BTC - Distribution of volume from the top- Wyckoff distribution
- Downward movement on the higher timeframes
- all the Influencers keep putting everyone in longs.
and we're falling and falling.
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Bitcoinprediction
Bitcoin Analysis | Follow-Up: Key Level & Potential TradeIn this video, I present a follow-up to my previous Bitcoin analysis, diving deep into a crucial key level. I’ll outline a potential trade scenario that could develop in the coming days and discuss why this setup is particularly interesting to me. I also explain which trading setup I prefer and why it’s the best fit for my strategy.
If you find this analysis helpful, please give it a like and share your thoughts in the comments. Your support motivates me to keep creating valuable content for you!
7d Forecast - GARCH and LSTM predictive model for BitcoinI typically run weeks ahead of predictive models so far what I can tell by using deep learning machine algo and time-series forecasting and the result doesn't show that BTC is switching its regime therefore I can conclude BTC is probably going 43,303 in the next 2-3 days.
Bitcoin could drop under 50k once moreIn a recent post, I mentioned that Bitcoin could rise and potentially reach a new all-time high (ATH). However, for this to happen, the key support at 63,500 must hold.
At the beginning of the month, the NFP report led to a break below this support, causing the price to tumble below 50,000 in the days that followed. After a typical correction, the price climbed back above 60,000, but it was unable to reclaim the broken support level, indicating that further losses could be on the horizon.
My strategy is to sell any rallies near the 60,000 zone, targeting the recent low below 50,000.
$30K BTC before end of 2024 is Coming and How to survive the falIf you find this helpful, don't forget to follow and support us with a like.
It’s clear that buyers are struggling, but the pattern of lower highs and lower lows is concerning if they intend to push for $100k before the end of 2024.
It feels like sellers are playing a strategic game, and here's why I think market makers might be up to something.
If you’ve been following my Bitcoin analysis, you’ll know that the GETTEX:48K support target was hit, with the next range likely being $43k to $38k.
You can read more about this short target here:
I previously called for a target drop from $74k to the $30k support, predicting bounces from strong support levels.
Five months ago, when I first advised selling at $74k, many in this community called me foolish, accusing me of hating Bitcoin. But I’m a businesswoman focused on making profitable decisions, not getting emotional about any coin, Bitcoin included.
I’ve stuck by my predictions, and I’ll continue to update you based on the MT Pandora's Box strategy.
Stay tuned—this rejection at the $GETTEX:64K-$62k range is likely to push prices down to the $FWB:42K-$38k support.
Double bottom Pattern set upBitcoin's recent pullback presents a calculated opportunity. The 200 EMA is acting as a key resistance on the hourly chart, with an Optimal Trading Zone just below. The play here is simple: wait for the price to retest the zone without breaking below it. If it holds, we've confirmed a double bottom. Entry's at $50,650 with a stop at $47,622. This is a move that maximizes upside while managing risk—just the way I like it.
BTC target 132,0001D time frame
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TP: $109,807 / $132,000
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(1) So far, bull is still running, and the crazy surge hasn't started yet
(2) Three effective supports based on Fibonacci, $51506, $44626 and $37746
(3) Three supports correspond to three 1st target, $109807, $102927, and $96047
(4) At least test $49000 one more time
(5) Better to DCA while dumping again, until hitting $37746
(6) $13200 is the final target which applied for all supports
COIN cup and handle Technical Outlook:
Bullish Setup: A cup and handle pattern is forming, suggesting potential for an upward breakout.
Key Levels: Watch for a breakout above the handle with strong volume. Support is solid at the 50-day moving average.
RSI: Still below overbought, meaning there’s room for upward movement.
Fundamental Snapshot:
Strong Q2 Earnings: Revenue jumped to $1.38 billion, largely due to increased trading volumes and the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs (Crowdfund Insider).
Regulatory Risks: Ongoing SEC battles could impact growth, but recent ETF approvals are a positive sign (Crowdfund Insider).
COIN is closely correlated with Bitcoin so keep an eye on that as well.
If COIN breaks resistance, it could see strong gains, but keep an eye on regulatory news.
Bitcoin Rises Above Key Levels, Eyes All-Time HighBitcoin has bounced back, moving past important support levels and the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Analysts predict a small drop in the short term, which could be a good time to buy before Bitcoin resumes its upward climb. Many believe Bitcoin will soon reach or even exceed its highest price ever, signaling a positive trend in the cryptocurrency market.
BTCUSDT (1D Chart) Technical analysis
BTCUSDT (1D Chart) Currently trading at $62800
Buy level: Above $60700
Stop loss: Below $55500
TP1: $63800
TP2: $65000
TP3: $68000
TP4: $70000
Max Leverage 3x
Always keep Stop loss
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Bitcoin Loong!This coin has been forming a falling flag for the past few days. Considering that the price tested the lower trend and bounced back, there might be a bullish impulse. I anticipate that the bulish momentum will go on and retest the upper trendline at 70000.
Entry point - 60000
SL - 56000
Take Profit - 69000
Bitcoin and altcoin overview(August 09-10)Yesterday, as expected, we broke through the local extreme for Bitcoin and reached the first sales zone.
At these levels, the first signs of seller defense appeared, so it is most likely that the current day may be corrective.
The first local resistance for sales will be at $60,000.
Globally, the scenario remains long.
Buyer zones: $58,200-$56,000 (pushing volumes), $52,000-$50,000, $48,000-$47,000 (pushing volumes), $44,000-$41,600 (accumulated volumes).
Nearest sales zones: $64,000-$65,200 (mirror volume zone).
Interesting altcoins
For MEW , we have 2 buyer zones: $0,0051-$0,0049; $0,00425-$0,0039, from which we consider longs if there is a reaction.
BTC To Touch $120k | What's Next? | #analysewithahadBTC on the weekly chart is forming cup & handle pattern, indicating a bullish sentiment on a longer timeframe.
Near about 15th November'21, BTC started to plummet from the high of $70k to the low of $15,476 on 21th November'22 - Aproximately, BTC took the whole year to fall and pivoted from there to make another high of $73,777 on 11th March'24.
BTC has ballooned by 352.45% pre-correction.
Now, the correction is looking healthy.
BTC, to rally again, need to break the resistance level at $72,774.
Once, it is broken with volumes, we might witness a healthy rally till $120K.
But, nothing can be said with respect to the time it will take.
Just wait and watch.
Bitcoin Ascending Regression Trend (Bullish) With the recent market dip, most indicators show an oversold to neutral range:
Bollinger Bands: neutral
CCI: oversold
RSI: Neutral
MACD: oversold
Fear and Greed Index: fear
In other words, the market does have room to grow, but it needs market drivers to do so. The FED rate decisions in September might just be the catalyst Bitcoin needs.
If liquidity comes to the markets according to expectations, BTC might end the year in the $66k to $95k price range.
Uptrend Resumes - Standard wave 4 correctionIf this is an actual impulse with 5 total waves, then the recent pullback to a 38% retrace of wave(3) to complete wave(4) on the lower end of the channel was nothing unusual.
If price falls out of the channel and under (4) it's very likely the move up from the lows was an ABC move.
Upside of 100k for wave(5)? Stay within the channel and let's see.
BTC is filling the CME Gap. Bullish or Bearish?Hello Traders,
In this video, I dive deep into the current market landscape, focusing on several key aspects that are crucial for developing our trading strategies. First, we'll discuss the CME Gap and explore how this gap might influence market movements.
Next, we take a closer look at the trend direction and analyze how it has evolved in recent days and what it could mean for upcoming trading opportunities. I'll show you how to identify the trend and incorporate it into your strategy.
Another essential topic we'll cover is confirmations: I'll explain how to ensure that your trade is on solid ground and how to avoid unnecessary risks.
Finally, I present two different trade ideas and share my expectations for these setups. You'll learn about the scenarios I envision and how I plan to respond to various market developments.
Join me as we delve into chart analysis and learn how to apply this information to your own trades!
Bitcoin's Falling Wedge: A Cautious Approach
The cryptocurrency market is renowned for its volatility and unpredictability. While technical analysis tools like the falling wedge pattern can offer potential insights into price trends, it's crucial to approach them with a critical eye. Even after identifying a seemingly bullish pattern, several factors warrant caution when considering Bitcoin as an investment.
The Falling Wedge: A Double-Edged Sword
A falling wedge is a chart pattern that indicates a potential bullish reversal. It's characterized by a narrowing price range with lower highs and higher lows. However, it's essential to remember that patterns are not foolproof predictors of future price movements. They are merely tools to help analyze market sentiment and potential trends.
Moreover, the formation of a falling wedge doesn't necessarily guarantee an immediate or sustained price increase. It's possible that the price could consolidate or even decline further before breaking out. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors beyond technical analysis, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment.
Fundamental Risks Persist
Beyond technical analysis, Bitcoin faces significant fundamental challenges. The cryptocurrency's price volatility, energy consumption concerns, and regulatory uncertainties continue to pose risks for investors.
• Volatility: Bitcoin's price has historically exhibited extreme volatility, making it difficult to predict short-term movements. While this volatility can create profit opportunities, it also exposes investors to substantial losses.
• Energy Consumption: The energy required to mine Bitcoin has drawn criticism for its environmental impact. Governments and regulatory bodies are increasingly scrutinizing the cryptocurrency industry, which could lead to stricter regulations or even bans.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies remains unclear in many jurisdictions. This uncertainty can create legal and operational challenges for businesses and investors alike.
Alternative Investment Opportunities
Considering the risks associated with Bitcoin, investors may want to explore alternative investment options. Diversification is a key principle of sound investment strategy, and allocating assets across different asset classes can help mitigate risk.
• Traditional Assets: Stocks, bonds, and real estate offer more established investment avenues with potentially lower volatility and greater diversification benefits.
• Other Cryptocurrencies: While the cryptocurrency market as a whole is volatile, some altcoins may present more attractive risk-reward profiles than Bitcoin. However, thorough research is essential to identify promising projects with solid fundamentals.
• Emerging Technologies: Investing in companies or funds focused on emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, or clean energy, can provide exposure to high-growth sectors.
Conclusion
While the appearance of a falling wedge pattern on Bitcoin's weekly chart might be tempting for some investors, it's crucial to maintain a cautious approach. The cryptocurrency market is highly speculative, and past performance is not indicative of future results. By carefully considering the risks and exploring alternative investment options, investors can make more informed decisions and protect their portfolios.
Ultimately, the decision to invest in Bitcoin is a personal one that should be based on individual risk tolerance, investment goals, and a thorough understanding of the cryptocurrency market.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conducting thorough research and consulting with a financial advisor is recommended before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin 4hr Setup Bitcoin is currently experiencing a pullback, having dropped 2,000 pips over the past seven days. Several key factors are converging around the $60,000 level, making it a critical area of interest. These factors include the psychological round number of $60,000, previous market structure, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, and the presence of both an upward and a downward trend line intersecting near this price. Additionally, there's a notable rejection point in this vicinity. Given these confluences, I anticipate a reaction around this level, potentially leading to further downward movement.
Bitcoin Daily Chart
Bitcoin is showing several confluences on the daily chart around the $60,000 level. After a 1,000-pip rally without any significant pullback, a retracement seems likely, as the price may need to dip before resuming its upward momentum. This time, I anticipate that Bitcoin might close below the 200-day moving average during the pullback. However, once it completes this downward move, I expect the price to eventually close above the 200-day moving average and begin a climb toward the top of the current channel.
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (August 08-09)Yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a local decline and received a responsive reaction from buyers. At the moment, we are at the upper boundary of a potential sideways range.
Currently, we highlight 2 local scenarios: rotation within this range over the next 24 hours, or a breakout in an upward direction and a test of the $60,000 price level.
In case of a false breakout of the upper boundary of the range, we might see a test of the selling zone at $52,000.
Buying zones below: $52,000-$50,000, $48,000-$47,000 (pushing volumes), $44,000-$41,600 (accumulated volumes).
Nearest selling zones: $60,000-$62,000 (accumulated volumes), $64,000-$65,200 (mirror volume zone).
Interesting altcoins
For the IO coin, a mirror selling zone of $1.81-$1.86 has formed, from which we have already received a minimal reaction. A retest of this zone and the local high of 1.82 is likely. If there is a reaction, we open a short position.
The TON coin has grown well after the announcement of its listing on Binance spot.
The main volumes are located in the zone $6.15-$5.96. If there is a reaction from this zone, we join the longs.
BTCUSD: The Rally Is Just Beginning, Probability Confirms6M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
3M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
2W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
3D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
If you have any questions, need further clarification, or would like to share your own insights, feel free to leave a comment below!
The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you may lose some or all of your investment. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.