Bitcoin Parabolic Bull Run with the Latest 200-Day MA CrossAfter a brief dip below the $60,000 mark on October 10, Bitcoin (BTC) has regained momentum, inching closer to its all-time high (ATH) of $73,700, reached in March of this year.
This price recovery follows considerable volatility experienced by the largest cryptocurrency on the market throughout the year, with significant price swings, including sharp falls of almost 20% on 5 August and 6 September.
The 200-Day Moving Average (MA)
A key indicator to watch for Bitcoin is the 200-Day Moving Average (MA). This technical analysis tool represents the average closing price of Bitcoin over the past 200 days. When the price of Bitcoin crosses above this long-term moving average, it often signals a bullish trend reversal.
Historical Significance
Interestingly, the last three times Bitcoin's price crossed above the 200-Day MA, it triggered a "parabolic bull run." This refers to a period of rapid and sustained price increases, characterized by a parabolic curve on the price chart.
The first instance occurred in 2016, when Bitcoin's price surged from around $400 to over $20,000 within a year. The second instance took place in 2019, with the price climbing from roughly $3,000 to nearly $14,000 in a similar timeframe. Most recently, in 2021, Bitcoin's price soared from approximately $29,000 to its ATH of $73,700.
Current Outlook
Given the historical significance of the 200-Day MA crossings and the recent price recovery, many analysts are closely watching Bitcoin's price action in anticipation of a potential breakout. If Bitcoin successfully breaks above its ATH, it could signal the start of a new parabolic bull run, potentially leading to even higher price targets.
However, it's important to note that the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Several factors could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment.
Key Considerations
As investors evaluate the potential for a Bitcoin breakout, they should consider the following factors:
• Regulatory Environment: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies varies across different jurisdictions. Favorable regulatory developments can boost investor confidence and drive price appreciation, while unfavorable regulations can create headwinds.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical events, can influence the overall market sentiment and impact the demand for risk assets like Bitcoin.
• Investor Sentiment: The prevailing sentiment among investors towards Bitcoin plays a crucial role in determining its price direction. Positive sentiment can fuel buying pressure, while negative sentiment can lead to selling pressure.
• Technical Analysis: Technical indicators, such as moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and support and resistance levels, can provide valuable insights into Bitcoin's price trends and potential future movements.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's price action is approaching a critical juncture, with the potential to break above its all-time high. The historical significance of the 200-Day MA crossings and the recent price recovery have fueled speculation about a new parabolic bull run.
However, investors should remain cautious and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market is subject to significant volatility, and it's essential to consider the various factors that could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Bitcoinprediction
BITCOIN: Will it Get Rejected Again?Hello, traders!
BTC is once again showing signs of rejection, so be prepared. In the past, we saw a similar situation where BTC was rejected from the same resistance trendline.
The RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating a potential loss of momentum. At this point, we need to be cautious with our leveraged long positions. If rejection occurs, we can expect the price to drop to around $62k, where the 100 EMA serves as support.
For a continued bullish move, BTC must break above the resistance trendline, which could lead BTC towards $69k or $70k.
Key points to watch:
~ Resistance trendline: Rejection is likely.
~ Support level: A rejection could bring BTC down to the $62k support (100 EMA).
~ Bullish continuation: A breakout above the resistance trendline.
Make sure to do your own analysis and research before making any decisions.
13% profit 30% in total, bitcoin might do a new higher high Recap: first off all congratulations to everyone who followed my signals, we are on our second trade the first one made more than 16% profit and the second since September 1st made more than 13% and still going strong
Since September 1st I've guided my followers through entry and exit points and thanks to my perfect entry the last panic sale didn't put us in the red even thought I've pleaded every trader to buy Bitcoin and that it will at least go above 65858$ and I've been trolled for saying that now the joke's on you
Bitcoin will continue it's uptred and might do a new higher high
BTC Technical Analysis👀👉 Bitcoin is currently exhibiting an overextended bearish move and has reached a key support level, where we are seeing signs of a retracement. There are three specific resistance levels above the current price that could serve as potential retracement targets. I’m monitoring for a selling opportunity if price moves into one of these zones and shows a structural break to the downside. Until this price action unfolds, there is no active trade setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always assess your risk and consult a financial professional before making trading decisions. 📊✅
BTC - Wyckoff Reaccumulation Cycle stages
**The Wyckoff Reaccumulation Cycle Within an Uptrend: A Comprehensive Guide**
The Wyckoff Method is a technical analysis framework developed by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century. This approach helps traders and investors identify market patterns and trends, providing valuable insights for buying and selling decisions. One essential component of the Wyckoff Method is the reaccumulation cycle, which occurs within an uptrend. In this article, we'll explore the stages of the Wyckoff reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend, providing a comprehensive guide for traders and investors.
Preliminary Support
The reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend begins with preliminary support. This phase marks the consolidation of the uptrend, as prices bounce off a support level. Preliminary support indicates that buying interest is present and that the market is stabilizing. During this phase, traders and investors should look for signs of accumulation, such as increasing demand and decreasing supply.
Buying Climax
After preliminary support, the buying climax phase occurs. This phase is characterized by a sharp increase in prices, often accompanied by high trading volume. The buying climax is a sign of strong buying demand and marks the beginning of the reaccumulation cycle within the uptrend.
Automatic Rally
Following the buying climax, the automatic rally phase begins. Prices continue to rise, but at a slower pace than the initial uptrend. This automatic rally is a natural response to the buying pressure and provides an opportunity for traders and investors to buy or add to their positions at lower prices.
Secondary Test
In the secondary test phase, prices reach the high but then experience a minor decline. This decline tests the preliminary support level, providing an opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength and identify potential buying opportunities.
Sign of Weakness
After the secondary test, the sign of weakness phase occurs. Prices decline further, indicating that selling pressure is increasing. This sign of weakness can be a warning that the uptrend is losing momentum, and traders and investors should be cautious.
Up Thrust
Following the sign of weakness, the up thrust phase begins. Prices experience another sharp increase, often accompanied by high trading volume. This up thrust is a bullish signal, indicating that buying demand is strong and that the market is regaining its upward momentum.
Up Thrust After Distribution
In the up thrust after distribution phase, prices continue to rise but then experience a minor decline, testing the preliminary support level again. This up thrust after distribution is a sign of strength and potential for further advance.
Test
After the up thrust after distribution, the test phase occurs. Prices decline further, testing the preliminary support level once more. This test is a normal part of the reaccumulation cycle and provides an opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength.
Spring
Following the test, the spring phase begins. Prices experience a sharp increase, often accompanied by high trading volume. This spring is a bullish signal, indicating that buying demand is strong and that the uptrend is regaining its momentum.
Test Again
In the test again phase, prices decline again, testing the preliminary support level for the third time. This test again is a normal part of the reaccumulation cycle and provides a final opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength.
Jump Across Creek
After the test again phase, the jump across creek phase occurs. Prices experience a sharp increase, breaking through the previous high and confirming the new primary advance. This jump across creek signals the end of the reaccumulation cycle and the beginning of a new phase in the uptrend.
Last Point of Support
The last point of support phase marks the final support level before the new primary advance. Prices may test this level one more time before moving higher, providing a final opportunity for traders and investors to buy or add to their positions.
Conclusion
The Wyckoff reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend is a natural part of the market's evolution. Understanding these stages can help traders and investors identify potential buying and selling opportunities, manage risk more effectively, and make informed trading and investment decisions. As always, it's essential to use this information in conjunction with other indicators and market analysis to achieve success.
WYCKOFF - A BITCOIN MOVE!I've been implementing this macro pattern in my trading activity even before 2023 started, due to the Tritch Matrix, a cycle theory of investment proposed by George Tritch. The theory suggests that it's time to purchase assets at the beginning of a new cycle, which is predicted to peak in 2026.
With this understanding, investing in Bitcoin seemed to be the optimal strategy considering its past performance trend. Currently, we can observe the perfect unfolding of this pattern and can identify our existing position. Moreover, it's important to be aware of the recent manipulation tactics often employed by the media to affect markets, particularly retail, nudging them into providing liquidity, also referred to as 'Dumb money.' Don't get caught out - have a plan and stick to it!
BTCUSD Come on Baby, You are Ready to Bullrun1. Current Price Action
Price is trading at around $64,719, approaching the previous all-time high of $67,752.
There appears to be a breakout from a downward wedge pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend.
The price target projected from this wedge is aiming towards higher levels.
3. Future Price Targets
1.272 Fibonacci extension is marked at $100,214, which seems to be the next major target on the upside if the price breaks above the previous all-time high ($67,752).
The chart suggests that there’s a good probability of Bitcoin rallying towards this level if bullish momentum continues.
4. Trend Analysis
The breakout from the wedge is significant, as wedge patterns often signal the end of a corrective phase. The breakout suggests that the market could resume its bullish trend after the consolidation.
If Bitcoin sustains its price above $67,752, it would likely confirm a new bull run, with Fibonacci extensions providing potential targets for the next leg up.
5. Support Levels
On the downside, the first major support is around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at $49,793.
Below that, significant supports include $39,099 (0.618 Fibonacci level) and $32,992 (0.5 level).
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Ready to Explode? Massive Gains on the HorizonThe current BTCUSDT setup shows a bullish momentum on the Risological Swing Trader following the entry point at 61,732.3 on 11th October. The price has moved steadily upward, reaching the first take profit (TP1) level at 63,482.7, which confirms the continuation of the upward trend.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Entry Level: The trade entered at 61,732.3, representing a critical support level where buyers stepped in to drive the price higher. This region coincides with a prior consolidation, giving confidence to the bullish breakout.
Stop-Loss (SL): Positioned at 60,316.2, this acts as a strong downside protection level, slightly below the consolidation zone to avoid premature exit.
Trailing Stop: The trailing stop is now placed at 62,038, and will continue moving upwards as price action progresses. This method locks in profits while allowing for additional upside potential as BTC moves towards higher targets.
Trend Analysis
The price is above the Risological dotted moving average support line, confirming a healthy uptrend. BTC has made consecutive higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong bullish momentum.
The current breakout from the 61,732 entry zone hints at further upside potential. As BTC moves toward TP2 at 66,315.0, we can anticipate continued bullish behavior if broader market conditions remain favorable.
Targets and Profit Zones
The immediate target was TP1 at 63,482.7, which has been hit or surpassed, giving confidence to the bullish scenario.
Next, TP2 at 66,315.0 serves as the next resistance level where some profit-taking might occur, followed by TP3 at 69,147.4 and the ultimate TP4 target at 70,897.7.
Risk Management
The trailing stop set at 62,038 ensures that even in the case of a pullback, the trade will lock in gains. This dynamic risk management allows the trader to maximize profit while minimizing potential losses.
With BTC showing strong momentum, moving the stop closer to the price is a sound strategy to protect profits.
Conclusion
Overall, Bitcoin continues to show strong bullish signs as it heads toward the next resistance levels. The key will be monitoring the price action near TP2 and adjusting the trailing stop as needed. If momentum remains intact, we could see BTC testing the higher targets of 69,147.4 and 70,897.7
Bitcoin Quest- History tends to repeat itself.
- The maximum could reach around 250k.
- The minimum could drop to about 40k.
- Remember, the longer it takes, the higher we could go.
- The graphic is straightforward as usual; just track "colors", "bubbles" and "trends."
- Keep in mind, while the future is uncertain, we can still speculate.
Happy Tr4Ding
Is Bitcoin Preparing for 200k?Bitcoin ha been ranging in a potential bullish flag for months. If the bulls ensures a strong bullish close above the $67,000 this week, this could interest more buyers to rally the price of Bitcoin on the continuation of a bullish swing which would eventually tag the price of $200k based on the MOBJ of the obvious bullish chart pattern detected on the weekly chart
I'm light years away from everyone this was said September 30th
On September 30th I posted that the last panic sale for bitcoin was a healthy pull-back and that it's just a panic sale
People trolled me for that because they aren't traders they are gamblers
And I've posted multiple time after that(check my profile) borderline begging people to buy Bitcoin for easy profit at least 5% now we are at more than 7% in 3 days
Now is your chance buy as much as you can and follow to get the perfect exit point
10 Essential Tips for Futures Trading | Beginner-Friendly Guide!🚀 10 Essential Tips for Futures Trading | Beginner-Friendly Guide 🚀
As a crypto futures trader, you have the potential for high rewards—but the risks are equally significant. Whether you're just starting or looking to sharpen your skills, here’s a beginner-friendly guide to help you trade futures like a pro!
1️⃣ Leverage with Caution
Leverage allows you to trade more than your actual capital. While it amplifies profits, it also increases the risk of significant losses. Start with low leverage (1x to 2x) and increase only as your experience and confidence grow.
Pro Tip: Use leverage responsibly. Small moves can lead to big impacts on your account balance!
2️⃣ Master Risk Management
In futures trading, preserving your capital is as important as making profits. Always use stop losses to limit potential losses and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Successful traders manage risk first, profits second.
Pro Tip: Limit your risk to 1-2% of your total capital per trade to survive market volatility.
3️⃣ Understand Market Sentiment
Emotions highly drive crypto markets—fear and greed can cause massive price swings. Stay on top of market sentiment by following news, social media, and community discussions.
Pro Tip: Use sentiment analysis tools and observe the fear/greed index to time your trades better.
4️⃣ Learn Technical Analysis
To succeed in futures, learning chart reading is essential. Focus on key indicators like support/resistance levels, moving averages, and volume trends. These help you make informed trade decisions.
Pro Tip: Keep your charts clean—use just a few key indicators to avoid confusion.
5️⃣ Stay Disciplined
Trading without discipline is a shortcut to losses. Develop a strategy and stick to it, even when the market is volatile. Avoid emotional decisions like panic selling or revenge trading.
Pro Tip: Journal every trade—track what works and what doesn’t, and improve your strategy.
6️⃣ Know Your Funding Rates
Funding rates in perpetual futures can either work for or against you. When the funding rate is positive, longs pay shorts, and vice versa. Keep an eye on these rates as they can affect your overall profitability.
Pro Tip: If the funding rate is too high, it might be better to wait for a better entry.
7️⃣ Understand Exchange Rules
Different exchanges have different margin requirements, liquidation prices, and fees. Make sure you fully understand the platform’s rules and how they apply to your trades.
Pro Tip: Always double-check liquidation prices before opening large positions.
8️⃣ Hedge Your Risk
Hedging is a strategy that protects your portfolio from adverse price movements. For example, if you're holding Bitcoin, you can open a short position in futures to balance your risk in case the price drops.
Pro Tip: Use hedging to minimize risk during uncertain market conditions, but avoid over-hedging.
9️⃣ Watch Open Interest and Volume
Higher open interest shows a growing trend, while low volume can indicate weak market conviction. Use these metrics to confirm your trades and gauge market strength.
Pro Tip: Combine open interest with volume for more reliable trade signals.
🔟 Keep Learning & Evolving
Crypto markets evolve rapidly. Always stay up-to-date on the latest trends, tools, and strategies. Join trading communities, watch educational content, and continuously improve your knowledge base.
Pro Tip: Follow experienced traders, read trading books, and practice in demo accounts before going big.
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CONCLUSION:
Futures trading in crypto offers immense potential, but it requires skill, discipline, and constant learning. With these 10 essential tips, you’ll be better prepared to navigate the volatile world of crypto futures trading and enhance your profitability.
🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Futures trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Always trade responsibly. 🚨
If you want more such educational posts, Trades and Top-notch Bitcoin updates, Hit that like button! Follow me if you're reading this for the first time!
Thank you
#PEACE
#BTC/USDT Quick Update!#BTC is stuck in the range, with multiple rejections and bounces.
We need a catalyst at this point. The direction will be clear whether it breaks $66k or $60k.
We wait.
Weekly closes in 7 Hours.
IMHO, We will hit $66k this week.
Let me know what you think in the comment section and do not forget to hit that like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTCUSD Shortas Israel and Iran War is on heads so due to undone Retaliatory decision of I-S-R-A-E-L BTC is stuck in a range but technically i am seeing a drop in the price of BTCUSD as BTC can fall to its daily Support level On Weekly to Daily its in Bullish but in H4 to H1 it seems to be Bearish so i am bearish on current moment if Geopolitical tension overcomes to increases we can any unexpected move on the pair but still we are Bearish over the pair to its Daily support level
BTC Potential Pullback After Upside Move to $66K-$67KDescription: Bitcoin has shown bullish momentum recently, with prices climbing towards the $66K- FWB:67K range. However, caution is advised for traders. Historically, sharp pullbacks often follow price rallies, especially when key psychological levels are tested.
Scenario:
Bullish Case: Bitcoin could rally further to the $66K- FWB:67K range, reaching resistance levels. If this level is broken, we could see a continuation toward $70K.
Bearish Case: After hitting $66K- FWB:67K , we may experience a major correction. A strong rejection in this range could trigger a pullback, possibly to $60K or even $58K & 43k$, depending on market sentiment and volume.
Strategy:
For Long Traders: Be cautious as BTC nears the $66K- FWB:67K range. Consider setting tight stop-losses in case of a sudden reversal.
For Short Traders: Watch for signs of weakness at resistance levels (bearish divergence, volume dropping, etc.) before entering a short position.
Follow me for more Premium trade setup.
BTC: Two Likely Scenarios I'm WatchingBitcoin hasn't yet been able to break out above the diagonal resistance that formed after the most recent high.
Until we're able to do a bump-and-run ABOVE this trendline, lower lows seem the most likely until we've found a zone with sufficient buying pressure to take us back upwards. Lower lows and lower highs mean short term bearish, unfortunately.
I discuss the reasoning for these two scenarios in a little more detail, here:
However, this doesn't imply that there won't be decent range trades / swing trades in this area - in fact, there's been incredible opportunities whilst Bitcoin chops around. Follow here to make sure you never miss a moment!
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITCOIN HEDGE SHORT POSITION OPPURTUNITY UPDATEBITCOIN gave me reversal signal. I entered the short position the target is marked as 'long zone' i will be looking reversal signs to exit short and open long position.
It is risky hedge short position. The overall #bitcoin is still bullish. I will be scalping short.
It is not financial advice. I am taking calculated risks.
When Will Bitcoin Hit Its Next Peak?The BTC weekly chart with the Pi Cycle Indicator has historically been a reliable tool in predicting major Bitcoin market cycle highs and lows. As shown in the chart, this indicator successfully marked the peak of Bitcoin bull runs and bottom of bear markets during the last three major market cycles.
The green markers on the chart labeled "Pi Cycle High" correspond to moments where Bitcoin reached its cycle top. These highs occurred during 2013, 2017, and 2021, right at the peak of major bull markets, suggesting the effectiveness of the Pi Cycle indicator in identifying sell zones.
The blue markers labeled "Pi Cycle Low" signal the exact periods when Bitcoin hit its bear market bottom, seen in 2015, 2019, and potentially in 2022. These points provided strong buy opportunities before the market entered a new bull phase.
Bitcoin currently trading above $62,000, the Pi Cycle Indicator has not yet signaled a new cycle high. This suggests that Bitcoin could still have further upside potential before reaching its next peak. If the historical pattern holds, we might expect Bitcoin to continue rising over the next year before the Pi Cycle High indicator signals the next top, potentially in mid to late 2025.
Keep a close eye on the Pi Cycle indicator, as it could once again provide crucial signals for a peak in this cycle.
Regards
Hexa