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Daily BTC/USD Analysis - Smart Money PerspectivePrice recently swept liquidity above the previous weekly high, indicating a classic liquidity grab. After this move, we observed a market structure shift (MSS) to the downside, followed by a break and a mitigation of a bearish imbalance (BAG). Currently, price is reacting from a small fair value gap (FVG), but this is likely just a retracement. I'm expecting the market to drop further and target the larger FVG zone that aligns on both the weekly and daily timeframes (highlighted in blue). This zone also aligns with a potential POI (point of interest) for smart money accumulation. 📌 Short-term bias: Bearish 🎯 Target: 99,000–97,000 zone 🔍 Watch for rejection at current FVG or possible internal liquidity grab before the drop. Smart money is likely to seek deeper liquidity before any meaningful bullish continuation. Stay patient and let price come to the premium zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Herotraderfx
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone. 🔹 Trade Setup Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart. Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline. Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk. Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline . 🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach) To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup: 🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade). 🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher. 🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably. 🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms. 🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy. 💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict. 🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below! BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Long
by rayhanrafi7
1
BTC/USD – Double Top Breakdown Signals Bearish Wave- 4H chart. 🧨 🔍 Chart Analysis: 🟢 Recent Price Action: Bitcoin formed a double top pattern near the Recent All-Time High (ATH) 📈 — a strong bearish signal 🔔. A trendline break occurred right after the second peak, confirming potential weakness ⚠️. 🟠 Supply Zone: Price re-entered a previous supply zone (resistance area) and failed to hold above it 🧱 — indicating sellers are active again. 🔵 EMA 70 (Blue Line): The price has dropped below the 70 EMA, signaling momentum shift from bullish to bearish 📉. 🔴 STOP LOSS ZONE: Positioned above 110,555 🚫 — risk level for this short setup if bulls reclaim control. 🟡 Bearish Pathway (Expected Move): Price may retest the broken zone 🔁. Followed by a sharp drop to the 1st support near $101,503 🎯. Confirmed by large bearish volume spikes 📊. 💥 Trade Idea: Entry: Near 106,000 (on retest of supply zone). Stop Loss: Above 110,555 🔺. Target: $101,500 🎯. Risk/Reward Ratio: 🔥 Favorable setup for swing short sellers! 📛 Pattern Breakdown: ⚠️ Double Top = Reversal Signal. 🔻 Trendline Break = Shift in Market Structure. 🧊 Supply Zone Rejection = Bearish Confirmation.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by KingProTrader
2
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level. 🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning? The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play. 🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues: First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
by EhsanZeydabadi
20
Bitcoin Is Entering Into Very Difficult TimesHello, Skyrexians! I have been thinking what will happen next with BINANCE:BTCUSDT and it was obvious that correction has been started, you can easily find my recent update on Bitcoin and check it, but what will happen after. Today I decided that the first impulse has not been finessed yet and we need one more small leg up to complete this growth before significant correction. Let's take a look at the yellow Elliott waves cycle. Awesome Oscillator gave me an idea that only wave 3 has been finished above $110k. Now price is printing wave 4. Wave 4 has a target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci, but this time it will be definitely 0.38 at $101k. Here was the smaller degree wave's 4 bottom. Wave 5 will be shortened because wave 3 was extended, it's very logically. After $111k retest the major wave 2 will go to $90k approximately. Difficult times ahead for crypto, I think this period will be finished only at the end of June. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
8
Bitcoin's Breakout Fizzles: Is a Major Reversal in Play...?Bitcoin Technical Analysis – In-Depth Breakdown Over the past two months, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong bullish trend, appreciating by approximately 51%. The sustained rally was primarily driven by bullish momentum, increased investor confidence, and broader market sentiment. Recently, Bitcoin broke through its all-time high (ATH) of 106,500, surging to a new peak near 112,000. However, this breakout was short-lived as the price failed to sustain above this level, indicating significant profit-taking activity by traders and long-term holders. This inability to hold the ATH region highlights a potential liquidity pocket where sell orders accumulate, resulting in a rejection wick and a subsequent reversal. From a Technical perspective: The price has now fallen back below 106,500, turning this key level into a major resistance zone. Historically, once a strong resistance level (like an ATH) is breached and subsequently reclaimed, it often acts as a formidable barrier to upward price movement unless there’s renewed bullish momentum. Additionally, Bitcoin has broken its ascending trendline (drawn from the lows of the uptrend) and has already retested this trendline from below. The retest was successful in confirming the breakdown, which further strengthens the bearish bias. The price structure is now forming a potential lower high pattern near the 106,500 resistance. This could signal a shift in market sentiment from bullish continuation to consolidation or correction. In terms of market psychology, the all-time high region represents a crucial psychological barrier. Traders and investors often exhibit heightened caution near such levels. Many choose to lock in profits due to fear of a double top or a false breakout. This behavior can create increased volatility, especially when combined with institutional and retail order flows. Trading Strategy and Risk Management Given the technical breakdown and the psychological factors at play: ✅ A short position can be considered, particularly around the 106,500 resistance, with confirmation from the trendline retest. ✅ However, exercise caution due to the high volatility typically observed near ATH levels. Whipsaws and fakeouts are common as both bulls and bears battle for control. ✅ Avoid high-leverage positions unless you have a strict stop-loss in place. Ideally, place the stop-loss just above the 106,500 - 107,000 zone, where a decisive breakout would invalidate the short setup. ✅ For profit targets, initial supports are seen around 100,000 - 98,000, and a deeper correction could test the 94,000 - 92,000 zone. ✅ Wait for clear confirmation, such as a strong bearish candle on the retest of the resistance, before entering the trade.
Short
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
BTC/USDT Analysis: Expecting a Move Toward the Upper Boundary Hello everyone! This is your trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics with the daily market update. Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the $107,500 level, resulting in a false breakout before returning to the consolidation range. Each attempt to push the price lower was met with a sharp increase in trading volume, followed by buyers quickly taking control—a trend also visible in the absorption of sell orders via delta. The current scenario remains unchanged. We anticipate a resumption of buying activity after a retest of the $106,600 level. Buy Zones: $106,600 (on a false breakout), $103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market sell orders), ~$100,000 (pushing volumes), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance). This post is not financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
BTC/USDT Analysis – Moving Within the Scenario Hello everyone! This is the daily market update from the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst. At the moment, Bitcoin is attempting to break through the ascending trendline, which may indicate a shift into a sideways (consolidation) phase. In the near term, local lows are likely to be tested, followed by a rebound after a false breakout, returning price back into the current range. This scenario is supported by: strong sell absorption on the cumulative delta, the overall bullish market context, and continued accumulation of long positions by whales in the spot ETF over the past 9 days. Buy Zones: $107,500 and $106,600 (in case of false breakdowns), $103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption), around $100,000 (initiative volume), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📉 BTC Pullback or Full Reversal? Let's Break It Down 🔍 Looking at the Bitcoin chart right now, we’re seeing more than just a minor pullback. On the 30-minute timeframe, there’s a clear bearish market structure shift setting in. In my opinion, this isn't a quick dip before continuation — we may be in for a deeper retracement. 🧐 When we overlay NASDAQ (which Bitcoin is often closely correlated with), it becomes even clearer — tech stocks look overextended and are showing signs of a potential pullback. 📉 So here’s the plan: If BTC pulls back into my point of interest, I’ll be watching for a bullish break of structure to consider a long position. Simple, structured, and in line with what the charts are telling us. 🔁💹 ⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just sharing how I'm reading the market right now. 💬 What are your thoughts? Are you watching the same levels? Drop a comment below 👇 and let’s talk trade setups! 🚀
by fxtraderanthony
2
Bitcoin & Stock Market Rally Together .. My Trade Plan!🚨 Bitcoin Update! 🚨 Taking a look at the BTC chart 🧠📈 — we saw a sharp retracement followed by a strong rally 💥🔥, likely driven by recent tariff policy shifts 🌍📊. Right now, I’m leaning bullish 🐂 — especially with the stock markets also pushing higher 📈💹. But let’s be clear: my bullish bias depends on the stock market holding strong 🛡️📊. I’m keeping an eye out for a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci level 🌀 for a potential buy opportunity 💸🚀. ⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my outlook! 👇 Let me know what you think in the comments!
Long
by fxtraderanthony
5
#BTC/USD The Uptrend is still intact! Here's Why!BTC Daily Close Update Bitcoin closed at $108,951, marking another failed attempt to break through the $111K resistance. It’s been nearly 8 days of consolidation just below this level. That’s not ideal, and it signals we may need a fresh catalyst to push higher. Not bearish, just cautious. As long as the blue EMA holds on the daily, the uptrend remains intact. Still watching for a move toward $117K. DYOR, NFA Please show your support with your likes. Thank you #PEACE
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Cryptorphic
4
BTC/USDT Analysis – Still Long Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics. Yesterday, Bitcoin bounced off the volume zone at $109,200–$106,500, but then faced resistance in the $110,100–$111,500 area — a zone we previously overlooked due to the strong bullish context. Currently, the positive trend remains intact, and we are still expecting a new local high. However, before that happens, a decline and a retest of the local low at $106,600 is likely. Supporting the continuation of the overall uptrend are the following factors: absorption on the cumulative delta, an unbroken ascending trendline, and volume distribution. Buy zones: $109,200–$106,500 (volume zone) $103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market sells) Around $100,000 (aggressive buying volumes) $98,000–$97,200 (local support) $93,000 level $91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance) This publication is not financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Central Banks Pick Gold (Here's Why) The debate over the ultimate store of value has been reignited in the digital age. For centuries, gold, the immutable yellow metal, has been the bedrock of wealth preservation, the trusted haven in times of turmoil, and a core component of central bank reserves. In the last decade, a new contender has emerged: Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, often touted as "digital gold." Yet, as the dust settles on initial exuberance and institutional scrutiny intensifies, a clear preference is emerging from the world's most conservative financial institutions. Central banks, the guardians of national wealth and financial stability, are overwhelmingly demonstrating their continued faith in gold, signaling that when it comes to the ultimate safe reserve, tradition and tangibility still trump technological novelty. The evidence for this preference is not merely anecdotal; it's etched in the consistent and accelerating trend of global gold accumulation by these institutions. In recent years, central banks have been on a gold buying spree, a phenomenon driven by a confluence of potent global factors. The shifting geopolitical landscape, characterized by increased tensions, trade disputes, and a move towards a more multipolar world, has spurred a desire for assets that are not tied to any single nation's political or economic fortunes. Policies emanating from major economic powers, including periods of heightened trade protectionism and shifting global alliances, have historically fanned uncertainty, prompting a flight to assets perceived as universally valuable and politically neutral – a role gold has fulfilled for millennia. Furthermore, concerns over the long-term value of major fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar which has long dominated global reserves, are playing a significant role. Persistent fiscal deficits, expanding sovereign debt levels, and unprecedented monetary stimulus measures in various countries have led to an undercurrent of apprehension about potential currency devaluation. In such an environment, central banks are actively seeking to diversify their holdings and hedge against the erosion of purchasing power. Gold, with its intrinsic value and finite supply, offers a compelling alternative to holding ever-increasing amounts of fiat currency, whose value can be diluted by policy decisions. This strategic de-dollarization, or at least a diversification away from dollar-centric reserves, sees gold as a primary beneficiary. It is a tangible asset that sits outside the traditional financial system, offering a layer of insulation from the counterparty risks inherent in holding other nations' currencies or debt. In stark contrast to this institutional embrace of gold stands Bitcoin. While proponents champion its decentralized nature, its mathematically enforced scarcity, and its potential as an inflation hedge, its inherent characteristics currently make it a challenging proposition for central bank reserves. The most glaring issue is its extreme volatility. Bitcoin's price history is a rollercoaster of meteoric rises and precipitous falls. For an individual retail investor, this volatility might be a tolerable, even attractive, risk in pursuit of outsized returns. However, for a central bank, whose primary mandate includes capital preservation and maintaining financial stability, such wild price swings are anathema. Reserve assets must be relatively stable, liquid, and dependable. Bitcoin, in its current state, struggles to meet these criteria consistently. A significant allocation to Bitcoin could expose a nation's reserves to sudden and substantial losses, undermining public trust and potentially destabilizing its financial position. This volatility poses a tangible risk, not just theoretically, but as observed in the experiences of investors globally, including those in the U.S. While some have reaped fortunes, many others have faced considerable losses due to ill-timed investments or the market's unpredictable nature. Institutional investors, including those in the U.S., while showing increasing interest in Bitcoin as a speculative asset class or a small part of a diversified portfolio, still largely treat it with caution. The kind of deep, unwavering institutional trust that gold commands – built over centuries of proven performance as a store of value and a crisis hedge – has yet to be earned by Bitcoin. Gold’s market is deep, liquid, and well-understood, with established clearing and settlement mechanisms. Bitcoin's market infrastructure, while maturing, is still relatively nascent and fragmented compared to the centuries-old gold market. Beyond volatility, other factors hinder Bitcoin's adoption as a mainstream reserve asset for central banks. Regulatory uncertainty remains a significant hurdle. The global regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is a patchwork of differing approaches, with some nations embracing innovation while others impose strict controls or outright bans. For central banks, which operate within stringent legal and regulatory frameworks, this lack of global consensus and clarity is a major deterrent. The operational risks associated with custody and security of digital assets at a sovereign scale are also non-trivial. While blockchain technology is inherently secure, managing private keys for billions of dollars' worth of Bitcoin requires sophisticated and untested protocols for institutions of this nature. Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" sometimes overlooks fundamental differences. Gold is a physical commodity with diverse industrial and cultural uses, providing a baseline of demand beyond its monetary role. It is universally recognized and accepted, transcending technological barriers. Bitcoin’s value is derived primarily from its network effects, its code, and investor belief in its future utility and adoption. While powerful, these are different underpinnings than the tangible reality of physical gold bullion held in a central bank's vault. The actions of central banks speak volumes. While a handful of smaller nations or entities might experiment with Bitcoin, the overwhelming majority of major central banks, those that collectively manage the bulk of global reserves, have either remained silent on Bitcoin or have issued cautious warnings, all while steadily increasing their physical gold holdings. This isn't to say that Bitcoin has no future role or value. It may well continue to evolve as a speculative asset, a niche store of value for some, or a technology platform for new financial applications. However, the idea that it is poised to usurp gold's position in the vaults of central banks appears premature, if not fundamentally misguided, given its current attributes. In conclusion, the debate between Bitcoin and gold as the preferred store of value and reserve asset has a clear, if perhaps unexciting, winner in the eyes of the world's central banks. Faced with geopolitical instability, the specter of dollar devaluation, and the enduring need for reliable safe-haven assets, these institutions are doubling down on gold. Its long history, proven stability, tangibility, and lack of counterparty risk resonate deeply with their conservative mandates. Bitcoin's volatility, regulatory ambiguity, and operational complexities, while potentially surmountable in the distant future, currently render it unsuitable for the core reserve holdings of nations. While U.S. investors and others may grapple with Bitcoin's risk-reward profile, central banks have largely made their choice, and that choice, for now and the foreseeable future, remains firmly with the ancient, trusted allure of gold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Market Overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, after which it entered a correction phase. The price tested the key demand zone of $109,200-$106,500 (volume zone), where it encountered buyer activity: sales were absorbed, and a rebound followed. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? At the moment, we’re still in an uptrend. This is evidenced by the unbroken trendline, the reaction during the test of the mentioned zone, as well as the absorption of sales along the delta within it. In the opposite scenario and moving below the slope and the buyer's zone, we expect a decline to $103,000 and a change in the current trend, at least to the sideways. Buy Zones: $109,200–$106,500 (volume area) $103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption) ~$100,000 (aggressive buy volumes) $98,000–$97,200 (local support) $93,000 (support level) $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) $88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption) $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume) $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone) $74,800 (support level) $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume) IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic developments this week: • Tuesday, May 27, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer confidence index for May from the Conference Board (CB); • Wednesday, May 28, 02:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision; • Wednesday, May 28, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the minutes of the US FOMC meeting; • Thursday, May 29, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of GDP for the first quarter and the results of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Friday, May 30, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer Price Index for May; • Friday, May 30, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index of US personal consumption expenditures for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024; • Saturday, May 31, 1:30 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the Chinese manufacturing sector for May. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Long
by Crypto_robotics
Short term BITCOIN 4 hour Chart and possible moves As I rite this, we see PA pushing up under a line of local resistance, and being rejected. Support is not far below on the old ATH line ( blue Dash) and below that we have the rising trned line at around 107K So we have support all around but we are heading in to the unknown with this Fib circle that is just ahead of us. As yet, I do not know what to expect. Previous 618 Fib circles have rejected PA to some degree and so I will expect at least a dip in Price. But as the MACD is nicely cooled off and rising Bullish just above Neutral, we certainly have the ability to piush through So, We enter the unknown today but with Bullish intent and the ability to cope but we do need Caution.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BITCOIN new week open Green - Will we get 8 weeks Green in a row These are all WEEKLY chart 7 weeks in a row closed Green. At Time of writing, Bitcoin is around 109800 usd So Very Bullish and every possibility that this week will also close Green though we are getting near a point of resistance. If we zoom into the same chart, we can see more detail We are above the 2.618 Fib extension and we could return to the 103K zone to test this as support. We may need to do this as it has only ever been resistance previously. We are also very close to a 618 Fib circle.( Blue ) We do not know if this is an area of strong resistance yet but PA is now in the area that we may react to it. As a result of this Fib circle, we need to be prepared for the possibility of reentering that rising channel, We may not do that ,The reasons being that PA still has enough strength. The MACD - or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a technical analysis tool used in trading to identify momentum and trend direction. The 2 vertical lines on the left are the 2021 ATH points, to give a comparison. In this cycle we have had 2 previous peaks and then the cooling off period from OverBought. The Cooling off were the periods were BTC PA ranged.. We are currently rising Bullish, with room to move higher but we should be aware that we are in the area that rejected the 2nd ATH in 2021. The daily is in a very similar position but getting choppy. The RSI - Relative Strength Index, a technical indicator used to understand the momentum of a price trend . The RSI helps signal when to buy and sell in a trending market by identifying overbought or oversold conditions in a security. Again, the Vertical lines on the left show you the 2021 ATH points as reference. See how RSI peaks before BTC PA Peaks. We have not been fully OverBought since March 2024. RSI is rising Bullish with Room to move higher, though, again, note how it is in an area were rejection has occurred previously. The Mayer Multiple is a ratio used in trading that compares the current market price of an asset, such as Bitcoin, to its 200-day moving average (SMA) price. This indicator is particularly useful for swing traders to find zones of extreme overbuys and It is generally considered a bullish indicator when the price is above the long-term moving average ( Yellow ) and bearish when the price is below it, although significant deviations from the moving average can indicate overvaluation or undervaluation. Again, take note of the vertical lines and were this Mayer Multiple was. Again, the tendency is that when this Drops, BTC PA has Ranged to cool off and when it crosses above its Average, it leads to a High on the push higher. And once again, remembering what has been said above, we need to wait to see if this crosses its average or get rejected by it. But as you can see, the Average is more often used as support amd mpt resistance. So, in conclusion, I remain Bullish but with a note of Caution till we get a push higher conformed. We could see a pull back and , if that happens, this maybe the last sensible buying Zone for Bitcoin this time round. The Risk is increasing as more and more coins enter into good profit margins. People may get tempted to sell. On a longer term , this month has confirmed a very bullish intent and we have one week to go before month end. I will expand on this on 2nd June This week. we wait and see how Bitcoin will react. Be Kind to others. The world Needs LOVE
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
73 days looks to be spot on73 Day Lag to the Global M2 Money Supply looks to be spot on for the last year. If it is, this is good news with the M2 still climbing. If I am right, we will have a dip within 24 hours of May 28th, only to get another pump to the upside withing 24 hours of June 2nd. (I tried inputting all this data to Grok in order for him to give me some price targets. They were close to where I think the price will be but using the M2 for price targets still needs some work.)
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by richmrf
1