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Bitcoinprediction

BTC Faces Significant Selling Pressure from Long-Term HoldersBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has faced intensified selling pressure from long-term holders (LTHs), who have offloaded approximately 1 million BTC since mid-September, contributing to its current 13% dip from its all-time high of $108,000. This marks the largest discount since the U.S. presidential election. While short-term holders (STHs) have stepped in to absorb some of this supply, demand imbalance continues to weigh heavily on Bitcoin’s price. 1. Long-Term Holders’ Selling Behavior LTHs, defined as investors holding BTC for over 155 days, have been distributing their holdings as prices show strength. Over the past week, LTHs sold 70,000 BTC in a single day, marking the fourth-largest one-day sell-off this year, according to Glassnode data. Their holdings have dropped from 14.2 million BTC in September to 13.2 million BTC, signaling a strategic move to realize profits during this period of heightened market volatility. 2. Short-Term Holders Absorbing Supply STHs have accumulated 1.3 million BTC during the same period, partially offsetting LTHs' selling. However, this accumulation hasn’t been enough to sustain upward momentum, resulting in continued price weakness. 3. Market Liquidity and Exchange Activity The circulating supply of Bitcoin stands at 19.8 million tokens, with 2.8 million BTC held on exchanges. Notably, 200,000 BTC have exited exchanges in recent months, indicating a trend of investors moving assets to cold storage. This dwindling exchange balance could limit immediate liquidity, further impacting market dynamics. Technical Outlook Bitcoin is trading in a bearish zone, currently down 0.49% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 42. The recent market sell-off liquidated approximately $1.4 billion, exacerbating downward pressure. Key Levels to Watch Support Level: If selling persists, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could dip to $85,000, a key support level aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Resistance Level: For a bullish reversal, CRYPTOCAP:BTC must break through $101,000, a pivotal psychological and technical barrier that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Outlook and Implications The ongoing selling by LTHs reflects a strategic shift, possibly influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties and profit-taking at current levels. Meanwhile, STHs’ buying activity suggests continued confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. However, the imbalance between supply and demand could lead to further short-term price volatility. Investors should closely monitor key support and resistance levels and market activity from these cohorts to anticipate the next significant price movement. Conclusion Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains uncertain amid significant selling pressure from LTHs. While oversold technical indicators hint at a potential rebound, the lack of sufficient demand from STHs raises concerns about sustained recovery. The next few days will be critical for Bitcoin as it navigates these pivotal price levels. Will CRYPTOCAP:BTC bounce back like it has in past corrections, or is a deeper dip on the horizon? Only time will tell. Stay tuned for further updates!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Is the Top In? Bitcoin's Diminishing ReturnsMany of us have seen the Bitcoin Rainbow chart before. Right now, it implies that there is still room for another leg higher. According to Blockchain Center's 2023 chart , the 'Is this a bubble?' price range is around $111,914 to $143,429. However, we also see the highs diminish over time. The first peak is outside of 'Maximum Bubble Territory,' the second reaching the same area, and the third hitting 'Sell. Seriously, SELL.' While this pattern suggests BTC may only reach 'Is this a bubble?' or 'FOMO intensifies' this cycle, there's another pattern that indicates 'HODL' might be as far as it goes. In the logarithmic chart above, we can see that BTC's price follows a pattern of diminishing returns. It has moved from low to high as follows (rounded): 1. 2010/2011: 0.01 to 31.91 = 3,191x 2. 2011/2013: 1.99 to 1,242 = 624x 3. 2015/2017: 162 to 19,785 = 122x 4. 2018/2021: 3,125 to 68,977 = 22x 5. 2022/2024: 15,479 to 108,367 = 7x That means the multipliers from low to high have decreased with the following factors: 624.12 ÷ 3,191 ≈ 0.1957 (a 5.10x factor decrease) 122.09 ÷ 624.12 ≈ 0.1955 (a 5.11x factor decrease) 22.07 ÷ 122.09 ≈ 0.1809 (a 5.52x factor decrease) 7.00 ÷ 22.07 ≈ 0.3170 (a 3.15x factor decrease) The most recent bullish run appears to be an outlier; if there'd been a 5.52x factor decrease from 22.07, that would've meant a rough 4x (22.07 ÷ 5.52) from the low, or a peak of 61,916. There are multiple ways to interpret this pattern, and why it may or may not be holding this time around: On the bullish side: It's 'different' this cycle A pro-crypto Trump administration/SEC chair shifts fundamentals Growing legitimisation of BTC in institutional and regulatory circles More funds flowing in via BTC ETFs Currency debasement means more demand for BTC The Rainbow chart indicates there's more room to grow The halving pattern is still playing out Search interest is below previous peaks on Google Trends , implying more potential interest On the bearish side: The culmination of bullish fundamental factors has overextended the pattern (much like how RSI can show an asset overbought for a long time before an eventual correction) A risk-on year for assets more broadly has dragged BTC up with it, taking it past the established pattern A larger market cap makes it harder to continue expanding exponentially as the market matures. BTC's market cap is $1.8t right now. There is diminishing marginal demand—those already interested in BTC have bought in, reducing the pool of potential buyers The Fear and Greed index has already reached levels see in previous peaks, like 2021 The feverishness surrounding meme coins is reminiscent of previous bubbles, like the ICO bubble and Dotcom bubble Discussion I think there are strong arguments to be made on both sides. On one hand, it's true that it really might be different this time around. There's certainly more institutional adoption and regulatory clarity than ever before, with Trump even talking about a strategic Bitcoin reserve. There weren't Bitcoin ETFs in previous cycles, and the halving pattern suggests a peak usually around 1-1.5 years later; it's only been 8 months since the halving in April. While the dollar will likely get stronger under Trump (potentially weakening BTC), there is the argument that weakening purchasing power in many countries is driving entities towards 'hard' assets, like gold, silver, and Bitcoin. Then there is the room for more retail investors to participate, given search results for ' Bitcoin ' and ' buy Bitcoin ' are lower than previous highs (though I will note that 2021 was also lower than 2017). Lastly, while the Rainbow chart does show diminishing peaks, it does suggest we could still hit 'Is this a bubble?' or higher. On the other hand, this recent run to $100k+ was mostly fueled by Trump's election win and his backing of crypto-friendly Paul Atkins for SEC chair. BTC jumped from around $69k on the day of the election—a bit above the top projected by the factor decrease pattern—and Trump's win may have temporarily distorted the pattern. It is also possible that the market is reaching maturity. Assuming that BTC will move to $250k in 2025 as some predict, its market cap would be around $4.9t. That would put it above Apple's market cap of $3.775t but still decently below gold's $17.6t . However, there's a reason gold is the most valuable asset in the world by market cap: it has historical, cultural, and social significance. Its durability and lustre meant it was used to decorate temples in ancient times and as a symbol of divinity. Over time, that led to it being valued as currency in ancient empires and eventually backing the dollar. In contrast, Bitcoin is relatively young; while feasible that it could eventually overtake gold and still remarkable that it's achieved such a large market cap in around 15 years, it does beg the question if $250k would be too far, too soon. After all, central banks are hoarding gold right now, not Bitcoin. This ties in with the reducing marginal demand for BTC. Those who already believe in its potential have bought in; while the number of participants is likely to go up over time, there don't seem to be many catalysts for many more to join in the near-term (besides rumours of a strategic BTC reserve). 2017 was the first time BTC really went mainstream. Alongside relatively low interest rates and a weak dollar, FOMO drove the rally; BTC jumped more than 20x that year. 2021 was similar; cheap money, pandemic boredom, a broader awareness of crypto, and FOMO, pushed BTC to new ATHs. Looking ahead to 2025, there appear to be more bearish catalysts than bullish. Most notable is a Fed worried about inflation and whether it's appropriate to pause easing of rate cuts ( Deutsche Bank expects no cuts in 2025 , which while a bit extreme, is indication of the current state of affairs). At the time of writing, that's already pushed BTC down to GETTEX:92K from $108k. There is a US stock market that has risen over 60% since the start of 2023, compared to an average annual return of around 10-11% since 1980. There's also the promise of inflationary tariffs, discretionary spending cuts, rising yields, etc. all of which are the opposite of bullish signals. Combined with the Fear and Greed index hitting 94 in November (just under the 95 peak in early 2021, late 2021 saw peaks of 74) and extraordinary runup in memecoins recently—Fartcoin is worth $1.25 billion right now, up from $40 million at the end of October—the vibes are feeling a bit toppy. Conclusion In my opinion and on the balance of probabilities, the combination of the currently-overextended diminishing returns pattern and the fundamental factors described skews Bitcoin bearish from here. There are certainly many counter-arguments to be made and I respect the fact that markets can stay irrational for a long, long time and I could be completely wrong (along with the fact I have my own biases). But, I do think it's at least difficult for me to be bullish or buy into Bitcoin here. The risk-reward isn't great; maybe a 2x is achievable, and that also possibly explains a lack of further retail interest and the pump in meme coins recently. As an aside, it's interesting that this pattern would theoretically continue to produce diminishing returns until the multiplier eventually reaches near-zero. I don't think that would be how it works in reality, but it does indicate that Bitcoin could reach a ceiling as cycles continue. Does that imply the pattern has to break at some point, or that there is a true 'natural' high for BTC? I'd be interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks for reading. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this information. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and are based on current data and analysis, which may not be accurate or complete. Always conduct your own research.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by pasojov
1
BITCOIN | IF DECLINE GOES DEEPERThe possibility of a deepening decline appears serious, and it’s essential to stay prepared for such scenarios. I have identified my hedge short levels at the red boxes, which I consider key areas for managing risk and capitalizing on potential downward movements. Monitoring these levels closely will be crucial to adapting effectively to the market's evolving structure. I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. My Previous Analysis 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
Long
by UmutTrades
Bitcoin Dips to $96K Amid MARA and Hut 8’s Major Accumulation SpBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the flagship cryptocurrency, faced a notable price dip to $96,300, reflecting a 6% decline over the past 24 hours. Despite this, significant institutional purchases by MARA Holdings and Hut 8 highlight the growing confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential. Institutional Accumulation on the Rise MARA recently purchased 15,574 BTC at an average price of $98,529 per Bitcoin, totaling $1.53 billion. This acquisition, financed through zero-coupon convertible notes, has increased their holdings to 44,394 BTC, worth $4.45 billion at current prices. MARA’s year-to-date BTC yield stands at an impressive 60.9%, underscoring their strategic accumulation approach. Another institutional player, Hut 8, announced the purchase of 990 BTC for $100 million. These acquisitions demonstrate that major players view current prices as an attractive entry point, reinforcing Bitcoin's narrative as a store of value. Market Sentiment and Activity Despite the dip, CryptoQuant reports no signs of widespread panic selling. This indicates resilience among market participants, with many holding firm in anticipation of a rebound. Additionally, Bitcoin remains 4.59% up in December and 60% up over the past four months, reflecting its strong performance in the broader macroeconomic environment. Technical Analysis 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Bitcoin’s RSI currently sits at 35, signaling oversold conditions. Historically, such levels have often preceded a price rebound. 2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Immediate support is observed at the 65% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical zone that could stabilize the price. However, persistent selling pressure might push Bitcoin lower, with potential targets at: - $90,000 (1-month low) - $80,000 (key psychological level) 3. Volume and Liquidations: Over $100 million in liquidations occurred in the last 24 hours, suggesting significant market volatility. Short-Term Outlook While the dip has raised concerns, Bitcoin's fundamentals remain strong, bolstered by robust institutional demand. The oversold technical conditions and significant support levels suggest a potential recovery in the coming days. However, traders should remain cautious, as further dips could occur if broader market conditions deteriorate. Conclusion Bitcoin’s dip to $96K reflects short-term volatility, but the sustained interest from institutional players like MARA and Hut 8 underscores its long-term potential. As market sentiment stabilizes, Bitcoin could see renewed bullish momentum, making this an opportune moment for investors to assess their strategies.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by DEXWireNews
BTC SHORT TO $94,760Finally some clarity from BTC, well worth sitting on our hands for a short period. We created a short term down trend with multiple confirmations (SMA break and rejection, LL's & LH's etc) a retracement back to the golden ratio and a rejection from a major key level has resulted in some bearish momentum for BTC and all correlated markets. We'll se how this plays out as exhaustion will play some restriction in the momentum BTC can hold although i do think the target / 61.8% retracement level will be met of $94,760 Also currently waiting on BTC to produce a new LL on the 1H time frame so lets see how that pans out. I have moved stop to $11,065 to lock in 1.5% as we've been out the market for a few days. P.S, sorry slightly late on posting this idea
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by h77nry
1
Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️ Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️ Bitcoin and many altcoins are significantly overbought in their respective cycles. 🚨 Caution is strongly advised. Avoid jumping into investments late in the 1-week cycle. Instead, wait for the cycle to dip below 20 before considering an entry. 📉 🧠 Quick Recap: How to Use the Cycle Signals - ✅ Green Zone = Potential Buy Signal - 🚫 Red Zone = Potential Sell Signal We’ve been in the red zone for a considerable amount of time now, signaling heightened risk. A retracement appears likely, so patience is key! ⏳ The Danger of FOMO It’s tempting to trade when: - The market moves 24/7 🌐 - Influencers flaunt their PnL cards 📊 - News and activity are constant. 📢 But jumping into an overheated market can lead to losses, not gains. ✅ What to Do Instead: - Don’t chase the hype. - Missed a 10-15% gain? No problem! Compare that to the profits from buying in the green zone and selling in the red—you’ll make far more with less risk. 🔑 Stay Smart, Stay Patient Remember: **There’s nothing worse than watching your portfolio bleed daily.** Avoid the stress by simply waiting for better cycle opportunities. 💡 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTC / USDT: Bouncing back strong from key support BTC/USDT: Bouncing Back Strong from Key Support Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing resilience 💪 as it rebounds from a critical support level, signaling potential bullish momentum ahead 📈. This key level has previously acted as a launchpad for strong upward moves, and the current price action hints at a similar scenario unfolding 🚀. Key insights: 1. Strong support zone: BTC has bounced off a well-established support area, reinforcing its importance as a demand zone. 2. Momentum shift: Indicators like RSI and MACD are turning upward ⚡, hinting at renewed buyer interest. 3. Volume increase: Early signs of increasing volume suggest that bulls are stepping back into the market 🔥. Steps to confirm the uptrend: Watch for a clear 4H or daily candle close above immediate resistance levels 📍. Monitor trading volume; a surge in volume during upward moves strengthens the bullish case 📊. Look for higher highs and higher lows on the charts to confirm a trend reversal 📈. Risk management strategies: Set a stop-loss below the support level to limit potential losses 🔒. Scale into positions gradually as bullish confirmation develops 🎯. Avoid overleveraging; position size should align with your overall trading plan ✅. Important note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 and trade responsibly.
Long
by Crypto-By-Ghazi
Bitcoin is Ready to fill CME Gap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is approaching the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) , Downtrend line , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,654-$104,709) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . Probably wave 4 will end in the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) . I expect Bitcoin to go towards filling the CME Gap($103,325-$101,840) AFTER breaking the Support line . ⚠️Note: US indices (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) can affect the trend of Bitcoin; the possibility that the market will get excited when the indices are announced is very high.⚠️ ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940), we can expect Bitcoin to rise further, especially if Bitcoin touches $106,200.⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
13
Bitcoin: Hold now, buy laterHello, Bitcoin is a clear uptrend as the price is above the moving averages, as the picture on the left side of the chart shows. Technical indicators like Ultimate Oscillator, ADX, MOM, and MACD are bullish. However, RSI indicators are overbought, which means Bitcoin might go higher, but there'll be a better time to buy when the market corrects the overbought conditions. I hold my Bitcoins, but I won't buy any more until the upcoming correction, which might come soon. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
Bitcoin Likely to See Slow and Choppy Price ActionBitcoin has re-entered the range zone between $99,108 and $103,033, suggesting that we may experience slow and choppy price action in the coming days. 1. For now, Bitcoin has established support at $99,108, which could lead to increased bullish momentum toward the upper boundary of the range at $103,033. This move could occur from the current price level or after a dip back to $99,108 (dashed green projection). 2. A strong breakout above $103,033 with sustained momentum would turn Bitcoin bullish on the 4-hour chart and could set the stage for a rally toward $107,658, the next significant resistance zone (solid green projection). 3. If Bitcoin fails to hold support at $99,108 and breaks below this level, the chart would turn bearish (dashed red projection). The bulls’ last line of defense is at $97,000. A breach below this level could lead to intensified bearish pressure, driving the price toward the $94,500 support zone (solid red projection). Consolidation within the $99,108 to $103,033 range, with Bitcoin maintaining a moderately bullish bias, could create favorable conditions for Altcoins to perform well.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Trade-Lean
Bitcoin Bubble Is Bitcoin Heading for a Bubble Burst in 2025? Bitcoin’s price movements have historically followed a predictable 4-year cycle, driven by its halving events. These halvings, which cut mining rewards by half, have consistently triggered parabolic bull runs, followed by significant corrections. Past cycles demonstrate this pattern clearly: the 2012 halving led to a massive rally in 2013, only to be followed by an 80% crash in 2014; the 2016 halving fueled the 2017 rally to $20,000, followed by an 85% correction in 2018; and the 2020 halving saw Bitcoin peak at $69,000 in 2021, before a sharp downturn in 2022. As the next halving approaches in 2024, many traders and investors are questioning whether history will repeat itself, with a potential “bubble burst” looming in 2025. Adding to this, recent comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have raised concerns about the broader macroeconomic environment, which could contribute to speculative bubbles forming. Powell has hinted at potential risks of overextended financial markets, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a “higher for longer” stance on interest rates. This policy could dampen liquidity and speculative growth, which often fuels Bitcoin’s parabolic rallies. Powell’s warnings signal that Bitcoin could face heightened risk of a sharp correction if valuations become unsustainable. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin currently shows signs of forming a bearish flag pattern on higher timeframes. This pattern, if confirmed, suggests a potential breakdown and retracement to key support zones. Historical data shows that Bitcoin often retraces 50%-80% of its bull market gains during bear markets. If Bitcoin reaches a speculative peak in late 2024 or early 2025—potentially exceeding $120,000—a correction of this magnitude could bring it back to $70,000 or lower, aligning with past market behaviors. The $70,000 level could act as a crucial support zone, as it represents a psychological threshold and a region of high trading volume from the 2021 bull market. However, if macroeconomic factors such as rising interest rates, regulatory pressures, or liquidity constraints intensify, Bitcoin could even breach this level temporarily, much like it did during previous cycles when fear dominated the market. While Bitcoin’s fundamentals have improved due to increased institutional adoption, Bitcoin ETFs, and its role as a hedge against inflation, traders must remain cautious. With speculative mania likely to drive Bitcoin to new highs post-halving, the risk of a significant correction by mid-to-late 2025 remains high. If the bearish flag confirms and Powell’s warnings materialize, Bitcoin revisiting the $70,000 level could become a reality.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by smitkathiriya100
2
Bitcoin | First Line of DefenseBitcoin's first line of defense lies within the blue boxes, marking potential areas of interest. However, there are currently no significant demand zones, making it more prudent to wait for upside breakouts on lower timeframes before considering a buyer's position. Given the uncertainty around the depth of the ongoing correction, it's wise to maintain some cash reserves to adapt to market movements effectively. Patience and careful observation will be key in navigating this phase. I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. My Previous Analysis 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active
Long
by UmutTrades
Bearish USDT.D Bounce Off Support Trendline, Total 2 + Total3 Here's a follow up study to my USDT.D analysis from a few weeks ago, showing the markets typically sell off and put in a near term market top when Tether Dominance bounces off this key trendline (since 2018). This is likely a sign of further downside on Bitcoin and the Total Market Cap with a further 20% correction likely before we bounce again. Hopefully in time for a Santa Claus Rally. Also I look at how price clearly rejected on the Total 2 and Total 3 Market Cap's at the old ATH's from 2021. So it's no surprise markets are selling off here. I've been saying 'Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news' for years... So while Powell's comments today were Bearish, it was incidental. The market needed a cooldown, and the FOMC comments today were just the catalyst. Let me know what you think below, and go ahead and like the video if you'd like me to do more of these here on the TV channel. For more about us, check out the links in my Bio.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by BrettFogle
2
Bitcoin Futures Confirming 3 Drives of Bearish Divergence In the recent analysis of futures on the daily timeframe, a technical pattern known as the "3 Drives of Divergence" has been confirmed, signaling a potential trend reversal. This pattern, often associated with strong bearish momentum, has been observed with a divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), further supporting the bearish outlook. RSI Divergence: The RSI, a momentum oscillator, shows a bearish divergence where the price makes higher highs, but the RSI makes lower highs. This is a classic sign of weakening upward momentum, often preceding a price decline. Key Levels: Reversal Pivot: If the price closes below 97K on a daily timeframe. This pivot is critical as it is the last resistance before a potential downtrend. Target Futures Gap Fill: Historical price action suggests a gap in the futures market that might get filled. This target zone, marked on the chart, could act as a price magnet for Bitcoin if bearish pressures continue.
CME:BTC1!Short
by RSI_Trading_Concepts
Bitcoin Tests Key Support: Eyes on $103KBitcoin is technically bullish in the 4-Hour chart. However, it gave up bullish move from the last days and is now testing the key support zone near $103,033. 1. A pullback to retest the $103,032 with a dip below it, followed by a strong rebound above this level will push Bitcoin price towards $108,550 (dashed green projection). 2. A decisive move towards $108,550 and breakout with confidence could pave the way for further upward momentum towards $113,692(solid green projection). 3. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $103,032 and breaks below this level without a swift recovery, it could indicate a loss of bullish strength and Bitcoin chart will turn to neutral. This may trigger increased bearish activity, leading to sideways movement or a potential decline toward the $99,108 support level (red projections).
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Trade-Lean
BTC at a Crossroads: Will We Crash to 50K or Blast Off to 117K?BTC Update Hey team, here’s the scoop on Bitcoin right now. We’re at a key level, and the next move could set the tone. Let’s break it down: If BTC drops below 103,445, we could see a dip to 80–85K. If the pressure keeps building, it might even slide to 50–53K. But if BTC breaks above 108K, we could rally to 117K before things cool off again. Trading can feel uncertain, but it’s all about being prepared. No matter what happens, trust your plan, stay patient, and take it step by step. You’ve got this! By the way, if you’re curious about how to balance trading and wellness—or just want to chat about trading mindset—send me a DM. Let’s win together, on and off the charts. What’s your take—are we heading up or down from here? Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short-termWith the start of the new week and the good news that came during the weekend , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) began to pump again and successfully created a new All-Time High(ATH) . Bitcoin has already managed to break the Resistance zone($104,280-$103,340) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completed wave 4 ; we should wait for Bitcoin to rise again . The structure of wave 4 is of the Double Three Correction type(WXY) . Bitcoin is currently completing wave 5 . Also, USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) managed to break the Support lines and the Support zone(4.00%-3.90%) ( on the chart it is currently the Resistance zone ) and we have to wait for another attack on the Next Support zone(3.82%-3.77%) . A drop in USDT.D% can make Bitcoin rise .👇 I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after the completion of microwave 4 of wave 5 . Bitcoin's Targets can be : 🎯 $107,320 - $106,967 🎯 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
8
Bitcoin is Teasing $105K: Bullish Breakout Ahead?Bitcoin has exhibited bullish momentum yesterday and now is teasing the intraday resistance level near $105,140. However, given the current market conditions, caution remains essential as price action could develop in either direction. Ideally, I would like to see either (A) a pullback to retest the $103,032 level, followed by a bounce back above this level, or (B) sustained break-out above $105,140. These scenarios would increase the likelihood of a bullish continuation toward the next major resistance zone between $107,655 and $108,550 (Green Projections). On the flip side, if Bitcoin drops below the $103,032 level and fails to recover quickly, it may signal a shift in momentum. This could lead to increased bearish pressure, sideways price action with a potential retest of support at $99,108 (Red Projections). Traders should monitor these key levels closely for confirmation of the next major move.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Trade-Lean
Bitcoin Punches 108k Bulls up Bears Down!Bitcoin www.tradingview.com has broke past $108K, and the next key resistance levels are $110K and $112K . The $110K zone acts as psychological resistance where profit-taking is expected, while $112K aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the last breakout, a major target for traders watching harmonic patterns like AB=CD. Key Indicators and Patterns 1. Bullish Flag Breakout: Bitcoin’s flag pattern breakout pushed prices with strong momentum. 2. MACD: A bullish crossover on the daily chart signals continuation potential. 3. RSI: At 74, momentum remains strong, though nearing overbought conditions 4. Volume Spike: Institutional buying has validated the breakout—big money moves faster than your ex on payday. If Bitcoin clears $112K, the next target aligns near $120K-132k based on extended Fibonacci levels. For now, bulls are pounding the bears harder than a heavyweight boxer, and momentum indicators favor continued upside. Congratulations to everyone for reaching this milestone—let’s stay focused and keep riding this bull like it owes us rent! Don't forget to follow to keep get daily updates!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by StonkMarketParty
Bitcoin Eyes $107K: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin is showing bullish momentum, breaking through the key intraday resistance around $102,000. However, given the weekend, I am keeping my expectations realistic. 1. Ideally, I’d like to see either (A) a quick dip below $101,662 followed by a prompt recovery, or (B) sustained price action above $101,662. Both scenarios would significantly increase the likelihood of a bullish move toward the critical resistance at $107,000 in the coming days (as per the green projections). 2. Conversely, a drop below $98,984 could lead to choppy price action, a considerable slowdown in momentum, and a high probability of retesting the $94,650 level.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Trade-Lean
Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record HighBitcoin's meteoric rise has captivated the world, with its price surging to record highs and traders setting their sights on even more ambitious targets. As the cryptocurrency market experiences a bullish "Santa Claus Rally," Bitcoin traders are now targeting a staggering $120,000 price level. Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record High Bitcoin's recent rally has been fueled by a confluence of factors, including increased institutional adoption, growing global interest, and favorable macroeconomic conditions. The cryptocurrency has consistently broken new price records, surpassing the $100,000 mark and even reaching heights above $106,000. However, the market's optimism has been tempered by concerns about the potential impact of a "hawkish rate cut" by the Federal Reserve. While a rate cut is generally considered bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin, a hawkish tone from the Fed could dampen sentiment and lead to a price correction. The Fed's Impact on Bitcoin The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions have a significant influence on the cryptocurrency market. A rate cut can stimulate economic growth and increase liquidity, which can benefit Bitcoin and other digital assets. However, if the Fed signals a less accommodative stance or hints at future rate hikes, it could lead to a sell-off in the market. Bitcoin's price has historically been correlated with traditional financial markets, and the Fed's actions can have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency's value. Therefore, traders are closely monitoring the Fed's announcements and any potential shifts in its monetary policy. Bitcoin's Potential as a Reserve Asset Another factor that could increase Bitcoin's price is its increasing adoption as a reserve asset by institutions and governments. Several countries have expressed interest in incorporating Bitcoin into their national reserves, recognizing its potential as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. If major economies start accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset, it could significantly increase demand for the cryptocurrency and drive its price to new highs. This development could further solidify Bitcoin's position as a digital gold and a valuable asset for investors. The Road to $120,000 While the $120,000 price target may seem ambitious, it is not entirely out of reach. If the bullish momentum continues, supported by strong institutional adoption, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and potential positive developments in the regulatory landscape, Bitcoin could very well surpass this milestone. However, it is important to approach the cryptocurrency market with caution and to be aware of the inherent risks involved. Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and its price can fluctuate significantly in a short period. Traders should conduct thorough research, diversify their portfolios, and consider consulting with financial advisors before making investment decisions. In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent rally has been impressive, and the cryptocurrency's potential for further growth remains significant. While the Fed's monetary policy decisions and broader macroeconomic conditions will continue to influence the market, the increasing adoption of Bitcoin as a reserve asset and the growing interest from institutional investors could drive its price to new heights. As Bitcoin traders set their sights on the $120,000 target, it is crucial to maintain a balanced perspective and to be prepared for both upside and downside risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High of $107k — Is $150K Next? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has once again shattered expectations, climbing to a record-breaking $107,000. This milestone follows a 3.68% surge over the weekend, with bullish sentiment fueled by a surprising announcement from President-elect Donald Trump. Bitcoin Price Today Bitcoin’s recent rally can be attributed to President-elect Donald Trump’s pledge to establish the U.S. as the global center for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency innovation. During a CNBC interview on Sunday, Trump unveiled plans for a U.S. Bitcoin reserve, emphasizing the need for the country to lead in digital assets. This announcement sparked a surge in buying activity, propelling Bitcoin to its new all-time high of $106,727. The market’s reaction underscores the growing influence of policy decisions on crypto prices. Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance has injected optimism into the market, with investors viewing it as a step toward broader institutional adoption and regulatory clarity. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,893, slightly off its daily high of $107,080. The recent breakout above the psychological $100,000 level signals strong bullish momentum. Key technical indicators suggest further upside potential: 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI stands at 71, indicating overbought conditions, historical patterns show that Bitcoin can remain overbought during strong uptrends. 2. Support Levels: In the event of a local correction, support ranges are identified at $97,500–$99,500 and $94,100. These levels could provide buying opportunities for traders looking to enter the market. 3. Resistance Levels: Bitcoin faces minimal resistance in uncharted territory. The next significant psychological level is $110,000, followed by the ambitious $150,000 target predicted by analysts. Market Dynamics Bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume stands at $110.4 billion, with Binance leading the charge. The exchange’s perpetual and spot trading volumes contribute significantly to Bitcoin’s liquidity. This robust trading activity underscores the market’s resilience and readiness to absorb high volumes. Outlook: Can Bitcoin Reach $150,000? The path to $150,000 hinges on several factors: 1. Macroeconomic Environment: Continued pro-crypto policies from global leaders could drive institutional inflows and bolster market confidence. 2. Technical Breakouts: A sustained move above $110,000 would validate the bullish continuation pattern and set the stage for a run toward $150,000. 3. Market Sentiment: Despite overbought conditions, Bitcoin’s historical performance during Q4 and Q1 suggests strong potential for further gains. However, traders should remain cautious. The RSI’s overbought reading and the potential for profit-taking at key levels could trigger short-term corrections. Risk management is crucial, as the market navigates these uncharted waters. Conclusion Bitcoin’s new all-time high of $107,000 marks a significant milestone, driven by both fundamental and technical factors. President-elect Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance has ignited fresh optimism, while technical indicators and on-chain metrics point to continued bullish momentum. With $150,000 as the next ambitious target, the crypto market is buzzing with excitement. Will Bitcoin continue its ascent, or will a correction provide a breather before the next leg up? Only time will tell, but for now, the flagship cryptocurrency is firmly in the spotlight.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews