k...bearish momentum will gain more on momentum.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDShort
by DaveBrascoFX
3