Bitcoin | How to Master Ranges ?In our latest analysis ( BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs ) about ranges we had concluded that high leveraged longs would be liquidated, this was due to the belief of the indicators (cdv, volume footprint, etc.) that there were buyers.
However, the lack of buyers in the current picture is a big problem, the data currently says so, but the data is not stable, it can change, you can follow this from volume footprints, cumulative delta volume, liquidation heatmaps. If you do not know how to use these, you can visit my profile, you can contact me, I explain how I use all these tools completely free of charge.
My opinion today is that the price will sell nicely from the red line and the decline will deepen, and everyone who follows me knows that I have been repeating this opinion since $103,000.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
My Previous Analysis
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I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Bitcoinprediction
"Bitcoin Price Prediction: $30K TargetThis analysis uses historical Bitcoin price patterns during previous bull and bear cycles to predict future market movements. The chart reveals a recurring pattern of sharp corrections following parabolic rises, suggesting that Bitcoin is likely heading toward a $30K price point in its current bearish phase. By aligning current trends with past cycles, this prediction provides a roadmap for investors to navigate potential market downturns and prepare for upcoming opportunities.
Don't fumble the red flags, we are not out of the woods yet.When analyzing cryptocurrency markets, maintaining a neutral and impartial perspective is crucial. Having an optimistic bias will have you fumbling all the red flags and focusing only on information that supports your hopes and dreams.
Currently, two main theories are shaping the discussion around Bitcoin's price action:
Wave 4 has been completed, and we are now entering Wave 5 or;
The market is still in a corrective phase.
Let me know what you think, would love to hear your thoughts. Let’s delve into the two scenarios in detail.
Theory 1: Wave 4 is Complete, and We Are Entering Wave 5
This theory is that Bitcoin has finished an ABC corrective wave and is poised for an upward move into Wave 5. A confirmed Wave 5 would be indicated by a price break above the previous Wave 3 high at $108,705. Until then, we remain in speculative territory.
The Positives:
The Stochastic Oscillator on the daily timeframe is in a favorable position.
On the weekly chart, the Stochastic has exited the overbought region and is moving toward oversold territory.
The Negatives:
The current correction appears shallow and short-lived, failing to even retrace to the 0.386 Fibonacci level.
Historically, 70% of Wave 4 corrections retrace between the 0.386 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
I would prefer that the weekly Stochastic RSI had a bullish crossover in the overbought region.
During the last bull run, the Wave 4 correction lasted three months and corrected nearly to the 0.618 Fib level. Bitcoin Dominance collapsed during the Wave 4 correction, signaling the start of an altcoin season. While history doesn’t have to repeat itself, we have only corrected for 3.5 weeks and bitcoin dominance is still high, these anomalies raise concerns until the $108,705 resistance is breached.
Theory 2: The Market Is Still Correcting
In this scenario, the Zig-Zag correction we’ve observed may represent the first impulse (Wave A) of a larger ABC correction. If this is the case, the market could experience:
Wave B: A brief upward impulse.
Wave C: A downward move to lower price targets.
Key Observations:
A more extended and deeper correction would align with historical patterns, potentially creating a stronger foundation for future growth.
If this plays out, we may see Bitcoin Dominance collapse, paving the way for an altcoin season to rise alongside Bitcoin’s eventual Wave 5.
Conclusion: Watching $108,705 Is Key
The confirmation of Wave 5 hinges on Bitcoin breaking the $108,705 resistance level. Until that point, it’s essential to remain cautious and consider both possibilities. Whether we are on the verge of a new bullish wave or navigating a deeper correction, understanding the broader market context will help investors make informed decisions.
My bets though are on Theory 2, what do you think?
Checkmate: Winging it is for birds, not traders♟️ Master the market with strategy, foresight, and just the right amount of sass.
Alright, traders, let’s talk. What do chess grandmasters and top traders have in common? No, it’s not their love of mismatched socks or coffee strong enough to revive the dead ☕. It’s their ability to think three moves ahead while the rest of the world stares at the board wondering, “Is this checkers?”
♟️ Your Gut Isn’t Garry Kasparov
In chess, a grandmaster doesn’t move a piece without thinking of how it’ll play out in the next ten moves. And you? Clicking Buy because your “gut” said so isn’t exactly a strategy. Unless your gut has a PhD in market analysis, maybe sit this one out and plan.
Remember: sometimes you’ve gotta let a pawn (aka small loss) go to protect the king (aka your account). But nope, most traders are out here clinging to losing trades like they’re in a Nicholas Sparks movie. Spoiler alert: this isn’t a love story – it’s an iceberg. 🧊🚢
🤔 Hope Isn’t a Strategy
Chess players anticipate every possible move. You, on the other hand, need to stop vibing your way through trades. 🌈
✔️ Got a plan if the market tanks?
✔️ Got a plan if it spikes?
✔️ Got snacks for when both happen? 🍿
If you’re trading without a stop-loss, you’re basically playing chess blindfolded and hoping for the best. Bold, but not smart.
🧠 Don’t Let Your Brain Sabotage You
Biggest opponent in trading? It’s you. That little voice whispering, “Double down, it’ll recover!” or “Stop-losses are for wimps.” That’s not strategy – it’s sabotage. 🎭
Learn to chill. Emotional moves in chess = disaster. Emotional trades in the market? Same thing, but with fewer pawns and way more pain.
🔑 Discipline = Winning
Grandmasters aren’t magic. They’re disciplined. They put in the hours, study patterns, and show up every day. Traders? Same deal. Forget the mythical “perfect strategy.” It’s your discipline to execute that makes the difference.
So, stop chasing meme stocks and remember: the market is your chessboard. Plan your moves, think ahead, and for the love of all things caffeinated, stop clinging to bad trades. 🖤
$BTC and Altcoins: Should You Buy or Wait?It's been 45 days since Bitcoin reached $100k and 20 days since its all-time high of $108k. The market is currently moving sideways and remains below the key resistance zone. Unless we witness a breakout and increased trading volume, it's tough to predict the next move. However, one thing is clear: most altcoins experienced significant drops of 40%-60% during the December 9th market crash.
Since then, many altcoins have rebounded by 15%-30%, and a few have fully recovered. While it's uncertain if another major dip is coming, especially after such a steep 50% decline, I believe it's unlikely to happen and now could be an ideal time to start accumulating altcoins if you haven't yet.
The risk of staying out of the market is higher than the risk of being invested in altcoins at this moment.
Make sure you follow my socials, I'll be sharing a list of altcoins that will be doing well this season.
Please hit that like button to support nd share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#cryptocurrency #Altcoins
MARA’s BTC Strategy and Bitcoin’s Path ForwardBitcoin miner MARA Holdings has made headlines with its innovative approach to leveraging its BTC reserves and exceeding its hash rate target. The company's December 2024 production update highlights strategic moves and technical achievements, providing a strong foundation for bullish sentiment on Bitcoin.
MARA’s BTC Lending Program: Fundamentals at Play
MARA revealed that 16.4% of its Bitcoin reserves, equivalent to 7,377 BTC worth approximately $730 million, has been deployed in short-term third-party loans to generate modest single-digit yields. This strategy underscores MARA’s dual approach of mining and buying Bitcoin to optimize its holdings. The company’s total reserves now stand at an impressive 44,893 BTC, valued at over $4.4 billion at current prices.
According to Robert Samuels, MARA’s vice president of investor relations, the lending program focuses on secure, short-term arrangements with well-established third parties. This initiative reflects a prudent approach to maximizing shareholder value while maintaining liquidity.
MARA’s production update also highlighted a milestone achievement: surpassing its energized hash rate target of 50 EH/s, reaching a peak of 53.2 EH/s. Despite a 2% decrease in BTC production due to a slight dip in mining “luck,” MARA’s overall strategy remains robust. CEO Fred Thiel emphasized the benefits of the company’s hybrid model, which combines mining and purchasing Bitcoin to enhance flexibility and long-term value.
Technical Analysis
As of writing, Bitcoin’s price has shown remarkable resilience, briefly reclaiming the $99,000 level before a slight retracement to $98,745. The technical indicators suggest a strong bullish trend:
1. RSI Strength: With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62, Bitcoin exhibits momentum that could propel it to break key resistance levels.
2. Fibonacci Retracement: In the event of selling pressure or a correction, the $94,000 level—the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement—is poised to serve as a critical support zone.
3. Open Interest Surge: Open interest in Bitcoin futures has surged, driven by renewed institutional interest, particularly after Donald Trump’s presidential election victory. Firms like MicroStrategy (MSTR) are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation.
A Bullish Case
Bitcoin’s fundamentals are bolstered by several macroeconomic and geopolitical factors:
1. Institutional Adoption: Companies like MARA and MicroStrategy are doubling down on Bitcoin, reflecting growing confidence in its role as “digital gold.”
2. Hash Rate Milestones: Bitcoin’s monthly hash rate reached an all-time high in December, showcasing the network’s increasing security and resilience.
3. Political Developments: The anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2025 has spurred optimism in financial markets, with Bitcoin positioned as a safe haven against inflationary pressures.
Conclusion
With institutional adoption accelerating and macroeconomic conditions favoring digital assets, Bitcoin appears poised for a breakout. As MARA and other players continue to innovate, the cryptocurrency’s role as a cornerstone of the global financial system becomes increasingly evident. Investors and analysts should keep a close eye on the inauguration of Donald Trump and its potential market implications, as Bitcoin stands ready to capitalize on the evolving landscape.
BITCOIN LONG TRADE SETUPA clear long trade entry was identified at $98,089 using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator .
The setup is already progressing positively, targeting levels:
TP1: $102,183.9
TP2: $108,809.5
TP3: $115,435.1
TP4: $119,529.7
Key Stats:
Current volume: 16.01K
30-day average volume: 96.64K
The trade setup aligns with a strong upward trend, providing excellent potential for hitting all targets efficiently.
Bitcoin , next target Evening folks, sorry for being absent I’m ridiculously busy with my businesses and new year , btw wish you all the best and a year of getting massive mountain of money lol . Keeping my chart simple you I wont cause confusion. Bitcoin has like two weeks in the worse scenario to range or fall before going and tap 150k or somewhere around. In the good scenario it goes up from here , I’ve put two box to get the bitcoin in case of a fall but deep down I see it unlikely to happen as altcoins look sh! T , I see it as a surprise run and leave people behind most likely but anyway who knows . Keep those areas in mind and see them as a chance . Bullrun isn’t over and it’s just warming up. Stay safe lads
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Breakout Incoming or Crash Ahead?Hey, traders! 👋 Welcome back to another deep dive into the markets. Today, we’re analyzing the daily chart of Bitcoin vs. USDT (BTC/USDT) because this week could bring a major turning point! 🔥
What’s happening on the chart?
First, take a look at these two key horizontal levels:
Support at $91,445.18 📉
Resistance at $99,763.08 📈
The price is stuck in this consolidation range. This is a critical moment because when Bitcoin consolidates like this, something big is about to happen! 🚀 Either we break to the upside or head lower. 😬
What are the possible scenarios? 🤔
I've outlined two potential outcomes:
Bullish breakout: If the price breaks above $99,763.08 with strong momentum, we could see a move toward $108,261.81, which is the next major target. 🎯
Bearish breakdown: If the price loses support at $91,445.18, we might be looking at a deeper correction. But hey, no need to panic yet—this isn’t confirmed. 🛑
RSI: The silent indicator 📉
Let’s look at the RSI (Relative Strength Index):
It’s sitting at 48.25, right near the neutral zone. This tells us the market is undecided for now—neither overbought nor oversold. ⚖️
If RSI moves above 50, it’s a sign that bulls are gaining control. On the other hand, if it drops below 40, the bears might dominate. 🐻
Volume never lies 🔊
Volume has been declining during this consolidation. This is typical because big moves usually come after a period of low volume, and then—boom! 💥 Price explodes in one direction. Keep an eye out for a spike in volume to confirm the next big move.
What should we do now? 🧐
Be patient: Avoid trading inside the range. Wait for the price to confirm a breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support.
Look for confirmation: Watch for a volume spike and candlestick patterns near key levels to validate the move.
Have a plan: Set clear targets and stop-loss levels. Remember, Bitcoin can be unpredictable, so stay prepared. 🚀
That's it for today, traders! If you found this analysis helpful, follow me here on TradingView and leave a like 👍 to give this idea a boost. Your support inspires me to keep sharing more insights and strategies. Let’s keep building success together! 🚀💹
Disclaimer:
This video is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Invest responsibly.
BITCOIN- this month decide everything This month is shaping up to be a crucial turning point for Bitcoin as the market braces for decisive movements that could set the tone for the entire year. Analysts are closely watching key indicators and price levels, which will determine whether Bitcoin sustains its upward momentum or faces a significant reversal. With economic data, regulatory developments, and market sentiment all converging, January could define the trajectory of the cryptocurrency's performance in the near term.
BITCOIN can continue upward new record in this month Bitcoin's bullish momentum shows strong potential to continue, with market analysts suggesting that it may push towards a new all-time high within this month. If the upward trend holds steady, we could see record-breaking levels by January 20th, driven by increasing investor confidence and market dynamics.
Altseason will official start this coming Monday. Are you ready?So here we are 2 and a half years later. Business as usual. What an amazing journey it's been.
You know the drill, bloody day Starting Sunday in a few hours, Monday starts with a big explosion, then, sell in May and go away. Although watch out for Time Magazine's and Roaring Kitty's hints, January 9th til April 20th bullrun.
The blow off top of a century before a great depression.
Will Bitcoin stop at 60k? or will the model break and have Bitcoin reach 10 to 20k?
Comments, feedback and input is highly welcome and appreciated.
Enjoy the banana party.
Bitcoin's Balancing Act: Navigating Selling Pressure and BullishBitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, currently finds itself at a critical juncture, navigating a complex interplay of selling pressure from long-term holders and several bullish indicators suggesting a potential resurgence. This article delves into the key factors influencing Bitcoin's price, including long-term holder behavior, exchange inflows and miner outflows, hashrate dynamics, and the influence of Bitcoin whales, to assess its potential to reclaim the coveted $100,000 mark.
Critical Support and Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure
Bitcoin is currently facing critical support levels, meaning that its price is approaching a point where a significant drop could trigger further selling and potentially lead to a more substantial correction. One of the primary factors contributing to this pressure is the selling activity of long-term Bitcoin holders. These holders, who have typically held their Bitcoin for extended periods, are beginning to distribute their holdings, adding to the selling pressure in the market. This behavior can be attributed to various factors, including profit-taking after previous price surges, concerns about macroeconomic conditions, or a shift in investment strategies. Monitoring the behavior of long-term holders is crucial for understanding the overall market sentiment and potential future price movements.
Exchange Inflow and Miner Outflow Dynamics
Analyzing Bitcoin exchange inflows and miner outflows provides valuable insights into market dynamics. A drop in exchange inflows suggests reduced selling pressure, as fewer Bitcoins are being deposited onto exchanges for trading.1 Conversely, a decrease in miner outflows indicates that miners are holding onto their Bitcoin rather than selling it immediately, further reducing selling pressure. The recent drop in both exchange inflows and miner outflows is a positive sign, suggesting that selling pressure is easing and potentially paving the way for a price recovery. The expectation is that this reduced selling pressure, combined with other bullish factors, could contribute to Bitcoin reclaiming the $100,000 level.
Bitcoin Hashrate Reaching New All-Time Highs
The Bitcoin hashrate, a measure of the computational power used to mine Bitcoin, has recently reached new all-time highs.2 This is a significant indicator of the network's strength and security. A higher hashrate makes the Bitcoin network more resistant to attacks and demonstrates the continued commitment of miners to the ecosystem. While a high hashrate doesn't directly translate to immediate price increases, it reflects the long-term health and stability of the Bitcoin network, which can indirectly contribute to positive market sentiment and attract new investors. This robust network infrastructure provides a strong foundation for future price appreciation and supports the possibility of Bitcoin reaching $100,000.
The Influence of Bitcoin Whales
Bitcoin whales, entities holding substantial amounts of Bitcoin, exert significant influence on market dynamics.3 Recent data suggests that Bitcoin whales control a significant portion of exchange volume, highlighting their ability to impact price movements. Analyzing their selling patterns is crucial for understanding potential market shifts. If whales begin accumulating Bitcoin, it could signal a bullish trend, while continued selling could exacerbate downward pressure. Understanding whale behavior is essential for navigating the complexities of the Bitcoin market and anticipating potential price swings. The observation that whales control 94.5% of exchange volume underscores their influence and the importance of monitoring their activity for future market predictions.
Can Bitcoin Reclaim $100,000?
The question on everyone's mind is whether Bitcoin can reclaim the $100,000 mark. While the selling pressure from long-term holders presents a challenge, several bullish factors offer hope for a price recovery. The drop in exchange inflows and miner outflows suggests reduced selling pressure, while the record-high hashrate demonstrates the strength and security of the Bitcoin network. The behavior of Bitcoin whales will also play a crucial role in determining future price movements.
Reaching $100,000 will require a combination of factors, including a decrease in selling pressure, renewed buying interest from both retail and institutional investors, and positive developments in the broader cryptocurrency market. If these conditions are met, Bitcoin has the potential to overcome current challenges and reach new heights.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently navigating a delicate balance between selling pressure and bullish indicators. While long-term holder selling and critical support levels present challenges, the drop in exchange inflows and miner outflows, coupled with the record-high hashrate, offer positive signals. The influence of Bitcoin whales adds another layer of complexity to the market dynamics.
Whether Bitcoin can reclaim $100,000 remains to be seen, but the interplay of these factors will ultimately determine its future price trajectory. Careful monitoring of these key indicators is essential for understanding the evolving landscape of the Bitcoin market and making informed investment decisions.
From Moonboys to Bag Holders: The Bitcoin SagaAh, the Anatomy of a Mania , the chart that keeps on giving! Bitcoin chilling at GETTEX:97K in the ‘New Paradigm!!!’ zone? 🚀💎🙌 Translation: everyone’s sipping on hopium smoothies and thinking they’re financial geniuses. Spoiler alert: they’re not. 😏
Next up? Bull Trap Boulevard—where FOMO warriors jump back in screaming ‘TO THE MOON!’ 🌕 only to realize they just bought the top... again. 😬 Then we head straight to Capitulation Carnival, where wallets cry louder than the people who said ‘I’ll never sell!’ 🤡 And let’s not forget the VIP afterparty at Despair Dungeon—population: bag holders. 😭
But hey, don’t let me stop you. Ride that red line, champ! 📉 I’ll be waiting at the mean reversion party with my popcorn. 🍿😎
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000) and near the Resistance lines .
Regarding Elliott's wave theory , I still see the waves as corrective . It is likely that Bitcoin is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) so that it is currently completing a wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks ( between volume and price ).
In addition, USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is moving near the Support zone and the lower line of the descending channel , so we can expect an increase in this index in the coming hours, and the increase in USDT.D% can cause Bitcoin to decrease .
I expect Bitcoin to start falling from the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage , and Resistance lines again. The First Target can be the Support zone($96,680-$95,500) . If Bitcoin breaks the Support zone($96,680-$95,500), we can expect the CME Gap($94,830-$94,420) to be filled.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,000-$99,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,000
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000), we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD- Levels for Monday 6th- Friday 11th JanuaryHope this benefits you guys. This is not typical S&R or S&D. These levels are based on volume profile and really powerful. NOTE, don't treat these levels as buy and sell points. You will still need to have context behind your trade and use these levels as a reference point. one of the strategy I use is, volume profile along with cumulative delta and footprint. Look for shift in value, delta divergence etc. and when price reaches one of those levels, use footprint for entry. Bottom line is, you have to have context behind your trade. Without context, you are hunting in the dark. Have fun and enjoy
BTC/USDT Analysis: Bitcoin Riding the Waves of Optimism As we dive into this BTC/USDT chart, it’s clear that Bitcoin is not just a cryptocurrency—it’s an art form. The chart showcases a detailed Elliott Wave analysis, complete with corrective W-X-Y patterns and impulsive waves screaming, “I’m going places!” Let’s break it down step by step.
The Elliott Wave Breakdown
Bitcoin has been playing out its Elliott Wave structure with the precision of a virtuoso pianist. Here’s what we’re looking at:
1. Wave (1) to Wave (5): A Symphony of Higher Highs.
2. Wave (1) was the opening act, starting the bullish rally.
3. Wave (2) provided a dramatic correction, retracing as deep as a poet’s feelings on a rainy
day.
4. Wave (3) emerged as the headliner, the longest and strongest wave, with Bitcoin shouting,
“Catch me if you can!”
5. Wave (4), our consolidation buddy, is taking a breather, making sure BTC doesn’t exhaust
itself before the final sprint.
6. Wave (5) looks ready to take the stage and hit the projected target of $128,647.56. The bulls
seem to be prepping their rockets for this one.
2. The W-X-Y Correction
Before the current rally, BTC went through a complex W-X-Y correction. Think of it as Bitcoin saying, “Let me stretch a bit before the next marathon.” This correction has set the stage for the bullish impulses we’re seeing now.
Indicators: The Whispering Bulls
1. Williams %R and Stoch RSI: Hidden Bullish Divergences
Both indicators are practically screaming “hidden bullish divergences” like fans at a rock concert. These signals suggest that the bulls are working behind the scenes, setting the stage for the next big move.
2. RSI: Staying Strong
The RSI remains comfortably above 50, signaling that the bullish momentum is intact. It’s like Bitcoin is cruising down the highway, windows down, music blasting, and no signs of slowing.
The Price Target: To $128,000 and Beyond!
Bitcoin has been known to defy expectations. While $128K might feel like aiming for the moon, let’s not forget—this is Bitcoin, and the moon is just the first stop.
Key Levels to Watch
1. Support Zones
The $80,000 level is a key psychological support. If Bitcoin revisits this area, it could serve as a launchpad for the next leg up.
2. Resistance Levels
The $100,000 mark will likely be a battle zone. Expect bears to put up a fight here, but with the momentum we’re seeing, the bulls might just plow through.
In Conclusion: Strap In, Bulls
Bitcoin is looking bullish on all fronts. The Elliott Wave structure, hidden bullish divergences, and strong RSI readings all point to higher prices in the near future. However, as always, remember that markets love surprises, and it’s always good to keep your risk in check.
For now, though, it looks like Bitcoin is preparing for a grand finale. Let’s hope the bulls keep the momentum going because $128,647 is calling, and Bitcoin seems eager to answer. 🚀
Disclaimer: NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE!
How to outperform Microstrategy in 2025🚀 Michael Saylor vs. Smarter Bitcoin Buying
Michael Saylor has driven waves of excitement with his massive Bitcoin purchases. While it’s fascinating that a software company like NASDAQ:MSTR is using Bitcoin to boost its stock price, that’s not our focus today.
saylortracker.com
Our goal: Outperform Saylor and make better Bitcoin purchases.
📊 Current Market Outlook
📉 60-Day Cycle Low:
Bitcoin appears to be at a 60-day cycle low—a fantastic buying opportunity!
However, don’t hold past the 3-day cycle high.
🔮 What the Cycles Are Telling Us
- 2-Week Cycle: Recently reversed to the downside, signaling potential for further declines.
- 1-Week Cycle: Still declining and likely needs another month to reset.
- 60-Day Cycle: Historically bearish before completing a 24-week cycle.
💡 Key Takeaways
1️⃣ Bitcoin may need a breather before its next big move.
2️⃣ The bull market is intact, with a price range of $130–150K still achievable.
3️⃣ This is unlikely to happen in the first two months of 2025.
⏳ Patience Pays Off
I know you’re eager for gains, and soon enough, your altcoins will have their moment to shine**. 🌟
You’ll be sending screenshots of your portfolio to your friends again, trust me. 😉
📅 Most Probable Scenario
Bitcoin tends to move in 24-week cycles. On the weekly timeframe, we may see further bearish action before a reset, providing even better buying opportunities.
Patience is key—trade smarter, not harder!
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
Possibly the best system I have ever come up with for BitcoinThis is for my wealth accumulation and it is not in any way financial advice. If you follow this and lose your shirt that's on you!
There is a cycle embedded into the Bitcoin space. We all know it and we all witness it.
The halving cycle is real and it is a feature not a bug.
For my sanity, I am sick of seeing people I know buying the FOMO tops and then selling on the way down to the bottom or holding through massive periods of drawdown. So I am not going to do that.
The system is simple.
Setup, wait for the next most likely top in the market before the next most likely drawdown period.
QT4 2013
QT4 2017
QT4 2021
QT4 2025 <-- Next possible top in the market
From October 2025 monitor the daily price action looking for a close below the 50-period SMA
When triggered Sell Everything.
QT1 2015
QT1 2019
QT1 2023
QT1 2027 <-- Next possible bottom in the market
From January 2027 monitor the daily price action looking for a close above the 50-period SMA
When triggered Buy Everything back.
Long Story short for BTCHistory hasn't failed yet, so the four-year cycle is still intact until it isn't. I have stretched this chart out for the next couple of years so that you can get a good idea of where the potential bottom will be during the next bear market. I plan to accumulate as much as possible the closer it gets to 66k. If we do reach a 150-250k top this cycle then I will expect a bear market bottom between 66-76k. Watch my levels and use them as a guideline. Historically Bitcoin has NEVER returned to the price its low during the US election week:
2012 Election Week Low - $10
2016 Election Week Low - $700
2020 Election Week Low - $13,200
2024 Election Week Low - $66,800
that brings us to now... if this doesn't indicate the current market sentiment then I don't know what will. There's a reason why many genius economists are speculating a 1 million dollar bitcoin in the next 8 years.