Altseason will official start this coming Monday. Are you ready?So here we are 2 and a half years later. Business as usual. What an amazing journey it's been.
You know the drill, bloody day Starting Sunday in a few hours, Monday starts with a big explosion, then, sell in May and go away. Although watch out for Time Magazine's and Roaring Kitty's hints, January 9th til April 20th bullrun.
The blow off top of a century before a great depression.
Will Bitcoin stop at 60k? or will the model break and have Bitcoin reach 10 to 20k?
Comments, feedback and input is highly welcome and appreciated.
Enjoy the banana party.
Bitcoinprediction
Bitcoin's Balancing Act: Navigating Selling Pressure and BullishBitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, currently finds itself at a critical juncture, navigating a complex interplay of selling pressure from long-term holders and several bullish indicators suggesting a potential resurgence. This article delves into the key factors influencing Bitcoin's price, including long-term holder behavior, exchange inflows and miner outflows, hashrate dynamics, and the influence of Bitcoin whales, to assess its potential to reclaim the coveted $100,000 mark.
Critical Support and Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure
Bitcoin is currently facing critical support levels, meaning that its price is approaching a point where a significant drop could trigger further selling and potentially lead to a more substantial correction. One of the primary factors contributing to this pressure is the selling activity of long-term Bitcoin holders. These holders, who have typically held their Bitcoin for extended periods, are beginning to distribute their holdings, adding to the selling pressure in the market. This behavior can be attributed to various factors, including profit-taking after previous price surges, concerns about macroeconomic conditions, or a shift in investment strategies. Monitoring the behavior of long-term holders is crucial for understanding the overall market sentiment and potential future price movements.
Exchange Inflow and Miner Outflow Dynamics
Analyzing Bitcoin exchange inflows and miner outflows provides valuable insights into market dynamics. A drop in exchange inflows suggests reduced selling pressure, as fewer Bitcoins are being deposited onto exchanges for trading.1 Conversely, a decrease in miner outflows indicates that miners are holding onto their Bitcoin rather than selling it immediately, further reducing selling pressure. The recent drop in both exchange inflows and miner outflows is a positive sign, suggesting that selling pressure is easing and potentially paving the way for a price recovery. The expectation is that this reduced selling pressure, combined with other bullish factors, could contribute to Bitcoin reclaiming the $100,000 level.
Bitcoin Hashrate Reaching New All-Time Highs
The Bitcoin hashrate, a measure of the computational power used to mine Bitcoin, has recently reached new all-time highs.2 This is a significant indicator of the network's strength and security. A higher hashrate makes the Bitcoin network more resistant to attacks and demonstrates the continued commitment of miners to the ecosystem. While a high hashrate doesn't directly translate to immediate price increases, it reflects the long-term health and stability of the Bitcoin network, which can indirectly contribute to positive market sentiment and attract new investors. This robust network infrastructure provides a strong foundation for future price appreciation and supports the possibility of Bitcoin reaching $100,000.
The Influence of Bitcoin Whales
Bitcoin whales, entities holding substantial amounts of Bitcoin, exert significant influence on market dynamics.3 Recent data suggests that Bitcoin whales control a significant portion of exchange volume, highlighting their ability to impact price movements. Analyzing their selling patterns is crucial for understanding potential market shifts. If whales begin accumulating Bitcoin, it could signal a bullish trend, while continued selling could exacerbate downward pressure. Understanding whale behavior is essential for navigating the complexities of the Bitcoin market and anticipating potential price swings. The observation that whales control 94.5% of exchange volume underscores their influence and the importance of monitoring their activity for future market predictions.
Can Bitcoin Reclaim $100,000?
The question on everyone's mind is whether Bitcoin can reclaim the $100,000 mark. While the selling pressure from long-term holders presents a challenge, several bullish factors offer hope for a price recovery. The drop in exchange inflows and miner outflows suggests reduced selling pressure, while the record-high hashrate demonstrates the strength and security of the Bitcoin network. The behavior of Bitcoin whales will also play a crucial role in determining future price movements.
Reaching $100,000 will require a combination of factors, including a decrease in selling pressure, renewed buying interest from both retail and institutional investors, and positive developments in the broader cryptocurrency market. If these conditions are met, Bitcoin has the potential to overcome current challenges and reach new heights.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently navigating a delicate balance between selling pressure and bullish indicators. While long-term holder selling and critical support levels present challenges, the drop in exchange inflows and miner outflows, coupled with the record-high hashrate, offer positive signals. The influence of Bitcoin whales adds another layer of complexity to the market dynamics.
Whether Bitcoin can reclaim $100,000 remains to be seen, but the interplay of these factors will ultimately determine its future price trajectory. Careful monitoring of these key indicators is essential for understanding the evolving landscape of the Bitcoin market and making informed investment decisions.
From Moonboys to Bag Holders: The Bitcoin SagaAh, the Anatomy of a Mania , the chart that keeps on giving! Bitcoin chilling at GETTEX:97K in the ‘New Paradigm!!!’ zone? 🚀💎🙌 Translation: everyone’s sipping on hopium smoothies and thinking they’re financial geniuses. Spoiler alert: they’re not. 😏
Next up? Bull Trap Boulevard—where FOMO warriors jump back in screaming ‘TO THE MOON!’ 🌕 only to realize they just bought the top... again. 😬 Then we head straight to Capitulation Carnival, where wallets cry louder than the people who said ‘I’ll never sell!’ 🤡 And let’s not forget the VIP afterparty at Despair Dungeon—population: bag holders. 😭
But hey, don’t let me stop you. Ride that red line, champ! 📉 I’ll be waiting at the mean reversion party with my popcorn. 🍿😎
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000) and near the Resistance lines .
Regarding Elliott's wave theory , I still see the waves as corrective . It is likely that Bitcoin is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) so that it is currently completing a wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks ( between volume and price ).
In addition, USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is moving near the Support zone and the lower line of the descending channel , so we can expect an increase in this index in the coming hours, and the increase in USDT.D% can cause Bitcoin to decrease .
I expect Bitcoin to start falling from the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage , and Resistance lines again. The First Target can be the Support zone($96,680-$95,500) . If Bitcoin breaks the Support zone($96,680-$95,500), we can expect the CME Gap($94,830-$94,420) to be filled.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,000-$99,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,000
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000), we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD- Levels for Monday 6th- Friday 11th JanuaryHope this benefits you guys. This is not typical S&R or S&D. These levels are based on volume profile and really powerful. NOTE, don't treat these levels as buy and sell points. You will still need to have context behind your trade and use these levels as a reference point. one of the strategy I use is, volume profile along with cumulative delta and footprint. Look for shift in value, delta divergence etc. and when price reaches one of those levels, use footprint for entry. Bottom line is, you have to have context behind your trade. Without context, you are hunting in the dark. Have fun and enjoy
How to outperform Microstrategy in 2025🚀 Michael Saylor vs. Smarter Bitcoin Buying
Michael Saylor has driven waves of excitement with his massive Bitcoin purchases. While it’s fascinating that a software company like NASDAQ:MSTR is using Bitcoin to boost its stock price, that’s not our focus today.
saylortracker.com
Our goal: Outperform Saylor and make better Bitcoin purchases.
📊 Current Market Outlook
📉 60-Day Cycle Low:
Bitcoin appears to be at a 60-day cycle low—a fantastic buying opportunity!
However, don’t hold past the 3-day cycle high.
🔮 What the Cycles Are Telling Us
- 2-Week Cycle: Recently reversed to the downside, signaling potential for further declines.
- 1-Week Cycle: Still declining and likely needs another month to reset.
- 60-Day Cycle: Historically bearish before completing a 24-week cycle.
💡 Key Takeaways
1️⃣ Bitcoin may need a breather before its next big move.
2️⃣ The bull market is intact, with a price range of $130–150K still achievable.
3️⃣ This is unlikely to happen in the first two months of 2025.
⏳ Patience Pays Off
I know you’re eager for gains, and soon enough, your altcoins will have their moment to shine**. 🌟
You’ll be sending screenshots of your portfolio to your friends again, trust me. 😉
📅 Most Probable Scenario
Bitcoin tends to move in 24-week cycles. On the weekly timeframe, we may see further bearish action before a reset, providing even better buying opportunities.
Patience is key—trade smarter, not harder!
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
Possibly the best system I have ever come up with for BitcoinThis is for my wealth accumulation and it is not in any way financial advice. If you follow this and lose your shirt that's on you!
There is a cycle embedded into the Bitcoin space. We all know it and we all witness it.
The halving cycle is real and it is a feature not a bug.
For my sanity, I am sick of seeing people I know buying the FOMO tops and then selling on the way down to the bottom or holding through massive periods of drawdown. So I am not going to do that.
The system is simple.
Setup, wait for the next most likely top in the market before the next most likely drawdown period.
QT4 2013
QT4 2017
QT4 2021
QT4 2025 <-- Next possible top in the market
From October 2025 monitor the daily price action looking for a close below the 50-period SMA
When triggered Sell Everything.
QT1 2015
QT1 2019
QT1 2023
QT1 2027 <-- Next possible bottom in the market
From January 2027 monitor the daily price action looking for a close above the 50-period SMA
When triggered Buy Everything back.
Bitcoin - almost ready to go up but not yetWhen I analyse Bitcoin, I really focus on MACD. I don't trade Bitcoin. I use technical analysis to find a good entry point to buy Bitcoin.
I use the following conditions to find a good entry point to buy Bitcoin:
1) MACD lines are properly crossed and the angles of MACD lines are pointing up in a daily chart. Almost crossed is not good enough. The lines need to properly crossed ideally above 0 line.
2) Only if the first condition is met, I look at RSI and Stochastic (9,3,3) in the same chart. Two lines in RSI need to be properly crossed and the lines are about to or crossed above 50 level, and Stochastic (9,3,3) is not in overbought territory.
3) Go to the weekly chart and look at Stochastic (9,3,3). If weekly stochastic lines are crossed and moving upward from below 50 level.
BTC retested both previous monthly and weekly low and the price seems to be moving up. However, it still needs to cross above the previous higher high at around 100k zone which is also the previous weekly and monthly mid price area. The current set up is very similar to the set ups on the 21st April 24 and 01 July 24 where I drew blue vertical lines in the chart. At these times, BTC looked like it was finally about to go up but ended up having another dip. If you look at MACD in those two points (marked in blue square), you can see daily MACD lines looked like they were about to cross but didn't and the stochastic in the weekly chart was still pointing downwards. There is a chance the scenario is playing out right now. I think Bitcoin will eventually start to move up, but before that next leg up, it might have another dip (minor bear trap).
BTCUSD H4 Outlook If this current H4 candle closes below my poi which is 97552.82 I'll be looking to sell Bitcoin down to the indicated liquidity zone 92743.63
If price close above it. I'll wait for the next three H4 candles to know if I'd still be willing to see Bitcoin fall to 92743.63.
What's your outlook on BTC. Drop your comments I'll be glad to read your point of view.
Daily Market Review and Analysis for BTC: January 2, 2025#BTC (1h)
The cryptocurrency market capitalization rose by 2.74% over the last 24 hours, BTC dominance fell by 0.6%.
#Bitcoin continues its local uptrend, which is especially clearly visible on lower timeframes (up to 15 minutes). In particular, the price of the first cryptocurrency continues to periodically rebound from trend liquidity, which indicates that the liquidity pool will soon reach the level of $97,544 and then roll back to the area of $96,200.
This scenario will be relevant if the price consolidates with the body of the hourly candle below $95,924. But as mentioned above, now the most realistic scenario is to take the liquidity price at $97,544.
As for the global scenario, BTC is in a bullish cycle and the primary target in the medium term is the buyers' liquidity level (BSL) at $99,963, where the price is likely to fall for the sellers' liquidity (SSL) withdrawals at $90,500 and $88,722.
BTCUSDT LongBased on the previous analysis, we anticipated that the price might be bearish based on the retracement it made on the 50% mark.
Well, it retraced but did not manage to go through the Order Block at 92150, which might be a signature that the price might be drawn to the DOL at 100,000
Entry at 95600, tp 1 at 97570 and Tp 2 at 100,700 and SL 93750.
Bitcoin Analysis (1 hour time frame)According to my personal analysis I observes a clever bearish trend here.
Read for more details
Note: This post is for educational purpose only. I am not a certified trader or a financial advisor
1. Key Observations on the Chart
Resistance Zone:
The price is near $95,300, which is a resistance level (red zone). The chart shows that the price is struggling to go above this level. This often indicates that sellers are stronger than buyers at this point.
Support Zones:
Below the current price, there are green zones that represent support levels. These are areas where the price may stop falling if it moves downward because buyers may step in.
Indicators:
The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) (blue and yellow lines) are currently below the price, showing that the market is still bullish for now.
The CCI (Commodity Channel Index) at the bottom of the chart is coming down from a high level, which could mean that the buying pressure is reducing.
---
2. What Does This Mean?
If the price fails to break above $95,300 (the red zone), it is likely to go down toward the green zones (support levels).
The red arrows drawn on the chart suggest the expectation of a bearish movement (price falling) toward the lower green zones if resistance holds.
---
3. Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bearish Trend (Price Falls)
The price fails to break the resistance ($95,300).
It starts to move downward toward the first support zone around $94,400–$94,300.
If this level is broken, the price could fall further to the second support zone near $93,000.
Scenario 2: Bullish Trend (Price Rises)
If the price breaks above the resistance at $95,300 and stays above it, the market might continue upward toward $96,000 or higher.
---
4. What to Watch For?
Price Behavior Around $95,300:
If the price forms long wicks (indicating rejection) or red candles, it’s likely to fall.
If the price closes strongly above this level, it might continue upward.
Support Zones:
Watch if the price holds or breaks the support levels below ($94,400 and $93,000).
---
Conclusion
The chart currently suggests a bearish possibility because:
1. The price is facing resistance.
2. Momentum (CCI) is reducing.
3. The drawn arrows show an expected downward move.
However, you should wait for confirmation from the next price movements before making any decisions.
Bitcoin Testing a Difficult LevelJust two days ago, we were bullish in the short term at GETTEX:92K , identifying it as a solid support level. Since then, BTC has risen nearly 4%, but now it’s time to exercise caution.
Here’s why:
• Bitcoin is currently hitting the 50-day moving average and the Bollinger Bands, which are acting as resistance.
• This level previously served as a support line four times and has now become a resistance line three times.
While I don’t believe this is an insurmountable barrier for BTC, it may be too early for the price to break through this level decisively.
Considering the liquidity shortage following the Santa Rally and volume levels that are average or below, I anticipate a short-term downside. A small short position might make sense for a limited timeframe (up to a day).
That said, shorting isn’t my preferred strategy, and I recommend caution. Personally, I’m staying out of this trade for now, and I suggest you do the same unless you’re confident in your analysis and being ready to bet against the whole crypto community.
Let’s wait for a retest.
Yours sincerely,
Mister iM
Bitcoin SellThis coin has been bearish for the past few days, before retracting 50% of the current range.
Currently, it is on the 50% mark, filled the IFVG before strongly rejecting it and acted as a bearish order block.
I do anticipate that the price might be drawn to the sell side liquidity at 91000.
Entry at 95500, Sl at 96700 and target at 91000
Bitcoin: Macro Support/Resistance Fibonacci SchematicsThe layout of these Bitcoin Schematics are to be able to see all key kevels through appropriate Timeframes.
#1 and #2 are Monthly Schematics.
#3 through #6 are all 2-Week candles.
#7 and #8 are both 1 Weekly Candles.
The first two are this ideas main attraction BIG MACRO WISE. These are the most Macro Schematics in the blueprint and they are both in LOG mode. They include two of the Strongest Fibonacci Tools each historically in this market. Each include Fib Spikes and Fib Extensions. The horizontal orange extensions are both the most important Macro Fib Extensions which is why they are 1 and 2.
The middle four are all structured support and resistance levels based on the Fibonacci Sequence. They are different because of their small price differences and structure when formed but the overall sequence travels up and can be seen visually on all separately.
The last two are the most recent formations so they are on smaller timeframes. Even though every single box has about two schematics per, #8 has about 4. This includes 3 Major Fib tools with different colors along with a not so visible couple of lines.
#2 must be watched closely as this resistance can turn into support quickly and then we move onto terra infinte. Once this happens, our resistance is Box #1 at around 200k give or take. Ofcourse there are the other boxes of resistance but I am looking at the Base Schematic of Box 1 to give me the next major ATH on Bitcoin. Or at least a major level before finding another top potentially at around 250k per Box #1's Schematic Layout.
I have linked my collection of my best Bitcoin ideas leading up to this point below and all either have some of the same schematics or work together as one.
BTC dip buy could be coming read captionIt sounds like you're referring to the potential opportunity to buy Bitcoin (BTC) during a market dip, as fear and uncertainty in the market often drive prices lower. This strategy is commonly known as "buying the dip."
Here are some considerations if you're thinking about this:
1. Market Sentiment
Fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) can create opportunities to buy BTC at a discount. Keep an eye on news, market trends, and sentiment indicators like the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
2. Technical Analysis
Look for support levels or areas where BTC has previously bounced back.
Use tools like RSI (Relative Strength Index) to identify oversold conditions.
3. Risk Management
Only invest what you can afford to lose, as BTC can be highly volatile.
Consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to reduce the impact of short-term price fluctuations.
4. Cloud Mining or Storage
If you're referring to cloud services, ensure they're reputable before investing in mining or storage solutions. Many scams exist in this space.
Would you like help analyzing current BTC trends or guidance on tools for tracking crypto prices? c
IBITUSDT Analysis: Red Box Breakout PotentialIn IBITUSDT, the red box signifies a critical resistance zone. If price breaks and retests this level, it may present a long entry opportunity . That said, my overall expectation is for the correction to deepen further before significant upward movement.
Key Points:
Red Box Resistance: Monitor for a breakout and retest to confirm a potential long setup.
Deeper Correction Likely: Current market conditions suggest the correction could continue before recovery.
Confirmation Indicators: I will utilize CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks in lower time frames to validate entries.
Learn With Me: If you want to understand how to leverage CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints for accurate market analysis, feel free to DM me.
Reminder: Always manage your risk and look for confirmation before taking any trades.
If this analysis helps you, please don’t forget to boost and comment. Your support inspires me to share more valuable insights!
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
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🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
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📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
BTCUSDT Next Suppport at $87kBINANCE:BTCUSDT technical analysis update
BTC is trading at the support trend line and about to break below it. The price is trading below the 100 and 200 EMA, indicating bearish momentum. If the price breaks down, we can expect a bearish move, with a possible drop to $87K. The next strong support is at the $87-88K level, where we can anticipate a significant bounce.
Regards
Hexa
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish DivergenceTechnical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish Divergence
Hello!
T he recent technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) highlights the presence of a regular bearish divergence between the price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. This divergence, marked by the yellow lines on the chart, signals a potential reversal in the short-term trend and suggests a bearish outlook for the coming days or weeks.
Understanding the Divergence
A regular bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset forms higher highs, while the RSI forms lower highs. This indicates weakening momentum, even as the price reaches new peaks. The yellow lines on the TradingView chart clearly illustrate this pattern for Bitcoin.
Price Action: Bitcoin has recorded higher highs on the price chart.
RSI Behavior: The RSI indicator, however, has failed to mirror this pattern, instead forming lower highs. This discrepancy points to diminishing bullish momentum and the likelihood of an upcoming price correction.
Short-Term Bearish Implications
Given the regular bearish divergence, Bitcoin’s price is expected to experience a pullback in the short term. Traders should be cautious, as this divergence often precedes a period of downward movement. Key support levels, such as $93,000 and $92,000, should be monitored closely to assess the depth of the correction.
Long-Term Bullish Outlook
While the short-term trend leans bearish, the long-term perspective for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several macroeconomic factors, including increasing institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and a growing use case for cryptocurrencies, continue to support the long-term upward trajectory of BTC. This macroeconomic backdrop suggests that any short-term price corrections could present buying opportunities for long-term investors.
Key Takeaways
The yellow lines on the TradingView chart highlight a regular bearish divergence between Bitcoin’s price and the RSI indicator.
This divergence signals a likely short-term bearish trend, with a potential price correction on the horizon.
Long-term trends remain bullish, supported by macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s robust fundamentals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Regards,
Ely
MicroStrategy Buys the Dip Amidst $BTC Crash to $92KThe cryptocurrency market witnessed another headline-grabbing move by MicroStrategy as the firm added 2,138 BTC to its holdings for $209 million. While Bitcoin’s price experiences a significant dip, this acquisition reflects a continued belief in its long-term potential. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental aspects of Bitcoin’s current state.
MicroStrategy’s Strategic Buy
On Monday, MicroStrategy announced its latest Bitcoin purchase, acquiring 2,138 BTC at an average price of $97,837. This marks yet another chapter in the company’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy. However, critics like Peter Schiff were quick to note that these purchases are involving less capital, and the acquisition price consistently overshoots the market rate.
Despite such criticism, MicroStrategy’s move underscores institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. The company’s continued investment is seen as a vote of confidence amidst bearish market sentiment, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a digital store of value.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s price action is currently confined within a horizontal channel, with support at $92,200–$94,200 and resistance at $98,700–$101,000. As of now, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is testing the lower boundary of this channel. A decisive move in either direction could dictate the asset’s next major trend.
Bullish Scenario
Should buyers step in with strength, Bitcoin could rebound and retest the $98,700–$101,000 resistance zone. A breakout above this level may act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially marking the start of a sustained uptrend. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to gain momentum after the New Year’s pause, making January 8, 2024, a key date to watch for heightened volatility and potential upside movement.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a breakdown below the $92,200 support could trigger a retest of the $90,800 level. A more severe downturn might lead to Bitcoin revisiting its major support at $85,000. This psychological level will play a pivotal role in determining whether BTC can stage a trend reversal or face further downside as sellers shake out weak hands.
Market Sentiment and Outlook
The broader market sentiment remains cautious as Bitcoin’s price consolidates within its current range. MicroStrategy’s recent purchase has injected some optimism, but the market awaits stronger signals of a directional move. Traders are closely monitoring the $101,000 resistance level, which could act as a springboard for greater gains if breached.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price is at a critical juncture, with key support and resistance levels in focus. MicroStrategy’s continued investment highlights institutional confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for both recovery and further downside. As the market navigates this pivotal phase, all eyes are on Bitcoin’s next move, which could shape its trajectory for the months ahead.
Warning: Bitcoin Could Trigger an Economic Collapse This opinion might not be popular—especially here on Tradingview—but it’s worth discussing. Blind faith in Bitcoin can be dangerous, and today I want to shed light on the risks it entails. This post isn’t about creating fear but rather about encouraging critical thinking and risk assessment.
As a supporter of cryptocurrency and Bitcoin myself, I’ve observed a troubling trend: people are rushing to buy Bitcoin at any price, ignoring a crucial possibility—it might be the largest financial pyramid ever created, with the potential to collapse the global financial system. Here’s why:
Key Risks Associated with Bitcoin
1. Software Vulnerabilities
Bitcoin relies on software developed by the Bitcoin Foundation. This software is not infallible and could contain bugs or even be exploited maliciously. While these wouldn’t compromise the blockchain itself, they could lead to massive theft of funds, triggering a price crash and eroding public trust.
2. Quantum Computing Risks
Current cryptographic security is robust, but computational power is advancing rapidly. Quantum computers pose a theoretical threat to Bitcoin’s encryption. While developers are preparing for this, transitioning to quantum-resistant technology is far from guaranteed to be seamless.
3. Lack of Real-World Use Cases
Bitcoin is often compared to gold, serving as a store of value rather than a functional currency or technological tool. Unlike gold, which has practical applications across industries, Bitcoin’s value hinges entirely on preservation and speculation. Is that enough to sustain its growth?
4. Potential Financial System Collapse
Bitcoin is now deeply intertwined with traditional finance. ETFs like BlackRock’s funnel massive amounts of investor money into Bitcoin. As long as new funds flow in, prices soar. But BlackRock doesn’t care about Bitcoin’s fate—it simply follows the money. If outflows begin, BlackRock will sell, accelerating a price crash. A 90%+ drop could trigger a financial system-wide crisis, impacting everyday people’s savings and investments.
5. Market Manipulation
The crypto market operates in a “Wild West” environment with limited transparency. Institutional and retail investors control 56% of Bitcoin, and Satoshi Nakamoto’s wallet alone holds 5.2% of all BTC. These entities can manipulate prices, short the market, and crash prices for profit without facing any repercussions. In traditional finance, this would lead to prosecution. In crypto? They remain untouchable.
Reality Check: No Risk-Free Investments
There’s no such thing as a risk-free asset or flawless technology. Bitcoin’s allure is built on a dream, but that dream must be scrutinized. Stay alert and cautious.
As for me? Despite these risks, I’ve invested in Bitcoin and held it for a long time. Will I continue? Time will tell. I believe Bitcoin has only two potential outcomes: MIL:1M + or $0. Let’s hope the risks I’ve outlined are nothing more than the ramblings of someone writing at 9 AM. Good luck to all of us!
Yours sincerely,
Mister iM