Bitcoin, we have to talk !FIRST AND FOR MOST, CONGRATS EVERYONE ON 100K !
Now, I don’t even know what to say, honestly. Right now, we’re in a bit of a situationship with Bitcoin.
You see those two trendlines (red and green)? Yeah, they’re a problem.
Both are drawn from the 2017 market cycle peak and the two 2021 market cycle peaks. (We can argue all day about which one was the real top, but honestly, that’s irrelevant in this situation.)
The real question is: what makes a trendline valid?
A valid trendline needs to touch three points, right? And here’s the catch—we can argue that these trendlines are missing that third peak to be considered valid.
Exactly. My point is that we might actually be making that third peak right now. If that happens, the trendline gets validated, and we’d have—ugh, I hate to say it—a market cycle top. In the best-case scenario, it’s just a local top.
The volume has been decreasing on the daily chart since we first breached 100k. This suggests there isn’t much conviction behind the slow grind higher we’ve been seeing. but hey its a grind i'll take it.
But nothing is guaranteed. Let’s just watch and tread carefully.
P.S. ETH hasn’t hit a new ATH yet, so I’m not saying it’s game over for the market. But for Bitcoin? Yeah, it might be. how and ETH is not even challenging the ATH , I don’t know.
Can Bitcoin slice through them like they don’t even exist? Yes, it absolutely can.
"That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
Bitcoinprediction
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Bitcoin preparing for the next move!Bitcoin is currently consolidating in an ascending parallel channel after a very sharp rally.
The most likely scenario is that it will remain in this channel for a while longer, until it ends up breaking up with the approach of Trump's presidency.
If it breaks the channel downwards, there are chances of a slightly deeper correction, and we could visit US$90K.
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Target 🎯 : 110,000.0
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Navigating Bitcoin BTC Bull Market: $120k+ After CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Tonight Bitcoin has printed another one leg up and touched our previous final target at $107k without correction. What does it mean? It means that targets for this bull run are going to be much higher. Anyway, the warning sign of correction is about to be flashed. Let's try to understand what is happening!
On the daily time frame we market the Elliott waves. Taking into account the maximum value of Awesome Oscillator (AO) current growth is still wave 3 because price reached new high but divergence on AO has happened without zero line cross. It means that currently BINANCE:BTCUSDT is printing wave 5 inside major 3. The big warning is the potential red dot printed by the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator , to see the confirmation we need to wait daily close, so everything can be changed. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
After printing red dot previously we have seen the drops in most of cases, so now it can be wave 4. Wave 4 has the target at 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci level. We suppose that price reach $86k and find support there for the new impulse to the upside. If we assume that wave 3 is finished here and wave 4 will be finished at the pointed out target, the wave 5 has the target zone between $120k and $140k. Anyway, it can be easily recalculated, we will update you with all changes.
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Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin: $73K Breakdown or $130K Breakout ? Your Thoughts !Post your thoughts and analysis in the comments and share your charts! I’ll respond and discuss your predictions. Let’s decode Bitcoin’s next big move together!
Bitcoin is at a critical Gann crossroad where time and price meet—a setup that traders cannot ignore. 📉📈 Is BTC ready to blast off to $130K, or will it lose momentum and plunge to 73K?
Understanding Market Cycles Through Gann's Principles-
W.D. Gann, one of the most legendary traders, discovered that markets move in predictable cycles based on time, price, and natural law. Gann's philosophy states that markets are not chaotic; they follow repetitive patterns influenced by planetary cycles, angles, and geometry. These cycles allow traders to identify turning points in price with incredible accuracy.
1. Time Cycles:
Gann emphasized that time is the most critical factor in forecasting market movements. He believed that history repeats itself, as cycles tend to recur after specific intervals. For example, key highs and lows often form at regular intervals (like 30 days, 90 days, or annual cycles). Gann connected these patterns with planetary cycles, such as the Saturn return (29.5 years), which often marks major shifts in financial markets.
2. Price and Geometry:
Gann introduced the concept of geometric angles, where price moves in harmony with time. The Gann Fan, for instance, uses angles like 1x1, 2x1, and 4x1 to predict the support and resistance levels based on a balanced relationship between price and time.
When a market breaks through a Gann angle, it signals a major trend change or continuation. This principle highlights how BTC could now be at a decisive point between 73K (downside Gann target) and $130K (upside Gann target).
3. Cycle Extremes and Reversals:
Markets tend to hit extremes before reversing. Gann believed that natural time cycles, such as the seasonal year or 90-degree quarters, correspond to price extremes. For example, Bitcoin may currently be completing such a time cycle, aligning with a potential breakout or breakdown. Recognizing where we stand in this cycle allows us to anticipate the next big move.
4.The Law of Vibration:
Gann’s Law of Vibration explains that every financial asset vibrates at a specific frequency. By identifying these vibrations through time and price charts, traders can forecast future price movements. BTC's current consolidation may be a result of price vibrating at a critical frequency before a decisive upward or downward move.
Understanding market cycles through Gann’s time-tested principles is like decoding the market's hidden language. BTC’s current setup aligns perfectly with Gann's theories, signalling a potential major move. Is it a $130K breakout or a 73K crash?
👉 Share your thoughts and analysis. How do you see this market cycle unfolding? Let’s discuss! Bitcoin: 73K Collapse or $130K Explosion? What's Next? Share Your Analysis!
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT Continuation Setup
Trade Idea:
- Target downside liquidity to approximately $98,500 with a short, followed by a high-confluence long entry in the 4H/Daily FVG.
Short Setup:
- Target: $98,500 to capture downside liquidity.
- Stop-loss: Tight stop above $101,500 to manage risk.
- Confluence:
- 4H OB rejection.
- Rising wedge breakdown aligning with bearish structure.
Long Setup:
- Entry Zone: Around $98,500 , in the 4H/Daily FVG for a discounted entry.
- Target:
- TP1 at $101,500 .
- TP2 at $104,000 , targeting liquidity above the weak high.
- Confluence:
- 4H and daily Kijun support.
- Strong reaction potential after liquidity grab at $98,500 .
Quick Take:
This strategy aims to capture both short-term downside liquidity and the subsequent bullish continuation. Ensure confirmation on both sides for precise execution!
BTCUSDT Trade Log BTCUSDT 1H Short Setup
Trade Idea:
- Short from the micro FVG in a premium zone after rejecting an Order Block (OB).
Confluence:
- Rising Wedge: Bearish wedge structure showing signs of exhaustion.
- Bearish Divergences: RSI and CVD indicate weakening momentum.
- Macro Pressure: Bybit fined in the Netherlands for fraud; Flow Traders withdrew €157M in BTC—both signal potential bearish sentiment.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss above the OB/FVG zone.
- 1:2 RRR targeting liquidity levels below $98,000.
Quick Take:
Macro events and bearish divergences align for a strong short opportunity. Stay cautious of volatility and confirm rejection before full entry!
Bitcoin Outlook \wGenAI assisted analysisGiven that the JP Macro Trend script integrates DeMarker and momentum indicators and now includes the OBV data, we can refine the analysis and attempt to outline a more informed probabilistic outcome for the short and longer term.
However, it's important to note that probabilities in market analysis are inherently subjective and can vary widely depending on market conditions and the analyst's interpretation.
Short-Term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
Bullish Signals: If the price is trending upward, accompanied by rising OBV and the proprietary momentum indicators are in a bullish configuration, the confidence in a continuation of the uptrend might be relatively high.
Bearish Signals : If there are any bearish divergences such as price making new highs while momentum indicators and OBV fail to confirm, the probability of a price correction or consolidation might increase.
Probability Estimate : If all indicators align and confirm the current trend, one might posit a 65-75% probability of the trend continuing in the short term. In the case of divergences or conflicting signals, the probability might be adjusted down to 50-60%.
Longer-Term Analysis (1-6 months):
Bullish Scenario : Should the price maintain above significant moving averages, and the OBV continues to show volume backing up the price increases, one could maintain a bullish outlook. Watch for the momentum indicators to remain in a bullish posture without significant divergences.
Bearish Scenario : Should the OBV and momentum indicators start to show sustained divergences with price, or if the price falls below key moving averages, one might adopt a cautious stance with a higher probability of a bearish phase.
Probability Estimate: With the confirmation of the trend by OBV and proprietary indicators, one might estimate a 60-70% chance of the prevailing trend continuing . Should divergences become apparent, the probability of trend continuation might drop to around 40-50%.
BTC Double Top Idea (2025 Q4)Not my base case but a possible scenario for a wildcard cycle with diminishing returns. While ETFs flows are adding noise, on chain metrics are still a great sanity/narrative checks. Will be looking to layer exits based on key price targets as well as time based profit taking (Q2 2025).
Key On Chain Metrics are MVRV, Puell, Value Days Destroyed (VDD), Realized Cap HODL Waves and some others.
Let me know what you think.
Bitcoin will make the New ATH!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support zone($99,600-$98,000) and has managed to break the Resistance lines .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin completed a corrective wave as I expected .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least Resistance zone($102,280-$101,000) and if the Resistance zone breaks , we can hope for a new All-Time High(ATH) soon .
⚠️Note: if BTC goes below the Support zone($99,600-$98,000), we can expect more dumps. ⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTCUSD - Possible sells?Here is our signal on BTCUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As the price on BTCUSD is moving in a “range” we could take this into our advantage and sell BTCUSD at the top of it. With smaller time-frames such as m15 we can see a clear break of the 100k support zone. We can enter into safe sells and target at around 98k. Our entry is sitting at the break of the support zone at 100296 . Our SL (Stop Loss) is sitting at 101273 while our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at 98276 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 100296
- SL: 101273
- TP: 98276
KEY NOTES
- BTCUSD broke the support zone on m15.
- BTCUSD is trading in a range.
- We are at the top of the range.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
#BTC/USDT Urgent Update!BTC experienced a correction, but it can be seen as just a minor dip compared to the carnage in altcoins.
This kind of surprise is bound to happen along the way. One thing is certain: Bitcoin is far from done, and altcoins haven't even begun to show their real potential.
Looking at the chart, BTC held the support and looks ready for a new ATH.
As long as $90k holds, BTC will likely hit $110- $115k.
Dyor, this is not financial advice.
If you decide to exit now, the only thing you'll likely do in a few months is regret it. Plan wisely.
I will be posting more updates on this week.
If you agree, please click the like button and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin's Critical Juncture: A $100K Test or a Bearish Turn?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently reached a critical juncture. Its price action has formed a key support level that bulls must defend to maintain the upward momentum and potentially pave the way for a new $100,000 price push.
A Pivotal Support Level
After a period of consolidation and recent price volatility, Bitcoin has found support at a significant level. This level acts as a crucial line in the sand for the cryptocurrency. If bulls can successfully defend this support, it could signal renewed bullish sentiment and potentially trigger a fresh rally towards the coveted $100,000 price target.
Bullish Resilience
Despite facing headwinds from broader market volatility and regulatory uncertainty, Bitcoin bulls have shown remarkable resilience. The recent bounce from the key support level underscores this bullish sentiment. It demonstrates the underlying strength of the market and the unwavering belief of many investors in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
A Glimpse into the Future: A Golden Warning
However, a closer look at Bitcoin's performance relative to gold raises some concerns. By analyzing historical price patterns, a potential bearish fractal has emerged. This fractal, when compared to previous market cycles, suggests that Bitcoin may be due for a significant correction, potentially as much as 35%.
This bearish signal stems from the fact that Bitcoin's price against gold has reached resistance levels that historically coincided with the start of bear markets in 2018-2019 and 2021-2022. While this fractal analysis provides a valuable perspective, it's essential to remember that market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
The Road Ahead
The coming weeks and months will be pivotal for Bitcoin's price trajectory. If bulls can successfully defend the key support level and maintain the upward momentum, a new $100,000 price push could be on the horizon. However, if the bearish fractal plays out, a significant correction may be inevitable.
It's crucial to approach Bitcoin investing with a long-term perspective and a risk management strategy. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and price fluctuations are to be expected. By staying informed, conducting thorough research, and diversifying investments, investors can navigate the complexities of the market and position themselves for potential rewards.
Key Takeaways:
• Bitcoin has reached a critical support level that bulls must defend.
• A successful defense could trigger a new $100,000 price push.
• A bearish fractal suggests a potential 35% correction.
• The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and price predictions are uncertain.
Additional Considerations:
• Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, interest rate policies, and geopolitical events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
• Regulatory Environment: Regulatory positive and negative developments can influence investor sentiment and market dynamics.
• Technological Advancements: Ongoing technological advancements in the blockchain space can drive innovation and adoption, positively impacting Bitcoin's long-term prospects.
By carefully considering these factors and maintaining a balanced approach, investors can navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market and position themselves for potential rewards.
BTCUSDT holding strong above $94,700!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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Let's analyze BTCUSDT on lower time frame:
BTCUSDT is currently consolidating within a specific pattern. While bears have attempted to pull the price lower, the $94,700 support level has held strong. Bitcoin is gradually moving towards the upper resistance level of $98,500.
Key support zones:
Current support: $94707
Current resistance: $98500
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BTC Bitcoin Bear Market If you haven`t bought BTC before the recent rally:
Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to retrace in December before starting a recovery around March. This pattern could repeat this season, with BTC facing selling pressure as year-end portfolio rebalancing and macro uncertainties weigh on the market.
While a brief Santa Claus rally might provide temporary relief, the bearish trend is expected to dominate until March. By then, BTC could trade below $84K before regaining momentum, aligning with its historical recovery trend as market conditions stabilize in spring.
Bitcoin BTC price movement forecast by the end of 2024 !📉 On December 5, 2024, set an absolute record for liquidations on the crypto market - $1.1 billion ($820 million longs + $280 million shorts), breaking the record of August 05, 2024, when it was $950 million.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC price dropped to $89-90 thousand, depending on the exchange.
Such a “helicopter” as on the OKX:BTCUSDT chart is launched when all indicators are “overheated” and the market needs to rest, but maintain the trend, i.e. the crypto market's up-trend.
Fear and Greed Index - 71 (greed remains on the market)
Given the fact that altcoins have barely reacted to the fall, we can assume that there will be another wave down.
How do you feel about the option of #Bitcoin price movement $100k 👉 $84-85k 👉 $110k and this is all by the end of 2024 ?)
P.S:
also remember that on 18/12/24 the FOMC meeting is to be held, where the FED rate is expected to be cut by at least -0.25%.
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Bitcoins Bext Big Price MoveBitcoin’s price action is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, with the key points marked as A ($103,900), B ($92,400), C ($101,400) , and D ($94,600) , indicating a period of consolidation as buyers and sellers struggle for control. Notably, the price recently bounced off the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $94k , a critical support zone that aligns with the lower boundary of the triangle. Below this, the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $86.6k serves as the next significant support, while a break of this level could open the door to deeper downside risks. On the upside, a breakout above the triangle’s upper trendline, currently near $100k , could propel Bitcoin toward its next major target at $130k , aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. The tightening price range within the triangle and declining volume suggest a major breakout is imminent, with traders closely watching for a decisive move in either direction. Given Bitcoin's historical behavior, the breakout direction could set the tone for its trend over the coming weeks. Microsoft is voting on purchasing bitcoin tomorrow, and the results from this and Amazon's vote later on could effect the direction of this breakout.
BTCUSD | Next Prime Zone for Long OpportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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BTC LONG OPPORTUNITY BTC long opportunity to $103,670. Simple break out from a descending pattern coupled with rejection from the SMA's on 4hr time frame and the rejection from $99,000 on higher time frames, also notice the low test candle on the 4hr slightly piercing through that support level.
Expect a pull back at around $101,600 - $101,700 for liquidation and relief for retail traders. Fib would give us a target of $103,620 which is also the ATH for BTC so a good target to revisit.