Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 25-26)Yesterday, Bitcoin completely ignored the levels we had marked and broke the scenario of a quick recovery for longs.
At the moment, we have tested the lower level of the global sideways range, as well as the important zone of $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). So far, we do not see a strong reaction apart from a surge in volume.
In the near future, we primarily expect a sideways movement between the two volume zones of $91,300-$92,600 and ~$89,000.
Now, for a full recovery of buying activity, it will be necessary to overcome the newly formed sell zones, which have accumulated significantly during the decline.
In the case of a negative outcome and a breakdown of the current support zone, we will enter a bearish trend with an initial target of $77,000.
Sell Zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
$97,500-$98,400 (aggressive selling volumes).
$95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes).
$91,300-$92,600 (accumulated volumes).
Buy Zones:
$89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes).
$77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, aggressive buying volumes).
Interesting Altcoins
For SUSDT , we tested an important volume zone and received a strong reaction from buyers. We are considering a long position upon testing the local zone of $0.72-$0.69 and its reaction, or in the case of a false breakout of the local low.
Bitcoinprediction
What's next can we expect from Bitcoin???Bitcoin after making All-time-high is being trading in a long range. According to range trading rule, btc is currently trading under the range low.
Now, if we see range low reclaim, then we can see btc making new ATH (green line).
If btc doesn't holds it's support, then we may probably see btc tapping into it's fvg and from there we can expect great reversal (blue line).
bad case scenario if btc dumps below 80K (major CME gap region) (yellow line).
Bitcoin Plunges Below Support: $70k Looms Amid Selling Pressure● Bitcoin has broken below its key support level of $91,000, sparking concerns of a deeper correction.
● If selling pressure persists, a sharp drop to $70,000 could be imminent.
● Market sentiment has shifted decisively bearish, reflecting growing investor anxiety.
Bitcoin 4H Chart Analysis & PredictionKey Observations:
1. Price Action:
- The price is trading near $91,575, following a significant sell-off with large red candles.
- There is a small bounce after tapping into a green demand zone, suggesting potential short-term support.
2. Support & Resistance:
- Strong Resistance:
- $93,927
- $94,675 - $95,109 (cluster zone)
- $96,118 - $96,756 (major resistance)
- Support Levels:
- The current green zone around $91,000
- If broken, next support appears closer to $89,000-$88,000.
3. Liquidation Levels (Circles on the Chart):
- The large orange and blue circles represent high liquidation points. The orange circles above signal potential resistance as trapped longs may sell into rallies.
- The blue circles below suggest liquidity that could attract further downside moves.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- RSI sits around 24.5, in deep oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation.
- However, RSI can remain oversold during strong downtrends.
5. Momentum Indicators:
- Market Cipher B-like signals:
- Green dots at the bottom, indicating potential bottom formation or relief bounce.
- The momentum waves are still pointing downward but could flatten if buyers step in.
- Bearish Divergence: Still visible in previous moves, so bulls need confirmation before a trend reversal.
6. Money Flow Index (MFI):
- Negative flow continues, showing capital leaving the market, adding bearish pressure.
Scenarios & Predictions:
⚡ Scenario 1: Relief Bounce (Bullish Short-Term)
- If the $91,000 support holds and RSI recovers from oversold, we could see:
- Target 1: $93,927
- Target 2: $94,675 - $95,109 (key decision zone)
- A break above $95,109 with volume could push towards $96,756. However, rejection is likely given heavy liquidity above.
⚡ Scenario 2: Breakdown (Bearish Continuation)
- If $91,000 fails, expect a sharp decline toward:
- Target 1: $89,000
- Target 2: $88,000
- Momentum and money flow indicators still favor this scenario unless buying volume spikes soon.
Overall Bias:
- Short-term neutral-to-bearish, with potential for a relief bounce.
- Watch for volume confirmation and RSI divergence on lower timeframes before entering long positions.
🕵️Key Levels to Watch:
- $91,000: Immediate support.
- $93,927 - $95,109: Short-term resistance cluster.
- $89,000 - $88,000: Next downside target if the current support breaks.
⚡ Final Note:
The market is showing exhaustion signs but needs confirmation for a reversal. If Bitcoin doesn’t hold the current level, the liquidity below could drive another sell-off. Always manage risk carefully—especially with heavy liquidity zones nearby.
That's the Way the Bitcoin TumblesWhy I Think the Sell-Off Isn’t Over Yet
Bitcoin is already in the middle of a sharp sell-off, but at least half the market seems convinced the worst is over and that a recovery is underway. I don’t see it that way. Bitcoin has been grinding sideways into the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart, and now that it’s finally colliding with the basis lines, I think it’s about to plunge straight through them. This doesn’t look like a market that’s ready to bounce—it looks like one that’s about to take another leg down. Maybe I’m wrong, maybe I’m early, but in my experience, when people start celebrating too soon, things tend to get a whole lot worse.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
CME:MBT1!
CME:BTC1!
CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD
COINBASE:RNDRUSD
CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD
CRYPTO:FXUSD
CRYPTO:ALEOUSD
CRYPTO:HONEYUSD
COINBASE:ACSUSD
CRYPTO:ASMUSD
CRYPTO:BATUSD
CRYPTO:FILUSD
CRYPTO:VTHOUSD
CRYPTO:B3USD
As always, this is not investment advice, any trade you make is on you, because good golly Miss Molly, I got my own things to worry about.
Bitcoin, No matter what going below $90,000Hello Guys, Wish you a Very Happy Valentines Week.
a Quick update on Bitcoin, i do not see any upward positive rally for next few weeks , my direction and target for the same is below $90,000.. a setup with entry stoploss and target is placed in the charts.
good luck and good trading :)
Bitcoin's Volatility Lull: Is a Major Breakout Imminent?Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, finds itself in a peculiar state of limbo. While the broader financial world buzzes with geopolitical uncertainty and economic shifts, BTC's price action has settled into a remarkably narrow range, leading to a significant drop in implied volatility. This period of relative calm, however, is juxtaposed with significant undercurrents: a major exchange hack, strategic accumulation by corporate giants, and the ever-present debate over Bitcoin's next major price movement.
One of the most notable observations is the near-record low implied volatility. Implied volatility, a measure of the market's expectation of future price swings, has dwindled, suggesting traders are anticipating less dramatic price fluctuations. This quietude is unusual for Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset. Traditionally, such suppressed volatility often precedes a significant breakout, either upward or downward. The current stasis could be a coiled spring, ready to unleash a surge of price action when the right catalyst emerges.
Adding another layer of complexity is Bitcoin's rangebound trading. Despite the recent Bybit hack, which raised concerns about exchange security and potential market instability, Bitcoin has remained remarkably resilient within its established trading corridor. This resilience, however, has also bred a sense of unease among traders and analysts. The lack of a decisive break in either direction has left many wondering whether this consolidation is a period of accumulation or a sign of waning momentum.
The Bybit hack, while disruptive, appears to have had a limited impact on Bitcoin's overall price trajectory. This suggests that the market may be becoming more adept at absorbing such shocks, a sign of its growing maturity. Nevertheless, the incident serves as a stark reminder of the inherent risks associated with centralized exchanges and the importance of robust security measures.
Amidst this backdrop of low volatility and rangebound trading, the pronouncements of prominent traders and corporate players are adding fuel to the fire. A crucial narrative revolves around the $106,000 price level. According to some analysts, this threshold represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin. A successful reclaim of this level would, they argue, signal the beginning of a new phase of price discovery, potentially leading to substantial gains.
However, the path to $105,000 + is far from certain. Counterarguments suggest that a significant dip to $80,000 remains a distinct possibility. This perspective highlights the inherent uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, where technical analysis and fundamental factors can often provide conflicting signals. The potential for a sharp correction underscores the importance of risk management and the need for traders to remain vigilant.
On the bullish side, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor continues to make waves with his unwavering commitment to Bitcoin. The company's "21/21" plan, which involves ongoing Bitcoin accumulation, is progressing steadily following a recent $2 billion convertible note offering. Saylor's bullish stance and his company's strategic acquisitions have become a significant market force, providing a powerful vote of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
MicroStrategy's approach is not merely speculative; it is a calculated bet on Bitcoin's role as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This strategy has resonated with other institutional investors, contributing to the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. The company's continued accumulation efforts are likely to exert upward pressure on Bitcoin's price, particularly if demand from other sources increases.
The confluence of these factors – low implied volatility, rangebound trading, the $105,000+ debate, and MicroStrategy's aggressive accumulation – creates a fascinating and potentially explosive dynamic. The low volatility could be a temporary lull before a significant price movement, while the rangebound trading indicates a period of indecision that will eventually resolve itself.
The $105,000+ level represents a critical test for Bitcoin. A successful breach of this threshold could trigger a wave of buying, propelling the price to new highs. Conversely, a failure to reclaim this level could lead to a significant correction, potentially validating the bearish predictions of a dip to $80,000.
In the meantime, MicroStrategy's continued accumulation provides a strong foundation of support for Bitcoin's price. The company's strategic approach and its commitment to long-term holding suggest that it is not swayed by short-term price fluctuations.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current state is a complex interplay of conflicting signals. The low implied volatility and rangebound trading create an atmosphere of uncertainty, while the $105,000+ debate and MicroStrategy's accumulation provide clear points of focus. The cryptocurrency market is poised for a potential breakout, and the direction of that breakout will likely be determined by the interplay of these factors. Whether Bitcoin will reclaim $105,000+ or dip to $80,000 remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the next chapter in Bitcoin's story is about to unfold.
#BTCUSDT maintains bearish momentum — expecting further decline!📉 SHORT BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P from $94,547.0
🛡 Stop Loss: $95,027.0
⏱️ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is forming a downtrend after testing the resistance zone.
➡️ Volume Profile suggests that the main liquidity (POC) is positioned above the current price ($96,258.3), indicating volume distribution in favor of sellers.
➡️ A break below $94,830.7 will confirm buyer weakness and open the potential for further decline.
➡️ The $94,286.0 and $94,090.0 levels may act as profit-taking zones, while $93,900.0 is a key support level.
⚡️ Plan:
➡️ Short entry upon breaking $94,547.0, confirming further downside.
➡️ Stop-Loss at $95,027.0—placed above the nearest liquidity level to minimize risk.
➡️ Main targets are in the $94,286.0 – $93,900.0 zone, where a bounce is possible.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $94,286.0
🔥 TP 2: $94,090.0
⚡️ TP 3: $93,900.0
🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P maintains bearish momentum—expecting further decline!
📢 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues its downward movement. If the price consolidates below $94,547.0, this will strengthen selling pressure and accelerate movement toward $93,900.0.
📢 However, buying activity may emerge at this level, so partial profit-taking is recommended.
Bitcoin Breakdown Incoming? Watch the 21-Day VWMA!Bitcoin is at a critical decision point, and the next move could be massive. Let’s break it down:
📉 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely)
BTC has been consolidating, but it's now breaking below key support and trading under the 21-day VWMA (red line)—a strong bearish signal. If sellers take control, we could see BTC drop to:
🔻 $88,000 (0.5 Fib level) – First major support
🔻 $82,000 (0.618 Fib level) – Next key demand zone
🔻 $75,000 - $78,000 ("Panic Sell" zone) – A breakdown here could trigger liquidations.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely but Possible)
For BTC to reverse this bearish momentum, it must reclaim the 21-day VWMA and break above resistance at $98,000 - $100,000. A breakout above $100,000 would shift sentiment bullish and invalidate the bearish setup.
🔍 Key Takeaways:
✅ BTC is trading below the 21-day VWMA, signaling weakness.
✅ Bulls must reclaim resistance quickly to avoid deeper downside.
✅ High volatility ahead.
🚀 What’s your outlook? Will BTC bounce or continue dropping? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
New bitcoin pattern on 1WUsually on Monday we publish analytics with a local perspective, but this time we have not enough information for a full-quality forecast.
Nevertheless, this week is notable for the fact that a new EXP pattern has formed on INDEX:BTCUSD on the weekly timeframe.
It is notable that we have an earlier pattern from May 21👇
And the new pattern is essentially the "big brother" of the smaller pattern and gives us more distant target levels (as is often the case with higher-level patterns, most likely not all of them will be reached).
The fact that the formation of this model occurred through the touch of the trend line increases the probability of a test of $73,757 and $77,723 (but only increases, the level of uncertainty is still high).
15m BTC FVG tap shortFVG on the downside being tapped by price right now, which has potential for a good setup for a short position on BTCUSD. Market recovered somewhat during after-market hours but it looks like it's likely to continue it's downtrend
Indicator used: custom experimental SMC FVG finder
Bitcoin's Next Big Move? Critical $103K Resistance Ahead!Bitcoin has broken out of its recent consolidation range after a classic liquidity sweep at the lows. As marked on the chart (red line), we saw a significant stop-loss hunt below the previous support level, triggering a cascade of liquidations before BTC swiftly rebounded. This move confirmed bullish intent, allowing Bitcoin to reclaim momentum and push back toward the critical psychological level of $100K.
Now, all eyes are on the $103K resistance zone, which is a major confluence area for multiple reasons:
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) – This imbalance in price action suggests that liquidity is resting in this region, making it a key level for market reactions.
📌 Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 retracement) – One of the strongest retracement levels in trading, often acting as a magnet for price action before a decisive move.
📌 Historical Resistance – This area has already been tested twice (marked as "First Hit" and "Second Hit" on the chart) and resulted in strong rejections both times.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If BTC can break through $103K with strong volume, we could see a continuation towards $105K - $107K, with a potential extension toward $110K in the mid-term.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from this resistance could lead to another pullback, possibly back to the $96K support level or even lower before another attempt to push higher.
Why This Level Matters:
The liquidity structure here is key. Many traders will have short positions stacked at this resistance, and a breakout could trigger a short squeeze, fueling a rapid move higher. However, if sellers overpower buyers in this zone, BTC could struggle to sustain its gains and might need another accumulation phase before making a decisive breakout.
Final Thoughts
This is a critical moment for Bitcoin. Will the bulls break through $103K and continue the rally, or will this level act as a major roadblock once again? Watch this level closely, and let me know your thoughts in the comments!
$175,000 Bitcoin by SummerLooking at the parabola pattern for Bitcoin, it has played out perfectly this cycle. I'm expecting one final push on BTC's price before a plateau. Since the average price appreciation after RSI trend line breakouts are ~70%, I think anywhere between a $175,000 - $180,000 Bitcoin can happen relatively soon!
What I see using simple trend linesOn the daily time frame bitcoin is still in the consolidation range.
The 10 21 and 50 moving averages are way above the 200. I'd like to see all four bunched tightly together before considering a long or short. If price action continues as it has then this could happen towards the end of March.
On the 4hr time frame bitcoin has broken out of my descending channel and retested it but I don't think it can be sustained. It could be positive to see two daily candles close outside of this descending channel. But this could delay the next major rally beyond March.
The 10 21 and 50 moving averages are way below the 200. Bitcoin needs to be heading to 100,000 for those moving averages to cross the 200. If bitcoin can reach 100,000 soon then this is potentially bullish.
On the 45min time frame bitcoin remains in the other descending channel.
If the 50 crosses the 200 then this is potentially bullish in the short term. But the 10, 21 and 50 moving averages have crossed the 200 a few times lately with no significant rally.
My conclusion is bitcoin is going to remain in this range for several weeks. Price may tumble to 88,000 but it's nothing to be worried about. If price goes above 101,000 too soon I'd be cautious that it's a bull trap, while any price action below 88,000 could be a bear trap. I would expect the latter to happen just before the market is primed to rally to a new ATH, and the former will trick retail into thinking the bulls have taken control. It's a time for patience and having faith in your strategy.
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( SEEL )trade ( BTCUSD) SEEL zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (97000) to (96.900) 📊
FIRST TP (96.500)📊
2ND TARGET (96.100)📊
LAST TARGET (95.700) 📊
STOP LOOS (97.700)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Bitcoin's Next Move, Solana Dumps From Memes & Unlocks, and MoreIn this video I cover Bitcoin's likely next move and why I sold my Bitcoin at $106k, plus where I think it bottoms and WHEN based on the next likely daily and weekly cycle low Feb 28th.
Also price targets on Bitcoin, how and when it could get to $150k, why it dumps after that and after a summer correction, could rocket to $200k (examining the 11 factors to propel this).
And we look at the longer term time frame for Bitcoin on the Monthly and 2 Month chart, where the RSI, Stoch/RSI, and MACD are showing early signs of topping out (but not likely there yet).
I also revisit the USDT.D study I've been posting about, which is still very much a near-term concern, but plays nicely into the boom / bust timeline I've outlined above.
Plus, a quick reviw of my 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT study, and how the 'Gaps' have been acting as magnets for price, much like the CME gaps, which typically fill.
Lastly, we look at some Atlcoins poised for 10x, 30x, even 250x rebounds and long-term targets.
So this is an action-packed video! Hope you enjoy!
Leave a like and comment, and check out my bio for more tools and resources :)
Bitcoin Trapped in a Range – Which Way Will It Break?BTC is currently accumulating within a marked zone, trading within a broad range of approximately $17,800. The previous resistance line has now turned into support, indicating a possible consolidation phase before the next move.
The price is fluctuating near the 50 EMA ($97,811.26), which may act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, while failure to hold support may lead to further downside.
Bitcoin Price Update. Pending accumulation.The final phase of the bull run needs time for more significant accumulation. From current levels, I don’t expect decisive moves to new all-time highs.
High probability of a short-term bounce from 92,100. New all-time highs and the start of Bitcoin’s next major trend are more likely after a pullback to the Fib 0.5 zone.
Momentum Loss on $BTCOn the Daily chart, Bitcoin struggle to surpass $110,000 after its many attempts on a 2 month period. It seems like CRYPTOCAP:BTC is cooling down and retest the 200 Ema line (Blue line), since the 50 Ema line (Red Line) its a strong resistance level. Bitcoin was rejected 6 times recently.
BTC Halving | Halving Mapping | Bull Run | Bitcoin Analysis
Timeframe: 1 Week (Halving Mapping)
This article focuses on three key aspects of Bitcoin’s halving, based on historical research:
Bull Market Moves
Bear Market Moves
Pre-Halving Moves
As you can see in the chart above, the previous halving events have been mapped out, providing a clear picture of Bitcoin’s price behavior. Historically, after each halving, Bitcoin enters a bull market, followed by a bear market. Additionally, I’ve observed and mapped a unique pattern that isn’t widely discussed: a pre-halving upward move that occurs before the halving event. This pre-halving move often provides significant returns, especially after a bear market phase.
For investors and long-term holders, this presents an opportunity to divide investments into two parts:
Pre-Halving Move: Capitalize on the upward momentum before the halving.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Benefit from the sustained bull market after the halving.
These strategies don’t require extensive technical analysis. A deep dive into historical data makes the patterns clear. Historically, after an uptrend, Bitcoin experiences a downtrend lasting between 1.5 to 2 years. Keeping these patterns in mind can help you craft effective investment strategies.
Current Market Bull Run Update
A common question among traders and investors is: Has the bull run ended? Is this the last exit point for Bitcoin?
Based on my research, the bull run is not over yet. While we may see a downward move in the near term, this is likely to be a manipulation phase, creating FOMO (fear of missing out) among traders who might believe the bull run has ended. However, Bitcoin is expected to make one final upward move, reaching a new all-time high. This final phase is likely to occur in the latter part of this year, with 2025 being entirely dominated by the bull run.
Looking at the 2020 halving chart, you can see a clear "M" shape pattern. At that time, the market experienced a similar phase where the "M" shape completed, and Bitcoin retraced significantly, creating FOMO. However, it eventually surged to a new all-time high in the final phase. Currently, I believe we are witnessing the formation of a similar "M" shape. Bitcoin is in the process of completing the first half of the "M," which could lead to a downward move. However, this is not a cause for panic. After this retracement, Bitcoin is expected to complete the "M" shape and reach a new all-time high later this year.
On-Chain Analysis Insights
From an on-chain perspective, it’s evident that major investors have not fully exited their positions. There’s a general sentiment among large holders to create FOMO, allowing them to buy back at lower prices. This aligns with my research, suggesting that the current market dynamics are part of a larger strategy.
Additionally, the recent delay in the bull run can be attributed to the rise of meme coins. These coins have created a frenzy, with politicians and influencers jumping on the bandwagon to launch their own meme coins. This has diverted attention and capital from Bitcoin, causing a slight delay in its upward momentum. However, once the meme coin hype subsides, Bitcoin is expected to resume its upward trajectory.
Summary
Halving Mapping: Three key phases were discussed – the bull run, bear market, and pre-halving upward move.
Current Chart Structure: Bitcoin is forming a half "M" shape, which may lead to a downward move before completing the pattern and reaching a new all-time high later this year.
2025 Outlook: The entire year of 2025 is expected to be dominated by the bull run.
Note
My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
BTCUSDT CHART MAPPING IN 30M TF Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) in 30-M TF
RESISTANCE LEVEL. 97300/98100
TARGET WILL BE. 94800
The analysis suggests a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. The price has broken below the wedge support, and the chart indicates a short trade setup with a target around 94800 USDT and a stop loss at approximately 98800 USDT